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« Hoffman, Padres Reach Impasse | Main | Royals Payroll Could Reach $70 Million »
This is more speculation than rumor, but David O'Brien of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution wonders if the Braves could go after Matt Cain if their Jake Peavy pursuit falls through.
It's an interesting thought, given reports of the Braves' mounting frustration with the Padres. At $13-15MM over the next three years, Cain is incredibly affordable. And I imagine the Braves' primary Peavy trade chips, especially the position players, would appeal to the Giants. Still, when asked last week if Cain is untouchable, Giants GM Brian Sabean replied in the affirmative.
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I was waiting for this one to start. Let's see where Peavy goes.
Posted by: studio179 | November 11, 2008 at 05:15 PM
I tend to like this idea better for the Braves. I think a package of Yunel, Gorkys Hernandez or Schafer, JoJo Reyes, and Jeff Locke could be enough. Maybe you could substitute Brandon Jones instead of Reyes..
Posted by: smscardinals1 | November 11, 2008 at 05:18 PM
This deal for Cain makes much more sense for the Braves than the one of Peavy. Sure Peavy is a former Cy Young winner and a bona fide ace but Matt Cain is no slouch. It would take the same package that they are offering for Peavy and Cain is much cheaper. He would save the Braves the salary they need to sign players to the other posistions they need(Shortstop, 2nd pitcher, Possibly another outfielder?)
Posted by: VerizonWireless | November 11, 2008 at 05:27 PM
Between the Hoffman and Peavy stuff going on, it sure sounds like someone is asleep at the wheel in SD.
Atlease from afar that's the impression I'm getting.
Posted by: basicslop | November 11, 2008 at 05:28 PM
Braves have plenty of money. Their goal is not to save money, but to get the best pitcher they can to replace Hudson in the depth chart.
That being said, it would be an intriguing trade, but I think Peavy would be a better option. Does anyone know if Cain has any arm issues or history of injuries?
Posted by: soupdujour | November 11, 2008 at 05:30 PM
Could the Braves get this deal done with Flowers instead of Yunel? I think it's a possibility considering Molina is getting up there in age. Not only that, but Flowers would be a lot cheaper and likely provide just as much offense, if not more from that position. As for other pieces, Hernandez would definitely have to be apart of any cain deal. Then add in either Morton or Reyes plus one more lower pitching prospect (Locke, Medlen) and maybe even a fringe prospect like Brandon or Brent and you definitely got a start.
Wow, just thinking about the addition of Cain makes me wonder why even bother with Towers in getting Peavy?
Posted by: Bravesfan89 | November 11, 2008 at 05:30 PM
hey would the braves have any intrest in the the twins young pitching for yunel escobar?
Posted by: Den_Orath | November 11, 2008 at 05:32 PM
Giants wouldn't need Flowers, as they have Buster Posey in the minors.
Posted by: nymforlife | November 11, 2008 at 05:33 PM
I think the Braves will get Peavy for Gorkys Hernandez, Jeff Locke and Yunel Escobar.
Posted by: nymforlife | November 11, 2008 at 05:34 PM
The Giants just drafted Buster Posey, so I can't imagine them having a whole lot of interest in a defensively challenged backstop. Any deal would likely have to center around Escobar and Schafer/Hernandez as a starting point, but I'm not sure of the Giants other needs, so I'm not sure what direction the deal would head from there.
Posted by: nixa37 | November 11, 2008 at 05:34 PM
If you can't amuse yourself with a conspiracy concerning Kennedy, Area 51 or "what really happened" on 9/11, you can always speculate on a Matt Cain trade.
Posted by: The Management | November 11, 2008 at 05:39 PM
Den,
NO, the Braves shouldn't be trading Yunel at all.
I am all for telling Towers where he can shove it and going hard after Cain. KJ might fit well over there, and the Braves could increase the Minors prospects (Flowers and Locke) in order to get Cain who is younger, costs less, and has no injury history. I think Cain will be more valuable over the next 5 years.
Besides, the Braves trading Yunel now is flat STUPID. Wren is about to break the Braves like he broke the Orioles if he trades Yunel, the Braves will spend years trying to find a SS like Yunel if they trade him. I was never in favor of trading for Peavy.
