![]() |
|
|
| |
« Baseball Blogs Weigh In: Rule 5 Draftees | Main | Red Sox Resolve Coach Compensation Dispute »
John Fay of the Cincinnati Enquirer is hearing a rumor that the Reds are "actively seeking a catcher." He speculates that Ryan Freel could be trade bait.
Fay's note conveniently gels with some info from a Jeff Brantley radio appearance that a reader passed along. Brantley reportedly said the Reds have been scouting the Rangers' Gerald Laird. On a not necessarily related note, Brantley also mentioned that they may look to trade Matt Belisle.
MLB.com's T.R. Sullivan recently wrote that the Rangers don't intend to trade Laird despite some interest. On the other hand, Jon Daniels admitted in Sullivan's article that he wouldn't turn a deaf ear to anything. Laird is set to be the Rangers' starting catcher this year. Jarrod Saltalamacchia would take on a smaller role or try Triple A.
The Reds could also consider trying to acquire San Diego's Michael Barrett, who has played under Dusty Baker with the Cubs. Bengie Molina and Ramon Hernandez may also be available.
TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.typepad.com/services/trackback/6a00d834515b9a69e200e5514916cf8834
Listed below are links to weblogs that reference Reds Seek Catching Help:
This is only a preview. Your comment has not yet been posted.
As a final step before posting your comment, enter the letters and numbers you see in the image below. This prevents automated programs from posting comments.
Having trouble reading this image? View an alternate.


|
|
I have been saying for over a year that Bengie Molina makes the MOST sense for the Reds.
He plays Gold Glove caliber Defense, which can NOT be said about Valentin and now, Bako or any of the other Catchers mentioned in these rumors.
He hits for a decent Average, hits for power, drives in Runs AND he hits VERY well against Left Handed Pitching, something the Reds have had trouble against in recent years.
My suggestion had been Alex Gonzalez and Valentin for Molina. The salaries work out and the Giants NEED a younger Short Stop and a guy who can hit for some power. A Gon's injury clouds that up now but maybe Freel could be included.
Posted by: ctownboy | March 18, 2008 at 04:27 PM
What about Toby Hall? Donny Lucy? Or Cole Armstrong? I have been pushing (but Kenny never asks me) for the White Sox picking up of Freel. I think he is a great addition to the Sox. Both as an example as their new slogan (Share the Passion, Show the Swagger...no more Passion and Swagger than Ryan Freel.) and between him and Swisher, make long time Sox fans forget the images of Rowand crashing into walls. I thought this deal could get done with Bryan Anderson and a Reliever. Now, I think Bryan Anderson and Armstrong/Lucy/Hall.
Posted by: ChiSox33 | March 18, 2008 at 04:30 PM
Wait, so the Reds have just concluded that they need a catcher who's better than David Ross or Javier Valentin?
They're really on top of things down there in the River City.
Posted by: MikeMeyer | March 18, 2008 at 04:35 PM
The reason why the Reds are just now searching for another catcher--They just realized they have a pretty solid rotation, one that they can definitely win the central with. They've got some trade pieces, and instead of going after an established reliever are going to try to shore up their weakest offensive spot.
I say they do everything they can to get Molina. With Molina, this team is my central favorite.
I'd do just about anything to get him, and with the 1-4 spots in the starting rotation looking like they're gonna be locked down for the next 3 years at least I'd consider moving Bailey in a deal.
Posted by: Grizzlyfox | March 18, 2008 at 04:51 PM
Encarnacion is what the Giants need!
Posted by: zito4cyyoung | March 18, 2008 at 04:57 PM
If people are considering Bengie Molina to be this huge savior, they're nuts...
Getting a sub-.320 OBP and a sub-.450 SLG isn't exactly this huge boon.
Posted by: jza1218 | March 18, 2008 at 05:08 PM
Not a huge savior, but a solid 7 hitter that shores up a weak spot in the lineup. Plus, in GABP both those numbers go up. Best players in that park are ones that put it into play a lot, and Molina never walks and is 8th among active players in AB/K, meaning he puts it into play just about more than any other major leaguer.
Posted by: Grizzlyfox | March 18, 2008 at 05:12 PM
How would Reds fans feel about Saltalamacchia for Homer Bailey?
Or what do you think they would give up for Laird? Freel isn't something that Texas should be interested in.
Posted by: tricer | March 18, 2008 at 05:19 PM
As zito4cyyoung and others have said, the Reds and Giants match up well. Sabean doesn't want to move pitching right now for corner infield help, and moving Molina to get Encarnacion takes care of that. It still allows Sabean to then package a vet and a young pitcher to fill 1B while still keeping Sanchez/Correia/Lowry as starters.
Posted by: Steve Soto | March 18, 2008 at 05:24 PM
"Not a huge savior, but a solid 7 hitter that shores up a weak spot in the lineup"
The problem is that those numbers really don't make a solid #7 hitter. They'd be better served waiting for David Ross to come back from his back spasms. He's a catcher who compares to Molina offensively and actually has less PB's and throws out batters at a higher percentage.
"Plus, in GABP both those numbers go up. Best players in that park are ones that put it into play a lot, and Molina never walks and is 8th among active players in AB/K, meaning he puts it into play just about more than any other major leaguer."
It also means higher rates for double plays.
Fortunately, in SF, he usually batted behind Ray Durham which limited his DP chances.
However, the Reds wouldn't have many speedy options to put in front of Molina in that line-up as people like Hopper and Phillips would probably be batting at the top of the order (if they trade Freel). Edwin Encarnacion, Jeff Keppinger and Alex Gonzalez (when he comes back) aren't the most fleet of foot and you're going to be seeing a lot of DP's there IMO
Posted by: jza1218 | March 18, 2008 at 05:27 PM
For Laird they'd probly offer Belisle. Something that wouldn't be in the best interest of either team.
Salty for Bailey? Now that's interesting. Both player's look to be starting the year in AAA. With a trade, both probly get bumped up into the majors. I don't know if it would work straight up though. The Reds would probly also want a pitching prospect, albeit not a top one. Its not so much that Bailey isn't worth that much, its that they really need to shore up the position. It'd be hard to win 90 games with Ross/Valent]ine/Bako/Colina.
