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9 Contract Options To Keep An Eye On In September

By Steve Adams | September 5, 2025 at 6:34pm CDT

The final push of the 2025 season is upon is, which means postseason chases for fans lucky enough to root for contending clubs and offseason dreams for those whose clubs are already out of the running. It also means that players with vesting clauses in their contract and/or performance incentives are beginning to unlock bonuses related to plate appearances, innings pitched, games finished, etc.

In particular, there are a handful of club options that are worth keeping an eye on either for incentive purposes or for season-long rehabbers who’ll have a limited September window to audition for next year’s club. MLBTR’s Anthony Franco already highlighted the three vesting options of note last month, but we’ll still take a look at how those players are tracking and also shine a light on six more club/mutual options that’ll have some present financial ramifications as well as potential 2026 roster implications.

Here are nine options to keep in the back of your mind as the season’s final weeks play out…

Pete Fairbanks, RHP, Rays

Fairbanks’ three-year, $12MM extension with Tampa Bay contained a $7MM club option for the 2026 season, but he’s boosted that option’s value considerably. Fairbanks already triggered $1.5MM in escalators based on his total appearances in the first three seasons of the deal, and he’s maxed out a set of escalators based on his number of games finished in 2025, tacking another $2MM onto the option price. His option at this moment is valued at $10.5MM, but if he appears in even two more games this year, he’ll boost his 2023-25 appearance count to 150, adding another $1MM to its value. If he appears in seven of Tampa Bay’s final 22 games, he’ll bump his 2025 appearance total to 60 and add yet another $1MM escalator onto the deal.

A $12.5MM salary for a reliever is steep for the Rays, but Fairbanks has pitched a career-high 52 1/3 innings and logged a 3.10 ERA, 25.2% strikeout rate and 7% walk rate en route to 24 saves. Even if the Rays were hesitant to commit $11.5MM or $12.5MM to a frequently injured reliever who’ll turn 32 in December, a team with lesser budgetary concerns would be willing to do. The option will very likely be picked up either way, but the steeper the cost, the likelier an offseason trade becomes.

Andrés Muñoz, RHP, Mariners

Muñoz’s four-year, $7.5MM contract has become one of the game’s great bargains. At the time of the agreement, he’d made just one appearance for the M’s and had only 23 2/3 major league innings under his belt due to Tommy John surgery. The four-year term bought out his final pre-arbitration year and all three arbitration seasons, while also giving Seattle options on his first three free agent years. It’s easy to say now that Muñoz would’ve earned more through arbitration, but it’s hard to blame a 22-year-old who’d scarcely pitched in the majors for locking in that life-changing payday, and there was some modest risk for the Mariners in the deal as well.

The first of those three option years has a $6MM base value, but Muñoz has already boosted that by $500K. He unlocked $250K option escalators when he reached 20 and 30 games finished on the season. He’s finished 39 games now, and he’ll hit additional $250K escalators when he finishes his 40th and 45th games of the season. The first of those is a lock, and the second is certainly within reach.

Muñoz’s contract also has an $8MM club option for 2027 and a $10MM club option for 2028. He can boost both those figures by $1MM with the same set of escalators based on his games finished in the next two seasons, and beginning next year, he can also earn an additional $2MM per season based on games finished.

John Means, LHP, Guardians

Coming off his second career Tommy John surgery, Means signed a one-year, $1MM deal with the Guardians. Cleveland knew full well he’d miss most of the season recovering from last summer’s UCL operation. Means has a $6MM club option, with no buyout. He can’t boost that sum any further, but he’s on the cusp of returning to the majors and making what’ll amount to a two- or three-start audition.

Means, 32, has made four minor league rehab starts and has pitched well. He’s tossed 13 1/3 innings and yielded four earned runs (2.70 ERA) on eight hits and five walks with 13 punchouts. He’d been slated to make his final rehab start today before being scratched with an illness, but a return to the majors could happen as soon as next weekend.

When healthy, Means has been a high-quality starter. He’s posted a 3.68 ERA in 401 big league innings, all coming with the Orioles. He’s a former Opening Day starter and All-Star for Baltimore who has twice topped 140 innings in a season. A pair of UCL surgeries has limited him to just 52 1/3 innings since Opening Day 2022, however.

