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« Odds & Ends: Amaro, Marte, Griffey | Main | Red Sox Pursuing Teixeira »
The Rangers are seeking to deal one of their three catchers - Gerald Laird, Jarrod Saltalamacchia, or Max Ramirez - for pitching, says Evan Grant of the Dallas News. Grant notes that they would still have Taylor Teagarden, who they're also open to dealing if "the return is great enough."
Grant discusses potential matches in the Giants, Red Sox, Brewers, Reds, and Tigers:
"San Francisco has pitching depth, and the Rangers love the Giants' arms, but San Francisco has a more pressing need for a corner infielder than a catcher because Bengie Molina is signed for 2009. Getting a pitcher such as Matt Cain might require the Rangers to discuss trading Chris Davis. Boston, Milwaukee and Cincinnati, however, may be the best fits for a catcher-for-pitcher deal. Detroit also needs a catcher, but the Tigers' system is quite thin at pitcher."
MLBTR discussed this on Friday, including Hank Blalock in the discussion as well as the Rangers' interest in Scott Olsen.
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They could get a deal based around Saltalamacchia. Doesn't he play alot of 1B?
Posted by: NeoExelor | November 02, 2008 at 09:12 AM
The Brewers don't really fit. They are happy with Kendall and have Salome (who is close), Lucroy and maybe Lawrie in the pipe and aren't that deep in pitching.
Posted by: klwillis45 | November 02, 2008 at 09:14 AM
Wasn't there a report out earlier this week about the Mets prioritizing catching help? If so, is it possible we could go after Laird? He seems to me like the best of the bunch.
Posted by: metsobsessed | November 02, 2008 at 09:15 AM
Marlins:
Jarrod Saltalamacchia (need a catcher and a 1B since they lost Mike Jacobs)
Rangers:
Scott Olsen (Texas desperately needs a solid pitcher...Olsen fits the bill here)
Posted by: BaseballFanatic40 | November 02, 2008 at 09:19 AM
I think the sox should try adn trade for teagarden or ramirez instead of laird. they could trade buchholz for one of them. They should also sign tek for 2 years to mentor one of them. That would be a pretty even deal right?
Posted by: shaneg | November 02, 2008 at 09:20 AM
Mets:
Gerald Laird (Veteran catcher who resembles a combo of Schneider and Castro by himself)
Rangers:
Aaron Heilman (Solid Bullpen arm... Reclamation Starter)
Posted by: BaseballFanatic40 | November 02, 2008 at 09:23 AM
"Marlins:
Jarrod Saltalamacchia (need a catcher and a 1B since they lost Mike Jacobs)
Rangers:
Scott Olsen (Texas desperately needs a solid pitcher...Olsen fits the bill here)"
I'm pretty sure that this deal has already been rejected by the Marlins.
Posted by: MickS | November 02, 2008 at 09:27 AM
BaseballFanatic40, I am now in love with that trade (Laird for Heilman). I'd even be willing to throw in a Brant Rustich or a Dillon Gee to give the Rangers a hard-throwing arm if they needed it. Let's get that rumor going!
I wouldn't exactly call Heilman a "solid bullpen arm", but reclamation project certainly fits the bill.
Posted by: metsobsessed | November 02, 2008 at 09:29 AM
"I think the sox should try adn trade for teagarden or ramirez instead of laird. they could trade buchholz for one of them. They should also sign tek for 2 years to mentor one of them. That would be a pretty even deal right?"
There's no reason for the Rangers to surrender Teagarden (who's the pick of the litter). The Rangers are in the driver's seat here, not the Red Sox. If I'm Daniels I offer BOS a choice or Laird, Salty or Ramirez for Buchholtz. Take it or leave it. BOS is in a bit of a bind and will cave if they re-sign Tek and watch him degrade further and further as the early season progresses. Why rush things? When you're sitting there with the superior hand you raise the stakes.
Posted by: MickS | November 02, 2008 at 09:33 AM
Brian Schneider was better than Laird this season, I don't see how trading for him makes any sense.
Posted by: viktor06 | November 02, 2008 at 09:33 AM
The Marlins have been following Salty for a long time... it was once rumored that he was going to be traded for Dontrelle Willis but the speculation faded because Salty stock was so high at that point they felt they could have gotten a better pitcher... now that the Marlins have a chance to acquire him again i think they should do it because they would be helping out the Rangers in a tough spot... and they Rangers (either now or in the future) may look to the Marlins as a trade partner again... Ever heard the expression you scratch my back i'll scratch yours? I think it appears evident here...
Posted by: BaseballFanatic40 | November 02, 2008 at 09:36 AM
On the surface you're looking a 4 catchers in the Rangers system but really it might just be two. There's a good chance that Ramirez and possibly Salty wind up as 1B.
