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Braves Offer Four Years, Close To $60MM To Lowe

9:12am: ESPN's Jerry Crasnick has a source saying Lowe is "leaning strongly toward signing with Atlanta."

7:34am: According to SI.com's Jon Heyman, the Braves' offer to Derek Lowe is close to $60MM over four years.  The two sides are in serious discussions.  Heyman says Lowe prefers the National League.  The reported offer seems fair; it's difficult to see the Mets matching it.

The Mets could end up with another Boras client, Oliver Perez.  They're at three years and $30MM for him.  Jerry Crasnick and Matthew Cerrone both wondered today if the Mets will get in on Ben Sheets.


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Oh look Heyman is at it again. I would take his word with a grain of salt. Borass is so transparent. What a loser.

If the Braves actually signed Lowe for 4/60 that would be a terrible signing.

They can't expect to win a title this year and Lowe is old and only getting older.

Additionally, if a team (Mets) make a 3/36 offer, the next logical step is NOT 4/60. It's either 3/39 or 4/49.

i like the signing . .but not at that price

4/60 for Lowe is so much better than 5/80 for AJ. At the begining of the offseason I was hoping we would sign Lowe over any other FA pitcher. We have an excelent inf def that suits him well. Now Wren can take that trade off of his desk (assuming Lowe signs). If the Braves get a LFer we can be darkhorses in the NL East.

How can Heyman be believed? This offseason, he's served as Boras' tool ... floating rumors about interested teams that turned out to be false. It's like the boy who cried wolf.

I believe the Braves did exceed the Mets reported offer, but I also think it may not be by the amount stated by Heyman. Either the dollar amount is lower or that fourth year is not guaranteed.

Whatever, as a Mets fan I can honestly say that Lowe is not worth what even the Mets reportedly offered him. I will shed no tears if he goes to the Braves. I'm more than fine with Ollie given Lowe's age, park-enhanced stats and what's left now on the market. If the Mets can't lock up Ollie, then you start to worry.

Mets offer 3/36, Braves offer 4/60. Seem a little overkill? Oh wait, this is a Heyman/Boras column.

Heyman says the "offer seems fair" Jon, are you getting a commission on this sgining, splitting it with Boras?

On a more rational note, the Braves don't seem to be a blow you out of the water club. If the mets actually offered 3/36, why would not the Braves offer say 3/ 42 or 3/46. There is no reason to give him 4 years while the Mets want Perez. Who is the competition?

Its probably 3 years about 42 million with a club option for the 4th year.

"If the Mets can't lock up Ollie, then you start to worry."

... unless Sheets is signed. Honestly, I'd rather have Sheets at 3/4 of a season than some of the other starters at a full season, assuming he has no major injury currently.

This is good news for my Phils. I would much rather see Lowe with the Braves and Ollie back with the Mets.

bbxxj -- If you're talking about the Yankees, I don't really agree. The two guys up the middle (Jeter, Cano) are, at best, average defenders. At worst they are total liabilities. The outfield defense isn't anything to write home about either.

It was wise for the Yankees to pass on a guy like Lowe. Why strain an already average defense with 30 starts of ground balls?

I don't trust this article because the braves from the get go have said they wouldn't pay 16mil a year as well as every other team.

How is $15 million a year not a fair deal for Lowe. I know he's not the best in the game, but he has been a model of consistency over the years. Also, do the Braves really have a bettr option right now?

Beauster, guess you didnt fully read the post, to me it seemed like he was a Brave fan by saying things like "Now Wren can take that trade off of his desk (assuming Lowe signs)" and "If the Braves get a LFer we can be darkhorses in the NL East."

Does anybody know what the terms of the Kawakami deal are? Then with potentially Lowe at 15MM per year, what does that leave us for a LF?

I don't know...as a mets fan I'd rather have ollie than lowe. A second lefty, the ability to be dominant, and just coming into his prime. I think I'd prefer ollie, although I was haoping to get a draft pick for him. I'd still like to see sheets over either of them.

MVP#10, seeing as how 60 million divided by 4 isnt 16 million, I am not sure where you got your numbers.

Its too much because he is aging and not a true #1 starter. Plus, jst because the Yankees agree to pay guys so much money doesn't make that the value of player.

My bad, 15mil per year

@Beauster

I was talking about the Braves ie the NL East reference. Escobar and Kotchman are both GG caliber defenders, Chipper still has it, and KJ is the weak spot.