The Athletic’s Zack Meisel suggests that as long as Means is healthy, the option will be picked up. The Guards have committed a full year to rehabilitating the talented lefty. And, as explored at MLBTR last night, Cleveland has an uncharacteristic need for some pitching upgrades. A $6MM gamble on Means isn’t exactly a pricey roll of the dice, but the Guardians are one of the sport’s lowest-payroll clubs. If Means returns next week and gets rocked in his only two or three big league starts this year, it doesn’t feel like a given that they’ll dedicate that $6MM sum to him. If he looks even close to his old form, it seems like a reasonable risk to take. His handful of starts will be worth watching with a careful eye for Cleveland fans.

Jose Urquidy, RHP, Tigers

Urquidy is in a very similar situation to that of Means. He’s rehabbing from a second career Tommy John surgery and signed a one-year, $1MM deal with a $4MM club option for the 2026 season. Like Means, he’s on a minor league rehab assignment right now and could be activated in the near future. The former Astros righty tossed three scoreless innings for Triple-A Toledo three days ago and has now pitched 14 2/3 minor league innings with a 4.30 ERA and a 12-to-3 K/BB ratio.

Urquidy and Means have nearly identical career innings totals, though Urquidy’s 405 frames have come in a more condensed five seasons. From 2019-22, the right-hander posted a 3.74 ERA with a 20.3% strikeout rate and 5.2% walk rate in 342 innings for Houston. He was hit hard in a 2023 season that was shortened by shoulder troubles (5.29 ERA in 63 frames) and didn’t pitch in 2024 due to the elbow/forearm discomfort that eventually prompted his Tommy John surgery in early June last year.

If Urquidy comes back anywhere close to that 2019-22 form, a $4MM option should be a no-brainer, but a rocky performance could give the Tigers reason to pause. Urquidy’s return will also be worth monitoring since he could pitch his way into postseason roster consideration for Detroit.

Tyler Kinley, RHP, Braves

Atlanta looked past Kinley’s dismal 5.66 ERA with the Rockies and acquired him in July, clearly believing that the hard-throwing righty was only a few tweaks away from success. It’s been a masterstroke. Kinley has pitched 13 2/3 innings and allowed just one run since being traded to Atlanta in exchange for 26-year-old Double-A righty Austin Smith. The Braves have Kinley throwing even more sliders and working with a slightly lower release point, and the results have been stellar — albeit in a small sample.

The Braves were out of the postseason chase by the time the deadline rolled around, so the mere fact that they traded for a potential free agent with a 2026 club option signaled that they were open to exercising that option in spite of his struggles. Kinley’s success in Atlanta makes it quite likely he’ll return, but there’s a good chance it won’t be at the $5MM base price of his value. His contract contains option escalators based on games finished, the first of which kicks in at 20. Kinley has currently finished 18 games this year, including three with Atlanta. If he finishes two more, he’ll boost next year’s option to $5.5MM — and he’ll also unlock a $500K bonus for the current season.

It’s not a major change, but those incentives would bump him from a $2.08MM luxury tax hit to $2.875MM. Assuming the options on Kinley, Pierce Johnson, Chris Sale, Ozzie Albies and Ha-Seong Kim are all exercised, Atlanta will have $207.5MM committed to next year’s books when the offseason begins (before accounting for arbitration raises).

Harrison Bader, OF, Phillies

Bader has proven to be a terrific pickup for the Phils, hitting .307/.374/.477 in his first 99 plate appearances since being traded over from Minnesota. He’s up to 406 plate appearances on the season, which is just enough for his incentive structure to kick in. The $1.5MM buyout on Bader’s $10MM mutual option jumped to $1.7MM when he reached 400 plate appearances, and it’ll climb to $1.9MM at 425 plate appearances and $2.1MM if he reaches 450. It’s a minor bump, but for a Phillies club that’s a third-time luxury payor in the top tier of penalization, they’ll pay a 110% tax on the prorated portion of that extra $600K.

