« Free Agent Matchmaker: Braves Need An OF |
Main
| Odds & Ends: Draft, Rangers, Feliz »
By Tim Dierkes [May 28, 2009 at 2:28pm CST]
Let's take a look at the latest Rumblings and Grumblings column from ESPN's Jayson Stark.
- The Padres' recent winning streak has not changed their intention of trading Jake Peavy. The Dodgers and Cubs are in Peavy's first tier of choices, follwed by the Giants, Cardinals, and Astros. The Angels would be the one AL team he'd consider. The East Coast is a long shot. Also, Peavy will want his 2011-13 partial no-trade clause to become a full no-trade. Peavy's friend Roy Oswalt has been unsuccessful in lobbying Astros owner Drayton McLane, as the 'Stros can't take on Peavy's contract. As for the Dodgers, GM Ned Colletti told the L.A. Times he hasn't talked to the Padres about Peavy since the pitcher vetoed the White Sox deal.
- Stark talked to scouts who believe Oswalt has "lost his edge" and needs a change of scenery. The Phillies have inquired on him, but they've asked about everyone: Peavy, Brandon Webb, Roy Halladay, Doug Davis, Erik Bedard, Cliff Lee, Aaron Harang, Brad Penny, Chris Young and Jason Marquis. Popular Phillies trade targets include Lou Marson, Jason Donald, Carlos Carrasco, Travis D'Arnaud, Freddy Galvis, Kyle Drabek, Dominic Brown, and Antonio Bastardo.
- The Braves are interested in bringing Mark DeRosa back to Atlanta. He came up with them and was non-tendered in '04 after tearing his ACL. But to deal young arms, the Braves would want an impact bat. Stark says they're "mostly listening" rather than shopping Jeff Francoeur. His trade value is difficult to gauge.
- The Mets seem content to wait out the first base trade market.
- The Giants seek a middle-of-the-order bat, and Jonathan Sanchez is being dangled. Three targets they haven't had success on are Dan Uggla, Jorge Cantu, and possibly Carlos Lee. Lee, according to one Stark source, doesn't intend to waive his no-trade for anyone.
Chris Young seems like a good bet to be dealt, although I haven't heard any rumors about him. He makes a good deal of money, is fairly young and cheap, and can strike guys out. If the Padres can't even afford Jody Gerut, I would think they are probably looking to deal Young and could probably get a decent player (Jason Donald?) or two for him.
Posted by: RoyalsRetro | May 28, 2009 at 02:37 PM
"He makes a good deal of money, is fairly young and cheap"
I know that seems like an oxymoron, but I mean he makes a good deal of money for the bargain basement Padres, but for the rest of baseball he is relatively cheap for his production.
Posted by: RoyalsRetro | May 28, 2009 at 02:38 PM
It's not difficult to judge francour's trade value at all. It doesn't exist. There may be some teams with interest if he's DFA'd, but the only thing I can see a team giving up for him is a bad contract.
Posted by: 86 Mets | May 28, 2009 at 02:38 PM
Giants trying to create the best rotation ever if they add Peavy (which is not likely)
SP Lincecum
SP Johnson
SP Peavy
SP Zito
SP Cain
(just to seperate Lefties and Righties)......
......
If they add a bat the bat should be a Jorge Cantu, Dan Uggla, Matt Holiday, Vlad (he has an option), Dye (option), Bay (not likely), Maggs (too much $$$), and finally Tejada........All the others arent going to make a big impact
Posted by: Giants rulez | May 28, 2009 at 02:42 PM
That would be no where near the best rotation ever, not even the best in baseball.
Posted by: B3NG4L | May 28, 2009 at 02:51 PM
Not that the Padres aren't hurting for money but does anyone really think that the Giants have the prospects to pull this off, or would the Padres even trade Peavy within the division?
Posted by: RoyHobbs | May 28, 2009 at 02:57 PM
Dan Uggla is worth more than Sanchez, and I would think the Marlins wouldn't want him anyways.
The Giants should pack it in soon. They have no chance this year and should start to sell.
Winn would be a good piece for someone.
Molina is a tad overrated and most likely stays.
Lewis is bad and they should see if someone wants to take him.
Renteria and Rowand are there for the long haul.
The Mets should let Murphy play 1st. Let Sheffield play LF and platoon as they see fit.
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | May 28, 2009 at 02:57 PM
Obviously Webb and Halladay would be the best fit for the Phils. Both are dominating righties that keep the ball on the ground. However, I still don't think Halladay's going anywhere and Webb probably isn't either. Webb being on the DL until possibly the all-star break will surely complicate any trade scenarios.
Cliff Lee wouldn't be a bad fit either. Another groundball pitcher that would thrive at Citizen's Bank Park with one of the best defensive infields in baseball. He comes fairly cheap, which means some top prospects would have to go Cleveland's way.
Posted by: UtleyFan | May 28, 2009 at 03:00 PM
"Not that the Padres aren't hurting for money but does anyone really think that the Giants have the prospects to pull this off, or would the Padres even trade Peavy within the division?
Posted by: RoyHobbs | May 28, 2009 at 02:57 PM"
UH yeah the Giants have the prospects. If they really wanted to they could trade for Gonzales and Peavy and have kids to spare.
Its never going to happen though.
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | May 28, 2009 at 03:00 PM
A trade for Cliff Lee would strip the best out of the Philly's farm system. Think Dominic Brown, Kyle Drabek and Julian Sampson as a minimum. Lee's salary is cheap and he's not a free agent till 2011.
Posted by: MickS | May 28, 2009 at 03:06 PM
Make soemthing happen Amaro Jr.
Posted by: proof2006 | May 28, 2009 at 03:11 PM
"A trade for Cliff Lee would strip the best out of the Philly's farm system. Think Dominic Brown, Kyle Drabek and Julian Sampson as a minimum. Lee's salary is cheap and he's not a free agent till 2011."
Yeah, Lee would demand a king's ransom.
An interesting note: The Phillies were the runner up to the Brewers in the Sabathia sweepstakes last summer. The only thing the Phillies lacked that Cleveland wanted was the top OF prospect that the Brewers had in LaPorta.
So i'm sure the Indians have interest in a bit of the Phillies farm. The only difference here is that the Indians don't have to trade Lee yet.
Posted by: UtleyFan | May 28, 2009 at 03:13 PM
Ruben needs to get something done of substance. especially if Brett is out any serious length of time. I'm tempted to want them to bring up Carlos even though he's struggled. Remember he struggled in AA last year through an injury and then his last half dozen or so starts in AAA were great and he pitched to a below 2 ERA. I'd hate to give up him to start with if he turns out to be just what we need.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | May 28, 2009 at 03:21 PM
Giants! Need a middle of the order bat? Cost no object? Step right up...Magglio!
If you liked Renteria, you'll love Magglio. Plodding defense, ground balls to the right side, $15M this year, with two huge options sure to vest.
What other MLB franchise would even consider him? This is a match made in heaven.
Tigers would take any face saving minor league non-prospect for this salary dump. Tigers better with one of the young guys playing instead.
Posted by: pmc765 | May 28, 2009 at 03:26 PM
very true about CC.i wouldnt want to pay the kings ransom for Lee. i am thinking the phils go after Chris Young, Brad Penny, or Bedard.
also the phils might have to have a back up plan for Moyer there is only so many times you can put him on the mound. i know he has been good as of late but if he falls into the a rut they might have to make 2 deals or hope that carrasco is ready.
alot of this speculation might come down to what happens with Myers if he out for a prolong time you almost have to make a deal because i do not want to see Chan Ho in the rotation.
Posted by: derman1984 | May 28, 2009 at 03:36 PM
"not even the best in baseball."