Posted by: MickS | November 02, 2008 at 09:36 AM
Another reason for the Rangers to take their time in pulling the trigger on a deal is to see the status of Jorge Posada. If the Yankees find themselves having to plug a hole behind the plate, catching value ramps up exponentially.
Posted by: MickS | November 02, 2008 at 09:39 AM
Metsobsessed :
Heilman and Rustich for Laird makes perfect sense for both clubs i would love to see that trade happen...
viktor06:
Laird was much better than Schneider this season he has a higher batting average, threw out more baserunners*, drove in more rbi's, and scored more runs that Schneider did... He IS a perfect combination of Castro and Schneider all in one player because he hits for power (castro) and he plays great defense (schneider)
Posted by: BaseballFanatic40 | November 02, 2008 at 09:41 AM
Laird should be cheaper than the others the Rangers have (hopefully) and more of a stopgap measure until hopefully either Exposito,Lavarnway, or Federowicz can develop from low minors.
Mark Wagner (AA Portland in '08) supposedly made advances in his defensive skills this fall in the AFL league, but is still not MLB ready, so someone will need to be brought in for certain if Varitek is left to walk.
Posted by: johns | November 02, 2008 at 09:50 AM
It was reported this week that a Salty for Olsen straight up trade was rejected by Texas, not Florida. Thank God for that. Now, if they could get Miller for Salty? Go for it.
I think Texas will try to get either a legit. starter prospect like Homer Bailey, or a closer for Laird or Salty. Heilman's interesting, but I expect he'd be a fallback option if nothing else materialized.
Don't expect Texas to include Davis in any deals, and don't expect them to trade Teagarden.
I imagine that JD's already offered Salty for Buchholtz, and that Boston rejected it.
I think MaxRam will end up as DH, Billy Butler style. Salty, too -he'd probably be a big defensive liability at first.
Wouldn't be surprised if Texas can't resign Bradley, trades Blalock, and can't ship Salty for a decent pitcher, that they have a DH/backup catcher platoon of MaxRam & Salty next year.
I still like the Salty for Huston Street idea, maybe with a couple of prospects thrown in - one on each side - to protect against embarrassment, since they're in the same division.
Everyone's talking rotation, but Texas needs a closer - and JD's said publicly that he wants to revamp the bullpen.
Posted by: J the Dizzolla | November 02, 2008 at 10:08 AM
BaseballFanatic40 : You have no clue, check some real stats. Schneider had a slightly lower OPS+, while playing better defense this year. In the result, he was worth exactly as many runs above replacement, so I was wrong, they were exactly as productive.
Posted by: viktor06 | November 02, 2008 at 10:11 AM
Laird didn't have as good of a defensive year as people think. Also, he probably isn't ever going to be a power hitter like Barajas was - he might get you 10 homers. He's a decent doubles guy, he bunts very well, and he has good speed on the basepaths for a catcher.
All that spells NL to me.
Another variable that hasn't been mentioned is that Salty was hurt at the end of last season (throwing arm), and that they still haven't received word that all's well there.
Posted by: J the Dizzolla | November 02, 2008 at 10:17 AM
I would much rather have Laird than Castro i actually like Brian Schneider... watching Castro defensively he looks lost behind the plate and the way he picks up the ball out of the pitchers hand is very awkward...I was a catcher in college and they constantly stressed for us to square our body to the ball when the pitcher is about to release... Castro just sits there laxly a waits for it to come to him instead of really reacting to it... i dont know if its his poor judgment or his weight problem but what ever the case he isnt very good defensively in my opinion...
Posted by: BaseballFanatic40 | November 02, 2008 at 10:26 AM
I think Homer Bailey's "legit starter prospect" status is open to challenge at this point.
Posted by: MickS | November 02, 2008 at 10:29 AM
Wait!
How do the Giants match up here? Bengie Molina/Pablo Sandoval/ and first round draft pick Buster Posey all catchers! Why do we need another. ESPECIALLY if Cain is dealt??
Posted by: 55saveslives | November 02, 2008 at 10:31 AM
i'm pretty sure JD already mentioned they would revamp the bullpen via free agency. so the trade for bullpen help idea should probably be nixed (unless the rangers are approached with an overwhelming deal, and i don't see that happening).
i dont want the rangers to settle on olsen (and it seems they havent) because although he's a solid arm, i would rather the rangers package a catcher and another blue chip and go after a high quality front-liner. a straight up catcher for pitcher seems risky, so i'd rather see a package deal get done. personally i'd like to see names like borbon/beltre/hurley/andrus thrown about in addition to a catcher, and hopefully bring back a higher quality SP...
Posted by: tmoney352 | November 02, 2008 at 10:33 AM
"I think Homer Bailey's "legit starter prospect" status is open to challenge at this point."