Posted by: Andy Braves Fan | November 11, 2008 at 05:40 PM
The Giants won't trade Cain this winter.
Even if it were possible, but it isn't, it would take more than what Atlanta offered for Peavy.
Posted by: kdub | November 11, 2008 at 05:40 PM
That said, the Management is right, Vain probably isn't really available. However, if he is, the Braves should go after him.
Posted by: Andy Braves Fan | November 11, 2008 at 05:41 PM
Geez, here we go.
Giants GM has said Cain is not available. And, they already turned down Prince Fielder for him.
I really think this was just idle speculation by O'Brien and doesn't really merit a posting on this site. Just my opinion, of course.
Posted by: AtlantaMike | November 11, 2008 at 05:41 PM
Wouldn't Cain require more prospects? He doesn't have a no trade clause is young and cheap for the next couple years. He should continue to get better and will attract more teams than Peavy. I could see the Rangers involved and that would drive up the price.
Posted by: tinski | November 11, 2008 at 05:41 PM
And by Vain I mean Cain....I apparently can't type....
Posted by: Andy Braves Fan | November 11, 2008 at 05:41 PM
I don't think the Braves have a shot at Cain. If Cain is indeed available, the Rangers will go at him HARD!!!
In fact, in the end, I think Cain will net more than Peavy.
Cain has no trade clause so a lot more teams can be in the running for him unlike Peavy.
Posted by: coolbean04 | November 11, 2008 at 05:44 PM
only if the braves take Zito too...
Posted by: rotorobby | November 11, 2008 at 05:46 PM
rotorobby, I was about to (jokingly) say "maybe we could work something out" on taking Zito to facilitate getting Cain... then I looked at Zito's contract.
I can't even joke about it.
Posted by: AtlantaMike | November 11, 2008 at 05:52 PM
It would take major prospects to get Cain. 1B / 3B bats.
If Rangers wanted in, it would start with Davis and add more...
Posted by: 55saveslives | November 11, 2008 at 05:53 PM
Nice play from the Braves.
Towers has been using the Cubs all the way through to try to get Atlanta to up their offer.
Now the Braves are making noises about free agents and other pitchers they could trade for.
I don't think there's anything in this other than trying to speed up Towers' decision making process.
Posted by: NickC | November 11, 2008 at 05:54 PM
I would say trading Davis would get the deal 60-75% done. I think the Rangers would have no problem including him.
We can stick Blalock at 1B until Smoak is ready. We can use someone else at 3B instead of Davis.
"It would take major prospects to get Cain. 1B / 3B bats.
If Rangers wanted in, it would start with Davis and add more...
Posted by: 55saveslives | November 11, 2008 at 05:53 PM"
Posted by: coolbean04 | November 11, 2008 at 06:02 PM
I think form a Giants prespective it would take Freeman/Escobar and then some. If you thought the price of Peavy is high, get ready for what the Giants would ask for.
Posted by: AirmanSD | November 11, 2008 at 06:02 PM
I can't see the Giants trading Cain for anything less than Tommy Hanson, Yunel Escobar and Gorkys Hernandez, which I think actually would make sense for them to get some legitimate up the middle type players and a pitcher to help replace Cain.
Posted by: drchstrpunk | November 11, 2008 at 06:03 PM
I can't see the Giants trading Cain for anything less than Tommy Hanson, Yunel Escobar and Gorkys Hernandez, which I think actually would make sense for them to get some legitimate up the middle type players and a pitcher to help replace Cain.
Posted by: drchstrpunk | November 11, 2008 at 06:05 PM
Towers better make up his mind and quick. Escobar, Medlen, Locke, and another prospect for Cain. Not Gorkys, Schafer, heyward, Tehran, Hanson, Rohrbough, or Freeman
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | November 11, 2008 at 06:06 PM
I can't see the Giants trading Cain for anything less than Tommy Hanson, Yunel Escobar and Gorkys Hernandez, which I think actually would make sense for them to get some legitimate up the middle type players and a pitcher to help replace Cain.
