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« Orioles Rumors: Kawakami, Zaun, Looper | Main | Padres Have Interest In Vizquel; Dodgers Don't »
7:12pm: MLB.com's Joe Frisaro says Mariners catcher Rob Johnson and Rangers catcher Jarrod Saltalamacchia were discussed in these Hermida talks, but no match was found.
6:31pm: Baker says the Marlins wanted catching prospect Adam Moore from the Ms in a Hermida deal. Baseball America ranks Moore as the Mariners' sixth best prospect. They say he looks like a future big league starting catcher; he'll start '09 at Triple A.
5:31pm: Clark Spencer of the Miami Herald says the Ms and Rangers initiated the Hermida talks, and they didn't get far.
4:44pm: Geoff Baker says the Marlins offered Hermida to the Mariners and Rangers for catching.
12:34pm: Rays Index found a note from MLB.com's T.R. Sullivan on Monday - the Rays like Rangers outfielder Nelson Cruz.
12:26pm: Berardino has an update. He says the Marlins proposed trading Hermida to the Rays for two pitchers, likely among Jeff Niemann, Wade Davis, Jeremy Hellickson, and Mitch Talbot. The Rays rejected the offer and it's unlikely to be revisited.
Berardino now says the Reds have yet to inquire on Hermida.
12:04pm: Mike Berardino of the South Florida Sun-Sentinel discusses Jeremy Hermida trade possibilities in a blog post today (hat tip, Rays Index). He says the Reds have definitely shown interest, and also discusses the Rays. Berardino's sources believe Micah Owings could be had, but not Johnny Cueto. In the case of the Rays it'd apparently take Andy Sonnanstine rather than Edwin Jackson.
By the way, the Marlins have talked about the possibility of moving Hermida to left field if they keep him. Hermida has been a slightly above-average right fielder according to the plus/minus system.
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Jeremy Hermidia for Owings is not enough to get the job done, the Reds would have to throw in another mid-level arm...
Posted by: bartendermlb | December 10, 2008 at 12:10 PM
Seriously, what am I missing? Hermedia to the Reds? How is that the RH bat Jocketty is anxious to acquire?
Posted by: davidmp2 | December 10, 2008 at 12:13 PM
Is there anywhere online to find the +/- ratings?
Posted by: CubbyFan23 | December 10, 2008 at 12:13 PM
Gotta pay for plus/minus
I believe it's part of the fielding bible, but could be wrong.
Posted by: Kenan and Kel | December 10, 2008 at 12:14 PM
Why not Hermidia for Saltalamacchia? Are the Rangers really THAT confident in Nelson Cruz?
Posted by: KenInToront | December 10, 2008 at 12:15 PM
Hermida to LF makes sense. Didn't the Marlins publicly announce they'd like to become the next Rays?
Pitching and defense blah blah blah.
Posted by: Kenan and Kel | December 10, 2008 at 12:15 PM
If Reds fans loved Adam Dunn's plate approach, they'll be even more enamored with Hermida. Better D, but a lefty that K's a bunch and can't hit for avg can't possibly be worth that much. I guess he's worth a flier if he's cheap, but I'm guessing he won't be since he has that could still be great tag on him.
Posted by: Grizzlyfox | December 10, 2008 at 12:16 PM
And I'm glad he's sources think not Johnny Cueto. Cuz guys that throw 97 with a filthy change their rookie year just fall out of trees. If Cueto isn't untouchable the guy in return would have to be something special.
Posted by: Grizzlyfox | December 10, 2008 at 12:18 PM
I think the Marlins have enough guys capable of an ERA approaching 5 and a losing record. Both guys have big upside, but I'm not sold on this idea. I'm not even sure which guy I'd rather have...
