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« MLBTR On Facebook | Main | Odds and Ends: Jennings, Saito »
Ken Rosenthal is back with a bang, penning a new article about Erik Bedard and Brian Roberts trade possibilities. We already updated you on the Bedard situation over yonder.
Rosenthal says the Cubs are still the best fit for Roberts, also noting interest from the Mets and Indians. Last we heard, the Cubs' offer included Sean Gallagher and Matt Murton but not Rich Hill or Felix Pie. Ronny Cedeno, Sean Marshall, and Donnie Veal could also be in the mix.
Interesting to hear that the Tribe is quietly taking a look at both Roberts and Bedard, just as they were quietly players for Dan Haren. Bedard could fill the void if C.C. Sabathia were to leave via free agency. What would a Roberts acquisition mean? Asdrubal Cabrera to short, Jhonny Peralta to third or traded?
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If they can get marshall and cedeno the o's should do it tis second. Replace Bedard when he's traded and get a decent short stop.
Posted by: joemorgan=#1 | January 08, 2008 at 12:14 AM
You heard it right here first...This is great for everyone and its going to happen.
Indians Get: Brian Roberts
Orioles Get: Sean Gallagher (from Cubs), Matt Murton (from Cubs, Franklin Gutierrez (from Indians)
Cubs Get: Jhonny Peralta
Posted by: uww1 | January 08, 2008 at 12:16 AM
joe morgan I agree with you about that trade...thats a good idea too.
Posted by: uww1 | January 08, 2008 at 12:18 AM
Although Roberts would be a better choice but the Cubs need a SS more then a 2B and Peralta is 5 year younger and cheaper.
Posted by: uww1 | January 08, 2008 at 12:36 AM
Why exactly do the Cubs want or need Peralta, uww1? He doesn't bat left and he doesn't lead off, both of which seem to be what the Cubs are lacking at this point.
Posted by: J-Money | January 08, 2008 at 12:39 AM
Cubs dont need a lead off. Even if they get Rcberts he wont be leading off.
Posted by: uww1 | January 08, 2008 at 12:44 AM
Well you're wrong about Roberts not leading off. Soriano is not the Cubs' leadoff hitter for their future. But regardless they still are heavily right-handed and Peralta does nothing to help that situation.
Posted by: J-Money | January 08, 2008 at 12:51 AM
Pinella has already said Soriano is our lead off man. So I guess your calling him wrong too. He is one of the best lead off hitters in the game and brings way to much to the table to not lead him off. He is most comfortable leading off and that why we paid him they way we did...
Posted by: uww1 | January 08, 2008 at 12:54 AM
Oh please, I hope you don't buy into the crap the sports writers say about Soriano being unable to hit outside of the leadoff spot. Soriano is very predictable. It's cold he struggles, leadoff spot or elsewhere. When it warms up in Chicago so does Soriano. If he's worth the money, he can bat wherever they play him. And with his production, he should be batting 5th. You can't deny that. Also, I don't think Piniella has advocated that position this offseason. He said that last year when the Cubs had no other options. With Roberts he can move Soriano down in the order where he belongs.
Our batting order next year will begin Roberts, Fukudome, Lee, Ramirez, Soriano. You can book that.
Posted by: J-Money | January 08, 2008 at 01:01 AM
HIghly doubt that...Look at the stats man. Soriano bats tons better at lead off...he has his whole career. Look it up.
If we get Roberts:
Soriano, Roberts, Lee, Ramirez, Fukudome
If we dont get Roberts:
Soriano, Fukudome, Lee, Ramirez
Posted by: uww1 | January 08, 2008 at 01:06 AM
Most likely we will get Roberts and thats what I am hoping. But there were rumors toward the beggining of the offseason that peralta might be available. He would be tons better then Theriot at SS. He would be a great 6th hitter for us, even could bat 5th and he is only 25 years old. Thats all I was saying.