Who's is better?
As it stands now only Tigers, Cardinals, and Dodgers have a better starter ERA than the Giants. That would be without Jake Peavy.
Please don't try to tell me Billingsly, Wolf, Kershaw... or Verlander, Willis, Galarraga, Porcello, Jackson or Carpenter, Wainwright... are better.
They would have 4 CY young winners, countless ERA/SO leaders, and Matt Cain who has a 2.40 ERA. That would be the best in baseball.
Let me guess you'll say Yankees or Red Sox?
Posted by: bkoke | May 28, 2009 at 03:44 PM
Brad Penny should be a salary dump. If somebody gives the Sox a decent prospect back I would be amazed.
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | May 28, 2009 at 03:44 PM
I'll take the braves rotation in august and september as the best. they'll go Lowe, JJ, Hudson,Hanson, Kawakami(i think vasquez will end up being dealt and i'm not banking on glavine being back)
Posted by: bravoboy10 | May 28, 2009 at 03:52 PM
Recall that Carlos Lee took a smaller offer from Houston rather than play in San Francisco. Although IMO he'd be a great match in SF (if only he played MI) I put the odds at about 2%.
Posted by: fijis | May 28, 2009 at 03:52 PM
So Barry Zito is one of the best pitchers in baseball now because he once won a Cy Young award? If that is what is being implied, that is absurd.
Posted by: MickS | May 28, 2009 at 03:54 PM
This is unrelated I know but just out of curiosity where would you rank JJ among top pitchers to build around, not top in the game but as a guy to build around, right now. He is only 23, 4-2 this year with a 2.07era(if you watch braves games u know he should be 8-1) and his career line goes 20-13 3.44era in 48 starts
Posted by: bravoboy10 | May 28, 2009 at 03:58 PM
And yet, with that "best rotation in baseball" the Giants have, they can't beat anybody but the Braves.
They have no offense. You can't outpitch people every game of the year.
Posted by: unbiasedhomer | May 28, 2009 at 04:01 PM
There is a very big difference between four people who have won Cy Youngs, and four people who are capable of winning Cy Youngs. If the Giants traded for Peavy, they would have two of the later. Its laughable to mention present day Johnson and Zito as positives in a rotation purported to be the best in baseball.
Posted by: seanbergmanrules | May 28, 2009 at 04:08 PM
"Recall that Carlos Lee took a smaller offer from Houston rather than play in San Francisco. Although IMO he'd be a great match in SF (if only he played MI) I put the odds at about 2%."
Isn't it freaking insane that Carlos Lee received an offer worth MORE than 6/100?
"A trade for Cliff Lee would strip the best out of the Philly's farm system. Think Dominic Brown, Kyle Drabek and Julian Sampson as a minimum. Lee's salary is cheap and he's not a free agent till 2011."
I doubt that the Phillies would be willing to include both Brown and Drabek, probably their two players with the highest ceilings, in the same deal, especially for a guy like Lee.
Obviously Cleveland would want young pitching, as they already have a massive stable of young positional talent in the system.
My guess is that the deal would look something like this:
Lee to the Phillies
For
One of Carrasco and Drabek
One of Donald and Taylor
And two from the group of Savery, Happ, Bastardo, and Worley.
Then again, I'm not really sure what the Philadelphia organization thinks of Drabek and Brown, and they're far enough away that their opinion of them could be lower.
Posted by: scribbletone | May 28, 2009 at 04:11 PM
IMO, Peavy's going to be traded to one of 3 teams: the Cubs, Angels or Dodgers.
I don't see the Angels as a realistic fit because once Escobar comes back, they will stacked with a rotation of Lackey, Santana, Weaver, Saunders and Escobar. They'll even have Palmer in AAA in reserve, who has pitched ok for them.
In regards to the Cubs, my understanding is they first need to get an okay from new ownership to take on Peavy's salary before they could even negotiate and I am not sure when that ownership transition is finalized OR if new ownership would want to take on Peavy's salary.
Plus, the Cubs are not particulary short on starters as it is.
Meanwhile, the Dodgers are aggressively looking for a starter, have the prospects to deal for Peavy and have the payroll room to accomodate him.
I think the Padres get desperate at the trade deadline to unload Peavy and deal him to the Dodgers for 4 or 5 prospects.
Probably a deal centered around James McDonald, Scott Elbert, Chin-lung Hu and probably another low level starting pitching prospect.
Once Moorad puts the ultimatum out to Towers to trade Peavy, Towers will be forced to take the best offer available and I don't see any of the other teams on Peavy's list being desperate enough to come even close to my proposed offer.
Padres get 2 or 3 starting pitching prospects and the infield prospect they want.
Seems pretty logical to me.
Then on Aug. 1 the Dodgers can unveil their new rotation of:
RHP Peavy
LHP Kershaw
RHP Billingsley
LHP Wolf
RHP Kuroda
Maybe they also add another reliever and then the Dodgers are really in business!
Posted by: Die-Hard Dodger Fan | May 28, 2009 at 04:13 PM
It is obvious that Peavy does not want to pitch in a hitters park. So I assume Philly is out of the question.
I think he stays. Unless the Padres are willing to take a crappy offer for him, example being the Chi Sox offer.
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | May 28, 2009 at 04:30 PM
http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/parkfactor?sort=runsFactor&season=2009
Posted by: bkoke | May 28, 2009 at 04:39 PM
"Probably a deal centered around James McDonald, Scott Elbert, Chin-lung Hu and probably another low level starting pitching prospect."
When you consider the fact that the Dodgers play in the same division as San Diego, I would expect them to want much more in a deal than that.
My guess is that the Dodgers would want McDonald, Lindblom/Elbert, Lambo/DeJesus and a fourth solid prospect on top of that, with the quality of the prospect depending on which other players the Padres choose to have in the offer.
"I think he stays. Unless the Padres are willing to take a crappy offer for him, example being the Chi Sox offer."
Yeah, even as someone who roots for the Sox, I thought that was a pretty poor offer for San Diego. Poreda is a great arm, but there's a decent chance that he ends up in the bullpen, and Richard's upside is fairly limited.
I think that in the end, San Diego probably will end up with less than they particularly want for Peavy.
Posted by: scribbletone | May 28, 2009 at 04:44 PM
zito has been respectable this year. he has an era right around 4 and is averaging 6ip per start. He and Lincecum just need to switch contracts and then all would be even
Posted by: bravoboy10 | May 28, 2009 at 04:50 PM
If Carlos Lee wants to remain with the doormat Astros, that's his defect.
If Jake Peavy wants to get traded to the doormat Astros instead of a true contender like the Reds, then that's his defect too.
Posted by: BigRedOne | May 28, 2009 at 04:50 PM
the deal he offered, that would get accepted IF the cubs cant make a trade, Peavy still wont go to the AL and the ownership says get rid of him. The first deal is at least a good starting point. The deal you offered would be too much. We give up Mcdonald, agreed. If it was Lindblom, i feel he is the 3rd best pitching prospect behind McDonald and Withrow(Martin is too young to be in this catergory yet, even though im excited to see him grow). And Lambo/DeJesus are the top 2 non-pitching prospects in the system. given that we would have to face them 15-18 times a yr, the dodgers wouldnt give up that much.
A deal could look like this:
Peavy for McDonald, Elbert, Hu, and DeWitt.
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | May 28, 2009 at 04:52 PM
unbiasedhomer: And yet, with that "best rotation in baseball" the Giants have, they can't beat anybody but the Braves.
They have no offense. You can't outpitch people every game of the year.
Wrong on this comment there homer....the Giants have won 9 series..lost 5 and split 2.
