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« Hendrickson, Orioles Reach Agreement | Main | Odds and Ends: Teixeira, Pujols, McLane »
My theory on the late-moving free agent market: teams are just being cautious, aiming for January bargains on players like Adam Dunn, Brian Fuentes, Derek Lowe, Orlando Hudson, and Ben Sheets. Plus, many free agents wanted to wait out the Mark Teixeira negotiations to see who'd have money and needs afterward.
Murray Chass suggested another possible explanation in yesterday's article. He talked to "one prominent agent," who said, "There are a lot of rumblings that all the teams know exactly what everyone is doing with free agents." Chass recalled the "information bank" of twenty years ago, when teams formed a database of all their offers. Rob Manfred, executive VP of labor relations and human resources, offers a less sinister explanation: most offers are leaked out to the public.
Chass talked to another agent who believes budget cutbacks are to blame, which is hard to argue. Chass' article also discusses the salary cap issue, which he more clearly calls a payroll cap.
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Could players or agents be waiting for the MLB Network to get up & running so their deals will be covered?
Aren't MLB offices closed for the holidays anyway?
Posted by: JohnnyShoe | December 29, 2008 at 08:42 AM
agents are ruining baseball. all the agents want is for players salaries to go higher and higher and higher and higher! theyre greedy bastards.
despite the spending by the Yankees, there is obviously a recession in the world today and teams just do not want to spend the big money.
the agents are probually the ones leaking out the offers for the free agents because they are trying to get a biding war. the agents want everyone to know what team A offered so that team B can offer more. then they want everyone to know what team B offered so other teams can bid even more than that.
its also a shame that players make decisions soley on money. they put no heart into where they want to play.
i dont think you will ever see a salary cap, but there needs to be something done. maybe a higher luxury tax with more revenue sharing. obviusly the current luxury tax isnt working because the latest bill to the Yankees probually made them laugh. the Steinbreners could probually pay it in cash out of their pocket. i know spending the most doesnt necessarily make a team successful, but it sure gives a big advantage.
Posted by: SpecialFNK | December 29, 2008 at 08:45 AM
Deals can be accepted electronically, so no one has to be in the office.
And it isn't in the best interest of the agents or the teams to wait to pull the trigger on deals because of the network. They get enough play as it is on ESPN.
Posted by: Boh | December 29, 2008 at 08:46 AM
That is an odd thing to say SpecialFNK, in the wake of the best position player on the market taking less money to play for a winner.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | December 29, 2008 at 08:59 AM
They should just raise the luxury tax for now till they figure out a better solution.
Posted by: wisbrave | December 29, 2008 at 09:13 AM
In addition, I think it's slightly ironic that a lot of people on here hold athletes to a higher standard when they make job decisions. If someone offered me 1/3 more pay right now to move to a new city, I'd probably take it. I think that's the case for a lot of people on here. Just because the salary range for players is higher doesn't mean they're immune to these types of feelings. Getting paid more creates a better situation for your family and, whether we all realize it all the time or not, makes you feel more wanted. To ask someone to take a paycut just to stay in a certain town seems a bit misguided to me unless we're talking fractions of total salary in the difference.
Posted by: CubbyFan23 | December 29, 2008 at 09:13 AM
I'm pretty sure the NHL restricts individual player salaries to a percentage of the overall team payroll. So Chass was wrong on that.
Posted by: smfiv | December 29, 2008 at 09:21 AM
Is there collusion???Probably but who cares but the overpriced overpampered prima donna ballplayers. When do the employers of any company dictate to the employer how much they should be paid???The MLBPA and the agents think thay are the ones that own the teams. They do not put the finacial risk into anything. If heaven forbid a plane carrying the Yankees team would crash the Yankees would be responsible for close to $1 billion dollars in contracts over the next several years. The players get over 50% in profit sharing and multimillion $ contracts. The players should agree either on 1 of 2 proposals (which will never happen.)
1 No salary cap but no guaranteed contracts.
2 Salary Cap but guaranteed contracts.
The players greed is not the only issue.
The owners need to take action.
Owners complain that Yankees/Red Sox et al sign all the big free agents but with the luxury tax to help the small market teams these teams need to put the money on the field and not in their pocket.
Posted by: ryno23 | December 29, 2008 at 09:24 AM
First, thanks for posting that Tim, it was a great read.
My opinion is that while wild spending sprees like the yankees do is fun to watch, it is a little hard to swallow when the economy is tanking. I'm a Cubs fan, and while I was happy to see them spend big on soriano and lilly all the others a few years ago, they were just buying their way back to respectability after 2006's 96 losses. I get annoyed that they have to spend big money because they can't develop their own positional talent, outside of soto and theriot. That said, I'm thankful they have a competitive team out there, which obviously hasn't been the case all the time. We pack that place every game, the least they can do is spend our money wisely.