Given the strength of Bader’s play, they’ll happily pay that, of course, and the increased buyout does nothing to change the fact that Bader will return to free agency this winter. It’s been over a decade since the last time both sides of a mutual option were exercised in MLB (Brewers, Aramis Ramirez in 2014). Bader’s plus defense and strong season at the plate should position him for a multi-year deal in the offseason.

Jorge Polanco, INF, Mariners

Polanco is nine plate appearances shy of converting his 2026 mutual option into a $6MM player option. He’s also already tacked $2MM onto his 2025 salary via plate appearance incentives, and when he hits the 450 mark needed to trigger that player option, he’ll unlock another $500K. That’ll bump the veteran switch-hitter up to a $9.5MM salary in 2025. He’d get another $500K if he can make it to 500 plate appearances, but it’s not a guarantee he’ll get 59 plate appearances in between now and season’s end.

Though he’s slumped considerably in the middle months of the season, Polanco has heated up again in the past three weeks. He’s slashing .254/.319/.471 with 23 homers and 17 doubles in only 441 plate appearances — miles better than the down year he had with the M’s in 2024 before undergoing offseason knee surgery. He’s played well enough that he’s probably going to decline a $6MM player option anyhow, but it’ll be a nice safety net in the event of an injury (so long as it’s not a lower-half injury, as his contract contains language that’d prevent the player option from kicking in if he’s dealing with an injury related to that offseason knee procedure).

Matt Strahm, LHP, Phillies

Strahm is on the cusp of having his contract’s 2026 option vest. While that originally came at a $4.5MM base value, he’s already boosted the option value to $6.5MM via $1MM escalators at 40 and 50 innings pitched. Once he reaches 60, the option value increases to its maximum $7.5MM. The contract also stipulates that if Strahm pitches 60 innings and passes a physical at the end of the season, it’ll automatically vest.

Strahm has been excellent in 2025, logging 56 1/3 frames of 2.88 ERA ball with a 27.9% strikeout rate and 7.7% walk rate. He’s saved six games and tallied 17 holds. The Phillies would’ve picked up the option anyhow, but this removes any doubt.

Lucas Giolito, RHP, Red Sox

Giolito’s two-year, $38.5MM contract with Boston couldn’t have started much worse. The typically durable righty went down with a UCL injury in spring training last year, ultimately requiring surgery that wiped out his entire 2024 season. His 2025 return didn’t appear to be going well early on, either. Through his first seven starts, the 31-year-old was shelled for a 6.42 ERA in just 33 2/3 innings.

Since June 10, however, Giolito has returned to form. He’s started 15 games, totaled 91 2/3 innings and logged a pristine 2.26 earned run average. His 21.1% strikeout rate and 8.6% walk rate in that time are both about half a percentage point worse than league average among starting pitchers, but it’s been a strong run overall, pushing his season ERA down to a tidy 3.38.

That turnaround would make Giolito’s $14MM club option likely to be picked up — but it’s not likely to remain a club option. The right-hander’s contract stipulates that with 140 innings pitched this year, that option converts into a $19MM mutual option with a $1.5MM buyout. With 125 1/3 innings under his belt, Giolito only needs another 14 2/3 frames in the final three weeks to convert that option to mutual status. If and when he reaches that point, Giolito is a lock to decline his half of the mutual option, collect that buyout and return to free agency in search of a multi-year deal. The Sox could — and likely would — counter with a qualifying offer, but the hefty contracts for mid-rotation arms like Eduardo Rodriguez (four years, $80MM), Sean Manaea (three years, $75MM), Taijuan Walker (four years, $72MM), Jameson Taillon (four years, $68MM) and Luis Severino (three years, $67MM) in recent offseasons all suggest that Giolito can reasonably seek a pricey three- or four-year deal ahead of what’ll be his age-31 season.

