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Archives for September 2011

Yankees Want To Bring Brian Cashman Back

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | September 26, 2011 at 3:18pm CDT

Yankees president Randy Levine told Andrew Marchand of ESPNNewYork.com that he wants general manager Brian Cashman to continue in his current role after the season, when Cashman’s contract expires. It’s the strongest indication yet that one of the game’s longest-tenured GMs is going nowhere.

"Clearly, we want him back," Levine said.

Though Cashman’s three-year deal is mere weeks away from expiring, it’s Yankee policy to wait until the offseason before discussing new deals. Cashman says he has a great relationship with ownership and confirmed that he’s interested in returning to New York, where he has been the GM since 1998.

“They know that I would like to come back and we have a good working relationship, but we'll deal with that stuff on another day," he said.

Cashman told Ian O'Connor of ESPNNewYork.com last week that there’s no better place for him than New York, while acknowledging that his job has its shortcomings. The Cubs don’t currently have a GM and though they’ve been linked to Cashman, it appears that they’ll have to search elsewhere.

The Yankees have made the playoffs in 13 of the 14 seasons that Cashman has been their GM, winning four World Series titles. They are 97-62 this season with three regular season games to play. Ken Rosenthal of FOX Sports reported earlier in the month that the Yankees and Cashman have mutual interest in a new deal.

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New York Yankees Brian Cashman

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Gomes Would Likely Accept Arbitration Offer

By Tim Dierkes | September 26, 2011 at 2:42pm CDT

When the Nationals acquired outfielder Jonny Gomes from the Reds on July 26th, one consideration was the possibility of a supplemental draft pick.  Gomes projected as a Type B free agent then, and still did as of a few weeks ago.  However, Gomes wants to remain with the Nationals, and he told Adam Kilgore of the Washington Post that if the team offers arbitration, "I'll probably take it."

In Gomes, Rick Ankiel, and Laynce Nix, the Nationals have three veteran free agent oufielders.  In the opinion of GM Mike Rizzo, "all three of them have had good solid seasons."  Gomes, 30, is hitting .209/.325/.389 with 14 home runs in 372 plate appearances this year for the Nationals and Reds.  He's shown an improved inclination to draw walks, though his power has been lacking.  As a pinch-hitter Gomes has one hit and six walks in 43 plate appearances, but as a starter he's hitting .233/.347/.436 in 329 PAs.

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Washington Nationals Jonny Gomes

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Huntington Talks Offseason

By Tim Dierkes | September 26, 2011 at 1:23pm CDT

With GM Neal Huntington under contract through at least 2014, the Pirates can focus on the upcoming offseason.  Bill Brink of the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette spoke to Huntington yesterday; here are a few highlights.

  • On first baseman Derrek Lee, Huntington said, "We'd like to have him return.  It's a two-way street. He's got to walk through some things. Is he going to play next year? Does he want to play in Pittsburgh next year or does he have a better opportunity to do something different?"  Lee, 36, hit .341/.390/.604 in 100 plate appearances for the Pirates since coming over in a July trade with Baltimore.  If Lee confers with his family and decides to play in 2012, he'll likely be looking at a one-year deal below the $7.25MM base salary he earned this year.
  • Huntington said the odds of the Pirates needing only six starters again in 2012 are slim, implying that the team will look to add rotation depth.
  • Trades will be considered; despite their rebuilding process Huntington said the Pirates have prospects about which they're willing to talk. 
  • The Pirates have drawn 4,337 more fans per game compared to last year, an increase of almost 22%.  The increased revenue will lead to a bigger payroll, but much of the increase will go toward arbitration raises.  The Pirates' 11 arbitration eligible players are Evan Meek, Garrett Jones, Charlie Morton, Chris Resop, Steven Pearce, Brandon Wood, Ross Ohlendorf, Joel Hanrahan, Jeff Karstens, Jose Veras, and Jason Grilli.  We'll have estimated salaries and non-tender predictions for you later this week in our arbitration eligibles series.  The Bucs opened the season with just a $42MM payroll.
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Pittsburgh Pirates Derrek Lee

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Marlins Open To Trading Nolasco?