However, for a team like the brewers, it's a different story. It's no guarantee they're going to sell tickets next year. cc's gone, sheets is gone, and there's kind of a feeling that last year was their real shot at it. It's tough for them to remain competitive every year (and I'm not taking a shot at brewers fans with that) and them offering cc $100 mil is a huge deal for them. To their credit they've got talent in the minors because they've drafted well, but it's not really fair for a mid-market team to have to wait every 4-5 years to have a shot. There's only so many great baseball minds out there to produce good young talent all time, a la the braves and twins. I think there needs to be a bigger penalty for wild spending sprees. The yankees and red sox basically print their own money, and now the yankees have a new park. These offers they make are easy for them. I feel that while spending money doesn't guarantee winning, it does virtually guarantee being competitive. Teams like the yankees and red sox really should have to think twice before offering insane amounts of money that no one else can match.
Posted by: 100backeduptrucks | December 29, 2008 at 09:28 AM
I would give you the less money if it were something substaincial, and the teams in question weren't a team with a very high payroll and a team that has 20 OFs and nothing else.
The difference is what 1 million a year or less.
Now if he took 15 million a year to play for the Yankees and Washington offered 25 you'd have something.
Yes Tex took less but the offers were pretty close.
Posted by: schellis | December 29, 2008 at 09:38 AM
You are so right 100. While I'm sure sprees like the Yankees is great for their fans, the competetive balance in baseball is so far out of whack it's insane. I like the offseason for the rumors and such, but once the season starts, I'll be looking forward to the June draft.
Posted by: indybucfan | December 29, 2008 at 09:40 AM
I think one of the changes that should be made is that a team that's recieving money from revenue sharing can't have a net profit greater than what they recieved from the revenue sharing. I think MLB has to do a better job of making sure that money is being invested into the smaller market teams instead of going into the owner's pocket.
Posted by: ECT | December 29, 2008 at 09:41 AM
Basebally needs more revenue sharing and a far steeper luxuary tax.
However it needs to be very firm in how this money is to be spent.
In order to qualify for money your payroll must be at a certain level.
That level decided by the teams revenue and what it could support without the sharing/tax dollars.
If the teams break even point was 40 million, then they would have to have a 30-35 million dollar payroll.
They'd get cash then but what they didn't spend would have to be returned.
WHat would be left then would either go towards programs that MLB sponsors to get baseball more global or renew interest in he US or would be kicked back to the teams that provided it.
I don't want to see the high market teams able to do whatever they want with minimal reprocussions because they can print money, but I also don't want to see that money going into other owners pockets as well.
Posted by: schellis | December 29, 2008 at 09:51 AM
Although I have been a red sox fan all my life and will forever have an irrational hatred of all things Yankee, I think it is worthwhile to point out that after all this spending the yankees payroll next year wont be significantly higher than it was in '08. Now, its obvious that their payroll in '08 was exorbitant when compared to most other teams, but i think the moves theyve made this year are very smart, as much as it pains me to say it.
Bottom line is that their enormous payroll is probably bad for the competitive balance in baseball. For every Tampa Bay there are five Kansas Citys,and it is more likely than not that a larger salary tends to result in more wins. Some teams cant spend the money, others refuse to. The system is somewhat imbalances. However, the yankees, mets, and red sox are still playing by the rules and if they have the money they might as well spend it. For all those up in arms about what NY has done this off season, it isnt really much different than what thyve been doing, it was just a big turn over in who theyre giving their money this time.
Posted by: dbhammel | December 29, 2008 at 09:57 AM
they should create a minimum investment annually for owners on their roster/scouting/facilities/etc
...
maybe then pirates fans don't have to draft poop like bullington/moskos/JvB.
the pirates get over 20 million a year in revenue sharing and the payroll is like 40 million, time for ownership to pay up or put the team up for sale. i'd rather have the pirates in another city and be successful(.500 record) than have them stay around and be doomed to futility at the hands of nutting
as well as cap salaries at like 200 million at least just as a starting mark for future consideration in lowering.
Posted by: yokedog22 | December 29, 2008 at 10:21 AM
I also think that its rarely the CC sabathias and Mark Teixieras who create the FA challenges for small market teams. Its the mid tier guys who are paid like their big time free agents a la carlos silva. Its the Silvas, Washburns, and Matthews Jr's of the world that make it hard for smaller market teams to offer reasonable contracts as they push up top tier contract values and tie up small-mid market teams' resources.