Posted by: drchstrpunk | November 11, 2008 at 06:06 PM
but with what giants fans are thinking this is ridiculous
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | November 11, 2008 at 06:07 PM
Bravesfan22193, they are not far off what the team would ask for, they need a SS of the future and corner infield help, Escobar and Freeman would have to included i would think, unless you have another really good 1B/3B option in your system.
Posted by: AirmanSD | November 11, 2008 at 06:12 PM
Would the Braves consider Heyward, Escobar and G. Hernandez? If I am the Giants, I pull the trigger on that deal.
Posted by: giants08 | November 11, 2008 at 06:18 PM
Yeah, I'm a Braves fan, and I think the Escobar, Medlin, Locke, and another prospect suggestion is a joke. The starting point for any deal would be similar to Peavy. I'd say Escobar, 1 or 2 of Schafer/Hernandez/Freeman/Flowers, and 1 or 2 of Locke/Medlin/Marek/etc., with 3 guys total coming from the latter 2 groups. I think those would be the general parameters of a deal from the Braves that the Giants would consider in return for Cain.
Posted by: nixa37 | November 11, 2008 at 06:18 PM
I am also waiting for the majority of the Giants fans uproar that cain is the second coming of Cy Young and it would take the entire Rays farm system to pry him away. This won't happen. Cain is more valuable than Peavy because of his youth/contract.
The better question now that Lincecum has won the Cy Young (congrats to him) is who you'd rather have at age 24, Lincecum or Hamels??? HMMMM
Posted by: philsWSchamps | November 11, 2008 at 06:21 PM
giants08,
Not even for a second. Cain is a very valuable asset, but he's not going to land you a top 5-10 overall prospect, a young and cheap top 10 SS, and another 4 star prospect.
Posted by: nixa37 | November 11, 2008 at 06:22 PM
philsWSchamps,
Unless you either put an undue emphasis on ~40 postseason IP or think Lincecum's mechanics make him a significant injury risk, I don't really think there's much of a debate. Hamels is a great pitcher, but Lincecum just posted one of the 200 greatest ERA+ of all time and the 10th best ever for a 24 year old.
Posted by: nixa37 | November 11, 2008 at 06:29 PM
Any "real" Braves fan would never bring Marek's name up in a discussion. He's 9 games under with a 3.5 ERA for his minor league career, and is absolutely nothing more than a throw-in in ANY deal. Medlen is 9-9 after a 7-8 record at AA Mississippi this year.
And again, for all the people suggesting it, the Giants have less than zero need for Flowers.
This is total posturing from the Braves, and the typical bunk from the Braves' "throw crap at the wall" beat writer.
Posted by: unbiasedhomer | November 11, 2008 at 06:38 PM
Cain isn't going anywhere (hopefully), he's key to the Giants future. Sabean appears to agree, stating his untouchability publicly recently (though obviously if a team wants to be stupid, he will have to listen).
However, if he were to be traded to the Braves, I would want Heyward, Hanson, and Escobar. But that would not be what I would call an ideal package for Cain.
I would want ideally at least one top prospect in the Heyward range, one top pitching prospect (1/2 projection), and someone who could be a premium starter at SS or 3B (or both) soon if not already. Few teams match up, maybe Miami wants to give up Hanley, or Padres want to give up Kouzmanov if they are trading Peavy, but then the Giants wouldn't be willing to give up the Cain, Bumgarner, Alderson that it would take to get such players.
But if the Marlins are casting off players on the cheap, like they just did with Willingham and Olson to the Nats and Jacobs to KC, maybe Cantu, Ramirez, or Uggla might be available for a big package of other prospects the Giants have, Fairley, Noonan, Sosa, Pucetas, Snyder, Martinez, Rohlinger, Misch, Ishikawa, Cowart, Tanner, etc. I mean, they are probably as good or better than what the Nats gave up to Florida.
But ideally he's not traded.
Yeah, keep up if you are going to comment, the Giants have Posey, they are set at catcher, and even if he weren't around, Pablo Sandoval would probably be the starting catcher for a couple of years. The Giants positionally are looking for infield help, particularly on the left side.
Posted by: obsessivegiantscompulsive | November 11, 2008 at 06:41 PM
I just can't believe you would rather give up more to have cain than peavy. I thought Atl was looking for the best pitcher possible, not the cheapest.
