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12:58pm: Jeff Blair of The Globe and Mail has details on the Phillies' pursuit of Burnett. He says the Jays are scouting the Phils' Double A club, and like Greg Golson, Carlos Carrasco, Lou Marson, Jason Donald, and Brad Harman. It seems that Carrasco, Golson, or Marson would have to be in a deal. Blair says the Phillies might try to convince Burnett not to opt out of his contract so he can remain near his Baltimore home for the 2009-10 seasons.
Additionally, the Phillies inquired about Derek Lowe's availability with the Dodgers.
11:46am: Pitching and hitting...two things you need to win baseball games. Insightful, eh? The Philles are looking for both - manager Charlie Manuel wants a "blue-chip pitcher" as well as a "good bat."
Pitching is the team's priority. David Murphy bandies about names like A.J. Burnett, Roy Oswalt, and Erik Bedard. Or the Phillies could look to the B list, like they did last year when they acquired Kyle Lohse. Lohse, by the way, wasn't a fan of the "B list" comment by Pat Gillick.
So who's on the '08 B list? I'll suggest Bronson Arroyo, Joe Blanton, Boof Bonser, Greg Maddux, Randy Wolf, Jarrod Washburn, Odalis Perez, Jason Marquis, Tim Redding, and Paul Byrd. Most of these guys appeared on my June 4th look at the starting pitching market. I'll try to revisit that list this afternoon with a fresh post.
On the hitting side, the Phillies don't have an obvious position to upgrade. Thoughts?
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For bats, Phillies could be looking for catcher, RH bench bat to replace Taguchi, or LH OF to platoon with Werth. It's tough to add a starting catcher at this point in the season though and get him assimilated with the staff
How about a bad contract swap Eaton for Johjima?
Posted by: wayne gomes | July 10, 2008 at 11:49 AM
Also, maybe Raul Ibanez could be on interest, as either a platoon RF or as an everday RF, with the Phillies moving Victorino in a Bedard or Burnett deal
Posted by: wayne gomes | July 10, 2008 at 11:52 AM
The Phillies obviously need a starting pitcher... or 2 for that matter. Other than Hamels, the rest of the rotation is very mediocre.
I can see them getting Burnett and Blanton. I wonder if Bedard's appeal is going down due to him going on the DL with a shoulder injury. Is he a list A player still??
If Harden left the A's.. Blanton should be packing his bags, and Burnett should as well. Toronto's done as far as I'm concerned.
Where can this team upgrade offensively?? I can't see it, unless Victorino is involved in a trade for a starter.
Posted by: TrainMets | July 10, 2008 at 11:57 AM
Is the Bedard DL thing new news? I had heard he would be shut down until at least the fourth game after the ASB (just about 15 days), which means the DL could just allow them an extra player until then. Or is this a new setback for him?
Obviously the Phils need a pitcher, ideally Bedard or Burnett
Posted by: wayne gomes | July 10, 2008 at 12:11 PM
The Mariners will not trade Erik Bedard for Victorino and filler. No way in hell.
The last thing they need is another light hitting outfielder. Removing their #3 bat in Ibanez and replacing it with Victorino would make an already anemic offense even more so. That is just plain stupid. They have no power as is so the last thing they need is a slappy speedster.
If Carlos Carrasco isn't the headliner might as well not even talk about Bedard to Philly. The Mariners aren't in a desperate situation to move Bedard. They still have him for 2009 and he is the best pitcher available right now even though he had a bunch of nagging injuries and a so-so first half. Hell, keeping Bedard and letting him walk after 2009 would net 2 draft picks that would be more valuable than Victorino.
I'm not even a huge fan of a package surrounding Carrasco. The guy is in no way a sure thing and probably won't be an effective ML starter until 2010. They'll want to compete next year and Bedard gives the best chance to do that. Unless they can get the equivalent to the top the 3 main guys they gave up for Bedard (Jones, Sherrill, Tillman), they shouldn't consider dumping Bedard.
There's no reason to.
Posted by: thr33niL | July 10, 2008 at 12:15 PM
TrainMets,
Bedard is not on the DL. They are just resting him until after the All-Star break.
Posted by: thr33niL | July 10, 2008 at 12:18 PM
Despite Jenkins' struggles I don't think they'll target a RF and if anything it just means Werth will see some time versus RHP. But a RH bench bat to replace Taguchi is certainly in play. They've liked Bengie Molina in the past, but the Giants previously said they weren't moving him. As for pitching I don't see them being very interested in Blanton who the As value as an "A" type starter. Oswalt and Burnett seem more like are one of the pieces as the Phils have open lines of communication with Riccardi and Wade
Posted by: DRWebs | July 10, 2008 at 12:19 PM
Your not going to get much more as the center piece of a deal then Carrasco. Cmon man get real the Mariners have no chance of competing next year, they are in the process of blowing that roster up.
