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According to Ken Rosenthal, the Cardinals' offer for Matt Holliday includes Ryan Ludwick, Skip Schumaker and Mitchell Boggs. Rosenthal thinks the Cardinals would try to sign Holliday to an extension if traded to St. Louis.
Rosenthal also weighs in on the gap between Holliday's .997 home OPS and his .891 road OPS this year.
The Phillies and A's remain in the mix for Holliday, and the Nationals are involved as well. Rosenthal says that if the Rockies are likely to get quantity rather than quality if they deal Holliday to Washington.
MLB.com's Matthew Leach asked Ludwick about the possibility of being traded. Ludwick said that even though "St. Louis feels like home," he knows trade talks are part of the business.
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This would be a great trade for St. Louis but I find it hard to believe thats all it will take to get happy hollie. Boggs got slapped around in the majors this year, while Ludwick had a career year.
Schumaker has proven OPS-ability and could be a solid leadoff,#2 guy behind Fowler in CO.
Posted by: golfstar2020 | November 08, 2008 at 10:24 AM
This may be crazy but i think he will go to the nationals if they can offer the rockies 4 decent prospects and 1 or 2 somewhat proven playes. They have a better chance on having a superstar in 1 of the 4 than they do in one top "prospect"
Posted by: Dj 26 | November 08, 2008 at 10:24 AM
It wouldn't be crazy if the nats had 4 decent prospects...
Posted by: SkiBolton | November 08, 2008 at 10:26 AM
Pretty rare that Boras lets a major client sign an extension when they're a year from free agency. Maybe the Cards feel very confident about the chance of doing so... but unless they have a pretty strong indication, I think Holiday is a big risk beyond 1 year.
Posted by: AtlantaMike | November 08, 2008 at 10:32 AM
As a cardinals fan, I can not tell you how much i dislike this proposal.
Posted by: Hammondsbird | November 08, 2008 at 10:36 AM
I like it. The Cards are definitely giving up something, but if they can sign him long term, they have significantly improved their core. Too bad Holiday can't pitch too...
Posted by: soxandcards | November 08, 2008 at 10:38 AM
This has to be a lowball offer by the Cardinals...good place to start but no way this exact deal goes through.
Posted by: goose102977 | November 08, 2008 at 10:38 AM
Hammondsbird, I believe that this could be a very good deal for you. Ludwick is a good player, but Holliday is better. Schumaker is good, but replaceable. Mitchell Boggs is a good pitcher, however, you may perhaps be able to hang on to Jamie Garcia, who I feel is probably your best pitching prospect(or at least MLB ready one). Additionally if you could make the deal without giving up Colby Rasmus, even better. If I were the Cards I'd pull the trigger. You could slot Holliday in before or after Pujols, either way, that duo is like Manny Ortiz.
Posted by: yankman27 | November 08, 2008 at 10:43 AM
Horrible deal for the Cards. Just keep Ludwick
Posted by: viktor06 | November 08, 2008 at 10:49 AM
Is Mozeliak out of his mind? Ludwick, Schumaker, and Boggs are to much for one year of Holliday. O'Dowd would be smart to accept this trade and stupid on Mozeliak part of proposing that trade.
Posted by: BravesRed | November 08, 2008 at 10:51 AM
I believe this is a solid move regardless of whether they get Holliday to sign an extension. Assuming Rasmus is ready and Ankiel re-signs, even if Holliday bolts they would only need to fill Left. Brett Wallace anyone? Plus a couple draft picks for Holliday's type A status.
Posted by: MVPujols | November 08, 2008 at 11:07 AM
I only like this if the cards can sign holliday to an extension. If not, 3 years of Ludwick, 6 of Boggs, and 4 of Schumaker definitely out weigh 1 of Holliday.
Posted by: asparkm | November 08, 2008 at 11:12 AM
As a Cardinals fan, I'd do this deal. Ludwick on a career year, Schumacker who is only a decent player (cant hit lefites well) and Boggs who I think with the right pitching coach could be a decent number 3 starter. Pujols and Holliday back to back would be one of the top 3 tandems in baseball...
Plus I say throw Rasmus in the fire see what he does under pressure in the Majors...
I say do the trade...
Posted by: TheMan031 | November 08, 2008 at 11:16 AM
If the Nats are looking for an outfielder, why not go for Nick Swisher? He's the same age as Holliday, but would be MUCH easier to pry loose. I think it would only cost the Nats 2 decent prospects.
