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Athletics, General Manager David Forst Discussing New Contract

By Steve Adams | September 25, 2025 at 12:26pm CDT

Athletics general manager David Forst has overseen baseball operations for the club since the 2022-23 offseason, when longtime GM Billy Beane moved into an advisory role. Details surrounding Forst’s contract never went public, but Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports that Forst’s current deal is expiring at the end of the season. Forst and owner John Fisher have been discussing his future, Rosenthal adds. It’s not clear whether an agreement is close, but at the very least, talks on a new contract suggest that Fisher isn’t pursuing a change outright and is amenable to keeping Forst aboard.

The 49-year-old Forst has been with the A’s organization since 2000. He told the San Francisco Chronicle’s John Shea in 2024 that there was “not a thought that I wouldn’t be in this for the long run,” referencing the team’s pending move to Las Vegas, which they hope will come to fruition in 2028. Two more years playing their home games in West Sacramento’s Sutter Health Park — home of the Giants’ Triple-A affiliate — remain before that possibility can come to pass.

Prior to serving as general manager, Forst was an assistant general manager and, prior to that, the team’s coordinator of pro scouting. He’s a Harvard grad who played four years in college and another two years in the independent Frontier League before pursuing a career in scouting and baseball operations.

For years, Forst was Beane’s top lieutenant. Since taking the reins in the baseball operations department, the A’s have been limited in terms of free agent acquisitions. They’ve trafficked exclusively in low-cost, one- and two-year contracts with the notable exception of Luis Severino’s franchise-record (at the time) $67MM contract. The first season of that three-year pact didn’t go as hoped, though the weighty nature of the contract was at least in part due to ownership’s need to spend heavily enough to retain its status as a revenue-sharing recipient. Fisher already had that status revoked once in the past and was only reinstated as a recipient at the beginning of the 2022-26 collective bargaining agreement. The A’s reportedly made a run at bringing Sean Manaea back prior to signing Severino.

The A’s have been far more active on waivers and the trade market under Forst. His ascension to head of baseball operations was surely set on Nov. 17 when the A’s claimed Brent Rooker, for instance, though the front office shuffle wasn’t formally announced until the following day. Forst was in the GM chair for acquisitions of outfielder JJ Bleday (for A.J. Puk), left-handers Jeffrey Springs and Jacob Lopez (for Joe Boyle, minor leaguers and a Competitive Balance draft pick), and righty Mitch Spence (in the Rule 5 Draft). He’s had some success with low-cost bullpen pickups as well, including Justin Sterner, Michael Kelly and Elvis Alvarado — each claimed off waivers.

More recently, Forst oversaw a pair of deadline deals: a minor trade sending outfielder Miguel Andujar to Cincinnati and a blockbuster deal sending star closer Mason Miller to the Padres in a package that netted young shortstop Leo De Vries — widely considered one of the five to ten best prospects in all of baseball. That swap also netted rotation prospects Braden Nett and Henry Baez, as well as reliever Eduarniel Nunez.

Of course, Forst was surely heavily involved in prior roster decisions even when Beane had final say over baseball operations. He’s been an integral part of the Athletics’ front office for more than two decades.

Some fans may want to see the club go outside the organization to bring in fresh voices, but Forst deserves credit for the team’s promising core of young hitters. He signed Rooker to an extension this past spring and did the same with 25-year-old outfielder Lawrence Butler, who’s enjoyed a 20-20 season in 2025. Forst was general manager when the A’s selected likely AL Rookie of the Year Nick Kurtz with the fourth pick in the 2024 draft and took breakout shortstop Jacob Wilson with their 2023 first-rounder. He was a prominent front office figure when the club acquired Shea Langeliers in the Matt Olson trade. With Kurtz, Rooker, Butler, Langeliers, Wilson and 2020 first-rounder Tyler Soderstrom (who’s had his own 2025 breakout), the lineup for the A’s looks quite formidable — particularly if Bleday can rebound to his 2024 levels.

The A’s have clearly had their share of missteps along the course of their current rebuild, and while Forst didn’t have final say on all of the trades that haven’t panned out (e.g. Matt Chapman, Manaea, Chris Bassitt) he was a key figure in those decisions all the same. The Severino deal is probably one the A’s would like back, too, just as they’d surely prefer to undo the trade sending righty Chad Patrick to the Brewers for Abraham Toro (which occurred with Forst at the helm).

No front office leader is without deals and decisions on which they’d prefer a mulligan, though. Forst has nearly three decades of rapport established with Fisher and other key A’s figures, and though there’s still a clear need for pitching help, the young bats do give the A’s some reason for optimism. Add in that the A’s are 40-31 dating back to July 1, and Forst has plenty going for him as he looks to secure a new contract — possibly one that extends into the team’s relocation to Nevada.

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Athletics David Forst

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Sonny Gray Will Consider Waiving No-Trade Clause This Offseason

By Steve Adams | September 25, 2025 at 9:57am CDT

As the Cardinals embarked on a self-proclaimed youth movement that commenced last offseason, veterans like Sonny Gray, Willson Contreras and Nolan Arenado had control over their futures by virtue of their contracts’ no-trade provisions. Arenado ultimately wound up considering trade possibilities anyhow, but Gray and Contreras quickly made their intentions to remain in St. Louis clear to the club. That won’t be the case for Gray in the coming offseason, however. Asked following last night’s game whether he feels he has to consider greenlighting a trade this winter, the former All-Star was candid in acknowledging a change in tune (link via Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch):

“I think I do, just to be frank and to be honest. I definitely think I do. Whether I do decide that I want to go somewhere – whether that actually happens – I don’t have complete control of that. Obviously, I have control of where I can’t go or don’t go. I’m going to be 36. It’s going to be my 14th season. Last year of my contract for this. I don’t know what the future holds for me.”

Gray, 36 in November, has enjoyed another solid season in 2025, pitching to a 4.28 ERA with a 26.7% strikeout rate, a 5% walk rate and a 43.9% ground-ball rate in 180 2/3 innings. Metrics like FIP (3.39) and SIERA (3.29) feel he’s been far better than that more rudimentary earned run average would indicate. Since signing with the Cards in the 2023-24 offseason, Gray has made 60 starts and turned in a 4.07 ERA (3.27 FIP, 3.16 SIERA) in 347 innings.

