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Twins Sign Alex Speas To Minor League Contract

By Mark Polishuk | November 24, 2024 at 3:48pm CDT

The Twins have signed right-hander Alex Speas, as initially announced by Speas’ agency, Munger English Sports Management (X link).  Bobby Nightengale of the Minneapolis Star Tribune confirmed that it is a minor league deal, and SKOR North’s Darren Wolfson adds that Speas will get an invitation to the Twins’ big league Spring Training camp.

Minnesota becomes Speas’ sixth different MLB organization within the last 14 months.  A second-round pick for the Rangers in the 2016 draft, Speas spent his entire pro career with Texas until October 2023, when the White Sox claimed the righty off waivers.  The A’s traded for Speas last April, and he subsequently went to the Astros and then the Red Sox on other waiver claims after being designated for assignment.  Boston DFA’ed Speas as well and outrighted him off their 40-man roster in August, and Speas finished out the season pitching with Triple-A Worcester.

Speas’ transactional whirlwind resulted in just a single game at the Major League level, as he tossed two relief innings for the Astros on May 31 (in a 6-1 loss to his new team, the Twins).  Speas’ overall MLB resume consists of four games, as he first reached the Show with three appearances for Texas during the 2023 season.  Speas has a 9.00 ERA in that small sample size as a big leaguer, and an 8.69 ERA in 58 career innings at the Triple-A level.

Those struggles can be directly traced to a garish 23.05% walk rate, as Speas’ inability to find the plate has left him unable to claim any sort of foothold in the majors.  Since Speas has a 28.13% strikeout rate at Triple-A and a fastball in the 100mph range, it is easy to see why teams keep taking chances on Speas, and the Twins will become the latest club to see if it can harness Speas’ control and turn him into a useful relief pitcher.  Speas turns 27 in March, so it isn’t too late for him to break out if he can deliver even a passable walk rate.

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Minnesota Twins Transactions Alex Speas

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Yankees Interested In Walker Buehler

By Mark Polishuk | November 23, 2024 at 10:58pm CDT

The Yankees and right-hander Walker Buehler have “some mutual interest” in each other, according to MLB Network’s Jon Morosi.  New York joins the Braves and Athletics as teams already publicly linked to Buehler in the first few weeks of free agency.

The added wrinkle of the Yankees’ pursuit, of course, is that Buehler delivered some of the best moments of his career against the Bronx Bombers during this year’s World Series.  Buehler tossed five shutout innings in the Dodgers’ 4-2 win over the Yankees in Game 3, and followed up that strong start by getting the save in the scoreless ninth inning of Game 5, as Buehler threw the final pitches that sealed the Dodgers’ championship.

Those clutch performances (and four more innings of shutout ball against the Mets in Game 3 of the NLCS) helped bring a happy ending to an otherwise difficult season for the 30-year-old righty.  Buehler missed all of 2023 recovering from his second Tommy John surgery, and returned to post a 5.38 ERA over 16 starts and 75 1/3 innings for Los Angeles during the regular season.  Pretty much all of Buehler’s secondary numbers and metrics were down from his career norms, including an 18.6% strikeout rate that ranked only in the 16th percentile of all pitchers.

It isn’t uncommon for any pitcher returning from a TJ procedure to initially struggle against big league hitters, even if Buehler has the extra baggage of both his 2022 surgery and the surgery he underwent soon after being drafted by the Dodgers in 2015.  Nathan Eovaldi and Daniel Hudson are two of the more prominent examples of pitchers who continued to have success after returning from two Tommy John surgeries, but obviously there’s some risk attached to Buehler going forward, even if the upside is clearly also present.

MLBTR projected Buehler to sign a one-year, $15MM deal this offseason, with the reasoning that he would seek out a pillow contract for 2025 and then quickly return to the market next winter after (hopefully) posting some front-of-the-rotation numbers.  Any number of teams could potentially be fits for Buehler on such a short-term deal, though presumably he would prefer pitching for a contender.