Posted by: ECT | December 29, 2008 at 10:27 AM
there sometimes is a situation where a player takes less money to play for a winner but it doesnt happen that often. the Teixeira situation i think was different because even the lesser amount from NY was so high. as a Jays fan i also hate to see the Yankees spending so much money on anyone.
if its a big difference in salary then i can sometimes accept that the player chooses the higher salary, but in alot of situations its not that much of a difference. i wish Sabathia would have chosen the Brewers offer, eventhough it was so much lower than the Yankees offer ..but then im biased because i like the Jays and dont like the Yankees.
one of the situations that comes to mind was one that actually worked out in the Jays favour, atleast from what i remember. few years ago AJ Burnett had an offer from St.Louis at 5 years $50 MIL. i think he was all set to accept that when the Jays came in at 5 years $55 MIL. only an additional $1 MIL a year difference and all of a sudden he takes the Jays offer.
i think i would like to see baseball free agency work something like what happens in college with recruiting. bring a player to the city. take him around the city and out for dinner. take him to the stadium and show him around. have him talk to multiple players from that team about how things are off the field. basically wine and dine the player and show him a good time. that free agent player can do that for the teams he is possibly interested in playing for.. and then the agent can get involved and take offers from those teams. then the player can decide where he wants to play not only based on the contract but also from his experience in meeting with each team.
i was thinking of something for the smaller market teams and the larger market teams that pay more into revenue sharing. in a way its unfortunate to say a smaller market team HAS to pay a certain amount because then they could simply overpay a player just to get up to that minimum payroll, and thats not good for baseball because then other players at a similar level are going to want to be paid the same amount. they will say well X player got this amount and im better than him so i should get more.
i think it would be nice to see all contracts work on some type of incentive type thing. the way it currently is everyone is basically getting paid on what they have allready done. a free agent signs with a new team based on what he has done for his former team. if contracts were based on incentives you would get more money if you could produce that upcoming season. but im sure even soemthing like that has flaws.
Posted by: SpecialFNK | December 29, 2008 at 10:31 AM
Several things.
1. The CC Sabathia, Mark Teixeira, A-Rod, Carlos Beltran, etc. contracts are not the ones which hurt small market teams. You want to buy a superstar, you will have to pay big bucks. But, you don't necessarily "need" a superstar to win a ring. And, having the most superstars doesn't guarantee a ring, or even a playoff appearance (I'm not talking about only the Yankees). Yes, most WS winners this decade have had that one superstar (2002 Angels might be an exception).What kills smaller revenue teams are the outrageous contracts given to mediocre players, which inflate the market in that sense. Every team will have to resort to free agency to fill some holes. The problem comes when league average production at a non premium position on the market costs 10++MM/yr. It's when guys who are barely above replacement level in their careers, like Jeff Suppan, Adam Eaton, etc. get huge deals that inflates the market and hurts smaller teams.
2. Teixeira will easily make up the 5MM difference in total contracts between the Yanks and Nats with marketing deals, endorsements, etc. It's not a big enough difference to say "he took less money to play for a winner".
Posted by: melonis rex | December 29, 2008 at 10:42 AM
agents always scream "collusion!" when the markets contract. Is it really collusion that no one wants to sign Jason Varitek to a Posada-sized contract that means losing a draft pick? Do the owners need to get together to decide that's a raw deal or is it obvious?
Part of the problem is that the agents tell their clients they're worth so much (raising their expectations), they tell the teams that their player will only take so many years and so much money and if you can't meet that, don't bother and when the phone doesn't ring because their demands are outrageous, they scream bloody hell.
Posted by: nostocksjustbonds | December 29, 2008 at 11:00 AM
Its a joke how people always lump the yankees and the red sox together when talking about exorbitant payrolls. If you can ignore that big of gap then I can claim the red sox and the orioles are essentially the same in payroll. The gap last year was bigger than the combined per year salaries of the three huge contracts the yankees have given out this offseason. To not recognize such an obvious difference is ludicrous.
Posted by: walkoffblast | December 29, 2008 at 11:09 AM
We don't know that Tex left only $5MM on the table, because there was word the Nationals were willing to go higher. And it's probably wise to leave out variables like endorsements, unless you want to spend serious time and start adding cost of living and such.
Posted by: Tim Dierkes | December 29, 2008 at 11:13 AM
Tim,
You need to lay off the Yankees Kool-Aid if you really think that SpecialFNK's comments about Agents ruining the sport by getting clubs into bidding wars. I realize that this is Capitalism at work, but this type of bargaining will ruin baseball. What's Pujols going to go for in '11, 300-400MM? Get Real, NO ONE is worth that much.
