As explained in this series of posts, Matt Swartz and MLB Trade Rumors have developed an accurate model to project arbitration salaries. We’ve heard from many MLB teams and agencies that reference the projections in their work. You won’t find anything else like this on the Internet! Click here to download an Excel spreadsheet with all the projected salaries. The number in parentheses next to each player is his Major League service time (Years.Days) through 2014 (172 days constitutes a full year of Major League service, per the collective bargaining agreement).
Angels (11)
- Gordon Beckham (5.123) – $5.0MM
- Matt Joyce (5.123) – $4.9MM
- David Freese (5.028) – $6.3MM
- Fernando Salas (4.048) – $1.4MM
- Drew Butera (4.018) – $900K
- Cesar Ramos (4.003) – $1.3MM
- Vinnie Pestano (3.054) – $1.2MM – reached agreement 11-10-14
- Wade LeBlanc (3.038) – $800K
- Hector Santiago (3.016) – $2.2MM
- Collin Cowgill (2.151) – $900K
- Garrett Richards (2.148) – $4.0MM
Astros (8)
- Dexter Fowler (5.168) – $9.0MM
- Tony Sipp (5.100) – $1.5MM
- Jason Castro (4.104) – $3.9MM
- Hank Conger (3.051) – $1.1MM
- Carlos Corporan (3.019) – $1.0MM
- Alex Presley (2.162) – $1.2MM – reached agreement 11-18-14
- Chris Carter (2.159) – $3.5MM
- Marwin Gonzalez (2.133) – $1.0MM
Athletics (11)
- Ike Davis (4.155) – $4.4MM – reached agreement 12/2/14
- Sam Fuld (4.140) – $1.6MM
- Jesse Chavez (4.108) – $2.5MM
- Craig Gentry (4.084) – $1.5MM
- Josh Reddick (4.050) – $3.7MM
- Fernando Abad (3.073) – $900K
- Eric Sogard (3.064) – $1.0MM
- Brett Lawrie (3.055) – $1.8MM
- Fernando Rodriguez (3.053) – $900K – reached agreement 12/2/14
- Ryan Cook (3.036) – $1.3MM
- Jarrod Parker (3.000) – $900K
Blue Jays (4)
- Marco Estrada (5.035) – $4.7MM
- Brett Cecil (4.152) – $2.6MM
- Danny Valencia (3.118) – $1.7MM
- Josh Donaldson (2.158) – $4.5MM
Braves (2)
- James Russell (5.000) – $2.4MM
- Mike Minor (3.138) – $5.1MM
Brewers (3)
- Gerardo Parra (5.145) – $6.4MM
- Brandon Kintzler (3.101) – $900K – reached agreement 12-2-14
- Martin Maldonado (2.156) – $1.0MM
Cardinals (5)
- Jon Jay (4.134) – $4.5MM
- Peter Bourjos (4.062) – $1.6MM
- Jordan Walden (4.043) – $3.0MM – extended 12-23-14
- Lance Lynn (3.119) – $5.5MM
- Tony Cruz (3.105) – $700K
Cubs (8)
- John Baker (5.141) – $1.1MM
- Chris Coghlan (4.148) – $1.4MM
- Luis Valbuena (4.148) – $3.1MM
- Travis Wood (4.004) – $5.5MM
- Pedro Strop (3.156) – $2.4MM
- Jake Arrieta (3.145) – $4.1MM
- Felix Doubront (3.120) – $1.3MM
- Welington Castillo (3.009) – $2.1MM
Diamondbacks (6)
- Cliff Pennington (5.114) – $3.3MM – reached agreement 12-28-14
- David Hernandez (5.095) – $2.1MM – reached agreement 12-17-14