New York fits that description, and the Yankees are at least monitoring the free agent pitching market given reports noting their interest in Corbin Burnes, Max Fried, Blake Snell, and Sean Manaea.  The Bombers have the resources to broadly check in on basically any free agent at least out of due diligence, and the perception is that the club is prioritizing re-signing Juan Soto before any other bigger-ticket offseason business.

Signing Buehler to a one-year deal might not necessarily count as “bigger-ticket” in comparison to those other frontline pitchers who will command hefty multi-year contracts.  Any additions to the rotation, however, would seemingly necessitate a trade since the Yankees already have six rotation candidates on the roster in Gerrit Cole, Carlos Rodon, Clarke Schmidt, Nestor Cortes, Marcus Stroman, and reigning AL Rookie of the Year Luis Gil.  Cortes or Stroman are the likeliest trade candidates if New York does indeed add another starter, and moving pitching could allow the Yankees to address other needs in the lineup or bullpen.

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New York Yankees Walker Buehler

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Astros In “Conversations” With Justin Verlander

By Mark Polishuk | November 23, 2024 at 4:03pm CDT

In a recent appearance on ESPN’s Baseball Tonight podcast, Astros GM Dana Brown said the club had been in contact with free agent right-hander Justin Verlander about a possible reunion.  “We’ve had conversations with his agent [ISE’s Mark Pieper] just to try to feel him out.  I don’t know if there’s been a lot of progress, but we’re having conversations,” Brown said.

Unsurprisingly, it doesn’t sound like either side is quite ready to make a move this relatively early in the offseason.  As Brown noted earlier in the podcast, the Astros’ top priority at the moment is trying to re-sign Alex Bregman.  That high-profile pursuit is taking much of the team’s focus, even if Brown noted that the club is doing its due diligence on other potential moves (such as finding another third baseman) as well.

“If [Verlander] continues to work and he’s healthy, it’s going to be interesting to see where he goes and how much he gets.  But I’m sure there will be a bunch of teams calling the agent,” Brown said.  This is perhaps reading too much into wording, but Brown’s phrasing almost seemed to imply more of an arm’s length approach, as if the Astros were more curious spectators to Verlander’s market than active participants.

Verlander turns 42 in February, but he made it clear following the season that he wanted to return in 2025, and rebound from an injury-marred 2024 campaign.  The right-hander was limited to 90 1/3 innings due to a pair of injured-list stints prompted by shoulder injury and then neck discomfort.  The latter injury was particularly troublesome, as Verlander missed about 2.5 months due his neck issue and didn’t pitch well after he returned, leaving him feeling like he probably tried to come back too quickly.  The end result was a 5.48 ERA, the highest of Verlander’s career apart from the 7.11 ERA he posted over an 11 1/3-inning sample size in his very first Major League season in 2005.

It was just two seasons ago that Verlander won his third AL Cy Young Award, and in 2023, Verlander was still solid with a 3.22 ERA over 162 1/3 innings with the Mets and Astros.  A case can certainly be made that Verlander has more to contribute if healthy, and the righty has already defied Father Time once by delivering that last Cy Young campaigns after a Tommy John surgery cost him virtually all of the 2020-21 seasons.

That said, nobody would be surprised if age and injuries simply caught up to Verlander, and 2023 was really his last hurrah as a productive starting pitcher.  As Brown noted, Verlander’s track record alone will lead to interest from multiple teams, but is understandable if the Astros were ready to move on rather than risk being left holding the bag if Verlander declined further.

Framber Valdez, Hunter Brown, Ronel Blanco, and Spencer Arrighetti are lined up as the top four of Houston’s rotation, and the in-house candidates for the fifth starter’s role all come with big health-related question marks.  Lance McCullers Jr. has missed the last two seasons due to injuries, Luis Garcia hasn’t pitched since May 2023 due to a Tommy John surgery and a couple of setbacks, J.P. France missed most of 2024 due to shoulder surgery, and Cristian Javier had a TJ surgery last June and isn’t guaranteed to pitch at all in 2025.  Adding a reliable veteran arm to the mix certainly makes sense for Houston, though Verlander might not fit the bill given his own health status.