Posted by: Gosser128 | December 29, 2008 at 11:13 AM
When the Yankees were winning World Series in the late 90's. They did it with solid value veterans (like O'Neill and Brosius) and homegrown talent like Jeter, Rivera, Pettitte, Bernie Williams, Posada, et al. In 1998, their payroll was about 30% of what it is now. The Yankees were similar to the 2007 Red Sox where they had some big names mixed with cheap, homegrown talent.
Tampa Bay's ridiculously low payroll that won the AL Pennant is another example of how you don't have to buy a championship.
The Yankees spent big on Teixeira, Burnett and Sabathia. CC hasn't won in the postseason, Tex has never led a team to the postseason (minus Anaheim this season which was already a lock when he showed up), and Burnett who is an injury risk. Don't give the Yankees the trophy yet, because they aren't guaranteed to get it.
Posted by: Gstill45 | December 29, 2008 at 11:16 AM
*CORRECTION*
Tim,
You need to lay off the Yankees Kool-Aid if you really think that SpecialFNK's comments about Agents ruining the sport by getting clubs into bidding wars is off the mark. I realize that this is Capitalism at work, but this type of bargaining will ruin baseball. What's Pujols going to go for in '11, 300-400MM? Get Real, NO ONE is worth that much.
Posted by: Gosser128 | December 29, 2008 at 11:24 AM
In my opinion, raising the luxury tax will not keep teams like the yankees from spending obscene amounts of money. For example, teams in the NBA pay a much higher luxury tax percentage, and it seems to be no deterrent. The Yankees and other big market teams are always going to spend huge amounts of money because their team earns their owners more money than small market teams. The system seems to work, by making all of the signings that the Yanks made this offseason they sacrafice their draft picks. Small market teams need to follow the Rays blueprint and make smart draft picks and trades. It is frustrating when the Yankees (who don't get me wrong I am not fond of in any way, shape, or form) swoop in and take 3 of the top free agents, but its their money to spend and their decision to make. How can you knock a team for generating the most revenue and in turn having the highest payroll. It seems to make sense and there is really no need for a salary cap on teams or individual players. If teams want to continue to give out huge deals, so be it.
BTW, a good point was touched on earlier. A player like Tex, ARod, or Manny is a superstar and should come at a premium. Also, none of these players would make a team like the Nationals or Baltimore competitive in their first year with the team. While they certainly would not hurt, it takes a full team to win a championship not a single superstar.
Posted by: cutmeibleedblue | December 29, 2008 at 11:27 AM
"Tim,
You need to lay off the Yankees Kool-Aid if you really think that SpecialFNK's comments about Agents ruining the sport by getting clubs into bidding wars. I realize that this is Capitalism at work, but this type of bargaining will ruin baseball. What's Pujols going to go for in '11, 300-400MM? Get Real, NO ONE is worth that much."
Says who, you? Are you our chief economist here? How do you know the value of a player?
Posted by: CubbyFan23 | December 29, 2008 at 11:34 AM
Tim, I never bought into these rumors in the last month of the Nationals being willing to increase their offer. Why would they wait to do this if they really wanted to lure him away? If they were "willing" to go higher then why didn't they? Teixeira is on the verge of signing with multiple teams and they do not put all their cards on the table. Cannot say that one passes my smell test.
Posted by: walkoffblast | December 29, 2008 at 11:37 AM
i dont like using Tampa Bay as to how teams can contend with low payrolls. they were terrible for so long before they had their once successful season i doubt teams are going to want to go that route. they have numerous young players with not much playing time therefore they are not making much money. within the next few season those players will be set to make more money and if TB keeps them they will no longer be a low payroll team.
Carl Crawford has a team option for 2010 at $10 MIL compared to the $8.25 MIL club option for 2009 and the $5.25 MIL he made in 2008. i wonder if they will consider buying him out for 2010 for $1.25 MIL rather than pick up that $10 MIL option.
the Rays are more of an example of how you can win by using the minor league system.
theyve also had some luck with players, like signing Carlos Pena to a minor league contract after the 2006 season when he was with Boston.
Posted by: SpecialFNK | December 29, 2008 at 11:42 AM
"Tim,
You need to lay off the Yankees Kool-Aid if you really think that SpecialFNK's comments about Agents ruining the sport by getting clubs into bidding wars. I realize that this is Capitalism at work, but this type of bargaining will ruin baseball. What's Pujols going to go for in '11, 300-400MM? Get Real, NO ONE is worth that much."
Says who, you? Are you our chief economist here? How do you know the value of a player?