I agree... but he hasn't actually been given a real shot in the majors, and he is a first rounder. And he is a Texas kid. But you're right - he hasn't been great the past 2 seasons.
On the other hand, Salty wasn't so hot last year, and yet his trade value appears to have not suffered too much - so I expect Cincy won't just give Bailey away.
Posted by: J the Dizzolla | November 02, 2008 at 10:39 AM
I expect the only reason why SF is mentioned is because they have a couple of arms that are expendable. But you're right, they don't need a catcher. And I highly doubt they want to move Cain or Sanchez.
Posted by: J the Dizzolla | November 02, 2008 at 10:40 AM
55saveslives, I think the speculation here is centered on the idea that the Giants would covet Davis for 3B or 1B (which they and everyone else do), but would have to cough up someone of Cain's upside to get him. That's where this gets tough.
Davis would be ideal for the Giants at a corner infielder slot, but unless they could tempt the Rangers to send him over for something less than Cain (Sanchez, Taschner, and another good arm like Martinez?), the cost may be too high. That's where trading Molina to perhaps the Mets for Niese comes in, because the Giants would have to reload with another good young pitcher if it cost them Cain to get Davis.
The bigger question is whether or not it's worth it to lose Cain to get Davis, or simply better to hold onto your pitching going into 2009 and see what you can do with other trades and trading-deadline moves next season. They still have Sandoval and Ishi for the infield corners to start the season.
Or do the Giants grab Blalock once the Rangers exercise their $6.2 million option for 2009 for minimal cost going back (Taschner and Martinez) and plug him and his bat in at 1B as a bridge to other options in 2010 and beyond?
Posted by: Buck Henry | November 02, 2008 at 10:46 AM
tmoney:
I hope they don't trade Andrus or Beltre, and after what happened with Danks, I expect they'd be loathe to send away Hurley before he gets a real shot to see what he can do over the course of the year.
I don't think they will make any risky trades. The catchers need to be moved because of the logjam, so I think fans are not only okay with that, but expect it to happen.
A package of Salty, Blalock and someone like Arias or Mayberry might be able to fetch you someone better than say Homer Bailey or Scott Olsen, so in that respect I agree with you. Should be an interesting week!
Posted by: J the Dizzolla | November 02, 2008 at 10:48 AM
Bobby Parnell and Dillon Gee for Jarrod Saltalamacchia? Rangers get two solid pitching prospects, Mets get a starter at either 1st or catcher, allowing them to trade one of Delgado or Schenider.
Posted by: White Bread | November 02, 2008 at 10:50 AM
Buck:
While Blalock is definitely bait, I have heard no indication that the Rangers would part with Chris Davis. He's got legitimate 35/100+ potential, and can hit for a decent average. And he can play both 3rd and 1st. He's young, cheap, and controllable. In 295 AB, he hit 17 homers and drove in 55 RBI, and that was from the 7 and 8 holes in the lineup! How many guys are there out there like him?
So yeah, Cain would be great, but Texas isn't going to move Davis. That would be suicide with the fans, who absolutely love the guy (he's a Texas kid, too). Another way of saying this is that if you move a guy like Davis, you had better be getting Lincecum in return.
Posted by: J the Dizzolla | November 02, 2008 at 10:54 AM
Nahh... when Bailey gets his 2-3 year adjustment period that all young pitchers need, and we see what he is *really* capable of doing, I'll go along with you if he really is a bust. But he's so young. You gotta give the guy his chance. Everyone said that Volquez would never be a stud, since he couldn't control his stuff and didn't know how to pitch. He got demoted all the way back to A ball the year before his trade to Cincy. So sometimes it just takes a guy a little extra time to get with the program.
Olsen? Great fastball, good slider, gives up homers at a prodigious rate, even in a pitchers park. Lacks control, puts men on base, loses focus - has a nutty side.
I'll pass on that. Other teams have the luxury of adding a guy like Olsen, but not Texas. We already corner the market in wild pitchers with a screw loose (Padilla, Wilson, etc.). I say good for JD for turning that deal (Salty for Olsen) down.
Posted by: J the Dizzolla | November 02, 2008 at 11:03 AM
I really enjoy how someone like Homer Bailey is no longer a legit starting pitching prospect, but no one seems to bother and question Salty, who hasn't put up good numbers since 2005 in high-A ball and still might not even be able to stick behind the plate. He seems to profile as an above average offensive catcher at best, but if he's forced to play 1B, I can't see him ever being an adequate starter.
Posted by: nixa37 | November 02, 2008 at 11:06 AM
"So yeah, Cain would be great, but Texas isn't going to move Davis. That would be suicide with the fans, who absolutely love the guy (he's a Texas kid, too). Another way of saying this is that if you move a guy like Davis, you had better be getting Lincecum in return."