I totally agree Atl is just posturing. Same reason we brought the cubs into the mix.
Posted by: UCSDPadsFan | November 11, 2008 at 06:41 PM
unbiasedhomer, I don't think it's posturing by "the Braves." It was a poorly thought out comment by a Braves beatwriter... with no source at all. He later more or less backtracked on it, posting in the same blog:
"S.F. writers told me they didn’t think it would happen, and I know the Braves don’t believe the Giants are shopping him. S.F. would be crazy to trade him. You don’t trade young, affordable, quality starting pitchers, under almost any circumstances."
I'd love to have Cain (who wouldn't), but I just don't think there's anything to this... and it's certainly not posturing by anyone in the Braves org.
Posted by: AtlantaMike | November 11, 2008 at 06:42 PM
The better question now that Lincecum has won the Cy Young (congrats to him) is who you'd rather have at age 24, Lincecum or Hamels??? HMMMM
LINCECUM!
I mean Hamels is good, but is this a joke?
Posted by: Leland11 | November 11, 2008 at 06:49 PM
Heyward, Hanson, Yunel for Cain make the deal. Anything less? No thanks.
Posted by: tmacntn | November 11, 2008 at 06:55 PM
Unlike the Padres, who have payroll-related reasons to trade Peavy, the Giants have no pressure to move Cain. So I'm thinking one of the "untouchables" would have to head West, along with Yunel or KJ, to make that deal.
No thanks.
Posted by: ink-stained scribe | November 11, 2008 at 06:57 PM
unbiased homer,
Perhaps a "real" Braves fan would point out that Marek was finally moved into the bullpen last season and that he 3.56 ERA in AA, while striking out 10+ per 9 and walking 4. He's also only 2 games under .500 (as if that's meaningful anyway) in his minor league career. I guess the fact that he had no record in 25 games pitched in 2006 according to baseball-reference didn't strike you as odd...
Again you attack the W-L record of Medlen (as if that means anything) without even bothering to look at his other numbers. He posted just short of a strikeout an inning and struck out 4.5 times as many guys as he walked as a 22 year old in AA. I guess that's meaningless because he had a losing record.
Finally, with Flowers, some of us are smart enough to realize that he doesn't fit at catcher for the Giants, but he could still hold value to them, because his bat could still play at 1B. I don't think any team would really say that a guy with a career minor league OPS of 888 holds less than zero value for them.
Posted by: nixa37 | November 11, 2008 at 06:58 PM
"Heyward, Hanson, Yunel for Cain make the deal. Anything less? No thanks."
if the braves got super desperate i think they would give up 2 of those players and something else.
not all of them thats a damn good haul.
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | November 11, 2008 at 07:06 PM
Im a Giants fan and the only way i would see them trading him is with Heyward AND Escobar being in the package. He has a lot more value than Peavy due to his youth,contract and no injury history. Other than what i said before no thanks.
Posted by: JacobAlastra | November 11, 2008 at 07:13 PM
Well what I learned from the comments, the Braves should take advantage of the leverage they have in the Peavy negotiations and get the deal done, even if it means throwing in an additional pitcher. Apparently a top line starter that is lacking a no trade clause would cost a ton.
Posted by: cwilli | November 11, 2008 at 07:14 PM
JacobAlastra,
So you wouldn't have any interest in something along the lines of Escobar, Schafer, 1B Freddie Freeman (younger than Heyward and put up a .316/.378/.521 at the same level), and Locke? I'm not implying that the Giants should, but if you'd consider something built around Escobar and Heyward, substituting Schafer and Freeman for Heyward doesn't seem that out there. Obviously there is almost zero chance of something like this actually happening, but I still think its fun to speculate what sort of deal fans from each side think is equitable.
Posted by: nixa37 | November 11, 2008 at 07:24 PM
And by Vain I mean Cain....I apparently can't type....
ahaha, i thought u were a dodger fan.
if the braves tell towers to f--k off about peavy, then i see the dodgers doing what they did with manny and throw a deal together quick
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | November 11, 2008 at 07:26 PM
Dang just looked at Cain's stats, guy is way overhyped. People are treating him like he is Lincecum.
Posted by: cwilli | November 11, 2008 at 07:35 PM
I mean Hamels is good, but is this a joke?
