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« Padres Waiting To Hear From Hoffman | Main | Odds and Ends: Springer, Sheffield, Bonds »
9:03pm: Lots of good stuff from yesterday's San Diego Union-Tribune that we haven't covered. First, Kevin Towers says he's looking for young controllable pitching and then middle infielders in a package for Peavy. No mention of a center field focus, which had been mentioned previously.
Additionally, Towers explained that the Astros do not match up well given his stated desire for multiple young pitchers. So far the Braves look like the best fit.
On the Cardinals front, Joe Strauss says the team's scouts met this week and are enthusiastic about pursuing Peavy. Strauss's sources say Peavy's availability "loosened the organization's grip on younger talent." Viva El Birdos believes Peavy would cost top prospect Colby Rasmus and then some. Despite Towers' stated focus on starting pitching, an offer including Rasmus would have to give him pause.
3:26pm: The latest from the Jake Peavy universe:
While the Astros were high on the list of contenders yesterday, MLB.com Astros beat writer Alyson Footer isn't so sure. According to Footer, sources named the Dodgers and the Braves as the two teams drawing the most interest, and said a deal could be in place within a week.
12:00pm: We had a good running mill of Jake Peavy rumors yesterday, but the stove is still hot. According to MLB.com beat writer Mark Bowman, the Braves are preparing a pitch for the Padres ace.
Citing a team official knowledgeable on the situation, Bowman reports the Braves have already had preliminary discussions with the Padres to gauge what kind of package would have to be put together to land the former Cy Young winner.
At this point, writes Bowman, the Braves are essentially in a holding pattern, waiting for the Padres to consider other deals from other teams. And it might be a long wait.
According to the report, the package the Braves are preparing would include top prospects, but it could also be improved if either second baseman Kelly Johnson or shortstop Yunel Escobar are included. Bowman thinks the Padres would have to include Khalil Greene for the Braves to consider dealing Escobar.
Peavy has said he'd waive his no-trade clause to pitch for Atlanta.
Alejandro A. Leal writes for UmpBump.com and can be reached here: alexo05 -at- umpbump -dot- com. Tim Dierkes also contributed to this post.
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If the Braves actually want Khalil Greene, the Padres should not hesitate to package him in.
Posted by: rizdak | October 18, 2008 at 11:23 AM
How would the deal be better if Kelly Johnson is added? I can understand Escobar, but not Johnson. KJ is arb. eligible this season, making no sense for a rebuilding team.
The article tells nothing really new thou, its about how the Braves want him, but are unwilling to give up the prospects the Padres want (as of now).
Well at least now we have their attention.
Posted by: AirmanSD | October 18, 2008 at 11:25 AM
I am not for trading Escobar. He is a stud. However if we have to I would prefer not to get Green back in the deal. I could see Renteria back at short for us.
Posted by: tsweet9000 | October 18, 2008 at 11:27 AM
man i really want braves to get his trade done, and sign a tier 2 free agent, then our rotation would be solid. Then we would still have enough money to sign a good left fielder also.
Posted by: Braves_4_Ever | October 18, 2008 at 11:32 AM
Just say no to Khalil Greene.
Posted by: soupdujour | October 18, 2008 at 11:36 AM
I agree, I dont see the Padres wanting Kelly Johnson in the deal they want players that they can control for 6 years and they are kind of loaded with ML ready 2B, none as good as Johnson but I don’t think they are that far off.
I would imagine if the Pads could get Escobar and drop Greene then that would really sweeten the pot. I also think that the move out of Petco would really help Greene who is an extreme flyball hitter and would really benefit being away from the hardest park to hit HR's in for 81 games.
Posted by: Steve | October 18, 2008 at 11:38 AM
Kelly Johnson plays an up the middle position well, I think that has a lot of value even to a rebuilding team. Then you add in a young CF and 2 pitchers... That's a good package for a rebuilding team.
Posted by: drchstrpunk | October 18, 2008 at 11:40 AM
drchtrpunk - Padres are not rebuilding they are cutting payroll...
Posted by: Steve | October 18, 2008 at 11:42 AM
I don't understand why the Braves would add Escobar or KJ. If they think Lillibridge/Prado are MLB regular type players, they are mistaken. I sure hope this isn't BC tinkering around in it, I'm beginning to shift towards the increasing number of Braves fans who feel it's his time to go and he certainly does seem to have some problem with KJ. It just doesn't make sense for the Braves to add MLB players to the package when Peavy already isn't enough to get us back into the plaayoffs not to mention adding Greene just takes even more money away we could use to throw at a Derek Lowe type pitcher.
/me shakes his head
Posted by: jfish26101 | October 18, 2008 at 11:56 AM
This may be a double post since I hit submit and thought I saw it but now it's gone. Site has been doing some funny things lately...
