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Reds Predictions From John Fay

John Fay has taken a unique approach to generating some more offseason predictions for this weekend. Rather than offer up ideas on what the Reds might do, Fay thinks he's more likely to be correct if he takes a few guesses at what they won't do.

  • The Reds will not acquire a veteran shortstop; Alex Gonzalez and Jeff Keppinger should be up to the task. If healthy, Gonzalez should start over Keppinger, says Fay.
  • Joey Votto will not be traded this offseason. Fay quotes Jocketty on this one; says the GM, "No chance."
  • Micah Owings will not play the outfield. He'll pitch, as he well should.
  • The Reds won't sign a veteran outfielder to a multi-year contract. If the Reds do sign such an outfielder, like Bobby Abreu, the deal will be for one-year. With the economy the way it is, such a deal may become increasingly more favorable to a player like Abreu.
  • As for Adam Dunn and Ken Griffey, Jr., however, neither player will suit up for the Reds in 2009. While both of these outfielders may also become amenable to a short-term contract given the current market, says Fay, "the Reds are set on moving beyond the Griffey-Dunn era."


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Comments

I'm really wondering where Dunn ends up...

Isn't it 3 months late for predictions?

I thinking bowden will crack and dunn will en up in D.C 3 years for 40 million.

Was there even any talk about Owings playing the outfield? I know the guy can hit but a position change in the majors that drastic seems crazy. Barring any Rick Ankiel type break down Owings should pitch for a while.

Reds' predictions?

You mean, like, by what date will they be mathematically eliminated in 2009?

Given Owings hitting talent, it would be a bad idea to have him play part time. Obviously he has the ability to pitch as a 4th starter, but why not better utilize his ability to hit as well?

As the fifth starter...which most people will say it is his job to lose in ST, he becomes a 26th man on the team because he is then the best pinch hitter coming off the bench 4 out of 5 days.

"Given Owings hitting talent, it would be a bad idea to have him play part time."
So are you telling me that Carlos Zambrano should be moved to the OF so he can bat every game? What the cubs have done with Zambrano is exactly what the Reds should do with Owings. Simple as that.

If a guy is good enough to pitch you don't change him to an outfielder. However, if your outfielders are below average, there is no problem with sticking a great athlete/hitter in the OF between starts.

"So are you telling me that Carlos Zambrano should be moved to the OF so he can bat every game? What the cubs have done with Zambrano is exactly what the Reds should do with Owings. Simple as that."

Yeah but Carlos Zambrano is a much better pitcher than Owings. If Owings can pitch to the level of a #4 starter, he can stay as a pitcher. If not, he should play the OF.

And Owings should DEFINITELY get ABs as a pinch-hitter in late innings in off days.

"So are you telling me that Carlos Zambrano should be moved to the OF so he can bat every game? What the cubs have done with Zambrano is exactly what the Reds should do with Owings. Simple as that."

Do you honestly think Z is even close to as athletic as Owings?

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