At least the Giants fan above you tried to give a statistical argument to it. Leland does the 11 really stand for your age?
Good, huh. Ya considering he's (HAMELS)24 and should have gone 5-0 in the postseason if not for a HR given up by Madson gave him a ND for game 5 of the WS and he had a 1.8 ERA, ya I'd say that's pretty good. LCS MVP, WS MVP. Plus he's lefthanded.
While Lincecum is great he feasted on pitching against the feeble Padres in Petco (3-0 with a .42 ERA) and against the rest of the light hitting NL West. (18 games)
Lincecum also has a 0.27 advantage in ERA for their brief careers while Hamels pitches most of his games in the bandbox of all bandboxes. If you're going to say Howards stats are inflated you have to admit Hamels' are deflated.
I know all the Giants fans have an unrealistic view of all of their pitchers which is always proven here but there is an argument to be made here. Also with Lincecum's arm motion, speed at which he throws, and the way he takes care of himself he COULD fizzle out faster than the Giants playoff hopes every year.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | November 11, 2008 at 07:35 PM
McDonald, Elbert, and Hu for Peavy should get the deal done, and McD and Elbert would give them two young dominating arms
Posted by: Lasorda for President | November 11, 2008 at 07:37 PM
I really, really think Cain's the better idea for the Braves. Younger, cheaper, and won't cost Yunel Escobar (hello, you do NOT trade a top 10 SS in the league).
Build a trade around KJ and maybe more younger players (no Heyward/Hanson/Schafer plz).
Posted by: melonis rex | November 11, 2008 at 07:57 PM
"I really, really think Cain's the better idea for the Braves. Younger, cheaper, and won't cost Yunel Escobar (hello, you do NOT trade a top 10 SS in the league).
Build a trade around KJ and maybe more younger players (no Heyward/Hanson/Schafer plz)."
HAHA Ok so basically you're saying. Let's go get one of the best young pitchers in the game at 23 years old who's locked up for cheap without giving up any of our top prospects. Good plan. You should pass that on to every GM in the league.
Posted by: tmacntn | November 11, 2008 at 08:13 PM
Only way Cain is going to Braves is for Heyward, Escobar/Johnson and someone like Rohrbough
Only way Cain is going to the Rangers is for Davis, Andrus, and someone like Beaven
Sound like a lot? Thats because it is. The Giants don't NEED to trade him so if they do, they have to be overwhelmed.
Posted by: DawgFight24 | November 11, 2008 at 08:13 PM
I hate these damn rumors. Yes, the Braves might "target" Cain just as just about every other team in the majors will "target" Cain. But they won't get him. Anyone who thinks they will is smoking crack.
When the GM says a guy is untouchable on numerous occasions, that means....He's UNTOUCHABLE, so try as they might, it would take a king's ransom plus just to pry him from the Giants, which just won't happen. The Giants wouldn't take any B-level prospects that the Braves have for their #2 starter, who is young, injury-free, inexpensive, under control for 3 more years and a stud in waiting.
If the Braves want anybody from the Giants they can have Barry Zito.
Posted by: nostocksjustbonds | November 11, 2008 at 08:34 PM
-- >> philsWSchamps:
just curious, if I come around here on Christmas Day, will you also say bad thing about Jesus? I mean, come on, we're talking about the day Tim Lincecum wins the Cy Young, and what are you doing, reaching for the same thing that seven other brave clubs reached for on draft day. Well, his mechanics kind of scare me. Baseball games aren't won and lost in the future, nor are awards (though if you go to Cole Hamels' Myspace page you'll see it reads "Future Cy Young Winner!!!" beneath his name. I'll take his word on it.)
Lincecum's stuff is electric. Same number of innings as Cole this year, almost 70 more strike outs. If you watch him pitch a few games, you'll realize he's something special.
Posted by: The Management | November 11, 2008 at 08:36 PM
the management,
you comparing Lincecum to Jesus? I knew Giants fans were CRAZY about their pitchers but i didn't think, that crazy. ya i didn't think so?
Actually I didn't reach for anything, just posed a question that i knew giants fans would jump all over.