I don't understand why the Braves would add Escobar or KJ. If they think Lillibridge/Prado are MLB regular type players, they are mistaken. I sure hope this isn't BC tinkering around in it, I'm beginning to shift towards the increasing number of Braves fans who feel it's his time to go and he certainly does seem to have some problem with KJ. It just doesn't make sense for the Braves to add MLB players to the package when Peavy already isn't enough to get us back into the plaayoffs not to mention adding Greene just takes even more money away we could use to throw at a Derek Lowe type pitcher. /me shakes his head
Posted by: jfish26101 | October 18, 2008 at 12:01 PM
If Atlanta trades Kelly Johnson, they will need to look for another 2B. Prado is not an everyday 2B. He excels in the utility role. Lillibridge could possibly play 2B. Johnson's only flaw is his defense.
Posted by: Yars | October 18, 2008 at 12:02 PM
I'm not a braves or padres fan but if I'm either team I think I make this trade:
Escobar, Hansen, Gorkys for Peavy, Greene
The Padres get an upgrade at SS while lowering payroll, but the Braves still get a SS who has been OK in the past and could benefit by leaving Petco. The Padres also get Hansen, who is a top pitching prospect and Gorkys who could be a great CF. The Braves of course get an ace in Peavy.
Posted by: supermets | October 18, 2008 at 12:02 PM
I understand that, but with how much they are cutting from Peavy, I think they can afford $12M or so over the next 3 years for a good 2B, it's not as if he's going to make Ryan Howard arbitration money. I just don't think it would be a bad move to add him to the package from the Padres side, as he would be a valuable commodity to keep or trade over the next few years.
Posted by: drchstrpunk | October 18, 2008 at 12:05 PM
supermets, I think you're on the right track.
But I think SD will demand more pitching than that. I'd guess we'd have to throw in either Morton, Rohrbough or Locke into that deal. (which one, really depends on how young, or how "major-league ready" the Pads are looking for.)
I'd hate losing Hanson and another pitching prospect (especially Rohrbough), but it is Peavy we're talking about...
And I agree that Khalil might do pretty well for a year in Atlanta.
Posted by: AtlantaMike | October 18, 2008 at 12:08 PM
I hope the Braves get Peavy. I really want them to get better and beat the Mets ass again. I miss those days.
Posted by: yankfan1 | October 18, 2008 at 12:11 PM
As a Braves fan I would rather keep Yunel, Hanson,and Gorky. Peavy is only going to pitch every five days and Esco will be in our lineup every day. Keep in mind Hanson may be here next year. Keep our kids and sign a couple free agents.
Posted by: tsweet9000 | October 18, 2008 at 12:11 PM
If Escobar is in the deal he is the centerpiece. To give up Hanson and then more high upside prospects is just too much. Don't do it Frank Wren.
Posted by: tsweet9000 | October 18, 2008 at 12:13 PM
"I don't understand why the Braves would add Escobar or KJ. If they think Lillibridge/Prado are MLB regular type players, they are mistaken."
I find this comment ironic/funny considering how much Braves fans have been pitching these guys as quality prospects to include in a Peavy deal over the last few days. Again, the Padres don't want crap for Peavy...they actually want quality prospects in return for him
Posted by: boomshwa12 | October 18, 2008 at 12:32 PM
I thought peavy wanted to go to a winning team.
Posted by: ptk420biatch | October 18, 2008 at 12:37 PM
boomshwa12, Lillibridge had a terrible year at the plate; most scouts still say they see him as a quality starting SS, but he did take a step back in '08. Great glove, very good speed (leadoff type). Personally, I like him and hope the Braves can keep him, but he needs to step it up.
Prado had a huge year at the plate - .320/.377/.461. He's really a 2B, who can play 3B, 1B and a little SS. He's done everything asked of him, but still most see him as more of a super-sub than an everyday guy.
I can understand being skeptical of these guys... they're certainly not "centerpieces" of a trade for Peavy, but both might have some real value.
Posted by: AtlantaMike | October 18, 2008 at 12:38 PM
I have to echo AirmanSD on this one. The Padres shouldn't settle for KJ because he is arb eligible. Big no-no for the Pads. And, the Padres are in the position of power here, not the Braves. They don't HAVE to trade Peavy this year, he doesn't get really expensive until 2010. They just get much more value back in a trade by trading him this year. If the Padres trade Peavy, it pretty much means full-on rebuilding mode, regardless of the "cutting payroll" implications. And, the Padres have Escobar for more years than KJ.
On the Braves side of things, I would give up Escobar only if it meant that the Braves could hold on to both Heyward and Hanson and structure the remainder of the deal around guys like Gorkys, Schafer, Rohrborough, Locke, Freeman, etc.
And, Khalil has negative trade value. As in, the Braves would want him in order to reduce the price of getting Peavy (we'll take on Greene if we have to give up less to get Peavy). And, call me hesitant, but I really don't think that's a good idea.
Posted by: melonis rex | October 18, 2008 at 12:40 PM
Damn you Typekey.
In conclusion, Peavy needs to bring back solid pieces who will be a major asset in constructing the team.
Posted by: melonis rex | October 18, 2008 at 12:41 PM
"To give up Hanson and then more high upside prospects is just too much. Don't do it Frank Wren."
