Rockies Rumors: Jimenez, Wigginton

The Rockies are 11 games back in the NL West, so it's time to consider selling various pieces.  The latest:

B.J. Upton Rumors: Monday

Rays center fielder B.J. Upton may not crack the top 20 on our list of available bats ranked by wOBA, but his defense and potential are enough to make him a hot name on the 2011 trade market.  The latest:

Athletics Near Agreement With Sonny Gray

5:26pm: Oakland scouting director Eric Kubota told Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle that the A's are close to a deal with Gray (Twitter link).

12:04pm: Athletics first-round pick Sonny Gray is in Oakland today for a physical, tweets ESPN's Keith Law.  Law notes that once Gray is stretched out, the A's plan to send him to Double-A Midland.

The A's drafted Gray 18th overall out of Vanderbilt last month.  Slot for the pick is around $1.4MM, though Kaleb Cowart signed for $2.3MM as the 18th pick last year.

Is Wandy Rodriguez Overpaid?

For a pitcher with a 3.40 ERA since the beginning of the 2008 season, Astros lefty Wandy Rodriguez isn't getting much respect.  American League teams seem to want nothing to do with him (though the Yankees and Red Sox scouted him this weekend), and one executive suggested to SI's Jon Heyman that the Astros might have to pay half of Rodriguez's contract to move him.  One GM told Heyman, "Nobody's going to touch Wandy."  

Since 2011 is Rodriguez's final arbitration year, and the player provided a discount in signing long-term, his current salary is just $7MM.  That'd leave only $2.3MM for '11 at the deadline.  After that Wandy gets $10MM in '12, $13MM in '13, and would have a $13MM player option for '14 upon a trade.  So you'd get him at a discount this year, and then have to take on as much as three years, $36MM.  3/36 doesn't sound too bad, although you're only on the hook for that last $13MM if Rodriguez doesn't feel he can do better on the open market or just really wants to stay.

I conducted an informal poll of two agents and one team executive on whether Rodriguez would top three years, $36MM as a free agent after this season.  One told me that amount is at the top of his probable range, and he wouldn't get more than three years since he turns 33 in January.  Another called Rodriguez a "poor man's Ted Lilly" in terms of cache, suggesting three years and $27-30MM would be more appropriate.

So does Rodriguez have surplus trade value with his current contract?  Given the lower salary in 2011, I'd say yes.  However, with the contract viewed as market value or a little worse, the Astros probably can't expect anything too impressive in return unless they include several million dollars.

Stark On Bell, Beltran, Rays, Giants

The latest from ESPN's Jayson Stark

  • The Rangers and Phillies are the favorites for Padres closer Heath Bell, with the Cardinals, Angels, Braves, and Reds also in the mix.
  • One executive Stark spoke to wouldn't be surprised to see a dark horse like the Reds or Brewers make a late run at Mets right fielder Carlos Beltran.
  • An official who spoke with the Rays over the weekend said that while they're not trading James Shields, they'll decide later this week on players like Johnny Damon and Kyle Farnsworth.  B.J. Upton could be dealt even if the team closes its 6.5 game wild card deficit.
  • The Rays and Blue Jays have been scouting each other's farm systems recently.  One scout speculated that the Jays could join a three-team Upton trade somehow.
  • One team says Brian Sabean's off-limits prospects are Zack Wheeler, Heath Hembree, and Gary Brown, along with Brandon Belt.  That'd leave the team without any top 50 prospects to move, with Francisco Peguero and Ehire Adrianza in the next tier based on Baseball America's preseason rankings.  There's also Double-A lefty Eric Surkamp, who brought his ERA down to 2.00 yesterday.
  • The Phillies are steering teams to their High-A Clearwater club, as they don't want to trade big leaguers and not to add much more than a million bucks in payroll.  Jonathan Singleton, Brody Colvin, Trevor May, Sebastian Valle, and Jiwan James are names to watch there assuming Jarred Cosart is untouchable.  Stark says the Phillies have cooled on Beltran and Hunter Pence is a long shot, so the focus is now the back end of the bullpen.  Heath Bell is the top target, with Brandon League also on the radar.