Posted by: uww1 | January 08, 2008 at 01:13 AM
No. . . you were also saying that the Indians would give up their 25 year old starting SS and 24 year old starting RF for Roberts. This would not happen unless the Indians find yet another corner outfielder, and they are already looking for one to play LF. So no, that won't happen.
Posted by: kotsbeu | January 08, 2008 at 05:33 AM
Article says Mets had interest in Bedard, not Roberts- they just signed Castillo to 4 more years...
Posted by: wallybackman | January 08, 2008 at 06:39 AM
Article says Mets had interest in Bedard, not Roberts- they just signed Castillo to 4 more years...
Posted by: wallybackman | January 08, 2008 at 06:43 AM
Article says Mets had interest in Bedard, not Roberts- they just signed Castillo to 4 more years...
Posted by: wallybackman | January 08, 2008 at 06:43 AM
Can someone knowledgeable speculate on DeRosa's defensive abilities at SS? I find him too valuable to move from an every day role, and even if he was a sort of "super utility" player, I expect he'd get more time off. Also, Theriot is the real weakness, while another second baseman would be a luxury.
Also, I agree with Soriano, Roberts, Lee, Ramirez, Fukudome. Otherwise we still have the problem of our top hitters, all righties, batting consecutively. Soriano fifth, even with adding two left handers, hurts the lineup.
Posted by: RandomScrub | January 08, 2008 at 07:49 AM
i could not see a three way trade at all, it wouldnt happen. the cubs do need a ss, but i dont see your veiws on the deal going on at all.
yes, i agree with Soriano, Roberts, Lee, Ramirez, Fukudome. i could even see fukudome 3rd, then lee and ramirez. eh its just a thought...
Posted by: bronx | January 08, 2008 at 08:44 AM
As far as DeRosa at SS...he wouldn't be Ryan Braun bad, but he would be below average. His range is lacking. He is serviceable, but not a starting big league SS.
I also like the Soriano, Roberts, Lee, Ramirez, Fukudome lineup. Soriano won't be the leadoff hitter for his entire contract, but probably for another year or two. That top five is absolutely sick though...
I'm hoping we can trade Gallagher, Murton, and Patterson, for Roberts. Patterson could battle for Roberts old job in ST, and he would probably win it.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | January 08, 2008 at 09:03 AM
I am just throwing this out there for an option and to see what you guys think. I have heard that Eric Patterson played some SS in the minors. Depending on what web site you look at he is listed as an OF or 2B. But what about getting him some experience at SS with a rotation with Theriot. If he can play good defensive there with our top 6 hitters, he wouldnt hurt us at all and he could work his way up to full time. What do you think? Just an idea...
Posted by: uww1 | January 08, 2008 at 10:06 AM
DeRosa at short here and there is serviceable. Derosa at short everyday is disaster. His range is lacking. Not good for the pitching staff. Also, Fukudome came to the Cubs with the promise to play RF.
Posted by: studio179 | January 08, 2008 at 10:29 AM
Uww1-
Are you seriously trying to say that Soriano is one of the Best leadoff hitters in the league?
I mean I know most Cub fans are delusional just not this bad.
What makes Soriano so great at leadoff...is it his Stunningly awesome .345 OBP wait how about his 31 walks in 500 Plate apperances.
As a Brewer fan I am happy everyday that I see Soriano in the leadoff spot because he does not do enough to table set for Dlee and Aram... he does not walk enough...and I much rather have him hitting HRs with nobody on then 3 run HRs further down the order.
Posted by: erbacaine | January 08, 2008 at 10:34 AM
Honestly, I don't see the Roberts trade, happening...the Cubs might be the best fit, and he would be great in the two hole, but if this trade was going to happen it would have already.
Patterson and Cedeno have been getting playing time at other positions, i.e. CF, SS, to give Lou the flexibility that he he craves. The Cubs are going to be young up the middle this year, and Lou is going to use a lot of combinations...but I see Cedeno becoming the everyday SS for the Cubs, probably by mid May, DeRosa becoming the everyday 2B, and Epat/Theriot being the spark plugs off the bench.