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Houston Astros Justin Verlander

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Giants Re-Sign Justin Garza To Minors Contract

By Mark Polishuk | November 23, 2024 at 2:36pm CDT

The Giants have re-signed right-hander Justin Garza to a new minor league contract, according to Baseball America’s Matt Eddy.  Garza returns for a second season in the organization, after posting a 3.42 ERA, 26.7% strikeout rate, and eight percent walk rate over 52 2/3 bullpen innings for Triple-A Sacramento in 2024.

Initially signed to a minors deal last March, Garza’s first year as a Giant didn’t see him receive any time on the active roster, so his MLB experience remains the 47 innings he posted with Cleveland in 2021 (28 2/3 IP) and Boston in 2023 (18 1/3 IP).  The righty has a 5.74 ERA to show for his time in the big leagues, as well as a 21K% and 13.7% walk rate.

Garza has always had his share of control problems, though this year’s Triple-A walk represents more of a step in the right direction.  After beginning his career as a starter, a move to bullpen work in 2021 bumped up Garza’s strikeout rates, thus earning him that initial look in the bigs.  His minor league numbers declined in 2022 and the Guardians parted ways after the season, and Garza signed on with the Angels on a minors contract that offseason before being claimed by the Red Sox in April 2023.

His solid numbers in Sacramento last year impressed the Giants enough for a fresh contract, so Garza will enjoy a bit of stability as he enters his age-31 season.  Garza still has two minor league options remaining, giving San Francisco some flexibility in shuffling him up and down between the MLB and Triple-A levels if they do ever select his contract for another look in the Show.

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San Francisco Giants Transactions Justin Garza

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Giants Interested In Tomoyuki Sugano

By Mark Polishuk | November 23, 2024 at 1:37pm CDT

The Giants are one of the teams considering longtime NPB ace Tomoyuki Sugano, MLB Network’s Jon Morosi writes (via X).  The 35-year-old is a full free agent and is expected to sign with a Major League club this winter on the heels of 12 outstanding seasons with the baseball world’s other Giants franchise, the 22-time Japan Series champion Yomiuri Giants.

Signing Sugano would be an intriguing move for the San Francisco version of the Giants in Buster Posey’s first offseason as the club’s president of baseball operations.  Logan Webb, Robbie Ray, and Kyle Harrison are assured of rotation jobs, Jordan Hicks will be in the mix if the Giants want to use him as a starter again, and a variety of less-experienced younger arms (i.e. Landen Roupp, Hayden Birdsong, Mason Black, Keaton Winn, and top prospect Carson Whisenhunt) are also vying for rotation.

While Sugano would obviously be a rookie in terms of MLB experience, he does bring more overall seasoning than most of San Francisco’s in-house rotation candidates.  If the Giants chose to accommodate Sugano by adopting a six-man rotation to emulate the Japanese standard of pitchers starting once per week, such an arrangement might also help manage the innings of the younger pitchers, though Webb or Ray might prefer a more traditional five-man schedule.

Due mostly to his age, MLBTR projected Sugano for a one-year, $12MM contract this winter, though a two-year pact certainly seems feasible.  Such a relatively inexpensive deal might be of particular interest to a Giants team that is reportedly planning to reduce spending after going over the luxury tax threshold in 2024.

RosterResource projects San Francisco’s 2025 payroll at just under $155MM at the moment, with a tax number of $182.28MM.  That leaves the Giants still with plenty of spending flexibility before they reach last year’s Opening Day payroll of roughly $208MM, as well as the $241MM luxury tax threshold.  Since the Giants have been linked to such hitters as Willy Adames, Ha-Seong Kim, and even Juan Soto this offseason, it could be that Posey is planning to make a bigger splash to address the club’s greater need of hitting, and then spend more modestly on pitching help.

This isn’t the first time that the Giants have been linked to Sugano, as they were one of several Major League clubs interested in his services when the Yomiuri Giants posted him during the 2020-21 offseason.  Sugano didn’t end up finding an acceptable contract and ended up re-signing with the Yomiuri Giants on a four-year, $40MM deal that included three opt-out clauses.  Sugano chose not to trigger any of those opt-outs and instead finished out the contract’s full four-year term.