Oh and I said it would be worth the argument and yes I agree Lincecum has been GREAT in his 1+ year in the majors but there is a difference between beating up on the Padres, D'backs, injured Rockies and hapless Dodgers pre-Manny (ya i know he had one game against Manny and pitched well) and going 4-0 with a sub 2 ERA in the Postseason. Hamels led the league in WHIP while Lincecum was 8th, hamels had a better K/BB rate and ya he had 70 more strikeouts but also had 31 more walks. If you're gonna quote stats, quote the good with the bad. Lincecum beat him in ERA and his ERA was historic, but Hamels needs credit for his ERA while pitching half his games in CBP.
Again my point was comparing and in comparing you go ahead and enjoy his Cy Young, I'll take my guy having an LCS MVP, WS MVP and a nice shiny ring.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | November 11, 2008 at 09:37 PM
philswschamps,
Let me grab my extra thick pencil and spell this out real simple-like, Philadelphia-style. You were critical of Tim Lincecum on the day he won the CY Young award. Therefore, if I come around here on Christmas Day, should I also expect you to be critical of Jesus? I wasn't comparing Lincecum to Jesus; I was making what is called an analogy. If A, then B? If you'll do this, will you also do this?
It would've been low-class, on the day the Phils won the series, to say, "Yeah, well, you have to factor this into it: it was a down year for the Yankees, the Red Sox ran into injuries and bad luck, and the Phillies have the most underwhelming pitching staff of any World Series-winning team in many years." Same goes for bringing down Lincecum mere hours after he wins the top pitching award in the game. It was kind of a stretch to get him into this conversation, too. Why not beat up on Cain instead?
As for the good stats with the bad, I will do that quoting, but only if you know what to do with them. Most Strikeout pitchers allow more walks -- and for them, they can overcome it, because they'll cancel out a walk by shutting the next guy down, whereas a non-strike out pitcher might inflate his ERA by getting a run-scoring groundout or a flyout instead. The strikeout is not just there to get the fans excited. It allows for more good things to happen, including having more walks.
You have my permission to use the dimensions of your ballpark as a crutch for the next 50 years. It's not attractive, though.
As for Hamels, yes, he is a stud. He will get a trophy to go along with his ring, I'm sure. I'll congratulate him on it too.
Posted by: The Management | November 11, 2008 at 10:23 PM
The Management,
enjoying the banter. Now exactly where in the "Lincecum is Great", "Congrats to him" do you see me bashing him.
As i've said before if you read my original post I simply posed a question. After I did two readers (one with some reasoning behind it) and the other with nothing bashed Hamels with the "Is this a joke comment".
Oh and i guess you missed my sarcasm about the Jesus comment. I'll try to be EVEN MORE blatant about it in the future.
Again, I never brought Lincecum down. He deserved the award hands down. Should have been unanimous, my simple question is that both at age 24 who would anyone rather have. Hamels has been around a little longer but agreed that most of Lincecum stats are better but Hamels (with the help of his team) has a WS ring and a WS MVP to start his career. To me it was an honest question about possibly the two best pitchers under 25.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | November 11, 2008 at 11:03 PM
Dodgers pre-Manny (ya i know he had one game against Manny and pitched well)
he never faced the new-;ook dodgers. he faced them when nomar was manager and no manny, with only furcal being the true starter. anyways, congrats to tim
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | November 11, 2008 at 11:17 PM
Let's go ahead & get the Marlins involved in a Zito trade. Have SF send Zito to FLA, then FL flips him to ATL. We'll just have basically a do-over on the Mike Hampton deal.
Posted by: ksesxe | November 12, 2008 at 12:29 AM
Enjoying the banter as well.
I guess I took exception to the idea that Lincecum's Cy was undeserved:
"While Lincecum is great he feasted on pitching against the feeble Padres in Petco (3-0 with a .42 ERA) and against the rest of the light hitting NL West. (18 games)."
Because while he did well against the Padres, he also had to pitch in Arizona and Colorado, parks that are no less friendly than the one you guys have in Philly. And let's remember, Arizona was the best hitting club in baseball the first month or two of the year.
Good luck next year.
Signed,
The guy who was a Phillie fan as a youth because of Mike Schmidt.