On the surface, that performance and Gray’s broader track record would seem to create plenty of trade value — but the right-hander’s contract complicates matters. Even beyond the full no-trade protection, the backloaded nature of the contract will make it difficult for new president of baseball operations Chaim Bloom (who was announced as current president John Mozeliak’s successor last October) to extract real value in return for the former Cy Young runner-up.

Gray is entering the final season of a three-year, $75MM contract. However, he earned just $10MM of that sum in year one of the contract and $25MM in 2025. He’s owed a massive $35MM salary for the 2026 season and at least a $5MM buyout on a $30MM club option for the 2027 season. The 2022-26 CBA stipulates that for traded players, their luxury tax hit is recalculated to match the remainder of their contract. As such, Gray comes with a $40MM CBT number. To a team that isn’t paying the luxury tax, that’s perhaps not a dealbreaker. But for third-time payors in the top penalty tier (e.g. Dodgers, Mets, Phillies, Yankees), Gray would come with a 110% tax; he’d effectively cost them a staggering $84MM.

No team is going to that length for one year of Gray, Plus, the Cards can’t even pitch the ’27 club option as a potential benefit. Gray’s contract stipulates that if his 2027 option is exercised, he can simply void the option and elect free agency. If Gray pitches well enough next year to merit a $30MM salary in 2027, he’ll probably just opt out once that option is exercised. That’d spare the new team $5MM in guaranteed money (plus any associated taxes), but that’s not really a selling point for the Cardinals when negotiating.

While we’ve seen a select few pitchers secure an annual value exceeding the effective one year and $40MM remaining on Gray’s contract, MLBTR’s Contract Tracker shows that it’s been reserved only for clear Cy Young-caliber arms coming off peak seasons. Justin Verlander and Max Scherzer both secured $43.333MM annual values when they were even older than Gray, but Verlander was coming off an AL Cy Young win in 2022 and Scherzer had just posted a 2.46 ERA and finished third in NL Cy Young balloting the year prior. Zack Wheeler’s three-year extension with the Phillies pays him $42MM annually but was signed when Wheeler was a year younger and had turned in a combined 3.06 ERA in his previous 629 1/3 innings.

Gray, of course, is a decorated pitcher himself — a former first-round pick and three-time All-Star who has twice finished in the top-three of American Cy Young voting. That includes a second-place Cy Young finish with Minnesota as recently as 2023. His work with the Cardinals has been a few steps below those other $40MM-per-year aces, however.

There’s little doubt that Gray would be an in-demand commodity, in a vacuum. He’s 13th among all major league pitchers in terms of innings pitched since the 2019 season and carries a strong 3.51 ERA in that time. He misses bats, boasts plus command and keeps the ball on the ground at a slightly above-average clip. If Gray were a free agent and were to declare that he would only sign a one-year deal, it’s feasible that he could command close to $30MM, or perhaps even a slight bit more. Teams — especially big-market, high-payroll clubs — are often willing to pay a premium in terms of AAV to limit the long-term risk on free-agent contracts.

Even if there are teams who value him in that range though, the Cardinals would need to eat around $10MM just to pay Gray down to market value. If they wanted to actually create the type of surplus value that would net them a notable return in terms of prospects, they’d probably need to eat closer to $20-25MM of the contract. That probably wouldn’t net them a premium prospect, but at that price point they could justify asking for a solid minor leaguer or two to add to the middle tiers of their farm system.

It’s not yet clear how comfortable Cards ownership will be with paying substantial money to net a prospect return. If simply clearing salary is the goal, the Cards could probably eat $8-10MM and find a taker with little to no return — similar to the Cubs’ trade of Cody Bellinger to the Yankees last winter. The strength of any potential return will be contingent upon how much of the contract the DeWitt family is willing to pay down. Those are conversations that Bloom and ownership will have in the weeks ahead.

What’s clear at this point is both Gray’s intention to consider the possibility of waiving that full no-trade clause and the type of offseason that looms on the horizon for the Cardinals.

“I know the deal,” Gray last night said after noting that he and Bloom have spoken at length about the upcoming offseason. “I know the direction. …I came here to win. I signed here two years ago with the expectation of winning and trying to win, and that hasn’t played out that way. I want to win. I want to win, and I expect to win.”

Based on everything Gray said last night, there’s a very real chance that yesterday’s outing — six innings, two runs, seven hits, two walks, seven strikeouts — represents the final appearance of his Cardinals tenure.

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Newsstand St. Louis Cardinals Sonny Gray

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David Fry Out Six To Eight Weeks Due To Facial Fractures, Won’t Require Surgery

By Steve Adams | September 24, 2025 at 1:57pm CDT

The Guardians announced Wednesday that designated hitter David Fry, who was hit in the face by a 99 mph fastball from Tarik Skubal last night, will not require surgery. He’ll still be out six to eight weeks, but the 29-year-old has thankfully avoided any catastrophic injuries. The team’s statement reads as follows:

“Imaging and clinical examination have confirmed that David Fry sustained multiple, minimally displaced, left-sided facial and nasal fractures. While the injury will require close monitoring, including serial assessments, David is expected to fully recover over the next 6-8 weeks without the need for surgery. David was recently discharged from the Cleveland Clinic and is resting comfortably.

The Cleveland Guardians would like to express gratitude to several groups who were intimately involved in the emergent care and treatment of David during last night’s game: Physician’s Ambulance, caregivers at Lutheran Hospital and Cleveland Clinic emergency departments, and the nurses and physicians at CCF working in the ENT and plastic surgery departments. Thank you all for your professionalism, expertise, and compassion.”

Fry came to the plate with runners on the corners and no outs against Skubal in the bottom of the sixth. Attempting to bunt on a 2-1 pitch, Fry was unable to avoid that blistering heater and immediately dropped to his back with his hands covering his face. Skubal was visibly distraught after throwing the pitch. Fry was eventually helped to his feet and carted off the field.

That frightening scene overshadowed what has become an unexpectedly heated race for an AL Central division that looked to be a foregone conclusion not long ago. Cleveland went on to win the game, though the thoughts of everyone on the club were surely with their teammate even as they drew to a first-place tie with the Tigers. Not only has Cleveland incredibly won 17 of its past 20 games — they’ve done so as Detroit has dropped seven in a row and 10 of its past 11 contests. What was a 9.5-game division lead as recently as Sept. 10 has completely gone up in smoke.

