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Sponsored: The Next Generation Of Baseball Technology Is Here

By Tim Dierkes | June 12, 2024 at 11:16am CDT

The following is a paid advertisement from Rapsodo. Rapsodo is the leading provider of baseball analytics technology, offering simulators that combine high-speed cameras and radar to capture and analyze athlete performance metrics. From pitch velocity and spin rate to launch angle and exit velocity, Rapsodo’s products provide comprehensive data to help pitchers refine their mechanics, hitters improve their swings, and coaches make data-driven decisions to enhance team performance.

Rapsodo Introduces Newest Product: PRO 2.0

Rapsodo is on a mission to provide athletes everywhere the tools they need to play like never before. From Shohei Ohtani and the best prospects in this year’s MLB Draft to athletes playing at the youth level, Rapsodo continues to push the boundaries of player development.

The industry leaders in baseball technology have announced their newest product: PRO 2.0. PRO 2.0 Ball Flight Monitor is a versatile, user-friendly solution that empowers coaches to see the game differently, unlock player potential, and lead their programs to new heights.

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PRO 2.0 lets you analyze pitch dynamics and perfect swings all in the same training session. Take your players from Hitting Mode to Pitching Mode to Beast Mode.

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Whether it’s tweaking a grip or fine-tuning a stance, PRO 2.0’s instant video replay provides immediate and accurate feedback on every pitch or hit.

The versatile views for basic or advanced data lets coaches choose the metrics that matter most. Dive deep into the data with over 17 hitting and pitching metrics or keep things simple by picking only the data points most important to you.

Pitching Metrics Hitting Metrics
Velocity Exit Velocity
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With PRO 2.0, everyone can see progress made in real time-from coaches to teammates and potential scouts. When every moment is a chance for players to prove themselves, PRO 2.0 ensures not a single pitch or swing goes unnoticed.

Taking the competition one step farther, PRO 2.0 brings the field to your cage with enhanced 3D simulation that lets you analyze spray charts and pitch tunnel visuals with unparalleled accuracy.

See a player’s pitch from the eyes of the hitter or watch the ball fly off the bat and over the fences. With PRO 2.0, the game is always in session, wherever you are.

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Track an athlete’s journey to greatness with PRO 2.0’s Lifetime Stats Database. Every pitch, every swing, and every milestone is captured and uploaded to the Rapsodo Cloud, providing coaches, players, and parents with immediate access to a comprehensive performance history-from session to session, season to season-with improvements made over time.

The path to the Pro has never been more clear.

Some additional features of PRO 2.0 include:

  • Reinforced cage to protect against high speed impact
  • Bolt down capability for anti-movement
  • Enhanced wi-fi and ethernet options for seamless connectivity
  • 2 cameras + radar for full-ball flight tracking
  • Rugged, weather-resistant shell for use indoor or outdoors
  • Quick start QR code for easy setup
  • Faster processing and 6+ hour battery life

Existing Rapsodo HITTING & PITCHING 2.0 users can upgrade their existing unit(s) for a credit towards the purchase of a new PRO 2.0.

Rapsodo also offers preferred pricing for MLB players and agencies who represent pro athletes. If you fall in this category, reach out to dillon.saffle@rapsodo.com to learn more. Rapsodo also offers discounts for high school programs.

Greatness awaits. Your players are ready to take their game to the next level. Are you?

Shop now for PRO 2.0 or contact playerdevelopment@rapsodo.com to learn more about adding PRO 2.0 to your player development program.

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Live Chat With Fantasy Baseball Expert Nicklaus Gaut

By Tim Dierkes | June 10, 2024 at 8:54am CDT

Fantasy baseball expert Nicklaus Gaut will be holding a live chat today at 11am central time, exclusively with Trade Rumors Front Office subscribers. Use the link below to ask a question in advance, participate in the live event, and read the transcript afterward.

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Tim Dierkes’ MLB Mailbag: Boras Four, Cubs, Blue Jays, Gambling

By Tim Dierkes | June 4, 2024 at 7:30pm CDT

I'm back for this week's mailbag!  We've got questions on the Boras Four, the Cubs' plan at catcher, available righty relievers, Juan Soto's defense, the Blue Jays' offense, the recent gambling suspensions, my one-third award picks, and much more.

Doug asks:

Do you think that front offices will feel even more compelled to depress free agent salaries after all of the prolonged drama about "The Boras Four" and none of those players panning out to be very good? Will any of Chapman, Bellinger, Snell, or Montgomery opt out of their contract?

Owners and players will be diametrically opposed on player salaries until the end of time, or at least until the end of Major League Baseball.  But to your point, it stands to reason that if the early performance of the late-signing Boras pitchers holds up, more front offices will be wary of giving big AAVs to hurlers signing well into spring training, even on short-term deals.

