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Offseason In Review: Detroit Tigers

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The Tigers had a fairly encouraging season last year and spent the offseason bolstering the depth with various mid-tier acquisitions.

Major League Signings

2024 spending: $37.25MM
Total spending: $47.25MM

Option Decisions

Trades And Claims

Notable Minor League Signings

Extensions

Notable Losses

The Tigers had a somewhat encouraging season in 2023, with various players either returning to health or taking a step forward in terms of performance. They were never really in contention, but did manage to go 39-34 after the All-Star break and sneak into second place in the American League Central.

That vaguely echoed the club’s 2021 campaign, where they went 37-34 after the break and felt like they had a chance of coming out of their rebuild. They spent big on Javier Báez and Eduardo Rodríguez that winter but the 2022 campaign turned into a disaster. General manager Al Avila was fired in August and the Tigers eventually finished 66-96.

Avila was eventually replaced as the club’s top decision maker when Scott Harris was hired as president of baseball operations. Harris seemed leery of making the same mistake as Avila and didn’t want to overplay the club’s hand this winter.

“Sometimes, teams overestimate their proximity to being a team that’s right on the verge of the playoffs,” Harris said in November. “And they spend a lot of money and it doesn’t push them forward. It pushes them back.” He added that the Tigers are going in the right direction but “can’t do anything in free agency or in trades that sets us back. If we find an opportunity that’s going to push us forward and we’re confident of that, we’re going to do it.”

That threw some cold water on the Tigers being big players in free agency, though they could have done so if they wanted. Miguel Cabrera’s contract finally reached its end, which freed up a lot of capital in the club’s budget. The Tigers went into this offseason with nothing committed beyond 2024 except for the Báez deal. That deal pays him salaries of $25MM or $24MM for the remaining four years, which isn’t nothing.

But the club has run payrolls as high as $200MM in the past, as their last competitive window was shutting down, as shown at Cot’s Baseball Contracts. That spending was under owner Mike Ilitch, who passed away in 2017. His son Chris has been calling the shots since then and hasn’t had the budget as high, but the club has also been rebuilding in that time and hasn’t had the need to spend wildly. With some encouraging developments on the roster and Cabrera’s deal gone, it was at least possible to dream on the club coming out firing.

That made it at least somewhat plausible when the club was connected to Yoshinobu Yamamoto early in the winter. But the comments from Harris pointed to a more measured offseason, which is what eventually transpired.

Yamamoto went to the Dodgers but the Tigers did make a couple of additions to their rotation. Kenta Maeda was added via a modest two-year, $24MM pact. It might not be the most exciting signing, with a cynic able to point to the facts that Maeda is about to turn 36, missed all of 2022 due to internal brace surgery and then posted a middling 4.23 ERA in 2023.

But there’s also a more optimistic lens through which to view the deal. Maeda went on the injured list due to a triceps strain in late April last year, right after getting shelled by the Yankees, allowing 10 earned runs in three innings. That poor performance could perhaps have been a byproduct of his injury, as he finished quite strong after he recovered. He was activated off the IL in June and put up a 3.36 ERA the rest of the way, pairing an excellent 29% strikeout rate with a strong 7% walk rate.

The Tigers also added Jack Flaherty on a one-year “prove it” deal. Flaherty was one of the best pitchers in league in 2019 but struggled with his health over the three following campaigns. He was finally healthy again in 2023 but finished the year with a 4.99 ERA.

If Flaherty can take a step forward in terms of results now that he’s further removed from his health troubles, the Tigers will be the beneficiary. They can either trade him at the deadline or give him a qualifying offer at season’s end, depending on how things play out.

The Maeda and Flaherty deals perhaps aren’t as exciting as a major splash would have been, but they raise the floor of the rotation. Perhaps more importantly, they do little to hurt the club in the future. Flaherty’s deal is just for one year while Maeda’s is only two, and slightly frontloaded. He’ll made $14MM this year and just $10MM in 2025, meaning he’ll do little to hamper any spending the club may try next winter.

The approach was similar with other parts of the roster. The club has some intriguing outfielders in Riley Greene, Parker Meadows, Kerry Carpenter and Akil Baddoo. But they are all fairly inexperienced and all happen to hit from the left side. The Tigers decided to complement that group by acquiring Mark Canha from the Brewers.

