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Today I'm thinking Halladay will remain in Toronto.
Tomorrow I'll be convinced he's gone.
How many more days left of this?
Posted by: deeselig | July 15, 2009 at 09:41 AM
"Roy Halladay says the Blue Jays have a lot to look forward to, but he's not sure this is their year"
Sounds like he's saying "I don't want to be here anymore."
Posted by: icedrake523 | July 15, 2009 at 10:04 AM
Baseball can be a cruel game. Ask Eric Milton.
Posted by: BlueSky | July 15, 2009 at 10:11 AM
I think the writing is on the wall that Halladay will definitely be traded.
Posted by: Chris | July 15, 2009 at 10:13 AM
The Jays have a boatload of their starting pitching coming back next year. It might not be enough to win in that division but I think they're gonna take one last shot at competing with Doc next year.
Posted by: deeselig | July 15, 2009 at 10:18 AM
Baseball can be a cruel game. Ask Eric Milton.
Posted by: BlueSky | July 15, 2009 at 10:11 AM
Ummm, check Eric Milton bank account, baseball can be a great game. The guy never lived up to the hype but made MILLIONS without every posting quality back to back seasons
Posted by: EastCoastBias | July 15, 2009 at 10:26 AM
After looking at Pedro's stats the last 3 years, I'm not exactly quaking in my boots at the prospect of him pitching in Citizen's Bank Park. This isn't the move that is going to let the Phillies run away with the division.
Posted by: Ron Edwards | July 15, 2009 at 10:30 AM
Anthony Gargano on 610WIP in Philly was just saying a little bit ago that the Phillies are offering J.A. Happ, Kyle Drabek, Michael Taylor, and an unspecified mid-level prospect for Roy Halladay.
Posted by: yahmpy | July 15, 2009 at 10:37 AM
Anthony Gargano on 610WIP in Philly was just saying a little bit ago that the Phillies are offering J.A. Happ, Kyle Drabek, Michael Taylor, and an unspecified mid-level prospect for Roy Halladay.
Posted by: yahmpy | July 15, 2009 at 10:37 AM
Eric Milton was on the Dodgers? Damn...that went below my radar
Posted by: jza1218 | July 15, 2009 at 10:50 AM
Was this gargano report just speculation by his part or actual real reporting?
Posted by: Chris | July 15, 2009 at 10:57 AM
Anthony Gargano on 610WIP in Philly was just saying a little bit ago that the Phillies are offering J.A. Happ, Kyle Drabek, Michael Taylor, and an unspecified mid-level prospect for Roy Halladay.
Posted by: yahmpy | July 15, 2009 at 10:37 AM
I politely decline that offer if I am Riccardi. 74% of Happ's pitches are 89 MPH fastballs, he has a .242 BABIP average, 86% strand rate, and 4.51 FIP.
That, ladies and gentlemen, is a recipe for disaster in the AL East.
Posted by: carini26 | July 15, 2009 at 11:02 AM
Are you serious? Why in the world would you give up Happ and Drabek for Halladay? I am on board for getting the guy, but Happ has been AMAZING of late. Also being near to the Phils AA Club, I have seen Drabek pitch on multiple occastions and he should be MLB ready by next year! Also, Micahel Taylor seems to hit a homerun any time I am at a game, this kid is amazing! YES to Halladay, but not to all of the prospects that the gargano report is claiming...
Posted by: PhilsPhan331 | July 15, 2009 at 11:04 AM
Icedrake523,
You get "I don't want to be here anymore."
from
"Roy Halladay says the Blue Jays have a lot to look forward to, but he's not sure this is their year"
Really?
I would take it to be a statement about being 11 games behind the team about to take over the best record in the game, and in 4th overall in the division.
Posted by: SuzysMan | July 15, 2009 at 11:05 AM
"J.A. Happ, Kyle Drabek, Michael Taylor, and an unspecified mid-level prospect for Roy Halladay"
I think you have to consider it, it is what they are asking for - but I agree on Happ and would probably rather have Brown then Taylor.
Posted by: SuzysMan | July 15, 2009 at 11:17 AM
After looking at Pedro's stats the last 3 years, I'm not exactly quaking in my boots at the prospect of him pitching in Citizen's Bank Park. This isn't the move that is going to let the Phillies run away with the division.