- Daniel Hudson (4.117) – $700K
- Jeremy Hellickson (4.045) – $3.9MM
- Mark Trumbo (4.027) – $5.7MM
- Addison Reed (3.027) – $3.8MM
Dodgers (6)
- A.J. Ellis (4.151) – $3.8MM
- Kenley Jansen (4.073) – $8.2MM
- Darwin Barney (4.053) – $2.5MM – reached agreement 12-2-14
- Justin Turner (4.045) – $2.2MM
- Juan Nicasio (3.084) – $2.4MM
- Joe Wieland (2.161) – $500K – avoided arbitration 12-6-14
Giants (7)
- Casey McGehee (5.028) – $3.5MM
- Gregor Blanco (4.164) – $3.5MM
- Yusmeiro Petit (4.016) – $1.6MM
- Brandon Belt (3.128) – $3.4MM
- Travis Ishikawa (4.012) – $800K – reached agreement 12-4-14
- Brandon Crawford (3.094) – $2.5MM
- Hector Sanchez (2.166) – $1.0MM
Indians (6)
- Brandon Moss (4.160) – $7.1MM
- Marc Rzepczynski (4.132) – $1.9MM
- Josh Tomlin (4.033) – $1.7MM
- Carlos Carrasco (3.147) – $1.4MM
- Bryan Shaw (3.081) – $1.5MM
- Lonnie Chisenhall (3.027) – $2.2MM
Mariners (7)
- Austin Jackson (5.000) – $8.0MM
- Michael Saunders (4.138) – $2.9MM
- Logan Morrison (4.069) – $2.6MM
- Justin Ruggiano (4.019) – $2.5MM
- Charlie Furbush (3.121) – $1.0MM
- Tom Wilhelmsen (3.091) – $2.1MM
- Dustin Ackley (3.087) – $2.8MM
Marlins (7)
- Mat Latos (5.079) – $8.4MM
- Mike Dunn (4.079) – $2.3MM
- Aaron Crow (4.000) – $2.0MM
- Steve Cishek (3.143) – $6.9MM
- Henderson Alvarez (3.051) – $4.5MM
- David Phelps (2.156) – $1.3MM
- Dee Gordon (2.154) – $2.5MM
Mets (6)
- Bobby Parnell (5.132) – $3.7MM
- Daniel Murphy (5.109) – $8.3MM
- Dillon Gee (4.028) – $5.1MM
- Ruben Tejada (3.171) – $1.7MM
- Lucas Duda (3.137) – $4.3MM
- Jenrry Mejia (2.140) – $3.1MM
Nationals (11)
- Kevin Frandsen (5.151) – $1.2MM – reached agreement 11-13-14
- Tyler Clippard (5.148) – $9.3MM
- Jerry Blevins (5.081) – $2.2MM
- Doug Fister (5.058) – $11.4MM
- Craig Stammen (4.160) – $2.1MM
- Drew Storen (4.140) – $5.8MM
- Stephen Strasburg (4.118) – $8.1MM
- Wilson Ramos (4.047) – $3.2MM
- Jose Lobaton (3.138) – $1.2MM
- Danny Espinosa (3.113) – $2.3MM
- Bryce Harper (2.159) – $2.5MM – extended 12/15/14
Orioles (11)
- Alejandro De Aza (5.139) – $5.9MM
- Matt Wieters (5.129) – $7.9MM
- Steve Pearce (5.116) – $2.2MM
- Bud Norris (5.068) – $8.7MM
- Tommy Hunter (5.066) – $4.4MM
- Chris Davis (5.061) – $11.8MM
- Brian Matusz (4.156) – $2.7MM
- Chris Tillman (3.113) – $5.4MM
- Miguel Gonzalez (3.095) – $3.7MM
- Ryan Flaherty (3.000) – $1.0MM
- Zach Britton (2.158) – $3.2MM
Padres (7)
- Shawn Kelley (5.128) – $2.5MM
- Ian Kennedy (5.124) – $10.3MM
- Andrew Cashner (4.126) – $4.3MM
- Tyson Ross (3.126) – $5.7MM
- Yonder Alonso (3.116) – $1.6MM
- Dale Thayer (3.071) – $1.3MM
- Alexi Amarista (3.053) – $1.5MM
Phillies (3)
- Ben Revere (3.149) – $4.0MM