The bigger takeaway, of course, is that Fry won’t need surgery and somehow managed to avoid a calamitous injury despite the impact of that pitch. The injury will still end what has been a frustrating season for the late-blooming slugger. After breaking out with a .263/.356/.448 slash and 14 homers in 392 plate appearances as a 28-year-old in just his second big league season last year, Fry underwent offseason elbow surgery that kept him shelved into early June.

Cleveland controls Fry through the 2029 season, and he’ll be arbitration-eligible as a Super Two player for the first time this winter. For the time being, Fry has obviously been placed on the 10-day injured list. Outfielder Johnathan Rodriguez was recalled from Triple-A Columbus to take his spot on the active roster.

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Cleveland Guardians David Fry

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Reid Detmers Won’t Require Elbow Surgery, Hopes To Return To Rotation In 2026

By Steve Adams | September 24, 2025 at 11:02am CDT

Angels lefty Reid Detmers hit the 15-day injured list due to elbow inflammation 13 days ago but was transferred to the 60-day IL the following day, formally ending his season. There was some ominous uncertainty surrounding his status, as he underwent an MRI shortly after the IL placement but there was no update from the team. The southpaw himself gave some good news to the Angels beat yesterday, revealing that the MRI showed no structural damage (via Jeff Fletcher of the Orange County Register). Detmers is planning to have a normal offseason.

Perhaps more interestingly, the 26-year-old Detmers indicated that while he’ll pitch in whatever role the team envisions for him, his personal preference would be to return to the rotation after spending the 2025 season in the bullpen for the first time.

“All I’ve ever known is starting,” said Detmers when asked about his role. “I would like to start again. I think taking from what I learned this year about my mentality and stuff like that, I think I can transfer that over to starting and have a good year starting. But at the same time, it’s up to them. I’m willing to do whatever they want me to do, like I said at the beginning of the year. Anything that helps the team win.”

Detmers, the No. 10 pick in the 2020 draft, spent the 2022-24 seasons in the Halos’ rotation, generally pitching well in ’22-’23 before struggling mightily in ’24. During those first two full seasons as a starter, the Louisville product posted a combined 4.15 earned run average with a 24.5% strikeout rate, a 9% walk rate, a 36.4% ground-ball rate and an average of 1.04 homers per nine frames.

The 2024 season was a nightmare, however. Detmers made just 17 starts in the majors and was rocked for a 6.70 ERA. Though his strikeout rate actually improved (27.9%) and his walk rate held close to prior levels (9.7%), Detmers couldn’t escape the long ball. He averaged a whopping 1.85 homers per nine innings. After seeing just 10.3% of the fly-balls he allowed become home runs in 2022-23, that number exploded to 17.1% in 2024.

Detmers’ batted-ball metrics didn’t change much; his average exit velocity held at the same level as the previous season and his opponents’ hard-hit rate even dropped a couple percentage points. But when Detmers misfired in 2024, he often missed badly. A poor Angels defense didn’t do him any favors — he had a career-worst .357 average on balls in play last year — but Detmers’ primary flaw was being far too susceptible to maximum-damage contact on pitches that missed over the heart of the plate. His changeup, in particular, was hit hard. He struggled enough that the Halos even optioned him to Triple-A, but home runs were an even larger issue there (2.08 HR/9) as he pitched to a 5.54 ERA with the Angels’ Salt Lake affiliate.

A move to the ’pen in 2025 seemed to revitalize Detmers. The 6’2″ lefty has worked exclusively in relief this season and turned in a solid 3.96 ERA in 63 2/3 innings. Detmers’ average fastball unsurprisingly jumped when working in short relief, climbing from 93.8 mph in 2024 to 95.8 mph this year. His already strong 13% swinging-strike rate spiked to 14.6%, which helped fuel a career-best 30.1% strikeout rate. Most critically, the home run troubles that plagued Detmers in 2024 abated. He saw a roughly league-average 12.2% of his fly-balls leave the yard, but thanks to a big uptick in grounders (44.6%), that only translated to 0.85 homers per nine frames.

On the one hand, the move to relief producing nearly career-best results is a strong point in favor of keeping Detmers in the bullpen. On the other, he was an effective starter in 2022-23, and this year’s improved results could be attributable to more than just the role change. Detmers shelved his changeup, narrowing his repertoire to three pitches: four-seamer, slider, curveball. He threw the four-seamer at the same levels as in the past but leaned more heavily on that pair of breaking balls (and very occasionally tinkered with a two-seamer).

Opponents absolutely teed off on Detmers’ changeup in 2024, batting .351 and slugging .544 against the pitch. For the Angels, it’s probably hard not to wonder whether a return to the rotation with this altered plan of attack could bring about the best of both worlds. Detmers’ heater would surely drop a mile or two if he stretched back out, but perhaps ditching that changeup and working with a tighter arsenal could avoid some of last year’s alarming home run woes.

The Angels aren’t exactly deep in starting pitching. Yusei Kikuchi and Jose Soriano give them a solid starting point in the rotation, but veterans Tyler Anderson and Kyle Hendricks are free agents. Young arms like Jack Kochanowicz, Caden Dana, Mitch Farris and Sam Aldegheri have all gotten looks in the majors this year but haven’t cemented themselves in the rotation mix moving forward. In the case of Kochanowicz, the opposite may even be true; he was torched for a 6.81 ERA in 111 innings while working with one of the game’s lowest strikeout rates.

Presumably, the Angels will again be in the rotation market this winter, as they were last offseason when signing Kikuchi and Hendricks. If Halos brass thinks a shift back to the rotation for Detmers could pan out, however, that’d lessen some of the urgency and general need for starting pitching this winter. Of course, it’d also only enhance the need to bolster a bullpen that’ll see Kenley Jansen, Luis García, Andrew Chafin and Hunter Strickland become free agents at season’s end.

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Los Angeles Angels Reid Detmers

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MLB Competition Committee Approves Automated Ball-Strike System For 2026 Season

By Steve Adams | September 23, 2025 at 7:33pm CDT

7:33pm: Major League Baseball’s Joint Competition Committee voted 9-2 to approve the ABS challenge system, Bob Nightengale of USA Today reports. All six owners and three of the four players voted in favor of the change. One of the players and the lone umpire on the committee voted against.

12:52pm: As expected, the ABS challenge system has been approved, per an MLB announcement.