Posted by: Ron Edwards | July 15, 2009 at 10:30 AM
ya but they're already running away with it. If they can win 3 of 4 to start the second half against the Marlins they'll build up a 6 game lead on all teams in their division and most of their hitters (Howard, Utley, Werth, Victorino) are notorious second half stars. Remember in the last 3 years they were down by some pretty large margins and made up serious ground on the mets in August and September. This year they won't have to do that and likely by the time Delgado and Reyes are healthy along with Beltran (who by his nature I expect to be EXTRA careful with his injury) the Phils will be too far away to catch.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | July 15, 2009 at 11:21 AM
Taylor has become a fan favorite already, there would be a bunch of bummed fans if he left. Send Brown, Carrasco, Knapp, and throw in cheesesteaks for life for Halladay. Although we do need Halladay now, if we are far enough ahead as philsWSchamps mentions, we can try for him in the offsesason when he is less expensive.
Posted by: PhilsPhan331 | July 15, 2009 at 11:31 AM
No, the phils won't be too far away to catch. If they get halladay maybe but this is a competitive division. They may me in first, but not by a very wide margin.
Posted by: WS2009 | July 15, 2009 at 11:32 AM
Taylor has become a fan favorite already, there would be a bunch of bummed fans if he left. Send Brown, Carrasco, Knapp, and throw in cheesesteaks for life for Halladay. Although we do need Halladay now, if we are far enough ahead as philsWSchamps mentions, we can try for him in the offsesason when he is less expensive.
Posted by: PhilsPhan331 | July 15, 2009 at 11:31 AM
Yes, let's not trade away prospects because they're fan favorites... in Reading, PA...
These "send Brown, Carrasco, Knapp" type trades are too funny.
This is a team that went 11-15 in June, got pummeled in interleague play, and guys like Moyer, Blanton, and Rodrigo Lopez pitching in their rotation.
Their rotation is so bad, they signed a 37 year old pitcher who gave up 19 homeruns in 100 innings last year... in a pitchers park.
Any proposal that does not include at least two of Drabek, Brown, or Taylor is not going to work. Period.
Posted by: carini26 | July 15, 2009 at 11:48 AM
oh and if Phils fans want to see the future check out Mr Taylor in the AA All Star Game tonight.
Oh and Dom Brown made his first rehab start for the GCL Phils going 3 for 3 with two triples. Look forward to him back at Clearwtaer or more appropriately Reading with Berry and Taylor.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | July 15, 2009 at 11:53 AM
carini,
nice. So you'll be watching Bucholz' start really closely friday?
IF he flops there can we then equate him to Ian Kennedy of the Yankees?
Posted by: philsWSchamps | July 15, 2009 at 12:00 PM
"Ummm, check Eric Milton bank account, baseball can be a great game."
If we did that, we wouldn't care about what happens to any ballplayer. They all make bigger bucks than most of us can imagine. The point is, the guy was finally coming back from arm surgery, and pitching like he could stay, then had his back blow out. That's a tough break no matter how you evaluate his bank account.
Posted by: BlueSky | July 15, 2009 at 12:15 PM
carini,
nice. So you'll be watching Bucholz' start really closely friday?
IF he flops there can we then equate him to Ian Kennedy of the Yankees?
Posted by: philsWSchamps | July 15, 2009 at 12:00 PM
Yes, since you're the one who likes to make knee jerk conclusions after one game (i.e. Brown went 3 for 3 in the Gulf Coast League against 17 year olds!!! woooo hooo!!!)... you can make whatever assessment of Buchholz you want after 1 start.
The way I look at it, Buchholz can't pitch much worse than Hamels did a few starts ago against the Jays.
Posted by: carini26 | July 15, 2009 at 12:19 PM
J.A Happ projects as an average regular with a 70% chance of reaching his potential as a number #4 starter. (Derick McKamey 2009 minor league baseball analyst)
So basically he has had a hot start and the Phils are shopping him while his value is high.
No thanks if I am JP ...
I think the Phils crush it in that deal. Its not bad but its a starting offer.
I will be interested to see what other teams step up... Dodgers have to though i bet they low ball with 6 prospects of AA ball or lower ... kind of like "hey take 6 of our C+ prospects and maybe one will turn into a league average player "
Posted by: cortez101 | July 15, 2009 at 12:35 PM
carini,
haha. exactly where did I say his GCL game was meaningful? The only meaningful thing about it was that he was back from injury. it was BA (not me) that has Brown pegged as the 17th best prospect in all of MILB. Complain to them. Oh and while you're at it ask them how Lars Anderson's doing. Oh yeah that's right he had a bad back. I forgot.
