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Archives for September 2010

Arbitration Eligibles: Los Angeles Angels

By Tim Dierkes | September 27, 2010 at 9:54am CDT

The arbitration eligibles series is back with a vengeance.  Today we look at the Angels players who will be eligible for arbitration after the season…

  • First time: Kendry Morales, Kevin Frandsen, Alberto Callaspo
  • Second time: Jered Weaver, Erick Aybar, Howie Kendrick, Jeff Mathis, Reggie Willits
  • Third time: Mike Napoli

Frandsen played well in his first 100 or so Angels plate appearances, but his work since then could get him non-tendered.  Callaspo could be cut loose if the Angels prefer not to bump him up to $1MM.  It might be a similar story for Willits.  Mathis could be non-tendered after another abysmal offensive showing, though the Angels would have a case for keeping his salary at $1.3MM or even cutting his pay.

Weaver, a Scott Boras client, is primed for big bucks – he leads all pitchers this year with 229 strikeouts.  You won't find too many cases like Weaver, as most young pitchers this good are locked up.  He could jump past $7MM.  Morales has bad timing – he had his huge year in '09 but broke his leg in May of this year.  He should still find a $3MM salary.

Aybar will get a raise on this year's $2.05MM, but his poor offensive 2010 should limit the increase.  Kendrick, already at $1.75MM, set career highs in runs, RBIs, and steals.  It's not a perfect comparable, but maybe he'll fall around Clint Barmes' $3.3MM.

Napoli could be in the position Mark Teahen, Jeremy Hermida, and Matt Lindstrom were last year – traded before the non-tender deadline.  He's got 92 home runs under his belt after five seasons and already earns $3.6MM.  Most backstops with Napoli's abilities are locked up; he could make over $5MM next year.  Granted Napoli has only 406 career games behind the dish, and more time at first base this year, but his agent Brian Grieper can probably position him as a catcher for an arbitration hearing.

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Arbitration Eligibles Los Angeles Angels

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Free Agent Stock Watch: Hisanori Takahashi

By Tim Dierkes | September 27, 2010 at 8:15am CDT

When the Mets signed lefty Hisanori Takahashi in February, his recent stats in Japan described him as a flyball/command pitcher who could fill a swingman role.  The screwballer's Mets deal came with a $1MM guarantee and $2MM in performance bonuses.  The Pirates, Orioles, Dodgers, Red Sox, Giants, and Padres also expressed interest in Takahashi.

According to David Waldstein of the New York Times, Takahashi's contract includes a provision allowing him to declare free agency on October 31st, creating "a four-week window in which the Mets have exclusive negotiation rights."  Typically the free agent filing period begins the day after the World Series with an exclusive window for teams for fifteen days.  That'd make the filing date between November 1st and November 5th.  The wrinkle: ESPN's Jayson Stark recently wrote that the annual filing, arbitration, and tender dates will be moved up this year.  Allowing players to file before or during the World Series seems unlikely, however, and Takahashi's unique situation is confusing as well.  We'll seek clarification on both fronts.

GM Omar Minaya told Waldstein he hopes to work out a new contract with Takahashi, although keep in mind that Minaya might not last that long at the team's helm.  Takahashi told ESPN's Adam Rubin he likes New York and plans to finish his career in MLB, but not much is known beyond that.  Let's take a look at Takahashi's free agent case.

The Pros

  • Takahashi is versatile, having ably filled roles in the Mets' rotation and bullpen.  At this point, he's actually their closer.  In 64.6 innings as a starter Takahashi posted a 5.01 ERA, 7.5 K/9, 2.9 BB/9, and 1.53 HR/9.  Out of the pen he managed a 2.21 ERA, 9.2 K/9, 3.4 BB/9, and a 0.34 HR/9.
  • He dominated lefties in 2010, posting a 11.05 K/9 while allowing no home runs in 29.3 frames.  He was respectable against righties too.
  • Takahashi is on the border of Type B and nothing at last check, though given the timeframe the Mets probably can't offer arbitration anyway.  He won't cost a draft pick.