At any rate, we are going to see a lot of different combination up the middle with Cedeno, Pie, Epat, DeRosa, and Theriot, playing all over the place the first couple months of the season.
Posted by: ska_tay | January 08, 2008 at 10:47 AM
Just so everyone knows, Patterson's defense is below average at 2nd, so I'm thinking it would be pretty much atrocious at SS...hence trying him in the OF.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | January 08, 2008 at 11:08 AM
erbacaine - .345 OBP? It was actually worse than that last year, and his career OBP is worse still. If the Cubs got Roberts and did not bat him leadoff it would be a foolish move.
Posted by: Smoltz's Beard | January 08, 2008 at 11:29 AM
ahhh ok I for some reason had .345 in my head..but you are right it was a .337 last year and a .327 for his carrer.
So if they got Roberts his .376 or so OBP would be a much better option at the leadoff spot(top 5 in the league last year) and would make me more worried
Posted by: erbacaine | January 08, 2008 at 11:46 AM
I agree...but really, its not all that big of a difference if he hits in the 1 or 2 hole...it still sets up D Lee, Ramirez, and Fukudome. Thats whats important here. Roberts in the 1 hole is great, but they wouldn't lose much by putting him in the two either.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | January 08, 2008 at 11:52 AM
If the Cubs were to get Roberts they would have to lead him off. A lineup similar to this would be very nasty.
Roberts
Lee
Ramirez
Fukodome
Soriano
Soto
Pie
Theriot
With the OBP of Roberts and Lee, Ramirez might get 150 RBI. You also get a nice mix of lefty and righty batters not stacked. Soriano also gets more protection in the lineup because of the high OBP of Fukodome.
The Cubs then can figure out a way to get DeRosa 450 at bats. For example, when the Cubs face lefties, Pie sits bench, Fukdome moves to center, and DeRosa plays right.
Posted by: mmontice | January 08, 2008 at 11:59 AM
I'm fine with that lineup too, just don't know if D Lee would want to hit 2nd. His OBP would be nice there...
I don't think Lou will be moving Fukudome to anywhere else but center unless there is an injury or something. You never know though with Lou...thats why I love him.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | January 08, 2008 at 12:15 PM
I see the Cubs making every push for Roberts, as they would significantly increase their OBP, which has been killing them. After adding him, I want them to add a starter to solidify a strong rotation. Then this offseason will be considered a great success.
Posted by: Jdogg123 | January 08, 2008 at 12:40 PM
Although DeRosa is solid, Roberts is an upgrade in pretty much every way. It doesn't matter if they need a SS more, because there isn't really one available. If you can get a guy the calibur of Roberts, and use DeRosa for 400 abs or more in various positions, than I think you do it. If there was a very good left handed hitting SS with solid defense available for the right price, sure...but I don't know of one.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | January 08, 2008 at 01:18 PM
Just throwing this out there but why not Roberts in CF? That gives Pie one more year in AAA and allows Derosa to play 2b. There would surely be a learning curve but.. I know Roberts has the speed. Its not something that I would think is impossible. Or.. he did start 47 games at SS in 2001.
Posted by: Bleacher_Buddha | January 08, 2008 at 02:36 PM
I would focus on trying to get a good SP, forget SS.
Posted by: studio179 | January 08, 2008 at 02:38 PM
I meant a SS of manily Theriot everyday. Then a Cedeno (unless traded) and DeRosa a couple times backup to rest Theriot will work for me. I have no problem of going for Roberts. But a big focus needs to be on another starter. Marquis and Dempster as 4 & 5 do nothing for me.
Posted by: studio179 | January 08, 2008 at 02:46 PM
Believe me, I don't think they do anything for anybody...At least Marquis should be good until the break....