Posted by: BigRob | December 10, 2008 at 12:18 PM
He is only 24 so his K:BB ration doesn't concern me. Most 24 year olds lack major plate discipline. But the Reds' interest is baffling. Unless the Reds are considering Hermedia as an upgrade over Dickerson and believe Hermida can be had cheaply, plan to move Bruce to center, and add a RH RF? I wonder if the Reds know that despite throwing right, Hermida bats left?
Posted by: davidmp2 | December 10, 2008 at 12:22 PM
Hermida would be a great fit for the Reds.
NOT at the expense of Johnny Cueto though.
Posted by: melonis rex | December 10, 2008 at 12:24 PM
Rangers don't need another outfielder. We already have Hamilton, Murphy, Byrd, Cruz, and Borbon coming up quickly. Need pitching.
Posted by: Rangerfan | December 10, 2008 at 12:25 PM
Forgot Boggs also...
Posted by: Rangerfan | December 10, 2008 at 12:26 PM
As a Reds fan I LOVE the idea of the Reds simply making a move for value; look at Hermida's road # from last year ... and then put him in GABP ... there's a point at which production doesn't care what side of the plate you hit from ... Owings and another kid to get a young guy who has seen success in the majors? Sign me up ... Hermida in a vacuum makes much more sense to the franchise than Dye ...
Posted by: design28 | December 10, 2008 at 12:27 PM
I'll agree with that Dave. Second thought, does make sense, especially if they don't bring back Hairston and add a RH bat. He'd play good D and if he doesn't cost that much, good deal. Payroll if they sign Hairston and Rhoades would be between 76-80 mil though, was at 74 last year. Have to take that into account as well when thinking about adding another bat.
Posted by: Grizzlyfox | December 10, 2008 at 12:28 PM
Wow hermida for 2 of those 4?
I'd settle for one of Davis/Hellickson.
Posted by: Kenan and Kel | December 10, 2008 at 12:29 PM
WTF? Why would the REDS be interested in Hermida? He doesn't fill any needs other than putting a warm body in Left.
Owings is in line for the #5 starter spot, so what am I missing? I don't understand this and will be absolutely pissed if Walt does this deal.
If we deal pitching, we better get a RH hitter back or pitching back.
Posted by: bweav44 | December 10, 2008 at 12:29 PM
Meaning that if they resign Hairston and get Rhoades their OF addition would almost have to be a cheap guy like Hermida, unless if they want to move one of Cordero, Harang, or Arroyo, which seems unlikely.
Posted by: Grizzlyfox | December 10, 2008 at 12:30 PM
But no, not THAT confident in Cruz. If we made a move for Hermida, wish we could talk the Rays into taking Byrd and maybe a couple of prospects for Hellickson.
Posted by: Rangerfan | December 10, 2008 at 12:31 PM
This is called sitting on your depth way too much. I wouldn't be too hesitant to deal Davis/Hellickson. I mean, that rotation is stacked for a good long time. These are the kind of non-moves that hurt the Rays' chances of contending in '09.
Posted by: melonis rex | December 10, 2008 at 12:33 PM
The Marlins are dilusional to ask for that deal from the Rays.
Posted by: mmontice | December 10, 2008 at 12:33 PM
Hermida does not fit this team.
If the Reds are willing to pay roughly $6M for a part-time C, I would not be surprised if they add more payroll for a RH LF.
They don't want to pay Dye $11.5M because he's not worth $11.5M, not because they can't or won't add payroll.
Personally, I want to see the Reds deal E5 to the Giants for Sanchez. If they do that, they can deal Arroyo.
Posted by: bweav44 | December 10, 2008 at 12:35 PM
Rays like Nelson Cruz. Big whoop. Texas likes David Price. People like a lot of things they can't have.
Posted by: J the Dizzolla | December 10, 2008 at 12:45 PM
If the Rays wouldn't move those pitchers for Jason Bay, they'd have to be brain dead to trade them for Hermida.
Posted by: bigpat | December 10, 2008 at 12:46 PM
There is simply no way the Reds can give up Cueto for Hermida. Cueto should be a mainstay on that team.
