Playoff Odds Update

It's been a while since we last checked in on the playoff odds. Lots of teams say they expect to contend, but let's take a look at which teams have fallen out of the pennant race. These clubs have less than a 10% chance of making the playoffs, according to Baseball Prospectus

  • Reds – 4.5%
  • Astros – 4.4%
  • Blue Jays – 2.8%
  • Pirates - 0.9% 
  • Royals – 0.8% 
  • Indians – 0.5% 
  • Diamondbacks – 0.3%  
  • Athletics – 0.3% 
  • Orioles – 0.0%    
  • Padres – 0.0% 
  • Nationals – 0.0% 

None of these teams are close and eight of them have less than a 1% chance. It would take a surprisingly good second half for one of these clubs to make the playoffs, but that doesn't mean the Reds and Astros are sellers, since they're close enough to contention that firesales would be tough to justify to the fans.


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