MLBTR Writers Predict Free Agent Destinations

You've seen my Top 50 Free Agent predictions.  Now it's time to add the opinions of our other writers.  Below are side-by-side predictions from Steve Adams, Mark Polishuk, Ben Nicholson-Smith, and Mike Axisa for the same 50 free agents.

Rank Player Tim Dierkes Steve Adams Mark Polishuk Ben Nicholson-Smith Mike Axisa
1 Cliff Lee Yankees Yankees Yankees Yankees Yankees
2 Carl Crawford Angels Angels Angels Angels Angels
3 Adrian Beltre Red Sox Angels Red Sox Red Sox Angels
4 Jayson Werth Red Sox Red Sox Tigers Red Sox Red Sox
5 Adam Dunn Cubs Tigers Cubs Tigers Tigers
6 Victor Martinez Tigers Tigers Tigers Rangers Orioles
7 Rafael Soriano Angels Angels Diamondbacks Angels Angels
8 Mariano Rivera Yankees Yankees Yankees Yankees Yankees
9 Paul Konerko White Sox White Sox Diamondbacks White Sox Diamondbacks
10 Derek Jeter Yankees Yankees Yankees Yankees Yankees
11 Hiroki Kuroda Pirates Mets Orioles Rangers Rangers
12 Jorge De La Rosa Royals Pirates Brewers Tigers Brewers
13 Carl Pavano Twins Brewers Twins Twins Rangers
14 Jake Westbrook Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals
15 Aubrey Huff Giants Giants Giants Giants Cubs
16 Juan Uribe Dodgers Cardinals Cardinals Cardinals Giants
17 Carlos Pena Nationals Nationals Nationals Nationals Nationals
18 Jim Thome Rays Twins Twins Twins Twins
19 Vladimir Guerrero Rangers Rangers Rangers Rays Unemployed
20 Manny Ramirez Athletics Blue Jays Athletics Athletics Rangers
21 Magglio Ordonez Blue Jays Tigers Tigers Blue Jays Tigers
22 Orlando Hudson Cardinals Padres Rockies Rockies Cardinals
23 Derrek Lee Brewers Brewers Orioles Brewers Red Sox
24 Lance Berkman Diamondbacks Cubs Rangers Mariners Rockies
25 Andy Pettitte Retirement Yankees Yankees Yankees Yankees
26 Jon Garland Rockies Rockies Rockies Orioles Mets
27 A.J. Pierzynski Marlins Marlins Marlins Marlins Marlins
28 Miguel Olivo Rangers Rangers Dodgers White Sox Dodgers
29 John Buck Red Sox Red Sox Red Sox Red Sox Red Sox
30 Javier Vazquez Nationals Nationals Nationals Nationals Nationals
31 Scott Downs Red Sox Red Sox Yankees Yankees Red Sox
32 J.J. Putz Tigers Diamondbacks Dodgers Dodgers Diamondbacks
33 Brian Fuentes Diamondbacks Yankees Braves Diamondbacks Phillies
34 Adam LaRoche Orioles Orioles Brewers Cubs Giants
35 Hisanori Takahashi Phillies Phillies Nationals Orioles Mariners
36 Pat Burrell Padres Braves Mariners Braves Braves
37 Joaquin Benoit Rays Rays Tigers Red Sox Rays
38 Kevin Millwood Padres Royals Pirates Mariners Brewers
39 Kevin Correia Brewers Mets Pirates Pirates Brewers
40 Arthur Rhodes Reds Reds Reds Reds Reds
41 Pedro Feliciano Phillies Phillies Phillies Phillies Twins
42 Grant Balfour Yankees Diamondbacks Diamondbacks Diamondbacks Dodgers
43 Kerry Wood Cubs Cubs Mets Cubs Braves
44 Scott Podsednik Reds Dodgers Giants Giants Dodgers
45 Yorvit Torrealba Dodgers Padres Rangers Padres Padres
46 Hideki Matsui Mariners Rays Mariners Rangers Unemployed
47 Johnny Damon White Sox White Sox White Sox Royals Royals
48 Kevin Gregg Braves Blue Jays Angels Braves Cardinals
49 Koji Uehara Mets Tigers Twins Twins Red Sox
50 Brandon Webb Nationals Mariners Nationals Rangers Red Sox


Full Story | 117 Comments | Categories: Uncategorized

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117 Comments on "MLBTR Writers Predict Free Agent Destinations"


arkeen
4 years 9 months ago

Does Konerko not like hitting in San Francisco? He seems to be a great fit and lives where the Giants have spring training.