You are right about the offense though, I would love to go get Cabrera from the Tigers. For all you people out there who think they don't have the $$, they do. The Giants have there own TV contract just like the Yanks, Red Sox, Cubs and Mets and are considered a "big market team". They have come out and said payroll isn't the problem ever, its finding the right pieces at the right price.
For the nucklehead who said the Giants wouldn't have the best SP in baseball with Peavy...you are absolutely nuts...don't talk about Zito either. He has the lowest run support in MLB for the last 2 yrs. (FACT!!) He's actually pitched this year very well. But don't worry, I think Peavy is going too stay with the Padres all season. If he went anywhere, I wouldn't count out the Cardinals as a possible destination.
DodgerFANS...get over yourself...Your team is not that good...don't talk crap about the Giants either....we've played 9 games with you so far and won 4 of the last 6. Remember over the past 2 years we've finished the season .500 against each other, so go eat crow!!! I said it in the beginning of the year and I'll say it now: Phillies vs. Red Sox in the World Series this year....the key for the Sox will be Smoltz coming back in June and the Phillies getting a SP for the stretch like they have the past 3 seasons (MOYER, LOHSE, BLANTON).
Posted by: sfgiantsfan | May 28, 2009 at 04:55 PM
"Yeah, even as someone who roots for the Sox, I thought that was a pretty poor offer for San Diego. Poreda is a great arm, but there's a decent chance that he ends up in the bullpen, and Richard's upside is fairly limited."
Eh sorry I should of not made that seem so negative. Poreda slings gas right at you, but I never saw him throw a decent breaking ball.
But yeah Towers must be in a really bad place right now, you know hes distraught about not taking the offers during this offseason.
"Probably a deal centered around James McDonald, Scott Elbert, Chin-lung Hu and probably another low level starting pitching prospect."
When you consider the fact that the Dodgers play in the same division as San Diego, I would expect them to want much more in a deal than that.
My guess is that the Dodgers would want McDonald, Lindblom/Elbert, Lambo/DeJesus and a fourth solid prospect on top of that, with the quality of the prospect depending on which other players the Padres choose to have in the offer."
I rather hold on to the kids and promote Lindblom, DFA Mota, and Begin to stretch out Troncoso.
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | May 28, 2009 at 04:58 PM
Your team is not that good"
Ah, did someone have their feelings hurt? Your team would have one of the best rotations, but it would mean crap without an offense. And 'looking for the right trade' will never happenif you arent willing to trade anything. Sanchez is not going to be a good pitcher. He COULD be, but has no idea how to throw the ball over the plate and gives up too many hits, not a good combo. Look, with a good, not great pitching staff, and an offense missing our best hitter, we are scoring more runs per game, have the best differential, and have gained multiple games on you since Manny went out. Stop whineing, all thats in your future is the lottery
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | May 28, 2009 at 05:01 PM
"For the nucklehead who said the Giants wouldn't have the best SP in baseball with Peavy...you are absolutely nuts..."
OMG.. Your so annoying.
Okay buddy if the Giants had the best staff in the league they would win the division.
The 88 Dodgers couldn't out hit a beer league softball team, and yet their Pitching and Defense carried that team.
"DodgerFANS...get over yourself...Your team is not that good..."
I assume you think your team is however?
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | May 28, 2009 at 05:08 PM
The Giants should trade Sanchez, Lewis and a prospect for Uggla.
Peavy as a Giant would be great but doesnt solve their biggest problem..they need a bat..
And they need it before the season is over. Im a believer in the Season should not be over in May. But the Dodgers just have a better lineup right now
Posted by: TripleHHH | May 28, 2009 at 05:28 PM
DodgerFANS...get over yourself...Your team is not that good...don't talk crap about the Giants either....we've played 9 games with you so far and won 4 of the last 6. Remember over the past 2 years we've finished the season .500 against each other, so go eat crow!!! I said it in the beginning of the year and I'll say it now: Phillies vs. Red Sox in the World Series this year....the key for the Sox will be Smoltz coming back in June and the Phillies getting a SP for the stretch like they have the past 3 seasons (MOYER, LOHSE, BLANTON).
Posted by: sfgiantsfan | May 28, 2009 at 04:55 PM
Yeah, you are so right. 33-15 is such a terrible record. I'm guessing you think with one big bat acquired that the Giants would be better? Not even close. The Dodgers are getting back Kuroda in a couple weeks (maybe sooner), which is the equivalent to a trade for a number 2 pitcher, then Manny back in a month, which is the power bat we have been lacking since he's been gone (duh).
THEN the Dodgers are still in the market for a big number 1 starting pitcher. That means someone the likes of Halladay (doubtful), Peavy, Oswalt, Lee, and I've heard Harang. If there is a deal pulled off without giving up any major leaguers, this team is going to be scary.
1. Furcal (the law of averages says he will get much better)
2. Hudson (should get a bit worse, but .300/.370/.450 is very doable)
3. Manny
4. Ethier (Im sure he goes back to 4 once Manny is back whether he is hitting or not)
5. Blake
6. Loney
7. Kemp
8. Martin
9. Pitcher
1. Billingsley
2. Kuroda
3. Wolf
4. Kershaw
5. Stults/Weaver/Milton
That rotation is even without a pitcher that the Dodgers are most undoubtely going to trade for. This doesnt necessarily mean a Peavy/Halladay/Oswalt, it could be a Harang type, which would be much better than Stults/Weaver/Milton.
SFGiantsFan, with the grammar you've used and your skewed and biased opinion on the Dodgers, your post was a bit of a joke.
Posted by: Ivdown | May 28, 2009 at 05:49 PM
The Giants should trade Sanchez, Lewis and a prospect for Uggla.
Peavy as a Giant would be great but doesnt solve their biggest problem..they need a bat..
And they need it before the season is over. Im a believer in the Season should not be over in May. But the Dodgers just have a better lineup right now
Posted by: TripleHHH | May 28, 2009 at 05:28 PM
Unless the Giants trade Cain for a big bat, Sanchez for an above average bat, and Bumgardner or Alderson with a couple other prospects for another big bat, the Giants will not have a better lineup than the Dodgers at any point this season. I find it hard to believe the Giants can/will have a better lineup than the Dodgers in the next 2 or so seasons.
That being said, I think the Giants have a better rotation than the Dodgers at the current point (when Kuroda comes back I'm not so sure), and if we trade for an ace I think that will swing to the Dodgers side.
Posted by: Ivdown | May 28, 2009 at 05:55 PM
"the deal he offered, that would get accepted IF the cubs cant make a trade, Peavy still wont go to the AL and the ownership says get rid of him. The first deal is at least a good starting point. The deal you offered would be too much. We give up Mcdonald, agreed. If it was Lindblom, i feel he is the 3rd best pitching prospect behind McDonald and Withrow(Martin is too young to be in this catergory yet, even though im excited to see him grow). And Lambo/DeJesus are the top 2 non-pitching prospects in the system. given that we would have to face them 15-18 times a yr, the dodgers wouldnt give up that much."
That's fair enough, I would understand if the Dodgers didn't want to make that kind of deal.
But I really think that it would take that kind of offer to get it done.
I really think it would take something like McDonald, Elbert, DeJesus/Lambo and fourth prospect.
I'll back off and say that you're right about Lindblom, I doubt that they deal both Lindblom and McDonald in the same deal.
But realistically, I don't see why the Pads would accept a McDonald, Elbert, Hu and DeWitt offer. That's some REALLYYYY limited upside..