Dizzola that is laughable. For Lincecum try Davis AND Hamilton. Get real.
Posted by: tmacntn | November 02, 2008 at 11:07 AM
Lincecum for Davis and Hamilton LOL LOL LOL LOL
Posted by: BLEEDINGCUBBIEBLUE | November 02, 2008 at 11:10 AM
Hank Blalock
for
Noah Lowery
Posted by: BLEEDINGCUBBIEBLUE | November 02, 2008 at 11:10 AM
"I really enjoy how someone like Homer Bailey is no longer a legit starting pitching prospect, but no one seems to bother and question Salty, who hasn't put up good numbers since 2005 in high-A ball and still might not even be able to stick behind the plate. He seems to profile as an above average offensive catcher at best, but if he's forced to play 1B, I can't see him ever being an adequate starter."
Shhh
You're just a Braves' fan still smarting from that trade.
Rumors Salty can't stick at C are just rumors. His bat has shown life, and while his stock his down (hence the reason he's tradable), it would be foolish to call him a bust regardless of how you feel about Homer Bailey.
Posted by: Kenan and Kel | November 02, 2008 at 11:11 AM
"So yeah, Cain would be great, but Texas isn't going to move Davis. That would be suicide with the fans, who absolutely love the guy (he's a Texas kid, too). Another way of saying this is that if you move a guy like Davis, you had better be getting Lincecum in return."
You'd pass on Cain for Chris Davis?
Really?
Wow
Posted by: Kenan and Kel | November 02, 2008 at 11:13 AM
The only way i see Texas getting Buchholz from the Red Sox is if they trade Teagarden. Salty has too many defensive questions, and no way Laird is worth anything near Buchholz.
From the Red Sox point of view, for Laird, I would give up Kris Johnson and Chris Carter.
Johnson is a Lefty who pitched at AA this year and is projected as a solid middle of the rotation starter with three solid average pitches.
Carter is a good hitter with no defense, and could be a cheap replacement to Bradley for the next few years.
Posted by: drchstrpunk | November 02, 2008 at 11:16 AM
"Bowden will net either Teagarden or Salty."
There's no way JD would trade Teagarden for Michael Bowden... Saltalamacchia, maybe. But Teagarden? No way.
FWIW, I'm with Dizzola... If I'm trading Chris Davis, I'm only doing it for a legitimate ace in return... If I have to package some lesser pieces to get it done, fine, but I'm not trading Davis unless it's a legit, controllable ace.
Posted by: N41D | November 02, 2008 at 11:17 AM
"I still like the Salty for Huston Street idea, maybe with a couple of prospects thrown in - one on each side - to protect against embarrassment, since they're in the same division. "
Horrible idea for both sides.
1. The A's have a young catcher. His name is Kurt Suzuki.
2. If the Rangers are going to move their young catchers, a starting pitcher is a better target than a closer. The Rangers can fix their bullpen without giving up the big prospects. Trust me, they can.
Posted by: melonis rex | November 02, 2008 at 11:25 AM
J, you're probably dead-on correct about Davis not being moved, but I got the notion that it was possible from the mlb.com reporter for the Rangers, who indicated that the team knew it would cost them Davis if they wanted Cain or Sanchez. It all comes down to how much they want Cain.
Posted by: Buck Henry | November 02, 2008 at 11:29 AM
I mean, they did have a really good bullpen in 2007...granted Eric Gagne was actually good then, but still.
Posted by: melonis rex | November 02, 2008 at 11:30 AM
The rangers need pitching sometimes you have to over pay to get it since I highly doubt that a FA pitcher would actually choose Texas over another team. They should continue to develop hitters in that stadium and trade them for young pitching. Chris Davis might be a great hitter but their team doesn't need more offense they need pitching. Davis for Cain would be a good deal for both teams.
They should also sign Derek Lowe even if they overpay (by money not years) because they need to solidify that rotation and they could contend.
Posted by: tinski | November 02, 2008 at 11:30 AM
I appreciate the feedback guys.
I think Davis is as good of a hitter as Braun, albeit without the speed. Would you trade Braun straight up for Cain? I wouldn't.
I agree that Davis for Lincecum is crazy -but that was my point. Davis is probably worth more than Cain. Again, how many corner guys are there who can hit for average and have the kind of power that Davis does? Only a few. How many pitchers are as good as or better than Cain - quite a few.
I was only trying to point out that from everything I've read here in the media, including bloggers with ties to the team, Davis is simply not on the table.
And if the team loses Blalock in a trade, and Bradley to FA, they absolutely will need Davis' bat in their lineup.