And ya Hamels has been bad lately but he got us a ring last year pitching well over his +30 innings so who am I to complain. If we don't win this year I'm fine with that as long as we win in the next several years with a base of what we have that is admittedly aging and Taylor, Brown, Drabek, Knapp et al for the future that will replace the stars of our current team.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | July 15, 2009 at 12:50 PM
"If we did that, we wouldn't care about what happens to any ballplayer. They all make bigger bucks than most of us can imagine. The point is, the guy was finally coming back from arm surgery, and pitching like he could stay, then had his back blow out. That's a tough break no matter how you evaluate his bank account."
You do realize Milton averaged 170 IP from 1999 to 2006, right? (and that is while missing almost all of 2003) How is it such a tough break that he has an injury after 1582 ML innings pitched? It was a lucky break that he even got back to a ML roster anyway, especially with his 1.521 WHIP despite a .375 BAbip indicating he probably doesnt deserve to be in the Majors now anyway.
Posted by: SuzysMan | July 15, 2009 at 12:53 PM
carini,
haha. exactly where did I say his GCL game was meaningful? The only meaningful thing about it was that he was back from injury. it was BA (not me) that has Brown pegged as the 17th best prospect in all of MILB. Complain to them. Oh and while you're at it ask them how Lars Anderson's doing. Oh yeah that's right he had a bad back. I forgot.
And ya Hamels has been bad lately but he got us a ring last year pitching well over his +30 innings so who am I to complain. If we don't win this year I'm fine with that as long as we win in the next several years with a base of what we have that is admittedly aging and Taylor, Brown, Drabek, Knapp et al for the future that will replace the stars of our current team.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | July 15, 2009 at 12:50 PM
It's not meaningful. At all. That's my point. You shouldn't bring up what a 21 year old does in a GCL game.
I'm not complaining to BA, I'm complaining to you... someone spewing out stats from a rehab game in the GCL league.
Lars is fine, hitting .315 since June 1 and he's still not 100%. He's younger than Brown and playing in a higher, tougher league.
But beyond Lars, there's Buchholz, Kelly, Reddick, Rizzo, Tazawa, Navarro, FedEx, Kalish, and Pimentel who have all outperformed their expectations this year.
To single out one guy who was injured shows you're reaching. I could easily do the same and ask how all of your soon-to-be ML talent is doing (Marson, Donald, Carrasco)?
Posted by: carini26 | July 15, 2009 at 01:24 PM
I'm not sure I'd call coming back from arm trouble a "lucky break." We'd normally call that a great baseball story. Oh well, I guess in Milton's case it isn't for some mysterious reason. Probably because he made too much money and pitched too much already. Or something like that.
Posted by: BlueSky | July 15, 2009 at 01:25 PM
Phils.... you are deluding yourself...
there is no way to go back in time and correct a mistake..
eg - yankees refusing to deal Hughes, Kennedy for Santana. Think both sides would do that deal now ?
When your team is built to win you take the ring and go with it.. Drabek, Taylor etc can all be replaced.. if you trust your scouting staff to give accurate reports and target the right players the Phillies should be ok even if they trade the farm. I mean the team would be positioned to challenge for a WS this year and next at the very least.
Don't overrate prospects... especially your own.
I think the Phils will get Doc .. they seem willing to part with the prospects its just a question of who else puts in legit offers (unlike the White Sox and Cards) thus raising the stakes..
Angels really, really need an arm... Dodgers as well...
Posted by: cortez101 | July 15, 2009 at 01:32 PM
“I'm not sure I'd call coming back from arm trouble a "lucky break." We'd normally call that a great baseball story. Oh well, I guess in Milton's case it isn't for some mysterious reason. Probably because he made too much money and pitched too much already. Or something like that.”
I was saying it is a lucky break he got another chance period, he was done long ago. And a lucky break he actually had any chance of staying in the majors considering his results (and I typo’ed in my wording but meant even with a high BAbip – normalized his WHIP is still in the 1.3+ range). Maybe you consider it a great story that a guy wasn’t very good, got hurt, caught a lucky break chance to come back, still wasn’t very good and got hurt again. I just call it dime a dozen story in the Major Leagues which we see many times over every single season.
A true great story on the other hand, would be Andrew Jones. A player basically playing as well as any other time in his career after being told to just go away by his previous club. A great story would be a pitcher who was told three seasons prior “you will never be a Major League closer” becoming one of the best closers in the first half of his first season taking over for a sure-fire Hall of Famer. A great story would be Jason Marquis being selected to the AS game after the harassment he received for not producing for his previous club.
Posted by: SuzysMan | July 15, 2009 at 02:12 PM
I still don't understand the reasoning. You find them where you want to, I'll find them where I want to.