Posted by: RC26 | July 10, 2008 at 12:19 PM
I definitely wouldn't suggest that Victorino would be the centerpiece. But he's a cheap, controllable CF with plus defense, arm and speed. I think he's at least league average at the position. Ms could use that.
Victorino and Carrasco would be a pretty strong core package. Add another top 10 prospect, D'Arnaud or Naylor, and Ms would have to strongly consider that.
I'm just spitballing about Ibanez, since he's probably available and could fit a Phillies need.
Posted by: wayne gomes | July 10, 2008 at 12:22 PM
I checked his player page at CBS Sportsline, it had said he was DL'd, but checking Seattle's website, it said he isn't, and due to Batista's injury, will just be rested.
I apologize about that.. mistake on my part. Next time I'll look at more than one source!
Posted by: TrainMets | July 10, 2008 at 12:25 PM
I can't see the Phils trading Victorino. They've got no one who could fill in, even next year. They still don't know if Burrell will be back and I'd imagine they'd like to keep as much together as they can.
As for acquiring an arm all the A-list guys come with an asterisk signifying injury or sliding to regular. If they make a trade I just hope the package they send is according.
The only B-list guys I'd be interested in are Wolf, Maddux, and Blanton. The wayne gomes johjima proposal is an interesting one.
Posted by: JohnKruksWaistLine | July 10, 2008 at 12:26 PM
I'd do the Johjima - Eaton deal but I don't think the Ms would
Posted by: DRWebs | July 10, 2008 at 12:31 PM
Forget that, Victorino just singled in front of a Howard HR. He's off the table now
Posted by: wayne gomes | July 10, 2008 at 12:32 PM
Trade for Casey Blake. Please!
Posted by: Krambo42 | July 10, 2008 at 12:38 PM
Blake...not a great fit since I think they'd be looking for a LH bat in the OF, and there's not really room at 3rd.
A little expensive for a bench bat. He'd be useful in that role, but the Phils would have to offer very little to counteract taking that salary. I'd think other teams could have a greater need (Rays?), and thus would give up a better prospect perhaps. Probably not going to get anything that great for him either way though
Posted by: wayne gomes | July 10, 2008 at 12:43 PM
Blake isn't even an improvement over Feliz. Why would the Phillies do that?
Posted by: RC26 | July 10, 2008 at 12:44 PM
In my opinion, you either have a guy pitching for a contract or a headliner...
Lohse was a good pickup last year because he fell into category "A"... I would love to see Oswalt, however, it would, more than likely, cost a bundle (even with old Eddie manning the ship out there)... Carrasco, Vic and Happ maybe... Probably Savery as well... That's a hefty price to pay...
But,
Hamels
Oswalt
Myers
Kendrick
Moyer/Eaton
oooooolahlahh
Posted by: allabouthephils | July 10, 2008 at 12:49 PM
I could actually go for Kenny Lofton. Can take at bats from Jenkins in right, pinch run/sub for Burrell late, and be a solid PH. Played well a few years ago for the Phils. Could his ego take that role though?
Posted by: wayne gomes | July 10, 2008 at 12:49 PM
I could actually go for Kenny Lofton. Can take at bats from Jenkins in right, pinch run/sub for Burrell late, and be a solid PH. Played well a few years ago for the Phils. Could his ego take that role though?
Posted by: wayne gomes | July 10, 2008 at 12:49 PM
Lofton won't come back unless he's starting or, at the very least, platooning... I love Kenny, but he doesn't fit the mold for our team... Plus, I couldn't see him coming here after the rift that occurred before... Those types of scars are rarely patched over...
Posted by: allabouthephils | July 10, 2008 at 12:53 PM
The Phillies are going to get a pitcher. We all know that; and Gillick tends to get a pitcher at the best price. I don't think Carrasco, golston, or Marson are going anywhere. Nor is Shane Victorino. Whoever is thinking that is totally stupid. Shane is the glue to the phillies. With that being said i can see the Phils going for a Randy wolf and i think he would waive his no trade clause. They want a left-handed bat and a ryan freel type player to get taguchi DFA'd. They will acquire a left-handed arm also. Gillick always tends to work on the cheap but always makes a good deal on paper. He's not going to overpay for burnett or a Bedard. And speaking of Bedard. U Mariner fans think you're going to get so much for him. He has slightly more value than Burnett and that's only because of his contract. He can't stay healthy and doesnt give innings which is what the phils definitely need. As for Eaton for Johjima. That would be one of the worst trades in philly history. Johjima is an ok catcher with some years left on his bloated contract just signed this year. Lou Marson will be our catcher next year and will get a call up in september so they will not make a move for another catcher.