This is exactly what Kevin Towers is going to get, or TOP 2-3 prospects from any team that he trades Peavy to and he and the GM's know it.
All this talk of lower tier prospects going on is pure fantasy and wishful thinking. Who would trade one of the best pitchers in baseball for 2,3, or even 4 so-so minor leaguers which have been bantered about on several topics that have been posted here on the forums?? Not even Neal Huntington that did it with Damasco Marte and Xavier Nady this past year would probably repeat that mistake again and Peavy is more of a premier player than those 2, not to mention an instant ace on virtually any pitching staff.
Posted by: johns | October 18, 2008 at 12:41 PM
Johns you only quoted part of my post. I said giving up Yunel Escobar along with Hanson and other high upside prospects is too much.
Posted by: tsweet9000 | October 18, 2008 at 12:43 PM
"Johns you only quoted part of my post. I said giving up Yunel Escobar along with Hanson and other high upside prospects is too much."
If Escobar is in the deal, he is the centerpiece. That is correct. Putting Escobar in the deal is the ONLY WAY OUT of dealing Heyward or Hanson. However, there will still be AT LEAST two top tier prospects (Schafer, Gorkys, Rohrborough, Freeman, etc.) in the deal. There is no way around that.
Posted by: melonis rex | October 18, 2008 at 12:55 PM
I would really prefer to keep Escobar out of this. IMO he is a budding star the Braves have under contract for a long time. Give them Hanson if we have to but keep Esco.
Posted by: tsweet9000 | October 18, 2008 at 01:01 PM
Even with Peavy I still can't see the Braves making the playoffs.
Posted by: DrNo990 | October 18, 2008 at 01:07 PM
boomshwa12, that may be the case but they aren't me. Lillibridge wont be a lot worse than Greene in my opinion but I've never put Prado in an offer I've proposed on this website. Lillibridge is servicable and then they can find some other team to shed Greene's salary onto for some A ball pitcher but I don't want his contract and certainly don't want to give up Escobar to get it. If we deal Escobar/KJ plus 2 or 3 good prospects in a deal for Peavy, we basically break even as far as I'm concerned. Peavy is great but we would be making significant downgrades at both SS and 2B while dealing multtple prospects away and increasing our payroll which lowers the amount of money we have to fill holes through FA. It just doesn't improve our situation.
Posted by: jfish26101 | October 18, 2008 at 01:08 PM
here's an interesting three way i just thought of involving the astros and mets
stros get:
peavy
mets get:
valverde
padres get:
f-mart
pence
wandy
towels
the stros get their co-ace, the mets get their closer, and the padres get two very talented young outfielders, and decent young starter in wandy, and a talented young catcher in towels. thoughts?
Posted by: boomshwa12 | October 18, 2008 at 01:12 PM
I don't think the Mets trade Martinez for Valverde.
Posted by: tsweet9000 | October 18, 2008 at 01:15 PM
After reading Towers' comments in the paper from yesterday it seems to me as the deal would not revolve around the Padres getting Escobar or KJ unless the Braves want Khalil Greene AND the Braves are h3ll bent on not including Hanson in a deal...
Otherwise what I am gathering from Towers is that Hanson, Reyes, Rohrbough, and Parr/Lillibridge would get it done...
And those who don't think Prado can be an everyday player...are you the same people who thought the same about DeRosa? Prado has hit EVERY year through the minors and into the bigs...always has a high OBP...who is to say he isn't our next DeRosa or the next Polanco? I mean did anyone really think
DeRosa had 20+ HR power or 90 RBI potential?
All I'm saying is don't sell the guy short...for as good as KJ has been, Prado has been more consistent AND he's a much greater improvement defensively...I cringe when I see KJ try to turn a DP.
Posted by: Braves22 | October 18, 2008 at 01:15 PM
jfish26101...point taken. i'm not trying to call anyone out; i actually like lillibridge. i was just making a point about the quality of prospects the padres will want
Posted by: boomshwa12 | October 18, 2008 at 01:15 PM
mets arent giving fmart for valverde
Posted by: supermets | October 18, 2008 at 01:19 PM
Braves22, I hate to disagree but I'll believe Prado is an every day regular when I see it.
I do hope you are right though about that package. I'd rather not trade Rohrbough if Hanson is in it to but I can definitely part ways with the rest of them. Question though, where is the MLB ready CF'er they say they want? I'd swap Rohrbough with Schafer and push it as much as I could if I were Wren.
boomshwa12, it's cool.
Posted by: jfish26101 | October 18, 2008 at 01:28 PM
i liek taht but replace f mart with nick evans and heliman or something like that evans could eb good and heliman's problem is the homerun so san deigo could do him do plus change in place helps too i like valrde
Posted by: nymets44 | October 18, 2008 at 01:31 PM
For me, I'd initially go with Gorkys (personally I think he has greater upside than Schafer but we need to keep the more MLB ready player for next season), Rohrbough, one of Morton or Jo Jo (personally I think Morton will be a good #4/5 next year and Reyes has mental issues at the major league level, but maybe the Padres will prefer him. If I were them I wouldn't touch him though.) as a start. In addition, I would add in Kris Medlen who had a breakout second half in AA and pitched 16 innings in the playoffs with 22 Ks and only 2 earned runs. That's a future centre fielder and 3 very good pitchers - one MLB ready, one who could be up at midseason and one who will be there a year or so later.