The Cons

  • Takahashi's multiple roles in 2010 could work against him – even if he'd like another crack at starting, teams might be more enticed by his relief success.
  • At 36 years old in April, Takahashi is no spring chicken.  He hasn't pitched 150 innings in a season since 2007.  
  • Among those with 100 innings this year, Takahashi's 45.6% flyball rate is the 13th-highest.  His 8.4% rate of home runs per flyball may not last, resulting in more shots leaving the yard in 2011.

The Verdict

Quality lefties are tough to find no matter what the role.  Takahashi's agent Peter Greenberg figures to start out seeking a two-year deal despite his client's age.  The annual guarantee could be around $2.5MM, plus incentives for starts and games finished.

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Free Agent Stock Watch New York Mets Hisanori Takahashi

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First Base Options For The Pirates

By Tim Dierkes | September 27, 2010 at 7:07am CDT

Pirates GM Neal Huntington recently expressed interest in finding a platoon partner for Garrett Jones at first base next year, specifically a right-handed hitter who performs well against southpaws.  MLBTR has eleven names to kick around; here they are with their work against lefties since 2008:

  • Mike Napoli – .321 batting average/.415 on-base percentage/.608 slugging percentage.  Napoli would be an expensive platoon bat, as he'll be getting a raise on this year's $3.6MM salary.  He could help out behind the dish as well, but the Bucs already have Chris Snyder and Ryan Doumit under contract and may try to move the latter. 
  • Garrett Atkins – .297/.375/.468.  Atkins struggled against righties and lefties this year with the Orioles, but he'd only be a minor league signing. 
  • Ryan Garko – .294/.373/.443.  Same story as Atkins. 
  • Fernando Tatis – .286/.367/.435.  He's in line for a minor league deal as well, but will be battling back from July labrum surgery. 
  • Ty Wigginton – .273/.353/.425.  The Mets traded Wiggy, Jose Bautista, and Matt Peterson to the Pirates in '04 for Kris Benson and Jeff Keppinger.  Pirates GM Dave Littlefield released Wigginton in advance of the '05 Rule 5 draft so he could take Victor Santos from the Royals. 
  • Melvin Mora – .283/.351/.471.  He's had a resurgent year; perhaps the Rockies will look to re-sign him.  Mora would be a viable candidate for the Pirates, though most of his first base experience is limited to this year.
  • Andruw Jones - .215/.350/.427.  He's logged only eight career games at first base. 
  • Troy Glaus – .222/.350/.405.  Glaus could be signed on the cheap with the hope that his power returns. 
  • Jorge Cantu – .286/.349/.464.  Cantu's stock is down, but he could be a buy-low opportunity. 
  • Juan Rivera – .285/.335/.514.  Rivera's a trade candidate, but the Angels would have to pick up much of his $5.25MM salary for 2011.  Doumit will earn a similar amount, but he's not a great fit for the Halos. 
  • Marcus Thames – .264/.332/.504.  He doesn't have a ton of first base experience (44 games), but he will be coming off a fine season for the Yankees. 
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Pittsburgh Pirates

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Jays Relievers Open-Minded As Free Agency Nears

By Ben Nicholson-Smith | September 26, 2010 at 9:26pm CDT

Potential free agents sit down with MLBTR.

The numbers Kevin Gregg, Scott Downs and Jason Frasor have posted this year will look pretty good on the backs of their respective baseball cards. Gregg has a career high 35 saves with a 3.38 ERA and 9.3 K/9; Downs has a 2.73 ERA with 7.0 K/9 and 2.1 BB/9; Frasor has a 3.75 ERA with 9.5 K/9 and 4.1 BB/9. But Downs says he looks for something else when evaluating his season.

“Staying healthy,” Downs said. “That’s the main thing. Staying healthy since it’s such a grind. It’s six months out of the year and your body goes through so much, so I think if you just prepare yourself mentally the best you can, if you stay together physically, things will take care of themselves.”