Posted by: scribbletone | May 28, 2009 at 05:58 PM
Giants are in limbo land, can't hit a lick, but terrific pitching. Wouldn't spend a thin dime to fix obvious offensive problems, only signed Rent-a wreck, instead of going after bargain basement FA's like Dunn, Abreu etc.. Now paying obvious price that was glaring before the season began.
Uggla, Cantu are not going for Sanchez, it's going to cost an awful lot more than that, Fish have a rotation full of guys just like him already, only several years younger. They want uggla? better start with Sandoval.
Posted by: johns | May 28, 2009 at 06:01 PM
The Mets should really look into getting Adam Dunn from the nationals. In my opinion, this is a guy they should of signed in the off season. Yeah, he strikes out alot, but so does Ryan Howard and we all know how that ended up. By getting Dunn, put him in the outfield with Sheff and Beltran and keep Murphy at 1st base until Delgado comes back..
Reyes
Castillo
Beltran
Dunn
Wright
Sheffield
Murphy
Santos
Pitcher
When Delgado comes back
Reyes
Castillo
Beltran
Delgado
Wright
Dunn
Sheffield
Santos
Pitcher
That is a pretty stacked and formidable lineup
Posted by: Metsfanatic79 | May 28, 2009 at 06:04 PM
Sanchez and pitching prospect to the Bucs for Ad LaRoche ...
Posted by: enchinga | May 28, 2009 at 06:07 PM
I really think it would take something like McDonald, Elbert, DeJesus/Lambo and fourth prospect.
I'll back off and say that you're right about Lindblom, I doubt that they deal both Lindblom and McDonald in the same deal.
But realistically, I don't see why the Pads would accept a McDonald, Elbert, Hu and DeWitt offer. That's some REALLYYYY limited upside.."
I wouldnt call Elbert, DeWitt, and even McDonald limited upside. Elbert will be a great lefty reliever or at least a #3 lefty starter. He relieve well, but we are seeing if he can be a starter. McDonald can be either a #3 or another great late game reliever. His future, IMO, seems to be a starter, but he was dominate late last yr. DeWitt showed last yr what he CAN do in the majors at the start. As he gets more time under his belt, at the plate and at 2B, he can be a good player. He has a body type that scouts have said could project as a 20 HR player. a similar player to Kent, with less power, but better defense.
With your thought about the deal, i understand what you are saying. a deal with McDonald, Elbert, Hu, and Lambo should get it done. My guess is that that is the highest the dodgers would go, IMO
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | May 28, 2009 at 06:26 PM
I hate Andruw Jones. Sorry aboutthat.
I think the Dodgers are in need of a another shut down reliever.
So did Kuo's arm blow up again or what?
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | May 28, 2009 at 06:35 PM
"DodgerFANS...get over yourself...Your team is not that good...don't talk crap about the Giants either....we've played 9 games with you so far and won 4 of the last 6. Remember over the past 2 years we've finished the season .500 against each other, so go eat crow!!! "
Nice argument skills! I really enjoy the use of logic and proper grammer!
The point is that as of right now the Dodgers are in the conversation as one of the best teams in baseball. While the Giants are what they have been for the past handful of seasons, at best utterly average. They do have a good rotation (however, the Big Unit has been a bit of a dissapointment so far--very inconsistient, Sanchez is having terrible control issues, and Zito is pitching way over his own head right now), but they have problems in just about each and every category.
The bullpen is shaky, especially with Wilson's performance thus far (maybe its time for the mullet-hawk to go--just saying!), their defense has been less than average, and many other commentors have put the offense into perspective. All in all, the Giants will need to acquire at least 2 big bats (something like Holliday and Uggla) without losing any members of their starting rotation to be anything other than a .500 team.
Otherwise, this team will do exactly what it is doing now, losing too many 1 run games and remain at about the .500 mark. As of right now it is "highly illogical" (nod to the new Star Trek movie : )) to even mention the two teams in the same breath. That is unless you are discussing the 9 games that seperate them in the standings.
Posted by: cutmeibleedblue | May 28, 2009 at 06:35 PM
Hadn't realized Giant and Dodger fans still went at it like this..
All that is missing are Tito Fuentes, Strech McCovey, the Alou brothers in their prime added to the current Giant lineup and they could probably compete this year. Maybe Bobby Bonds if Ramirez comes back hot.
Posted by: johns | May 28, 2009 at 06:42 PM
'So did Kuo's arm blow up again or what?'
Kuo wasnt able to warm up multiple times. they shut him down with the elbow, but i know nothing else. they said he didnt blow it out, again, but it was the problem
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | May 28, 2009 at 06:49 PM
"Kuo wasnt able to warm up multiple times. they shut him down with the elbow, but i know nothing else. they said he didnt blow it out, again, but it was the problem
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | May 28, 2009 at 06:49 PM "
Thanks.
I saw that game where he threw it past the mound from the pen.
I never anything else about it.
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | May 28, 2009 at 07:05 PM
I will start this post off by setting the record straight and getting it out there before anyone can make any crazy ass assumptions… I am a Giants fan. Have been my whole life and will be my whole life…
With that out of the way, where do I begin?
I have heard many Giants and Dodgers fans bickering back and forth about who’s rotation is better and whether the Giants would have the lineup to compete for the West if they traded for a big bat. Here is my two cents.
Who has the better rotation?
The Giants, by 1 length, and I am not being biased. Let’s look at the structure of each staff. The Giants have a proven ace (Lincecum), the Dodgers do not. You could make the argument for Billingsly, but despite his great start to this season and amazing stats, he still hasn’t proven that he can handle the load of an ace for the entire season. The Giants have a veteran presence (Johnson) in the rotation to mentor and impart wisdom to the younger guns in the rotation while still providing good stats and providing wins, the Dodgers do not. I mean come on, are you seriously going to say that Jared Weaver or Randy Wolf are those guys? We’re not talking about Randy Wolf of the Wolf-Pack days here.
The Giants and Dodgers both have young, unpolished pitchers in Sanchez and Kershaw. Kershaw gets the edge because of his composure on the mound, but Sanchez has one of the highest swing-and-miss rates in baseball which gives him hope for the future and makes him a great trade prospect. Both teams have good pitchers that were once excellent pitchers in Zito and Wolf. Wolf is still the same pitcher he was when he was throwing for the Astros and Zito has been beyond awful thus far through his contract, but if any body out there saw him throw every inning that he has thrown this year, you would see a COMPLETELY different pitcher than the Giants had the last two years. He is establishing his fastball (or lack there of) on the inside corner and has the snap to his curve that got him the Cy Young in Oakland. Given he is 1-5, but as someone stated before he does have the lowest run support in the majors. Then that leaves 2 pitchers for the Dodgers (Kuroda and Weaver) and 1 for the Giants, (Cain). As far as I’m concerned, Kuroda is just another Japanese import that has a smooth deliver, great mechanics and excellent control. The downfall of that is that he is a niche pitcher… nothing more. He will get 10-15 wins a year and have an ERA around 4, but he will have numerous starts during each season where he gets his tits lit because of a lack of control. Weaver is Weaver. He throws up that side arm sinker, gets people out, but if his stuff isn’t on he is gas on the fire. With that being said, both of them are excellent for the rotation the Dodgers have. Kuroda will get you quality starts and plenty of great outings, and Weaver is a very acceptable number 5.
The thing that sets apart these two excellent pitching staffs is Cain. He has Cy Young stuff, and is starting to show it consistently this year. I once saw a baseball tonight episode a year or 2 back where Peter Gammons was given a choice of what pitcher to build a staff around and he said Cain (fact). He has thrown two 1-hitters in his short career (one at Wrigley and one at home) and what most people don’t realize is that he is the YOUNGEST pitcher on the staff.
