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Johan Santana Rumors

Let's check in on Johan Santana.  It's kind of a big deal when the best pitcher in baseball becomes available.

  • Ken Davidoff spoke to an NL official who believes the Twins will hold onto Santana and try to win with him in 2008.  Re-signing him long-term seems unlikely.  Davidoff believes every team in baseball would be interested, but the Mets would have to part with Jose Reyes to get him. Nonetheless Don Burke says the Mets will "pounce" on Santana if he becomes available.
  • Joe Christensen spoke to Twins people who believe re-signing Santana is almost impossible.  The Twins won't go to five years on an offer for him, and may lowball him the way they did Torii Hunter and Carlos Silva.  The offer would at least pave the way for an intense auction during the Winter Meetings.  A midseason trade is always a consideration too.  Keep in mind that Santana does have a limited no-trade clause allowing him to block trades to 12 teams.  He may use that as leverage. 
  • Christensen adds that the Yankees may covet Santana more than they do Miguel CabreraIt's still believed that they won't part with Joba, Phil, or Ian though.
  • Phillies GM Pat Gillick believes Santana "will be moved for sure." 


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I got it, the twins need a centerfielder, or at least someone who can play center, why not get back someone who use to play for them and knows the city and team system, and considering this site, this is the perfect trade for everyone.

JOHAN SANTANA FOR JACQUE JONES

Man, there are going to be some people that will take you seriously on that =P

Tim, I read that article and I think it said those 3 pitchers won't be traded for positional players, does not say they wouldn't trade one of them in a package for Santana.

i don't think there's enough alcohol in the world to make me consider that trade hahaha

reyes is a great player, but if the twins are going to demand that much then why not try for david wright? don't they need a third baseman more than a shortstop? that could really solidify the middle of their lineup. the mets wouldn't do it though...perhaps if they signed arod though...

Uh, nevermind, disregard what I said, I misread you =)

"Christensen adds that the Yankees may covet Santana more than they do Miguel Cabrera."

Well duh. Do they have the players to get a Santana deal done? Are they willing to part with them? No way it gets done without one of Joba or Hughes(Ian Kennedy wouldn't get this one done), along with Cano (the twins need legit young bats).

I think they are better off waiting for free agency, if they can. I guess it depends on how the market on Santana goes. Will some other team be willing to pony up the top players the Twins would need to deal Santana?

Looks like Cashman won't part with Hughes or Joba.

Kennedy is probably the most tradeable one of the trinity.

Is Wang still in play? Earlier it was reported that the Yankees asked the Twins who else was needed besides Wang for a package to get Santana.

I think the Twins would be stupid to take Wang unless cash and Cano were in the deal, but whatever...

The Yankees wont give up what it takes because they can pay him whatever they want when he hits free agency at the end of 08, period.

I love it. Every time there is a Yankees rumor, it's "they'd love Cabrera or Johan, but are unwilling to part with Hughes, Joba or Kennedy."

First of all, why is Kennedy even grouped in with the other two? He has average stuff, throws strikes and would be more valuable to the Yankees, who will score him 5 runs a start. He seems like a good #4 on a good team at most.

As for the other two..you think the best pitcher of this millenium or a 24 year old super-duper-star hitter's is going to be available for Melky and a couple second tier guys?

Santana would dominate like nobody's business in the NL. I really hope the Mutts don't get him.

"The Yankees wont give up what it takes because they can pay him whatever they want when he hits free agency at the end of 08, period."

Exactly. The only way I see them potentially trading for Santana is if some other team seems close. Obviously, whoever trades for Santana would not do so without signing him to a serious extension. This would spoil the Yank ideal of signing Santana as a free agent. If that doesn't happen, the Yanks would be foolish to trade for him. They have the potential to be a solid rotation this year.

History is a really good indicator of how things will play out with Johan.

When was the last time the best pitcher in baseball became available via FA? How about an elite pitcher? It just doesn't happen. The crop of FA pitchers this year would have been great. Instead ALL of them were signed to extensions. People are already drooling over the 08 class but it will be the same thing.

It's pretty simple. Either the Twins are going to resign him or they trade him. If they hold on to him and let him walk they run the risk of landing a single compensatory pick. I'm no GM but I believe the braintrusts in Min have already figured that out.

Keep dreaming of holding on to your prospects and thinking he can be had for just money in 08.

Thats true, but I believe Santana is a special case. I believe that Santana is the most valuable player in baseball. It depends on the Twins stance, but Santana should command a HUGE bounty in TOP prospects (way more than the the Teix trade and much more than a Cabrera trade, i think). It will be interesting to watch how things play out. Prospects seem to be such a commodity that teams are less and less likely to deal them. Its hard to say how this will go.

My guess is that Minnesota will not be able to extend him.

The Mets would be stupid to trade Reyes for Santana. They need a centerfielder and we need a pitcher: Beltran for Santana outright.

what do you think about the mets signing arod, trading jose reyes and co for santana and then letting arod play shortstop?