However, I'd still want Molina more than Salty. Salty is more likely to help 2-3 years from now, Molina helps now.
Posted by: Grizzlyfox | March 18, 2008 at 05:27 PM
And there is no way in heck Encarnacion gets moved. None whatsoever.
Posted by: Grizzlyfox | March 18, 2008 at 05:27 PM
How about Molina and Pat Misch for Encarnacion?
Sabes, get on the phone!
Posted by: lrs77 | March 18, 2008 at 05:39 PM
Why does Grizzlyfox think that the Reds have a solid rotation?
Harang:
2007 16-6 3.73 ERA, with a career ERA of 4.15 from your ace isn't that impressive.
Arroyo:
2007 9-15 4.23 ERA
Belisle:
2007 8-9 5.32 ERA
Volquez/Cueto/Bailey seem to be the only ones with great promise from the rotation and all of them aren't going to pitch all year long. Bailey will probably end up being traded for a catcher.
Maybe Bailey/SS or 3B prospect for Landon Powell?
The A's and Reds were talking about trading Blanton. Maybe have Blanton/Powell for some kind of combination for Bailey/Votto/Cueto/prospect?
These deals would seem more reasonable. The Reds definitely need an improvement from a catcher and even a rookie like Powell, with good promise, would help out.
Posted by: green_and_gold | March 18, 2008 at 05:39 PM
Grizzly, if you don't think Molina warrants Encarnacion, then does Molina warrant Votto?
Posted by: Steve Soto | March 18, 2008 at 05:43 PM
Molina is not worth much.
I remember they would not include E.E. in the Bedard deal so I doubt he is going anywhere.
Posted by: XD23 | March 18, 2008 at 05:49 PM
I'll take Votto for Molina and Misch, then. Thanks.
Sabes, get on that damn phone!
Posted by: lrs77 | March 18, 2008 at 05:59 PM
If anyone thinks one of the Reds' big 4 is being moved for Bengie Molina or any other catcher for that matter then you're a damned fool.
Posted by: TheNatural | March 18, 2008 at 06:12 PM
Irs77:
Acctually the rotation is all but locked down with the rotation sitting at Harang, Arroyo, Cueto, Volquez, and then the winner between Josh Fogg, Matt Belisle, and Homer Bailey.
Cueto and Volquez have both been dominate this spring against top competition such at the Yankees, Phillies, and Tigers(against practically all of the regulars from those teams)
Scouts have been raving about Cueto thus far and one scout even went as far to say that Cueto is the ACE of our staff right now.
Posted by: redhawk61 | March 18, 2008 at 06:27 PM
How about Freel for the White Sox Crede or the Tigers Inge? Then, package Crede or Inge with Valentin or another excess player from the Reds and trade those guys for Molina?
As far as those who say Molina is no good, then how about his 19 Home Runs and 81 RBI in a Pitcher's park?? Or how about his combined .340 Batting Average from 2005 - 2007 against Left Handed Pitching? Those numbers beat teh heck out of what LaRue, Valentin and Ross have put up over the last three years.
As far as Defense goes, who would you rather have, Molina or Valentin or Bako?
Forget Offense if the Catcher can't call a game (Reds Starting Pitchers ERA in 2007 was over a Run higher with Valentin behind the plate compared to when Ross was Catching) or if they can't throw ANYBODY out.
Valentin threw out 8% of the Attempted Base stealers in 2007 and how many Errors has Bako made just trying to throw the ball down to Second base this Spring Training?
If the Reds are going to be a contender, especially in 2009, they don't need to half ass it and get some scrub Catcher who isn't worth a crap.
Posted by: ctownboy | March 18, 2008 at 06:32 PM
Yes...trusting Johnny Cueto to be a huge part of your pitching staff despite only having 22 innings in AAA is a great idea.
Using spring training as an indicator is never a smart idea.
Didn't we just talk about Todd Linden yesterday?
Posted by: jza1218 | March 18, 2008 at 06:33 PM
once you see cueto pitch you will understand
Posted by: redhawk61 | March 18, 2008 at 06:37 PM
ctownboy...
If you want to base it off of 19 HR's and 81 RBI's (which is more a signifier of where you are in the batting order) then you obviously know nothing about baseball.
I mean...why not just be happy with David Ross's 21 HRs in 2006 or 17 in 2007?
Why base it off of split stats against LHP (especially considering the majority of pitchers you'll face will be right-handers...)?
No...he does not have overwhelming numbers over David Ross...Not even Javier Valentin...Hell, I'd rather have Valentin's split against RHP rather than Molina's against LHP simply because you're going to face RHP around 60-70% of the time
Posted by: jza1218 | March 18, 2008 at 06:39 PM
redhawk...they said the same thing about Homer Bailey last year...
Posted by: jza1218 | March 18, 2008 at 06:40 PM
I bet the Reds would pull off a deal tht would send Encarnacion.
Like, Jarrod Salty(can't spell his name toooo long.) and maybe another player
for
Homer Bailey
or
Bengie Molina
and what ever else Reds want for
Encarnacion
Posted by: CUBBIES2008 | March 18, 2008 at 06:43 PM
What about Rich Aurilia and Bengie Molina for Encarnacion? Richie had a great year for the Reds a couple years ago and Molina could put up pretty big offensive numbers at catcher. The Giants are in a rebuilding process so a young, talented 3B like Encarnacion would be perfect for them. With those guys, you're talking about a club that could see each of the regulars hit 20+ HR.
Posted by: cobweb25 | March 18, 2008 at 06:44 PM
not exactly there were plenty of concerns with bailey entering last year concerning control and the lack of a development of a third pitch.
Cueto throws stikes with all four of his plus pitches. belive me I have seen both pitch multiple times and Cueto is leaps and bounds ahead of Bailey as far as development goes.
Posted by: redhawk61 | March 18, 2008 at 06:45 PM
Oh, and that would be assuming Aurilia plays 3B for the Reds...not 2B...obviously. He's not terrific defensively, but it's not like Encarnacion is the second coming of Brooks Robinson or anything.