Like any true blooded fan, I am biased, but you can’t deny the fact that the Giants have a better staff than the Dodgers, even if it is just by a little bit.
Can the Giants win the West with another bat?
….This conversation is over
The only way the Giants win the west is if the Dodgers plane crashes into the Hollywood hills or their offense somehow discovers the fountain of offense. The Dodgers lineup is disgustingly good. Casey Blake is the number 8 hitter for Christ sake. Not to mention they had the best offseason signing in the majors with Orlando Cabrera. The Giants will have to wait until Buster Posey, Angel Villiona and Connor Gillespie come up, or they sign at least 2 more bats before they can compete with the offense the Dodgers have put on the field.
I do feel that the Giants can make the playoffs though if their pitching holds up and they get a bat. You never know how the wildcard will turn out. If I had to bet my life savings on them making the playoffs, I absolutely would not… but crazier stuff has happened.
Posted by: Bafaa B Bojangles | May 28, 2009 at 07:06 PM
Bafaa B Bojangles that was one the most biased comments I have seen on this site.
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | May 28, 2009 at 07:26 PM
"Who has the better rotation?
The Giants, by 1 length, and I am not being biased. Let’s look at the structure of each staff. The Giants have a proven ace (Lincecum), the Dodgers do not. You could make the argument for Billingsly, but despite his great start to this season and amazing stats, he still hasn’t proven that he can handle the load of an ace for the entire season. The Giants have a veteran presence (Johnson) in the rotation to mentor and impart wisdom to the younger guns in the rotation while still providing good stats and providing wins, the Dodgers do not. I mean come on, are you seriously going to say that Jared Weaver or Randy Wolf are those guys? We’re not talking about Randy Wolf of the Wolf-Pack days here.
The Giants and Dodgers both have young, unpolished pitchers in Sanchez and Kershaw. Kershaw gets the edge because of his composure on the mound, but Sanchez has one of the highest swing-and-miss rates in baseball which gives him hope for the future and makes him a great trade prospect. Both teams have good pitchers that were once excellent pitchers in Zito and Wolf. Wolf is still the same pitcher he was when he was throwing for the Astros and Zito has been beyond awful thus far through his contract, but if any body out there saw him throw every inning that he has thrown this year, you would see a COMPLETELY different pitcher than the Giants had the last two years. He is establishing his fastball (or lack there of) on the inside corner and has the snap to his curve that got him the Cy Young in Oakland. Given he is 1-5, but as someone stated before he does have the lowest run support in the majors. Then that leaves 2 pitchers for the Dodgers (Kuroda and Weaver) and 1 for the Giants, (Cain). As far as I’m concerned, Kuroda is just another Japanese import that has a smooth deliver, great mechanics and excellent control. The downfall of that is that he is a niche pitcher… nothing more. He will get 10-15 wins a year and have an ERA around 4, but he will have numerous starts during each season where he gets his tits lit because of a lack of control. Weaver is Weaver. He throws up that side arm sinker, gets people out, but if his stuff isn’t on he is gas on the fire. With that being said, both of them are excellent for the rotation the Dodgers have. Kuroda will get you quality starts and plenty of great outings, and Weaver is a very acceptable number 5.
The thing that sets apart these two excellent pitching staffs is Cain. He has Cy Young stuff, and is starting to show it consistently this year. I once saw a baseball tonight episode a year or 2 back where Peter Gammons was given a choice of what pitcher to build a staff around and he said Cain (fact). He has thrown two 1-hitters in his short career (one at Wrigley and one at home) and what most people don’t realize is that he is the YOUNGEST pitcher on the staff.
Like any true blooded fan, I am biased, but you can’t deny the fact that the Giants have a better staff than the Dodgers, even if it is just by a little bit."
Oh, where do i begin? Billingsley is an ace. Yes he is, dont say he isnt. In the last 2 yrs(and this one), he has been 12-5, 16-10, and 6-2. he has had an ERA+ of 142.3. Lincecum's has been 141. Billingsley has a better so/bb ratio. Billingsley last 3 seasons ERA have been 3.31, 3.14, 2.82. Lincecums has been 4.00, 2.62, 3.03. Billingsley has had better stats, and he is a year younger.
Johnson is a great person to mentor young lefties, as is Zito. As is Randy Wolf. He is having an amazing season and Kershaw has said he has had numerous conversations about pitching and getting advice from Wolf. Wolf has had 7 no decisons, tied for the league lead. His ERA+ is 144, with his ERA is 3.02. He is a great fit for the dodgers.
Please dont start with Zito having found his nich. he is 1-5, and we know he has no run support. However, his ERA is 4.02, his ERA+ is 111, and his SO/BB ratio is 1.54, with about 6 K/9, but 4 BB/9. he is no longer a good pitcher.
Weaver is not our 5th starter. He is pitching because McDonald couldnt handle it yet, and Kuroda got injured. He is our bullpen guy, who has made 2 starts. He is a much better middle reliever than starter. Also, we have Jeff, not Jered. If we had Jered, we would have a second ace.
Kuroda is just as good as Cain, with Cain having the chance to become better because of age. However, Kuroda had a 3.73ERA, 2 CG, a 114ERA+, he walked only 2.1/9, with a 2.76 SO/BB ratio. Cain had 3.76 ERA, 1 CG, a 116 ERA+, 3.8BB/9, and a 2.04 SO/BB ration. his WHIP was 1.364, Kuroda's was 1.216. I didnt include W/L because both had bad ones, partly because of lack of run support.
We didnt sign Orlando Cabrera, we signed Orlando Hudson, very different.
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | May 28, 2009 at 07:35 PM
The only way the Giants win the west is if the Dodgers plane crashes into the Hollywood hills or their offense somehow discovers the fountain of offense. The Dodgers lineup is disgustingly good. Casey Blake is the number 8 hitter for Christ sake. Not to mention they had the best offseason signing in the majors with Orlando Cabrera. The Giants will have to wait until Buster Posey, Angel Villiona and Connor Gillespie come up, or they sign at least 2 more bats before they can compete with the offense the Dodgers have put on the field.
I do feel that the Giants can make the playoffs though if their pitching holds up and they get a bat. You never know how the wildcard will turn out. If I had to bet my life savings on them making the playoffs, I absolutely would not… but crazier stuff has happened.
Posted by: Bafaa B Bojangles | May 28, 2009 at 07:06 PM
Just a couple things here. It's Jeff not Jared Weaver (I wish it was the other way around), and it was Orlando Hudson not Orlando Cabrera.
I didn't actually read the whole thing, but I agree with you on the argument that the Giants pitching staff overall is better than the Dodgers. That also being said, Wolf is better than people think, Kershaw has had 2 terrible starts that killed his numbers, and has otherwise been completely dominant, Kuroda has only had 1 start and is coming back soon (will help greatly), and Billingsley had the numbers last season that of an ace, and this season is just reassuring last year's numbers.
Posted by: Ivdown | May 28, 2009 at 07:41 PM
i'm a giants fan who's not into splitting hairs. anyone who understands the concept of a win-loss record knows that the dodgers are the best team in baseball. it's not arguable. and pointless, giants fans, to worry if our roto is better than theirs. it's REALLY GOOD--and that's all that matters. dodger fan, i hate your team, and i hate that it's a contender. because it is a contender (fact). the giants need to focus on 2010. there's no reason to shoot high this year, when, if Sabean makes the right moves between now and Feb 2010, SF could have more than an outside shot at October. and an outside shot is something the giants dont have now, and wont have, unless they decide to empty the farm system. think about it: is one big bat going to turn burris, rowand, and lewis into clutch playoff-calibre hitters? whatever happens happens, but i, for one, want to watch posey, villalona, bumgarner, alderson, and all the rest play on 3rd street, and not for someone else.
p.s. sanchez should be dealt though.
