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9:01pm: The Chicago Tribune's Paul Sullivan is reporting that Toronto "wants no part of Milton Bradley." Meanwhile, Cubs GM Jim Hendry said that Chicago hasn't given up on Bradley, according to MLB.com's Scott Merkin. Of course, Hendry has to say that until the moment Bradley is traded.
5:55pm: A very interesting idea is being reported by Ken Rosenthal: a three-way deal, with Milton Bradley going to the Blue Jays, Luis Castillo to the Cubs, and Lyle Overbay to the Mets. Rosenthal said "The teams indeed have discussed the framework of such a deal, though not in direct fashion, according to major-league sources."
Breaking it down, the trade makes the most sense for the Mets, who would clear second base for long-coveted Orlando Hudson, a free agent. Overbay has also mashed righties for his entire career - .847 OPS career, .905 in 2009 - and could be paired with Daniel Murphy or Nick Evans for a high-reward platoon.
Castillo does block the movement of Ryan Theriot to second base when Starlin Castro arrives, but adding Castillo's on-base percentage would be a boon to the top of Chicago's lineup.
As for the Blue Jays, the deal would open up first base for Adam Lind, with Bradley slotting in as designated hitter. The question is: Overbay slugged .466 in 2009, while Bradley slugged just .397 - so is this an upgrade?
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Bradley has an excellent OBP, and betting on him bouncing back power-wise isn't so far-fetched.
Posted by: nut bunnies | November 09, 2009 at 05:59 PM
I feel it. This one is going to happen for real.
Posted by: FishRock | November 09, 2009 at 05:59 PM
This would really work for the Mets. They get what they want - a 1B under contract for 1 year, and at a reasonable price. And they get rid of Castillo without paying part of his contract.
Posted by: Baseball Nut | November 09, 2009 at 06:00 PM
I dont mind it at all, and when the whole Bradley thing first started taking place I speculated that Toronto and Seattle might be the best bets for him to land - so it fits into the limited number of teams that would be willing to give him a try in my mind.
Posted by: SuzysMan | November 09, 2009 at 06:01 PM
This doesn't make much sense for the Jays though who don't seem to be adding payroll and giving up a 360 wOBA at 7 mill for Bradley at 2/20 (and doesnt he have an easily attainable option for a 4th year to the contract?). There has to be some cash going from us to the Jays for this to happen
Posted by: metsknicksrutgers | November 09, 2009 at 06:02 PM
Terrible deal for the Jays, the whole point of getting rid of Overbay and moving Lind to first base is so they can put Randy Ruiz in the DH spot
Posted by: Airp0w | November 09, 2009 at 06:04 PM
Someone give us the contracts for each of these 3 players to fully anailyze this. It doesn't seem bad..
Posted by: Darion | November 09, 2009 at 06:04 PM
This really does make most sense. I don't like Bradley as a DH though. Maybe Snider as the DH and Bradley in a corner?
Posted by: humannature | November 09, 2009 at 06:04 PM
Would the Cubs be paying part of Bradley's salary? I can't imagine the Jays are thrilled about taking on an extra $3MM this season and $10MM for 2011...
Posted by: MorneauVP | November 09, 2009 at 06:05 PM
Make it happen OMAR!!
Posted by: PhukdaPhils | November 09, 2009 at 06:06 PM
Darion:
Bradley has $20MM over the next two seasons left.
Castillo has $12MM over the next two seasons left.
Overbay is a free agent after he makes $7MM in 2010.
Posted by: MorneauVP | November 09, 2009 at 06:06 PM
I don't get why Overbay, a good player on a decent one year deal is being discussed with these bad contracts.
The Cubs are going to have to eat most of the contract and add another player, maybe Sean Marshall to make the deal attractive.
Posted by: Grant77 | November 09, 2009 at 06:06 PM
Darion,
Overbay is owed 7M for 2010.
Bradley is owed 9M for 2010 and 12 M for 2011.
Castillo is owed 6M for 2010 and 6M 2011.
Posted by: ReyOrdonezRevival | November 09, 2009 at 06:07 PM
bradley has a vesting option for the third year of his deal which has already vested based on games played in right field, giving him the 2 years and 20MM left...
Posted by: rootman1010 | November 09, 2009 at 06:08 PM
That Bradley contract is terrible. Why would the Jays ever ever do this? The article specifically states that AA is opposed to this deal. This isn't happening.
Posted by: Jays24 | November 09, 2009 at 06:10 PM
As a Cubs fan, I would like to say HELL NO!
Castillo is a DECENT leadoff hitter, and he can steal 20 bases in a good year. Still, he's gonna be a .280 hitter with 15 SB and no HR, probably. 8 HR in 4 years combined? PASS. His defense is TERRIBLE (below Dan Uggla in UZR and WELL below Fontenot or Baker).
The Cubs shed a bit of cap (if there's no cash they send out with Bradley), but Baker will have a similar AVG, and the OPS favors Baker.
I wouldn't want to trade someone like Bradley that could hit .270 with 30 HR to get a THIRD average at best 2B.
Posted by: cubs223425 | November 09, 2009 at 06:10 PM
"The three-team possibility, according to one source, has "some legs, but not much." The Jays are opposed to the deal, one source says — perhaps because new GM Alex Anthopolous does not want a trade for Bradley to be his first major move."
--Seems like an pretty large obstacle to overcome here, no?
Posted by: deeselig | November 09, 2009 at 06:11 PM
The Jays need more. Overbay does not have a bad contract, it is very reasonable.