Posted by: cobweb25 | March 18, 2008 at 06:46 PM
Not that i have anything against Molina, he was pretty good for the Jays when he was there, but, what makes people think he's worth Encarnacion ???
Just because he's the best hitter on the Giants doesn't mean he's actually a good hitter.
EE is really good, and very young. Yah he's still developing, but he has way more upside then Molina does.
Im sure Ramon Hernandez would be much preferable to Molina and he wouldn't cost EE.
Heck, if they were willing to trade Cueto, im sure Beane would give up Suzuki.
Im sure it also wouldn't be hard to get Olivio from the Royals, he's pissed he's a backup anyways. And im sure they'd love Baily.
But Molina ? Come on ... lets be reasonable here.
Posted by: BaseBallz | March 18, 2008 at 07:00 PM
BaseBallz, I hear ya. I wouldn't do it if I were the Reds. I'm just a diehard Giants fan that wants to see some young, offensive talent for once! Throw me a bone or something.
Posted by: cobweb25 | March 18, 2008 at 07:02 PM
Aurilia isn't on the Reds anymore. I believe he's a Giant now. Don't see the Reds trading away Cueto for a catcher. Even Bailey is a stretch. Freel, Voto, or one of surplus OF's would most likely who they would trade off. Another thing to consider might be Belisle.
Posted by: MJ | March 18, 2008 at 07:05 PM
Seattle is probably the DEEPEST team in MLB with regards to Catchers.
Reds aren't going to land Clement, but Rob Johnson is ready now for MLB! And he's going to be a stud catcher.
How about Seattle gives up:
Rob Johnson & Baek & Reed
for
Griffey & Bailey
And Seattle covers 100% of Griffey's contract in 2008, along with the $4M buyout in 2009?!
Just a thought?!
Posted by: DRWheelock | March 18, 2008 at 07:19 PM
Belisle isn't in the Reds rotation first of all. Cueto has been said by other team's scouts to be our current ace. Volquez pitched against the Yankees the other day, struck out Rodriguez, Giambi, and Matsui one inning, and leads ST in strike outs.
Volquez was the Rangers #1 pitching prospect, Cueto is ours. There good.
As for trading Votto, I don't see em doing it. The only movable guys right now that are or are close to being MLB ready are Freel, Belisle, and Bailey.
Posted by: Grizzlyfox | March 18, 2008 at 07:22 PM
DRWheelock, the Reds front office is not going to lose out on the Griffey chase to 600. Fat chance of him going anywhere unless the Reds are out of contention at the trade deadline.
Posted by: Bank Street Grounds | March 18, 2008 at 07:30 PM
Maybe the Reds should call the Nats. I bet they could get a good deal on Estrada who is a career .280 hitter. And he is pretty solid contact hitter (Struke out only 43 times in 442 ABs in '07).
Posted by: XD23 | March 18, 2008 at 07:40 PM
Too bad we cant just convert hatty back to his catching days
Posted by: cincy_11 | March 18, 2008 at 08:06 PM
"not exactly there were plenty of concerns with bailey entering last year concerning control and the lack of a development of a third pitch."
Really wasn't being overly serious about Bailey, but was just moreso trying to make a point that prospects arent any guarantees.
Look at Phil Hughes production last year. Nothing really special. You can tell he's going to be good, but its still only his first year in the majors.
"Cueto throws stikes with all four of his plus pitches. belive me I have seen both pitch multiple times and Cueto is leaps and bounds ahead of Bailey as far as development goes."
And so have hundreds of other prospects prior to Cueto.
And "multiple games" is still a relatively small sample size to make a judgment on a kid's future.
Posted by: jza1218 | March 18, 2008 at 08:28 PM
XD23
Arent the Reds still in the midst of a lawsuit against the Nats
Posted by: jza1218 | March 18, 2008 at 08:29 PM
I wouldn't mind sending Freel/Bailey/and one of the three catchers to the Rangers for Salty and a prospect.
Posted by: schellis | March 18, 2008 at 08:37 PM
jza,
Because if you look at the Reds stats and Won Loss record away from GASP and also against Left Handed Pitching, they are NOT good. Why? Because the Reds are TOO dependent on the Home Run ball, which they can get away with at GASP but which does NOT work on the Road.
The Reds need hitters who can do more than just hit Home Runs as a way to drive in Runs.
Also, if you look at Hamilton, Hatteberg, A Gon and Dunn's Batting Averages against Left Handed Pitching last year you will find it VERY inadequate. If the middle of the order hitters are NOT doing well against Left Handed Pitching and then you have a guy like David Ross and his .200 Batting Average in the lower part of the order, then SOMETHING has to change if the Reds are going to even think of making it into the Play-Offs.
If the Reds continue to struggle to score Runs on the Road and continue to struggle to score against Left Handed Pitching they will NOT make it to the Play-Offs and will probably NOT even have a winning record.
Look, imagine if the Reds actually made it to the Play-offs but had bad stats on the Road and against Left Handed Pitching (which they have the last few years) and then had to face Johan Santana at Shea. So, it would be Harang versus Santana with Santana moist likely winning that match up. Then, the Reds would be down 1 zip with Arroyo going against whoever the Mets next Pitcher was.
In a short series and going against Left Handed Pitching, I do NOT like the Reds chances with the hitters they currently have.
Posted by: ctownboy | March 18, 2008 at 08:39 PM
Why would the Rangers want to do that? And why would they want one of the three Reds catchers?
Even if they sent Saltalamacchia, they'd still have Gerald Laird and prospects Max Ramirez and Taylor Teagarden
Posted by: jza1218 | March 18, 2008 at 08:39 PM
ctownboy...
If your team sucked against LHP, what use is Bengie Molina?
He still is bad...just not as bad...He had a line of .271 BA/.295 OBP/.436 SLG against lefties. Ross had a line of .248 BA/.291 BA/.470 SLG against lefties.
Ross had a BETTER OPS against lefties than Molina...
I'd be looking to get some help elsewhere rather than picking up Bengie if you had worries about facing LHP...Maybe in an actual power role...