Available Bats By wOBA

Weighted on-base average is a great stat to measure overall offensive production.  Using FanGraphs, my own list of trade candidates, and a 200 plate appearance minimum, here's a list of potentially available bats by wOBA:

  1. Carlos Beltran – .394
  2. Michael Cuddyer – .371
  3. Aramis Ramirez – .370
  4. Casey Kotchman – .367
  5. Hunter Pence – .366
  6. Mark Reynolds – .355
  7. Marlon Byrd – .353
  8. Michael Bourn – .352
  9. Chris Iannetta – .349
  10. Melky Cabrera – .349
  11. Ty Wigginton – .340
  12. Laynce Nix – .339
  13. Carlos Pena – .339
  14. Jeff Francoeur – .338
  15. Denard Span – .337
  16. Kosuke Fukudome – .336
  17. Josh Willingham – .332
  18. Colby Rasmus – .328
  19. Johnny Damon – .328
  20. Jonny Gomes – .328

The list looks reasonably healthy at first glance, but I was liberal with my inclusions.  Take out Cuddyer, Ramirez, and Pence for various reasons, and you realize that the trade market consists of Beltran plus a few decent hitters for whom you still might have to overpay.

Carlos Pena Likely To Be Traded?

Cubs first baseman Carlos Pena "will almost surely be moved," tweets SI's Jon Heyman.  Heyman adds that the Diamondbacks "could be in play there."

There is the possibility that the Cubs want to re-sign Pena for 2012, but otherwise trading him now would be wise.  Typically trading a player at the deadline clears a third of his salary, but as I mentioned earlier this month, the Cubs could clear two-thirds of Pena's due to the structure of his contract.  I've noted that the Pirates and Diamondbacks might be the only contenders in need of a first baseman, so even though the market for bats overall is weak, those teams have leverage.  The 33-year-old Pena is hitting .221/.334/.445 with 20 home runs in 378 plate appearances this year for the Cubs.

AL East Rumors: Farnsworth, Upton, Kuroda

The Rays remain on the fringe of contention, 6.5 games out in the wild card.  The other four AL East teams have clear positions: the Yankees and Red Sox are buyers, and the Blue Jays and Orioles are sellers.  The latest:

Pirates Rumors: Pena, Beltran, Pence

The NL Central race remains tight, but the Pirates are technically above the Cardinals and Brewers at the moment.  The latest on these surprise contenders…

  • We haven't read much beyond speculation linking the Pirates to Cubs first baseman Carlos Pena, but Rob Biertempfel of the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review lists Pena, Carlos Beltran, and Hunter Pence as three bats on which GM Neal Huntington has been "stymied" so far.  Huntington explained the roadblocks he's encountered so far, including no-trade clauses and finding a match in value with the other team.  The GM explained that he intends to "stay disciplined and stay with teams" in hopes of the asking prices going down.
  • ESPN's Buster Olney guesses the Pirates will end up acquiring a second-tier reliever and bat, he explained to Joe Giardina of Pittsburgh Sports Report.  Olney has doubts that Beltran would accept a trade to Pittsburgh, and would be shocked if the Bucs meet Houston's asking price for Pence.
  • In a tweet, Olney speculates that Colorado's Jason Giambi "would be perfect as a bench addition" for the Pirates.
  • Alex Presley's thumb injury increases the Pirates' need for an outfielder, tweets Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports.

At Least Four Teams Interested In Uehara

The Rangers, Pirates, Tigers, and Twins are among the teams that have expressed interest in Orioles reliever Koji Uehara, reports Jeff Zrebiec of the Baltimore Sun.  Interest from the Pirates and Twins was previously reported, and the Reds are known to have discussed Uehara at least internally.

Uehara, 36, is among the best relievers available this summer.  He sports a 1.80 ERA, 11.8 K/9, 1.6 BB/9, 1.2 HR/9, and 31.3% groundball rate in 45 innings this year, and a reasonable $4MM option for next year vests with 14 more appearances.  Uehara told Zrebiec he loves Baltimore and the Orioles, "but it's not going to be any fun if we don't win. That's the dilemma."

In theory, Uehara shouldn't be much easier to acquire than San Diego's Mike Adams, the biggest difference being the former's flyball leanings.  Aside from the Uehara suitors mentioned above, the Red Sox, Yankees, Angels, Phillies, Braves, Cardinals, and Diamondbacks are seeking relief help.