Posted by: Twins777 | November 09, 2009 at 06:13 PM
"
I don't get why Overbay, a good player on a decent one year deal is being discussed with these bad contracts.
The Cubs are going to have to eat most of the contract and add another player, maybe Sean Marshall to make the deal attractive.
Posted by: Grant77 | November 09, 2009 at 06:06 PM"
Because hitting .265 with 16 HR and 64 RBI really isn't good. Bradley hit .257 with 12 HR and 40 RBI in possibly his worst year EVER (and he played hurt for a while). He's in this because he's a player of similar shithole value.
Posted by: cubs223425 | November 09, 2009 at 06:14 PM
As a Cubs fan, I would like to say HELL NO!
Posted by: cubs223425 | November 09, 2009 at 06:10 PM
So you'd rather spend $20M on Milton Bradley the next 2 seasons than $12M on Luis Castillo the next 2 seasons?
For all the crap Castillo takes, he's never been a clubhouse cancer.
Posted by: icedrake523 | November 09, 2009 at 06:14 PM
No matter what most of you people think, the Bradley contract will not be that hard to move. While it is a bit above market value, if Bradley posts a season (or two) between the Texas season and the Cubs season, he's well worth the money.
I foresee him going somewhere like Tampa or back to Texas. I really dont think the Cubs will have to eat the majority of the contract.
And I actually look for the Cubs to get a useful player out of this.
Posted by: Outdors21 | November 09, 2009 at 06:18 PM
I don't know if I believe this rumor. I find it hard to believe that AA would make Milton Bradley his first move in Toronto. Aside from the character issues, the team has iron gloves like Travis Snider and Adam Lind willing to DH or switching positions if need be. It would limit their flexibility in that regard. I would be fascinated to see how Cito Gaston would deal with him, though.
As a Mets fan, I'd take on Overbay. He's a fairly decent player that would work very well in a platoon situation, and would allow the Mets to finally obtain Orlando Hudson, whether or not that's a good thing.
Posted by: MattyMets | November 09, 2009 at 06:19 PM
Oh man, poor Cubs.
Posted by: overmind | November 09, 2009 at 06:19 PM
I wouldn't want to trade someone like Bradley that could hit .270 with 30 HR to get a THIRD average at best 2B.
When did Bradley ever come close to 30 HR.
Posted by: cubbyrick | November 09, 2009 at 06:20 PM
It does seem that the Cubs would have to kick in some money to make it happen. They'd be taking back $12 million in Castillo so the difference between that and Bradley would be $9 million (?) I think. The Cubs could kick in half of that to Toronto meaning that the Jays would get two years of Bradley for approximately $9 million if my maths is correct ($21 owed to Bradley -$4.5 million possible Cubs money -$7.5 million owed for one year of Overbay).
The Mets would be freeing up money presumably, ($12 million owed to Castillo -7.5 million (?) for one year of Overbay) so perhaps they would kick in as well though they'd be getting one less player year.
The stumbling block obviously is the Jays. Would they be willing to add Bradley? The players all seem to be good fits as far as team needs though I can't fault Anthopolous for being cautious regarding Bradley.
Posted by: pageian | November 09, 2009 at 06:23 PM
"I wouldn't want to trade someone like Bradley that could hit .270 with 30 HR to get a THIRD average at best 2B.
When did Bradley ever come close to 30 HR.
Posted by: cubbyrick | November 09, 2009 at 06:20 PM"
Typo. I meant 20, lol.
Posted by: cubs223425 | November 09, 2009 at 06:23 PM
"Because hitting .265 with 16 HR and 64 RBI really isn't good. Bradley hit .257 with 12 HR and 40 RBI in possibly his worst year EVER (and he played hurt for a while). He's in this because he's a player of similar shithole value."
This is one of the worst posts I've ever read on MLBTR. Do you believe that a pitcher is defined by how many wins he gets, too?
Posted by: Jays24 | November 09, 2009 at 06:25 PM
"This doesn't make much sense for the Jays though who don't seem to be adding payroll and giving up a 360 wOBA at 7 mill for Bradley at 2/20 (and doesnt he have an easily attainable option for a 4th year to the contract?). There has to be some cash going from us to the Jays for this to happen"
No, the easily attainable option was for the third year which I think kicked in at 75 games played in 2009. There is no fourth year associated with Bradley's contract.
Posted by: pageian | November 09, 2009 at 06:25 PM
"So you'd rather spend $20M on Milton Bradley the next 2 seasons than $12M on Luis Castillo the next 2 seasons?
For all the crap Castillo takes, he's never been a clubhouse cancer.
Posted by: icedrake523 | November 09, 2009 at 06:14 PM"
Yes. At least Bradley has been good at some point in the last few seasons. Castillo is nowhere near filling a need. I would take Baker over him for sure, and Fontenot at $500K or so is better than Castillo being a $6 million backup.
Posted by: cubs223425 | November 09, 2009 at 06:26 PM
People have to be off their rocker to believe this will go down. If it does the Jays have lost their minds. Overbay has positive value! The guy is not that bad. Trading him for Snyder and cash at least makes some sense. Getting Milton and taking on more money for a guy that can actually net you something would be unforgivable!
Posted by: joemorgan=#1 | November 09, 2009 at 06:26 PM
I foresee him going somewhere like Tampa
Posted by: Outdors21 | November 09, 2009 at 06:18 PM
they already have a huge contract with Burrell, they would never take in Bradley unless the cubs eat 2/3 of his contract. they picked up Crawford's option today, so outfield isn't a need. they have Ben Z and Matty Joyce ready to take the job in right field.