Posted by: J the Dizzolla | November 02, 2008 at 12:00 PM
Kenan and Kel,
Are you serious? First of all, I never called him a bust. As I said, if he sticks at C, he should be above average offensively. Still, its not just rumors that say he may not be able to stick there. There have been questions about his ability to stick at C since before the Tex trade was made and he has done little to dispel them, throwing out just 18% of runners attempting a SB at the MLB level. He is also extremely tall for the position and that has raised questions about his body's ability to handle the position long term.
And his bat has shown life? When? Those 55 ABs he got at AAA this season? His power numbers took a huge step back, and while his BB rate did rise, over 35% of his ABs are ending in strikeouts.
As a Braves fan, why in the world would I be smarting about dealing Salty at his highest value? Honestly, the only part of that trade that I regret is giving up Neftali Feliz. Salty has huge question marks and Andrus still has shown the ability at the plate to develop into a superstar. He should obviously be a great defensive SS with at worst an adequate bat, but I still don't see him as major loss for a team with Yunel Escobar at SS.
Posted by: nixa37 | November 02, 2008 at 12:03 PM
*Andrus still HASN'T shown the ability at the plate...
Posted by: nixa37 | November 02, 2008 at 12:06 PM
Oh and just to put those SB numbers in perspective, that's 77 SB allowed in just 101 career games behind the plate.
Posted by: nixa37 | November 02, 2008 at 12:10 PM
J, if Cain by himself can't get Davis, then sorry, forget it. Cain has the upside he does because of his age, his contract, his health and ability to eat innings, and his stuff. If the Rangers would want more than Cain for Davis, then I invite them to find another pitcher comparable to Cain, who is available, who can be a #1 or #2 for years.
Because I don't think you'll find one.
Posted by: Buck Henry | November 02, 2008 at 12:52 PM
Buck:
Cain is very good. But I don't think they really want to or need to trade Davis. That's my point. They have 4 really good starters coming down the pipe and they've got a handful of guys who can contribute now. They just need a couple of decent new arms this year to tide them over. I think getting rid of Davis would be way too risky. Now, when Smoak comes up - and Davis becomes expendable - they maybe. But not now.
Posted by: J the Dizzolla | November 02, 2008 at 01:10 PM
J, then I understand your point completely. Davis would be a real prize for the Giants, and if the Rangers can get a solid #5 starter that could fill the role for 1-2 seasons at minimal cost (say Blalock) until their farm system can generate big team starters, then it makes no sense for them to ship Davis.
What would the Rangers want back for Blalock? The only two items the Giants have that would be minimal cost to them that could fill a #5 for the Rangers would be Lowry (if he gets cleared) or Joe Martinez at AA, because I wouldn't give up Sanchez for Blalock.
Posted by: Buck Henry | November 02, 2008 at 02:19 PM
I'm glad you understood my point, because reading back over it, I'm afraid I didn't state it very well. What I was trying to say is that while the Rangers would love to get Cain, that trade speculation involving Davis is a big stretch, and I don't think JD would make that deal. A lot of it has to do with some of his risky moves he's been burned on (like the Danks trade, or the Adrian Gonzales deal), and even Hicks has said that he's not trading away young talent any more. All signs point to Davis being a top young talent. I brought Lincecum into it because if SF said, hey - we'll give you Lincecum for Davis & Salty, I think you'd have to consider that one. But SF would never do that either.
I don't blame you guys for being interested - Chris Davis is a fun guy to watch hit. He's got a great stroke.
My feeling is that Blalock could be used to obtain a decent #4 or #5 guy (and Lowry would fit that bill), or he could be packaged with one of the catchers to try to bring in a better pitcher. If nothing of interest arises, they'll just keep him and move Davis to 3rd. That's what I've been hearing.
For what it's worth, JD has actually said that Blalock is on the block again this trade season, and so he's definitely available.
What's Lowry's health like?
Posted by: J the Dizzolla | November 02, 2008 at 03:44 PM
Somebody explain to me why Gerald Laird is an upgrade over a Schneider/Castro platoon? The guy has posted OPS+ of 64 and 92 the last two years. Schneider has posted 77 and 87 the last two years. Castro 127 and 96 the last two years. Why give any value up for that when you have a million other holes to fill?
Posted by: nrmax88 | November 02, 2008 at 04:23 PM
"I wouldn't exactly call Heilman a "solid bullpen arm", but reclamation project certainly fits the bill."
Yeah really. He only posted era+ of 130, 120, and 140 before having a bad injury plagued season. So lets just dump him so we can downgrade at catcher. What's not to love?