4 years 9 months ago

konerko also lives where the diamondbacks play regular season games soooooo………….. i dont see why he would pick spring training home over regular season ballpark. i think he goes to ARI

azdsnd
4 years 9 months ago

They don’t have the money to pay him. He stays in Chi.

TheodoreRoosevelt
4 years 9 months ago

I have $10 on Nicholson-Smith.

$1519287
4 years 9 months ago

Glad to hear it TheodoreRoosevelt!

– BNS

4 years 9 months ago

and i dont see the red sox grabbing uehara and webb but i could see them with webb. epstein loves his low risk high reward signings and webb certainly is just that.

not_brooks
4 years 9 months ago

The only thing that stops me from being 100% positive that Paul Konerko is staying with the White Sox is that Kenny Williams is the most unpredictable GM in the game.

jwsox
4 years 9 months ago

this is true but kenny also knows how badly he screwed up last spring, I doubt he goes that crazy this season…Well at least unitll a few things are donw like siging konerko to a 2-3 year deal worth 25-35 mill….resigning putz, and andruw jones…He will probably take a flier out on Pena and Dunn as plan b’s to konerko to to DH, and he will probably look into trading floyd+quentin to get his left handed bat he need if he does not get pena or dunn…..I like pena simply becasue in terms of defense he is the best on the market and has huge power, he would destroy in the cell

Pirates412
4 years 9 months ago

why does no one think pirates wont sign anyone? besides correia and millwood i dont want them millwood sucks and correia isnt good kuroda maybe i would try webb or bonderman he has a good slider what do u think people?????

gigantes2425
4 years 9 months ago

Take what u can get.

Pirates412
4 years 9 months ago

are u serious right now? do u know what millwood numbers were last year?? he was 4-16 yea 4-16 and u tell me take what u can get.. he will be 36 next month he is at the end of his career i say give it up. correia was 10-10 and there both era are over 5.00+ HOW ARE THESE TWO PITCHERS IN THE TOP 50 FREE AGENTS?? its a joke looking at those numbers id have bonderman i like bonderman he is a good quality pitcher compare. DOES ANYONE LOOK AT THERE STATS BEFORE PUTTING THEM UP ON THE TOP 50 FREE AGENTS?? LOL

MetsEventually
4 years 9 months ago

Saying Millwood was 4-16 means nothing. How about you include his awful WHIP, ERA and BB/9

4 years 9 months ago

Record means nothing. Roy Oswalt would have plenty to say on this subject.

You have the worst owner in baseball, like he said, take what you can get.

4 years 9 months ago

Record means nothing. Roy Oswalt would have plenty to say on this subject.

You have the worst owner in baseball, like he said, take what you can get.

Jason_F
4 years 9 months ago

Bonderman has been far worse than both of the other two pitchers you were ranting about over the past 2-3 years. Not to mention that he has been injured far more than the other two. Here’s to you getting your wish and the Pirates winding up in the cellar for a fifth straight season. Enjoy!

Steve_Adams
4 years 9 months ago

Millwood is, at the very least, durable, and that counts for something. His 4-16 is more a reflection of the team he pitched for than it is his own abilities.

Millwood should be good for in the neighborhood of 180-190 league-average (or better) innings, which qualifies him for the back-end of this list. A move out of the AL East would likely result in his unimpressive numbers improving considerably, especially if it’s to the NL.

Jeremy Bonderman, your proposed alternative, had a worse season across the board. Millwood was better in terms of K/9, BB/9, WAR, ERA, FIP, and xFIP than Bonderman. He allowed HRs at a slightly higher rate, but that’s playing in a smaller park and a better division. Bonderman also has far more of an injury history in recent years. I’d say Millwood easily qualifies for the list ahead of Bonderman.

And, for what it’s worth, I predicted De La Rosa to the Buccos in my list.

$1519287
4 years 9 months ago

Bonderman wasn’t on our top 50 free agent list, but I can see him signing in Pittsburgh. This is far from a complete list of free agents.

InLeylandWeTrust
4 years 9 months ago

Bonderman?! Please, take him away so we aren’t even tempted to resign him. Dude is a lost cause due to injuries. He’l log about 170 innings with an ERA over 5 if that is what you desire from your 5th starter.

4 years 9 months ago

With those kind of peripherals, he will be a perfect fit in PITT.

