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« Discussion: Pedro Martinez | Main | Odds & Ends: Cubs, Byrnes, Orioles »
32-year-old outfielder Marlon Byrd makes for an interesting free agent case. He set career highs with 599 plate appearances, 20 home runs, and 89 RBIs this year. On the other hand, his .329 OBP and 5.3% walk rate fell short of his 2008 marks.
Byrd played all three outfield positions, as usual. He logged the majority of his innings in center field. His defense in center ranked as a slight negative according to UZR/150; it was a positive in previous years. John Dewan's plus-minus system also saw Byrd as a slight negative in center.
If Byrd is treated as a corner outfielder, he's not especially interesting. But the free agent market for center fielders is weak, with Mike Cameron and Coco Crisp the other palatable starting options. Byrd might be in a position to ask for $5MM+ annually for two or three years (he earned $3.06MM in '09). The Royals, Cubs, Brewers, and Padres might be in the market for a center fielder, though the Cubs will presumably seek a left-handed bat if they trade Milton Bradley. It may be a moot point, as the Rangers hope to re-sign Byrd. At the least, they should offer arbitration to the probable Type B free agent.
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I hope the Yanks sign him to play RF with Swish moving to LF.
Posted by: maximumpotential | October 28, 2009 at 09:40 AM
Brewers written allover Byrd. Let Cameron walk and sign Byrd to man CF.. a lineup like this is possible:
ESCOBAR -ss
WEEKS - 2b
BRAUN -lf
FIELDER -1b
MCGEHEE -3b
BYRD -cf
MOLINA -c
HART/GAMEL -rf
Posted by: andre14 | October 28, 2009 at 09:52 AM
Boston should try to get him as their 4'th OFer/Drew insurance.
Posted by: overmind | October 28, 2009 at 10:05 AM
Hmm...Byrd in Yankee pinstripes...Only if he's cheap, though. We all know what happened the last time a player had a good year in Texas (Gary Matthews, Jr., anybody?)
IF the Yankees picked him up, I wouldn't want it to be more than 3 years/$18MM with a 4th year club option at $8MM.
Posted by: BomberMan26 | October 28, 2009 at 10:06 AM
CoCo to White Sox.
OF Pods/Kotsay - LF
CoCo - CF - Rois- RF
Carlos - DH. KW make it work.
Posted by: rockford | October 28, 2009 at 10:21 AM
Anyone ever noticed how marginal players have career offensive seasons in Texas, then sign big free agent deals elsewhere and never come anywhere close to those numbers again?
So, yeah...as a Braves fan, I would LOVE it if the Yankees or Red Sox or, even better, the Mets signed Byrd to a lucrative FA deal.
Posted by: parrothead8 | October 28, 2009 at 10:23 AM
Gary Matthews Jr. is a different case. Byrd has been consistent every year with the Rangers, though to expect the same performance he gave the last 3 years, the next 3 years would be foolish. He is 32 and will likely be on the decline for whichever team signs him.
Posted by: NothinG | October 28, 2009 at 10:24 AM
I agree with Parrotthead, Byrd is a product of the Texas stadium.
He hit 14 homeruns at home compared to 6 on the road.
I would stay away from him at the price that he is asking for.
Posted by: Hellion | October 28, 2009 at 10:47 AM
Byrd does make an interesting option in centerfield. I think teams with small outfields could do a lot worse. There should be choices out there to start...at least on a one year contract. Texas should offer arbitration because they will get a second rounder (possibly) and they have a glut of outfield talent at the time being...and need to not pay this fourth outfielder, a starting centerfielder's pay to keep him in the fold. He deserves a chance out there, after all, Texas' strongest position may be centerfield, with Julio Borbon there, and a superstar power hitter who also plays a mean outfield.
Posted by: HeadFirstSlide | October 28, 2009 at 10:50 AM
"Boston should try to get him as their 4'th OFer/Drew insurance."
He'll probably be awfully pricey for that role, and the Sox would be better off trying to add an outfielder that plays a good center field, so they have a legitimate defensive replacement for Ellsbury.
Byrd should make for a solid stopgap for someone. He's shown solid plate discipline and decent power, albeit in different seasons. The power is mostly a creation of playing in Texas, but he's more of a .100-.130 ISO hitter than the .152-.194 ISO hitter he's been the past three seasons in Texas.
My biggest question with Byrd is his plate discipline. In 2009, he swung at less pitches out of the strike zone, more pitches in the strike zone, and more pitches overall, but his contact rates dropped in each of those categories by a substantial amount. Few players go from a 50.3% Swing% and 82.9% contact rate to a 51.5% Swing% and 79.8% contact rate, so there was clearly a change in his approach in 2009, one that yielded more power, but less contact.
While he's no longer a plus defensively in center, he's playable there and he's above-average on the corners as well.
I wouldn't give him much more than what Juan Rivera got, but some team looking for an outfielder could get a solid all-around player, though I wouldn't give him much more than 2/12 or so.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 28, 2009 at 11:10 AM
Ellsbury a defensive liability, thats good. Probably just watch a couple games a year, and Ellsbury had a bad day. I can undersatnd that.
Posted by: Cyyoung | October 28, 2009 at 11:58 AM
"Ellsbury a defensive liability, thats good. Probably just watch a couple games a year, and Ellsbury had a bad day. I can undersatnd that."
Ellsbury has great speed, but his instincts in center aren't particularly good, and while he can make up for that occasionally with his speed, leading to some pretty brilliant catches as well, overall he doesn't get to as many balls as he should given his tools.
Ellsbury has a career UZR/150 of -7.9 in center, and his 71 OOZ and .894 RZR are both underwhelming for the position.
I never said that he was a liability, but he's clearly below-average, and the Red Sox could use a fourth outfielder like they had in Crisp, one that can come in and play a really good center field, because they don't have that kind of player on their roster right now.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 28, 2009 at 02:33 PM
Marlon Byrd could be a pretty useful player for the right price. I'm curious how much he plans on asking for in free agency. If he asks for $3MM a year he could easily be worth his salary.
Posted by: recca | October 28, 2009 at 08:35 PM