Gregg also evaluates his season primarily based on health.

“Being able to go out there all the time,” Gregg said. “That’s the biggest thing – being available to help out the team. And statistics, they all work out at the end of the year, but being available for the team sometimes is more important than the other stuff.”

The other stuff has worked out fairly well for all three potential free agents, but Frasor thinks he could have pitched better.

“It’s been kind of a roller coaster year actually, and it’s definitely finishing better than it started,” he said. “Looking back, I think I’ve done some of the dumbest things I’ve done, [made] some of the worst pitches. I made some terrible decisions along the way [and] I’ve really gotten burned. But I like my stuff right now and my arm feels good, so it’s been a good year as far as that’s concerned, but it didn’t start out good by any means. It wasn’t pretty.”

Frasor walked nearly a batter per inning in April and posted an 8.38 ERA through the season’s first month, but he recovered from his turbulent start and put together a fine year. With a week remaining in the regular season, he tentatively calls 2010 a success.

“If you had asked me a month ago, no, I’d have said ‘no, it’s not a success,’ but in a lot of ways it is,” Frasor said. “I don’t want to say too much because a lot can happen in this last week, I mean I could give up two grand slams in this last week and then everything’s totally messed up, but as of right now, I’m OK.”

Good health and solid performances aren’t the only things unifying the relievers; all three could become free agents this winter. They are well-acquainted with the rumor mill, so it’s no surprise that the trio takes a laid-back stance to their upcoming free agency. Frasor, who will hit the open market for the first time, says he’s open-minded about his future.

“I’m really not that picky, as long as I’m not back in the New York Penn League or Korea or something,” Frasor said. “I love Toronto, been here for seven years, I have a lot of roots here, so I’m open to coming back.”

Frasor pitched in the New York Penn League when he was a member of the Tigers organization, but that was way back in 1999. Now, he intends to relax once the season ends instead of worrying about his next team. Like Frasor, Downs plans to wait a while before thinking much more about his future.

“Once the World Series is over, I think I’ll sit down with my family, sit down with the people who I need to talk to and hopefully we’ll figure it out from there,” Downs said. 

And the longtime Blue Jay would like to stay in Toronto if the organization wants him back.

“Hopefully there’s a team out there and I would love to come back here,” Downs said. “I’ve been here, like Frasor said, we’ve been together for six years and this is the home away from home for both of us and to say that we wouldn’t want to come back here would be lying. It’s a great city; it’s a great organization.”

Both Frasor and Downs currently project as Type A free agents, so they could see offers of arbitration from the Blue Jays. The team would stand to gain top draft picks if the pitchers turn down arbitration and sign elsewhere, so there’s reason to believe the Blue Jays will think hard about making such offers. 

When GM Alex Anthopoulos held on to Downs, Frasor, Gregg, John Buck and Lyle Overbay at the July 31st trade deadline, he maintained that the team would consider offering arbitration to departing free agents. The players could accept the offers and return to Toronto on one-year deals, but they could just as easily seek multi-year contracts, since they’re playing well and have stayed healthy so far.

Gregg currently projects to be a Type B free agent, but he won’t necessarily hit the open market. The Blue Jays have two options for the right-hander (one for 2011 and one for 2011-12), so his future depends on the Blue Jays’ decision.

“I’m assuming at some point I’ll sit down with Alex [Anthopoulos] and we’ll talk about next year and what is to come,” Gregg said. “But it’s kind of nice because I don’t have to think about it. I’ve just got to wait for him to make his decision, the organization to make their decision before I’ve got to deal with anything.”

Gregg is prepared to hit the open market again and he looks ahead to the possibility without being excited or apprehensive. At this point, he says free agency is just a part of the job.

“It is what it is,” he said. “Been through it already, so I know what to expect, which makes it easier, but it’s a process to go through. You’ve got a lot of conversations to go through and sometimes that gets pretty monotonous, but you deal with it as it comes.”

This offseason, Gregg, Downs and Frasor are likely to see their share of offers. And, fingers crossed, none of the three will end up pitching in the New York Penn League any time soon.