Lowe
Jurrjens
Vazquez
Kamakawi
Glavine/Reyes/Morton/Hanson

Looks darn good to me.

Boras has repeatedly stated that the reported 3/$36M offer made by the Mets never happened. Not his fault people keep bringing it up.

"This is good news for my Phils. I would much rather see Lowe with the Braves and Ollie back with the Mets."

Why would you want a pitcher who killed you last year to re-sign with you're biggest division rival? Whereas if the Mets signed Lowe, Perez would likely end up signing out of the NL East and you might not have to face him the whole season.

If I would offer a contract, it would be a 3/42-44 with a 15 million option

I guess they kinda figured they needed to go big lol.

you know i wonder. with Frank Wren doing all this talk about how they want to have their whole roster done before they even consider Tom Glavine.

I wonder if he wants to have his whole rotation solidified and then if Glavine is good put jurrjens in AAA.

I mean think about it if he were to sign Lowe then go out and make this trade that he is talking about for a pitcher that would give us a known 1-5 rotation.

1. Lowe
2. Mystery Man
3. Vazquez
4. Jurrjens
5. Kawakami

if that happens then what do we do with Glavine?

well for one, no chance JJ is in Triple-A, and if he signs lowe, our rotation is done, the only need left is in LF

How long has Boras been paying to spread his lies Heyman?

Well this very well could be the offer that Lowe eventually agrees to sign, but would this really be the Braves starting offer?

I was just speculating at the fact he said he wants everything in place before he even decides on them.

Still makes you wonder though

Considering what Sabathia and Burnett got, 4 years/$60 million doesn't seem out of line for Lowe who really is less likely to experience health issues than those two. A team like the Braves almost has to overpay to get a high end free agent. If Wren can seal the deal with Lowe then pick up Dunn on the cheap, this could end up being a pretty successful off season for the Braves after all.

I just think all this talk is smoke screens right now. After what happened with Furcal, I think the braves will keep their mouths shut about deals they are really considering. Is Wren saying that he has had proposals on his desk for 6 weeks...is that supposed to wow us as braves fans? Must be a real blockbuster. All that is left is to sign or trade for a left fielder

Although if it was for a true ace like Harrang, Felix, or someone of that caliber i kinda wouldnt mind lol

I hope this is true, this could work out for the Cubs.
If Lowe signs with the Braves that all likely will end the pursuit of Peavy. The teams that might pull the trigger for Peavy are few --Cubs Red Sox Angels and Yankees.
Cubs Seem to be stockpiling arms, but are unwilling to give Marshall up.
Red Sox -Several Issues
1. Dont want to give up prospects.
2. Concentrating on a young catcher.
3. Overflow of pitching right now. Burnett,DiceK,Lester and Wakefield have 1-4 locked down-Bucholz,Penny,Smoltz(mid season)battle for #5.
Angels Seem to be lukewarm on the idea.
Yankees--They have the prospects and the money --but will Peavy want to there???
It seems the new owners of the Cubs are willing to take on that contract, and the old ownership has burned the bridge with Peavy, with the Padres ownership will have to do a lot of shovling to convince Peavy they could be a championship team in the sshort term.

I hope the Braves sign Lowe for lower then what he want. That will mean STL will be able to get Sheets for a lower price then what he want.

$60MM over four years is overpaying for a guy like Lowe. He's already 36 years old, signing him until he's 40 is a mistake.

It's not like the Braves had any choice. Smoltz leaving placed them in a "spend whatever necessary" mode in order to salvage relations with the fans but they've still overpaid for Lowe...should he decide to sign.

I see absolutely no reason why Jurrjens would be sent down to the minors. That'd be just about the worst thing you could do to him right now.

Wren needs to simply not even offer Glavine a contract. Or if he feels he needs to give him one out of respect, offer him a Smoltz-like deal...very low guaranteed money, but with incentives built in.

Daniel, it was not reported by the AJC it was reported by the Atlantabraves.com site, and also, he probably is just using the information provided by Heyman. There is no new information in there.

I don't understand how anyone can be optimistic about the idea of Lowe as their #1 starter. I liked him okay in Boston, but the guy is a #3 at best.

Ryno, the Angels are about the only AL team that Peavy might go to. He doesn't want to pitch on the East coast OR the AL, he might maybe concede one, but not both.