Says anyone with even a little common sense. All this is going to equate to is owners looking for other ways to increase revenue to pay these outlandish salaries, and where to you think the first place they're going to look is? My guess is at the ticket booth.
Posted by: Gosser128 | December 29, 2008 at 11:44 AM
Enjoy your high ticket prices CubbyFan.
Posted by: Gosser128 | December 29, 2008 at 11:45 AM
"You need to lay off the Yankees Kool-Aid if you really think that SpecialFNK's comments about Agents ruining the sport by getting clubs into bidding wars. I realize that this is Capitalism at work, but this type of bargaining will ruin baseball. What's Pujols going to go for in '11, 300-400MM? Get Real, NO ONE is worth that much."
Don't you think the people that spend every moment of their day studying baseball, and how players contribute to wins and runs, would know more about the value of a player than you do?
I think we can trust that ML front offices have a better idea of player value than any of us do.
And if they don't, then well, then that's just sad.
Posted by: scribbletone | December 29, 2008 at 11:45 AM
"Enjoy your high ticket prices CubbyFan."
Okay.
This is by far the worst of it.
Who was the moron who started the rumor that a salary cap would lower ticket prices?
WHO WAS IT?!?
If a salary cap is put into place, the costs of MLB to consumers won't change. What will change is how much of a profit the already extremely rich owners make.
Salary caps are simply wealth transfers from the players to the owners, and have no benefits to us at all as the fans/consumers.
Study up.
Posted by: scribbletone | December 29, 2008 at 11:47 AM
Gosser, read Baseball Between the Numbers. The "increasing ticket prices because of increasing payroll" theory is a myth.
Posted by: metsftw | December 29, 2008 at 11:52 AM
"Who was the moron who started the rumor that a salary cap would lower ticket prices?
WHO WAS IT?!?
If a salary cap is put into place, the costs of MLB to consumers won't change. What will change is how much of a profit the already extremely rich owners make.
Salary caps are simply wealth transfers from the players to the owners, and have no benefits to us at all as the fans/consumers.
Study up."
Scribble don't bother. Your words are like an island of rationality surrounded by an ocean of complete nonsense.
Posted by: miltie | December 29, 2008 at 11:58 AM
I could care less if the owners are making money hand over fist.
All I want is for the league to have competitive balance and for teams to be able to keep their stars.
I don't want to have to have a media guide to know who are the impact players on the Marlins this year.
I agree no cap or revenue sharing will drop the prices.
Only demand dropping off a cliff will do that.
Posted by: schellis | December 29, 2008 at 12:08 PM
"Who was the moron who started the rumor that a salary cap would lower ticket prices?
WHO WAS IT?!?
If a salary cap is put into place, the costs of MLB to consumers won't change. What will change is how much of a profit the already extremely rich owners make.
Salary caps are simply wealth transfers from the players to the owners, and have no benefits to us at all as the fans/consumers.
Study up."
Good point. Also, who's to say that superstars will be willing to stay in the MLB if their salary is capped and a team in Japan or some other country is willing to bring them on for some huge amount of money (a la David Becham). It just seems bad all around to cap salaries.
In regard to SpecialFNK's comments in regard to the Rays, the point is that they have to be smart with the small amount of money they have. Which means they need to have people in their front office that are able to work out extensions for young players or trade them. Look at the Marlins, they are by no means a top team, but their payroll couldn't be any lower and they looked like a real competitor last year and have been in the thick of things over the last several years. Minor league development, scouting,and smart trades are the key for small market teams. You can win with a low payroll, its just more difficult and requires more thought.
Posted by: cutmeibleedblue | December 29, 2008 at 12:08 PM
"All I want is for the league to have competitive balance and for teams to be able to keep their stars."
League contraction will solve that, which is probably a good idea anyway. The league will be out of balance as long as the local markets are unequal. Some of the markets are either not big enough to support a competitive ML team (ie KC) or are too saturated by other franchises(TB/FL). I think theres also a shortage of ML talent to support the current league size, specifically when it comes to starting pitchers. See Matt Hendrickson, toronto's 2-5, etc.
Posted by: ECT | December 29, 2008 at 12:12 PM
Without a salary cap Baseball will continue to fade as a sport and grow as a spectacle.
Posted by: Svengoolie | December 29, 2008 at 12:10 PM
I disagree, the reason that baseball has lost some of its luster is because of the length of the game. Selig has already started to speed things up, but I don't see how the amount of money that players make has anything to do with the popularity of the sport.
Posted by: cutmeibleedblue | December 29, 2008 at 12:13 PM
"All I want is for the league to have competitive balance and for teams to be able to keep their stars."