Posted by: jza1218 | March 18, 2008 at 08:45 PM
Anyway...if you really wanted a catcher who killed LHP, you'd want the Reds to go after Ronny Paulino
Posted by: jza1218 | March 18, 2008 at 08:48 PM
Again, over the last three years, Molina hit .340 against Left Handed Pitching.
By your own stats, Molina is ONLY worse in Slugging Percentage and if you take Ross out of GASP and put him in San Francisco, HIS Slugging Percentage would ALSO drop. Conversely, by taking Molina out of San Fran and putting him in GASP, his Offensive numbers will go up, just like MOST other players who have come to the Reds and played.
So, you want good Defense, Molina has won two Gold Gloves. You want Home Runs, Molina has the ability to do that while ALSO hitting for a higher Batting Average.
I am sick and tired of people just looking at a player's Home Run total and thinking THAT is the end-all, be-all of baseball. There are OTHER things that a winning team needs and Defense and being able to drive in Runs WITHOUT having to rely on a Home Run are two of them.
The Reds already have guys who can hit Home Runs but NOT play good Defense. They NEED a couple of more guys who can ALSO hit well and play good D.
As long as the Reds continue to be a Home Run hitting team that does NOT play good Defense, they will be a losing team.
Posted by: ctownboy | March 18, 2008 at 09:06 PM
And like I said earlier, Molina's defense isn't that good anymore. 16 passed balls isn't anything great. Ross's steal percentage was BETTER than Molina's.
He won GG's FIVE YEARS AGO. Why don't they sign Bret Boone too? He won a GG in 03 also.
Your argument has no base.
I'm sick and tired of seeing people look at GG's and think that they're awesome defensively. We all know that isn't true. Otherwise, Rafael Palmeiro wouldn't have won a GG at 1B when he spent most of 1999 at DH.
Posted by: jza1218 | March 18, 2008 at 09:20 PM
I would take satly straight up for bailey. Wanted him last year when the reds and braves were supposedly talking about bronson arroyo
Posted by: redsrowdy | March 19, 2008 at 12:08 AM
salty
Posted by: redsrowdy | March 19, 2008 at 12:09 AM
redhawk61,
i wasn't the one challenging the Reds rotation.
and, i'm not a Reds fan at all, but i have to agree with everything that's been said here about Cueto and Volquez being enormous talents based on what i've seen in spring training-- i most definitely have to agree with them. SURE, it's spring training, but there's something special to what they're throwing. those two might have some growing pains in '08, but they're wicked and will be a force to be reckoned with in the NL Central. if bailey gets his stuff together, that rotation will be hot sh**.
Now, as a Giants fan, I can say Molina is a premiere catcher. Sure, he's not young, so he's not for certain teams, but the guy is clutch and a good hitting catcher, and he calls a good game and knows how to treat a pitching staff. Watching him play for the Giants almost every game-- it's kind of ridiculous how clutch this guy is and how often he gets doubles, despite the fact he's the slowest man in baseball (after AJ Perzynski). Imagine what he'd do in a smaller ballpark. He is the kind of catcher you want on a team trying to WIN-NOW.
If Molina could actually be a part of the Giants in a few years when they might actually begin winning some games, well, then, I definitely wouldn't be rooting for him to be traded. However, since a few years (or more) down the line are not so feasible, i think he should be traded-- and the team getting him will be grateful, believe me.
the giants trading Molina is NOT like the giants trading somebody like durham or roberts.
that said, sure, molina is still not a fair trade straight up for someone like encarnacion or votto. however, considering the reds' need, perhaps something like molina and misch (or sanchez, to up the ante) is. maybe a PTBNML on top it.
anyway, i can dream. that's all the giants have left me. A FANTASY WORLD!
Posted by: lrs77 | March 19, 2008 at 12:31 AM
What about Hernandez and Burres for Votto and two prospects.Burres would help them with thier thin rotation.
Posted by: OUTL@W]EC[ | March 19, 2008 at 12:57 AM
I like Molina as well. He was great with the Angels. Sure he has major shortcomings BUT he also brings intangibles to the game. If you watch him play every day you know what I am talking about.
As far as his defense ... he has always been a plus defender. His GG's did tend to exaggerate his prowess. While good - he was never great. The huge upside is listening to pitchers talk about the guy. He is a great pitchers catcher. That doesn't get picked up in stats necessarily but it is an important trait for a catcher to have.
He would hit close to 300 with 20 home runs playing in Cinci. That's not too bad for a guy who would come fairly cheap.
Posted by: bjsguess | March 19, 2008 at 01:14 AM
Gold gloves really don't mean much since they often don't even go to the right person. Brandon Phillips clearly should have won last year, but somehow Orlando Hudson won...
Posted by: ianoconnor | March 19, 2008 at 01:17 AM
Can greg zaun be had? wouldn't be a horrid option - hes cheap and only has 1 yr left on contract so not apermenant block to reds young catcher.
Posted by: touchmymonkey | March 19, 2008 at 05:42 AM
Yes Greg Zaun can be had! He's old, he has a disgusting beard, was in the mitchell report is is currently blocking at least two young prospects that will have better careers than he did. The Reds can take him!
Posted by: BJays Fan! | March 19, 2008 at 06:36 AM
The Cleveland Indians have a starting caliber catcher serving as a back-up to Martinez. They haven't been willing to part with Shoppach so far but if Marte continues to be a bust I've got to believe they'd have interest in Encarnacion.
Posted by: MickS | March 19, 2008 at 07:11 AM
Guys, the reds are not going to trade four guaranteed years of .280/25/90 thirdbasemen. It's just not going to happen. How bout this.
Phils get Stanton or Mercker and b prospect, Giants get Helms and Belisle, Reds get Molina.
That way the Phils get the lefty reliever they need, Reds get a catcher, and Giants get infield help plus an innings eating starter who could be a league average #4/5 outside of Cincy
Posted by: carolina03 | March 19, 2008 at 07:19 AM
Encarnacion is going nowhere he is the teams best hitter with runners on hitting .360 last year RISP
Posted by: redhawk61 | March 19, 2008 at 07:51 AM
"four guaranteed years of .280/25/90 "
Let's see him hit those numbers once before its guaranteed he does it four years in a rown.