Canha had actually finished the final guaranteed year of his contract, but there was an $11.5MM club option with a $2MM buyout. The Tigers sent a modest return, minor league reliever Blake Holub, in order to get Canha at that reasonable price point. He’ll provide their young outfielders with a veteran presence and give the club a solid right-handed-hitting veteran, while not committing them to anything beyond this year.

That approach carried to the infield as well, with the Tigers having some uncertainty at both second base and third base. They had internal options for those spots with guys like Zach McKinstry, Andy Ibañez and Matt Vierling on the roster, though the guys in that group are arguably best suited to multi-positional part-time roles. They also had prospects like Colt Keith, Jace Jung and Justyn-Henry Malloy, though none had reached the majors by the end of 2023 and Malloy was likely slated for a move to the outfield due to his subpar infield defense.

The club added to this group by making a late signing of third baseman, Gio Urshela, who lingered on the open market well into February. The Tigers were able to get him to put pen to paper for just $1.5MM. He’s coming off an injury-marred season with the Angels but he’ll be a bargain if he can get back to health and the kind of form he showed with the Yankees and Twins.

As for second base, the club signalled its intentions there by signing Keith to a six-year extension with three club options as well. It was a remarkable show of faith in a player who has yet to make his major league debut, but he has continued to hit at every level he’s played. He hit .306/.380/.552 between Double-A and Triple-A last year while just 21 years old for much of the year, as he turned 22 in mid-August.

Ultimately, the club’s young players will determine the future of the franchise. Keith, Jung, Malloy, Meadows, Greene, Carpenter and Spencer Torkelson are all controlled through at least 2028. On the pitching side, Tarik Skubal and Casey Mize can still be retained through 2026 while Reese Olson, Matt Manning and Sawyer Gipson-Long are controllable beyond that. Pitching prospects like Wilmer Flores, Ty Madden and Jackson Jobe are creating some buzz despite not yet having reached the majors.

For this year, that young core will have some help from the veterans that the club brought in. Maeda and Flaherty join the rotation, Canha and Urshela on the position player side. The bullpen got a couple of veteran additions as well, with lefty Andrew Chafin and righty Shelby Miller signed to one-year deals.

If a few things break right, it’s possible to imagine the club competing this year. As mentioned, they were above .500 after the break last year and the division is arguably the weakest in the sport. The Royals were aggressive this winter but face a steep climb after losing 106 games last year. The Guardians did almost nothing this offseason. The White Sox are tearing things down. The Twins are the reigning champions in the division and are still strong overall but made some cost-cutting moves and are arguably in a weaker position than they were last year.

The Tigers will see how things go and will continue to have a fairly wide open future. The Keith extension added some more money to the long-term ledger, but they still have less than $40MM committed to each season beyond this one. As things develop, there should be plenty of opportunity to hit the gas whenever the front office decides the time is right.

One thing that would appear to be a constant in that future is the presence of manager A.J. Hinch. He and the club agreed to a long-term extension in December. The details of that new arrangement aren’t clear, but he was previously under contract through 2025, so he is now locked in beyond that. He was hired by the previous Avila regime, so this new deal acted as a sort of symbolic stamp of approval from the Harris front office, showcasing that the two sides could indeed work together while helping to avoid any conversations about future lame-duck situations.

Jose Urquidy Being Evaluated For Elbow Injury; Astros Remain In Market For Starting Pitching

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Astros right-hander Jose Urquidy pulled himself from a minor league game after 43 pitches due to pain in his right elbow, manager Joe Espada told reporters (X link via Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle). He’d been scheduled to throw around 60 pitches.

It’s a concerning development for a Houston club that will see Justin Verlander open the season on the injured list and knows it’ll be without Lance McCullers Jr. and Luis Garcia for the early portion of the 2024 campaign as well. Prior to this news, it looked as though Urquidy would join Framber Valdez, Cristian Javier, Hunter Brown and J.P. France in the Astros’ Opening Day rotation. That’s no sure thing now.