As for the Marlins' asking price, I think it's fairly reasonable considering the situation. You have a former elite prospect who has shown glimpses of that potential at the ML level, and he's still young and under control. The Marlins have no need to move him, they just will if they can get good value. It's tough to blame them for asking for two good pitching prospects for a guy like Hermida.
Obviously I wouldn't even do Davis for Hermida straight up, or probably even Hellickson. But if the asking price was Niemann and Talbot for Hermida, that's not exactly ludicrous.
Posted by: scribbletone | December 10, 2008 at 12:47 PM
This is why I kept saying the Reds SHOULD have gone after Josh Willingham.
Like Hermida, Willingham's ROAD numbers on Offense were much better than his Home numbers. Plus, Willingham bats Right Handed and plays Left Field. EXACLTY WHAT WALT JOCKITCHY PUBLICLY SAID THE REDS NEEDED AND WERE GOING AFTER!!!!
Fianlly, it wouldn't have cost the Reds NEARLY as much to acquire Willingham as it would Hermida and they wouldn't have had to pay him nearly as much as they would Jermaine Dye.
Posted by: ctownboy | December 10, 2008 at 12:47 PM
"Rays like Nelson Cruz. Big whoop. Texas likes David Price. People like a lot of things they can't have."
thats not funny in the least!
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | December 10, 2008 at 12:49 PM
In all likelihood if they dealing Encarnacion leaves a huge hole at 3rd. Maybe Encarnacion is a huge hole in 3rd anyway, but dealing for another pitcher means the Reds will still have to add a RF and a 3B.
Posted by: davidmp2 | December 10, 2008 at 12:50 PM
bweav
seriously? do you have any clue what you are talking about?
the reds gave up Freel's contract who can be replaced by a young guy at league min. and they got 3 mil from Baltimore. That leaves them at about $2 million.
if you don't think that dye is worth 11.5 in this market you are lying to yourself. why does everyone say it is a one year rental? because dye will opt out of the second year and get more in free agency.
Arroyo was the most consistent member of the rotation and is practically a shoe-in for 200 innings. Sanchez doesn't fill that roll. You would then have a rotation with Harang and Volquez topping 200, Cueto at 185 to 190, Sanchez at 180, and fifth spot at about 160. I will take the extra 30 innings from Arroyo and keep my 3rd basemen instead of creating 2 more holes.
Posted by: coltholt | December 10, 2008 at 12:51 PM
If Arroyo was your most consistent starter, you have issues.
Posted by: vtadave | December 10, 2008 at 01:07 PM
colthoit,
Exactly right. Plus, Edwin E's problem on Defense is his throws. He has good range and a good glove, it is his throws which cause him problems.
How could the Reds POSSIBLY be better if they have a Catcher who can hit Home Runs but is not very good on Defense (Ramon Hernandez).
A Right Fielder who can drive in Runs but has limited range on Defense (Jermaine Dye).
A Third Baseman who is a good hitter but who has limited power and limited range ( Jeff Keppinger).
A streaky, Strike Out prone Short Stop who might not even be able to play or, if he does, might not be able to play for long periods of time (Alex Gonzalez) and who would have to be replaced with either Adam Rosales or Paul Janish, neither of whom can hit a lick.
A young Left Fielder who is still learning to play in the Majors and who would be learning a new Defensive position (Jay Bruce).
And add on top of that a Left Handed Pitcher who may or may not be good and who has Pitched his Games in larger West Coast ball parks and who may NOT adjust well to a hitter friendly park like GASP (Jonathan Sanchez).
No, how could doing all of THAT go wrong.
Posted by: ctownboy | December 10, 2008 at 01:15 PM
Arroyo is consistent cuz he takes the ball, gives you a .500 year, and does his job. He's likely the four starter this year, and I'll take a .500 record and 200 IP any day as a Reds fan out of the number four guy.