I dont see anything wrong signing a guy thats 36 to that contract. We still want to sign glavine and tom is what? 42...we had alot of people to make a fuss over smoltz. I know the two were corner stones for the francise, but whats wrong with lowe?

AJC is quoting si.com, i.e.: Heyman/ boras

Noone will match that...id expect a signing today or tomorrow.

Ryno -
"3. Overflow of pitching right now. Burnett,DiceK,Lester and Wakefield have 1-4 locked"

burnett went to the yankees

''4/60 for Lowe is so much better than 5/80 for AJ.''

Both overkill, but I guess you could say it's the lesser of two evils.

This is a signing that the Braves have to make so I expect them to throw the money at Lowe. He seems to be their last prime option for starting pitching at this point.

As for where this fits the Mets, I say just sign Oliver Perez back at this point and give up on Lowe. The price will escalate in no time on him.

"burnett went to the yankees"

I figure you can read between the lines, he mixed up Burnett and Beckett. Similar names, same division. Simple mistake.

4/60 for Lowe is a really good signing IMO.

1. He's not a hard thrower. Hard throwers are more likely to be injury prone. He thrives off ground balls. Casey Kotchman, Yunel Escobar, and Chipper Jones are good/plus defenders, and KJ is average.

2. Lowe has NEVER had an FIP over 4.3, even in those bad years with the Red Sox, and has only pitched less than 200 IP twice since being converted to a starter in 2002 (182.2 IP and 199.1 IP).

3. One year and 20MM less than Burnett got. Wheeeee!!!

We had money to burn and its better than not signing anyone remotely close to an ace...$15 mil is the going rate for a really good #2...

This goes a long way towards salvaging what has been a really bad offseason for the Braves. Things had been looking disastrous, and I think Wren will deflect a lot of criticism with this move. Atlanta will have a strong rotation next year with Lowe mixed in.

Wow, we could actually have a rotation by today.

Lowe has already agreed to the deal:

http://www.ajc.com/braves/content/sports/braves/stories/2009/01/13/braves_lowe.html

It is for 4 years and 60 million. Should be very good for the first 2-3 years of the deal. Paying a 39 year old 15 million isn't exactly what you want, but the Braves have a strong system and they get to keep it intact with this signing. Good job Wren.

Totally agree with everything melonis said.

Great move by Atlanta.

Lowe is a pretty low-risk signing, his style fits their plus defensive infield well, and 4/60 is a pretty solid deal.

The rotation is in great shape long term, and Lowe can be a solid mainstay in the middle of that rotation.

Nice signing ... I think the Braves will sign Huddy back next year and the rotation will be loaded.

Lowe = ace.

I love this signing.

We can have Glavine in the rotation pretty easily...

1. Lowe
2. Vazquez
3. Jurrjens
4. Kawakami
5. Glavine

Wait until 2010 or later to trade or sign an ace, that way we can show off some of the prospects by then that are in the minors. Glavine should also be retired by then...works out perfect.

"Nice signing ... I think the Braves will sign Huddy back next year and the rotation will be loaded."


You bring up another good point.

This opens up so many possibilities for the '09 offseason. If Hanson needs more AAA seasoning, pick up Huddy's option and go Huddy-Lowe-Jair-Vazquez-Kawakami/Campillo. If Hanson's ready and Hudson is effective, then pick up Huddy's option and trade Vazquez. In next year's pitching FA market, the Braves will easily get a sweet haul for Vazquez. The Braves could potentially have a rotation surplus after the '09 season, and that could cause a nice reaping of prospects.

utleyfan - i had to stop reading because your comment is so hilarious.

you'd rather face (with your even more lefty dominant lineup) Oliver Perez (a young lefty)

maybe you have forgotten what ollie did to your phils last season - 4 GS, 26 IP, 17 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 27 K, 0.35 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 0.181 BAA

hopefully you speak for the rest of the idiotic philly fans as well. good luck this yr champs! haha

Using the argument that Sabathia and Burnett got signed to big deals isn't valid The Yankees overpay everyone they sign. This is a terrible signing for the braves.

"Wait until 2010 or later to trade or sign an ace, that way we can show off some of the prospects by then that are in the minors."

Lowe is an ace. Jurrjens has ace potential and is very close to becoming an ace.