By Tim Dierkes | September 26, 2011 at 11:49am CDT

Ricky Nolasco appeared to be off-limits as recently as July, but the Marlins may have changed their stance on the righty.  The team will give serious thought to trading Nolasco this offseason, a source who spoke to a front office member told Juan C. Rodriguez of the South Florida Sun-Sentinel.

The biggest issue with Nolasco is his performance; he posted a 4.67 ERA, 6.5 K/9, 1.9 BB/9, 0.87 HR/9, and 45.1% groundball rate this year in 206 innings.  In the past three seasons, Nolasco has posted SIERAs of 3.23, 3.37, and 3.64.  However, the ERAs haven't matched up: 5.06, 4.51, and 4.67.  The problem is that Nolasco has been so darn hittable, at about ten per nine innings over 2009-11.  Nolasco's batted balls have been resulting in hits about 32% of the time, with line drives a frequent outcome.

Nolasco's velocity took a dip this year, as did his strikeout rate.  But he remained extremely stingy with free passes, and showed signs of being able to prevent longballs too.  There will probably be several sabermetric-inclined teams that consider Nolasco a buy-low candidate, especially if they can put him in front of a stronger defense.

On a personal level, Marlins manager Jack McKeon seemed to question Nolasco's determination, telling Rodriguez, "I can't figure him out.  He's got too good of stuff to be a 10-12 pitcher…He better look in the mirror and see if he can make an adjustment or two. Evidently, the hitters are making adjustments to him."

Nolasco, 28, signed a three-year extension in December last year.  He's owed $20.5MM over the next two seasons.  I think the Marlins will be faced with a Wandy Rodriguez-type situation: there will be teams willing to take on that entire contract, but then the players offered won't be terribly appealing.  We've seen in the past that when the Marlins want to move a player they do it, even if they don't appear to be getting great value for him.  So it wouldn't be surprising to see Nolasco traded in November for a less-than-stellar return, freeing up cash for the Marlins to pursue a replacement.

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Miami Marlins Ricky Nolasco

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Free Agent Stock Watch: Josh Willingham

By Tim Dierkes | September 26, 2011 at 10:29am CDT

Left fielder Josh Willingham has established career-highs in home runs and RBIs this year, with 28 and 94 respectively and three games remain on the schedule.  On the other hand, a slipping batting average and walk rate have his OBP at a career-worst .335, and his defense doesn't come highly regarded.

Willingham

Many teams seeking power this offseason will start with home runs, and among free agents only Albert Pujols, Prince Fielder, and David Ortiz have more than Willingham, with Carlos Pena even at 28.  Aramis Ramirez and Carlos Beltran are at 25 and 22 respectively, and Michael Cuddyer would be at the bottom end of that range had he not missed time due to injuries.  Pujols and Fielder come with price tags only a handful of teams can consider, while Ortiz requires a DH job.

Ramirez, Beltran, Cuddyer, Pena, and Willingham form the next tier of free agent hitters.  The first three are probably looking at three-year deals paying $10MM or more per year.  Pena and Willingham may have to settle for two-year deals.  Willingham, in particular, probably will receive less than $10MM per year.  I'm thinking something in the two-year, $16MM range.

Pena comes with the wrinkle of a perenially ugly batting average.  With Willingham, the warts are his defense, durability, potential Type A status, and this year's OBP drop.  Maybe next year his walk rate comes back up a bit, and you're comfortable penciling him in for 130 games instead of 155.  The Type A issue could go away too if the A's don't offer arbitration.  Or perhaps Willingham will never hit the market, if the team offers and he accepts.  As we learned yesterday from Susan Slusser, the Athletics' spending decisions are on hold until they hear about their stadium situation.  Agent Matt Sosnick said, "Josh and I both made it clear he'd like to stay, but at this point, I'm pretty sure he'll test the free-agent market."    

Losing a draft pick for Willingham would sting, depending on what team signs him.  A team like the Indians, with the first unprotected pick at #16, probably wouldn't want to make the sacrifice.  The Dodgers and Giants also project to pick in the top 20.  Willingham should still have a range of suitors, with the White Sox, Twins, and Reds also among the teams with potential left field openings.

Photo courtesy of Icon SMI.