Posted by: Stegolego7 | November 08, 2008 at 11:17 AM
If the rockies are trying to deal to the nats they would get quantity, and alot of em would probably be pitchers, which is what theyre looking for. Alot of em are pretty decent and are still developing.
I think it could work out.
Posted by: cmdterps44 | November 08, 2008 at 11:22 AM
The Nats have a number of prime prospoects with more coming from this draft (Strasburg). If they are patient and hold onto them, they are going to be a power in the NL east. If they trade them for players like Holliday, the front office should be replaced
Posted by: MayorTom | November 08, 2008 at 11:27 AM
Is an .891 road OPS considered bad??
Posted by: MPM | November 08, 2008 at 11:36 AM
YankMan,to me it's not even so much about the talent for talent trade. What it does is takes away flexibility from the club. They have a surplus in the outfield, but no middle infield, a bullpen that needs work and a starting pitcher for the rotation.
The cardinals don't have significant payroll flexibility, the 13 million owed Holliday next year doesn't help that. Then on top of that your best trade piece to improve the other areas of the team is gone.
So basically it leaves you with the 2008 club, plus holliday, minus schumaker and ludwick. Ludwick posted a .966 ops for a fourth place team. anybody want to tell me what Holliday's ops will have to be to improve this team to first place?
Posted by: Hammondsbird | November 08, 2008 at 11:47 AM
On top of all that, if you do extend Holliday beyond 2009, then when the players who leave for free agency next year such as ankiel, welleymeyer and glaus will be nearly impossible to resign or replace without using young players, and this system is in no position to replenish the club to this extent.
None of that address's how much more difficult it will be to keep pujols when his contract is up.
Posted by: Hammondsbird | November 08, 2008 at 11:53 AM
I think Frank Wren might need to get this Ludwick fellow before the Rockies do.
I personally am not that high on Peavy. mainly because we can deal for other pitchers that maybe arent as dominant as peavy but are still solid none the less.
Just give me Zach Greinke and Javier Vazquez and im a satisfied fan. plus Ludwick that leaves us alot of payroll flexibility to possibly sign some extensions on Jair and possibly Greinke if we get him or maybe pick up another SS.
Posted by: drumzalicious | November 08, 2008 at 11:57 AM
I see where you are coming from now Hammondsbird. Unfortunately as a Yankee fan, I know all to well what payroll inflexibility does. So are you saying you would part with Schumaker and/or Ludwick only if it was for a middle infielder or pitcher?
Posted by: yankman27 | November 08, 2008 at 12:07 PM
Yeah, they could definitely be expendable. One rumor had Ludwick going to atlanta for johnson or escobar, and i thought that was great. Trading for another outfielder is just redundant.
Posted by: Hammondsbird | November 08, 2008 at 12:12 PM
If I'm the Rox, I pull the trigger on this immediately. Ludwick alone is better than Holliday.
Posted by: Zoop | November 08, 2008 at 12:23 PM
"Unfortunately as a Yankee fan, I know all to well what payroll inflexibility does. "
ROFL.
Anyway, this is simply too insanely bad of a deal for the cardinals for it to even be close to correct. For that package we need to get holliday AND Tulo.
Posted by: SleepyCA | November 08, 2008 at 12:51 PM
This trade does not address the needs of either team. They both need pitching, but instead, they are just swapping a bunch of outfielders. Honestly, where would Ludwick and Shumaker play for the Rockies? Unless one can play the center?
I'm calling a ton of BS on this stupid rumor. I don't doubt that Ludwick and Holliday are being shopped, but it's for pitching, not eachother.
Posted by: mkorpal | November 08, 2008 at 12:52 PM
"I'm calling a ton of BS on this stupid rumor. I don't doubt that Ludwick and Holliday are being shopped, but it's for pitching, not eachother. "
Agreed. I could see something like Ludwick + Jess Todd, but there has to be a pitcher going to Colorado along with the OF.
Posted by: melonis rex | November 08, 2008 at 01:03 PM
I agree with everything said here about the Nats and Holliday. Adam Dunn is a bteer fit there and Holliday would more than likely be only a one-year rental like Soriano was, and he didn't really do much outside of being insanely good in RFK (which was such a pitcher's park). as much as i would love to see the nationals get Holliday, they better not. Honestly, giving up a bunch of prospects that could help us in the long run is not worth a 1 year Matt Holliday rental.