Blake Snell has been terrible, and since debuting April 8th has separate IL stints for adductor and groin strains.  Snell recently told reporters, "The one thing I would say is that big-league spring training, you need it. You have to go to spring training. I hope teams see that. I don’t know what [Jordan] Montgomery is doing, but I bet it’s tough for him."

Montgomery, who expressed a similar sentiment, sits at a 5.48 ERA after eight starts, with the worst strikeout rate of his career.

Some pitchers have succeeded after signing late, notably Ervin Santana signing on 3-12-14 and putting up a 3.2 WAR season for the Braves.  But both Snell and Montgomery signed later than Santana did, and most examples show pitchers struggling without a normal spring training.

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Live Chat With Fantasy Baseball Expert Nicklaus Gaut

By Tim Dierkes | June 3, 2024 at 8:37am CDT

Fantasy baseball expert Nicklaus Gaut will be holding a live chat today at 11am central time, exclusively with Trade Rumors Front Office subscribers. Use the link below to ask a question in advance, participate in the live event, and read the transcript afterward.

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Tim Dierkes’ MLB Mailbag: Skenes, Soto, Mets, White Sox

By Tim Dierkes | May 22, 2024 at 12:38pm CDT

Today's mailbag digs into what a Paul Skenes extension could look like, whether the Yankees will extend Juan Soto, how the Mets move forward, who the White Sox should trade, and much more.  Let's get to it!

Scott asks:

If you’re Paul Skenes, what do the Pirates need to offer to convince you to sign an extension?

I happened to catch Skenes' Wrigley Field start in-person with my kids, and it was awesome.  There is a type of guy who replies to any Paul Skenes accomplishment with "When's the Tommy John scheduled?", and I really don't want to align with those guys.  He's healthy and incredible right now - just enjoy it without the doomsaying.

That said, there should be an army of nerds at Paul Skenes' agency doing pitcher actuarial type stuff in the event the Pirates come with an extension offer or already have.  And the basic fact is that a list of the game's hardest-throwing starting pitchers doubles as a graveyard of injuries.

So OK, Skenes' injury risk is high simply because he's a starting pitcher, and it's even higher because he's the hardest-throwing starting pitcher in baseball.  That should be built into any contract offer.  But while injuries may be up, his risk is not all that different from a pitcher five years ago.

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Sponsored: Win Father’s Day With Dugout Mugs

By Tim Dierkes | May 21, 2024 at 10:43am CDT

The following is a sponsored post from Dugout Mugs.

Baseball dads are the unsung heroes of the ballpark, and deserve more than just a pat on the back for their unwavering support. They’re the real MVPs, juggling schedules, cheering from the stands, being a human snack dispenser, and playing catch until the mosquitos come out. So, when it comes to gifts, let’s ditch the clichés (ties, gift cards, and stretched out polos) and step up to the plate with something truly unique.

Enter Dugout Mugs. Now, I know what you’re thinking. “A mug? Really?” But picture this: a hollowed-out baseball bat barrel, transformed into a one-of-a-kind drinking vessel. YES, we’re serious…it’s the perfect blend of form and function, just like that one kid on the team who’s surprisingly good at bunting.

But wait, there’s more! The Dugout Mug isn’t just a drinking apparatus; it’s a conversation starter. With customizable options galore, you can slap on a team logo (MLB, travel ball, etc) a custom message, or even a picture. This is DEFINITELY a home run in the nostalgia department!

“Shut up and take my money,” right? Not just yet. We haven’t even told you about the rest of their roster. We’re talking bottle openers made from baseballs and bat handles, wine glasses that are more bat than glass, shot glasses made from bat knobs, whiskey mugs, and more.

But perhaps the best part of all is the sense of community that comes with each Dugout Mug. Don’t believe us? Just ask any of of their 3 million (plus) followers online, or read some of their 50,000+ 5-star reviews they have online (yes, seriously).

So, there you have it, folks. The guys over at Dugout Mugs have your back this Father’s Day, so give them the nod and have them come out of the bullpen to close the deal!

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Live Chat With Fantasy Baseball Expert Nicklaus Gaut

By Tim Dierkes | May 20, 2024 at 8:17am CDT

Fantasy baseball expert Nicklaus Gaut will be holding a live chat today at 11am central time, exclusively with Trade Rumors Front Office subscribers.  Use the link below to ask a question in advance, participate in the live event, and read the transcript afterward.

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Tim Dierkes’ MLB Mailbag: Severino, Blue Jays, James Wood

By Tim Dierkes | May 14, 2024 at 1:37pm CDT

Welcome to another edition of my subscriber mailbag!  If you're wondering where this paywall thing came from, please read about that here.  Today's mailbag gets into Luis Severino's solid start, the future of the Blue Jays, the trajectory of Nationals prospect James Wood, and assessing free agent mega-contracts.