Posted by: humannature | November 09, 2009 at 06:28 PM
The teams have discussed the framework of a deal. The frame being that of a twice wrecked pinto.
If there are no legs to it, why bother reporting by Rosenthal. And if it's been discussed, but not in a 'direct fashion', what the heck does that mean? How does one discuss something indirectly?
Me and my brother worked out the framework of this message i'm currently typing. I'll tell you upfront there's no real credence to it. But we did it indirectly, meaning he doesn't know that i included his name or anything i typed, and we really didn't firm out the details.
Grain of salt.
Posted by: cadagan | November 09, 2009 at 06:29 PM
"I would be fascinated to see how Cito Gaston would deal with him, though."
Cito Gaston is no longer manager of the Blue Jays, he stepped down.
Posted by: pageian | November 09, 2009 at 06:30 PM
"So you'd rather spend $20M on Milton Bradley the next 2 seasons than $12M on Luis Castillo the next 2 seasons?"
He's a poor fielder with a pretty weak bat and injury concerns at a position most Cubs fans wanted something better. I can understand the frustration.
But some of my fellow Cubs fans also dont seem to get that the Cubs are pretty much forced to trade him now at a time where his value cant get any lower. Our stance really has to be one of "whats the best of the worst we can get" right now, and Castillo is better then some of the many other options being tossed around. If this same fan had merely an option of Castillo, Silva or Byrnes he would probably answer Castillo.
Posted by: SuzysMan | November 09, 2009 at 06:30 PM
"'Because hitting .265 with 16 HR and 64 RBI really isn't good. Bradley hit .257 with 12 HR and 40 RBI in possibly his worst year EVER (and he played hurt for a while). He's in this because he's a player of similar shithole value.'
This is one of the worst posts I've ever read on MLBTR. Do you believe that a pitcher is defined by how many wins he gets, too?
Posted by: Jays24 | November 09, 2009 at 06:25 PM"
Really? I'm pretty sure AVG isn't anything like a pitcher's win totals. RBI totals are, but HR numbers aren't either. Shocker that it's the JAYS fan trying to defend the average-at-best JAYS player.
Again, Bradley just came off of what may have been a career-worsrt year, and his average was only .008 and 4 HR off of Overbay. And Overbay plays 1B, which is known as being a team's position of preference for a power hitter. I'm not saying Overbay is the worst player ever, but his $7 million or whatever isn't much better than Castillo or Bradley, considering he plays below-average defense and doesn't hit for much power at a power-heavy position.
Posted by: cubs223425 | November 09, 2009 at 06:31 PM
Um, how is this deal good at all for the Jays? They're essentially trading 7 mil that would be off their books after this season for 20 mil over the next two seasons?
Oh, wait. Rosenthal's reporting it? Never mind then.
Posted by: tolo316 | November 09, 2009 at 06:31 PM
"Trading him for Snyder and cash at least makes some sense."
For a brief second, I thought you were suggesting trading Bradley and cash to the Jays in exchange for Travis Snider.
I almost spit Gatorade on my computer, ha. Then I remembered the Chris Snyder rumor, read it again, and laughed at myself. :)
Posted by: MorneauVP | November 09, 2009 at 06:31 PM
Human-
I could see Bradley for Burrell and a B+ prospect with the Cubs adding 3-4m.
Then the Cubs trying to flip Burrell to anyone who'll listen.
Posted by: Outdors21 | November 09, 2009 at 06:31 PM
Humannature -- Burrels contract only has 1 year left at 9 and i gotta feeling freidman may hold onto him. Burrel is bound to have a better year as is Bradley.
Posted by: metsknicksrutgers | November 09, 2009 at 06:34 PM
There is absolutley no chance this deal happens. I guarantee it. This would be so stupid on the Blue Jays part. Who would want this piece of crap who carries all that garbage. This is a ridiculus rumor and WILL NOT HAPPEN!
Posted by: Tigers/Reds fan | November 09, 2009 at 06:35 PM
Defining a player by the average they hit for...oof
Everyone can see your idiocy.
Posted by: The_Bunk | November 09, 2009 at 06:35 PM
"But some of my fellow Cubs fans also dont seem to get that the Cubs are pretty much forced to trade him now at a time where his value cant get any lower. Our stance really has to be one of "whats the best of the worst we can get" right now, and Castillo is better then some of the many other options being tossed around. If this same fan had merely an option of Castillo, Silva or Byrnes he would probably answer Castillo.
Posted by: SuzysMan | November 09, 2009 at 06:30 PM"
I think the media has overblown this. I know Bradley was a TERRIBLE teammate, but Jaramillo fixed him in TEX. He may be able to manage the same thing (or something similar) in '10, then the Cubs could get something back for him at the dealine or something. I would say that if they can't get anything more than Castillo, try him out with Jaramillo for a few months. Either he gets better, then they keep him or get something of value in return, or trade him in June/July. Like you said, his value can't really go down, so why not at least try to let him fix himself before totally giving up on him.
Posted by: cubs223425 | November 09, 2009 at 06:41 PM
THE BLUE JAYS ARE MOVING OVERBAY SO THEY CAN MOVE LIND TO 1ST AND PLAY RANDY RUIZ AT DH, THEREFOR THIS DEAL MAKES NO SENSE!
