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Potential Teams For Remaining Designated Hitters

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | January 13, 2011 at 9:49am CDT

Johnny Damon, Jason Giambi, Vladimir Guerrero, Manny Ramirez and Jim Thome highlight the remaining free agent designated hitters. Throw in first basemen Russell Branyan Jorge Cantu, Troy Glaus and Nick Johnson and the list of DH candidates continues to grow. The number of opportunities, however, continues to shrink. Here's a look at the American League teams with possible DH openings:

  • Rays – The Rays seem likely to add a DH. They've been linked to Damon, Andruw Jones, Guerrero and others.
  • Blue Jays – The Blue Jays signed Edwin Encarnacion to be a first baseman/DH, but they could shuffle the lineup to accomodate a big bat if they find one at a price they like.
  • Orioles – The O's have been linked to Vladimir Guerrero, though adding a DH would create congestion with Luke Scott and the team's collection of outfielders.
  • Twins – The Twins have expressed interest in bringing Thome back, but could add someone else if he signs elsewhere.
  • Rangers – The Rangers are pursuing Thome and have discussed potential deals with Guerrero.
  • Yankees – Jorge Posada will be the team's full-time DH, so the Yankees would need any newcomer to be able to handle the outfield. Damon and Jones are among the team's targets.
  • Angels – Like the Yankees, the Angels have DH candidates in-house. Bobby Abreu and Juan Rivera figure to pick up at bats at DH, so any addition would probably have to be able to handle the outfield or third base. That makes a reunion with Vlad seem unlikely.

The players above aren't limited to American League clubs, of course. Giambi took on a pinch hitting role with the Rockies last year, Damon has been linked to the Dodgers and Cantu and Glaus both played in the NL last year and have been linked to the Padres. But it's safe to say that AL teams in search of DHs have lots of selection.

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Revisiting NL Free Agent Arbitration Decisions

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | January 12, 2011 at 8:45am CDT

On Monday, we examined this year's AL free agent arbitration decisions. Today, let's shift our focus to the Senior Circuit and revisit the 12 National Leaguers who declined their teams' offers of arbitration in November.

Players who decline arbitration forfeit the chance to settle on one-year deals with their former clubs through the arbitration process. Frank Francisco and Jason Frasor chose their teams' offers over free agency and will now work toward deals with the Rangers and Blue Jays, respectively.

Players who accept arbitration don't get guaranteed raises, but those who go through the arbitration process rarely take significant pay cuts. The chart below shows players' 2010 salaries and whether the player signed a new deal or remains on the open market.

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NL Arb Decisions

The players above would generally have obtained far smaller guarantees by accepting arbitration, so it's understandable that the players and their agents turned down the teams' offers. Garland and Dotel might have obtained comparable money by accepting arbitration, but Garland wanted to return to the Dodgers and Dotel has a better chance of closing in Toronto than in Colorado.

If Heilman can find himself a raise this offseason, every National League player who declined arbitration will have found a comparable or superior deal on the open market*.

*Hoffman agreed to turn the Brewers' offer down; he did not have the choice of accepting.

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Revisiting AL Free Agent Arbitration Decisions

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | January 10, 2011 at 10:44am CDT

At the end of November, 16 American League free agents declined their teams' offers of arbitration. In doing so, they forfeited the chance to settle on one-year deals with their former clubs through the arbitration process and launched themselves into free agency.

If the players below had accepted arbitration like Frank Francisco and Jason Frasor did, they would have signed one-year deals with their former clubs. While the players wouldn’t have been guaranteed raises, those who go through the arbitration process rarely take significant pay cuts.

The chart below will help examine the decisions that players and their agents made in November. It shows the players' 2010 salaries and, if applicable, the new deals they've agreed to. 

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American League Arbitration Decisions

It's not unheard of for teams and players to reach gentlemen’s agreements about arbitration offers. Type B players don’t take a hit in value on the market if they turn down arbitration, so players can agree in advance to decline their clubs' offers. That benefits the team, which picks up a supplementary first round draft choice if the player signs a major league deal elsewhere.

But if no advance agreements were in place last November, Brad Hawpe cost himself money and Chad Qualls and Felipe Lopez may have done the same. Hawpe agreed to a $3MM deal after earning $7.5MM; even after a down season, it seems unlikely that Hawpe would have taken a $4.5MM pay cut had he accepted the Rays’ offer of arbitration.

Qualls and Lopez haven’t signed yet, but it wouldn’t be surprising to see Qualls take a pay cut from the $4.19MM he earned in 2010, when he posted a 7.32 ERA. There’s no guarantee that Lopez will even get a major league deal, so it could become apparent by the end of the offseason that he and Qualls would have been better off accepting their teams’ arbitration offers. Keep in mind that the players may have agreed in advance to turn down arbitration, as Trevor Hoffman did.