Urquidy, 28, missed more than three months of the 2023 campaign with a shoulder injury, which only makes further arm troubles all the more ominous. He pitched to a career-worst 5.29 ERA when healthy enough to take the mound, with the second-lowest strikeout rate (16.4%) and the highest walk rate (9.1%) he’s turned in during any big league season.

Prior to last year’s rough showing, Urquidy was a steady and arguably underrated member of the Houston staff. From 2019-22, he pitched 342 innings of 3.74 ERA ball with a below-average 20.3% strikeout rate but an excellent 5.2% walk rate. Durability has been an issue for the right-hander, but he’s been effective more often than not when he’s taken the ball.

The mounting number of injuries on the Houston staff could potentially spur the team to action. General manager Dana Brown said not even two weeks ago that he wasn’t in the market for more starting pitching … only to suggest the opposite to Chandler Rome of the Houston Chronicle this week. Rome, citing a multiple anonymous sources, reported that the ’Stros are indeed still in the market for arms. Brown spoke in generalities when asked about Blake Snell, telling Rome: “As long as Snell is on the market, we check in to ask what is the latest. Nothing new as of now.”

It’s telling that those comments came even before today’s potential injury to Urquidy. Presumably, if there’s real concern that Urquidy might miss some time, that would only hasten the team’s desire to add to the rotation, whether in the form of Snell, Jordan Montgomery, Michael Lorenzen, Mike Clevinger or any of the other arms the free agent or trade market may have to offer. Crane did act aggressively and decisively when the Astros found out they’d lost setup man Kendall Graveman for the season, surprising many onlookers by signing Josh Hader to a five-year, $95MM contract.

Snell, of course, would be the costliest free agent on the market in terms of financial outlay and future considerations. Because he rejected a qualifying offer, Snell would cost the Astros their second-highest draft pick and $500K of space from next year’s international free agent bonus pool. Since they already punted a second-round pick to sign Hader, however, that’d “only” be a third-round pick.

Since the Astros are already at a projected $255.7MM of luxury obligations (per RosterResource), signing Snell would push that figure past the $257MM second-tier threshold and past the third-tier $277MM threshold. That $277MM line is of particular note, as crossing that barrier drops a team’s top pick in the following year’s draft by 10 places.

Any additional players signed by the Astros would be subject to penalty under the luxury tax, although because Houston didn’t pay the tax last year, they’re considered a first-time offender. That subjects them to much lesser fees than third-time offenders like the Yankees, Dodgers, Mets, etc. Houston would owe a 20% tax on the next $1.3MM spent, followed by a 32% tax on the next $20MM and a 62.5% tax on the next $20MM. That tax would be based on the annual value of the contract.

A $30MM AAV on a Snell deal, for instance, would cost the Astros around $12.1MM in luxury taxes. That’s a steep price, but it’s nowhere near the 110% tax rate the Yankees, Phillies, Dodgers and others would face. Whether that makes it palatable enough for owner Jim Crane to further add to what’s already a franchise-record payroll by a wide margin remains to be seen.

Reds Sign Justin Wilson To Major League Deal

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The Reds announced Friday that they’ve signed left-hander Justin Wilson to a one-year deal. The ACES client will be guaranteed $1.5MM on a contract that includes an additional $1MM in possible incentives. Cincinnati already had an opening on the 40-man roster, so no further move was necessary. Manager David Bell told reporters that another lefty reliever, Alex Young, will open the season on the 15-day injured list with a back issue.

Wilson, 36, signed a minor league deal with the Dodgers about a month ago. He pitched fairly well in the spring, striking out nine hitters in four official innings, but he seemed blocked from making a stacked Dodger bullpen. He opted out of that deal earlier this week.

Cracking the bullpen in Cincinnati should be easier. Brent Suter is one lefty option but they are otherwise shorthanded in that department. Sam Moll was slowed by some shoulder soreness when he reported to camp and has yet to pitch in an official spring game. Now that Young is also injured, Suter was the only healthy lefty reliever on the roster until this Wilson signing.