Posted by: BlueSky | July 15, 2009 at 02:38 PM
carini,
listen to yourself.
"He's still not 100%". Really are you on the Red Sox AA training staff? How do you know his intimiate health details???
My only point was Brown is back healthy now end of story. We'll see who ends up better although Brown plays a more important position (OF vs 1B).
Oh and you do realize he's 22 DAYS YOUNGER THAN BROWN RIGHT?
two thirds of Anderson's hits are singles while over 60% of Brown's hits are XBH. Plus Brown has lightning speed and a great arm.
Listen' i'm not interested in getting into a pissing match with you.
OH and marsons' been doing much better since June as well. You don't see me touting him as anything more than a throw in to the Halladay trade.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | July 15, 2009 at 03:18 PM
"He's still not 100%". Really are you on the Red Sox AA training staff? How do you know his intimiate health details???"
No, I read from reputable reporters following the Seadogs. Crazy, right?
I am not going to get into a pissing match with a guy who compares what someone does a High A with someone who is injured and playing in a superior pitching league like the EL.
Of course Marson is doing well... you're a Philly homer. Marson is Vmart, Donald is Hanley, Carrasco is King Felix.
It's just no one knows it yet. Except you.
Posted by: carini26 | July 15, 2009 at 03:27 PM
"Lars is fine, hitting .315 since June 1 and he's still not 100%. He's younger than Brown and playing in a higher, tougher league."
Okay, great. But Lars Anderson can't play anything else but first base, while Dominic Brown projects to be a solid defender in center or a plus defender in right, not to mention that Brown is much faster.
Considering the positions that they play, and how dependent on offense Anderson is to succeed in the majors, I would at least consider Brown to be an equal prospect to Anderson.
It's not like Anderson did way better than Brown in High A when he was there at a similar age.
And by the way, Brown is 22 days younger.
Sorry, but Brown is all of the stud that Lars is.
Posted by: scribbletone | July 15, 2009 at 03:35 PM
carini,
sounds like you're pissing right along with me, LOL.
Marson is actually (and i've said this before) a good OBP guy but won't seemingly hit for any power but again is very young for his league. I'm fine with a catcher as long as he's solid defensively and has a high OBP hitting 8th in our lineup. He'd be an improvement over Ruiz offensively although isn't close to him defensively yet although he just turned 23 in AAA and had a Sept callup last year.
Donald is nothing more than a utility player. he's got no set position. He's got little if any value.
Carrasco is decent but while we believed him to be a 3 possibly a 2 last year he's probably a 3 at best but again he's very young too.
See I don't overvalue my teams prospects as much as you think I do.
Now Michael taylor, him I overvalue admittedly. While he's a bit older I think he can be very very good. Its hard not to overvalue a triple crown candidate.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | July 15, 2009 at 03:57 PM
alright my bad. Typo. Marson isn't that young for his league although again he won't develop IMO into much more than a solid avg guy and a high OBP guy. If he does that then he'll be fine as long as he develops his glove a bit better to eventually replace Ruiz when he goes FA.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | July 15, 2009 at 04:00 PM
Okay, great. But Lars Anderson can't play anything else but first base, while Dominic Brown projects to be a solid defender in center or a plus defender in right, not to mention that Brown is much faster.
Considering the positions that they play, and how dependent on offense Anderson is to succeed in the majors, I would at least consider Brown to be an equal prospect to Anderson.
It's not like Anderson did way better than Brown in High A when he was there at a similar age.
And by the way, Brown is 22 days younger.
Sorry, but Brown is all of the stud that Lars is.
Posted by: scribbletone | July 15, 2009 at 03:35 PM
I never said Lars is head and shoulders better than Brown... I was simply stating it's unfair to judge an injured 21 year old kid who has "can't let this guy beat us" labeled on his back when playing the opposition in what is widely known as perhaps the best pitching league in the minors.
Now, call me biased, but I do think Josh Reddick is every bit as good as Brown or Taylor... and I would be interested to hear why I shouldn't think so based on performance.
Posted by: carini26 | July 15, 2009 at 05:09 PM
Now, call me biased, but I do think Josh Reddick is every bit as good as Brown or Taylor... and I would be interested to hear why I shouldn't think so based on performance.
Sorry, meant to say based on performance, defense, and age curve...
Posted by: carini26 | July 15, 2009 at 05:12 PM
Carini26-
I agree that Josh Reddick is probably a bit underrated given his track record so far, but Dominic Brown was always regarded as an elite athlete who could fit the Adam Jones mold if he ever figured it out at the plate and in center.