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Atlanta Braves Boston Red Sox Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers Philadelphia Phillies Tampa Bay Rays Andres Munoz Harrison Bader John Means Jorge Polanco Jose Urquidy Lucas Giolito Matt Strahm Pete Fairbanks Tyler Kinley

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Diamondbacks Claim Elvin Rodriguez

By Steve Adams | September 5, 2025 at 3:26pm CDT

The D-backs have claimed righty Elvin Rodriguez off waivers from the Orioles, per announcements from both teams. Arizona transferred first baseman/designated hitter Pavin Smith to the 60-day injured list to open a spot on the 40-man roster. Smith was placed on the 10-day IL in late August, so the move to the 60-day injured list officially ends his season.

Rodriguez signed a split major league deal with the Brewers over the winter after pitching well in Japan’s Nippon Professional Baseball from 2023-24. He pitched 18 2/3 innings with Milwaukee and just one inning with Baltimore, combining for an ugly 9.15 ERA between the two teams. He’s been far better in Triple-A, logging a combined 40 1/3 frames with a 4.46 ERA, 18.3% strikeout rate and 5.3% walk rate between Norfolk and Nashville.

The now-27-year-old Rodriguez made his MLB debut with the 2022 Tigers (29 2/3 innings) and pitched even more briefly with the 2023 Rays (3 1/3 innings). He’s allowed more than a run per inning in his 52 2/3 big league frames but has a decent track record in Triple-A and turned in a sparkling 1.80 ERA in 45 innings pitching in Japan. Rodriguez is in the second of three minor league option years. If the D-backs hold onto him into the 2026 season, he’d still have one option remaining, but given his rough performance in the majors this year, it’s far from a sure thing he’ll stick on the roster that long.

As for Smith, the quad injury will formally end a season that started in impressive fashion but faded as the year progressed. Smith hit .270/.348/.547 in 158 plate appearances last year and came roaring out of the gate with a .291/.347/.473 slash in 174 plate appearances through the end of May. He’s since cratered with a .208/.310/.375 batting line in 114 plate appearances and now won’t get a chance to pull himself out of that slump.

Even with the poor finish, Smith touts a .262/.357/.475 slash and 17 homers in 446 plate appearances dating back to last year. By measure of wRC+, he’s been 29% better than average in the batter’s box. The lefty-swinging Smith has the benefit of being platooned, and the D-backs will surely look to pair him up with a righty bat next year, but he’s emerged as a viable contributor on the strong side of a first base or DH platoon — a welcome development for a former top-10 pick who hit just .240/.319/.379 through his first 1094 MLB plate appearances from 2020-23.

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Arizona Diamondbacks Baltimore Orioles Transactions Elvin Rodriguez Pavin Smith

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Marlins Announce Several Roster Moves

By Steve Adams | September 5, 2025 at 2:51pm CDT

The Marlins have designated right-hander Luarbert Arias for assignment and selected the contract of infielder Jack Winkler from Triple-A Jacksonville, per a club announcement. They’ve also placed third baseman Connor Norby and outfielder Derek Hill on the 10-day injured list — the former due to a quad strain and the latter due to a hamstring strain. Lefty Josh Simpson and infielder Maximo Acosta have been recalled from Triple-A to take that pair of roster spots.

Arias, a 24-year-old righty, made his major league debut with Miami this season but was torched for 13 runs in 10 1/3 innings. He’s posted a 3.93 ERA in 18 1/3 innings in Triple-A but walked nearly twice as many batters (13) as he’s punched out (seven). The Marlins selected Arias, a former minor league Rule 5 pickup out of the Padres organization, back in November to protect him from being nabbed in the major league phase of the most recent Rule 5 draft.

At the time, it wasn’t hard to see why. Arias was coming off a strong year in Jacksonville, having totaled 68 innings with a 3.04 ERA, 25.8% strikeout rate and 9.3% walk rate. He’s taken notable steps back this season and has already been designated for assignment and passed through waivers once this summer. Because of that prior outright, he can reject a minor league assignment in favor of free agency if he once again goes unclaimed.

Winkler’s contract is being selected to the roster for the second time this season. The 26-year-old utilityman went 2-for-12 with a pair of singles in a very brief MLB look earlier this year but has since been designated for assignment and outrighted. He’s back in the majors now despite struggling through a 9-for-58 skid in Triple-A between big league stints. He’ll add a righty bat with some defensive versatility to the Marlins’ bench while Norby is out, but Winkler posted a lackluster .220/.291/.328 batting line in 261 plate appearances during his Triple-A debut this year, so fans shouldn’t expect much in the way of offensive contributions.