Wilson is coming off a couple of injury-marred seasons. After making just five appearances in 2022, he required Tommy John surgery in June of that year. While rehabbing, he signed with the Brewers for 2023. But after being activated off the injured list in July last year, he suffered a lat injury while warming up in the bullpen. He went right back on the IL and wasn’t able to come back, meaning he didn’t make an official big league appearance last year.

But prior to that, he was an effective big league reliever for about a decade. He pitched for the Pirates, Yankees, Tigers, Cubs, Mets and Reds from 2012 to 2021, posting a 3.42 earned run average in 522 appearances. He punched out 25.7% of batters who came to the plate, walking 10.7% of them and kept 46.8% of balls in play on the ground. He earned some leverage work in that time, getting 18 saves and 132 holds.

Though he missed the last couple of campaigns, Wilson is healthy now and brings a solid track record to the Reds. He and Suter should be the club’s lefty relief duo, at least until Moll and Young get healthy.

Robert Murray of FanSided first reported the Reds and Wilson had agreed to a major league contract. The Cincinnati Enquirer’s Gordon Wittenmyer had previously relayed that Wilson was in Reds’ camp. MLBTR’s Steve Adams was first to report the deal contained a $1.5MM base salary with an additional $1MM in performance bonuses.

Ethan Small To Miss Several Weeks With Oblique Strain

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The Giants announced to reporters, including Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle and Maria I. Guardado of MLB.com, that left-hander Ethan Small has a right oblique strain. Though the strain is described as moderate, the club nonetheless estimates that the lefty will be out for “several weeks.”

Small, 27, is a former first-round pick of the Brewers who came over to the Giants in a trade last month. He only has 10 1/3 innings of major league experience thus far, with an earned run average of 8.71, but has impressed in the minors. Last year, the Brewers moved him from a starting gig into a primary relief role. He tossed 51 innings at Triple-A last year with a 3.18 ERA, striking out 28.5% of batters faced in the process. His 11.2% walk rate was a bit concerning but it was encouraging season nonetheless.

Small wasn’t slated to be the most important part of the San Francisco bullpen but he was arguably the club’s #2 lefty behind Taylor Rogers. The only other southpaw reliever on the roster is Erik Miller, who doesn’t have the first-round pedigree of Small and has yet to make his major league debut.

The move will add another question mark to a San Francisco pitching staff that has plenty. They have long known that they would be starting the season with starters Alex Cobb and Robbie Ray on the injured list, but this spring has seen each of Keaton Winn, Tristan Beck and Sean Hjelle deal with various ailments. Winn seems like he’ll avoid missing any time but Beck is already on the injured list and Hjelle is likely to join him.

The bullpen consists of a strong group of four for the high-leverage work, with Camilo Doval in the closer’s role, backed up by Rogers, his brother Tyler Rogers, as well as Luke Jackson. Beyond that, none of the relievers on the roster have much experience. Miller and Randy Rodríguez haven’t pitched in the big leagues yet while Small and Ryan Walker have less than a year of service time.

RosterResource currently estimates that non-roster invitees Spencer Howard and Daulton Jefferies will crack the Opening Day bullpen. Jefferies has missed most of the last two seasons as he underwent both thoracic outlet syndrome surgery and Tommy John surgery in 2022, while Howard has a 7.20 ERA in his 115 big league innings and a 4.43 ERA in Triple-A.

There’s a lot of question marks in a bullpen that could be important, considering their rotation isn’t overflowing with certainty right now. Ace Logan Webb figures to be backed up by Kyle Harrison, who is a notable prospect but with seven big league starts to his name. Longtime reliever Jordan Hicks is going to attempt to move to the rotation. Winn has less than 50 innings under his belt. Prospect Mason Black might crack the Opening Day rotation to make his major league debut.

There are many moving parts and the overall structure of the staff will likely be an ongoing storyline in San Francisco this year. If the club has interest in bolstering their pitching staff with external additions, there are options still out there. Brad Hand, Jarlín García and Aaron Loup are lefty relievers that are still unsigned here in mid-March and likely won’t command huge salaries. The Giants have Amir Garrett and Juan Sanchez in camp as non-roster invitees. Garrett has thrown 3 2/3 innings in the spring with four walks and six earned runs allowed, wherehas Sanchez has tossed six frames with only one earned run crossing the plate, striking out eight with no walks given out.