- Domonic Brown (3.078) – $2.6MM
- Cesar Jimenez (3.020) – reached agreement 10-23-14
Pirates (12)
- Sean Rodriguez (5.133) – $2.0MM
- Antonio Bastardo (5.054) – $2.8MM
- Neil Walker (4.166) – $8.6MM
- Francisco Cervelli (4.146) – $1.1MM
- Mark Melancon (4.098) – $7.6MM
- Chris Stewart (4.091) – $1.3MM
- Travis Snider (4.091) – $2.0MM
- Pedro Alvarez (4.085) – $5.5MM
- Tony Watson (3.101) – $2.0MM
- Josh Harrison (3.033) – $2.2MM
- Jared Hughes (2.162) – $1.1MM
- Vance Worley (2.139) – $2.9MM
Rangers (4)
- Adam Rosales (5.022) – $1.0MM
- Ross Detwiler (5.002) – $3.3MM
- Neftali Feliz (4.151) – $4.1MM
- Mitch Moreland (4.067) – $2.8MM
Rays (8)
- John Jaso (5.032) – $3.3MM
- Kevin Jepsen (4.163) – $2.6MM
- Jake McGee (3.127) – $3.8MM
- Logan Forsythe (3.113) – $1.2MM
- Desmond Jennings (3.101) – $3.2MM
- Rene Rivera (3.082) – $1.3MM
- Alex Cobb (3.061) – $4.5MM
- Drew Smyly (2.154) – $3.0MM
Red Sox (4)
- Rick Porcello (5.170) – $12.2MM
- Junichi Tazawa (4.086) – $2.0MM
- Daniel Nava (3.045) – $1.9MM
- Wade Miley (3.044) – $4.3MM
Reds (7)
- Mike Leake (5.000) – $9.5MM
- Chris Heisey (4.157) – $2.2MM
- Logan Ondrusek (4.125) – $2.3MM
- Aroldis Chapman (4.034) – $8.3MM
- Zack Cozart (3.084) – $2.3MM
- Todd Frazier (3.071) – $4.6MM
- Devin Mesoraco (3.028) – $2.8MM
Rockies (8)
- Drew Stubbs (5.047) – $5.7MM
- Jhoulys Chacin (5.012) – $4.9MM
- Rex Brothers (3.117) – $1.3MM
- Michael McKenry (3.097) – $1.5MM
- Adam Ottavino (3.087) – $1.0MM
- Jordan Lyles (3.060) – $2.5MM
- Tyler Chatwood (3.039) – $1.0MM
- Wilin Rosario (3.023) – $3.6MM
Royals (9)
- Greg Holland (4.028) – $9.3MM
- Eric Hosmer (3.146) – $5.2MM
- Mike Moustakas (3.111) – $2.7MM
- Tim Collins (3.097) – $1.5MM
- Jarrod Dyson (3.088) – $1.3MM
- Danny Duffy (3.085) – $2.6MM
- Lorenzo Cain (3.074) – $2.3MM
- Louis Coleman (2.162) – $700K
- Kelvin Herrera (2.157) – $1.5MM
Tigers (4)
- David Price (5.164) – $18.9MM
- Alfredo Simon (5.142) – $5.1MM
- Al Alburquerque (3.147) – $1.7MM
- J.D. Martinez (3.036) – $2.9MM
Twins (6)
- Brian Duensing (5.104) – $2.5MM
- Jordan Schafer (4.121) – $1.5MM
- Trevor Plouffe (3.162) – $4.3MM
- Eduardo Nunez (3.090) – $1.2MM
- Tommy Milone (2.165) – $2.8MM
- Casey Fien (2.143) – $1.1MM
White Sox (6)
- Jeff Samardzija (5.028) – $9.5MM
- Tyler Flowers (3.148) – $2.1MM
- Dayan Viciedo (3.123) – $4.4MM
- Hector Noesi (3.006) – $1.9MM
- Nate Jones (3.000) – $600K
- Javy Guerra (2.133) – $1.3MM
Yankees (6)
- Esmil Rogers (4.088) – $1.9MM – reached agreement 12-2-14
- Ivan Nova (4.024) – $3.3MM
- Michael Pineda (3.099) – $2.1MM
- David Huff (3.062) – $700K
- David Carpenter (3.016) – $1.1MM
- Nathan Eovaldi (3.013) – $3.1MM