You then have good pitchers such as Diamond, Redmond and Valdez who all had great seasons but are maybe not expected to reach the heights of the top prospects, but could be good bullpen arms.
Lillibridge and Brandon Jones are at the moment just fillers in deals. They have good potential, but don't look like fulfilling as it stands.
Khalil Greene has negative value for me.
If Towers starts demanding two or three of our top, top prospects then I'd say "thanks, but no thanks". We shouldn't mortgage the future to contend in 2009 when it's not clear whether we can or not and we have plenty of payroll flexibility to acquire talent by other means.
Posted by: NickC | October 18, 2008 at 01:33 PM
Mets coudl give helamn and nick evans in that deal evans goo dprospect heliman problem is the homerun so san deigo good and getting otu of new york would eb good for arron lokk at bell helaiman bbeter tuff than him
Posted by: nymets44 | October 18, 2008 at 01:35 PM
i realize f-mart is very young and has a lot of room to grow, but based off his stats i don't see how he isn't worth valverde. valverde's era is a little inflated b/c he had some mechanical issues to start the season, and that's where most of his blown saves came from as well. he was a great reliever after he fixed his issues and still finished the season with a 3.38 and 44 saves. he also got one of those saves after being nailed in the head by a line drive...the guys a beast
i could see his pending free agency being an issue, but i'm sure the stros would allow a window for an extension.
having that said, if ya'll could make the deal work w/o giving f-mart up then all the power to you. i was trying to make the deal make sense for the padres too, tho
Posted by: boomshwa12 | October 18, 2008 at 01:39 PM
f mart didn't go for santna he not goign for valrede i said that heilan and nick evans woudl eb no prob beaucase heliman gives u homers and change of seriuon does heliman good don't u all agree with me
Posted by: nymets44 | October 18, 2008 at 01:46 PM
AirmanSD Kelly Johnson is a better MI than anybody on the Padres current roster.
Johnson had an amazing 2nd half and scouts feel that he can be one of the better 2B's in the league.
As they said, KJ would be added to "sweeten" the deal. KJ would not be sent as a centerpiece.
If the Braves do trade Esco I do not want Greene. Greene has a high salary and is not a very good player. I would make a run at Edgar Renteria.
Posted by: ChiefTomahawk | October 18, 2008 at 01:46 PM
u gte my points
Posted by: nymets44 | October 18, 2008 at 01:47 PM
Braves22 - I don't think Prado is much of an improvement over KJ at 2B, if at all. I think for all intents and purposes it's a wash, although some argue one player is better than the other. KJ is kind of robotic/rigid at the position, but has a great arm on the DP as well as relays. Prado is more fluid, and probably has better range, but he makes some bonehead plays from time to time and takes horrible positions on relay throws. It's almost the same type of comparison with their offensive game. Both players are valuable but excel/struggle in different areas. For my dollar KJ is the superior player but thats mho.
Posted by: baleen | October 18, 2008 at 01:48 PM
I cant see how the Padres wouldn't like a deal with with Schafer, Morton, Reyes, Lillibridge, and Brandon Jones. Every one of those guys can start for you next year. All of them have upside and with one trade you add 5 guys to your ML roster.
Posted by: tsweet9000 | October 18, 2008 at 01:50 PM
They should wait, and not mortgage anyone until July. Braves have 45+ to spend on whatever theyre needs may be. Why delve in to prospects when you don't have to do that. it took I think 4 quality prospects to get tex, who is now kotch/marek. Was it Worth it? Negative.
Posted by: SlinkyB | October 18, 2008 at 02:02 PM
i hope he gets dealt to houston.
they would have a lot of prime time names: berkman, lee, tejada, oswalt, peavy. thats a really solid base of superstars
Posted by: tmoney352 | October 18, 2008 at 02:16 PM
I would love to chat about this trade. Does anybody want to set up an AIM chat?
Posted by: ChiefTomahawk | October 18, 2008 at 02:17 PM
i could see the braves backing out. they havent really made good trades getting stars, tex. they gave up to much. arent they gunna need to rebuild? mccann is staying, but hudsons out, chipper is getting old and hurt more, and even w/ peavy, they need another pitcher, then they need to somehow rebuild their farm.
if this falls through, could this trade work:
mcdonald, hu, delwon young and an outfield prospect for peavy?
i didnt include kemp/eithier cause they are soon to be arbitration eligable. no way they get bill or kershaw. SD is cutting payroll, but is really rebuilding. thats why peavy wants to leave in the first place, he wants to win and not rebuild. and it kinda looks like they braves could be rebuilding. kotchman is still young and prob needs another yr, chipper/hudson are old and hurt. and they still need more. i could see him wanting to go to ateam that was either in the playoffs, or really close, but the braves were neither.