Pirates Have Shown Interest In Tommy Pham

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The Pirates are among the teams that have shown some recent interest in free agent outfielder Tommy Pham, reports Jon Heyman of the New York Post. He again lists the Padres as a potential fit for Pham as well. San Diego has been connected to Pham at multiple points over the past few weeks.

Pittsburgh has Bryan Reynolds locked into left field and Jack Suwinski in center, but right field is more open at the moment. Connor Joe, Edward Olivares and Joshua Palacios could all see some time at the position. Each is on the 40-man roster and remains in camp. Pham has played far more left field than right field in his big league career, but he did log 78 innings in right with the D-backs just this past season. His arm strength clocked into the 69th percentile of MLB outfielders, per Statcast — well ahead of Reynolds (and thus making a shift of Reynolds to right field seem unlikely).

The 36-year-old Pham had a solid year at the plate in 2023, hitting .265/.328/.446 with 16 home runs, 27 doubles and three triples in 481 trips to the plate. He walked at a strong 9.8% clip and struck out at a 22% clip that was a bit lower than the MLB average. Despite being in his mid-30s, Pham also swiped 22 bases in in 25 tries (88% success rate) and landed in the 61st percentile of MLB players for his sprint speed, per Statcast.

The Pirates were one of MLB’s least-productive teams against left-handed pitching in 2023, hitting .246/.318/.383. That .383 slugging percentage was the fourth-lowest among all MLB clubs, and the 89 wRC+ resulting from that line ranked 25th among the league’s 30 teams. Pham’s career .271/.381/.453 batting lien against lefties (.245/.322/.465 in 2023) would help to address that deficiency.

Pham has been linked to several teams beyond the Padres and Pirates over the winter, though several of those clubs have since made other moves. The Twins acquired Manuel Margot from the Dodgers, adding the righty outfield bat they’d been seeking. Arizona paid Randal Grichuk a $2MM salary to fill their own need for a right-handed bat. The Braves signed Adam Duvall to a $3MM deal just yesterday. The Red Sox have been linked to a possible Pham reunion and haven’t added a right-handed outfield bat since that time — though they did bring righty slugger C.J. Cron aboard on a minor league deal. Boston also announced yesterday that fellow righty outfielder Rob Refsnyder would miss time with a fractured toe.

Rays Select Jacob Waguespack, Option Jacob Lopez

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The Rays have selected the contract of right-hander Jacob Waguespack, the team announced Friday. Left-hander Jeffrey Springs, who’s recovering from Tommy John surgery performed last April, was moved to the 60-day IL to open a spot on the 40-man roster. Tampa Bay also optioned southpaw Jacob Lopez to Triple-A Durham and reassigned non-roster pitchers Brendan McKay and Michael Gomez to minor league camp.

Waguespack’s addition to the 40-man roster and the decision to option Lopez both lend clarity to the Rays’ rotation outlook as they navigate a pectoral injury to starter Taj Bradley. Waguespack can still technically be optioned to Triple-A, but today’s move seems to put him squarely in the running for a spot on the Opening Day roster. The 30-year-old righty has spent the past two seasons with the Orix Buffaloes in Japan’s Nippon Professional Baseball, primarily working out of the bullpen, and also pitched in the majors with the Blue Jays in 2019-20.

The 95 2/3 innings Waguespack pitched with the Jays represent his entire body of big league work. He worked to a 4.38 ERA with an 18.8% strikeout rate and 8.7% walk rate through 78 innings (13 starts, three relief appearances) as a rookie in 2019. The right-hander’s sophomore season saw him torched for 16 runs in 17 2/3 innings (8.15 ERA), though that was in no small part due to a bloated .410 average on balls in play. Waguespack’s strikeout, walk and ground-ball rates were mostly in line with his 2019 levels, and his spike in BABIP came despite a notable drop in his opponents’ average exit velocity and hard-hit rate.