Dmitry asks:

I noticed Luis Severino is doing much better this year. GB rates ticked up, along with his barrels % and overall FB runs value. What's different this year? Did the Mets unlock something Matt Blake couldn't? Better health? Just needed a change of scenery?

Severino has reinvented himself as a groundball pitcher.  His 56% groundball rate this year ranks sixth among all qualified starters.  In a sense it's good that he's done so, because as with last year's disaster season, his strikeout and walk rates have remained unimpressive.  I usually start by looking at a pitcher's K-BB%, and Severino's 11.0% mark is pretty bad and basically the same as it was when he posted a 6.65 ERA last year.

Most of Severino's success came in 2017-18, when he put up 11 WAR across 384 2/3 innings for the Yankees.  He missed almost all of 2019 due to a shoulder/lat injury, and then had Tommy John surgery in February 2020.  His TJ recovery included a setback along the way due to a shoulder injury. Severino's layoff between MLB games was just shy of two years.

Severino's 2022 season gave hope that he could return to his pre-Tommy John form.  Most of his velocity returned, and even though he missed more than two months due to another lat strain, his strikeout and walk rates were reminiscent of the Severino of old over a 102 inning span.  It was enough to convince the Yankees to pick up his $15MM club option for 2023.  Severino's 2023 season was so bad that he remarked last summer,"Right now, I feel like I am the worst pitcher in the game, no doubt about it."

As you might expect, Severino tinkered with his repertoire heading into 2024.  According to SNY's Andy Martino, Severino went to Driveline.  Martino wrote, "There, he split his hard slider into a cutter and a sweeper. Neither was as powerful as his old slider, but the two offerings combined to show hitters different speeds and different looks."  Martino added, "Severino has added ride to his velocity, creating a more powerful fastball. Played off his new cutter/sweeper mix, which features variances in speed, and a changeup and sinker that helps him get ground balls, and Severino looks like a more complete pitcher."  Martino provided a third reason as well, suggesting that Severino tipped his pitches often as a Yankee and has cleaned that up with the Mets.

Indeed, Severino has started using a sinker often.  He's using it 16.7% of the time so far this year, according to Brooks Baseball.  His career high for sinkers was 2.6% last year.  He explained to Tim Britton of The Athletic, "Just to have that pitch in my pocket that can help me get a groundball here, get a double play, get out of an inning with one pitch instead of striking out two guys. I was just thinking about how I can be more productive and save more pitches."  An open-mindedness toward sinkers, which have gone out of style in baseball, is a conscious choice for the Mets, which pitching coach Jeremy Hefner explains in Britton's article.

Severino has a 3.00 ERA as of this writing, and if he stays healthy and lands under 4.00 for the season, his one-year deal will have been a big success for Mets president of baseball operations David Stearns.  There's probably too much emphasis on that 3.00 ERA through these first 45 innings, though.  I think a pretty big correction is coming, because a portion of Severino's success comes from a .250 BABIP and 8.3% home run per flyball rate.  He's a bit less interesting with a league average strikeout rate and subpar walk rate, even as one of the league's best groundballers.  Severino's SIERA sits at 4.11, though Statcast's expected ERA is solid at 3.59.  So he's not allowing a lot of hard contact and could be a 2-3 WAR type moving forward.  What Severino is doing this year seems a bit like what Marcus Stroman did last year, but with more velocity.

I took a look at recent starting pitcher seasons with a K-BB% of 12 or below and a groundball rate of 50% or better.  There is a survivorship bias, because if that combo isn't working for a pitcher, he'll be removed from the rotation.  But this is a weird combination, especially for a pitcher who throws 96.  Here are a few comps other than Stroman's 2023:

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Fantasy Baseball Live Chat

By Tim Dierkes | May 13, 2024 at 8:42am CDT

Nicklaus Gaut is holding a live fantasy baseball chat with Trade Rumors Front Office subscribers at 11am central time today.  You can find the link below.

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MLB Mailbag: Go, Arraez, Mariners, Red Sox, Braves

By Tim Dierkes | May 7, 2024 at 12:42pm CDT

Trade Rumors Front Office subscribers sent in their mailbag questions, and I answered a bunch of them!  Let's get to it.  For those surprised to see the paywall, please read the explanation here.

Chris asks:

It's my understanding that Woo-Suk Go was included in the Luis Arraez trade mostly for salary relief.  What is going wrong for Go so far that caused the Padres to change their minds on him so soon after signing him?

The way things went down with the Padres and Go was a bad look for the team:

  • Sign him to a two-year, $4.5MM free agent deal in January
  • Watch him get hammered in six spring training outings; send him to Double-A
  • Go pitches well in ten outings aside from an inflated BABIP
  • Include him in the Arraez deal as an apparent salary dump, four months after the signing and without using him in the Majors

While the standard XX-B free agent has to consent to a trade if he's signed and then traded before June 15th, Go was signed internationally, so he had no say in the matter.

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