Posted by: phoenix88 | November 08, 2008 at 01:18 PM
Why does everyone keep saying this would be a terrible deal for the Cardinals?? Ludwick, Schumaker, and Boggs is a horrible offer for Holliday.......
Posted by: Hyro | November 08, 2008 at 01:26 PM
Nats shouldn't get Holliday. They kind of need the prospects. Badly.
Actually, I think the Phillies are the frontrunners for Holliday. New FO, want to make a splash, reigning WS champs, Mets bringing in some big names probably, etc.
Posted by: melonis rex | November 08, 2008 at 01:27 PM
Stegoloego7, what sort of trade would u propose that would land Nick Swisher in a Nats uniform?
Posted by: phoenix88 | November 08, 2008 at 01:31 PM
basicly this trade would help the rox wayyy more than it could help the cardinals...if ludwick blasted all those hrs as a cardinal imagine if he does become a rockie? he is going to blast lots of hrs in colorado with that thin air, so basicly if its up to the rox they should do it without hesetating.
Posted by: chegui | November 08, 2008 at 01:39 PM
I love the Swisher to the Nats idea.
He would give the team a pretty high upside hitter who is pretty young and under control for three years. He's also got a big personality, and that team desperately needs a star.
The White Sox have had their eye on John Lannan before, so maybe the teams could build a deal around those two.
Something like Lannan/Detwiler and a prospect for Swisher would be a smart move for both teams.
Posted by: scribbletone | November 08, 2008 at 02:08 PM
The Phils would be dumb to consider giving anything more than two of their top prospects, and even that, to me, is too much. This farm system has sucked for too long and I'd rather see impact guys come up in the next two or so years, as opposed to the four or so it would take with the picks they'd get for Holliday (because I can't see him re-signing).
Posted by: JohnKruksWaistLine | November 08, 2008 at 02:27 PM
JohnKruksWaistLine- Phillies would either have to give up multiple top prospects or trade Victorino. The trump card is Victorino.
Something like Victorino + Carrasco/Happ would get it done. However, an argument could be made that Vic is worth more than Holliday.
If no Vic: Carrasco + Happ + Marson (I'd think both pitchers would have to be in the deal).
Posted by: melonis rex | November 08, 2008 at 02:53 PM
my thoughts are Luddy's break out year was orchestrated while he batted behind Pujols - I think Holliday can outperform if he's slotted there in the lineup.
I like Luddy and I think he's a good (not great) OF, I have to believe that he comes down to earth next season. Schumacher is a solid player but again not great. Boggs is backend rotation type with a little more upside. I'd make this swap just to see what Holliday does protecting pujols...This could make the cardinals interesting again..
Posted by: GMjunkie | November 08, 2008 at 03:36 PM
Terrible offer. Schumaker was a really good 4th outfielder this year, and played really well when ankiel was out. Then you have Ludwick who, although may have had a career year, still had a better year than Holliday, and Ill bet has another better year next year. Then you have the pitching prospect in Boggs, who may not be great, but its not really about him, its about the first two players involved.
I think Holliday on the Cards would be a nice fit, because their stadium is also a hitters park, and having Pujols in front of him will allow Pujols a shot at 45, maybe 50, homeruns, and Holliday could have a better year. The problem is I would want to sign him long term but it would cost nearly 20 mill a year.
Posted by: Ivdown | November 08, 2008 at 04:23 PM
Ivdown.
hitting .302 over the course of 540 ABs is good for any outfielder so i question him being a 4th outfielder. I agree he is not a solid 1-2 guy but he is a capable outfielder who can get on base. And I disagree that st louis is a hitters park.
The real problem with this deal would be A. signing Holliday to a larger contract than Pujols isn't right and B. it essentially closes out our off season moves.
Lopez, Renteria, and and Randy Wolf type are how the Cards need to go this offseason. Then you drop Kennedy, Pinero, and pray Carp gets healthy for half a season.