11:50am: Major League Baseball’s Joint Competition Committee will meet today to vote on the implementation of the Automated Ball-Strike system for the 2026 season, Joel Sherman of the New York Post reports. The 11-person committee — comprised of six owners, four players and one umpire — is expected to approve the ABS system for next year.

It’ll be a radical shift to the game’s identity — one that many fans feel is overdue but many others oppose with fervor. The strike zone will not be fully automated if and when the ABS system is approved. Rather, the challenge system that has been used in the minor leagues, during spring training and during this year’s All-Star Game will be in place.

Under the incoming ABS system, any pitcher, catcher or hitter will be able to tap his helmet or cap to signify his desire to challenge a ball or strike call from the home plate umpire. Teams are afforded two challenges per game but are only docked a challenge if it is unsuccessful. Once a team has two unsuccessful challenges, they’ll be out of challenges for the remainder of the game. In theory, there’s no limit to the number of successful challenges a team could go through in a game. Challenges must come immediately after a ball/strike call is made; the dugout cannot have the team’s replay coordinator review the pitch and call for a challenge 10 to 15 seconds after the pitch was delivered, for instance. The challenge result will be shown on the on the scoreboard immediately after a challenge is granted.

For many players, this system will be second-nature. The ABS system was first implemented in the low minors back in 2021. It’s been standard at the Triple-A level since 2022. More veteran players got their first taste of it during spring training 2025 and will have all of the 2026 spring schedule to acclimate to the changes. As with any notable change, there will be some hurdles and probably some hiccups in the adoption, but the league’s hope is surely that — much like the pitch clock and, to a lesser extent, instant replay — it will quickly become a fairly seamless integration.

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Newsstand Rob Manfred

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White Sox Select Corey Julks

By Steve Adams | September 23, 2025 at 2:05pm CDT

The White Sox announced today that outfielder Andrew Benintendi has been placed on the 10-day injured list, retroactive to September 21st, due to left Achilles tendinitis. Fellow outfielder Corey Julks has been selected to take his place on the active roster. The Sox had a couple of 40-man vacancies, so no further corresponding moves were necessary.

Benintendi’s injury brings another pedestrian season to a close for the former All-Star. The 31-year-old was excellent from June 1 onward in 2024 and looked to be on track for a full-fledged rebound earlier this season, but an uneven summer and multiple trips to the injured list will leave him with a .240/.307/.431 batting line that’s more or less league-average (102 wRC+).

We’re now three years into Benintendi’s five-year, $75MM free agent deal — remarkably, still the largest contract in franchise history for the White Sox — and he’s turned in a .245/.309/.391 batting line in 1613 plate appearances. Coupled with declining speed/baserunning value and defensive ratings that have tanked since signing with the South Siders, that output from the batter’s box has left Benintendi as a roughly replacement-level player since 2023 (-0.3 fWAR, 0.6 bWAR).

Earlier in the summer, the Sox were reportedly willing to pay down some of Benintendi’s contract if it meant facilitating a trade. No deal came together (obviously), and now that he’s further removed from that big finish to his ’24 season, it’s harder to take an optimistic stance on his 2026-27 outlook. He’s owed $31MM in the final two seasons of his contract, and the Sox would need to eat the vast majority of that or take on a different underwater contract to make a trade even remotely plausible in the offseason.

Julks, 29, was originally acquired from the Astros in May 2024 after he’d been designated for assignment in Houston. He’s seen minimal MLB time with the Sox since that swap and turned in a collective .221/.279/.320 batting line (71 wRC+) between the two seasons.

Chicago has already passed Julks through waivers unclaimed twice during the 2025 calendar year. He went 3-for-8 with a pair of doubles during his brief MLB look earlier this season but is a career .236/.290/.340 hitter in 520 major league plate appearances between the ’Stros and Pale Hose. That said, he’s had a solid showing in Triple-A Charlotte this year, hitting .300/.374/.477 with 15 homers and 18 stolen bases in 487 turns at the plate.

Given the late nature of Julks’ return to the 40-man roster and the multiple outrights already in 2025, there’s a decent chance it’ll be a short stay on the roster for Julks once again. If the Sox remove him from the roster following the season, he can become a minor league free agent, though his strong work in Charlotte this year might be enough to keep him around as a depth option.

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Chicago White Sox Transactions Andrew Benintendi Corey Julks

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MLBTR Chat Transcript

By Steve Adams | September 23, 2025 at 12:58pm CDT

Steve Adams

  • Good morning! I’ll get going at 1pm CT, give or take a couple minutes. As always, feel free to ask a question(s) in advance if you prefer!
  • Let’s begin!

Kevin

  • Should the Phillies re-sign Harrison Bader? Brandon Marsh has regressed heavily in CF, Johan Rojas has not shown any ability to hit, and top prospect Justin Crawford is getting billed by scouts as a better fit in LF. Not many quality CF options out there.

Steve Adams

  • It’s a fine fit, and I don’t anticipate him being especially expensive — at least not by the Phillies’ standards. I do think he’s been so good in Philly that he’s started to price himself well beyond what my initial expectations were (something like 2/25). But even if he’s pushed firmly into three-year deal territory or beyond by now, the Phils can afford that, and at minimum you know you’ve got a plus-plus defender who can hit lefties, while his 2025 has shown he can be substantially more than that.

Cincinnati kid.

  • With the reds not resigning Nick Martinez, Gavin Lux and Emilio Pagan for the 2026 season is it realistic to try to bring Kyle Schwarber on a 3 year $90 million dollar deal to be designated hitter in Cincinnati

Steve Adams

  • Back in April, I’d have said 3/90 for Schwarber seemed right. Heck, I shouldn’t say “I *would* have said that.” I did say that. But he’s way beyond that now, lack of defensive value notwithstanding. He’s got four years for me, probably at or even a bit north of that $30MM AAV. (Or slightly below, if someone goes nuts and stretches to like 5/140).I think somewhere in the $120-130MM range overall though. And that will shatter precedent for a player at this age and with this lack of defensive utility, but I still expect it. Contractual precedents all fall eventually.

Read more

Meow

  • 2-3 months back I asked what could possibly stop the run that the Tigers were on for the AL Central. You answered “The Cleveland Guardians” which seemed laughable at the time. So 1) I apologize for laughing and 2) which do you think has been more remarkable, the Tigers plummeting downwards or the Guardians surging upwards?