It’s the third IL stint of the season for both Norby and Hill. Given the minimal time left on the regular-season calendar, either injury could feasibly be season-ending, but there’s been no definitive word from the club on that front just yet.

Norby, acquired alongside Kyle Stowers in last summer’s Trevor Rogers trade with Baltimore, hasn’t hit nearly as well as hoped this year. The former top prospect has been sidelined by oblique and wrist injuries previously, batting .274/.298/.373 when healthy enough to take the field. Hill, 29, has played strong defense but hit just .213/.275/.331 in 141 plate appearances on the year. He’s previously missed time due to wrist and finger injuries.

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Miami Marlins Transactions Connor Norby Derek Hill Jack Winkler Luarbert Arias

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White Sox Select Dominic Fletcher

By Steve Adams | September 5, 2025 at 2:25pm CDT

The White Sox have selected the contract of outfielder Dominic Fletcher from Triple-A Charlotte and reinstated righty Dan Altavilla from the 15-day injured list, per a club announcement. Right-hander Jonathan Cannon and first baseman Tim Elko were optioned to Charlotte in a pair of corresponding transactions.

Fletcher, 28, was acquired from the D-backs in the 2023-24 offseason trade that sent pitching prospect Cristian Mena to Arizona. It hasn’t worked out particularly well for either team. Fletcher hit only .206/.252/.256 in 241 plate appearances with Chicago last year — a far cry from his strong .301/.350/.441 showing in 102 plate appearances during the 2023 season. The Sox designated him for assignment in spring training and passed him through waivers.

Fletcher has spent the entire 2025 season thus far in Triple-A, where he’s batted .260/.317/.453 with 17 home runs, 19 doubles, four triples and seven steals (in 11 attempts). He’s walked at just a 6.5% clip but also has a lower-than-average 19.5% strikeout rate.

Altavilla missed more than a month due to a lat strain but will return for the final few weeks of the season. He signed a big league deal with the ChiSox midseason after briefly opting out of a minor league deal with the club. In 26 2/3 innings, the 32-year-old righty (33 on Sunday) has posted a tidy 2.36 earned run average but with far less encouraging rate stats. He’s fanned only 15.5% of his opponents against a bloated 12.7% walk rate (leading to a 5.84 FIP and 5.08 SIERA).

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Chicago White Sox Transactions Dan Altavilla Dominic Fletcher Jonathan Cannon Tim Elko

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Tigers Place Kyle Finnegan On Injured List, Activate Parker Meadows

By Steve Adams | September 5, 2025 at 2:22pm CDT

The Tigers announced Friday that right-hander Kyle Finnegan has been placed on the 15-day injured list due to a right adductor strain. Finnegan felt tightness when warming up in the bullpen recently and was held back from entering that game. The team had hoped he’d avoid an IL trip, but Finnegan will now be down for at least the next couple weeks.

In more positive news, the corresponding move for placing Finnegan on the injured list is the reinstatement of outfielder Parker Meadows from the 10-day IL. He’s been out since late July due to a strained quadriceps but is in tonight’s lineup, hitting ninth and playing center field.

Detroit acquired the 32-year-old Finnegan from the Nationals at the deadline in exchange for pitching prospects Josh Randall and R.J. Sales. He’s been exceptional in his new surroundings, firing 14 1/3 shutout innings with a mammoth 38.8% strikeout rate against a sharp 6.1% walk rate. The Nats have more than doubled the usage rate on Finnegan’s splitter and have him throwing far fewer four-seamers, and he’s seen enormous jumps in both strikeout rate and swinging-strike rate (from 9.2% to 14.3%).

Finnegan has always had plus velocity but has generally posted strikeout rates around the league average despite that fact. He’s still sitting 96.3 mph on his four-seamer, per Statcast, but the Tigers have helped him unlock greater bat-missing ability, which should bode well for his return trip to free agency at season’s end. For the time being, the focus will be on getting him back to the field as quickly as possible. Finnegan has picked up four saves and a hold with Detroit, and since his acquisition, he’s been their No. 2 option in high-leverage situations behind Will Vest.