Posted by: Aduncaroo | January 08, 2008 at 03:41 PM
Because of the uncertainty of 3B for the future, its doubtful the Indians would trade Peralta. His size has led many to ponder a move there for a while, but the only thing is that he is currently one of the best fielders around at SS (most don’t realize this at all, but his range is rather amazing) I would think they would only move him to third if the bat upgrade was extreme (Roberts probably fits this) and/or they feel he will stay healthier physically resulting in possibly more power… If it did take place, it would happen with AsCab to SS (his natural position), Peralta to 3B, Blake to RF (where he proved to be a very good defender) and FrankieG to LF. It would also allow them to bat Sizemore 3rd, ie adding the big middle of the order bat. Does make sense if they do like Peralta to 3B, he might prove to be the best defending 3B in the game and Cabrera is a sick fielder at SS…
The biggest problem (for all teams interested) is that the O’s don’t even really want to trade Roberts. They have said that out of everyone on the club, he is the one they least want to move. Will he actually be traded? I doubt it, they openly wanted to deal Tejada if finding an attractive enough package and that took 2+ years for them to do. I don’t see him moving unless the other team blatantly overpays…
Posted by: darkstar1661 | January 08, 2008 at 03:52 PM
and to answer a couple of the questions above:
~ Roberts will not be moved from 2B. He could conceivably play SS, but it wont happen.
~ DeRosa really cant be a everyday SS. Shoot, he shouldn’t even be an everyday 2B. He is there out of need, not desire. (hence the Cubs interest in 2Bmen this year)
~ Patterson wont be an infielder if he ever makes the bigs; it might as well be forgotten that he once was…
~ Soriano has to hit 1st if you want the most production out of him. It would be great if they could move him down, but the other team is most likely to throw him strikes if he is hitting leadoff. Throw him strikes as a 1 hitter and he will get himself out most of the time (see the consistently low OBP), cushioning the solo-shot possibility a ton. If you don’t throw strikes and walk him, you are just giving him a much better chance to score because of the following hitters and his speed. He is probably more likely to score off a walk with the 2-5 hitters following then he is to hit a HR. Al-So is such a horrible free swinger that he will strive on strikes and flounder when you are not afraid to walk him (it shows in his career splits bigtime)
~ If the Cubs get Roberts, they may very well play Fuku in CF. Well, they will probably give Pie a half-ass chance, but it will be a really, really short leash. By the AS break, it would probably be DeRosa as the everyday RFer.
~ Roberts at 2B will make up for a lot of the shortcomings of Theriot at SS. Theriot isnt a very good fielder, but Roberts is; and if its Roberts instead of DeRosa then its manageable. Plus, if Pie isnt in CF and DeRosa is in RF instead, then Theriot would ‘possibly’ be the only really bad hitter in the lineup. (I say ‘possibly’ because of the differing opinions on Soto’s chances in the bigs)
Posted by: darkstar1661 | January 08, 2008 at 03:54 PM
"By the AS break, it would probably be DeRosa as the everyday RFer."
What an idiot.
Darkstar = ignorance and loves to come on any cubs post and say stupid things. Yet another example...
Posted by: Aduncaroo | January 08, 2008 at 04:46 PM
Just to answer the thought of the Fukudome in center post. Fukudome will not play CF. Two major reasons he came to the Cubs was he wanted to play RF and wanted to be the first player from Japan for that team. The only time you will see him in CF is some injury or a major switch from Lou due to some 15 inning game or something silly. Finally, the scouting reports suggest he would be below average in large CF parks.
Posted by: studio179 | January 08, 2008 at 04:51 PM
How did we get on the DeRosa topic? I guess because the Roberts thing could happen. DeRosa in RF everyday is like DeRosa at SS everyday, no good. If the Cubs do not get Roberts, I guess we will have DeRosa at 2nd and that will clear up that.
Posted by: studio179 | January 08, 2008 at 04:56 PM
"By the AS break, it would probably be DeRosa as the everyday RFer."