When Bradley went down, each of Waguespack, Lopez and non-roster righty Naoyuki Uwasawa were listed as potential rotation options, alongside swingmen Tyler Alexander and Chris Devenski. Tampa Bay also signed Jake Odorizzi to a minor league deal just this morning, but he’ll need to build up and could require some minor league work to begin the season before he becomes a more viable option in early or mid-April. Even if the plan is to plug Odorizzi into the big league rotation as early as possible, Waguespack could make a couple early starts and, if he shows well, move into the bullpen or else head down to Durham to work out of the rotation there and serve as continued depth.

Danny Jansen Diagnosed With Small Fracture In Right Wrist

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Blue Jays catcher Danny Jansen has been diagnosed with a fracture of the pisiform bone in his right wrist, manager John Schneider revealed to reporters today (X links via Keegan Matheson of MLB.com). He was hit by a pitch during the Jays’ Grapefruit League game earlier this week. The team currently expects him to miss a “couple weeks,” though he has a follow-up appointment today that could reveal more information.

That could point to a season-opening stint on the injured list, though the team has yet to specifically state as much. Sportsnet’s Hazel Mae tweets that the Jays will likely lean on non-roster catchers Payton Henry and Brian Serven to back up starting catcher Alejandro Kirk in the interim. If Jansen indeed opens the season on the injured list, Toronto will need to clear a 40-man roster spot to select the contract of either player.

It’s not an ideal start in what’ll be Jansen’s walk year before free agency. The soon-to-be 29-year-old backstop has been a steadily above-average offensive contributor — particularly relative to his position — over the past three seasons but routinely been hit with injuries along the way.

Since 2021, Jansen carries a stout .237/.317/.487 batting line with 43 home runs in 754 trips to the plate. He’s walked at a respectable 8.6% clip along the way, and his 19.9% strikeout rate is a few ticks lower than the league average. By measure of wRC+, Jansen’s been 21% better than an average hitter over the past three seasons. Considering the average catcher has been about 11-12% worse than average at the plate, Jansen’s contributions with the bat are all the more impressive.

From a defensive standpoint, Jansen is solid. He typically draws average or slightly better marks for his pitch framing at both FanGraphs and Statcast. He’s been a bit below average in terms of controlling the running game (career 22% caught-stealing rate), but Statcast rates Jansen (and Kirk, for that matter) as one of the game’s best at blocking balls in the dirt.

Both Henry and Serven joined the Jays organization in the offseason. The former inked a minor league deal after spending his career to date with the Brewers and Marlins. He hit .294/.341/.454 in 255 Triple-A games last season with the Brewers. He’s yet to make his MLB debut. Serven was a waiver claim who’s played his entire career in the Rockies organization. He appeared in 62 games with the 2022 Rockies and another 11 games last year, batting a combined .195/.248/.314 in 228 trips to the plate. In 534 career Triple-A plate appearances, he’s a .238/.305/.450 hitter.

Rays Sign Jake Odorizzi To Minor League Deal

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The Rays have signed old friend Jake Odorizzi to a minor league contract, reports Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times. The Excel Sports Management client already in camp. Odorizzi tells Topkin that he’d been throwing teams throughout the winter in search of a big league contract, but his familiarity with the organization and a clear opportunity in an injury-plagued rotation paved the way for the current agreement. Joel Sherman of the New York Post reports that Odorizzi will be paid at a $1.5MM rate in the big leagues with $500K bonuses available for reaching 25, 50, 75, 100 and 150 innings on the season.

Tampa Bay already entered the season knowing that Shane McClanahan is likely to miss the season due to last August’s Tommy John surgery, while both Drew Rasmussen (internal brace surgery last July), Jeffrey Springs (Tommy John surgery last April) and Shane Baz (2022 Tommy John surgery) are midseason additions at best. This week, they learned that young right-hander Taj Bradley will open the season on the injured list due to a pectoral strain that still doesn’t have a definitive timetable for his return. Unsurprisingly, they’re bringing in some veteran rotation depth.

Odorizzi himself is on the mend from an injury. He was traded from the Braves to the Rangers in the 2022-23 offseason but wound up requiring arthroscopic surgery on his right shoulder in early April, which knocked him out for the entire season. He never threw a pitch for Texas.