4 years 9 months ago

With those kind of peripherals, he will be a perfect fit in PITT.

jwsox
4 years 9 months ago

I know it would take forever to do and forever to read but it would be interesting to see where all you guys think the other free agents will land…maybe like a top 150 list…?

4 years 9 months ago

My guess would be because they’re the Pirates.

Pirates412
4 years 9 months ago

u really think pirates are just going to keep losing?? i can answer that NO there is going to be a time were its going to stop and Pittsburgh will really be called THE CITY OF CHAMPIONS!!

4 years 9 months ago

The Pirates org is in better shape than it has been in years, but they’re not just a free agent or two away from competing. Making small, conservative moves is the way this team should be running itself – this will give them freedom to make that big free agent splash when they are ready to compete. Patience, Pirates412, you’ve obviously lasted this long.

Jason_F
4 years 9 months ago

“u really think pirates are just going to keep losing??”

Yes.

Stl_Great
4 years 9 months ago

Check ; Jorge De La Rosa.

gigantes2425
4 years 9 months ago

I do not see uribe going to the dodgers or the cardinals.

4 years 9 months ago

The Cards are on the record saying they want a middle infielder, a guy who can hit 15-20 HR, and depth for third base. Uribe fits all of those catgories. He has to be high on their list.

4 years 9 months ago

and i bet the rangers will resign lee, just a gut feeling but im going with my instincts, Lee stays in TEXAS

azdsnd
4 years 9 months ago

Are you really going by your gut, or are you going by your “Yankees Suck” icon?

4 years 9 months ago

Predicting Fuentes to the Braves makes zero sense. We already have three lefties with above-average stuff in Venters, O’Flaherty, and Dunn.

BravesRed
4 years 9 months ago

Don’t forget very pricey.

RiverKKiller999
4 years 9 months ago

And what arm did Billy Wagner pitch with? His left , so that does make sense.Wood be my choice over Fuentes but I wouldn’t mind having either 1.

4 years 9 months ago

Wagner has nothing to do with this because we don’t need a closer. Kimbrel is our closer going forward, and Wren wants to get a RH set-up man to complement Venters. There’s no need for us to carry four lefties in the ‘pen, especially when none of them are going to be our closer.

4 years 9 months ago

Who was correct the most last year?

BravesRed
4 years 9 months ago

Only Tim did it last year, from what I seen.

4 years 9 months ago

Thanks

penpaper
4 years 9 months ago

Wow, neat idea. Thanks for the team search function.

BoSoxSam
4 years 9 months ago

Wait, what? How?

4 years 9 months ago

Protip: type ctrl+f, enter the name of the team you want to search for, and hit “enter.”

4 years 9 months ago

Not sure I agree with the combo of the Jays signing nobody AND two DH types being unemployed.

briantalletsmoustache
4 years 9 months ago

Adam Lind hopes you’re wrong.

RiverKKiller999
4 years 9 months ago

This Free Agent Prediction stuff sounds like fun.Is there any possibility of you guys doing a Trade Prediction ?

baseballz
4 years 9 months ago

I say LaRoche and Hudson sign with the Jays. Move Hill to third and call it an offseason.

AJCBE
4 years 9 months ago

If the Jays plan on playing Lind at first, someone needs to get on the phone with Johnny O as a Spring Training instructor.

Boz
4 years 9 months ago

this is great!

i was so hoping to see someone pick Mo or Jeter to go to a different team…

Pirates412
4 years 9 months ago

I’m just saying not being rude or anything but this isnt a top 50 free agents list.. not even close.. millwood on it? what? he posted 4-16 with over 5+ era?? how is he in here?? bonderman

melonis_rex
4 years 9 months ago

There’s just not a lot of good free agents beyond the top 10-15. The FA class deteriorates fast.

daveineg
4 years 9 months ago

So now 3 guys think the Brewers will be going with an all right handed lineup for 2011?

With Carpenter, Wainwright, Dempster, Zambrano, Cueto, Volquez, Arroyo, and Myers in the same division? Two chances of this happening: Slim and None and Slim just left town.
Lee hit a paltry .243/.321/.412 vs. RH starters. Fielder in an off year hit .262/.415/.522 against them. Lee is hardly a candidate to replace Prince.

hawkny1
4 years 9 months ago

What happened to 2008’s American League All-Star game catcher, Dioner Navarro? He is going to play somewhere other than Tampa Bay!

4 years 9 months ago

He won’t be more than a backup.

MetsEventually
4 years 9 months ago

Not a huge fan of these predictions…Why aren’t the Mets signing Cliff Lee???

Oh right! …womp.