“What an idiot.
Darkstar = ignorance and loves to come on any cubs post and say stupid things. Yet another example...”
Yeah, yeah, yeah… Blah, blah, blah… Whatever jackass…
But since you seem to think yourself the protector of all things Cubs or whatever, then answer me this ~ who is in CF if/when Pie doesn’t cut it (and Roberts is added of course)? And if its Fukudome (the most likely answer), then who plays RF? It would mainly be DeRosa, correct? And you can say someone like Murton or whatever ~ but he’s one name constantly mentioned in the Roberts rumors so. Besides, they seem reluctant to play him no matter the need.
So, again ~ “IF” the Cubs get Roberts (a huge “IF” to start with) and “IF” Pie tanks it (not as unlikely at all, this probably happens no matter the other) then there is a strong probability it would be DeRosa as the main RFer with Fukudome in CF. What, you going to argue it will be Fudd with me? Or Patterson? You think a contender will just keep throwing random rookies out there in an open audition for the job hoping they find anyone who can do an ok job? Like I said, whatever…
...But you’ll bitch about anything said so go ahead, give us your next random pointless obsessive nitpicking about anything I say in your attempts to be the big voice of the Cubs or whatever ~ I’m used to it from you… Whats next, going to tell us that I am wrong for saying that Theriot isnt a very good hitter? I’m surprised that didn’t really get your panties in a twist… Or what about the possibility I left for Soto to not hit like the second coming of Willies Mays ~ you are going to whine and cry that there is infact no chance what-so-ever of that being the case. You usually do afterall… Oh, and I think you might want to try and get a picket-line together ~ a Baseball America writer said he feels it unlikely Fukudome becomes a real star! Should we expect to see you on the news chained to the frontdoor of their offices?
Studio,
Not saying it would be the ideal situation, it will just be a likely situation for them to be in. Much the same way DeRosa ended up as the everyday 2B last year, it’s something that would be a chain of events that lead to that outcome ~ again, if Roberts is added. Better than the other options, well unless an emergency trade is made...
Posted by: darkstar1661 | January 08, 2008 at 05:38 PM
I would really hope that Pie gets a full shot at CF this year. Good organizations not only nurture their players through the minors but put them in a position to succeed when they arrive. This team should not need Pie's offense to succeed. Put him in CF, bat him 8th and give him a season. His arm and his instints in the field should be enough. Doesn't it seem like if Corey Patterson never existed that Pie would be getting more love from the fans?
BTW, the outfield arms of Soriano/Pie/Fukodome should be entertaining - to think 2 years ago it was Murton/Pierre/Jones.
Posted by: cubz23 | January 08, 2008 at 05:44 PM
CUBZ23
I had that idea on another post about the outfield arms. I really cant wait for the arms of those three and the speed to tackle the outfield this year. Its going to be sick. If and when we get Roberts Pie's offense is not really going to have to be the best and there wont be any presure on his bat. Can you imagine a lineup on opening day:
Soriano
Roberts
Lee
Ramirez
Fukudome
Soto
Theriot
Pie
Zambrano (best hitting pitcher in baseball)
See ya later Milwaukee
Posted by: uww1 | January 08, 2008 at 06:54 PM
The lineup with or without Roberts is immaterial. There has been a lot of statistical evidence stating any random number of ways you put the same 9 guys in a lineup and simulate an entire season with them. The difference in runs scored is so close, it's concludes the lineup irrelevant. Obviously, putting your best hitters in the top 5 spots will score more runs than leading off with your worst 4 hitters, but it's because your best hitters will get more at-bats.
The Soriano can only bat leadoff argument is not well-researched. There has been only two seasons in which Soriano batted anywhere but leadoff more than 72 at bats. 2004-2005 when he was in Texas. You'd be really stretching it by saying his lone reason for struggling in Texas on him not batting leadoff. Unless you are facing single A ball, pitchers are going to try to get you out the same way no matter where you bat in the lineup. Hitters have tendencies batting 1st, 5th, or 9th. Soriano is likely to have an .850ish OPS wherever you bat him and it doesn't make too big of a difference where he bats.