Sugano has been one of Japan’s best pitchers of the last decade, posting a 2.43 ERA over 12 seasons and 1857 innings.  While not a big strikeout pitcher, he has exceptional control, with only a 4.68% walk rate over his entire NPB career.  Sugano’s long list of career plaudits includes two Central League MVP Awards, two Sawamura Awards as NPB’s top pitcher, and eight All-Star nods.  Even in his age-34 season, Sugano still excelled in 2024, with a 1.67 ERA over 156 2/3 innings.

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San Francisco Giants Tomoyuki Sugano

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Dodgers Sign Giovanny Gallegos To Minors Contract

By Mark Polishuk | November 23, 2024 at 12:37pm CDT

The Dodgers have signed right-hander Giovanny Gallegos to a minor league deal, MLB Trade Rumors’ Steve Adams reports (links to X).  Gallegos will receive an invitation to the team’s big league Spring Training camp, and a $2.5MM base salary if he makes Los Angeles’ active roster with $1.5MM more available in incentives.  The deal has three opt-out dates, giving Gallegos some flexibility if the Dodgers have no plans to select his contract.

A veteran of eight Major League seasons, the 33-year-old Gallegos is best known for his tremendous four-year run with the Cardinals from 2019-22, when he posted a 2.84 ERA, 32% strikeout rate, and 6.6% walk rate over 228 1/3 innings out of the St. Louis bullpen.  This performance earned him a two-year, $11MM extension in October 2022 that covered Gallegos’ remaining two arbitration years, and gave the Cardinals a $6.5MM club option on Gallegos’ services for 2025.

Gallegos’ performance took a step backwards with a 4.42 ERA in 2023, as his strikeout rate dropped and his home runs totals spiked.  This was the harbinger of the right-hander’s very rough 2024 campaign, as Gallegos had a 6.53 ERA in 20 2/3 innings with a host of subpar metrics, as well as six homers allowed in that small sample size.

Between the lack of production and a little over six weeks spent on the IL due to a shoulder impingement, Gallegos pitched himself out of the Cardinals’ plans, as they designated him for assignment and he elected free agency at the start of August.  The Twins quickly inked Gallegos to a minor league deal but he didn’t see any time on their big league roster after posting a 4.26 ERA at Triple-A St. Paul with more walks (10) than strikeouts (8) over 12 2/3 innings.

While the arrow has been pointing down on Gallegos over the last two seasons, the Dodgers have a long track record of helping pitchers reclaim past form, or finding new levels of performance.  If the L.A. coaches and player development staff can find a fix for the right-hander’s recent woes, the Dodgers could unearth a low-cost arm that can be part of their 2025 bullpen, and perhaps even their late-game mix.

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Los Angeles Dodgers Transactions Giovanny Gallegos

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Yankees Release Cody Morris

By Mark Polishuk | November 23, 2024 at 11:41am CDT

The Yankees released right-hander Cody Morris, as per Morris’ MLB.com profile page.  Morris was initially acquired from the Guardians in a trade last December, and the reliever was outrighted off New York’s 40-man roster back in July but remained in the organization until this week.

A seventh-round pick for Cleveland in the 2018 draft, Morris debuted in the Show with a 2.28 ERA in 23 2/3 innings with the Guardians in 2022, though both a teres major strain and continued control problems resulted in a 6.75 ERA over just eight big league frames in 2023.  These 31 2/3 total innings remain the entirety of Morris’ MLB resume, as he didn’t receive any official playing time with the Yankees even though New York gave him a couple of brief call-ups to the 26-man roster.

Morris instead spent most of the year at Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre, where he posted a 4.03 ERA in 38 innings, along with a strong 27.1% strikeout rate.  Morris has long been able to miss bats dating back to his college days with South Carolina, yet he has increasingly run into control issues in both the majors and upper minors.  He had a 15.3% walk rate at Triple-A this season, and Morris’ brief time in the big leagues saw him post a 13% walk rate during his 31 2/3 total innings.  The loss of control has more or less coincided with Morris’ move to being more or less a full-time relief pitcher over the last two seasons.