Posted by: nrmax88 | November 02, 2008 at 04:25 PM
"viktor06:
Laird was much better than Schneider this season he has a higher batting average, threw out more baserunners*, drove in more rbi's, and scored more runs that Schneider did... He IS a perfect combination of Castro and Schneider all in one player because he hits for power (castro) and he plays great defense (schneider)"
No, he wasn't really better then Schneider at all. If he was, it was just barely. Laird is a power hitter? He posted a .400 SLG one time in his career, playing in a launching pad in great weather to hit in. He has never hit double digit HR's. Where is this power you speak of? Do people even bother to check numbers or verify what they say?
Posted by: nrmax88 | November 02, 2008 at 04:28 PM
The Brewers might be the last team in baseball to consider trading a pitcher for a catcher.
Posted by: Gob4321 | November 02, 2008 at 04:34 PM
Does anyone see the yanks coming in the picture for salty for 1b and eventually swapping positions with Jorge.
Posted by: C.Roy | November 02, 2008 at 04:35 PM
just a quick question, why is it only olsen gets mentioned in trade rumors, the marlins have a lot of starting pitching. i see why they want to trade olsen and his declining strike out rates with reduced velocity, i don't see why other teams would focus on him over say johnson or sanchez.
Posted by: Hammondsbird | November 02, 2008 at 04:47 PM
I never said that Gerald Laird was a "power hitter" what I said was... Laird has power similar to Castro's and he plays a much better defense(therefore I would rather have a platoon of laird and schneider even if it means giving up Heilman) who every Mets fan wants out NOW... he has no value to this team because he was apart of both collapses and he doesn't want to relieve he wants to start... If you read another post of mine I stated that I would rather have schneider than Castro leading to a trade for maybe Laird or another Rangers catching prospect (max ramirez) who can catch and may be able to play first in the future...
Posted by: BaseballFanatic40 | November 02, 2008 at 04:58 PM
I watched every single Rangers game this past season (yes, I am a glutton for punishment), and I can say with great confidence that Laird is NOT a power hitter. He is a singles hitter who occasionally drives on into the gap, and his homers are mostly accidental.
His defense is better than average (ok at blocking pitches, good at throwing out runners), his speed is better than average, and he bunts really well. He is a funny guy who is very popular in the clubhouse. He does whine when he isn't starting as much as he thinks he deserves, and that's was definitely a problem next year.
On Salty, I've heard this said over and over about him, that as a catcher he projects to be an above average hitting catcher with decent power and the ability to drive in some runs. As a 1B, though, he projects poorly, and very likely below league average in the important categories. The problem is his defense at C is not good.
Of course, he might be really good - he hasn't truly been given a shot as THE go-to guy at catcher yet. It's hard to find a groove when you are playing every other or every third day, as Wash used him for much of last season.
Posted by: J the Dizzolla | November 02, 2008 at 05:03 PM
I feel nrmax88 cares way to much about a players OPS and doesn't account for other intangibles in a player ... if people consider trading a major talent who fell in stock a little like a Clay Buccholz or Homer Bailey for Laird then Mets would practically steal him by giving up Heilman who was awful as a reliever...
Posted by: BaseballFanatic40 | November 02, 2008 at 05:07 PM
"just a quick question, why is it only olsen gets mentioned in trade rumors, the marlins have a lot of starting pitching. i see why they want to trade olsen and his declining strike out rates with reduced velocity, i don't see why other teams would focus on him over say johnson or sanchez."
1. Olsen is arbitration eligible. Miller can slot into the rotation and work.
2. His K rates and velocity are declining. Try to trade him for value before he loses trade value. There is a risk that he will begin putting up very ugly numbers. The same goes for guys like Edwin Jackson and Greg Smith.
Posted by: melonis rex | November 02, 2008 at 05:10 PM
"
I feel nrmax88 cares way to much about a players OPS and doesn't account for other intangibles in a player ... if people consider trading a major talent who fell in stock a little like a Clay Buccholz or Homer Bailey for Laird then Mets would practically steal him by giving up Heilman who was awful as a reliever..."
Except that Schneider and Laird are pretty much a wash in terms of defense.
And, no way Texas accepts Heilman for Laird straight up. I think Heilman will rebound, but Heilman's value right now is low. Laird will cost Niese, especially with the dire catcher shortage on the FA market as opposed to the catching demand.
I don't understand why Omar prioritized catcher over pitching and 2B, unless they're giving the 2B position directly to Murphy. But still, the Mets need to deal with their pitching before dealing with catcher.
Posted by: melonis rex | November 02, 2008 at 05:14 PM
"The same goes for guys like Edwin Jackson and Greg Smith."
Yup, and that's why as a Rangers fan, if Texas is really considering moving David Murphy to TB in exchange for one of their available starters (as the rumor currently circulating suggests), I would hope to God that JD would insist on Sonnanstine over Jackson.