Posted by: Teetz | January 08, 2008 at 07:12 PM
dark-
A chain of events could and would have to happen for DeRosa in RF Everyday. Just don't see it happening, but stranger things have taken place. As far as Theriot, I'm not sold on him either. I like him. This is his second full year and it is a huge year for him. Hope he does well.
Posted by: studio179 | January 08, 2008 at 10:39 PM
"BTW, the outfield arms of Soriano/Pie/Fukodome should be entertaining - to think 2 years ago it was Murton/Pierre/Jones."
If Pie is not in a big SP trade, I'd love to see him get a full shot and do well. Quit pointing to the sky on a basehit and just shorten the swing and the strikezone. The arms you mentioned brought back horrible memories.
Posted by: studio179 | January 08, 2008 at 10:45 PM
What do you mean horrible memories of the arms of Murton/Pierre/Jones...they could all make it to 2nd base on one hop...thats good right. HA Teams are will now and should be scared of running home.
I really dont believe Pie will be traded. Pie and Hill are pretty much off limits or so thats what Jim says. I do agree about aquiring a QUALITY SP...I keep getting this feeling that Jim has something up his sleeve Roberts? even Bedard maybe?
Posted by: uww1 | January 08, 2008 at 11:20 PM
Theriot isn't a good hitter, but he could and should be average. He crapped out for the last month and a half or so of last year, so lets hope he can keep it up a full year this year.
If and when Pie bombs? Pie is still one of the best CF prospects in all of baseball, and the Cubs only need the guy to hit like .250 to be very helpful. Defensive STUD! Thats whats important here, the lineup doesn't really need him, he will just be nice to have.
Fuld's stock is rising, and you can bet that he will be at least getting a chance to get some playing time as well. I think he is a 4th outfielder at best, but he could develop into a very good 4th outfielder. And yes, Murton would be playing the OF before DeRosa would...period. There isn't any question there...really none at all. He is just as good defensively and a better hitter, its just logical.
The outfield defense and arms are going to be sick next year, thats for sure. I can't wait for that, its been a long time since I really liked the outfield defense. A LONG time.
I think Hendry has one more big move up his sleeve, and I feel like its EITHER Roberts or a starting pitcher. The problem is, I really think that Gallagher is as good as anyone they could get without giving up the farm.
Oh, and Soto's defense alone improves this club tremendously. Look at the hitting production of the catchers last year...he could hit .200 and be an improvement. Its not really hard to see what a guy that Bill James projects to have a .850ish OPS will bring to this team. I can't wait for next year. Go get Roberts Jimmy! I hope they don't have to give up Gallagher...but I have a feeling McPhail knows better than to substitute Marshall...
Posted by: Aduncaroo | January 08, 2008 at 11:31 PM
What would we have to give up to make a blockbuster with Baltimore for Roberts and Bedard?
Gallagher, Murton, Cedeno, Patterson, Veal
***We would even through in Marquis for free if they want him*** HA
Posted by: uww1 | January 08, 2008 at 11:48 PM
To get both? If it could even happen, it would take something like
Gallagher\Murton\Pie\Veal\Patterson\Cedeno\Marshall
And thats if they would take a quantity trade instead of quality, which they would probably be stupid to do. Why would they take this trade if they could get the Homer Bailys of the world?