Posted by: zito4cyyoung | March 19, 2008 at 09:24 AM
The guaranteed was referring to the fact he is under team control for four years, not the statistics.
Posted by: carolina03 | March 19, 2008 at 10:07 AM
The Reds would be silly to move Encarnacion for a catcher. They can have Molina for much less.
I would bet that the cost would be limited to low level prospects or role players on the ML squad.
The Giants should be happy to rid themselves of another $5m contract.
And as much as I like Molina - using the argument that he is the best hitter in the Giants lineup and is therefore extremely valuable is silly. That says much more about the Giants lineup than it does about Molina's ability.
Posted by: bjsguess | March 19, 2008 at 11:00 AM
Okay, if landing Encarncion or Votto is too much dreaming, how about Keppinger and PTBNL (perhaps an IF prospect in AA or AAA) for Molina?
Posted by: lrs77 | March 19, 2008 at 11:33 AM
How about Freel to the White Sox for Crede and then Crede to the Giants for Molina?
Look, I don't think the Reds will have a winning season as it is. Now, if Ross is on the DL and the Catching duties are split between Valentin, a Designated Pinch Hitter and Bako, then the Reds chances for success go down even more.
As I said in another post, the Reds Starting Pitchers' ERAs were a Run higher with Valentin Catching as opposed to Ross. Also, Valentin only threw out 8% of the guys who attempted to steal bases. So, Valentin might be able to come off the bench and hit BUT he sure as heck isn't very good as a Catcher.
Then there is Bako and his low .200's Batting Average, Errors, Passed Balls and being able to throw out only 20% of the guys who attempted to steal against him.
Molina might not be as good Defensively as he once was but he would still probably as good as Valentin and Bako. He would also be just as good, if not better, when it comes to throwing out potential base stealers. Then, there is his career .275 Batting Average.
If the Reds want ANY chance to compete for the NL Central title in 2008, they NEED to get a REAL Catcher and NOT some scrub off the scrap heap.
Heck, if they want another scrub, then pick up Mirabelli. He had less Errors and Passed Balls than Bako while being the personal Catcher of Tim Wakefield, a Knuckle Ball Pitcher. His BA was about the same but he had more Home Runs, which is what a LOT of Reds fans value over anything else. Also, he has played for toothpick in the past when he was with the Giants in the late 1990's.
Posted by: ctownboy | March 19, 2008 at 12:05 PM
If the Giants accepted Kepp and a PTBNL for Molina, I'd jump through the roof. Kepp is a fringe guy.
Posted by: Grizzlyfox | March 19, 2008 at 01:53 PM
"Why does Grizzlyfox think that the Reds have a solid rotation? "
Let me tell you why green and gold.
Aaron Harang is easily top ten-fifteen among starting pitchers in the majors. You point to a 4.15 career ERA, but he pitches at GABP and every year it has gotten better. In 2006, he led the NL in k's and wins - every time that has happened in baseball history that player has won the Cy Young. Harang didn't get a vote. Harang is an ace - no doubt.
Bronson Arroyo was an all-star in 2006 and won 14 games with an ERA of 3.29. And after the all-star break last year he posted a 3.55 ERA. he is a bone-fide starter, and he has the post-season/WS experience from the Red Sox. The first half of '07 was an anomaly.
Belisle might not even make the rotation this year.
They signed Fogg, who posted good numbers until yesterday this spring, who got better as the year went on last year, in Colorado no less, and who may do well from the competition.
Now to the kids. Johnny Cueto has lit up everyone he's faced this spring, and has the best stuff on the team. Edinson Volquez has struck out 19 in 13 innings - 'more than any pitcher in the Grapefruit or Cactus Leagues through Sunday's early games.' All while only walking 3 batters. Once Bailey gets his head on straight he could be a number 1 starter. I was at his debut and he handed it to the indians and worked out of jams well. He has nothing left to prove in the minors.
The second half of the rotation is unproven, but very high on talent. High enough to say that they have a solid rotation, escpecially with the amount of pitchers they have, and especially in the NL Central.
Posted by: blarkin11 | March 19, 2008 at 03:14 PM
Oooohh! Now here's a thread I can get down with. I'll preface by professing my affection for/bias toward the O's. Having said that, I think it was a Cincy fan that brought up Ramon Hernandez (also in the original post), so I'll take it from there... It's a good fit, as Ramon has proven himself a capable offensive/defensive catcher with big years in SD and BAL on his resume, and who, at 31, is still young enough to put up prime-age numbers. From ST it's clear dude has really worked to get himself in better shape and he seems focused on staying healthy and returning to form (based on watching him and reading interviews). Perhaps most important, Ramon has a rep for being very good with young pitchers (it's why he was brought over in the first place), though that could work against a deal- the O's have one of the youngest staffs in the game (if you take out Traschel and replace him with Albers/Olson/Liz/Penn) and with Wieters on the way, Hernandez is a perfect mentor. Nevertheless, in the spirit of speculation, I'd look into Ramon and perhaps Jeremy Guthrie (?)- excellent numbers as a rookie in the AL East and under team control for the next four or five years (I'm pretty sure). So he's good and he's cheap, but at 28 (turning 29 during the season) he's also a bit old for a team in full-on rebuilding mode and seems to be a better fit on a club like Cincy with playoff aspirations over the next few years. I'm not sure how it would shake out value-wise, but would that package warrant something along the lines of Bailey/Volquez/Ross? What about Bailey/Votto/Ross or Bailey/Todd Frazier/Ross/Travis Wood? Would that be too much (realistically...I know, as a fan, you'd prefer not to give up as much)? Bailey seems to be in the dog house and Votto is currently blocked, BA sees Frazier as a 3B so he's blocked for the forseeable future (and Cincy's depth at third is just plain sick). What about a Hernandez/Burres or Hayden Penn for Bailey and Ross deal? Work with me (LOL). I know the Reds have no interest in trading Encarnacion and Cueto looks untouchable after his performance this spring (I don't usually put any stock in ST but the scout-praise makes me think the kid is for real. The Bailey/Volquez proposal would give you a rotation of Harang, Arroyo, Cueto, Guthrie, and Belisle and a lineup with Hernandez (C), Votto (1B), Phillips (2B), Gonzalez (SS), Encarnacion (3B) and an OF of Bruce, Griffey, Dunn, and Freel in some combo. I'm sure the move to the NL wouldn't hurt Guthrie either. Sounds fairly badass, but I'm really trying to get a feel for value, more than anything. BTW- What WAS the Reds' best offer for Bedard. Just curious.