Steve Adams

  • Maybe Anthony or Mark answered that way, but I will be the first to say I did not have this type of foresight and that I’m as amazed/impressed/dumbfounded as anyone else, ha
  • I don’t know that I’d have been completely stunned if you told me Detroit slowed down in the second half. I found their deadline astonishingly underwhelming. But the sheer magnitude of the collapse is still a surprise, so I have to give it to them

Natitude

  • What’s your take on Dylan Crews?  A universally highly regarded prospect with a difficult beginning to his career.  Cornerstone foundation piece or no?

Steve Adams

  • Toss out his first two weeks of the season and he’s an above-average hitter with good batted-ball metrics and a lower-than-average strikeout rate. I think he’s an everyday outfielder for Washington, and a pretty good one (health-permitting, but you can say that about any prospect)

Hunt for Reds October

  • You have to give the Reds kids credit for playing their hearts out even though they got no help from the front office.  That starting rotation may make it interesting if they make the postseason, don’t you agree?

Steve Adams

  • Love their rotation and would be really excited to watch them in a postseason setting. Hunter Greene is just so good, and while Chase Burns is pitching in relief right now, that looks like such a fun 1-2 combo for the foreseeable future.The lineup is underwhelming, though, and gives me plenty of concern for how they’d fare in a postseason setting where the baked-in off-days allow their opponents to more heavily lean on their top power arms.

Sox

  • Red Sox have some good young arms – Tolle, Early, Harrison. How does the rotation shake out next year? I assume Giolito will walk. Crochet and Bello at the top followed by the young guys. Do they add Valdez or someone else in free agency? Take a swing at Joe Ryan again?

Steve Adams

  • I think they’ll take a swing at Ryan again, yes, and more broadly just be focused on adding at least one starting pitcher. Tolle, Early and Harrison (especially the former two) are a nice trio to dream on. Crochet is an ace. Bello has been very good. Patrick Sandoval will hopefully be healthy. But so much of the rest of their depth has gone down with major injuries, and you simply can’t bank on a group as small as the one we just ran through staying healthy all year.Even if they add a starter of some note — say they sign one of Merrill Kelly, Tyler Mahle, Zach Eflin, etc. — you can probably still get 100+ innings for each of Tolle, Early and Harrison if they all earn it with their performance. Inevitably, someone’s going to need a month for a hamstring or oblique strain, or for shoulder fatigue, or something. And there’s the obvious risk every team runs of something more severe wiping out a whole season for one or more of those arms.

Stevie & The Sterns

  • Our repeat of the “sign a value SP who will over achieve” experiment didnt prove successful the second time around. Will we finally spend on a premium arm (who’s also not 45 years old)?

Steve Adams

  • Kodai Senga, Nolan McLean, David Peterson, Brandon Sproat, Sean Manaea, Jonah Tong, Christian Scott and Tylor Megill all still in the rotation mix for next year (maybe not Megill, depending on how the elbow progresses). David Stearns has never shelled out a long-term deal for a starting pitcher, either in Milwaukee or in two offseasons in Queens.I won’t be surprised at all if they add another starter, but I don’t think they’re going to throw five years at Ranger Suarez, Framber Valdez, Dylan Cease, etc.

Guest

  • *insert generic question here asking about your personal feelings about the ABS system being implemented*

Steve Adams

  • Good with me. Some of the changes the game has implemented over the years still irk me (free runner in extra innings, barf) — but pitch clock, ABS, sign me up. It’s frustrating watching umps get the calls wrong, and the technology to correct it is there.

Sir Nerdlington

  • Ever since Theo put the ’our offense broke’ into the universe the Cubs offense has proven him correct every September. With the near given that Tucker lands elsewhere, where can they upgrade? Lots of very good, not great players on the offensive side of the ball.

Steve Adams

  • I don’t think Matt Shaw has done enough to cement himself as the 3B of the future. Alex Bregman will be out there and in the Cubs’ price range. Easy enough to find room for an outfielder, too. They have Happ, PCA and Suzuki heading into 2026, but Happ and Suzuki are free agents in the 2026-27 offseason and PCA’s showing over the past couple months shows there’s still room for improvement there, talented as he is.

MVP

  • End of season MVP check, Judge or Cal?

Steve Adams

  • I’m a Raleigh guy but it’s so close that I have zero pushback for anyone who says Judge. There are some great seasons beyond that pair — Julio Rodriguez, Jose Ramirez, Jeremy Pena — but it has to be Judge or Cal this year. They should get all of the first- and second-place votes between them, and beyond that, I don’t think there’s really a “bad” choice.

Galcian

  • Does any team even want Arenado this winter?

Steve Adams

  • He’s hitting .236/.290/.365. I know he’s a big name with a plus glove and great contact skills, but he’s making almost no impact with the bat. That contract is almost entirely underwater.

Steinbrenner’s ghost

  • Who is my doddering son more likely to re-sign: Chisolm or Bellinger?  Or does he finally start acting like me and pay them both?

Steve Adams

  • Jazz is still under club control through 2026.
  • I can see the Yankees re-signing Bellinger, but there’ll be ample competition. Might depend on the Grisham qualifying offer scenario. I think they have to make it. He feels like he’ll reject, but I don’t know that that’s a total given, and if he accepts it becomes harder to justify throwing five years at Bellinger when you’re already going to have Grisham, Judge, Dominguez, Stanton and (eventually) Spencer Jones in the OF mix — with other needs to address elsewhere on the roster.

Cherrington

  • Ashcraft, Chandler, Jones, Skenes, now Barco. Sure seems like Bucs could deal a pitcher for a bat.

Steve Adams

  • Plus Keller, Oviedo, Burrows, Harrington and this year’s top pick, Seth Hernandez. Probably some other minor league arms I’m blanking on.
  • Yes, they should trade an arm for a bat or bats.
  • And that’s coming from the guy who routinely opines that there’s no such thing as a “surplus” in MLB

Skenes 4 MVP

  • why isn’t skenes in the conversation for mvp?  he has a higher WAR than Ohtani.