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 07:58 PM
paulcbarrera
I'm with you on the philosophy of going for the future. To tell the truth, the players in the Giants farm scare me. The possibility of a pitching staff of Lincecum, Cain, Alderson, Bumgardner, Zito/Sanchez in a couple years scares the hell out of me. Then you've got bats like Posey, Villalona, Gillespie, etc...
I'm just glad the Dodgers have such a good young core of players, with a few key guys getting ready in the farm (Lambo, Martin, Lindblom, Dejesus, etc...) that will be able to compete with the Giants down the road.
Posted by: Ivdown | May 28, 2009 at 08:04 PM
I usually like to get in these arguments but honestly the Dodgers as much as I hate to say it are one of the best teams in baseball if not the best.
the only hope I have for the Giants this year is the Wild Card and we are only 3 1/2 games back so it could happen if we still add a power bat.
as for the whole pitching argument
Lincecum is better than Billingsley
Cain is better than Kuroda
Kershaw is better than Johnson
Wolf is better than Zito but he has been good
Sanchez is better than whoever their 5th starter is
Posted by: Bleacher_bum_SF | May 28, 2009 at 08:11 PM
i cant believe i agree with a dodger fan.
but Ivdown is right, if not a little biased, in calling for an SF concession in 2009. im not calling for a firesale, just a "next year" philosophy that avoids hasty trades a la shea hillenbrand and mike stanton.
of course Sabean and Boch and everyone else want a ring in 09. so does Pittsburgh. money isn't an issue--SF can follow the 2001 diamondback model and go out and buy just ONE ring. look at AZ now.
meanwhile, the idea of seeing kids who are home grown dominate in orange and black isn't just a dream by the bay anymore--it's literally less than a few years away. it's a fair certainty that posey will see at LEAST AAA ball this year.
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 08:12 PM
I usually like to get in these arguments but honestly the Dodgers as much as I hate to say it are one of the best teams in baseball if not the best.
the only hope I have for the Giants this year is the Wild Card and we are only 3 1/2 games back so it could happen if we still add a power bat.
as for the whole pitching argument
Lincecum is better than Billingsley
Cain is better than Kuroda
Kershaw is better than Johnson
Wolf is better than Zito but he has been good
Sanchez is better than whoever their 5th starter is
Posted by: Bleacher_bum_SF | May 28, 2009 at 08:11 PM
Lol, you say Sanchez is better than anyone we might have without even knowing. I would say stults is our 5th guy when Kuroda gets back, and I'd be willing to bet Stults has done better than Sanchez so far this season.
I would agree Lincecum>Billingsley, but its so much closer than anyone thinks. I mean Giant fans, really take a look at Billingsley's stats. He is a bonifide stud.
Cain has been very good this season, and I'd give the edge to him over Kuroda, but as said earlier in here, Kuroda's 08 was just as good if not slightly better than Cain's 08.
Zito is pitching well so far, but Wolf is having a really nice season.
Kershaw has been dominant in all but 4 starts, where, in those starts, he was shelled in colorado, shelled in Houston, hit hard in Philly, and yesterday's start where he gave up 3 in colorado. I just wish he pitched at home all the time, he would be insane, haha.
And with just checking Stults vs. Sanchez, both have been about average (101 ERA+ to 97 ERA+ in the order posted), but then both with over 1.500 whips (ouch).
I think I said it before the season started that the Giants might have the best rotation in the NL, and maybe baseball. I still think they have top 3.
Posted by: Ivdown | May 28, 2009 at 08:27 PM
billingsley is a bona fide stud. without a cy young.
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 08:30 PM
Kershaws ERA is 4.34, so dont claim that hes anywhere near Matt Cain"
take away 2 starts, one in Houston and one in Colorado, then his ERA is more like 3.50
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | May 28, 2009 at 08:33 PM
Also, please dont mistake 6 starts his first yr or 9 starts this yr in saying that he has posted an ERA at 2
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | May 28, 2009 at 08:34 PM
"Lol, you say Sanchez is better than anyone we might have without even knowing. I would say stults is our 5th guy when Kuroda gets back, and I'd be willing to bet Stults has done better than Sanchez so far this season.
Posted by: Ivdown | May 28, 2009 at 08:27 PM"
I know who you guys have. i said whoever because you guys have used like 3 different guys in that spot this year. whoever meaning weaver/stults/milton etc. im sure Estes will be up sometime too lol
Posted by: Bleacher_bum_SF | May 28, 2009 at 08:36 PM
billingsley is a bona fide stud. without a cy young.
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 08:30 PM
Lol. Barry Zito has a Cy Young. Randy Johnson has like 5. Are either of them ace pitchers right now? Nnnnnooopeeeee.
Posted by: Ivdown | May 28, 2009 at 08:37 PM
"billingsley is a bona fide stud. without a cy young.
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 08:30 PM
Lol. Barry Zito has a Cy Young. Randy Johnson has like 5. Are either of them ace pitchers right now? Nnnnnooopeeeee.
Posted by: Ivdown | May 28, 2009 at 08:37 PM"
nobody ever said they were ace pitchers right now
Posted by: Bleacher_bum_SF | May 28, 2009 at 08:46 PM
all i'm saying is that lincecum and billingsley, the "aces" of the two rotations, aren't just separated by a little bit. it's a cy young. don't worry about what Zito did, because it was a few years back. it's not relevant now. what's relevant is that lincecum's the defending NL Cy (fact). billingsley has zero cys (fact). it's not really up for argument who's better. Lincecum has the hardware, billingsley doesn't. sabermetricize all you want.
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 08:53 PM
In August the Braves will probably have the best pitching staff in baseball, but that's considering JJ will continue pitching well and that Hanson won't be a bust.
Posted by: Tito'sCousin | May 28, 2009 at 08:54 PM
"billingsley is a bona fide stud. without a cy young.
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 08:30 PM
Lol. Barry Zito has a Cy Young. Randy Johnson has like 5. Are either of them ace pitchers right now? Nnnnnooopeeeee.
Posted by: Ivdown | May 28, 2009 at 08:37 PM"
nobody ever said they were ace pitchers right now
Posted by: Bleacher_bum_SF | May 28, 2009 at 08:46 PM
I know, but he's implying Bills isn't as good because he doesn't have a Cy Young, which is just not true. Obviously Lincecum had a better 08, but Bills has been better (before about a week ago, i havent checked Lincecum since then) in 09, and has very similar career numbers.
Posted by: Ivdown | May 28, 2009 at 08:55 PM
all i'm saying is that lincecum and billingsley, the "aces" of the two rotations, aren't just separated by a little bit. it's a cy young. don't worry about what Zito did, because it was a few years back. it's not relevant now. what's relevant is that lincecum's the defending NL Cy (fact). billingsley has zero cys (fact). it's not really up for argument who's better. Lincecum has the hardware, billingsley doesn't. sabermetricize all you want.
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 08:53 PM
Are you kidding me? I mean seriously? Bartolo Colon has a Cy Young. Would you say he is better than Dan Haren? Better yet, would you say his 2005 Cy Young winning year is better than either of Haren's last 2 full seasons (07 or 08)?
You are the basest of fan if you think awards decide who is better than who, especially when not just talking about 1 year, and rather 3 years.
Would you say Derek Jeter is a great fielder because he has won gold gloves? If so, then dang.
Posted by: Ivdown | May 28, 2009 at 09:02 PM
hardware isn't important, i guess.