Posted by: joshbdork | November 08, 2008 at 05:41 PM
As a Cardinals fan, I am completely torn about this deal. I am a fan of Holliday and I think if the Cards can sign him long-term, maybe they should do the deal. I am concerned those because A. Holliday's home/road splits scare me, B. Ludwick had a better year than Holliday and he may keep that production up for 2-3 years while under cheap team control, C. we would be losing our leadoff hitter in Schumacher, D. I am concerned this stop us from making other moves this offseason that we really need to make
Posted by: JP | November 08, 2008 at 06:07 PM
I agree, this doesn't seem like the best use of trade chips. A buddy of mine said ESPN's bottom line was saying the Cards and Rox were close to a deal - anyone else know anything about that? I can't find anything on their website.
Posted by: stlredbirds | November 08, 2008 at 07:33 PM
Ive heard the last couple of days that we were the favorites and the most agressive, but I thought the Phillies were still in it as well. I haven't heard anything about us being that close to completing the deal yet.
Posted by: JP | November 08, 2008 at 07:38 PM
JP...according to this link the asking price is too high for the Phillies...
www.philly.com/inquirer/sports/20081108_ds___nu_item_at_very_bottom_and_trimmed_to_fit_Phillies__new_GM_fill_staff_posts.html
Posted by: Cardsfan387 | November 08, 2008 at 08:18 PM
stlredbirds....I've seen that posted on other sites as well, supposedly ESPNNews said the Cards are close to a deal with the Rockies.
Posted by: Cardsfan387 | November 08, 2008 at 08:27 PM
Wow. That kind of surprises me b/c I really thought the Phillies were hard in on Holliday. Of course this could be a ploy by the Phillies to act like they can't pull off the deal and then try to get in the backdoor and get Holliday. I believe the report and what the report says is my same concern for the Cardinals. I doubt Ludwick, Skip, and Boggs is all we are going to give up for Holliday. Im worried we will give up too much to get him and then regret it.
Posted by: JP | November 08, 2008 at 08:38 PM
As a Cards fan why wouldn't you like this deal?
Outside of pitching, which everybody needs, spending big money on a big bat makes sense right?
I'd imagine Holliday is a better bet to be a consistent 900 ops masher.
Posted by: Kenan and Kel | November 08, 2008 at 08:39 PM
stlredbirds, would you happen to have a link to that report b/c I would really like to read it?
Posted by: JP | November 08, 2008 at 08:39 PM
I wish I had something to show you so I could have seen it myself. I didn't see the bottom line - a friend of mine I was talking to did, so i can't even tell you verbatim what it said. and espn's mlb page didn't have anything about it.
Posted by: stlredbirds | November 08, 2008 at 09:00 PM
I'd rule out the Phils here. We talked with the Rox about getting Holliday at the trade deadline, but we didn't do it then and I doubt we'll do it now. It doesn't matter that Amaro is now GM, because the Rox want players like Victorino and Werth, as well as our prospects, and I don't see the Phils getting rid of them.
Posted by: Phinally08 | November 08, 2008 at 09:01 PM
The Holliday trade scares me for a few reasons. Ludwick is a good hitter and he is under team control for the next 3 seasons. I know he had a career year this year, but I think he could put up at least league-average numbers for how much cheaper he will be compared to Holliday. Trading Skip would create a hold in the lead-off spot. Skip did a good job for us there this year and do you really feel comfortable having Kennedy,
Ankiel, Izturis(if resigned) to lead-off? The only exception maybe Rasmus, but who knows if he would thrive in the leadoff spot. Plus, the deal be talked is Ludwick, Skip, and Boggs but you know that it will cost more. Im not sold that Holliday is worth all that talent. Plus, what if Holliday doesn't resign and the Cardinals give up all that talent to acquire him? There's also a problem if the Cards trade for him and sign him immediately to an extension. The Cardinals have a few pressing needs and signing Holliday to a deal that he wants would costs so many millions (remember he is a Scott Boras client). After signing him, any payroll flexibility that we actually had would go out the window. The Cards need to spent for another starter, resign and sign some new relief pitchers, and sign a solid SS. Johnny Mo has been working hard to create that flexibility and a new Holliday contract would create more holes to me by not allowing us to spend those millions in our true need areas. For us to truly improve after trading for Holliday then signing him to an extension, the Cards would have to increase payroll and we all know how good the management is about doing that. I just hope they really think it over before pulling the trigger.