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | October 18, 2008 at 02:39 PM
The Braves are closer than you think. Chipper has shown the last couple years that when he is healthy he is one of the very best hitters in the game. We have a very good middle infield with KJ and Escobar. Kotchman should be solid and Mac may be the best offensive catcher in baseball. The bullpen is very good with Gonzalez in the closes role and Soriano and Moylen back from injuries.
With the addition of Peavy and another solid starter the Braves could easily contend next year.
Posted by: tsweet9000 | October 18, 2008 at 02:45 PM
Boomshwa12:
Mets would have to send Padres a starting pitcher. Maybe Pelfrey? If you guys get CC, Lowe or Burnett, Pelfrey may become redundant. Maybe Evans and Pelfrey for Valverde?
Astros get:
Peavy
B. Giles
Padres get:
Pence (CF/RF)
W. Rodriguez/Paulino (SP)
Sutton (2B)
Norris (RP)
Pelfrey
Evans
Mets get:
Valverde
Posted by: Mistyck | October 18, 2008 at 02:53 PM
i still know chipper can hit, he something like 370 this yr? but with hudson out already, and if chipper gets hurt. the club goes into tailspin. even if chipper is fine, but they cant make this trade, i think the club goes into spring, no matter wat else they do, disappointed. just my thoughts.
btw, wat does anyone think of my suggestion? mcdonald shows hes near ready(playoffs), hu prob needs a yr., young could take over right for giles ina yr, and the pros would prob need to be a cf, at least mid level
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | October 18, 2008 at 02:54 PM
The Mets would not give up Pelfrey, who coming from a met hater, has good potential...just to get a 28 yr. old closer who likes to make things interesting in the 9th...that is the last thing they need.
Posted by: B3NG4L | October 18, 2008 at 03:04 PM
Pelfrey for Valverde??? That would be a beyond horrible trade for the Mets, and that's putting it lightly....
Posted by: Hyro | October 18, 2008 at 03:08 PM
Hey I'm just speculating like everyone else..lol. But, if the Mets can give the Padres a MLB ready starting pitcher, that would probably work.
Posted by: Mistyck | October 18, 2008 at 03:10 PM
so astros get peavy giles
padres get: Pence (CF/RF)
W. Rodriguez/Paulino (SP)
Sutton (2B)
Norris rp
niese and
mets get: valedere and greene that would be beeter
Posted by: nymets44 | October 18, 2008 at 03:23 PM
u like that
Posted by: nymets44 | October 18, 2008 at 03:24 PM
i meant to putniese and a lower prospect from the mets
Posted by: nymets44 | October 18, 2008 at 03:25 PM
Can they make a trade during post-season? Don't they have to wait for the end of the WS?
Posted by: ChiefTomahawk | October 18, 2008 at 03:29 PM
Astros would take that deal because Giles would replace Pence in our RF. We will be hurting without a true closer like Valverde, but we do have some internal options in Hawkins (if he signs with us), Geoff Geary, Fernando Nieve and Samuel Gervacio.
The only question would be if the Padres would go for that...but, as Towers said today, "Jake is driving the train"...so if Peavy really wants to be with Oswalt in Houston, he could make the Padres take that deal.
And a rotation of Oswalt and Peavy at the top would make us instant contenders in the NL Central.
Posted by: Mistyck | October 18, 2008 at 03:31 PM
lakersdodgersyanks dont be so quick to count the braves out this year. they will have over 40 million to spend after raises in arbitration, if they can pull off the peavy trade without adding kelly or esco wich i htink they can, they will also sign another top of the rotation guy and a left fielder and i guaruntee they will be very competitive next year, not to mention in 2010 when hudson is back and hanson is ready presuming he is not in the peavy deal...
Posted by: chipperowns10 | October 18, 2008 at 03:37 PM
like i said, i dont watch them alot, because i just dont get their games. i was talking based on chipper injury history last 4yrs, and hudson out. btw, u never know how an older pitcher can come back from surgery.
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | October 18, 2008 at 03:51 PM
I haven't seen anyone mention Greene's home/away splits which is surprising considering how much people want to bring them up about Peavy.
To say Greene has NEGATIVE value is an idiotic statement. He provides great defense and power for his position. And as much as hitters around the NL hate Petco, it seems Greene would head the list. I'm going to list his career home/away splits, and I want you all to keep in mind this is a SHORTSTOP who also plays great defense and 2008 was just ONE year of his career, and then I will say no more:
.658 OPS HOME
.802 OPS AWAY
Posted by: gig | October 18, 2008 at 04:02 PM
"Can they make a trade during post-season? Don't they have to wait for the end of the WS?"
No, teams can make trades during the post season.
Posted by: Cardsfan387 | October 18, 2008 at 04:09 PM
Yeah, let's mention Greene's .212/.225/.317 line he put up away from Petco this year.
Let's mention the $6.5 million he's owed for next year.
Posted by: NickC | October 18, 2008 at 04:31 PM
That link about the Cardinals looks like it's completely BS to me.