Seriously, this is why the Snyder/Overbay deal looked plausible, because they will need a catcher if they don't resign Barajas, and that would free up the first base for Lind and DH for Ruiz.
The Jays are not going to trade Overbay for a DH, they need an outfielder, and ( if they don't resign Scutaro or Barajas ) a SS and catcher
Posted by: Airp0w | November 09, 2009 at 06:41 PM
Ken Rosenthal is reporting this, so let's take this cum grano salis for the time being.
I know the Jays want to get some power in the lineup, and Bradley fits that profile. However I'm not sure I would equate Bradley with Overbay or Castillo. The idea of throwing in cash on top of that would make most Cub fans cringe.
Luis Castillo's uptick in on-base percentage came thanks to the gap-hitter wonderland in Citi Field. However, Castillo finished 2009 with 16 extra-base hits. I have little faith in his ability to slap or hit bloop singles in Wrigley with similar success. His wOBA will drop. Plus, the Cubs are a horrid base-running team. The team's overall approach is terrible and the coaching doesn't help anyone. Castillo's speed numbers drop as well, thereby reducing his runs.
So, essentially, the Cubs would acquire Luis Castillo's less-successful shadow in this deal, which would mean an immediate loss.
Sorry, Mr. Rosenthal, but I just don't believe this one.
Posted by: Ruck859 | November 09, 2009 at 06:41 PM
Note to Jim Hendry.....DO IT NOW!!!! Castillo would be perfect atop the lineup with Theriot batting 2nd. Fukudome could then be moved between either Ramirez and Soriano, or Soriano and Soto.
Posted by: jlb1980 | November 09, 2009 at 06:41 PM
Defending someone based on average is a million times better than bashing someone for being a CLUBHOUSE CANCER OH NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO
Posted by: nut bunnies | November 09, 2009 at 06:42 PM
By the way Overbay slugged .419 in 2009. No idea where he got the .466 from.
Posted by: nut bunnies | November 09, 2009 at 06:42 PM
Oh n/m B-R isn't showing 2009 stats.
Posted by: nut bunnies | November 09, 2009 at 06:43 PM
Note to Jim Hendry.....DO IT NOW!!!! Castillo would be perfect atop the lineup with Theriot batting 2nd. Fukudome could then be moved between either Ramirez and Soriano, or Soriano and Soto.
theriot should never ever be near the top of a lineup
Posted by: tar67 | November 09, 2009 at 06:49 PM
"Note to Jim Hendry.....DO IT NOW!!!! Castillo would be perfect atop the lineup with Theriot batting 2nd. Fukudome could then be moved between either Ramirez and Soriano, or Soriano and Soto.
Posted by: jlb1980 | November 09, 2009 at 06:41 PM"
Yeah, nothing like 8 HR in 4 years, 12 2B, and 20 SB with EPICALLY BAD defense is PERFECT! Seriously, at least Baker can hit 5 HR in a year and play good defense. Like the Ruck said before, Castillo would see his 2B and 3B totals go down in the smaller park (though he may reach that 4-year high of 3 HR!!!).
I don't want a guy that won't score runs enough, won't hit 2Bs, won't hit HRs, won't defend to save his life (his UZR numbers were below Dan Uggla), and made his name stealing bases--which he can'tdo anymore. Again, Bradley had maybe a career-worst year, and he is being discussed in this for Castillo, who is playing at the best level he can.
So the WORST of Bradley rivals the BEST of Castillo. Do you want a prayer with Bradley in RF everyday or no hope with Castillo on the bench behind Baker?
Posted by: cubs223425 | November 09, 2009 at 06:50 PM
"I would be fascinated to see how Cito Gaston would deal with him, though."
Cito Gaston is no longer manager of the Blue Jays, he stepped down.
Posted by: pageian | November 09, 2009 at 06:30 PM
Cito is still the manager. His deal runs out at the end of this year and said that is when he is most likely going to retire.
He also signed a 5 year consulting deal with the Jays to begin when he stops magaging
Posted by: PON21 | November 09, 2009 at 06:52 PM
I guess this is good for the Mets...but they need a RIGHTY firstbase to platoon with Murphy...
Posted by: nymets86 | November 09, 2009 at 06:54 PM
Overbay is a great defensive 1B. He also consistently posts an .850 OPS vs. RHP. He is also a FA after 2010, when he earns only $7MM. His WAR value is over $8MM (+2).
Posted by: twitter.com/andymc9293 | November 09, 2009 at 06:57 PM
I love how the guy using AVG, HR, and RBI to compare hitting prowess is the guy saying Overbay plays below average defense. He's very very good with the glove.
Posted by: inthewings | November 09, 2009 at 07:02 PM
great idea, a 1b who kills righties to platoon with murphy. Good thing murphy tears up lefties?
Posted by: oogreco | November 09, 2009 at 07:02 PM
Perhaps Bradley will be traded more than once this offseason?
Posted by: PL | November 09, 2009 at 07:03 PM
This deal makes sense for the mets but how is overbay a upgrade over murphy.
Posted by: antor | November 09, 2009 at 07:03 PM
Since Bradley's value has dropped so low, I'd be inclined to just wait to see if he can turn it around.
Unfortunately, by suspending Bradley at the end of the year, Hendry has backed himself into a corner. Now he can't even use the "i think i'll hand on to him" thing to get some kind of leverage with the other team. Nice work, Jim!