Since strikeout ability will always catch a team’s attention, Morris is likely to land somewhere on a minor league contract.  At age 28, Morris still has late-bloomer potential, and an enterprising pitching coach or two might have some ideas about how to solve Morris’ control problems.

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New York Yankees Transactions Cody Morris

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Reds Re-Sign Reiver Sanmartin To Minors Contract

By Mark Polishuk | November 23, 2024 at 10:19am CDT

The Reds have signed left-hander Reiver Sanmartin to a minor league deal, according to Baseball America’s Matt Eddy.  The southpaw will return for what will be his sixth on-field season in the Reds organization, not counting the canceled 2020 minor league campaign.

Three of those seasons saw Sanmartin appear at the MLB level, as he posted a 5.77 ERA over 82 2/3 innings from 2021-23.  Fifty-seven of those innings came in 2022 when Sanmartin had a 6.32 ERA in 57 frames, mostly out of Cincinnati’s bullpen.  His 2023 campaign was limited to 14 innings due to a UCL-related surgery in July 2023, and though the Reds non-tendered him last winter, he was quickly re-signed to a new minors deal.

Sanmartin made it back to the mound in July, even if the results were rocky.  The left-hander had a 6.33 ERA in 21 1/3 minor league innings split across three levels of Cincinnati’s farm system, with Sanmartin posting a 7.36 ERA, 20% strikeout rate, and 7.8% walk rate in 18 1/3 innings at Triple-A Louisville.  A whopping .377 BABIP contributed to these struggles, as bad batted-ball luck is particularly deadly to a grounder specialist like Sanmartin.

Despite the mediocre bottom-line numbers, the Reds saw enough to bring the 28-year-old back on another minors contract.  It could be that the team feels Sanmartin’s performance was hampered by the BABIP gods, or simply that he’ll pitch better now that he’ll have a normal and healthy offseason in front of him.  The signing also gives Cincinnati a bit of extra left-handed bullpen depth behind Sam Moll and Brent Suter.

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Cincinnati Reds Transactions Reiver Sanmartin

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Josh Sborz Undergoes Shoulder Surgery, Will Miss First 2-3 Months Of 2025 Season

By Mark Polishuk | November 23, 2024 at 7:56am CDT

The Rangers announced yesterday that they’d avoided arbitration with reliever Josh Sborz, as the two sides agreed to a one-year, $1.1MM contract for the 2025 season.  However, the right-hander is going to miss a big chunk of the season after recently undergoing a shoulder debridement surgery, Evan Grant of the Dallas Morning News reports (X link).  Sborz is expected to miss the first two or three months of the 2025 campaign while recovering.

It isn’t surprising that Sborz went under the knife, as an ailing shoulder limited him to only 16 1/3 innings and 17 appearances out of the Texas bullpen last year.  Sborz was sent to the injured list four separate times — twice due to a right rotator cuff strain, and then twice due to fatigue in that same shoulder.  He pitched just once after August 7, and he told Grant at the end of the season that he was going to consult Dr. Neal ElAttrache to try and “get clarity” about the root of his shoulder issues.

Sborz earned a $1.025MM salary in 2024, and was projected to get just a slight bump up to a $1.3MM salary in his second year of arbitration eligibility.  Undoubtedly the surgery was a factor in Sborz agreeing to an even more minimal raise, though the agreement does give him some contractual piece of mind as he can now focus on a lengthy rehab process.  The Rangers probably at least thought about non-tendering Sborz in the wake of the surgery, yet $1.1MM isn’t a huge amount of money to invest, plus Sborz is also arb-controlled through the 2026 season.

Sborz (who turns 31 in December) has pitched in parts of the last six MLB seasons, breaking into the Show with the Dodgers in 2019 before the Rangers acquired him prior to the 2021 season.  He posted a 3.97 ERA over 59 innings with Texas in 2021, though elbow problems factored into a 6.45 ERA over only 22 1/3 frames in 2022, and Sborz also had a 5.50 ERA in 52 1/3 innings in 2023.