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 09:03 PM
These are the stats btwn Lincecum and Billz. The last 2 yrs and this one is included, as that is when they were both in the league at the same time:
Billingsley is an ace. Yes he is, dont say he isnt. In the last 2 yrs(and this one), he has been 12-5, 16-10, and 6-2. he has had an ERA+ of 142.3. Lincecum's has been 141. Billingsley has a better so/bb ratio. Billingsley last 3 seasons ERA have been 3.31, 3.14, 2.82. Lincecums has been 4.00, 2.62, 3.03. Billingsley has had better stats, and he is a year younger
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | May 28, 2009 at 09:04 PM
Just to clarify, I do believe Lincecum is better than Billingsley, but like I said earlier, it's MUCH closer than most people think.
Posted by: Ivdown | May 28, 2009 at 09:05 PM
i would say that Bartolo Colon was the best pitcher in 2005. only one other pitcher (the other Cy winner) was as good or better than Colon in 05. dont split hairs. who has the Cy TODAY? i know that past Cy's dont matter. but this is LAST year's Cy. Is Philly NOT the defending World Champ? Do they NOT have to be unseated? Or are they all of a sudden NOT the DEFENDING champs because the dodgers have the best 09 record?
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 09:05 PM
paulcbarrera: all the Cy means is that Lincecum was better in 2008. Unseating has nothing to do with it. It has nothing to do with present talent. Is Lincecum better? Yes. But it is very, very close. Any unbiased, hardcore fan will tell you this.
Posted by: seanbergmanrules | May 28, 2009 at 09:09 PM
W L ERA G GS CG SHO SV SVO IP H R ER HR HBP BB SO
29 11 3.14 68 67 2 1 0 0 438.2 363 165 153 24 10 168 499= Lincecum career
41 21 3.26 106 78 2 1 0 1 504.2 461 198 183 37 18 232 470= Billingsley career
not take take away anything from Billingsley, hes a real stud, but I think the numbers show Lincecum is better.
Not by much, dont throw a fit dodger fans
but Lincecum is better
they are the same age but Billingsley has been pitching a few seasons
last year was Tim's 1st season and he obviously made an immediate impact
Posted by: Bleacher_bum_SF | May 28, 2009 at 09:11 PM
i never said billingsley wasnt good or will never be good. hes hella good. hes cy young MATERIAL. there is an ESSENTIAL difference between cy young MATERIAL and cy young WINNERS. Lincecum has proven he can go beyond being Cy MATERIAL and be a WINNER. billingsley has seen october, he's got loads of legitmacy, stats et al., all to go along with an empty trophy cabinet. the point is that Lince is in a club that Billingsley isn't in yet.
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 09:12 PM
Johan Santana was better in 05 than Bartolo, he just happened to win 21 games while Santana did not win more than 20, and that really matters to the voters because you and they have the same mindset.
Did I ever say Billingsley should have the 08 Cy Young because he has done better this season than Lincecum? Your phillies analogy makes no sense.
Posted by: Ivdown | May 28, 2009 at 09:13 PM
I meant Lincecum's first Full season
Posted by: Bleacher_bum_SF | May 28, 2009 at 09:14 PM
john smith is the defending NL Cy Young. ryan clark is not, and has not yet won a Cy Young. who would you rather have?
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 09:19 PM
There is absolutely no difference between Cy Young material and Cy Young winners. It is entirely luck. If Billingsley had his season in a different year, he may have won the Cy Young. If Lincecum had his in a different year, he may not have. Its a cool trophy, but it doesn't mean anything beyond that you had a good season.
For a comparison, take a look at Roy Oswalts rookie stats. 14-3, 2.73 ERA. He didn't win the ROY though, because of Pujols. Now, that his rookie season was not as good as Jason Jennings? After all, Jennings has a ROY. Clearly, he was the better rookie, right?
Posted by: seanbergmanrules | May 28, 2009 at 09:21 PM
they are the same age but Billingsley has been pitching a few seasons
last year was Tim's 1st season and he obviously made an immediate impact"
look at the stats i put on, they show a much more equal playing field. It really doesnt matter who won the cy last yr. Lincecum is an AMAZING pitcher, but to say he is lengths ahead of Billingsley is, well, idiotic.
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | May 28, 2009 at 09:23 PM
W L ERA G GS CG SHO SV SVO IP H R ER HR HBP BB SO
29 11 3.14 68 67 2 1 0 0 438.2 363 165 153 24 10 168 499= Lincecum career
41 21 3.26 106 78 2 1 0 1 504.2 461 198 183 37 18 232 470= Billingsley career
not take take away anything from Billingsley, hes a real stud, but I think the numbers show Lincecum is better.
Not by much, dont throw a fit dodger fans
but Lincecum is better
they are the same age but Billingsley has been pitching a few seasons
last year was Tim's 1st season and he obviously made an immediate impact
Posted by: Bleacher_bum_SF | May 28, 2009 at 09:11 PM
This is actually Lincecum's 3rd season, as he had 150 innings pitched in 07. Billingsley had a similar situation (just half out of the bullpen and half as a starter both in 06 and 07), and 08 was Billingsley's first year as just a starting pitcher in the bullpen.
That doesn't mean anything, I was just letting you know.
Through the numbers you posted, Lincecum is better (which i have never disputed). But looking at those numbers, Bills is close in many of those categories, which is much of what I have been saying.
Posted by: Ivdown | May 28, 2009 at 09:26 PM
i never said billingsley wasnt good or will never be good. hes hella good. hes cy young MATERIAL. there is an ESSENTIAL difference between cy young MATERIAL and cy young WINNERS. Lincecum has proven he can go beyond being Cy MATERIAL and be a WINNER. billingsley has seen october, he's got loads of legitmacy, stats et al., all to go along with an empty trophy cabinet. the point is that Lince is in a club that Billingsley isn't in yet.
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 09:12 PM
If you are talking just literally about awards, then sure, I'm with you. I just hope you do not think awards=better, reguardless of player.
Posted by: Ivdown | May 28, 2009 at 09:27 PM
john smith is the defending NL Cy Young. ryan clark is not, and has not yet won a Cy Young. who would you rather have?
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 09:19 PM
You are going just off of awards, which doesn't tell anything. The writers get awards wrong all the time.
You have to include stats to make any kind of comparison. The fact alone that one has the best pitcher award (which is subjective to the writers, I might have voted for Santana last year, he just got screwed by his bullpen) and one doesn't means nothing.
Posted by: Ivdown | May 28, 2009 at 09:29 PM
I meant Lincecum's first Full season
Posted by: Bleacher_bum_SF | May 28, 2009 at 09:14 PM
Ah ok, I said something about that before I saw you post this.
Posted by: Ivdown | May 28, 2009 at 09:30 PM
if billingsley won last year's CY, id be saying the same thing about him that im saying about lince. in 2010, lince's award isnt relevant. but as for now, hes the king of NL pitchers--maybe he's already on his way down--but as for now, the fact that HE'S who every ace is gunning for is inarguable.
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 09:31 PM
paulcbarrera
I don't mean to say you are ignorant or anything, but other people have given good examples of awards being almost meaningless. That's not to say Lincecum didn't deserve last years Cy Young, or that he wasn't the best pitcher in the NL. Lincecum was one of the 2 best pitchers in the NL last year (I liked Santana better, but that's most likely the bias of being a Dodger fan), and has an amazing future.
Just don't tell me Lincecum is better than anyone because of an award.
Posted by: Ivdown | May 28, 2009 at 09:35 PM
lincecum is better than billingsley because he's a giant.
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 09:46 PM
and i dont need the stats, because you already posted them. look at your own post for the numbers. and we dont know who will end up better in 09. all you need to know is that bills was an also ran last year and, if he's cy-less this year, he'll again be an also ran. unless he wins the ring.