Posted by: JP | November 08, 2008 at 09:03 PM
I hope the Phils, as well as other teams, are out of the Holliday sweepstakes for the Cards sake. If others drop out, maybe the price may come down a bit for the Cardinals.
Posted by: JP | November 08, 2008 at 09:04 PM
Here's what I got from ESPN - albeit from their fantasy site:
Matt Holliday, Col LF
News: The Rockies and Cardinals are discussing a deal that would send Holliday to St. Louis for a package that would include Ryan Ludwick, numerous outlets report.
Spin: The Phillies are also among the teams reportedly very interested in Holliday. Holliday's OPS was 100 points higher at home than on the road last year, and over 250 points higher for the duration of his career.
No other info mentioning schumacher or boggs...
Nov. 8, 6:00 PM ET
Posted by: GMjunkie | November 08, 2008 at 09:13 PM
Well Schumacher and Boggs were mentioned in this story here. I don't know why the Rox would want Skip, unless they are serious about dealing Willy Tavarez.
Posted by: JP | November 08, 2008 at 09:28 PM
JP-
I'm sorry, but Mo isn't flashing his intelligence here. The Lohse deal, and then this?
Ludwick, Skip, and Boggs is already the Rox fleecing the Cardinals. If Mo adds MORE talent, that's stupid. Taveras can then be traded for something, and I'm betting that Luddy is flipped to someone for pitching. A's and Rays come to mind (Rays might have payroll issues, A's are probably not contending in '09, both need that big bat) and Luddy is cheaper and controlled for 3 more years. I could see something where Ludwick was dealt to the A's or to the Rays for an MLB-ready starter and a pitching prospect. Get three pitchers and Schumaker off Holliday.
And, the Cardinals will not be immediately signing him to an extension. I'm assuming he's testing the FA market after the 2009 season, not locking up this year.
Or, the Rox just trade Schu to a team like the White Sox for a young pitcher (i.e. Clayton Richard). Build depth.
Posted by: melonis rex | November 09, 2008 at 03:46 AM
Have any of you bothered to look at stats away from Coors and compared them to Ludwick? Trading those guys head up would still be a bad deal for the Cards due to the amount of money due to Holliday vs Ludwick. Not to mention that an outfield bat is not on our shopping list and does nothing for our pen, SP, or MIF.
Posted by: BeoPig | November 09, 2008 at 09:52 AM
sorry but a deal of Werth, Happ and Myers is what I'd do. Myers has #2 stuff or he could close for the Rockies with Fuentes leaving and he's in his last year of his contract. Then the Phils should sign Tawaza and have Hamels, Tawaza, Carrasco as 3 studs of the future. All young and controllable and an unstoppable offense. REPEAT!!!
Posted by: philsWSchamps | November 09, 2008 at 01:08 PM
The Phillies signing Tazawa? That's funny. The Phillies even re-signing Burrell? I'd doubt that. Why on earth would the Rockies want Brett Myers? He's going up to 12 million. He had a horrible start to last season. He'd even be in more of a hitters park. He's beaten up his wife before. They'd be paying out more once Werth goes through arbitrration. The idea for the Rockies is to win now and build for the future. Shane Victorino could do that. But it'd take more. He's a very important piece in the Phillies clubhouse.
It'll take Victorino and Carrasco. Or Victorino, Happ and another decent prospect.
Enjoy your moment in the sun Phillies. Your ungracious ways to the Rays will make baseball fans remind you on how much of losers you'll be for the next decade. Just look at the last time you were in the WS. What'd the last three NL World Champs do? Or last 5 out of 7? No postseason the next year. What about the last three teams that made it to the world series? They don't spend. They haven't had the ability to draft well lately. And their arbitration cases will jack the payroll up to at least 125 million if they're able to retain Moyer & Eyre.
Posted by: nyj0127 | November 09, 2008 at 09:57 PM
Something tells me Ludwick was on steroids. How do you have that kind of year after such an average year before? Maybe he is that good. I don't know. He had a better year than Holliday and the Cards would surely do that deal straight up.
Posted by: nyj0127 | November 09, 2008 at 09:58 PM
He's going to get trades some where. St. Louis looks like the best place for him. I don't think the Phillies will part with Victorino. They lost their clubhouse leader in Rowand last season. Who'd take the leadership role without Victorino? Rollins... Yeah, that's a good one lol
Posted by: nyj0127 | November 09, 2008 at 09:58 PM