As for the 25-year-old Meadows, he’s had a season to forget, thanks in no small part to injuries. The 2018 second-rounder had a breakout performance in 2024 when he hit .244/.310/.433 with nine homers, nine steals and strong defense in 82 big league games. He missed the first two-plus months of the current season due to a nerve issue in his upper arm, however, and he strained his quad only seven weeks after returning. In the interim, he hit just .200/.270/.296 with a 29.2% strikeout rate that was up four percentage points over his 2024 level.

The Tigers have been using Wenceel Perez and Javier Baez in center field, but Perez’s glove doesn’t grade out particularly well there and Baez can now mix in at additional positions as he continues to embrace his super-utility role. Meadows will be flanked by Riley Greene and a combination of Perez, Baez, Justyn-Henry Malloy and Kerry Carpenter in the outfield.

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Detroit Tigers Kyle Finnegan Parker Meadows

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Nationals Outright Darren Baker

By Steve Adams | September 5, 2025 at 1:50pm CDT

The Nationals announced Friday that infielder/outfielder Darren Baker, whom they had designated for assignment earlier in the week, went unclaimed on waivers and was assigned outright to Triple-A Rochester. He’ll remain with the organization but will no longer occupy a spot on the 40-man roster.

The 26-year-old Baker made his major league debut with Washington last September and went 7-for-14 with two doubles and five singles. The son of Hall of Famer and former Nats manager Dusty Baker, Darren has spent the bulk of the past three seasons in Rochester, hitting for solid batting averages that have helped fuel a solid on-base percentage. He has bottom-of-the-scale power, however, resulting in an ultimate .274/.345/.336 batting line in just shy of 1300 plate appearances. Baker runs well and has collected 83 steals in 99 attempts in his 309 games at the Triple-A level.

Baker has spent the majority of his professional career playing second base but has more than 900 innings in left field as well. He hasn’t been outrighted previously in his career and doesn’t have three years of big league service, so he doesn’t have the option to reject this assignment in favor of free agency. He’ll stick around as a depth option and hope to play his way back into another look at the big league level.

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Transactions Washington Nationals Darren Baker

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Twins Outright Noah Davis

By Steve Adams | September 5, 2025 at 11:34am CDT

The Twins announced Friday that they’ve passed right-hander Noah Davis through waivers and assigned him outright to Triple-A St. Paul. That’ll be the corresponding roster move for Pablo Lopez’s previously reported reinstatement from the 60-day injured list, which is now official.

Davis landed in Minnesota back in July, coming over from the Dodgers in a cash swap after he’d been designated for assignment. The 2018 eleventh-rounder made four short relief appearances for the Twins and allowed multiple runs in all of them. He’s been tagged for 22 runs in 11 innings between Minnesota and L.A. this season, further inflating the already unsightly 7.71 ERA he logged in parts of three seasons with the Rockies (51 1/3 innings).

Though Davis has been hit exceptionally hard in the majors, he has a more encouraging track record in the upper minors. He’s pitched 176 2/3 innings in Triple-A, logging a 4.79 ERA despite most of his time being spent in an exorbitantly hitter-friendly setting (Colorado’s Albuquerque club in the Pacific Coast League). Davis has pitched 43 1/3 innings between the Triple-A clubs for the Dodgers and Twins this year and turned in a solid 3.95 ERA with a strong 26.1% strikeout rate.

This is the second career outright for Davis — the Rockies outrighted him last September — which gives him the right to reject the assignment to Triple-A in favor of free agency, should he prefer to seek a change of scenery.