Salary cap will not make the teams be able to keep their stars any better really. The biggest problem with any argument that the league needs better balance no matter how obvious it may be after what the yankees just did is that MLB is actually in a period of great parity at the moment. The real reason that not much is going to happen is that everything is fine except the yankees and no major sport in their right mind is going to attempt to soley handcuff their biggest market.
Posted by: walkoffblast | December 29, 2008 at 12:14 PM
meant to say "length and speed of the game"
Posted by: cutmeibleedblue | December 29, 2008 at 12:15 PM
"I don't want to have to have a media guide to know who are the impact players on the Marlins this year."
You really don't need one. You just need to pay a small amount of attention. Ramirez, Hermida, Maybin, Uggla, Cantu, Bonifacio, Ross, Sanchez, Miller, Johnson, Volstad, Nolasco, Sanchez and Linstrom.
Posted by: scribbletone | December 29, 2008 at 12:17 PM
Fair enough, I wasn't proposing a salary cap though, sorry if it came off that way. I guess I'm just frustrated with the direction of baseball contracts.
Posted by: Gosser128 | December 29, 2008 at 12:20 PM
"You really don't need one. You just need to pay a small amount of attention. Ramirez, Hermida, Maybin, Uggla, Cantu, Bonifacio, Ross, Sanchez, Miller, Johnson, Volstad, Nolasco, Sanchez and Linstrom."
Right, and all for the lowest payroll in baseball. Less money than ARod made all by himself last year. And for a while they really looked like they were going to win the NL East. They were maybe one good pitcher away from making a real run at the postseason.
Posted by: cutmeibleedblue | December 29, 2008 at 12:21 PM
"I don't want to have to have a media guide to know who are the impact players on the Marlins this year."
If you don't know who Hanley Ramirez is, you really don't know much about baseball.
Posted by: melonis rex | December 29, 2008 at 12:24 PM
The Marlins were just a example because they change over their roster fairly frequently. I follow the game and know most of the non-impact talent
I want dynasties to be able to be constructed in any market.
Teams that draft and scout well shouldn't lose their talent after only a few years because their market won't allow them the cash needed to keep them around if they want to.
Best ran teams win, and can keep winning.
Its hard to maintain a fan base if after every excellent season you trade off all the talent and reload.
Posted by: schellis | December 29, 2008 at 12:34 PM
"
Says anyone with even a little common sense. All this is going to equate to is owners looking for other ways to increase revenue to pay these outlandish salaries, and where to you think the first place they're going to look is? My guess is at the ticket booth."
Obviously everyone else has said what I would, but raising player salaries does not really equate to raising ticket prices.
If a player can demand a certain contract and receive it, he is worth that contract. That's how free markets work. The market has been set, and so obviously the teams must think these players are valued appropriately because they are all virtually making profit, and they all keep handing out the same contracts. For anyone to say that a player is not worth X amount is foolish, if he is receiving that deal. Just because you think it's a lot to pay a baseball player doesn't mean it is.
Posted by: CubbyFan23 | December 29, 2008 at 12:34 PM
"Its hard to maintain a fan base if after every excellent season you trade off all the talent and reload."
You do have a point, but players like Ramirez and Uggla don't seem to be going anywhere. Roster changes happen to all teams and free agency helps teams too. It is well known that players seem to have career years in the final year of their contract. Such a performance could allow a team to reach the playoffs or win the world series. If things went back to the "old days" and teams owned players for their entire careers, there would be less motivation. It sounds sad, but nearly everything is driven by some sort of incentive and money seems to be one of the most persuasive and general incentives.
Posted by: cutmeibleedblue | December 29, 2008 at 12:39 PM
"Its hard to maintain a fan base if after every excellent season you trade off all the talent and reload."
Minnesota, Cleveland, Florida, San Diego (until last year), Oakland are all in pretty small markets and all have had reasonably small payrolls (though Cleveland and San Diego got a bit higher for a year or two) and all have had perhaps as much success as any team out there outside of the big two. They have won, and continue to win because they are well run. I believe this is what you want, no?
Posted by: CubbyFan23 | December 29, 2008 at 12:42 PM
I want the Twins to be able to keep Santana, without losing Morneau or Mauer, I want the Indians to be able to keep CC, I want Florida to be able to keep their stars without having said stars give a extremely team friendly contract to do so.
There are players that like where they are at and want to stay, but the team can't come close to what they are worth on the open market. I want teams to be able to make fair offers to these players without crippling the team.
I want Pujols to be a Cardinal for life, even though as a Reds fan that is very bad for me.
What I want is for every team to be able to be ran somewhat like the Red Sox.