Posted by: jrfukudome | November 09, 2009 at 07:03 PM
*hang
Posted by: jrfukudome | November 09, 2009 at 07:04 PM
this seems way too smart for hendry to pull off
Posted by: SosaCrackers | November 09, 2009 at 07:07 PM
This deal makes sense for the mets but how is overbay a upgrade over murphy.
Posted by: antor | November 09, 2009 at 07:03 PM
Anyone's an upgrade over Murphy.
Posted by: East Coast Bias | November 09, 2009 at 07:08 PM
"this seems way too smart for hendry to pull off
Posted by: Make.Me.GM. | November 09, 2009 at 07:07 PM"
Completely agree. Vernon Wells would have to be sent to the Cubs as well, full contract, otherwise this makes very little sense.
Posted by: R y a n | November 09, 2009 at 07:10 PM
The only area this makes sense for the mets is opening up second base to bring in orlando hudson. I would think that delgado has more upside than overbay. The mets need offense more than defense from their first baseman. Yes he is older and had a serious injury last season, but he is still capable of hitting 25-30 homeruns. And he could be had on a one year deal for less than the 7.5 million overbay would be getting.
Posted by: maristmetsfan | November 09, 2009 at 07:11 PM
"Overbay is a great defensive 1B. He also consistently posts an .850 OPS vs. RHP. He is also a FA after 2010, when he earns only $7MM. His WAR value is over $8MM (+2).
Posted by: andy mc | November 09, 2009 at 06:57 PM"
Among 1B with 750+ innings played at the position, Overbay is 17th in UZR/150 rating. That's average, not great. His UZR/150 is actually below-average slightly (-0.8).
Overbay's WAR was $8 million in '08, compared to Bradley's $20.
Posted by: cubs223425 | November 09, 2009 at 07:12 PM
OK I GOT A IDEA TAKE THE METS OUT PUT THE D-BACKS IN!
Hear me out the blue jays get M.Bradly still to play part time DH,Corner OF. The Cubs get E.Byrnes. D-Backs get L.Overbay.
And to sweeten the deal Toranto gets C.Snyder if he gets healthy; and/or N.Cotts, A.Miles [Jays had intrest in both before],[cubs can eat miles contract if traded].
So how does that deal work out Cubs get E.Byrnes Jays get Bradly, one of Cotts,Miles,Snyder;D-Backs get L.Overbay maybe a prospect and mainly a salery dump.
Just throwing it out there and i have to refraze this deal and make it clearer.
Posted by: Wrigleyterror37 | November 09, 2009 at 07:12 PM
"I love how the guy using AVG, HR, and RBI to compare hitting prowess is the guy saying Overbay plays below average defense. He's very very good with the glove.
Posted by: inthewings | November 09, 2009 at 07:02 PM"
Again, a UZR that was -0.8, is NOT "great," or "very very good," or whatever. He was SEVENTEENTH among 1B with 750+ innings at 1B in terms of UZR. NOT GREAT, AVERAGE!
Posted by: cubs223425 | November 09, 2009 at 07:16 PM
"Overbay has also mashed righties for his entire career - .847 OPS career, .905 in 2009 - and could be paired with Daniel Murphy or Nick Evans for a high-reward platoon."
I don't think the left-handed Murphy makes any sense in a platoon with Overbay. Maybe Evans, I don't know.
Also, I have to think there would be money changing hand in this deal (with the Cubs paying and the Blue Jays receiving the most).
Posted by: WY | November 09, 2009 at 07:17 PM
@Wrigleyterror37:
How is the forever hurt Eric Byrnes better than Castillo?
Posted by: cubs223425 | November 09, 2009 at 07:17 PM
Bradley's an upgrade for Jays because it lets them move Lind to 1B and opens up a corner outfield spot (or CF, if you move Wells to right) for someone else.
Posted by: jstuart | November 09, 2009 at 07:20 PM
"Again, a UZR that was -0.8, is NOT "great," or "very very good," or whatever. He was SEVENTEENTH among 1B with 750+ innings at 1B in terms of UZR. NOT GREAT, AVERAGE!"
I've been watching the guy play 1st base for 3 years. He is above average.
Posted by: inthewings | November 09, 2009 at 07:23 PM
Or the Jays can keep Lind as DH and go sign Mike Cameron.
Posted by: Jays24 | November 09, 2009 at 07:25 PM
Doesn't make alot of sense for the Jays. I think Bradley stays put until Griffey makes a decision - Griffey retires then M's check out how much Matsui wants.. if he is too pricey then swap Silva for Bradley even up. What would be really sweet would be a Bradley/Marshall/Fontenot/Stevens to SD for Bell - maybe even toss in a few mil. but don't see that happening. Maybe Bradley/Zambrano for Maine and Beltran ( ok thats a stretch but I guess happy hour is hitting me lol)
Posted by: touchmymonkey | November 09, 2009 at 07:26 PM
I don't get why Overbay, a good player on a decent one year deal is being discussed with these bad contracts.
The Cubs are going to have to eat most of the contract and add another player, maybe Sean Marshall to make the deal attractive.
Posted by: Grant77 | November 09, 2009 at 06:06 PM
I don't get how the Cubs are supposed to give up a useful, cheap player and pay almost all of Bradley's contract, to get Luis Castillo in return.
Castillo blows, and still makes $12M over two years. Your trade suggestion makes no sense, as I'd rather just straight up dump Bradley than make that deal.
Posted by: mmontice | November 09, 2009 at 07:32 PM
“Like you said, his value can't really go down, so why not at least try to let him fix himself before totally giving up on him.”