@Jess...in terms of 2008 impact talent, that may be a good return for the Twins for one year of Santana...however, all indications are that they are looking for a package of young, controllable, affordable ML-ready players for Johan.

@Jess:

Beltran for Santana? Are the Mets also going to pay for 90% of Beltran's salary? Because if not, the Twins might as well just keep Santana and pay him.

--

Kennedy lacks the stuff but has impeccable control and a good baseball mind. I hate how most people treat him like he's some scrub. He doesn't throw in the 80s like Zito, he sits at around 90-94, which isn't great, but isn't bad either.

He's a good #4/#5 starter at worst in the AL and can probably be penciled in as a #3 starter in the NL.

As for the other two guys... Santana is definitely worth trading one of them and a couple prospects for, but they're not "second tier."

Hughes is probably a close second to Lincecum in terms of pure stuff (ahead of Bailey and Gallardo), AND has the bulk to withstand 200IP. He's not "second-tier" by any means. Unless something goes terribly wrong, he's going to be a #1/#2.

We all saw Joba pitch and I think you can safely say that if the starting gig doesn't work out, he'll become a good closer. No one can argue about his stuff.

Is Santana worth one of them + prospects. Hell yes, but please stop treating the 3 pitchers like they're some no name second tier prospects.

Cashman's probably reluctant to trade because he essentially has 3/5ths of his starting rotation for the next 5-6 years.

Henry, I think you misread my post. Hughes and Joba are very much premium prospects. Kennedy is a good prospect, but not good enough to be the centerpiece of a deal for Johan or Cabrera, which I think you would agree with.

My point is, every Yankee rumor I hear has none of those three going in a deal for the two big fish, meaning all that would be left to deal would be a Melky and some lesser (second tier) players like Ohlendorf, Tabata, Horne. To this that this is realistic is really what was irking me. Santana or Cabrera will cost Joba or Hughes to start, period

wayne gomes:

Ah, my bad in that case.

And I agree, Santana and Cabrera will cost one of the 3 to start with.

I think Santana is worth letting Joba or Hughes go because of the Yankees' desperate need for an ace, but the hole at 3B can be filled by trading the second tier of prospects.

Horne+Clippard or Horne+Ramirez should be able to fetch a young 3B no?

Depends on the 3B, doesn't it. No way that gets Cabrera, but it could get a guy like Blalock, I think. I'm not sure about Atkins.

I'm not that big on Clippard or Ramirez, but guys like Mora and Blalock could be had for those packages.

As a non-Yankee fan I would agree that Santana is worth Joba/Hughes, Melky plus another young, high upside guy. Sometimes as a fan it's hard to be objective about your own team's prospects; I have the same tendencies as a Phillies fan. We're talking about the best pitcher in the league since 2000 here though, and he's still young and dominant.

I'd have to agree on Kennedy.

Cashman is doing a wonderful job of treating Kennedy as if he is on the level of Joba or Hughes.

It's hilarious to see the yankees balk at any proposal that includes Kennedy..the fact is hughes or joba would be involved in any trade for an ace and Kennedy might be there as well

They are just prospects..sure they have potential..but they are just prospects..

What does any of this have to do with John McDonald?

"reyes is a great player, but if the twins are going to demand that much then why not try for david wright? don't they need a third baseman more than a shortstop? that could really solidify the middle of their lineup. the mets wouldn't do it though...perhaps if they signed arod though..."

Either way it would never happen. There was never a shot at Reyes either. That was mostly the grumblings of fans and reporters after the mets collapse and Reyes dismal performance in september.

I believe Reyes is locked up at like 19 mil over the next 3 years. Wright contract is something like 5 years 45 million I think. These are both huge bargains, and there is no way the Mets are trading either of those guys. It is no slant to Santana, it just wont happen, A-rod or not.

"The Mets would be stupid to trade Reyes for Santana. They need a centerfielder and we need a pitcher: Beltran for Santana outright."

Oh, but that wouldnt be stupid? First of all, if the Twins could afford a monster contract, then they would just lock up Santana or Torii Hunter, not trade for Beltran. Second of all, from the Mets POV, that trade is just as stupid as trading Reyes. How many GG calibur, post close to a .900 OPS almost every year, 30/30 kind of CFs? They are not trading Beltran, if they did, they would be trading him for prospects and cheap kids presumably to free up some salary.


"what do you think about the mets signing arod, trading jose reyes and co for santana and then letting arod play shortstop?"


Um. No. They would never get Reyes even straight up, forget about this whole "and co" stuff. A writer close to the Mets (I forget who it was, maybe Marty Noble), when asked about a possible Reyes/Santana swap, said the Mets would only make that trade if Mauer/Morneau were soming back also. Now, obviously that is ridiculous, and I realize this is a sports writer that I am sort of quoting, but he has been covering the Mets for like 40 years and I believe he knows what he is talking about. Again, obviously the Twins would laugh andhang up if Omar asked themm to include Morneau/Mauer, but that is sort of the point I think. Reyes is pretty close to untouchable.