Clearly, most other American League free agents obtained more guaranteed money by turning down arbitration. Carl Pavano and Rafael Soriano, who both accepted their teams’ arbitration offers last offseason, will likely sign deals that guarantee them considerably more than $7MM before the current offseason ends.

It’s worth noting that Orlando Hudson, who will earn $4MM in 2011, would have earned more this year by accepting arbitration. But in securing the first multiyear deal of his career, the second baseman obtained a larger guarantee than he would have by accepting the Twins’ arb offer.

Like most of his American League counterparts, Hudson made the decision that enabled him to sign for more guaranteed money. I hesitate to assume that Lopez, Qualls and Hawpe really did have the chance to accept their clubs’ offers, but it would probably have been financially wise for them to seize that opportunity if it did present itself.

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Regular MLBTR Features

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | January 10, 2011 at 9:17am CDT

If you're a regular MLBTR reader, you'll be familiar with our chats, our Week In Review posts and Mike Axisa's Baseball Blogs Weigh In feature. Here's some more detail on when you'll see our weekly features and exactly what to expect from them:

  • MLBTR Chats – Come by every Wednesday at 2pm CDT to chat about the latest trades, signings and rumblings around the major leagues.
  • Baseball Blogs Weigh In – Every Friday morning, Mike Axisa directs you to some of the best writing on baseball blogs around the web. Whether it's opinion, stats or something else entirely, you can connect to the best of the blogosphere once a week on MLBTR. If you want to send Mike a post of yours, reach him at: mike@riveraveblues.com.
  • Week In Review – It's amazing how much happens in seven days. Every Sunday night, we summarize the week's biggest stories in our Week In Review posts.
  • MLBTR Originals – We gather all our original analysis and reporting in one place every Sunday night.
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Top Ten Remaining Free Agents

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | January 10, 2011 at 8:46am CDT

Only 11 of MLBTR's top 50 free agents remain unsigned. Johnny Damon checks in at number 11 and here are the top ten, with their original rankings in parentheses and their rumored suitors to this point in the winter:

1.  Rafael Soriano (7) – The Yankees might be in, but the White Sox, Rangers and Cardinals don't appear to have interest. Are the Angels going to step up after a relatively quiet winter?
2.  Carl Pavano (13) – The Twins are closing in on a deal with the right-hander.
3.  Jim Thome (18) – Thome will play in 2011, but it's hard to predict which team will sign him. To vote on the slugger's future, click here.
4.  Vladimir Guerrero (19) – The Orioles, Angels and Rays are reportedly interested in Vlad.
5.  Manny Ramirez (20) – Predicting Manny's next team isn't much easier than predicting his next quirky move. There's a good chance he ends up DHing on a one-year deal.
6.  Andy Pettitte - (25) – The veteran lefty is still undecided about his future, so the Yankees are still in limbo.
7.  Brian Fuentes (33) - The Pirates aren't pursuing Fuentes, but the Blue Jays and Rays are among the lefty's many suitors.
8.  Kevin Millwood (38) – The Rockies, Cubs and Royals have been linked to Millwood this offseason.
9.  Grant Balfour (42) – Balfour, a Type A free agent, will cost a draft pick. The O's expressed interest before signing Kevin Gregg, but it's not clear if the team is still considering Balfour.
10.  Scott Podsednik (44) – The Angels are in on Podsednik and the Reds maintain interest, though they added the left-handed hitting Jeremy Hermida.

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The 80-89 Win Club

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | January 7, 2011 at 8:52pm CDT

Adrian Gonzalez
A third of the teams in baseball won between 80 and 89 games last year. None of them made the playoffs, but all of them were within striking distance of a postseason berth. The ten teams have had wildly different approaches to the 2010-11 offseason – at least so far. I've broken the clubs down into three groups, with their 2010 win totals in parentheses and links that send you to the club's offseason transactions summary:

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Aggressive Acquirers

  • Red Sox (89) – The Red Sox haven't held back. In an offseason that's seen the Yankees miss out on Cliff Lee and the Rays lose Matt Garza, Carl Crawford, Carlos Pena, Randy Choate, Dan Wheeler and potentially others, Boston moved in aggressively on two of the best players available and some complementary pieces. Acquiring Adrian Gonzalez (pictured) and Carl Crawford wasn't cheap, but those two, along with Bobby Jenks, Wheeler and a collection of other relievers, will help offset the loss of Adrian Beltre and Victor Martinez.
  • White Sox (88) – GM Kenny Williams wasn't shy this offseason. He re-signed Paul Konerko and A.J. Pierzynski, and added Adam Dunn and Jesse Crain. Make no mistake, the White Sox intend to win in 2011.
  • Rockies (83) - The Rockies signed Troy Tulowitzki to a nine-figure extension and are about to finalize a seven-year extension with Carlos Gonzalez. They've also traded for Matt Lindstrom and Jose Lopez and signed Ty Wigginton and Jorge de la Rosa.
  • Tigers (81) - Magglio Ordonez, Brandon Inge and Jhonny Peralta are back, Victor Martinez and Joaquin Benoit are in the mix and the Tigers aren't done yet. They may add a fifth starter before Spring Training begins.
  • Dodgers (80) – Check out the list of starting pitchers Ned Colletti has added this offseason: Ted Lilly, Hiroki Kuroda, Jon Garland, Vicente Padilla, Dana Eveland and Tim Redding all agreed to deals with the Dodgers this offseason. Throw in Matt Guerrier, a pair of catchers, Juan Uribe and others and you see just how busy the Dodgers have been.