It adds up to a 4.86 ERA over his time in Arlington, though with a much more impressive 3.46 SIERA.  Sborz’s numbers are somewhat inflated by his issues keeping the ball in the park, as well as some unfortunate batted-ball luck (primarily a .396 BABIP during that rough 2022 season).  A 10% walk rate also hasn’t helped, but Sborz has missed a good number of bats, as indicated by his 28.7% strikeout rate.  The 2023 season was particularly inconsistent for Sborz, though he got on track when the Rangers needed him most — Sborz had an 0.75 ERA in 12 playoff innings to help Texas secure the World Series title.

Kirby Yates, David Robertson, Jose Leclerc, Jose Urena, and Andrew Chafin are all free agents, so rebuilding the bullpen is a priority for the Rangers this winter.  Retaining a familiar face in Sborz will add one piece to the puzzle, even if it’ll be a while before Sborz is able to make his 2025 debut.

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Texas Rangers Josh Sborz

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Phillies Plan To Meet With Juan Soto

By Mark Polishuk | November 19, 2024 at 11:28am CDT

Juan Soto’s tour through free agency has thus far taken him to meetings with the Yankees, Mets, Red Sox, and Blue Jays, with another meeting set for later today between Soto’s camp and Dodgers brass.  Another big-market team can be added to the mix, as the New York Post’s Jon Heyman (via X) writes that the Phillies also intend to sit down with the free agent slugger, though a meeting isn’t yet known to be officially scheduled.

It comes as no shock that the Phils will at least check in on the market for another big name, as ownership and president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski haven’t been shy about courting and signing superstar free agents.  Bryce Harper and Trea Turner are two of those stars, and it is fair to assume that Harper and Turner have exchanged a few texts and calls with their former Nationals teammate Soto about a reunion in Philadelphia.

Earlier this month, Phillies chairman John Middleton acknowledged that his team would be involved in the Soto sweepstakes to some degree, though Middleton was rather candid in his evaluation of Soto’s market.  Middleton felt “Soto wants to be in New York, and I don’t mind being a stalking horse.  At some point, if Dave and I get that feeling, we’ll probably say, ’You know what, we’re not going to win this’ because we’ve both been the stalking horse before.”

This hints that the Phillies aren’t planning quite as pitched a pursuit as other suitors in the race, though it costs the Phils nothing to meet with Soto and agent Scott Boras to access the situation.  Just in case other teams don’t meet Soto’s asking price or some other obstacle arises, Philadelphia could position itself as a fallback option that still checks a lot of boxes on Soto’s presumed wish list, as the Phillies are a consistent contender who should remain in the playoff hunt for some time to come.

Signing Soto to a record contract would further elevate the Phillies’ already-large payroll.  As per RosterResource, Philadelphia has an approximate $269MM payroll and a $288MM tax number for 2025 even before any significant offseason moves have been made, so adding Soto would send the Phillies far beyond the highest tax penalty tier of $301MM.  Since the Phillies have made luxury-tax payments in each of the last three seasons, they already face an increased price tag for any further overages, so signing Soto would essentially come at twice the cost of his actual salary.

Middleton might not necessarily mind at least a one-year splurge, since Kyle Schwarber and J.T. Realmuto are free agents next winter, and thus represent some significant money coming off the Phillies’ books.  Ideally, the Phils would probably love to free up money this winter by moving at least one of Nick Castellanos or Taijuan Walker, though that is much easier said that done since both players have negligible trade value.

If Soto was signed and Castellanos stayed put, the two would handle the corner outfield positions in some fashion while Brandon Marsh and Johan Rojas became a center field platoon.  This wouldn’t be an ideal arrangement from a glovework perspective, yet the Phillies probably wouldn’t mind a defensive step backwards if it meant putting Soto’s power bat into the lineup.

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Philadelphia Phillies Juan Soto

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