Posted by: Cardsfan387 | October 18, 2008 at 04:35 PM
"Can they make a trade during post-season? Don't they have to wait for the end of the WS?"
They're just not allowed to make an official announcement until after the series.
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | October 18, 2008 at 04:44 PM
Khalil Greene sucks. Why would the Braves want an overpaid, underperforming ss, when they have a young stud already. The deal will revolve around minor league pitchers and a quality minor league everyday player. The Pads are limited in what they can ask for because of the small market. And what does any of this have to do with the Mets?? Why do stupid met fans always have to have something to say?
Posted by: njbraves | October 18, 2008 at 04:57 PM
Cardsfan387 if teams can make trades in the post-season why are the Bravos waiting?
Posted by: ChiefTomahawk | October 18, 2008 at 05:01 PM
I guess it makes sense that the Dodgers would make a run at him. It would allow them to get the #1 pitcher they need, and still be able to afford Manny and Furcal and maybe Blake or someone similar.
Posted by: cheba63 | October 18, 2008 at 05:02 PM
njbraves:
Padres want MLB-ready CF and SP. If the Braves don't want to give that up, then there are other teams who will.
As for what the Mets have to do with all of this, they could be a partner in a 3-way trade between the Padres and Astros. Astros would trade Jose Valverde to the Padres so they can turn around and trade him to the Mets for MLB ready starting pitcher and prospects.
Peavy's first choice of teams is the Astros and it would take the Astros a 3-way trade with either Mets or Tigers to get San Diego the prospects it wants and to have Peavy in Houston.
Posted by: Mistyck | October 18, 2008 at 05:04 PM
ChiefTomahawk:
The Braves are in wait-mode because the Padres have to see what the other 4 teams (especially the Astros) have to offer for Peavy. Peavy wants to come to Houston as his first choice but the Astros need either the Mets or Tigers to cough up some pitching prospects to send to San Diego for our closer Valverde.
Posted by: Mistyck | October 18, 2008 at 05:07 PM
Mistyck I havent heard anything about HOU being Peavy's first choice. I read that the Astros probably will not get Peavy.
Peavy said he would like to come to Houton. But I have also read that Peavy had a desire to pitch for the Braves.
Posted by: ChiefTomahawk | October 18, 2008 at 05:10 PM
I really don't think the Jake Peavy wants to be with the Dodgers. Possibly the Braves, but Jake Peavy has wanted to be with Oswalt in Houston for over 3 years. He will be dealt to Houston. No doubt about it. I understand that we don't have enough minor league talent, but we have major league ready talent.
Here's a good trade to me...
Astros get:Jake Peavy,
Brian Giles
Mets get:Jose Valverde
Padres get:
Brandon Backe,
Alberto Arias,
Brad James,
JR Towles,
and(GODDAMNIT, but we'd have to give him up)Felipe Paulino.
Posted by: averybear11 | October 18, 2008 at 05:13 PM
Awesome NickC way to ignore my whole post and concentrate on the off year he had, WHICH I MENTIONED. I'm really afraid of what power the internet offers retards. Lets break down each year he's started, away numbers only with MLB rank in parenthesis, and you tell me if a shortstop who plays great defense has negative value:
2004: .895 OPS(2) .252 ISOP(1)
2005: .772 OPS(5).221 ISOP(1)
2006: .863 OPS(1) .227 ISOP(1)
2007: .840 OPS(5) .231 ISOP(1)
2008: .542 OPS(32) .106(19)
Maybe how you guys can see how much of an aberration his 2008 year was and how much Petco hurts him. He's an elite offensive shortstop on the road any other year than last, and coupled with his defense that makes him a candidate to be a top five shortstop next year if he's traded.
Posted by: gig | October 18, 2008 at 05:17 PM
Chief,
Here is the quote from the Alyson Footer article link at the top of this thread..
"Peavy's first choice, according to the MLB.com source, is Houston, but it is unlikely that the Astros have enough Minor League talent to offer the Padres, who are seeking starting pitching and, possibly, a center fielder."
Because the Astros don't have enough starting pitching to send to San Diego, they have to involve the Mets or Tigers and send Jose Valverde to them for starting pitching that would go to San Diego.
Posted by: Mistyck | October 18, 2008 at 05:19 PM
Averybear11:
"Brandon Backe,
Alberto Arias,
Brad James,
JR Towles,
and(GODDAMNIT, but we'd have to give him up)Felipe Paulino."
Nobody wants Backe, Arias or Towles. To start talks with the Padres you have to put Pence on the table. Paulino may be a possibility but he was injured much of 2008. You would have to add Norris instead of James as Norris has been a starter this year.
Posted by: Mistyck | October 18, 2008 at 05:23 PM
He doesn't really hit for average (which is overrated) and struggles with his OBP, but that only makes those OPS's he put up that much more impressive. Like I said, he's at the least a shortstop with elite defense and power; how many teams can claim to have one of those?
Posted by: gig | October 18, 2008 at 05:23 PM
People seem to be overlooking the obvious: the Braves suck and are going nowhere. Peavy wants to go to a winner and will choose one from his list.