Posted by: Grizzlyfox | December 10, 2008 at 01:16 PM
In 2007, Bronson Arroyo went 9 and 15 with a 4.23 ERA in 210 Innings Pitched.
That doesn't look so good.
HOWEVER.
In nine of those Games, the opposition scored four or fewer Runs and the Reds lost all nine Games. In six of those Starts, the Reds lost by a score of 2 to 0. With a little more Run support, Arroyo could have had a winning record.
Arroyo's 2008 stats are skewed by that one Game against Toronto where he gave up 10 Earned Runs and 11 Hits in only one Inning Pitched. Remove just that one Game and Arroyo's ERA drops from 4.77 to 4.34.
Posted by: ctownboy | December 10, 2008 at 01:40 PM
Also, in 2008, Arroyo had 18 Quality Starts. As a comparison, Edison Volquez had 20 Quality Starts in 2008.
Of course Volquez had a better record than Arroyo and a lower ERA but, in his first seven starts, the Reds averaged scoring 6.29 Runs a Game for Volquez. The Reds went 5 and 2 in those Games.
So, even if Volquez would have had an ERA as high as Arroyo, he and the Reds would have still probably won those Games.
I also found where Arroyo gave up seven Earned Runs and seven Hits in only 1.1 Innings against Atlanta on May 4.
So, two bad starts skewed is stats upwards.
Conclusion; pitching in the park he plays his Home Games in, throwing the number of Innings he does and getting paid what he does, Arroyo is a bargain and a good guy for the Reds to have on the team and in the rotation.
Posted by: ctownboy | December 10, 2008 at 01:53 PM
"In 2007, Bronson Arroyo went 9 and 15 with a 4.23 ERA in 210 Innings Pitched.
That doesn't look so good."
?
Why doesn't it?
Posted by: CubbyFan23 | December 10, 2008 at 04:43 PM
Trade Max Ramirez for Hermida.
Trade Nelson Cruz for Niemann, Davis/etc
Hermida COULD be a star (his road #'s are rock solid) David Murphy is what he is.
Rangers would never do Max for Hermida though I don't think.
Posted by: kinsler5 | December 10, 2008 at 05:09 PM
Hmm I don't think I would have minded Hermida in our outfield, although the catcher in question was probably undoubtedly Jeff Clement. We do have Adam Moore who had a pretty decent AA season last season..but all-in-all probably doesn't make too much sense
Posted by: MakinItMine | December 10, 2008 at 05:21 PM
Cubby,
My point was, a LOT of Reds fan want to trade Arroyo away. They say he costs too much, his hair is too long and his Won Loss record hasn't been that great.
I say he has been the Reds most consistant Pitcher the last two years and people come back with "if he is their most consistant then the Reds have real problems".
What these people fail to understand and what I was trying to point out is that, Arroyo usually has three or four real BAD Starts which really skew his stats. The rest of the time, he pitches six or seven Innings and keeps the Reds IN ball Games.
That with a BETTER Offense, his record would have been better in 2007.
This is why I laugh when I see people posting on boards saying the Reds should keep Homer Bailey because he MIGHT be something and trade Arroyo away.
These people fail to understand that even IF Bailey improves, he is NOT going to pitch 200 Innings in 2009 (Volquez and Cueto are both better Pitchers than Bailey and the Reds didn't allow them to throw 200 Innings in 2008) and getting rid of Arroyo and his ability to eat Innings will HURT the Reds.
This is especailly true when you consider his contract and then look at what guys in Free Agency are asking for this year.
Posted by: ctownboy | December 10, 2008 at 05:25 PM
the reds need more mediocre offensive players because if they kept their young arms and actually started to win games the world would collapse
Posted by: jedstylesux | December 10, 2008 at 05:36 PM
With Toothpick Baker as Manager and suggesting the Reds need to keep bringing in guys like Corey Pattersuck, Paul Bako and Jerry Hairston Jr, I don't think you will have to worry about the world collapsing any time soon.