It’s been an up and down few years for Odorizzi, who from his peak with the Rays and Twins was a durable and quite effective mid-rotation arm. In a six-year span from 2014-19, the right-hander tossed 991 2/3 innings of 3.88 ERA ball, striking out 23% of his opponents against an 8.2% walk rate. Odorizzi has never been a flamethrower but has typically posted solid spin rates on his 91-95 mph heater and missed bats at the top of the zone. He was an All-Star with the Twins in 2019 when he pitched 169 innings of 3.51 ERA ball with a career-high 27.1% strikeout rate.

That season prompted the Twins to issue a qualifying offer, which Odorizzi accepted. He returned to Minnesota for the shortened 2020 season but wound up only making four starts due primarily to an intercostal strain. Odorizzi returned to free agency, inked a two-year deal with the Astros, and split the 2021-22 seasons between Houston and Atlanta, combining to toss 211 innings with a 4.31 ERA and diminished 19.8% strikeout rate. A flexor strain in his right arm in 2021 and a tendon strain in his lower leg in 2022 cost Odorizzi more than three months of action during that two-year period.

It’s not entirely clear when Odorizzi will be game-ready, but he could very well emerge as an option at some point in the season’s first few weeks. The Rays currently project to deploy right-handers Zach Eflin, Aaron Civale, Zack Littell and Ryan Pepiot in the top four spots of the rotation. Other options for starts include swingmen Tyler Alexander and Chris Devenski, both of whom were being stretched out to three innings during camp anyway. Prospect Jacob Lopez is also on the 40-man roster, while non-roster options of note include prospect Mason Montgomery, NPB signee Naoyuki Uwasawa and journeyman righty Jacob Waguespack.

The Opener: Spring Breakout, Seoul Series, Free Agent Bats

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With the start of the regular season just around the corner, here are three things we’ll be keeping an eye on around the baseball world throughout the day today:

1. Spring Breakout continues:

After Orioles’, Pirates’, Reds’, and Rangers’ prospects participated in Spring Breakout exhibition games yesterday, ten more teams are slated to participate today before the final nine exhibition games occur over the weekend. Today’s slate of games will kick off with the Marlins taking on the Cardinals at 1:05pm CT this afternoon. The Nationals and Mets will then square off at 2:10pm CT before Padres and Mariners face each other at 3:10pm CT. Then, the Cubs will be matched against the White Sox at 4:05pm CT before today’s slate of games concludes with the Giants facing the A’s at 6:05pm CT.

The game between Miami and St. Louis stands to feature top-100 talents Noble Meyer, Tink Hence, Tekoah Roby, and Masyn Winn. Washington and New York will feature the likes of Brady House, Dylan Crews, James Wood, Jett Williams, and Luisangel Acuna. Fans in San Diego and Seattle will get the opportunity to watch Robby Snelling, Dylan Lesko, Ethan Salas, Harry Ford, Cole Young, and Colt Emerson, while the North and South sides of Chicago will showcase top-100 talents such as Cade Horton, Matt Shaw, James Triantos, Owen Caissie, Pete Crow-Armstrong, Kevin Alcantara, and Colson Montgomery. San Francisco and Oakland’s match, meanwhile, will feature Bryce Eldridge and Jacob Wilson. MLB.com has full details on each club’s respective broadcast info and full rosters, which you can access with the links attached to each city in this paragraph.

2. Seoul Series exhibition games:

MLB’s Spring Breakout isn’t the only event to feature exhibition games this weekend, as the Dodgers and Padres are traveling to South Korea to participate in the Seoul Series. While the two clubs will face off next week for a two-game regular season set, a handful of exhibition games are set to occur this weekend. The festivities kick off at 10pm CT tomorrow when the Dodgers take on the Kiwoom Heroes of the Korea Baseball Organization, before the Padres take on the KBO’s LG Twins at 10pm CT on Sunday. Meanwhile, early risers will have the opportunity to catch exhibition games that will feature both clubs facing South Korea’s national team. Team Korea will face the Padres at 5am CT Sunday morning, and face the Dodgers at 5am CT Monday morning. The Seoul Series represents a homecoming for Padres shortstop Ha-Seong Kim and newly signed reliever Woo Suk Go. Kim played for the Heroes from 2014 to 2020 before making the jump to the majors. Go signed with the Padres just this offseason and will be facing off against his former LG Twins teammates when the two clubs meet.