I do think the Rangers would be interested in getting a guy like Heilman, but I expect they'll try to get more for Laird before capitulating to an offer like that. I know there are some Homer Bailey haters around here, but I would prefer Bailey over Heilman, for instance, even though Heilman is more of a proven commodity.
Posted by: J the Dizzolla | November 02, 2008 at 05:27 PM
J the Dizzola-
Murphy should easily net Sonnanstine.
If the Rays insist on Jackson for Murphy, JD should insist on one of the higher level pitching prospects included in the deal (Davis/Hellickson, etc.)
I wouldn't do Heilman for Laird. Heilman is valuable, but his value is at a low. If the Mets are the target (which I have no idea why the Mets are targetting a catcher, fix the pitching plz), Niese has to be in the package.
Feliz and Holland will be scary when they're ready though. That could be interesting.
Posted by: melonis rex | November 02, 2008 at 06:23 PM
murphy is going nowhere. jd would be crazy to deal him for sonnanstine. i'd rather have hurley/harrison at the back end of the rotation with murphy in the lineup. and yes, i agree that the rangers should make a pitch at lowe. i know hicks is weary of paying for a pitcher, but to me, he seems like a safe bet.
and i also agree with you on the davis situation. theres really no need to deal him, and i don't think jd will unless he is overwhelmed by an offer. again - i think a package deal for a legit #1 is the way to go, and the rangers are going to have to pony up another solid prospect (though clearly feliz and holland are going nowhere).
Posted by: tmoney352 | November 02, 2008 at 07:07 PM
this would be a good chance for Boston to pick up someone who can take over from tek if he isn't re-signed or even if he is.
i wouldn't say no to a Bard - Salty trade, or even Zink who had a great season at AAA. i think we just need a left handed hitter, that way Tek can stay on the right side and although Salty is switch also, i think it would be a good fit.
Posted by: binga58 | November 02, 2008 at 07:12 PM
"i wouldn't say no to a Bard - Salty trade, or even Zink who had a great season at AAA. i think we just need a left handed hitter, that way Tek can stay on the right side and although Salty is switch also, i think it would be a good fit."
LMFAO. Zink is an AAAA pitcher. You have to give up one of Masterson, Bowden, or Buchholz to get Salty.
Posted by: melonis rex | November 02, 2008 at 08:17 PM
There is no nice way to put this: Chris Davis is NOT worth Matt Cain.
Chris Davis can NOT play 3rd base at the Major League level. Chris Davis plays in Arlington Park, a power inflating stadium. Chris Davis is a below average fielder. Chris Davis's career K rate is 28%.
Chris Davis is a very promising player, who could have a legitimate career, but if you polled all the GM's in baseball I would guarantee all but one (Jon Daniels) would prefer Cain and his contract situation over a replaceable 1st Baseman.
Posted by: The Juice | November 02, 2008 at 10:29 PM
Exactly Juice, I'm not going to even bother further explaining it. Anyone who thinks Chris Davis alone is worth Matt Cain knows 0 about baseball.
Posted by: tmacntn | November 02, 2008 at 11:01 PM
The Juice-
FYI: Davis's home/away splits for 2008 are even. Dead even.
Although I agree that Cain for Davis is not really a good fit for the Giants. Really, I don't see the Giants trading Cain this offseason.
Posted by: melonis rex | November 02, 2008 at 11:09 PM
How about Davis for Sanchez + prospect?
Posted by: melonis rex | November 02, 2008 at 11:10 PM
melonis- I'm not trying to argue whether it is a "fit" or not. My point is people's perceived value of Chris Davis in comparison to Matt Cain is off. I don't care whether or not either team makes this deal, but I like to point out how ridiculous some people think. If you are talking about a 1-10 scale where 10 is extremely valuable, Cain probably ranks at a 9 and Davis around a 6.5-7. Maybe that puts things in perspective.
Posted by: The Juice | November 02, 2008 at 11:17 PM
Juice- I hear ya, and I agree.. Cain is more valuable, neither do the two fit well.
I could see Sanchez (maybe add prospect) for Davis though.
Posted by: melonis rex | November 02, 2008 at 11:24 PM
from tmacntn
"Anyone who thinks Chris Davis alone is worth Matt Cain knows 0 about baseball."
First, I always laugh when someone says that - basically - if you don't agree with me, you know 0 about baseball. I might not know as much about baseball as you do, but I bet I know more than 0.
Second, we're talking about trade value, aren't we? It's not like you can look under Chris Davis' hat and see a number, and then do the same for Cain. It depends a lot on the market, the supply, the demand, a guy's contractual status, and many other factors. Look at it this way, was Delmon Young worth Matt Garza, who is arguably as good as Cain? Yet they were involved in a 1-for-1 deal, and I think you'd agree that Davis is probably a better hitter than Young. So to act like I know what player is worth what and you don't is somewhat comical.