Steve Adams

  • In general, pitchers should get more love in MVP voting, I agree. (Zack Wheeler was the 2021 NL MVP, hard stop.)But while WAR isn’t a perfect stat, Skenes doesn’t even have more than Ohtani there. Shohei has 7+ fWAR just as a hitter, plus another 1-2 fWAR or RA9-WAR for pitching. If you go strictly by Baseball-Reference’s version, Skenes has a 0.1 lead on Ohtani, but that’s beyond negligible, and I think the uniqueness of Ohtani’s contributions makes him a pretty clear winner.
  • But yeah, Skenes will eventually have a season where he should absolutely be the MVP, and it’ll probably get overlooked. I dislike the manner in which pitchers are just written off in MVP consideration unless they’re having some comically historic season.

MLBTR Fan

  • Steve, I sense that you are probably a picky eater for some reason. Are you just a “plain cheese” kinda pizza guy??

Steve Adams

  • I’ll eat almost anything, but hey, nothing wrong with a cheese pizza. Not my preference, but if you put it in front of me right now, sure. (Well .. if you put it in front of me an hour ago. I’ve already eaten lunch now. But I digress)

Binky

  • Ohio World Series coming soon  – Reds vs Guardians.

Steve Adams

  • This would rule. MLB would hate it, but sign me the hell up for a weird WS matchup that no one saw coming.

STL frustrated

  • Arenado can still be valuable. Decent pickup if DeWitt is willing to eat 30-40% of the money, which is kind of doubtful since they have taken up the Pittsburgh Miami Tampa spending philosophy.

Steve Adams

  • 30-40% of the contract isn’t getting anything. Even if you take away the $5MM the Rox are kicking in next season, he’s still owed $37MM over two years. Arenado isn’t getting two years and $22MM in free agency as a 35-year-old coming off an 80 wRC+. If the Cardinals pay him down to like $5MM per year, maybe someone takes him, but even then, the return is pretty much just going to be salary relief and a nominal warm body.

Topher

  • Looking ahead, how is the looming potential (likely) work stoppage going to impact contracts handed out this offseason? More short-term deals likely?

Steve Adams

  • I do expect a stoppage in the form of a lockout. I’m not at all convinced said stoppage will actually result in lost games. Manfred isn’t going to want that to be his lasting legacy, and neither the owners nor the players want to run into that scenario. The ’94 strike caused catastrophic long-term damage to the game’s well-being.So really, I don’t think you’re going to see too many players shy away from long-term deals. Those deals might be structured such that there’s a lower salary in ’27 as a potential hedge. Or maybe more contracts with huge signing bonuses, since those aren’t impacted by a lockout the way a player’s salary would be, but I’m not expecting a big rash of one-year deals while guys gear up to sign long-term post-2027.
  • Even if there was a huge portion — even the entirety — of the 2027 season lost and you felt like you gamed the system by signing a one-year deal for 2026 … then you’re just a free agent who’s probably 31-32 years old hoping to score a long-term deal after owners can claim pandemic-style “biblical” revenue losses again. I wouldn’t really want to be on the market under those circumstances.

Optimistic Giants Fan

  • Do you think the Giants are happy with what Bryce Eldridge has shown? Low average and high strikeouts looks bad at first, but he also has a 90% hard hit rate and has taken some walks.

Steve Adams

  • This should be about what they expected, in my view. He’s 20 years old with minimal AAA experience and plenty of strikeout concerns at that level. I think it was fine to give him a look and hope for lightning in a bottle once they pushed back into faint playoff contention, but my expectations were minimal.He’s hitting the ball hard, has mashed at every minor league level, and will likely be just fine going forward. Nothing in his tiny sample of big league games feels like it should change their understandably very bullish outlook on him.

Rays Days

  • Even though K Cash’s is contracted through 2030 do you believe a team might be interested in trying to pry him away from the Rays? Will Lowe and Diaz still be with the team next year?

Steve Adams

  • I’m sure plenty of teams would love to have Cash managing for them, but it’s been like 10 years since a team effectively traded for a manager. I wouldn’t spend much time considering that possibility.I lean yes on Diaz and no on Lowe (traded), but it’s the Rays, so can’t rule out moving both of them.

Rangers

  • Rangers off season outlook this year?⚾️

Steve Adams

  • We’re starting up our Offseason Outlook series this week!

Andrew R

  • Phillies take Arenado and JoJo Romero for Nick Castellanos! And yes, that means letting Bohm go.

Steve Adams

  • I understand the fascination regarding an Arenado trade, but I don’t think that really helps either party. The Cardinals would want to trade Arenado to free up playing time for younger players. Bringing Castellanos back runs counter to that, as does trading a reasonably valuable asset (Romero) just to shed his salary.And for the Phillies, Arenado isn’t even a clear upgrade over Bohm. They could just release Castellanos, eat the $20MM, non-tender Bohm and sign/acquire a better third base stopgap to Aidan Miller.

Filthy

  • Does Albies’ latest hamate injury alter the Braves’ calculations on his option?

Steve Adams

  • It’s a net $3MM decision and there’s a $7MM option (no buyout) on 2027. I can’t see any way they decline it.

Jeff in Jersey

  • By all accounts, the Mets seem to feel bad luck and poor execution, rather than bad process, led to this year’s terrible 2nd half. Your thoughts? Kinda feels like $58 million in Senga (minors), Manaea (hurt then bad) and Montas (hurt, bad, then hurt) is bad process.

Steve Adams

  • In general, I didn’t love their offseason slate of pitching additions. Senga’s struggles do feel like some degree of bad luck. He was great prior to the hamstring issue and seemingly developed some bad habits while pitching through it/working back from it. I don’t think you can account for that exact scenario, but by the same token, he also missed most of last year with injury so there should have been (and was) some emphasis on building up the depth.The Montas signing was one of the weirdest deals of the offseason and maybe my most immediately negative reaction to any free agent deal of the winter. Holmes, Canning, Montas … I know today’s front offices are terrified of getting burned by an undesirable long-term deal, but I think so often that just leads to them overpaying on undesirable short-term deals and then needing to go back to the market.
  • That’s not to disparage the Holmes deal really, which has worked out as well as could be hoped, but it’s just another instance of trying to kind of gin up a below-market value and getting kind of cute to do so. On its own, fine, but when it’s paired with a bunch of moderately priced upside plays, the quantity-over-quality approach just becomes more glaring. If you don’t want to spend on a Corbin Burnes, that’s totally fine, but for me the move at that point is tapping into the farm to make a play on the trade market rather than throwing a bunch of short-term commitments and hoping some stick.

AA

  • Is Bichette a possibility for the Braves? A lot of money coming off the books this year.