Posted by: greatone91569 | July 10, 2008 at 12:57 PM
start talking to the Royals. Guillen would be a strong right handed bat in right, Olivo doesn't suck behind the plate
Posted by: MikeS | July 10, 2008 at 01:02 PM
If Johjima was acquired for Eaton he wouldn't automatically start for the duration of the contract. The two contracts would cancel each other out for '08 and '09, so it would basically be a straight swap of players at the same numbers. Marson and Johjima could compete for the job next year, and Marson would likely take the job in 2010.
They'd have to eat the 8 mio on Kenji in 2010, but they would be gambling that you can get some of the production out of him from 2006, during the second half of this season (.287-14-61, 46% CS). Or they could keep running Ruiz out there four times a week
Posted by: wayne gomes | July 10, 2008 at 01:04 PM
I like the plan though great one...we're going to get two bats and a starting pitcher without giving up anything of value
Posted by: wayne gomes | July 10, 2008 at 01:09 PM
Johjimas trash and coste has assumed the starting role anyway.eaton leads the phillies in quality starts. Believe me when i tell u marson is the real deal. There wouldnt be any competition with him and johjima next year. Eaton is a good #5 pitcher and unless they're dumping his salary I don't think theyll trade him especially for an underperforming catcher. Ibanez mite be something they would explore but he would most likely cost too much. And wayne gomes we got iguchi last year for a terrible prospect so gillick knows how to negotiate
Posted by: greatone91569 | July 10, 2008 at 01:26 PM
Plus, Marson starting next year is only possible... Depends on how he does in AAA for awhile and possibly as a callup in Sept this year... You can't put that much pressure on a kid in AA... He still has to progress... Johjima for Eaton would be a steal for the Phils... It won't happen, but it would be a steal..
Posted by: allabouthephils | July 10, 2008 at 01:27 PM
Looks like Burnett is a strong possibility to pith in Philly, gotta say I'm much more interested in Derek Lowe. Either one would be a large improvement from what we have now. Both of them would fit nicely behind Hamels.
Posted by: RC26 | July 10, 2008 at 01:30 PM
You have to consider the fact that Eaton isn't producing like a pitcher making 8.5MM and he still has a year left on his contract... Would you rather give that money to a guy that can handle a pitching staff and give you a little pop behind the dish or a guy that is erratic at best and might give you some quality starts next year ??? Eaton's contract might be the worst in baseball, if you can get rid of it, you do in a heartbeat...
Posted by: allabouthephils | July 10, 2008 at 01:30 PM
I don't think the Dodgers are going to actually trade Lowe. I have been back and forth on this one for a while but they may well re-sign the guy. After his sparkling performance last night, the fans are behind him and the team has always seemed comfortable with him, even if he has gotten abysmal run support. I would think any trade for Lowe would have to come with a significant price tag, given that the Dodgers don't really need prospects. Since there would be no possible way the Phillies would, or should, give up Rollins in a potential Lowe deal, the Dodgers don't really have a need for anything on the Phillies roster.
Posted by: AA | July 10, 2008 at 01:31 PM
I'm not going to go on about the Johjima-Eaton thing because it's not even a rumor, just my speculation. I just think it would be a potential upside play at catcher and a huge addition by subtraction in the rotation
I hope they'll be able to pick up useful pieces for crap prospects but I don't have my hopes up...plus, I don't really want the type of veteran pitcher (Blanton, Arroyo, Maddux) that you could get without surrendering legit prospects. You'd have to give something to get a Burnett or Bedard, and I think they need the shakeup
As for Marson...love him. Wouldn't give up him AND Carrasco for either AJ or EB. But he's 21 and Phils' Minor League director already admitted he's going to AAA next. He's gotta keep hitting there. I think he's realistically a long shot to win the job next season. No reason to rush him, especially into the heat of a pennant race
Posted by: wayne gomes | July 10, 2008 at 01:37 PM
Burnett would be the smart choice for the Phillies. Your buying Low and AJ is a much better 2nd half pitcher. Also why not Greg Zaun if you need a catcher. Switch Hitter, bats ok doesn't really throw out runners very well but he can really handle a Pitching staff.