Also why would any team take Lillibridge or Brent Schafer. After his steriod suspension his stats were below average.
Posted by: DrNo990 | October 18, 2008 at 05:32 PM
Brent Schafer? Steroid suspension? What's it like living in a constant haze of stupidity?
Posted by: l0stnumber | October 18, 2008 at 05:43 PM
Hey DrNo, who the hell is Brent Schafer?? Get your facts straight before you run your mouth. Adding Peavy and a second tier pitcher puts the Braves right back in the mix. Tell me what team would be able to overcome the injuries they had last year?
Posted by: njbraves | October 18, 2008 at 05:59 PM
Brent Schaeffer is the former Tennessee and Ole Miss QB. He wasn't even very good at football, so I'd understand why the Padres wouldn't want him for their baseball team.
As for Jordan Schafer, he was suspended because of circumstantial evidence. He was suspended for the first 50 games, so he struggled when he first returned, but he still put a line of .269/.378/.471 line with 18 2B, 6 3B, and 10 HR in just 297 ABs. How is that at all below average for a CF? In fact, out of the top 3 CF prospects that have been mentioned (Rasmus, Schafer, and Jackson), he had easily the best numbers last season.
Posted by: nixa37 | October 18, 2008 at 06:10 PM
Mistyck okay I may have overlooked that. I just dont know if HOU has the prospects to fork out but if they do, they will push them out before the Braves do IMHO. Wren should make this deal NOW rather than sitting around while some other teams come on and gives em just as good of an offer or better. Wren is going to have to give up Hanson, Schaffer or Heyward. He should deal with that and do it now! I agree with you that Houston would probably have to deal Pence and I dont think they want to do that.
Posted by: ChiefTomahawk | October 18, 2008 at 06:19 PM
I'm not going to critique DrNo on his mix up of "Brent" Lillibridge and Schafer. It happens, honest mistake. What I am going to critique is his claim that Schafer stats were below average. For starters, his full-season line was .269/.378/.471. I don't have the pre/post all-star break stats but his post all star break OPS was over 1.000. So what, you ask? The first 4-weeks of Jordan's season were essentially his spring-training. Once he got re-acclimated to live pitching he raked, per usual. On top of that he would be a gold glove caliber CF in the majors had he played there this past season. If the Braves trade him with a package for Peavy, the Pads will be getting a helluva player.
A team that ranked 6th in runs & 3rd in OBP, and by all reports as upwards of $45MM to spend this offseason "sucks and is going nowhere"?
Posted by: baleen | October 18, 2008 at 06:19 PM
Averybear-Backe is arbitration eligible and won't be offered arbitration, so in other words he is a FA.
Mystik- I think you would be surprised about Towles. I don't like him, but would probably be included in the deal because he still does have some value.
But for the Stros getting him it would take Pence, Paulino, Towles just for starters and probably have to add James/Norris and if they want they could try to get Ross Seaton(take a flyer on a young prospect)
Posted by: H-Town-Baller | October 18, 2008 at 06:25 PM
I agree with Tomahawk in order to get Peavy the Braves probably will have to give up Hanson, and either Schafer or Heyward and other people to "sweeten the deal"
Posted by: SuperChargers | October 18, 2008 at 06:28 PM
"Astros get:Jake Peavy,
Brian Giles
Mets get:Jose Valverde
Padres get:
Brandon Backe,
Alberto Arias,
Brad James,
JR Towles,
and(GODDAMNIT, but we'd have to give him up)Felipe Paulino."
I don't see any Mets prospects in there and the Padres would never do that deal.
Posted by: metsfan | October 18, 2008 at 06:28 PM
The Padres would maybe if the Mets add in F-Mart.
Posted by: SuperChargers | October 18, 2008 at 06:30 PM
SuperChargers
I dont think it would be a wise move for the Braves to deal two of the three prospects. I would only do one. I would offer Morton, KJ, Lillibridge, Hanson and Anderson. I think thats a fair deal.
Lillibridge plugs the hole at SS
KJ at 2B
Hanson future 1 or 2
Morton a 4-5 Guy
Posted by: ChiefTomahawk | October 18, 2008 at 06:31 PM
Braves, Cardinals, Cubs, Dodgers and Astros
these are the 5 teams he has said hed go to. the braves completley missed and prob have a few yrs before they r good, so it doesnt make sence for them to trade their high prospects. hou just doesnt have enough prospects to do the deal, and the tigers.mets prob dont want to give prospects for bothe peavy/valverde, when less prospects could them a huston street. the cubs were the best team in the nl, and have 3 good pitcher under contract, and trying to resign dempster. really its prob btwn the cards and dodgers, unless the braves ante up, which i think is a big mistake. ill admit, i dont know a lot about the cards, but i havent heard any names being mentioned or them say they are interested. the dodgers can offer 3 pieces, hu, mcdonald, and delwon young, 2 of the 3 prob wouldnt make it on the roster or get a lot of playing time, along with adding a cf prospect. the dodgers got the farthest of the 5 named team will killing one, the cubs.
averybear11, i dont know why he wouldnt want to go with the dodgers. he could keep his family in SD, where he just built a house, likes the nl, could get back at SD 15 games yr, and stays in ca. please explain ur thinking
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | October 18, 2008 at 06:34 PM
i am inpressed by dodger front office these last 3+ months,they are finally acting like a big market team.