Steve Adams

  • The Braves haven’t given out more than $65MM to a free agent (Ozuna) under Alex Anthopoulos. I suppose they went after Aaron Nola, but in general, Bichette is just so far beyond what they’ve been willing to do.
  • They wouldn’t commit long-term to Fried, Swanson, Freeman … but they’ll push $200MM for Bichette? I don’t see it.

Mike Elias

  • Am I really going to trade Adley?

Steve Adams

  • I don’t think it’s any kind of given, but I expect teams to inquire and the Orioles to at least give it consideration, particularly if it means getting some notable starting pitching coming back.

Cubs options

  • Cubs have 3 pretty fascinating option choices after the year on Imanaga (the weird one), Rea ($4 million), and Kittredge ($9 mil I think?), where do you see them landing on each?

Steve Adams

  • Imanaga will be picked up (all three years). I lean toward Kittredge being exercised and Rea being bought out.Kittredge’s option is $9MM but with a $1MM buyout, so it’s a net $8MM that I think they’ll deem reasonable enough.

    Rea’s option is $6MM with a $750K buyout. It’s a net $5.25MM decision. I think that’s more than justifiable based on how he’s pitched, but he’s a 35-year-old with below-average bat-missing ability and a relatively pedestrian fastball.

    I think Rea is certainly worth that cost, but that was also true last year when the Brewers put him on waivers at a similar price point and no one claimed him. His age and skill set isn’t something today’s front offices like to commit money to right out of the gate in the offseason.

Pirates

  • Pirates trade Keller to the Angels for OHoppe, Adell and Neto.   Who says no?

Steve Adams

  • Angels wouldn’t do Neto straight up for Keller, let alone that trio.

Mariners

  • Thoughts on a Naylor and or Suarez resigning with us. Contract size and years?

Steve Adams

  • Mariners haven’t given a free-agent hitter more than two years and $24MM (Mitch Garver) under Jerry Dipoto. Jerry said on our podcast — thanks for coming on, Jerry! — that they’re interested in re-signing Naylor, but I can’t help wondering if the length of the deal will just go beyond where they prefer to operate.Suarez’s contract is going to be kind of naturally capped by his age (35), so in a weird, roundabout way I can almost see him as a more realistic target since he’ll come with less long-term risk.

White Sox Fan

  • Any value to a Robert for Bohm trade if/when Sox pick up Robert’s option? This helps needs for both teams

Steve Adams

  • Bohm is only controlled through 2026. That trade doesn’t do the White Sox any good.

IM

  • Will Mayo and/or Mountcastle be on the O’s in 2025 or does Basallo play first and M+M get traded for pitching?

Steve Adams

  • Mountcastle isn’t going to bring much in the way of pitching. He’s a non-tender candidate.Mayo, I could see them trading, but his stock has plummeted this year, just as Kjerstad’s has over the past 18 months or so.

    (Trade your prospects!)

  • I’ve got to call it for the week.Tim’s mailbag will run tomorrow, and Anthony will have a subscriber chat on Friday. I’m on X @Adams_Steve and Bluesky @adams-steve.bsky.social.

    If you want more opinions from the MLBTR team, you can learn about our Front Office subscription package and sign up here. In addition to ad-free viewing on the site and in the app, you’ll get weekly analysis/opinion columns from Anthony Franco and myself, a weekly mailbag column from Tim Dierkes, weekly fantasy baseball chats and columns with Nicklaus Gaut, weekly subscriber-only chats with Anthony and with me (where your odds of getting a question answered are much higher), extra insight from Darragh McDonald, access to our Contract Tracker (a vital offseason resource) our Agency Database, our GM Tracker, our Offseason Outlook series (starting late this week) and more.

    Thanks everyone, and enjoy your week!

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MLBTR Chats

21 comments

Trade Rumors Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript

By Steve Adams | September 22, 2025 at 1:56pm CDT

Steve Adams

  • 'Tis Monday. 'Tis chat day. I'll get going at 2pm CT, but feel free to send in questions in advance if you prefer!
  • Let's get underway!

Kirk

  • thoughts on Texas going after Freddy Peralta in the winter?

Steve Adams

  • I don't see why they wouldn't. I imagine lots of teams will be interested in him, though. The Brewers hold an $8MM option that they'll obviously pick up. It's a matter of whether they move him to extract some significant prospect value in return or whether they just ride out his final year and recoup a high draft pick for him post-2026.Typically, they have gone the trade route, but they did hang onto Willy Adames for his full control window -- and Peralta is even cheaper and arguably more valuable than some of the guys they did trade when they were down to a year (or just over) of club control -- Hader, Burnes, Williams.
  • Texas will have Jacob deGrom, Nathan Eovaldi and Jack Leiter locked into rotation spots. Tyler Mahle, Patrick Corbin and Merrill Kelly are free agents. You can't feel all that great about the health outlook of either deGrom or Eovaldi, despite deGrom staying healthy this year.
  • They have plenty of prospect depth and some interesting young big leaguers they could include (Kumar Rocker, Josh Jung come to mind as former top prospects who might be trending toward change-of-scenery territory).There's no reason to suggest they won't pursue him -- but nothing uniquely positions them as any sort of favorite, either.

The Mayor

  • Is Scott Harris or A.J. Hinch's job on the line with the latest Tigers meltdown? Harris especially should be under fire from ownership for his trade deadline moves.

Scott Harris

  • Look, I still have all my top prospects.  I thought our pitching looked good and needed minor tweeks.  Maybe I need an eye exam?

this little piggyback

  • I root for the Mets and the Tigers. Please talk me off the ledge.

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Front Office Originals MLBTR Chats

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Luke Weaver Open To Rotation Opportunities In Free Agency

By Steve Adams | September 22, 2025 at 11:22am CDT

Luke Weaver has been one of the Yankees’ best low-cost pickups in recent memory. Originally landing in the Bronx via a Sept. 2023 waiver claim, Weaver pitched well in three starts for the Yankees down the stretch that year and made a good enough impression that the Yanks re-signed him to a major league deal in January after he’d become a free agent. He moved to the bullpen in 2024 and made his $2MM base salary look like a raucous bargain. The Yankees made the no-brainer call to pick up a $2.5MM option on Weaver for the 2025 season, and while he hasn’t been as good as he was in ’24, he’s still been a key member of the relief corps.