Posted by: Aduncaroo | January 08, 2008 at 11:51 PM
Studio,
Yeah, of course it would take like those three things happening for it to happen ~ get Roberts, Pie tanks, no trade made for CFer. Those three things pretty much leaves us in that boat though. That’s also what I said in the first post (the one attacked for unknown reasons by you-hoo up there) ~ well I just didn’t mention the “No-Trade for CFer” thing, which I think goes without saying…
Cubz,
Yeah, they really should give him a good long look no matter what he is doing, but I’m not sure they will. I think this will especially be the case if in a lineup with non-hitting Theriot and the pitchers spot. If he is hitting .250/.300/.350ish between Theriot and a Pitchers spot providing similarly bad numbers ~ well that’s 3 automatic outs on a playoff contender.
Teetz,
As far as the lineup thing ~ halfway agree. It doesn’t make tons of difference, but more ABs for the better hitters means more runs. I think it ends up meaning somewhere in the 20-40 Runs a year range if you have it configured like the norm…
Also, not as if this will give 100% perfect projections, but gives an idea. Either way, it’s a great website to goof around with. Not gonna take the time to do Soriano because, well I just don’t care enough, but maybe someone else does or just enjoys goofing with the page:
http://www.baseballmusings.com/cgi-bin/LineupAnalysis.py
The site is just fun no matter what, esp if anyone is one of those that ever thinks “what if we replace so&so with so&so”…
As far as how you pitch guys ~ the last thing you ever want to do is walk a leadoff or 2-hitter. This is compounded greatly if they have speed ~ but you know that man. Now most top of the order hitters take quite a few pitches, they can get their fair share of walks. Soriano isnt that type of hitter though, at all... If he’s the 4 or 5 hitter it really doesn’t matter if you walk him, most of the time the bottom of the order hitters wont be able to knock him around the bags in the remaining amount of outs. Even upper-talent guys generally don’t have stats close to your 2-4 guys. If you aren’t afraid to walk him, then throw him some junk and see if he chases ~ in Sorianos case, he probably will...
Posted by: darkstar1661 | January 09, 2008 at 12:40 AM
Oh and as far as how Soriano hits elseware (and this could be some coincidence of course, but you have to admit it’s a little striking…)
~ 2007: His first 29 games he is hitting .312/.353/.512 and on a 10 game run of hitting .348/.400/.609. He is moved to the 3 hole and proceeds to go .179/.258/.286 over the next 7 games.
~ 2006: .273/.333/.606 line in first 9 games of the season out of the 5 spot, he is moved to Leadoff and goes .372/.413/.651 over the next 9 and .324/.377/.535 over the next 77 PA before being moved back to the 3-hole. Once hitting 3rd, he instantly plummets back to .175/.195/.400 for 10 games and they put him back at leadoff ~ where he goes .324/.419/.730 the next 10 and .287/.366/.588 the rest of the way until they again try him in the 3 spot for some reason… The final 7 games of the season, .120/.258/.280 from the 3 spot.
~ 2004 & 2005 of course you looked up the splits
~ 2003 we see the same exact thing though. .316/.383/.577 over first 49 games and .325/.357/.575 over the previous 9 when the Yankees move him to 3rd ~ he goes .233/.244/.465 the next 9 games from the 3-hole. He didn’t actually break out of the little slump as soon as moving back to the leadoff spot like he has done in recent years, and as a whole he finishes the season with a .283/.323/.505 over the final 98 games in the leadoff-spot (other than a 8&9 for a couple random games)
…Its just trippy to look at, its really the most unusual thing I have ever seen from a player. Its like as soon as he is taken out of that leadoff spot he puts up a mental block and tanks until they put him back into it. As soon as he is back in it, almost always right back to the good stats. I would say its probably just coincidence if it didn’t happen every single time ~ with it happening with each and ever move out of that leadoff spot though…well…
Doesn’t matter though, I just really cant see them hitting him anywhere but Leadoff; and if I had him on my team that’s exactly where I would want him…
Posted by: darkstar1661 | January 09, 2008 at 12:47 AM
uww1 & adun-
I agree with you. My spidy sense is tingling and feels Mr. Hendry has some big move up his sleeve. Not drinking Cubbie juice and wishing, either. I just get this feeling...