But anyway, my point was that all these bloggers who know so much about baseball and who are insisting that X team just go get Davis from Texas in exchange for X pitcher (because Texas is so desperate that they'll go along with anything), are mistaken. So much so that I maintain that Texas probably wouldn't even trade Davis in a 1-for-1 deal for Cain.
The owner Hicks has stated he will not trade away young talent, and with JD's trade history, he would be crazy to trade a guy like Davis - a Texas guy - before it's clear what his upside is. People around here are ready to hang him for John Danks, Chris Young, Adrian Gonzalez, Galarraga, etc. No way he gives them Chris Davis to add to that list. That would be suicide.
And like I already said, Davis isn't replaceable for this team, especially if Bradley and Blalock are gone. When Smoak comes up (at least a year away), then it become much more possible.
By the way, Cain is a nice pitcher, but his stats for last season aren't Sathathia like. For instance, there's the 91 walks. So he's got his flaws, too.
Posted by: J the Dizzolla | November 03, 2008 at 06:52 AM
IF Homer Bailey is going to be a GOOD or WINNING Pitcher it is NOT going to be for the Reds.
Texas is a hitters park and Bailey would get lit up there just as he has in Cincinnati.
He has a 92 MPH Fast Ball with no movement and little or no secondary Pitches. That is why he gets lit up in Great American Small Park (or any other hitters park.
Bailey's two best starts in 2007 were on the Road in Oakland and San Francisco. Large ball parks where Home Runs are NOT as easily hit. His one bad start on the Road was at Philadelphia.
His record and ERA at GASP for both 2007 and 2008 was bad. So, based on this, if I were the Reds GM, I would look to trade Bailey to a West Coast team and care less what the fans thought.
IF Bailey were to start winning 15 Games a year for his new West Cost team, then good for him because THAT wouldn't be happening if he were to stay in Cincinnati.
Posted by: ctownboy | November 03, 2008 at 11:20 AM
J the Dizzolla- "Second, we're talking about trade value, aren't we? It's not like you can look under Chris Davis' hat and see a number, and then do the same for Cain. It depends a lot on the market, the supply, the demand, a guy's contractual status, and many other factors."
When I look at a trade, and when other intelligent people look at a trade, they take into account the current market value of said players. Tell me many 24 year old Starting Pitchers on the market (1), who are in heavy supply (2)? Not many if any. The only other player is Zach Greinke and that is speculative as well. Therefore, demand is extremely high for these said players (3), not to mention that Cain's contract for a PROVEN 24 year old starter with room for improvement is the definition of a bargain when similar players are receiving $15 million a year on the open market (4).
So when you say that "I always laugh when someone says that - basically - if you don't agree with me, you know 0 about baseball. I might not know as much about baseball as you do, but I bet I know more than 0" those people may not be far off because by my most basic math skills 0/4= .000%
Sorry buddy, but if you want to bring your rebuttal you need to do some research. Walks as your sole argument against Cain just won't cut it. Jon Daniels would perpetuate his reputation as a poor GM if he refused an offer of Cain for Davis 1:1 because the value aren't even near equals. Haha.
Posted by: The Juice | November 03, 2008 at 02:06 PM
I totally agree with your points 1-4, but one can make a similar argument for Davis with each of those points. How many 22 year old corner infielders are there available who have that kind of power, production, OPS, and can hit for average? He might not be great at 3rd, but he's not bad at first, and he is cheap and controllable.
And while you play up Cain like he's a legitimate ace, you conveniently fail to address his flaws, and not just the walks. He has good numbers, yes - but ERA and homers allowed aren't phenomenal, and that's pitching in a huge park. And the walks is definitely a concern.
Anyway, I don't know why I'm bothering, since you're not a very reasonable person. Here's some free advice: you can disagree with someone without calling them names, and you can believe you are right without calling your opponent an idiot. That's just basic good manners, something you could use a healthy dose of.
Posted by: J the Dizzolla | November 03, 2008 at 03:24 PM
"Anyway, I don't know why I'm bothering, since you're not a very reasonable person. Here's some free advice: you can disagree with someone without calling them names, and you can believe you are right without calling your opponent an idiot. That's just basic good manners, something you could use a healthy dose of."
a) I never called you a name, not one. I said you were batting .000 on your arguments, and you were. b.) more specifically, I can't find it where I called you an idiot? Please show me.
I'm sorry I shed some light into your faulty reasoning. I think Davis is a great player, but 1B with that type of pop are a dime a dozen. They may not be exactly the same, but that is the type of production you EXPECT, not hope for from a 1B prospect.
Posted by: The Juice | November 04, 2008 at 01:46 AM