Alot of their team was assembled by good trades and home grown. Because of their market they are able to keep their home grown talent and add to it.
I just don't want to see small/mid market teams having really one or two years to be good then have five years of rebuilding or more, even if they are very well ran.
Teams that are poorly ran are going to stink regardless of the system.
Posted by: schellis | December 29, 2008 at 12:55 PM
"I want the Twins to be able to keep Santana, without losing Morneau or Mauer, I want the Indians to be able to keep CC, I want Florida to be able to keep their stars without having said stars give a extremely team friendly contract to do so.
There are players that like where they are at and want to stay, but the team can't come close to what they are worth on the open market. I want teams to be able to make fair offers to these players without crippling the team.
I want Pujols to be a Cardinal for life, even though as a Reds fan that is very bad for me
"
But is that what all of those players want? Maybe Pujols is not happy with the cardinals anymore for whatever reason and wants to go to another team. It's really illogical to assume that a player will stay with a particular team for their entire career. Teams change, new holes are exposed and new needs are identified. Sure in a perfect world, a team like the Rays and Phillies (or you fill in the blank with whatever successful team from last year) would remain intact for as long as possible, but that is not the way that any professional sport works. Part of the fun of baseball or any other sport is the intelligence that is required to run a team and fill needs.
Schellis, you are describing a "baseball-utopia" or an idea that will never be realized. The point is that even teams like the BoSox need to be constantly exploring alternative opportunites to better their team, farm system, etc.
Posted by: cutmeibleedblue | December 29, 2008 at 01:03 PM
"I didn't say anything about popularity, I said that without a salary cap baseball would fade as a sport and grow as a spectacle. The possibility exists that the public would embrace a spectacle over a sport. More people watch American Idol than the Stanley Cup finals.... one is a spectacle and the other is a great sport.
In my humble opinion, baseball was once a great sport that saw talent, balance and loyalty. Today, if you aren't a fan of a New York, LA, Chicago, Boston team, you are either on the outside looking in or soon will be."
Sorry, I misunderstood what you were trying to say.
But, I'm not really sure what you mean by "on the outside looking in or soon will be."
Posted by: cutmeibleedblue | December 29, 2008 at 01:06 PM
"I want the Twins to be able to keep Santana, without losing Morneau or Mauer, I want the Indians to be able to keep CC, I want Florida to be able to keep their stars without having said stars give a extremely team friendly contract to do so."
Eh. We can't expect everyone to operate like Boston and New York, because to do so is out of the scope of reality. Everyone would need to operate with 150+M budgets, and that obviously is not going to happen. Mauer/Morneau/Santana would be hard for any team outside of Boston or New York to retain, that's not a Minnesota issue, it's an issue of having too good of players all hit the market at one time. The only way to solve that problem would be to elliminate free agency, which is not going to happen (obviously). Your scenario is a pipe dream, no offense of course, and isn't based in reality of anything baseball has seen in the last 20+ years. You'd have to go back to the dawn of free agency to have what you want.
Posted by: CubbyFan23 | December 29, 2008 at 01:07 PM
teams should have the option of matching their leaving free agent's best offers like restricted free agents in football
Posted by: yokedog22 | December 29, 2008 at 01:52 PM
I think if the revenue was shared and there was a high luxuary tax every team could have around a 100-150 million dollar payroll.
And yes I know its still up to the player if they want to stay or not, I just want the team to be able to make if happen if they do want to stay and the team wants them.
I want decisions to be based on baseball reasons and not economic ones, or at least not to the extreme that exist today.
I don't want players to be tied to a team or in a situation they don't want to be in, but I also don't want to see what happened with the Brewers this year either. CC wanted to stay, but nobody could blame him for basically taking a blank check from the Yankees either.
They have this in basketball and football to a extent so there is no reason why it can't be done in baseball.
Posted by: schellis | December 29, 2008 at 03:10 PM
And yes I would love for baseball to get rid of free agency but keep the draft.
Give players the right to ask for a trade after five years, and have yearly arbitration if they don't sign a multi-year deal.
Never going to happen though with the union. In fact massive change which needs to happen won't happen because of the union.
Posted by: schellis | December 29, 2008 at 03:12 PM
". . . if the momentum doesn't change we will soon have the Yankees, Mets, Red Sox, Cubs, Dodgers and Angels with $200 million payrolls . . . "
I don't see a problem with this. The price of nearly every commodity is positively correlated with with time (as one increases so does the other), why should baseball be any different. In regard to the NBA, I remember that the small market Raptors nearly knocked out the Celtics last year. That's just one small example.