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Free Agent Stock Watch Oakland Athletics Josh Willingham

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Arbitration Eligibles: New York Mets

By Tim Dierkes | September 26, 2011 at 8:25am CDT

The Mets are next in our arbitration eligibles series.

  • First time: Manny Acosta
  • Second time: Mike Pelfrey
  • Third time: Ronny Paulino
  • Fourth time: Angel Pagan, Taylor Buchholz

It appears likely that the Mets will tender Pelfrey a contract, perhaps for the value of providing innings and the possibility that he'll be a little better next year.  We have his salary in the $5.9MM range.  Pagan is another player on the bubble.  He projects for $4.7MM and is an easy choice to tender if the Mets consider his 2011 UZR a fluke.  Buchholz missed most of the season for a shoulder injury and depression; he projects around $1.2MM.

Acosta and Paulino will be affordable, at about $1MM and $1.5MM respectively.  They figure to be tendered contracts.

The Mets have $66.83MM in 2012 commitments before accounting for minimum salary players, according to Cot's Baseball Contracts.  If everyone but Buchholz remains, that puts them near $80MM plus Tim Byrdak's salary.  Mets GM Sandy Alderson implied earlier this month that the team may cut payroll to the $100-110MM range.  That'd leave enough money for Jose Reyes and a few other pieces, and that's assuming most arbitration eligible players are tendered and no one is traded.

Matt Swartz contributed to this post.

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Arbitration Eligibles New York Mets

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Quick Hits: Nunez, Scouts, Pujols, Indians

By Zachary Links | September 25, 2011 at 9:54pm CDT

Links for Sunday evening as the Red Sox beat the Yankees 7-4 in 14 innings.  The Rays now sit one game back in the wild-card hunt with a three game set against the Bombers to go..

  • Marlins reliever Edward Mujica hopes that the club gives the closer formerly known as Leo Nunez another chance, writes Juan C. Rodriguez of the Sun Sentinel.  Nunez, or Juan Carlos Oviedo, is arbitration eligible and it’s unclear whether the club is required to tender him a 2012 contract before the December 12 deadline.
  • There's going to be some big name players on the open market this winter but there are also going to be some important scouts available for hire, Bob Nightengale of USA Today notes (on Twitter).  Among those available are Gary Hughes (Cubs), Larry Corrigan (Pirates), Bryan Lambe (Mets), Keith Champion (Pirates), and Wayne Krivsky (Mets).
  • No one knows for sure if Albert Pujols will wind up with a new club this offseason, but Cubs slugger Carlos Pena believes that he'll stay with the Cardinals, writes Carrie Muskat of MLB.com.
  • This season, the Indians drew 1.84MM in 81 home games, according to Bob Nightengale of USA Today (via Twitter).  That figure marks an increase of 450K from last season.
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Cleveland Guardians Miami Marlins Albert Pujols Carlos Pena Leo Nunez

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West Notes: Kuroda, Lopez, Sanchez, Harden, Angels

By Zachary Links | September 25, 2011 at 7:48pm CDT

Here are some notes from both divisions out west…

  • Dodgers pitcher Hiroki Kuroda shrugged off speculation from the Japanese media that he'll return to Japan to pitch a farewell season with Hiroshima in 2012, writes Ken Gurnick of MLB.com.  Kuroda put the odds of him pitching in MLB or going home next season at 50-50.
  • Expect lots of teams to talk with the agent of Giants reliever Javier Lopez, writes ESPN.com's Buster Olney.  The 34-year-old has postseason experience and teams such as the Yankees, Red Sox, Rangers, Brewers, and Cardinals have been after a good matchup lefty this year.
  • Giants second baseman Freddy Sanchez expect to be ready for opening day but manager Bruce Bochy and GM Brian Sabean already have discussed the importance of covering themselves with other options at the position, writes Andrew Baggarly of the Mercury News. 
  • Rich Harden would like to return to the Athletics and Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle says that’s something that could happen.  The injury-prone veteran would likely sign for an inexpensive one-year deal.
  • With his strong work down the stretch, Jerome Williams has become the leading in-house candidate to assume one of the spots behind Jered Weaver, Dan Haren, and Ervin Santana in the Angels' 2012 rotation, writes Lyle Spencer of MLB.com.
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Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Dodgers Oakland Athletics San Francisco Giants Freddy Sanchez Hiroki Kuroda Javier Lopez Jerome Williams Rich Harden