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Toronto Blue Jays Jason Frasor Kevin Gregg Scott Downs

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Odds & Ends: Brewers, Dodgers, Fielder, Konerko

By Zachary Links | September 26, 2010 at 8:55pm CDT

Links for Sunday as Phil Hughes takes the mound against Boston..

  • Brewers manager Ken Macha will have to wait to learn about his future, GM Doug Melvin told MLB.com's Adam McCalvy.
  • Barry M. Bloom of MLB.com writes that even a turnaround in playoff fortunes wouldn't have changed Dodgers skipper Joe Torre's mind about retiring.
  • Mark Kotsay told Joe Cowley of the Chicago Sun-Times that he does not anticipate returning to the White Sox next season.
  • MLB.com's Adam McCalvy writes that Prince Fielder may have played his last home game in a Brewers uniform today.
  • Whether or not manager Ozzie Guillen returns to the White Sox will be one of the many factors that play into Paul Konerko's decision, writes MLB.com's Scott Merkin.
  • Adam McCalvy of MLB.com tweets that Trevor Hoffman earned an extra $250K today when he closed out the Brewers' home finale.
  • Reliever Takashi Saito's career could be in jeopardy as he is hampered by shoulder tendinitis, writes Carroll Rogers of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution.
  • Diamondbacks manager Kirk Gibson will have a say in whether soon-to-be free agent Brandon Webb returns to action this year, writes MLB.com's Andrew Pentis.
  • Thomas Harding and Joey Nowak of MLB.com spoke to Rockies outfielder Jay Payton, who is happy to still be playing baseball at the age of 37.
  • Cubs owner Tom Ricketts says the future looks bright in Chicago, writes Carrie Muskat of MLB.com.
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Arizona Diamondbacks Atlanta Braves Chicago Cubs Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers Milwaukee Brewers Brandon Webb Jay Payton Mark Kotsay Paul Konerko Prince Fielder Takashi Saito Trevor Hoffman

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MLBTR Originals

By Zachary Links | September 26, 2010 at 7:52pm CDT

Here's a look back at some of the analysis and reporting MLBTR's writing team delivered this week..

  • This week, MLBTR readers voted on who will have the best record in baseball, the next losing team to make the playoffs, and extending Josh Hamilton.
  • Mark Polishuk examined Mike Napoli's trade value and fleshed out some potential suitors for him.
  • Keep an eye on the Cubs' Carlos Marmol, he's an extension candidate.  The Indians' Shin-Soo Choo is also an extension candidate, though striking an extension with agent Scott Boras may not be easy.
  • Two years ago, Francisco Rodriguez was the most attractive closer on the open market.  Now, it's hard to gauge what his trade value could be.  
  • Ben Nicholson-Smith named the five difference-making waiver claims in 2010.
  • Sorry, Edwin Encarnacion.  You've been identified as a non-tender candidate.
  • Speaking of which, if you're fuzzy on what non-tenders are all about, you can check out this post right here.
  • We collected the very best from baseball blogs on all kinds of hot stove issues.
  • Kerry Wood will likely be looking at a one-year deal for 2011.  That might be the best route for Jorge Cantu to take as well.
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MLBTR Originals

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Week In Review: 9/19/10 – 9/25/10

By Zachary Links | September 26, 2010 at 6:51pm CDT

It's time to take a look back at the week that was..