Because of his being “a TERRIBLE teammate” like you said. His creation of his issues only to ensure they become the issue of everyone around him. Multiple people in the clubhouse commented on the frustration over his inability to take any responsibility for anything. Multiple people in the clubhouse stated that his problems seem to stem from himself. Multiple people in the clubhouse supported the decision to suspend him, and dismissed his comments about the city, media pressure and general feeling around the club. Now all of a sudden he will come back to the organization, and despite all that, he will fit in as a tolerable teammate? You don’t see a recipe for even bigger issues developing?
“Jaramillo fixed him in TEX”
You know what, that isnt really true. Take a look at Bradley from 07 to 08 – he was basically the same exact hitter. Same ISO. Similar BB/K (dropped a bit in Tex). His BB% went up, but his K% spiked just the same. Similar speed (dropped a bit in Tex). Same zone-swing%, same out-of-zone swing percentage, same swing percentage, similar contact rate (went down a bit in Tex)…
There are only two things that really changed from 07 to 08.
1) playing time. He managed to get 510 PA as a DH in Tex
2) BAbip. It was a reasonable .329 in 2007 and unrealistic .396 in 2008 whle playing in a park notorious for inflating BAbip and hitting production overall.
The only conclusion is, Jaramillo didn’t fix him – he had a fluke season in an environment which increases their likelihood.
“so why not at least try to let him fix himself before totally giving up on him.”
Because his production isnt the reason he has become a priority to move this offseason – everything else is. Remember when he got pulled into Lous office because of the media boycott he started? Remember when he said “not going to happen” when the media asked about him possibly moving down in the order? Remember when Lou went off on him because “nothing is ever his fault”? Remember when he pulled himself from the lineup, multiple times, because he claimed not to be 100% and Soriano’s “we don’t need him” comment? Remember his not paying attention in the OF to the game he was in? The Cubs suspended him and are dead-set on trading him for a reason. We don’t even know everything that could have taken place. Sure the media has run with it, and it might seem overblown – but a car exploring then taking another with it doesn’t eliminate the gigantic problem of a car exploding.
I don’t see how he could be brought back. Remember, he claims all his problems this year stem from media attention and a city which booed him. You think those things will get better giving it a second try now that he has blamed the media and city for 100 years without a WS win?
Posted by: SuzysMan | November 09, 2009 at 07:33 PM
The Cubs will likely non-tender Cotts. Byrnes is a downgrade from Bradley similar to the Bradley/Castillo comparison.
Now let's stop for a moment and consider the "How is Overbay an upgrade over Murphy?" talk. The Manhattan Project would include Murphy and Overbay in a platoon, which points to Overbay's OPS against RHPs.
Murphy, however, is a utility player at best and NOT a starter. Even in a platoon, he seems to fall short of a credible contribution to the team -- which is why he should platoon against LHPs. Perhaps that will fix the issue as opposed to exercising Delgado's multi-million dollar option, one that he does not deserve. So adding Overbay to a platoon situation is not the same as replacing an incumbent at his position.
But now that begs the question: why are the Mets willing to trade a starter for a platoon mate? The salary issue might end up a wash with Hudson's likely contract demands. I don't know if this gives the team any financial leverage or wiggle room to land a Holliday or Bay.
Posted by: Ruck859 | November 09, 2009 at 07:34 PM
touchmymonkey, the mets aren't trading beltran and why would they trade him for bradley. Beltran is a way better player than him and worth more money than the mets are paying him.
Posted by: antor | November 09, 2009 at 07:34 PM
The fact that there are this many comments on a thread in which the central characters are Milton Bradley, Luis Castillo, and Lyle Overbay shows that most of us don't have much going on in our lives.
Posted by: parrothead8 | November 09, 2009 at 07:35 PM
by the way its rosental reporting this. when was he ever right?
Posted by: antor | November 09, 2009 at 07:38 PM
Jays don't make that deal. They want to unload a bad contract. Overbay is not bad. It's just a blah contract.
Only way this makes sense is if the Cubs are kicking in serious cash.
Posted by: bjsguess | November 09, 2009 at 07:40 PM
"Bradley's an upgrade for Jays because it lets them move Lind to 1B and opens up a corner outfield spot (or CF, if you move Wells to right) for someone else."
I'm not really seeing how that makes him an upgrade. Lind doesn't necessarily have to move to first base (although he does kind of fit there theoretically and I'd love to see how he fares) and, personally, I think Bradley fits the DH role better then he does out on the field. For what he's worth, I think Randy Ruiz should at least be given a shot at a full season as DH. (with the very occasional start at 1B when needed)
Anthopolous should be looking elsewhere.
Posted by: Roll Fizzlebeef | November 09, 2009 at 07:40 PM
Bradley to Canada is the best thing to happen to the U.S. since Obama took over, oh wait, that's not working out so well. But I'd still like to see Milt in the land of syrup, wouldn't you eh?
Posted by: Airlinerguy | November 09, 2009 at 07:40 PM
Wow, are all these people serious about bashing the guy who used HR, AVG, and RBI as evaluating statistics? What's the big deal? Sure RBI aren't so good, but AVG and HR? In case you haven't noticed about 99.9% of the baseball world looks at these stats first. I think people try to make these stats look bad because they want to sound smarter themselves. I understand, wOBA, and all those fancy statistics with their long formulas are better indicators, but those others aren't useless.
What he was trying to say is that Bradley had a bad season. Throw any fancy stat you want at me, but there's no denying it.