Posted by: milehigh78 | March 19, 2008 at 04:11 PM
I believe the Reds best offer was Bailey/Votto/Hamilton, and the deal likely fell through because they would not substitute Cueto and the would not add Encarnacion.
As for trading Volquez, that's another one that won't happen.
To take on Hernandez's salary, Freel would almost have to be part of the deal, or the Os would have to send cash. Freel/Maloney/Frazier for Hernandez is probly something they would bite at, or at least think about. Maybe substitute Belisle for Maloney.
In my opinion though, there gonna add some little used guy such as David Ross, and not make a big splash unless there rotation is doing what a lot of people think it will do by the time July 31st rolls around.
Posted by: Grizzlyfox | March 19, 2008 at 04:22 PM
The O's could also include one of our better LH BP arms like Jamie Walker or even Sherrill! This is fun!
Ramon Hernandez
Jeremy Guthrie
George Sherrill
4
Homer Bailey
Edinson Volquez/Joey Votto
Travis Wood
Todd Frazier/Juan Francisco
???!!!
Posted by: milehigh78 | March 19, 2008 at 04:24 PM
Oh, thought you had Ross. My bad. So you think Volquez is already untouchable. That was fast. What about Bailey, Frazier, Freel/cash, and whatever crummy catcher you're using now for Hernandez, Sherrill, and a back of the rotation arm (but starter) arm like Burres or even Hayden Penn? Gives you a pretty nice starting catcher, closer/really good LH set-up man, and another young arm to plug into the rotation? (I guess this is assuming your guys perform as hoped, like you said).
Posted by: milehigh78 | March 19, 2008 at 04:31 PM
I like where your heads at milehigh, but I just don't see a blockbuster coming up. If they wanted to trade sherrill now, we could throw in Roenicke(young closer prospect, hits 97, 4IP 0ER in ST), and another young reliever Guevera, but Volquez or Votto? Volquez is staying for good I believe, and Votto isn't getting moved for a catcher.
So maybe Hernandez/Sherrill/a not great but good SP prospect for Bailey/Freel/Roenicke/Guevera.
Posted by: Grizzlyfox | March 19, 2008 at 04:37 PM
They have Ross, I was insinuating earlier that they would go for a guy like him. I like that last deal you proposed, however I don't think anybody's too high on Bailey and that would shoot it down.
Posted by: Grizzlyfox | March 19, 2008 at 04:49 PM
As usual, here are a few rants about one of the most ridiculous threads I have ever seen:
1.) Milehigh: Mix in a paragraph break once in awhile. Good content, but too much to read in that format.
2.) Whoever suggested the Rangers would trade Salty for Baily needs to re-examine their baseball knowledge. Jarrod Saltalamacchia is the future in Texas. You do not trade a player like Mark Texeira to land a player like Saltalamacchia only to flip him less than a year later for an unproven arm. NO, and don't give me the arguement about Elvis Andrus and company coming over as well. Salty was the centerpiece,and that is it.
3.) Reds fans: I know it has been awhile since you have sniffed postseason glory, but lets be honest here. If you want to return, you have to commit to the fact you are in a win-now mode. That doesn't mean shuffling prospects for prospects at positions. That means giving up a prospect (Cueto/Votto/Baily/Frazier/Mesoraco/ec.) for a proven veteran that will anchor a postseason run. If you truly think Bengie Molina would not be an upgrade to your current Catching situation, once again, you need to be re-examined. I won't bore you with numbers, but I would guarantee most industry professionals would agree that a healthy Molina can provide the necessary output required from the position to be above league average.
4.) I also agree with Orioles fans that there is a match with Ramon Hernandez barring a bounce back year. It will be most important for the Reds to evaluate Ramon based on skill-set rather than production because that line-up is not going to produce much.
5.) I have to stress once again: if you think you have a chance to compete for a World Series (and apparently the Reds do thanks to paying 50 million for a closer) you have to sacrifice unproven prospects for the guarantee that comes in a proven veteran.
Posted by: The Juice | March 19, 2008 at 06:26 PM
With that being said, here are some realistic options for the Reds to pursue:
1.) Ramon Hernandez + George Sherril for Bailey, Chris Valaika, and Pedro Viola
2.) Bengie Molina + Jack Taschner for Bailey and Devin Mesoraco or Neftali Soto
3.) Michael Barret for Pedro Viola or Sergio Valenzuela
A couple of scenarios, nothing too ridiculous, but value has to be exchanged for proven vets
Posted by: The Juice | March 19, 2008 at 06:35 PM
1.) Ramon Hernandez is a good offensive catcher, and he handles pitchers well. But he gets run on sometimes. David Ross isn't as good offensively, but the Reds don't necesarily need that. Ross Holds runners better, and handles the staff just as well.
George Sherril put up good numbers last year, but the Reds already have Jeremy Affeldt, Bill Bray, kent Mercker, Mike Stanton and a few other lefties vying for spots.. They have plenty of lefties in the pen. Keeping Bailey (at least, not making a trade like this) and seeing how he progresses this year mentally is in their best interest - He's only 21.
2.) Molina is brilliant behind the plate. He is definately one of the top defensive catchers around, and he is clutch. But, he doesn't get on base too much more often than Ross, and he doesn't always work well with pitchers.
Jack Taschner? Why Taschner? Again, the Reds have all the lefty help they need, he's almost 30, and he's unproven.. he has't proven he can compete. Mike Stanton had similar numbers overall last year - not too good.
Plus, why would the Reds trade two of their last 4 number 1 picks and a good prospect for Molina and an unproven arm? Unproven is the whole reason you turned down the Bailey/Saltalamacchia trade, which would have been better anyway.
3.)Valenzuela was sold back to the Braves a few days ago.
These trades suggested (other than Hernandez/Sherrill/a not great but good SP prospect for Bailey/Freel/Roenicke/Guevera) are asking too much of the Reds.