  • The Diamondbacks announced that they have hired Kevin Towers as their new GM.  It was initially reported that interim GM Jerry Dipoto would not return to the organization, but it now seems that Towers has convinced him to stay.  Dipoto will assume a "high-level" position with the club.  Towers says that he hopes to bolster the club's bench and bullpen.
  • Talks between Washington and Adam Dunn have picked up and the slugger believes that he'll be a member of the Nationals in 2011.
  • This will be a pivotal offseason for White Sox slugger Paul Konerko as he heads into free agency.  Konerko says that if he's not happy with what's available to him this winter, he may retire.
  • On Tuesday the Cardinals released Felipe Lopez and the veteran was quickly claimed by the Padres.  However, Lopez rejected San Diego's offer and instead signed with Boston.  Part of Lopez's appeal to Boston is his Type B status.
  • We haven't heard too much from Magglio Ordonez since he underwent season-ending surgery last month, but teammate Miguel Cabrera says that the veteran outfielder wants to return to Detroit.
  • The Orioles could be in the mix to sign Victor Martinez.
  • Colorado considered trading for a starter down the stretch but opted not to.
  • The Mets reportedly have too much money committed to their current roster to pursue players such as Cliff Lee this winter.
  • Postseason success won't affect the Rays' 2011 payroll.
  • Top executives might want nothing to do with the Mets.
  • The Brewers signed righthander Mark DiFelice to a minor league deal with an invite to Spring Training.
  • Veteran infielder Edgar Renteria may retire after this season.
  • The Cubs DFA'd Mitch Atkins.
  • I wonder if Cesar Carrillo keeps a bag packed at all times.  The pitcher has now been claimed by the Astros.
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Uncategorized Week In Review

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Nats Seeking Leadoff Hitter

By Zachary Links | September 26, 2010 at 4:30pm CDT

Nationals manager Jim Riggleman says that he would like to get a leadoff hitter for next season, writes Bill Ladson of MLB.com.  While there are already several candidates in-house such as Nyjer Morgan, Roger Bernadina, Ian Desmond, and Danny Espinosa, the club may look to the free agent market or the trade block to get someone for the top of the order.

As we learned last month, Washington has strong interest in Carl Crawford who figures to be one of the biggest draws on the open market this winter.  Obviously, there will be plenty of suitors for the 29-year-old and the Nats may not be able to beat out teams with deeper pockets.

Our own Ben Nicholson-Smith sees another free agent left fielder, Corey Patterson, as another potential fit.  With a glut of outfielders, the Orioles may not bring the 31-year-old back in 2011.  Patterson could have some appeal to the Nats as a fourth outfielder who can lead off. There could also be some interesting options available via trade such as Jacoby Ellsbury, Reggie Willits, and Kosuke Fukudome.

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Washington Nationals

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Indians Acquire Preston Mattingly

By Zachary Links | September 26, 2010 at 2:20pm CDT

The Indians have acquired Preston Mattingly from the Dodgers in exchange for outfielder Roman Pena, according to Ken Gurnick of MLB.com (via Twitter).  Of course, Mattingly's father Don will take over as Dodgers skipper beginning in 2011.

Mattingly was the Dodgers' first-round selection (31st overall) in the 2006 draft.  The 23-year-old was being groomed as a middle infielder up until 2009 when he spent the bulk of his time in left field.  The youngster split time between Rookie ball and the Dodgers' Inland Empire affiliate, hitting just .218/.247/.291.

Pena, 24, has a .189/.300/.313 slash line at the A-plus level.  The left-handed batter has experience at all three outfield positions.

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Cleveland Guardians Los Angeles Dodgers Transactions

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Olivo’s 2011 Option Is Now Mutual

By Zachary Links | September 26, 2010 at 2:11pm CDT

Catcher Miguel Olivo's option for next season went from club to mutual after he made his 110th appearance in today's contest against the Giants.   However, the Rockies can still opt to buy out his 2011 for $500K rather than bring him back for $2.7MM.

Olivo's return to Colorado could create an uncomfortable situation with Chris Iannetta, writes Jim Armstrong of The Denver Post.  The Rockies signed Iannetta to a three-year, $8.35MM deal before the season in the hopes that he would take hold of the everyday job behind the plate.  If Olivo returns, he will earn more than the 27-year-old who believes that he is a starting major league catcher.

In his first season with the Rockies, Olivo has hit .271/.317/.447 with 13 homers.  His option was initially worth $2.5MM but he boosted that figure to $2.7MM by reaching 100 and 110 appearances this year.

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Colorado Rockies Chris Iannetta Miguel Olivo

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