Also, in regard to your earlier post that dealt with the abolition of free agency, I just don't see the equity. If you are unhappy with your job shouldn't you have the option to explore your options with other companies. Or if another company that is in the same type of business as your current company offers you a better job with a higher salary, wouldn't you at least consider it or ultimately take it? It just doesn't seem fair for a player to have to be stuck with one team for his entire career. I realize that you suggest that players could request a trade, but what if the team doesn't want to let them go? Then we have another "manny situation" where the player does not want to play for his current team and dogs it and destroys the clubhouse.
BTW, I bleed DODGER blue (actually a third generation Dodger fan and have been since I was a very little kid)!
Posted by: cutmeibleedblue | December 29, 2008 at 03:39 PM
Sorry svengoolie,
I confused you and schellis in that last post, it was a post that was a combination to both of you :)
Posted by: cutmeibleedblue | December 29, 2008 at 03:40 PM
Sven,
I have no idea of the actual numbers but I would assume that the labor costs for many large companies have skyrocketed in that same time period. Also, the salaries of CEO of major corporations. I have no idea in regard to the actual numbers as I am not an economist and am simply utilizing common sense and logic in this discussion.
Posted by: cutmeibleedblue | December 29, 2008 at 05:04 PM
I was kind of torn on a salary cap up until now. Like pretty much everybody, I'm disgusted with certain teams' abilities to simply buy their way out of any problem, even when the problem arises from them having bought themselves out of a previous problem. I don't like that they can throw bad contracts at mediocre players and the only penalty to them is that the next year they have to throw even more money around.
But then I saw one of Gosser's comments and I think it hit home for me. The comment was: "What's Pujols going to go for in '11, 300-400MM? Get Real, NO ONE is worth that much."
For starters, that's a strawman argument; you make something up that nobody has ever actually said and then argue against it to try to validate your point.
But let's pretend it's true. Let's even pretend it's true on your high end, to make sure things are as universally outrageous as possible. IE, Pujols is asking for $400MM. You say nobody is worth that much money. I say people are worth what somebody is willing to pay them.
Here's the bottom line: NOBODY IS ENTITLED to sign Albert Pujols, nor Tex, nor Sabathia. Nor for that matter is anybody entitled to employ you. The difference is that best chances are you're a fairly interchangable cog with no bargaining power, and these are people regarded by those who need to open up their wallets as the heads of their industry. The best people in an industry have ALWAYS been able to make whatever salary demands they want. Worst case scenario is nobody meets them and you either bring down your price or you get nothing.
I do think there's something wrong with the game when a team like the Marlins can have a payroll approximately 10 times lower than somebody like the Yankees. Then again, the Marlins have won two World Series' in the last 10-ish years. Maybe we're getting our underwear ruffled over nothing.
If we want to raise a stink, I think we should start on the opposite end of the spectrum: Let's start by lambasting and riding out of town the owners who simply refuse to ever spend any money; who think they can field respectable teams with laughable payrolls divided among players who will never get the job done. Teams like the Marlins, Rays and Athletics provide us good examples that you can field a good team without a zillion-dollar payroll, but you have to be both thrifty AND smart--not just thrifty. I think raising that lower end of the spectrum would do more good for competitive balance than punishing the Yankees.
Posted by: Jon B. | December 29, 2008 at 05:23 PM
Svengoolie - Comparison across industries isn't likely to be helpful. The more interesting comparison would be to see how player salaries are inflating compared to overall baseball revenues.
Unlike most industries, in baseball the players ARE the product and should always receive a sizable portion of that pie, even if the pie itself is expanding at ridiculous proportions.
Posted by: Jon B. | December 29, 2008 at 05:27 PM
Ironically there is the cry of collusion by players and agents...yet it is now the agents themselves who collude.
Can anyone honestly say that an agent representing multiple players does not influence just how those agents work the system to negotiate contracts?
Something which absolutely needs to be added to baseball, all sports really, is a complete non-disclosure rule. No disclosure of wages, revenue or anything. I have worked for companies where a person can be fired simply for discussing your compensation package with a co-worker.
By releasing player salary info into the wild I know it has made me less of a fan of the game. Money comes hard to us peons. Which makes how we spend it even more significant, when I see these cry-babies whine about being "disrespected" and needing to feel "appreciated" while they earn more in a single year than 99% of the people in the US will earn in a LIFETIME, I lose interest.
Keep the money info behind closed doors...then let the players earn our respect via effort on the field and the owners by providing a CLEAN and SAFE stadium as well as concession stands which do not require 3-innings in line to buy a $10 hot dog & $8 soda...
Posted by: grumpy3b | December 29, 2008 at 08:33 PM