Weaver is slated to return to free agency for a second time this offseason, and he’ll do so with much higher stock than last time around. The 32-year-old figures to be one of the top relievers on the market … unless he follows the same path as former teammate Clay Holmes and signs with an eye toward moving back into a rotation. The extent to which teams around the league will have interest in that scenario remains to be seen, but when asked about the possibility, Weaver himself told Joel Sherman and Jon Heyman of the New York Post on their podcast that he’s open to the idea:

“For so long, being a starting pitcher — you don’t expect to be a reliever. Being a starting pitcher, honestly, has got to be the best job in the big leagues — especially when it’s going well. But, I just found this niche. I just found this ability to do something a little bit different and use my background of starting to channel it into how I pitch now.

…The door is open. I am never just going to say, ’Absolutely not.’ When the time comes, let’s talk about it. Clay has done a great job this year in that transition. I don’t know what people are saying, but I’ve watched from afar, and I’m proud of him. That’s a really cool thing that he’s done. The transition, I don’t think people truly understand — that’s crazy. To do it as consistent as he has, I commend him. It’s cool to see that it’s possible, too. We see it happening from time to time now. Teams are being a little more strategic. So, yes, I’m very much open to it, but I also am not just like, ’Yeah I want to go do that,’ or, ’Yeah I want to go do this.’ Let’s sit at the table. Let’s have a conversation and see what that looks like and what best [puts me in position] to be the most successful. I would like to have those options if they are there.”

Weaver began his career as a starter and enjoyed plenty of early success. The former Florida State standout was the No. 27 overall pick by the Cardinals in 2014 and was in the big leagues just two years later. His debut effort was rocky, but in 2017, Weaver made 10 starts (and three relief appearances) for the Cardinals in a season that saw him pitch 60 1/3 innings of 3.88 ERA ball. He pitched 136 1/3 innings in 2018 and scuffled a bit, logging a 4.95 ERA, before coheadlining (alongside Carson Kelly) the Diamondbacks’ return for Paul Goldschmidt, who was traded to St. Louis one year ahead of his first crack at free agency.

In 2019, Weaver looked to be in a full-fledged breakout with Arizona. He started a dozen games and pitched 64 1/3 innings with a 2.94 earned run average, a 26.5% strikeout rate and a 5.4% walk rate. A flexor strain wiped out nearly two-thirds of his season, however, and when Weaver returned during the shortened 2020 season, the right-hander struggled badly. Weaver made a full slate of 12 starts and notched solid strikeout and walk rates, but he was also immensely homer-prone (1.73 HR/9) and limped to a 6.58 ERA in just 52 innings.

Shoulder and elbow injuries plagued Weaver each season from 2021-23. He posted a combined 5.80 ERA in 225 innings between four teams across those three seasons but, as previously noted, impressed the Yankees down the stretch. Heyman noted within the podcast that Weaver’s opportunities that offseason included a major league deal to return to the Yankees, a series of minor league deals with spring training invitations, or some options overseas. He chose to sign with the Yankees on that one-year contract, and he’s been reborn in the Bronx.

Through 145 1/3 innings out of Aaron Boone’s bullpen, Weaver has pitched to a 3.28 ERA with a 29.6% strikeout rate, 7.9% walk rate, a 32.2% ground-ball rate and 1.24 HR/9. The 93.8 mph he averaged on his four-seamer as a starting pitcher earlier in his career has spiked to 95.4 mph in short relief. He’s mostly scrapped his former mid-80s slider in favor of a harder, firmer cutter in the low 90s and worked off a four-seam/changeup/cutter mix that’s served him quite well.

That three-pitch mix, at least on the surface, would seemingly give Weaver a decent chance to transition back to rotation work. He’s the same age now that Holmes was when he reached free agency last winter. On the other hand, Holmes’ 6’5″, 245-pound frame is more in line with the prototypical starting pitcher than Weaver’s more slight, 6’2″, 180-pound frame. That’s not to say that Weaver can’t make a similar transition, but that leaner build is less common among starting pitchers, who tend to skew a bit on the larger side (which is only natural, given the physical demands of a starter’s workload).

Regardless, Weaver could well draw some interest as an under-the-radar rotation candidate this winter. Many of the expected top names in free agency have struggled this year, whether that’s with injuries or just lesser results than one might’ve expected on Opening Day. Dylan Cease, Michael King, Zac Gallen, Zach Eflin, Nestor Cortes, Walker Buehler and Dustin May are just some of the many pitchers whose platform year for free agency hasn’t gone as hoped. Weaver could present an intriguing alternative, particularly since he’s demonstrated that he can have success in a short relief role if stretching him back out doesn’t go according to plan.

Weaver made clear that he’s very interested in re-signing with the Yankees as well, but he’ll see what all of his opportunities look like in free agency this winter. His openness to stretching back out should lead to an even wider field of teams who are potentially interested and give him even more possibilities to consider. For now, the righty’s focus is understandably on the present and on pushing as deep into the postseason as possible, but he’ll be a far more fascinating free agent to track in the winter of 2025-26 than in 2023-24.

Fans — Yankees fans in particular — will want to check out the full interview, during which Weaver discusses (among many other topics) the rigors of trying to be available as often as possible, some pivotal differences in a pitcher’s mindset depending on the situations they’re facing, and his thoughts on the AL MVP race between two of his close friends: Aaron Judge and Cal Raleigh.

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New York Yankees Luke Weaver

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The Changing Landscape Of The Offseason Shortstop Market

By Steve Adams | September 19, 2025 at 4:05pm CDT

For much of the 2025 season, it's looked as though Bo Bichette will be the only notable shortstop in free agency -- and it's been plenty fair to debate whether he's a shortstop at all. The 27-year-old has bounced back -- and then some -- at the plate, largely quieting concerns about his anemic performance with the bat in an injury-ruined 2024 season that saw him slash just .225/.277/.322 with four homers in 81 games. But whatever good will Bichette has regained with a resurgent performance in the batter's box has at least partially been offset by a career-worst year with the glove -- and now yet another lower-half injury.

Elsewhere in free agency, what once looked like an otherwise-barren class has now begun to show some potential upside. Narratives surrounding several potential free agents have begun to shift -- enough that it bears taking a lengthier look at what the winter might bring.

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Atlanta Braves Boston Red Sox Front Office Originals MLBTR Originals Toronto Blue Jays Bo Bichette Ha-Seong Kim Trevor Story

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