Posted by: WS2009 | November 09, 2009 at 07:46 PM
"I've been watching the guy play 1st base for 3 years. He is above average."
You were at every game for 3 years, where you could watch every move he made? In person? As that would be the only way you can watch him constantly, TV often follows everything from the action to the clouds, so you wouldnt see positioning, reaction-time, quickness to bag, etc. Then, while simultaneously being at those 486 games in multiple states watching one man, you were also at the other 6804 games watching the other 1B in the game to know exactly what every one of them is able to do? And after being at those 7290 games you were able to keep track of all the plays you saw and calculate ability to the point you can clearly state Overbay is above average with complete sincerity?
You must be a God among men.
In seriousness though, unfortunately there would be no way for you to tell what is and isnt above average unless you had specifically watched those 7290 games live and did nothing but scout the 1B. But even then, personal bias will exist. And even if you get past that, our brains are not able to calculate that kind of data even if it were possible to see them all live to begin with. Statistics are the only way to make an accurate assessment here. Otherwise, we will all come up with very unreliable and varying opinions which are just that – opinions, not facts lie the stats relay.
Posted by: SuzysMan | November 09, 2009 at 07:46 PM
If you haven't discussed things "in a direct fashion" then you haven't discussed things. Plus, as many have noted, the chances of the Blue Jays making a deal for anyone who costs any money is full-on preposterous. After all, they need to find a way to get more playing time for a 32-year-old minor league journeyman.
Posted by: M2 | November 09, 2009 at 07:56 PM
ok i fixed it to make it clearer. You take the Mets out and put the D-Backs in.
Now we take the mets out bc in the article there the only winners. L.Castillo is a good ballplayer but he doesnt fit the cubs needs this year. Bc after the All star break [ior mabye sooner "cross fingers" Castro will come up to play SS and move TheRiot back to his origanal position 2B.
Now we all know that the Jays and Arizona have been talking a swap of Overbay for Snyder which i thought was a fair trade. But Snyder is ingured so the deal was put on hold i think. Now my idea of this trade would have to depend on Snyders health and/or if they still have intrest in Cotts and Miles.[link here but was long time ago so trade rumors wont let me find it].
Now the main trade pices is this Cubs send Bradly to Jays[to play part time DH/Corrner OF;Dh is going to be Ruiz role i think] Jays send Overbay to D- Backs[to play 1B/Corrner Of] Arizona sends Cubs E.Byrns.
Now to make the deal better because Jays have to get Bradly they can get one of Cotts, Miles, or Snyder.[if miles the cubs eat the contract] Now i think Arizona would have to get a prospect and that depends on who toranto gets.
Now if they get snyder then the cubs give D-Backs a prospect. But if they choose cotts or miles then Jays send a prospect to D-Backs.
So thats my trade proposal that makes everyone happy.
D-backs get overbay to replace Jackson's Role, and shed payrole. Cubs get ride of bradly and get a fan fav/clubhouse guy in byrnes. And jays get a power bat to help in DH or OF role.[and either a middle infielder,catcher,or bullpen guy.
So what do u guys think?
Posted by: Wrigleyterror37 | November 09, 2009 at 07:58 PM
Overbay is a solid first baseman. He isn't spectacular, but if the Mets grabbed him and say Ryan Garko (.882 OPS against lefties from 07-09) on a cheap deal, they could platoon them for an OPS of ~.825-850. That's a solid combo for a 6 or 7 hitter. If they can get a power bat to hit 5th, all of a sudden you are looking at Reyes, Hudson (not a give, but likely), Wright, Beltran, INSERT LEFT FIELD BAT, OVERBAY/GARKO, FRANCOUER and whoever is going to catch. It's a solid lineup, assuming they can pick up a 5 hole hitter.
Posted by: ChicoWalker | November 09, 2009 at 07:59 PM
Make this trade happen and i will be a very very happy Mets fan!!! I've been petitioning for Orlando Hudson for a while. Adding both him and Overbay essentially for Castillo is thieves work!!!!!
Posted by: SouvenirCityBaby | November 09, 2009 at 08:03 PM
What were looking at now Mets fans!
C-
1B-Overbay
2B-Hudson
3B-Wright
SS-Reyes
LF-
CF-Beltran
RF-Frenchy
Posted by: SouvenirCityBaby | November 09, 2009 at 08:04 PM
Jesus. The Mets give Luis Castillo a bad 4 year deal. He is awful in year one. He is solid in year two. It is no longer a "bad" contract. So awesome, we move him, so we can get Lyle Overbay, and that way we can clear up some space to give Orlando Hudson a longer, stupider contract. They will probably sign him for 4 years, pretty much winding Luis Castillo's contract back two more years and making it awful again, just when it seemed like Castillo wasn't a problem anymore.
Why can't Nick Evans just platoon? Is it because Ryan Garko is a name? I don't mean to come at you specifically Chico, but Evans is a guy who can play all 4 corner spots and he can very capably hit LHP. He is also going to be making the league minimum. These are the kinds of guys the stupid Mets front office has to take advantage. A smart organization would get value out of Evans for sure.
Posted by: nrmax88 | November 09, 2009 at 08:06 PM
I just don't see how this works out for the Jays. Its not like the Jays would be contending next year....aren't they building for the future? Does it really matter whether Lind shifts to 1b in 2010 as opposed to 2011?
For the Jays they would be getting $7 mil come off the books after the season. Now they have to pay Miltons $12 mil in 2011 (even if they don't have to pay the entire salary)?