Posted by: The Management | November 12, 2008 at 12:40 AM
I am a huge G-men fan. I have watched a ton of Cain games, it seems he is over valued. He has good stuff but he is still so inconsistent. I think if teams are willing to overpay for him then they should jump on it! If they really did turn down an offer for Prince then they are morons. You cant talk about needing a big bat and turn down one of the best young power hitting bats out there! They arent gonna good enough in the near future to be concerned about keeping a hold on Cain or Sanchez for that matter. If they have nothing in the system as far as power hitting then they need to bring it in.
Posted by: YounGuns | November 12, 2008 at 01:39 AM
Figured I would provide some commentary on the value of Cain. After research I must admit that Giants fans have a better gauge as to Cain's proper value than Braves fans believe.
"John (San Fran): Lighting round: Cain or Peavy? Who would net more in a trade?
Jim Callis: I'd rather have Cain."
"Jim Callis: Cain will be healthier, cheaper and -- most important -- better over the next four years. How often does Peavy go past six innings?"
"Ross (CA): When you discussed the value of Peavy it got me wondering whether or not you believe that Greinke and Cain would be worth similar packages to what Haren and Bedard netted? They seem like more valuable pieces due to their ages, payroll control, and potential no?
Keith Law: And their lack of recent arm trouble. Cain's contract is outstanding, so he's got the most value to me. Greinke has only two years left of control, I believe, so he's got the least."
Posted by: The Juice | November 12, 2008 at 01:53 AM
And there is a little more...
"Ross (CA): Yesterday Callis said he would prefer Cain over Peavy. How do you feel about that, and could you explain why?
SportsNation Keith Law: I'd agree with Jim. Peavy's elbow problem + all those sliders are a concern. The drop in his peripherals this year is a big concern. And while he's signed and therefore under control, the deal ain't cheap. Cain hasn't had any injury issues, has three years of control left (without a lot of wins, which will hold down his arb awards somewhat), and projects to improve. He's not perfect - control is maybe a 45, and his ballpark is almost as friendly as PETCO - but that's what I meant by taking a shot on a young arm."
"Jim Callis: I think it's a lot harder to find a Cain than a Cano,"
"Mike (SF): Cain for Jay Bruce?
Jim Callis: That trade would make a lot of sense for both clubs."
Hopefully this clears up some confusion. It's a consensus that Cain would command more than Peavy.
Posted by: The Juice | November 12, 2008 at 01:53 AM
I speculate the Giants would be after a package including Kelly Johnson, Jayson Heyward, Tyler Flowers or possibly a low level pitching prospect like Randall Delgado.
The basis of the Giants giving Cain up would hinge on an MLB ready hitter, but more importantly, one of the top hitting prospects in the game which Heyward certainly is. I know it seems like a lot to swallow for Braves fans, but this is the type of pricetag these types of pitchers carry. It is up to you as a team to determine if you are willing to take the appropriate steps.
Posted by: The Juice | November 12, 2008 at 01:57 AM
management,
that was not my intent. He is certainly the most deserving candidate out there for the Cy Young.
And how can i argue with someone who was a fan of the best 3rd baseman of all time.
Had another Cain trade proposal for Giants fans. Werth, Myers and Donald or Happ for Cain.
That would give the Giants a 25HR and 80 RBI outfielder that still has some control left, a serviceable replacement for Cain in Myers who when on his game is a 2 but can drift to a 3 or 4 (whose contract is up this year), a future 2nd base or shortstop for 10+ years who is average now defensively and is a great OBP guy in Donald.
If the Phils are rid of Myers' contract they could go after Manny for 3-4 years while Michael Taylor is readied and you'd have a rotation anchored around Hamels, Cain and Carrasco for a lot of years to come.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | November 12, 2008 at 06:45 AM
I think the same propects who are untouchable for Peavy, will be untouchable for Cain.
Hence, it's worthless even talking about a deal being made.
Posted by: NickC | November 12, 2008 at 07:04 AM
Any trade for Cain would have to involve young guys...
Chris Davis + other prospects
JJ Hardy + prospects
Posted by: 55saveslives | November 12, 2008 at 09:56 AM
Giants fans are talking about Cain and Lincecum the same way Cub fans used to talk about Mark Prior.