Posted by: ctownboy | December 10, 2008 at 06:38 PM
I'm a reds fan and theres no way that i'm impressed by Arroyo. All he is good for is eating up innings. there was 11 starts last year where he gave up five earned runs mostly in 6 innings some in four of them in fewer innings than that. He lacks the consistency to be a quality starter and i would be ok with dumping his salary if we could get a productive offense of player in return. Minus last year Harang is undoubtly are best start and still is today with volquez right there.
Posted by: 19jeff83 | December 10, 2008 at 06:44 PM
Arroyo is a good pitcher. His contract is actually pretty good, when looking at what sucks like Garland and Perez, both inferior pitchers to Bronson, will get in free agency. You have to look at overall stats, not cherrypick certain bad starts.
Volquez-Cueto-Harang(always liked him, since his A's days)-Arroyo-Bailey/Maloney is a pretty damn strong rotation. I am pegging Cueto for solid improvements in 2009. Arroyo is hit or miss, but his hits are really, really good. Harang is a victim of Dusty Baker. Arroyo's also an absolute horse.
Offense and defense are what killed the Reds. Move EE to LF, and target a 3B. I like Joe Crede on a 1 year deal for the Reds. Give up nothing.
Posted by: melonis rex | December 10, 2008 at 07:20 PM
OK, 19jeff83, trade away Arroyo and THEN what?
I like Harang and think he is still a good Pitcher but look at what Toothpick did to him in 2008. Who is to say he doesn't do that again and this time, ruin Harang for good?
Volquez had a hot start to 2008 but his stats got worse as the year wore on. What happens if his 2009 stats are closer to what he put up after the All Star Game in 2008? As a reminder, those stats were a 5 and 3 record with a 4.60 ERA and a WHIP of 1.455. That was compared to a 12 and 3 record with a 2.30 ERA and a WHIP of 1.24 before the All Star break.
What happens if what you saw of Cueto in 2008 is the best he can give you?
By trading Arroyo away, you open up two holes in a starting rotation that already has question marks. Who do you fill those spots with? Owings? Bailey? Thompson? Ramirez? Belisle?
If you say yes, then can you honestly say ANY of those guys will give you the same stats as Arroyo has the last few years? I don't think they can.
Posted by: ctownboy | December 10, 2008 at 07:42 PM
A deal that would send Hermida to the M's for Rob Johnson sounds great on both ends.. Rob is in a log jam right now, and he will not come out on top. I don't see him with any future at all in Seattle, But possibly with the Marlins.. also, Hermida would be a nice fit in Seattle.
PULL THE TRIGGER Z!
Posted by: SwarzakGuy40 | December 10, 2008 at 08:06 PM
No kidding right....If I were Z I would have pulled the trigger as soon as Johnson was the catcher in question just because he isn't the first option (or really second with Johjima and Clement ahead of him) and then Adam Moore I would much rather develop....I don't understand how it wasn't a done deal...grr
Posted by: MakinItMine | December 10, 2008 at 09:15 PM
ctownboy,
I'm still a fan of Arroyo I don't think we should trade him right now but I wish he could get back to his first year in a red uniform where he was a lot more consistent. I give him this year to turn it around and be more consistent but if come trade deadline hes not where he should be # wise and we can get good value for him in a trade i would make it. You cant continue to stick with something thats not working. As for Harang hes an inning machine more than Arroyo and Baker may have misused in a relief appearance early against sd and he did have the forearm injury. but if you look at his #'s last yr. he had 8 starts where he allowed 3 runs or less and lost every single one of them and 3 more gms where allowed 1 er or less and got ND. Talk about lack of run support and for as horrible as his season was to have a 4.75 era aint to bad. Arroyo right now is at best a 3rd starter or 4th and I think thats is something we can make a move to fill if we had to. I like Volquez a ton and think he'll be a star and Cueto will come along soon.
Posted by: 19jeff83 | December 10, 2008 at 09:20 PM