Nobody said the Reds are in a win-now mode. They aren't. You're right, they signed Cordero for 45 mil, but over 4 years. Harang & Arroyo will be around until 2011. Brandon Phillips wants to spend forever with the Reds (:-)). Their major parts are locked down.. and their younger players are all under their control for awhile longer anyway. Why would they be in win-now mode with the big 5 they have all on the verge of the big leagues? Bruce Bailey Cueto and Votto are all right there (and all were top 50 prospects according to Baseball America). They are by no means in a win-now mode. I am content with waiting a year or two and holding most of our young pieces instead of trading them. Holding then would reap the benefits. We've been losing for 8 years, and now that the front office has its act together, I can wait it out another year. Who knows, they could contend this year anyway.
Posted by: blarkin11 | March 19, 2008 at 10:42 PM
OK, Hernandez gets run on sometimes, but there are worse things. I was suggesting he and Sherrill because it fits a couple of needs you seem to have, plus it doesn't drain your farm. Griz might be right about a blockbuster deal being unlikely but stranger things have certainly happened and if the Reds are contending...
Beside which, we're just talking here.
Juice- thanks...I think. I'll try to take your advice, but old habits die hard. I agree that there have been some rather absurd proposals here but also think you're right about the Reds thinking win now, so I don't see why this thread is so ridiculous.
blarkin- see above. The beauty (in my opinion) of the proposal I made is that it wouldn't cost too much in terms of MLB ready or near-ready prospects. The only one I'd ask for is Bailey, who's been in the Reds doghouse (and he should get the hell away from Dusty Baker anyway) and who your fellow Reds fan, Griz, thought would NOT interest anyone.
I think upside alone makes him worth Baltimore's risk (esp. with Wieters on the way). I'm glad you like where my head's at Griz and I think you're just about on-target. I wasn't necessarily thinking the deal would go down now. I could see Baltimore inflating Sherrill's value in the move to closer before making the move closer to midseason...assuming, again, that the Reds are still in the hunt.
So how 'bout we compromise a bit and say Hernandez, Sherrill, and Hayden Penn/Tim Bascom/David Hernandez (1 of- good but not great pitching prospect) for Bailey, Frazier, Roenicke/Wood, and either a D-list prospect or a scrub catcher like Valentin OR Hernandez, Sherrill, and Luke Scott for Bailey, Votto, Frazier/Francisco, and Wood/Roenicke (I know you say no to Votto, but with Scott in left, Dunn could move to 1B. Scott would hammer the ball in GABP). It's a stretch, but...
Sherrill gives you a nice LH setup man/closer (and, contrary to blarkin's statement, the Reds don't seem to have any GOOD LHers in the 'pen). Hernandez fill the catcher role- though he'll give up a few steals apparently. Shucks. I mentioned what Scott could do.
You keep Cueto, Volquez, Bruce, and, in the first option, Votto, so it's not as if your farm getting rocked. 3B is loaded, so Frazier/Francisco is no great loss, and Sherrill fills any hole the loss of Roenicke would create (Wood is a project, so...) Seems pretty fair, but I'd love to hear any counterpoints. Sure, we'll suck, but...we're going to suck anyway and at least this way we start to rebuild.
Doesn't seem like the Reds' front office is going to lose any sleep over letting Bailey go, but he does give the O's another high ceiling question mark in a young rotation full of 'em. Frazier's got a ways to go, but he's got nice upside too. Roenicke gives us a potential closer for the future, as Griz pointed out. Let's get the GMs on the phone :)
Posted by: milehigh78 | March 19, 2008 at 11:52 PM
Any better, Juice? Know it was long, but tried out the paragraph breaks.
Posted by: milehigh78 | March 19, 2008 at 11:52 PM
I get that big deals like this don't often happen- and this is no different- but it's fun to speculate. BTW- forgot to mention that we'd have to include cash as well, to make up for the contracts going the Reds' way.
Posted by: milehigh78 | March 19, 2008 at 11:55 PM
Can't stop myself:
Hernandez, Sherrill, Jim Hoey/Hayden Penn (Hoey is a nice power reliever prospect; Penn looks like he's back to 100% and pre-injury (which wasn't that serious...bone chips) tore up both AA and AAA and could benefit from a change of scenery. Hopefully not too much; wouldn't want him outperforming Bailey).
for
Bailey, Frazier, Freel (or O's give cash), Roenicke, and Ross?
Pretty close to what I said before...but I think the O's would be interested in Bailey, Griz. He may be damaged goods, but he's talented damaged goods and Frazier/Roenicke minimizes the risk.
Posted by: milehigh78 | March 20, 2008 at 12:14 AM
I understand we're just talking, and I'm just giving some suggestions back. I'm not jumping on you, milehigh, if thats how you took it. Just look at what I said. You said you were talking trades that fit the Reds needs. Yes, catcher is a need. A LHP in the bullpen is not. Affeldt is a quality lefty in the pen, and if Bray stays healthy, he's got a great arm. Plus Sherrill only fills the Mike Stanton situational lefty role. You just got him anyway, so eager to get rid of him?
Freel would be good to move in a deal; the Reds surplus of outfielders and Jeff Keppinger doesn't give Freel much of a spot. Plus his 3 mil would help money-wise with that trade. His all-out style of play would be good for the O's. Are you placing both Penn and Hoey in that trade? If so, we're trading apples for apples here, Roenicke is a power arm prospect too.
The Reds are in a win-now mode - but not at the expense of the future. Look at what Krivsky has said, '..put together a winning team where we can stay contenders and a winning team for years to come.' Years to come.
Yeah, not draining the farm in trades is good. But look at what you got for Bedard. Sherrill, Adam Jones, Chris Tillman, and two other prospects. Tillman was the only one on the M's top ten prospect list right before the trade. They didn't drain their future. The Reds trading away Bailey and Votto and another would.
The Ramon Hernandez + George Sherril for Bailey, Chris Valaika, and Pedro Viola trade, that could work. There would have to be some more reshuffling, but it would work for both teams.
The Reds tried to move Dunn to first, and it didn't work. Twice.