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | October 18, 2008 at 06:36 PM
How about Padres get:
Heyward
Escobar
Rohrbough
Reyes
Braves get:
Peavy
Green
I dont know the financial ramifications but the padres then could trade young A. Gonzalez for another good haul of prospects as they have Kyle Blanks a beast who can only play first base and will be ready in a few years
Note: A. Gonzo not to Atlanta as they already have Casey Kotchman
Posted by: SuperChargers | October 18, 2008 at 06:41 PM
hey if the Padres are trying to unload and build for the future we ought to trade Adrian Gonzalez, Brian Giles and Chris Young as they are all close or older than Peavy. But you also have to sell seats so maybe not
Posted by: SuperChargers | October 18, 2008 at 06:45 PM
i'd like to hang onto both prado and kj. i think they should give kj another year to try and improve on his defense and consistency. if it doesn't work out, we could always give prado a shot full-time. and even if kj does do fine, prado could be a good utility player off the bench and fill in for chipper when he needs a day off. as for getting greene, i would think that he would be considered as having negative trade value at $6.5 million. or is that just me? i'm really excited about the idea of getting peavy, but if escobar, schafer, or heyward are a part of the deal, i'll be disappointed.
Posted by: bigdaddyp16 | October 18, 2008 at 06:55 PM
Chief:
Astros don't have enough pitching prospects on their own however, if you add Valverde who can be traded to the Mets or Tigers, San Diego can get enough for Peavy. Astros owner Drayton McLane has a mancrush for Roy Oswalt and Roy wants his buddy Jake in Houston so McLane will order Ed Wade the GM to get it done...it will take a while to get that done because we have to involve a 3rd team in there.
H-Town: Seaton can't be included by name unless he ends up being a PTBNL because it's not been a year since he was drafted.
LakersDodgers: Mets/Tigers won't have to give up prospects for both Peavy and Valverde, just Valverde. Also, Peavy has said Houston is his first choice. If Houston is working out a 3-way deal, everyone else is going to have to wait to see if that deal is feasible because as Towers himself said today "Jake's driving the train"...meaning if Peavy really wants to come to Houston, which he does, then if the deal that Houston puts forth is halfway decent even if it isn't the best deal, Peavy will end up in Houston. However, if Houston only gives a half-@ssed effort, then Peavy will end up with one of the other teams on his list.
Posted by: Mistyck | October 18, 2008 at 06:59 PM
SuperChargers,
No way Heyward and Escobar move in the same deal. Schafer and Hanson would be off limits too if the Braves did finally decide to make Heyward available. The only way he becomes available is if it really reduces the price in terms of the other parts going to San Diego. If not, it makes more sense for the Braves to include 2 of 3 out of Schafer, Hanson, and Escobar. Those two would be better than the top 2 the Padres could get for any of the other teams in the Peavy sweepstakes.
Posted by: nixa37 | October 18, 2008 at 07:02 PM
bigdaddyp16
if none of the guys, or even if one of the guys arent in the trade, u arent getting peavy
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | October 18, 2008 at 07:04 PM
Mystick,
What makes you think that Houston only has to offer up a halfway decent trade? If they aren't giving up the same sort of package any of the other teams are offering, then San Diego will simply give Peavy the option of going to the highest bidder or continuing to stay on the roster until Houston ups there offer or he agrees to go to one of the other teams that he has already said he'd play for. Just because Peavy prefers Houston to the other 4 teams mentioned, that doesn't mean he's going to turn down any of those other 4 teams down to go there. In fact, I'm pretty sure as long as its one of those 5, there is no issue on Peavy's end.
Posted by: nixa37 | October 18, 2008 at 07:07 PM
Padres are going to get a good haul for Jake Peavy
Posted by: SuperChargers | October 18, 2008 at 07:12 PM
Nixa-
what about
Heyward
Hernandez
Rohrbough
Reyes
for
Jake Peavy
Posted by: SuperChargers | October 18, 2008 at 07:15 PM
Nixa37:
By halfway decent I mean it doesn't necessarily have to be the best package, but it would obviously have to be pretty good.
Yes Peavy could go to one of the other teams that is also why I said that if Houston tries to get away with a half-@ssed package like Bourn, Backe, Towles, Paulino like some have suggested, Peavy won't come here.
Posted by: Mistyck | October 18, 2008 at 07:20 PM
I do not want to give up tow of Esco, Hanson, Schafer. Escobar should be pretty close to untouchable. However if we have to trade him or the others we should try to fill out the rest of the trade with the likes of Rorhbough, Morton, Reyes, Locke, Gorkys, Tyler Flowers. If we cant get it done for a package within reason do not pull the trigger. Escobar will be a star.
Posted by: tsweet9000 | October 18, 2008 at 07:25 PM