It just doesn't make sense for them.
Posted by: yanks09 | November 09, 2009 at 08:09 PM
Bradley to Canada is the best thing to happen to the U.S. since Obama took over, oh wait, that's not working out so well. But I'd still like to see Milt in the land of syrup, wouldn't you eh?
Posted by: Airlinerguy | November 09, 2009 at 07:40 PM
That is just great man i had to stop and lol for 5 min.
@Wrigleyterror37:
How is the forever hurt Eric Byrnes better than Castillo?
Posted by: cubs223425 | November 09, 2009 at 07:17 PM
Well theres a lot of reasons
1.he wont stop our rookie Castro frome being blocked
2. hes only 1 one year contract but is owed 15ml i think
3. if he is ingured then we have depth with Fuld and hopefuly Johnson [WITH REED WE Succeed]
4. GOOD CLUB HOUSE GUY
5. lefty lou always wants a lefty [Hes good when healthy bc i wint to the final series at wrigly and he killed Gorazonly]
NOW i agree with SuzyMan and cubs223425 we should try to fix him [Bradly] then trade him in june/july if he doesnt work out. I mean we got his hitting instructor from teaxs.
Posted by: Wrigleyterror37 | November 09, 2009 at 08:12 PM
This topic gotta be the most boring WHO CARE'S ABOUT MILTON BRADLEY and overbay!!!!! they both are overrated
Posted by: jwestford | November 09, 2009 at 08:15 PM
Suzys
The Fielding Bible has Overbay at +13, +11 and +10 during the last 3 years. URZ didn't like him much last year.
It's also interesting to note fans rate Overbay above average per Tango: http://www.tangotiger.net/scouting/scoutResults2008_TOR.html
Overall, I would definitely say he's an above average defender.
Posted by: 2HeadedBoy | November 09, 2009 at 08:17 PM
nrmax88 - Evans isn't good at any of the 4 corner positions and he has about 100AB's against lefties in his career. He had a .693 OPS in AAA last year, admittedly he had a terrible start. There is no reason the Mets should go into the season relying on Evans to provide quality at bats. I would like to see him actually have a solid year in AAA before we anoint him a starting player, even if it's just in a Platoon. Also, no reason for Hudson to get a 4 year deal, but he is likely to age much better than Castillo. Don't care if it's Garko, or someone else, but I would like to have a guy that will give predictable production, as opposed to last year, when we were looking at Murphy and Church as corner outfielders.
Posted by: ChicoWalker | November 09, 2009 at 08:20 PM
What were looking at now Mets fans!
C-
1B-Overbay
2B-Hudson
3B-Wright
SS-Reyes
LF-
CF-Beltran
RF-Frenchy
Posted by: SouvenirCityBaby | November 09, 2009 at 08:04 PM
add holiday and barajas and i think its a start!!
Posted by: wright is my boy | November 09, 2009 at 08:21 PM
Wrigleyterror37,
Your proposal:
Cubs get Byrnes
Jays get Bradley + Snyder
DBs get Overbay, Cubs Prospect
So you are willing to trade Bradley AND a prospect for just Byrnes? The Byrnes who has been worth -0.4 WAR over the last two seasons combined? I don’t like it. How would we not be better off taking Castillo (2.4 WAR the last 2) and having the Mets send the prospect? Or just eliminating the middleman and sending Bradley + some 2011 cash for Byrnes straight up?
Besides, it seems the Blue Jays are the team where this hangs up – coming up with something to remove them is probably better then removing the Mets
“NOW i agree with SuzyMan and cubs223425 we should try to fix him [Bradly] then trade him in june/july if he doesnt work out.”
Wow, wow, wow… I didn’t say that. I see now way possible that Bradley on the Cubs for even a week is a good idea. I don’t want to see another season of distractions and confrontations solely because we hope to get a tiny bit more return on our sunk cost.
Posted by: SuzysMan | November 09, 2009 at 08:21 PM
This deal could work for the Mets. Overbay/Murphy is a good look at first. I think Felipe Lopez qould be the best replacement at second. Holliday and Lackey along with a trade for Shoppach make the team look like this.
SS Reyes
2B Lopez
CF Beltran
LF Holliday
3B Wright
1B Overbay/Murphy
RF Francouer
C Shoppach
P Pitcher
Overbay = 1 mil
Lopez = 8 mil
Holliday = 16 mil
Lackey = 16 mil
Shoppach = 3.5 mil (i think)
44.5 mil in new salary, plus an extra 5 mil for Frenchy and Pagan. If the Mets have 50 mil to spend, they should pull the trigger on this deal.
Posted by: diehardmets | November 09, 2009 at 08:27 PM
SS Reyes
2B Hudson
CF Beltran
3B Wright
LF Bay
RF Francoeur
1B Overbay
C Napoli
P Santana
Posted by: SouvenirCityBaby | November 09, 2009 at 08:30 PM
Another year, another second base addition from Hendry. This'll make the Bradley bashers happy, but it doesn't make the Cubs any better. I hope the Cubs have more up their sleeves this offseason or it's going to be another long year.
Posted by: crunchy1 | November 09, 2009 at 08:32 PM
souvenircity: how come you slotted bay in there? i mean i wont get greedy, but if i had to pick one of the two, i would go with holliday 10 times out of 10... whats your reasoning?
also i think bay/holliday would hit cleanup and overbay would platoon with murphy
Posted by: wright is my boy | November 09, 2009 at 08:35 PM