Yanks are gonna wait for Santanna when he becomes a free agent. I don't see any team willing to trade their prospects for Santana. all they have to do is wait one year. Also, why is everyone hard on Kennedy. I can't say he is a great pitcher because he only pitched like 3 games but he pitched really well those games. Yanks shouldnt trade him.

I don't think Santana will be playing for either NY team next season. Neither team has prospects/young players that match up with what the Twins want. Either team would probably have to part with Reyes or Cano to get involved and that's not going to happen.

I think it will take 2 premium prospects/young players and a useful player to get Santana. And LAD, LAA, SEA or BOS match up better IMO.

And if Santana becomes a FA, will the Yankees really be the only team bidding on him?

How about as a three way with AZ, as they have position players to burn.

Yankees get Chad Tracy, one of AZ's decent relievers (Valverde, Cruz or Lyon) and Santana

AZ gets Wang

MIN gets Chris Young and parts from NY.

If you think it is worth it too trade Chris Young, Chad Tracy, and a good relief arm for CMW, then yeah. I dont think the D backs would come off good in that trade though. Arizona should up their payroll a little bit and trade for Santana and extend him with a backloaded contract. That team would immediately be built to make the playoffs every year, and with Santana and Webb they would get to some world series'. They have a great park and if they get a big name like Santana they can fill it up. Bringing in Santana for say Chris Young, Chad Tracy, Carlos Gonzales, and simply replace Young with Upton could make them an NL power house. Almost all of their position players are making peanuts.

In the NL, that could be a team that would have a shot at getting to the world series every year.

It will never happen, but it would be awesome if it did.

Another thing I was wondering....... if Santana ever does hit the open market, his agent will probably (if he is smart), use Zito's contract as a starting point and go up from there. Does anybody think it would create a similar situation to A-Rod's now where teams would be reluctant to shell out 8 years 160 million on this guy?

I love Santana, but I couldnt say I would approve of ever giving him or any other pitcher 6 years, let alone 7 or 8. There are some GM's that stand pat on years when it comes to signing pitchers, and with the exception of Pedro, no pitcher in a deal 6 or more years has ever lived up to that contract. Still though, Sabean showed that teams will commit years like that, albeit he was bidding against himself so who knows if another GM was willing to go to 7 years. I guess we will see next year if guys like Peavy, Santana (assuming they all hit the open market) get deals of 7 years or more like Zito. It will probably continue until teams realize the risk and stop doing it. That could take a long time and a lot of big contracts though.

It may be a little much but it would result in decreasing the DBacks overall salary while filling their biggest need of a front end SP with years of control.

I'd hate to lose Young but you have to give to get. The relievers are all good but all at or near the end of their control and getting expensive.

We'd still have a solid outfield of Upton, Quentin and Byrnes but would have a much better rotation and about 10 million to fill gaps.

I think a more logical trade for the DBacks would be trade chris Young for whatever top pitching prospect the Twins receive.

If a Kershaw, Hughes, Joba, buchholz, or other is included, he could be sent to AZ for Chris Young.

I think that the deal would have to look more like: Yankees get: Chad Tracy and Santana, D-Backs get: Wang, Twins get: Chris Young, Jose Tabata. Makes sense for every team, the Yankees give up a lot, but they get Santana and Tracy, filling two holes. The D-Backs won't do this deal if it includes Valverde, but if they give up only Chris Young and Tracy, both surplusses, and add Wang, a need, it might make sense. They already have Reynolds at 3B, and they have more than enough outfielders still with Byrnes, Upton, Quentin and Gonzalez. The Twins would get two bonafide top outfield prospects that would be able to start with Cuddyer and make a real good lineup with Morneau and Mauer.

Wang is greatly overrated. He has huge home/road splits and greatly benefits from the Yankee offense. If he's 13-11 every year he gets no credit for being a top pitcher.

If the Yanks want to get Santana they will have to include Hughes/Joba. tabata is a nice piece in the trade, but he's still 1-2 years away. There are much better trade partners for the Twins than the Yankees.

Twins do not need pitching... They need offense, can we stop talking about pitching prospects? For that they can look in the minors.

The Twins need the most talent back in a Santana trade. Trading only for needs is how you end up with Troy Williamson at WR (#7 overall pick 2-3 years ago) because you need a WR. Trade for the most talent.

And honestly how hard would it be to trade Hughes or Buchholz for a top young hitter. It is very difficult for 1 team to trade only hitters for Santana.

no team like the twins will let santanna get to free agency when they know they will lose him.why keep him and allow him to get to f.a. when you can trade him for 3 top prospects,it isn't smart,yankees or any other team have no shot at waiting to get santanna in f.a.

the yankees have the best pitching farm system in baseball according to baseball america and rank 4th overall so if it's pitching the twins wan't the yankees have the best and the most.i could see giving one of the three up for an ace because the yankees need one and will only need a 5th starter compared to needing an ace now.

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