Just because neither of them are the stereotypical strikeout pitcher doesn't mean that they're not aces.

mvp#10 - i agree with you, however, maybe wren has changed his tune now that they lost the veteran leadership smoltz brings to the organization. just a thought?

"4/60 for Lowe is so much better than 5/80 for AJ"

LOL, thats like saying syphilis is better than gonorhea. Both of those contracts are way overpriced for the pitcher. Lowe has never came close to a Cy Young and hasnt been an all-star in 6 years. I am very glad that Omar lost out on this one.

bbxxj - my bad, I agree this is a good signing for the Braves, though they're definitely shelling out one-too-many years. After "losing" Smoltz to the Sox and getting burned by Furcal, this is a move the Braves feel needs to work out.

Lowe is not an ace. He was 12-14 2 years ago with a 3.88. Last year he was 14-11 with a 3.24. Not exactly ace stuff and he's 36, so expect those numbers to decline.

Melonis:
You are right...Jurrjens does have ace potential, but even in 2010 I would not be upset if he was still our #2 or even 3. Lowe is a good 2 at best...see previous posts^^^

And what would be the harm of getting a legitimate "ace" to bring along Jurrjens and Hanson??

He's NOT and ace. He went to one allstar game. I don't know what is wrong with braves fans you over vale all of your players. Lowe isn't that great anymore. He's an ok two starter and a good 3 starter.

"Lowe is an ace. Jurrjens has ace potential and is very close to becoming an ace."

I think this may be a little bit generous.

Lowe is a great pitcher, but he's not really an ace, he's more of a good number 2. He takes the ball every five days, but he's not really the dominating type of pitcher that generally gets the ace tag. He's only posted an ERA+ over 131 once in his career (back in that freaky 2002 Boston season) as a starter, which is good but not terribly impressive.

As for Jurrjens, I agree that he's a guy who could become an ace soon, but it'll take a few things. Jurrjens still walked 70 guys in 188 innings, while only striking out 139, so he still has some work to do with his command. He hasn't given up many home runs historically though, so if he can keep his walk rate down while keeping his home run rate down as well, then he really could emerge as an ace within a couple years.

If Braves really want an ace though, then they probably should just wait for Tommy Hanson.

IF the Braves wanted an ace, they should not trade Weinwright away to STL for someone who only last 1 year for them.

Interesting, it seems Heyman got this one right ...

"Interesting, it seems Heyman got this one right ..."

If you write an article everyday, while maintaining a blog about rumors, then eventually you'll get one right.

Hell, I could just sit at a computer and write senseless and baseless rumors all day, and eventually I'd get some right too.

"IF the Braves wanted an ace, they should not trade Weinwright away to STL for someone who only last 1 year for them."

This if game is a bit much. The dealt him for J.D. Drew, who played great in Atlanta for his one season.

There was risk involved in giving up Wainwright, but it happened and he panned out. So, too bad..

And if you think you're disappointed about that, you're probably not going to want to follow the Texas Rangers for the next few years. Watching Feliz launch 98 MPH fastballs, Andrus make dazzling plays at short while leading off, and Salty be a quality contributor behind th eplate, it might make you cry.

"I guess they kinda figured they needed to go big lol.

you know i wonder. with Frank Wren doing all this talk about how they want to have their whole roster done before they even consider Tom Glavine.

I wonder if he wants to have his whole rotation solidified and then if Glavine is good put jurrjens in AAA.

I mean think about it if he were to sign Lowe then go out and make this trade that he is talking about for a pitcher that would give us a known 1-5 rotation.

1. Lowe
2. Mystery Man
3. Vazquez
4. Jurrjens
5. Kawakami

if that happens then what do we do with Glavine?"

Well seeing as Kawakami isnt proven and jurrjens had some control problems as the season reached its end and a clear drop off in wins after the allstar break, I would spot start Glavine. It works out for the best. Use Glavine as a spot starter and let Hanson finish developing.

Phillip Cannon -

yea how about the Braves put their best pitcher from last year in AAA - Great idea man.

Jurrjens gets sent down this year when I get called up to take over his spot..

And then we can just send down Chipper, McCann and Escobar while were at it.

most of you guys complaining about the Lowe contract probably live on the east coast and haven't followed him or watched him pitch the last 4 years. He was the dodgers most dominant an consistent starter for the past few years and his great sinker will be missed by most dodger fans, the braves are getting a great #2 starter.

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