Posted by: Dev0 | July 10, 2008 at 01:41 PM
I like both Dev0, Zaun an upgrade to Ruiz offensively with his OPB and about a wash with CS this year. What do you think is fair for them though?
Donald would interest the Jays I'd think. What else
Posted by: wayne gomes | July 10, 2008 at 01:49 PM
CS is BJ pitching not the catching. Go look at Molinas numbers befre he came here, when he was here, and year after he left.
Posted by: juiced | July 10, 2008 at 01:56 PM
We'll give the Phillies Jason Marquis for free if they promise to pitch him when they play the Cubs.
Posted by: Cubs World Champs please B4 I die | July 10, 2008 at 02:01 PM
Burnett Zaun RRomero 4 Golson Donald Carrasco
BTW, Zaun is a phenomenal defensive catcher in all aspects except throwing out runners. As was pointed out, that is mostly on the pitchers, but his arm certainly doesn't help. He is a switch hitter and always posts solid OBPs - he would be a good fit in that park and on that team off the bench.
Posted by: 92-93 | July 10, 2008 at 02:01 PM
Zaun has very little value.
Romero has very little value.
So Burnett for the two of them... c'mon man.
Posted by: juiced | July 10, 2008 at 02:07 PM
Ricky Romero is looking like a failed prospect at this point. Don't think he has value.
Carrasco shouldn't be in-play for Burnett mostly because of the controllability. If AJ agrees not to opt out..can he opt out again after last year or would the team be on the hook through 2010? I'm not sure which is better for acquiring team, honestly
Golson Donald and Josh Outman seems more fair to me. Both the position players should be 2010 ready, maybe earlier
Posted by: wayne gomes | July 10, 2008 at 02:12 PM
I like Scott Downs too (obviously) if we're going to go megadeal here. Downs, Zaun, Burnett (who agrees not to opt out) for Carrasco, Donald, D'Arnaud
Posted by: wayne gomes | July 10, 2008 at 02:19 PM
Catcher's the one obvious position for an offensive upgrade. And if the Phils make an offer for Bedard, taking Johjima's contract might bring down the price considerably.
Posted by: ColonelTom | July 10, 2008 at 02:43 PM
Why would the Phillies want to trade for an injury prone starting pitcher with a 5 ERA, a 1.50 WHIP, and a lousy contract? Don't they already have a pitcher in their rotation that provides those same benefits?
Burnett is all name and no substance. Giving up quality players for him will be a huge mistake.
Posted by: bjsguess | July 10, 2008 at 03:07 PM
bjsguess, you might want to look beyond this year's stats on Burnett.
ERA the last 4 years: 3.68, 3.44, 3.98, 3.75
WHIP the last 4 years: 1.167, 1.258, 1.305, 1.189
As for "what have you done for me lately," his last 4 starts:
vs CIN: 8 4 1 1 3 7
vs ATL: 7 4 0 0 4 11
at LAA: 7 12 8 6 0 3
(note: 5 5 2 1 0 3 before falling apart in 6th)
vs BAL: 5.1 7 7 7 3 7
(note: 5 2 1 1 2 7 before falling apart in 6th)
He's shown definite flashes of dominance this year, and his K rate is still superb (right around one per inning). His big problem of late appears to be getting rattled easily and running out of gas. In other words, he looks an awful lot like Brett Myers before the '08 collapse to me. Not an ace, but a very solid #2 starter to slot behind Hamels.
He's not perfect, but if he were, he wouldn't be on the market. As it stands, assuming he passes a physical, he's exactly the type of pitcher the Phils should be targeting.
Posted by: ColonelTom | July 10, 2008 at 04:16 PM
Also Burnett was Dominating in his last game, he had 1 bad inning which was well really bad. If your a team that can use him for around a 90 pitch count he is a good call. His last start he was around 100 when he got into trouble.
Posted by: Dev0 | July 10, 2008 at 05:58 PM
This comment is patently wrong:
------------------------------
"Eaton's contract might be the worst in baseball, if you can get rid of it, you do in a heartbeat..." - allabouthephils
I will admit, Eaton's contract was a dumb one and I said it at the time. But no contract in baseball is worse than Zito's right now. That is almost a franchise wrecking contract to be on the hook for 100 million to a pitcher who can't keep an ERA under 6 in a weak hitting division.
Posted by: randomchar | July 13, 2008 at 03:01 AM