Moderate Spenders

  • Cardinals (86) - The Cardinals brought back Jake Westbrook, signed Lance Berkman, Gerald Laird and Brian Tallet and traded for Ryan Theriot. Their biggest challenge will be convincing Albert Pujols to sign an extension.
  • Athletics (81) - The A's have traded for David DeJesus and Josh Willingham and signed Rich Harden, Hideki Matsui and Brandon McCarthy.
  • Marlins (80) - The Marlins traded Dan Uggla and Cameron Maybin away, but they signed John Buck, Javier Vazquez and Randy Choate. They also extended Ricky Nolasco.

Restrained Spenders

  • Blue Jays (85) - Octavio Dotel has been the Blue Jays' biggest offseason addition so far and the club traded one of its top starters, Shaun Marcum, to Milwaukee. The Blue Jays could have a surprise in store, but to this point, their winter has been a quiet one. The team appears to be biding its time for a sustained run in the competitive AL East; they certainly aren't going for broke in 2011.
  • Angels (80) – Yes, the Angels have added Scott Downs and Hisanori Takahashi, but no, this is not the offseason most observers expected. Crawford and Beltre signed elsewhere and the Angels have significant needs at third base and in the outfield as a result.

Photo courtesy of Icon SMI.

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Quick Hits

By Tim Dierkes | January 6, 2011 at 3:40pm CDT

We decided to come up with a punchier name for our Odds & Ends posts, and Quick Hits is the winner.  Thanks to MLBTR's Zach Links for the suggestion.

One other change you will notice is that we will be bolding the team names in the Quick Hits posts so that you can more quickly jump to the bullet that pertains to your club.

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MLBTR’s Arbitration Tracker

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | January 6, 2011 at 2:59pm CDT

MLBTR recently introduced an Arbitration Tracker, which is permanently located under the 'Tools' tab at the top of the site. The tracker allows advanced sorting, so you can narrow your searches. If you're curious about which players have already settled on 2011 salaries or which Giants have yet to settle, you're just a few clicks away from knowing the answer.

As teams and players resolve arbitration cases in January and February, we'll keep the tracker updated with all the information you need to know. Check out MLBTR's Transaction Tracker and Free Agent Tracker while you're at it.

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Poll: MLBTR Posts

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | January 6, 2011 at 10:35am CDT

We're looking to get a sense of which posts you read, so please take a minute and fill out this poll. You can check multiple boxes and posts are listed alphabetically.

Which of the following posts do you read regularly?
Baseball Blogs Weigh In 18.23% (1,918 votes)
Free Agent Stock Watch 17.91% (1,884 votes)
Discussion Posts 13.30% (1,399 votes)
Week In Review 11.65% (1,226 votes)
Non-Tender Candidate 10.93% (1,150 votes)
Polls 10.61% (1,116 votes)
This Date In Transactions History 8.73% (919 votes)
Jack of All Trades 8.65% (910 votes)
Total Votes: 10,522
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Alomar, Blyleven Voted To Hall Of Fame

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | January 5, 2011 at 1:02pm CDT

Congratulations to Roberto Alomar and Bert Blyleven, who were voted to the Baseball Hall of Fame today by the Baseball Writers' Association of America. 

Alomar was one of the most complete players in baseball for 17 years, making spectacular plays at second base and adding value at the plate and on the bases. He played on the World Series Champion Blue Jays in 1992 and 1993 and also spent time on the Padres, Indians, Orioles, Mets, White Sox and Diamondbacks. Alomar won ten Gold Gloves and made 12 All-Star teams. He posted a career .300/.371/.443 line and retired with 210 home runs, 474 stolen bases, 504 doubles, 2724 hits and 1508 runs scored.

Blyleven first appeared on the Hall of Fame ballot in 1998 and has steadily gained support; he was just 0.8% short of the 75% threshold last year. He retired with a 3.31 ERA (118 ERA+) in 4970 innings. Blyleven ranks 14th all-time in innings and fifth all-time in strikeouts (3701). His 287 wins place him 27th in baseball history.

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