Also, I agree with adun that Gallagher is going to be good. From what I see, he is a solid #3 to come. I don't see Hill going anywhere, which is good. Pie, might go. Not for a Blanton. If that Bedard & Roberts rumor happens (rumor as far as I see it), Gallagher can be included for that one. Call me stupid, Hill is not going in any Bedard & Roberts deal. I would not do it either. To me, no deal. No slap on Bedard, but Hill will be that good. I know some Cub fans over evaluate their players, I do not. I feel Pie is not Corey and Hill is going to be all of that.
Posted by: studio179 | January 09, 2008 at 12:48 AM
dark-
We all know Soriano will chase junk. This is not news. The question is where to bat him. Hmmm. He likes leadoff because it is fact leadoff hitters see more fastballs. He can hit a fastball. He can crush a low fastball. Okay, his strikeouts are high and his walks are low for leadoff. Bat him lower. Okay, say at 4th or 5th or even 6th...the RBI spots. What about his speed? You got to get on first, first. Does anyone think pitchers will throw a BP, beach ball, come and get it fastball with runners on? Sometimes they will. Mostly they will not. Back to the throwing junk. Slider low and away. The numbers over time point out he hits well at leadoff, no where else. It is a thing you live with if he is on your team. Not the traditional leadoff guy as far as OBP, but bats best at leadoff with other stats. I would bet Soriano leads off most of the time. Not just because he demanded it when signed, but because it works best for him. If The Cubs get Roberts, I still say Soriano leads off and Roberts bats 2nd.
Just my thought.
Posted by: studio179 | January 09, 2008 at 01:10 AM
Oh Studio, I agree 100% with everything you just said ~ and it mirrors what I said earlier in the thread near perfectly. I only posted that Soriano stuff for Teetz, who had stated otherwise in response to said post ~ just giving him the freaky trends that do point to Soriano tanking elseware, consistently, everytime its tried...
Posted by: darkstar1661 | January 09, 2008 at 01:24 AM
God, I am so tired of hearing this crap about Soriano. They need to have a batting coach LIVING with Soriano 24/7 teaching him patience. End of story. He needs that bad. I need that bad. And I dont understand why everyone is bagging on Theriot. The guy is a late inning sparkplug. Who says he hasnt grown or matured yet either. Now that said, I still bench him if Roberts comes and play DeRosa at short, IF HE'S COOL WITH THAT! Seriously you snakes give Theriot some time to grow a little, learn how to hit and what's most likely to be thrown in what count, by what guy. See it's alot to know. Imagine if everyone wanted their Big Mac made different! You're telling me you'd never mess it up the first few times. I know you would you bastards cuz you mess up my order all the time and I get whats already on the freakin menu! Apply your harsh criticisms to your own work. It sucks. Im a brain surgeon, I killed like four dudes before getting it right.
Posted by: goathedxxx | January 09, 2008 at 05:31 AM
After reading all these posts I'm kind of leaning towards maybe the best move would be "NO" move. Giving up 4 guys for Roberts is nuts, especially if Gallagher is part of it. Gallagher is probably their fourth best starter right now. I'm not a big fan of Marshall and the Dempster experiment is crazy. If they could have Lieber and Gallagher as their 4 and 5, they might be "OK". I would love to have Peralta at short, because Theriot has zero range, if it wouldn't cost them Gallagher. I wonder what a Marshall/ Dempster package would bring? A starting lefty and closer. I know Dempster is scary but he did save 28/31 last year.
Posted by: cachhubguy | January 09, 2008 at 07:41 AM
I asked Keith Law about Gallagher and he said he is probably a middle of the rotation guy who could be starting at the back of the rotation right now. Thats why I would dump Marquis and or Dempster and just start Gallagher. Then trade Colvin\Marshall to get Roberts and you are good to go. The Cubs win 90 games next year if they get Roberts and start Gallagher in the 5 hole.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | January 09, 2008 at 11:08 PM