That's not a judgement, mind you, just an observation offered up to add some perspective: young arms like these can go from ridiculously valuable to non-tender territory in a flash. All it takes is one nasty line drive or one suddenly sore shoulder.
Posted by: davearm | November 12, 2008 at 09:57 AM
The Giants are pretty set on luring Prince Feilder in for Cain and maybe Travis Isikawa.
Posted by: Tomahawk368 | November 12, 2008 at 10:33 AM
lol tomahawk you have no idea what you're talking about. If the Giants wanted to trade Cain for Fielder even straight up the deal would already be made. No way it happens.
Posted by: tmacntn | November 12, 2008 at 11:21 AM
Here's my idea. This seems realistic and should be perhaps looked into. Now we all know the Rangers are absolutely in love with Cain. When a team shows as much interest as they have, even after we've said he's not going to be dealt, you know they will probably make a big offer. What about this? Get Chris Davis, and then ask for All Star 2B Ian Kinsler, and demand nothing less. I would like to keep Cain, but for an all star middle infielder and a 1B who could hit 35 homers, I would easily let him go.
Why it makes sense..
1. Kinsler is 26, has averaged 17 homers in his three career seasons and has improved in nearly every offensive catagoriy every year of his young career. Last year, he batted .319 with 18 hrs, 102 runs, 71 rbi's, and 26 sb's.
2. Chris Davis is only 22 and in his first stint in the majors last year batted .285 with 17 hrs and 55 rbi's in only 80 games!! You put this kind of production into a full year, thats 35 hrs and easily over 100 rbi's.
You can say what you want about how AT&T park kills lefty power but with the raw strentgh this kid has, he'll find a way to get them out. Ok lets say it does knock some down, still who wouldn't take 30 hrs from a kid 2 years younger than Lincecum?
Posted by: SFG55 | November 12, 2008 at 11:42 AM
Matt Cain has to be one of the most overrated pitchers in the league. The guy has marginal control and having seen him pitch numerous times is very hittable.
Posted by: cwilli | November 12, 2008 at 12:59 PM
You're right about his control, then you follow that up about showing that you're clueless. About every scout and baseball mind out there thinks he is an absolute stud.
Posted by: tmacntn | November 12, 2008 at 01:21 PM
By stud do you mean number 3 starter. I can look at his numbers and watch him pitch. I know you are going to argue he is young, but his numbers are not trending in a positive direction. Tim Lincecum is an absolute stud, Matt Cain has the potential to be an absolute stud.
Posted by: cwilli | November 12, 2008 at 01:40 PM
"By stud do you mean number 3 starter. I can look at his numbers and watch him pitch. I know you are going to argue he is young, but his numbers are not trending in a positive direction. Tim Lincecum is an absolute stud, Matt Cain has the potential to be an absolute stud."
A few things, Cain has pitched for 2+ seasons in the Majors, and over the course of that period he has pitched at a #2 starter level. Also, Cain is still a kid. He is 24 years old.
Think about it this way, I'm sure you have a team with a favorite pitching prospect putting up nice numbers at Low A, maybe High A or AA, but Cain is probably close to that player in age, but has been doing it at the Major League level since he was 22. If you think your Minor League prospect is "untouchable" how should Giants fans feel about their "proven" player?
Posted by: The Juice | November 12, 2008 at 02:12 PM
Juice,
I will just take Peavy.
Peavy 23yr old season
15-6 171 ERA+ 9.6k/9 2.87bb/9
Cain 23yr old
8-14 116 ERA+ 7.6k/9 3.76bb/9
I agree with your point with regards to his youth, but he has regressed and not improved, there is only so long one can value a player based on their potential production. A top pitching prospect as you referenced would not require some of the obscene deals being mentioned so that is not a valid comparison. The Giants fans can be in love with Cain, just elaborate with statistics, trends and performance. I see no reason why he is going to pitch any better next year than this year.
Posted by: cwilli | November 12, 2008 at 02:40 PM
I can't believe there wasn't a single yankees get peavy and cain post where a yankee fan then proceeds to show us the possible rotation for next year 1-5
Posted by: leftcoastbias | November 12, 2008 at 07:22 PM