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 09:50 PM
It's so hard to take you seriously because I believe you actually believe everything you say.
Posted by: Ivdown | May 28, 2009 at 09:52 PM
"ncecum is better than billingsley because he's a giant.
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 09:46 PM "
You really didn't say that?
Colon had no business winning in 05, and I really like the Angels.
Oh btw the only thing that matters at the of the season is if your in the playoffs.
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | May 28, 2009 at 09:56 PM
your guy needs a cy.
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 09:58 PM
lincecum is better than billingsley because he's a giant.
and i dont need the stats, because you already posted them. look at your own post for the numbers. and we dont know who will end up better in 09. all you need to know is that bills was an also ran last year and, if he's cy-less this year, he'll again be an also ran. unless he wins the ring.
These last 2 posts were just dumb. stop posting, you are SOOO biased, its not even close
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | May 28, 2009 at 09:59 PM
661dodgers, this is the latest update for Kuo on MLB.com. its on the post about Kuroda
Hong-Chih Kuo is continuing his recovery from more elbow problems at the club's Arizona complex with mixed results and there is no timetable for a Minor League assignment.
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | May 28, 2009 at 10:03 PM
yeah, im biased, guy whose handle is lakersdodgersyankees4life.
all-star starter, cy young, these are all like IBO or WBF titles. if you have one, youre a titlist, and could possibly be the best pound for pound. im pointing out that bills isnt even a titlist.
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 10:03 PM
yea, im from NY, was born and raised a yankee fan, then i moved out to LA in 2000. I couldnt get NYY games, so i started watching dodger games, and my friends got me into basketball. Look at my posts, all they do is point out your and other SFG inaccuracies, and supporting my claims with facts. your argurments are that you have more CYs in your rotation, big woop, and Lincecum is Godly because he won last yrs CY. the people who vote on the CY are writers. Not players, not coaches, etc.
Once again, is he an amazing pitcher, yes. is he light years ahead of Billingsley, hell no
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | May 28, 2009 at 10:22 PM
your guy needs a cy.
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 09:58 PM
and your guy needs a position player that can hit his way out of a paper bag.
You say Lince is better than Billingsley because he's a Giant is as dumb as me saying Jimmy Rollins is as good as hanely Ramirez because he's a phillie. haha. NO.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | May 28, 2009 at 10:31 PM
lince better b.c. hes a giant was a joke, trying to lighten the mood, whatever.
i dont deny what you say about bills or lince or awards. just dont diminish that lince was the winner just because of the flawed system--its not his fault the writers ride hype or that the giants lineup sucks. he goes out and performs, just like bills. the cy is not the most important factor in determining who the best pitcher is between pitcher A and pitcher B, but to go so far as to say that it doesnt matter at all in comparing pitchers is an oversight, since only the best pitchers compete for the award, awkward system or no.
lincecum is currently clearly better between the two because lince has put up cy young numbers for a team that has averaged around 70 wins a season since his promotion, while bills has put up similar numbers with a clearly superior team.
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 10:50 PM
I haven't looked at the stats but I'm sure part of the reason the dodgers pitching is doing so well JUST MIGHT have something to do w/ the run support they receive. We all know the Giants staff gets as close to zero as possible in this category (as most of you know this has a large impact mentally for the pitching staff and hugely affects game situations). I understand a coupe of the dodger pitchers are studs, I've seen 'em pitch for a while now, but if you tell me you wouldn't like to trade staffs, well... you'd be lying.
Posted by: standtallyourgiants | May 28, 2009 at 11:01 PM
I haven't looked at the stats but I'm sure part of the reason the dodgers pitching is doing so well JUST MIGHT have something to do w/ the run support they receive. We all know the Giants staff gets as close to zero as possible in this category (as most of you know this has a large impact mentally for the pitching staff and hugely affects game situations). I understand a coupe of the dodger pitchers are studs, I've seen 'em pitch for a while now, but if you tell me you wouldn't like to trade staffs, well... you'd be lying.
Posted by: standtallyourgiants | May 28, 2009 at 11:01 PM
ERA has nothing to do with run support. If you wanted to say because the Dodgers have the best defense in baseball this season, and the Giants have a pretty dang bad defense, then you might have a very good point.
And I would much rather have the Dodgers staff with the potential for us bringing in an ace pitcher in the next month or two. That and the fact I don't like any of the Giant's starting pitchers in the slightest, but that's my bias showing :P
Posted by: Ivdown | May 28, 2009 at 11:05 PM
standtall, the dodgers are winning because we have 2 lock down relievers, have scored more runs w/o manny than with him and we have the greatest run differential. Now, our offense has helped in 1/2 of that, but our pitchers have been making the pitches when they need to.
These are your quotes, i wanna prove a point:
hardware isn't important, i guess.
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 09:03 PM
i never said billingsley wasnt good or will never be good. hes hella good. hes cy young MATERIAL. there is an ESSENTIAL difference between cy young MATERIAL and cy young WINNERS. Lincecum has proven he can go beyond being Cy MATERIAL and be a WINNER. billingsley has seen october, he's got loads of legitmacy, stats et al., all to go along with an empty trophy cabinet. the point is that Lince is in a club that Billingsley isn't in yet.
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 09:12 PM
lincecum is better than billingsley because he's a giant.
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 09:46 PM
and i dont need the stats, because you already posted them. look at your own post for the numbers. and we dont know who will end up better in 09. all you need to know is that bills was an also ran last year and, if he's cy-less this year, he'll again be an also ran. unless he wins the ring.
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 09:50 PM
your guy needs a cy.
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 09:58 PM
yeah, im biased, guy whose handle is lakersdodgersyankees4life.
all-star starter, cy young, these are all like IBO or WBF titles. if you have one, youre a titlist, and could possibly be the best pound for pound. im pointing out that bills isnt even a titlist.
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 10:03 PM
lince better b.c. hes a giant was a joke, trying to lighten the mood, whatever.
i dont deny what you say about bills or lince or awards. just dont diminish that lince was the winner just because of the flawed system--its not his fault the writers ride hype or that the giants lineup sucks. he goes out and performs, just like bills. the cy is not the most important factor in determining who the best pitcher is between pitcher A and pitcher B, but to go so far as to say that it doesnt matter at all in comparing pitchers is an oversight, since only the best pitchers compete for the award, awkward system or no.
lincecum is currently clearly better between the two because lince has put up cy young numbers for a team that has averaged around 70 wins a season since his promotion, while bills has put up similar numbers with a clearly superior team.
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 10:50 PM
So within 1:47, you changed you stance about 4 times. pick a side, is it important or not...
Posted by: lakersdodgersyankees4life | May 28, 2009 at 11:11 PM
my point is that whether any of us SAY or THINK who wins the cy is important, the fact is that EVERY YEAR THERE IS A WINNER, and that man is generally a TOP PERFORMER.
Why does it matter so much that Bills be Lincecum's utter equal? Bills was a top performer last year, near a true Cy worth season, and he's got what it takes. but again, having what it takes does not equate to achieving. lincecum has already crossed this threshold, as far as a cy young award is concerned. person A might say that the award is insignificant, while person B thinks the award is the gospel. that doesnt change that lincecum has achieved something on the individual level that bills has not. bills has seen october with the help of a great team and front office, and may well be a world champion come oct 2009. but TODAY, lincecum, because he puts up numbers on a Cy Young level for a non-playoff team, is the better individual performer. bills does the same, but with the support of the rest of LA's arsenal. Lincecum IS the arsenal when he's on the mound.
Posted by: paulcbarrera | May 28, 2009 at 11:28 PM