Bailey isn't damaged goods yet. He's just a little cocky at this point. Again, I think you're asking just a bit too much of the Reds. That's just me though. No worries, just talk :-)
Posted by: blarkin11 | March 20, 2008 at 01:21 PM
That's cool blarkin. We ARE just talking. Still, a couple things I'd refute... First, Affeldt is fairly untested and Bray's ERA was somewhere north of 5.00 in '07 (if I'm not mistaken). Look at Sherrill's splits- he's not a situational lefty; that's why the O's wanted him. Guy's almost equally good vs LHers and RHers. Also, since he's our closer now, his value would rise significantly if he continues to pitch well (as most expect). Sherrill and Stanton really aren't comparable at this point. Stanton's done, while Sherrill has become a buzzed about player (just read some of the threads on this site...everyone seems to want him). If he keeps kicking caboose (it's a family site), he'll have a ton of value whether in a deal with the Reds or someone else. I was just posing the hypothetical here, due to the simultaneous need for a catcher.
So, the idea is that around mid-season, if you're still in the race and Sherrill's doing his thing and either A)Cordero is struggling a bit or B)The Reds think a top LH setup type might bolster the 'pen for the playoff push...THEN...MAYBE.
...and maybe Affeldt will be awesome. Who knows? That's half the fun.
As far as the prospects...
You made one HUGE mistake when you said that the only top prospect in the Bedard deal was Tillman. Technically, you're right that only Tillman was in BA's top 10, but A)he's a legit frontline prospect with star potential (and a long ways from reaching it); think Cueto a few years ago...? Again, who knows. A lot would have to break in his favor. More importantly B)Adam Jones wasn't eligible for the Top 10. If he were, he'd have been number one with a bullet. BA was asked where he'd rate among prospects OVERALL had he been eligible and they said around #10 or 11. That's a friggin stud! Again, star potential...and he's much closer to realizing it (than Tillman; that's not to say he's a sure thing by any means. The same can be said for Votto, Cueto, Volquez and the rest.
Finally, I agree that the Reds shouldn't completely sacrifice the future for the present, but I really don't think my proposal was doing so. I DID mention Votto, but that was only if the O's added Luke Scott- a 29 year old LF who hit 19 HRs in limited duty last year and who would allow Dunn to return to 1B...making Votto unnecessary. Even still, maybe your right...which is why I made other proposals.
I think a Hernandez, Sherrill, Burres/Penn/Hoey for Bailey, Frazier, Roenicke, Ross is pretty much in line with what you're talking about. You only lose one of the youngsters you referenced (currently, the least desirable one) so you've still got the future (Cueto, Volquez, Votto, Bruce- why do I keep forgetting about HIM; guy's awesome- plus Encarnacion and Phillips. Harang and Arroyo should last a while as well. Maybe instead of Roenicke, we go with Viola or, better yet, the O's add a PTBN or something. It's all speculation, of course, but interesting nonetheless and, I think, feasible.
I didn't mean to come across as defensive, dude. Really, I'm having fun, so...no worries. You made some good points; I hope I did the same.
Posted by: milehigh78 | March 20, 2008 at 03:46 PM
Okay. You did make some good points. Good work.
I didn't call Adam Jones a prospect because I knew he wasn't. If you wanna go that far thats still only 2 top ten prospects for ERIK BEDARD! Thats like Jay Bruce and Homer Bailey or Cueto and a David Weathers or some piece along those lines plus two more prospects. That's not only two top ten overall prospects from the Reds in that deal, but the number 1 prospect in all of baseball. Both Bruce and Bailey are higher on the BA list than Jones.
Affeldt isn't unproven though, he had a 3.51 ERA last year in Col, after being used as a starter for part of the year before. Bray struggled with injuries in '07, his ERA was 6+ last year (haha, worse than you thought), but in '06 it was just over 4. He has closer potential.
Sherrill is kind of a situational lefty - he pitched in 70 some games but only had 40 some innings last year. One or two batters a pop. Thats less than a Mike Stanton. Sherrill is no doubt an upgrade of night and day proportions over Stanton.
Haha, How do you keep forgetting Bruce? He may just be the second coming of Ken Griffey Jr.
I'm content with the trade you just suggested. Hernandez is an upgrade over Ross, Sherrill is better than what the Reds have now, Penn's ceiling is just below Bailey's. Giving up Frazier woulnd't hurt a lot, because even though he has impact potential, if he projects as a 3B, Encarnacion has that down, and if he comes through as a SS, the Reds have Soto and Valaika just behind him. Roenicke is interesting, high potential, but he's older. Good stats so far, but he hasn't been pitching for long. unproven, but again high ceiling.
Posted by: blarkin11 | March 20, 2008 at 07:47 PM
Oh, and I hope Harang and Arroyo last awhile, they will as long as Dusty doesn't Mark Prior them.
Posted by: blarkin11 | March 20, 2008 at 07:48 PM
True (though I'm more worried about the kids).
Let's call the G.M.s and get this deal done. :)
Posted by: milehigh78 | March 20, 2008 at 10:46 PM
Anyone have any idea's as to whether Shoppach is available from the Indians, or is Martinez going to play more first this year? If Shoppach can be had, for what? Freel? Keppinger?
Posted by: redsrowdy | March 20, 2008 at 11:59 PM
The Reds probably won't trade Kep right now because he's just about their only option at short with Gonzo hurt. Phillips is good enough defensively (he's top 3 2B defensively) but they said they aren't going to move him, and Juan Castro just doesn't do enough with the bat to start long term, or even short term.
I think Shoppach might be available, but I don't know if Freel would be enough to get him. He's regarded as a hot prospect, but I think he was being talked about with names like Miguel Cabrera and Jason Bay.. so involved in deals with the big boys. Multi-player deals of course, but at face value is he only worth what Freel is?
Posted by: blarkin11 | March 21, 2008 at 12:31 AM
I hope the Reds keep Keppinger - he can play anywhere, always makes contact no matter who is pitching, and he gets on base like few other people can.
He's hit at every level, and he's the old-school, keep quiet and go about your business on the field player that every team needs.
Posted by: blarkin11 | March 21, 2008 at 12:37 AM