3. Will Duvall spur further free agent activity?

Yesterday saw the first notable move on the free agent market since the Mariners signed right-hander Ryne Stanek last week, as the Braves inked outfielder Adam Duvall to a one-year deal worth $3MM. Duvall was one of the three best outfielders remaining on the market alongside corner bat Tommy Pham and center fielder Michael A. Taylor. Duvall’s presence on the market could have impact extending beyond the outfield, as other righty power bats of note include J.D. Martinez and recently-released corner bat J.D. Davis. With Duvall now off the board, could the market begin to move on the final free agent hitters of note over the weekend?

Braves Sign Adam Duvall

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The Braves announced Thursday that they’ve signed veteran outfielder Adam Duvall to a one-year, $3MM contract. The CAA client will return for a third stint with Atlanta. The Braves’ 40-man roster had multiple open spots, so a corresponding move was not necessary.

Less than one month after Atlanta president of baseball operations Alex Anthopoulos indicated that the team was not planning to platoon newly acquired outfielder Jarred Kelenic in left field, Anthopoulos now tells the Braves beat the opposite: the righty-hitting Duvall will pair with the left-handed Kelenic in left field (X link via Gabe Burns of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution).

The change in plans is likely attributable to multiple factors, including a presumable drop in Duvall’s asking price and also Kelenic’s struggles thus far in spring training. The once-ballyhooed prospect, whom the Braves effectively paid around $26MM to acquire (between eating bad contracts and the associated luxury-tax hits), is off to a 2-for-30 start with four walks and seven punchouts this spring. Kelenic has struggled against lefties throughout his still-young career, evidenced by a .189/.255/.311 slash (61 wRC+) and 29.9% strikeout rate against them.

Duvall, 35, has played with five teams in his career but spent more time with Atlanta than any other club. In parts of five prior seasons, he’s batted .224/.285/.464 — numbers that generally align with his career marks. He’s a strikeout-prone slugger whose paltry walk rates lead to low batting averages and poor OBP marks, but Duvall offsets those flaws with plus power and typically plus defensive grades in the outfield corners. Though he’ll be in a platoon role in this latest Braves stint, he has roughly even splits in his career: .232/.301/.469 (101 wRC+) versus left-handed pitching, .232/.287/.473 (97 wRC+) against right-handers.

Duvall spent the 2023 season with the Red Sox and was the game’s hottest hitter for the first ten days of the season before fracturing his wrist on a diving attempt in the outfield. He missed exactly two months and returned to post .223/.273/.474 slash that’s right in line with his career marks. Duvall swatted 21 homers in just 353 plate appearances with Boston — the best power output of his career on a rate basis — but also fanned in more than 31% of his plate appearances for a third consecutive season.

The Sox surprised many onlookers when signing Duvall to serve as their primary center fielder, and defensive metrics were down on his performance there. It’s reasonable to expect a bounceback in a less-demanding and more familiar left field setting, where Duvall has logged more than 68% of his career innings.

Despite the modest price tag, Duvall was relatively popular in terms of the number of teams showing interest in him this winter. The Red Sox, Angels, Twins, Blue Jays, Padres and D-backs were just some of the clubs connected to him, though many went in other directions. Minnesota seemingly preferred a truer backup center fielder and acquired Manuel Margot. Arizona took a more prototypical lefty masher in Randal Grichuk. San Diego was connected to Duvall as recently as Monday, but it’s possible Duvall simply preferred to return to the organization he knows best. Given his history with the club and given that the Braves are one of the largest postseason favorites in the entire sport, it’d be hard to blame him.

Because the Braves are already well into the second tier of luxury-tax penalization and are a second-year offender of the CBT, they’ll be taxed at a 42% clip on Duvall’s signing. That comes to a modest $1.26MM slap on the wrist and brings the total cost of acquisition on Duvall to $4.26MM. Per RosterResource, the Braves are now up to just over $273MM in luxury obligations. If they cross the $277MM mark, they’ll be taxed at a 72.5% rate on subsequent additions and see their top pick in next year’s draft dropped by ten spots.

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