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NL East Notes: Nats, Pelfrey, Mets, Strasburg

By Steve Adams | September 25, 2011 at 6:39pm CDT

The Phillies have already clinched the NL East, while the Braves cling to a two-game lead in the NL Wild Card race entering play today. Here's some news that focuses primarily on a couple of other teams in the Senior Circuit's Eastern Division…

  • Nationals General Manager Mike Rizzo expects a relatively quick resolution to the open managerial situation, writes Adam Kilgore of the Washington Post.  Rizzo said he will interview candidates both inside and outside the organization.
  • In addition to targeting an impact starting pitcher (mentioned below), the Nationals would like to add a high-OBP outfielder to hit atop their lineup, writes Ben Goessling of MASNsports. Previous targets have included Denard Span, Michael Bourn, and B.J. Upton. Goessling says Washington is once again a logical landing place for Upton.
  • The Mets will not renew the contracts of Wayne Krivsky and Bryan Lambe when they expire on October 31, writes Andy Martino of the New York Daily News. Both front office executives date back to Omar Minaya's time as GM. Krivsky, a former Reds GM, was responsible for bringing Justin Turner to the organization.
  • It's likely that the Mets tender Mike Pelfrey a contract, but the right-hander is still searching for a new pitch after a disappointing 2011 season, writes Andy McCullough of the New Jersy Star-Ledger.
  • Nationals GM Mike Rizzo says the club is targeting an impact starting pitcher and another bat this offseason, tweets MLB.com's Bill Ladson. Earlier this week we heard they were scouting C.J. Wilson.
  • According to an AP report (via the Boston Herald), the Nationals will have Stephen Strasburg on an innings limit in 2012.
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New York Mets Washington Nationals Mike Pelfrey Stephen Strasburg

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MLBTR Originals

By Zachary Links | September 25, 2011 at 6:05pm CDT

Here's a look back at some of the analysis and reporting MLBTR's writing team delivered this week..

  • Phillies starter Roy Oswalt is no longer considering retirement after this season, but the Phillies probably won't exercise their end of his $16MM mutual option for 2012.  Dan Mennella examined his stock heading into free agency this winter.
  • Tim Dierkes writes that Michael Cuddyer could find three years and $30MM on the open market this winter.  If the Twins want to hang on to him they might have to offer something in the three-year, $27MM range.
  • Howard Megdal wonders if owners and GMs learn from bad contracts.
  • We took a look back at four MLBTR polls from the month of February to see how everyone did.
  • Francisco Rodriguez is gearing up for his second venture into free agency and he might seek out a one-year deal so that he can hit the open market again next year, writes Dan Mennella.
  • Mark Polishuk reviewed Moneyball to see how Michael Lewis' book fits the silver screen.
  • On Saturday, Mike Axisa rounded up the best from the web for this week's edition of Baseball Blogs Weigh In.
  • On Thursday, Ben Nicholson-Smith examined Boston's starting pitching options as they continue their late season slide.
  • Our GM Candidates series continued as Ben Nicholson-Smith talked to Matt Klentak who serves as the Orioles' director of baseball operations.  You can check out the entire series here.
  • If the Giants allow Jeremy Affeldt to hit free agency this offseason instead of picking up the veteran left-hander’s $5MM option for 2012, his job prospects will probably be promising.
  • Ben also examined the free agent stock of Cody Ross.
  • If you missed out on Tim Dierkes' weekly chat, you can take a look at the transcript right here.
  • The Arbitration Eligibles series rolled on with a look at the Rangers, Marlins, and Braves.
  • Jonathan Broxton has been sidelined with right arm problems since May 3rd and when he returns there’s a good chance we’ll see a different kind of pitcher.  Now, a one-year, incentive-based deal seems likely for the hurler, writes Ben Nicholson-Smith.
  • There have been seventeen $100MM+ contracts signed in free agency and we asked our readers how many they expect to be inked this winter.
  • This week we posted a handy list of links to our team Facebook, Twitter, and RSS pages and feeds.
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