All accounts are that he's making major strides in doing this, and while Reddick is also a good CF prospect, his raw tools and upside can't quite match Brown.
And Taylor is a whole different animal, more of a middle of the order slugger with 30-40 HR upside that could play a plus right field.
They're both better than Reddick based on sheer upside, and each had shown major development in the past year.
Reddick is great but just not quite on their level.
Posted by: scribbletone | July 15, 2009 at 05:57 PM
I agree that Josh Reddick is probably a bit underrated given his track record so far, but Dominic Brown was always regarded as an elite athlete who could fit the Adam Jones mold if he ever figured it out at the plate and in center.
All accounts are that he's making major strides in doing this, and while Reddick is also a good CF prospect, his raw tools and upside can't quite match Brown.
And Taylor is a whole different animal, more of a middle of the order slugger with 30-40 HR upside that could play a plus right field.
They're both better than Reddick based on sheer upside, and each had shown major development in the past year.
Reddick is great but just not quite on their level.
Posted by: scribbletone | July 15, 2009 at 05:57 PM
Ok, but that's exactly what Reddick projects to be at this point: an outstanding CF/RF defender (excellent range, "80" arm) who has "middle of the order" 35-40+ HR potential.
Other than speed, where Reddick grades as a 50 on the 20-80 scale... why does he have a limited ceiling compared to Brown or Taylor?
He's 6'2" 185 lbs (could stand to add a few more lbs of muscle), has hit 35 HRs over the last 159 games in A+/AA... improved his K and BB rates... all at the age of 21 and 22.
Again, what clear evidence is there to suggest his ceiling isn't any bit as high as the others?
Outside of speed on the basebaths?
Posted by: carini26 | July 15, 2009 at 06:25 PM
carini,
alright i'm done being antagonistic towards you and the Sox. Reddick looks pretty good but was he injured in May?
Also what's with the low RBI totals? no decent players around him that get on base for him to drive in?
As for Taylor (who IMO will be better than Brown) he's already at those numbers and while speed isn't everything, he's 6'6 250 and has stolen 18 bases already. that's off the charts.
plus his OBP is higher as well as his SLG and OPS. He's regularly sat at around a 1.000 OPS all year long. Yes he's a bit older but he also had to spend almost a year older but as i've said before I'm fine if he comes up when he's 26 and plays 7 years on the Phils and goes FA to somewhere (maybe boston??) when he's 33 and on the downside. To me he's the entire package with no disrespect to Reddick or Anderson.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | July 15, 2009 at 08:50 PM
alright that made no sense.
I meant:
plus his OBP is higher as well as his SLG and OPS. He's regularly sat at around a 1.000 OPS all year long. Yes he's a bit older but he also had to spend almost a year older but "HE ALSO HAD TO SPEND A YEAR GETTING RID OF THE STANFORD SWING AND" as i've said before I'm fine if he comes up when he's 26 and plays 7 years on the Phils and goes FA to somewhere (maybe boston??) when he's 33 and on the downside. To me he's the entire package with no disrespect to Reddick or Anderson.
that's what i get for trying to re-read my posts to make sure they make sense.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | July 15, 2009 at 08:52 PM
philsWSchamps -
Reddick's RBI numbers are low because the Sox brass has him batting leadoff. Not because they see him as a future leadoff guy, but because they want to get him as many at bats as possible. Something like 10 of his 12 HRs have been solo shots.
He missed over a month with an oblique injury. Came back in mid June.
The knock on Reddick prior to this year was his plate discipline...
He tried hard at the end of '08, but with mixed results and finished with a tough line of .214/.290/.436 in a small 34 game sample size.
It's been a different story this year, as just about every meaningful statistic has improved (K%, BB%, FB%, and GB%)... he was already a plus defender... so now he's projecting to become a very good everyday player.
He does have some speed, but nothing compared to either Taylor or Brown.
I am not sitting here claiming Reddick is better than either, I am simply making the point that Reddick has at least shown, at age 22 in AA, that he's a legit prospect who may have leapfrogged Anderson as the best positional prospect in the system.
Posted by: carini26 | July 15, 2009 at 09:16 PM
carini,
I can understand that then in regards to his low RBI totals. If i was a fan i'd want to see him prove it another year (something a lot of Phils fans said about Taylor last year after he raked in High A ball. Taylor, like last year struggled a bit off the bat in AA but ever since has been lights out. Most of us Phils fans wanted him in AAA already but the organization has a way with most of our prospects that they have to force their way to a promotion as opposed to doing it based upon age. At some times it annoying, but it seems to work more often than not.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | July 16, 2009 at 07:11 AM