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Minnesota Twins Transactions Noah Davis Pablo Lopez

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The Guardians’ Surprising Pitching Need

By Steve Adams | September 4, 2025 at 11:59pm CDT

When it comes to pitching development, Cleveland has been a model organization for years. The Guardians have churned out quality starter after quality starter. Among the names they've either drafted or acquired as a prospect and developed into a true big leaguer are Corey Kluber, Carlos Carrasco, Shane Bieber, Trevor Bauer, Mike Clevinger, Tanner Bibee, Gavin Williams, Logan Allen, Aaron Civale, Zach Plesac, Cal Quantrill, Danny Salazar and Triston McKenzie. Journeyman Ben Lively turned his career around in Cleveland recently. Matthew Boyd parlayed eight strong starts with the '24 Guardians into a two-year deal with the Cubs and looks completely revitalized.

Not all of those arms have sustained their success, of course. Injuries and general pitcher attrition hit the Guardians, just like any other club. Salazar, McKenzie and plenty of others in the past decade have run into health troubles that derailed their careers. Bieber's 2024 lasted only two starts before Tommy John surgery, and he was traded to the Blue Jays in July before making it back to a big league mound in Cleveland (albeit in a deal netting a pretty strong pitching prospect, Khal Stephen). Daniel Espino went from the sport's top pitching prospect to the poster boy for the "What if..." crowd after a series of significant injuries -- including two shoulder surgeries -- blew up his promising career. He's still with the organization but hasn't pitched in a game since 2022 (when he tossed only 18 1/3 innings).

The Guardians have had similar success in the bullpen, churning out names like Emmanuel Clase, Cade Smith, Trevor Stephan, Hunter Gaddis, Cody Allen, Bryan Shaw, Sam Hentges, James Karinchak and more. As with the starters -- even more so, in fact -- injuries and attrition have whittled away at the group, but Cleveland has generally been able to bank on piecing together a strong relief corps while rarely investing significant money to do so.

Over the past decade, Cleveland starters rank second in the majors in innings pitched and are tied for fifth in ERA. The rotation has been so good that Cleveland relievers have pitched the fewest innings of any team in the game. Their relievers, unsurprisingly, lead MLB in earned run average in that span.

We've come to take for granted that the Guardians will just produce a good pitching staff even when they lack clear name value. Almost as if by magic, they seemingly pluck strong pitching performances from thin air. That hasn't quite been the case in 2025, however, and there's reason to wonder whether they can get back on track in 2026.

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Cleveland Guardians Front Office Originals

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NPB’s Kazuma Okamoto, Tatsuya Imai Expected To Be Posted For MLB Teams

By Steve Adams | September 4, 2025 at 7:34pm CDT

7:34pm: Jon Heyman of The New York Post writes that Okamoto and Imai are indeed both expected to be posted this offseason.

12:24pm: Every offseason, a handful of high-profile players from Japan’s Nippon Professional Baseball and the Korea Baseball Organization in South Korea either reach true free agency or are made available to MLB teams by way of the posting system. We already know that slugging third baseman Munetaka Murakami (NPB’s Yakult Swallows) and steady right-hander Kona Takahashi (NPB’s Seibu Lions) will be posted this winter. Breakout infielder Sung Mun Song (KBO’s Kiwoom Heroes) is hoping to be posted for big league clubs as well. ESPN’s Jeff Passan reports this morning that Yomiuri Giants third baseman Kazuma Okamoto and Seibu Lions righty Tatsuya Imai are also hoping to be posted by their clubs and make the jump to Major League Baseball.

The hope of being posted is notable, but that also does not guarantee either player will be available to North American clubs this winter. Yakyu Cosmopolitan — a terrific source for English-speaking fans with an interest in Japanese baseball — points out that NPB’s Giants are a typically anti-posting club who rarely make their stars available to MLB teams. Okamoto is the Giants’ captain. The Lions are more amenable to posting players, but they’ve already agreed to post Takahashi. Posting two members of their rotation would be difficult, but YC notes that Imai would be a true free agent after the 2026 season. The Lions could lose him for nothing in the 2026-27 offseason anyhow.

Okamoto turned 29 in June. He’s a six-time All-Star and two-time Gold Glove winner who’s thrice led NPB in home runs. He missed more than three months of the current season after injuring his elbow in a collision at first base, but he’s healthy again and is batting .304/.385/.585 with 11 homers, 13 doubles, a triple and nearly as many walks (10.2%) as strikeouts (11.2%) in 196 plate appearances. Okamoto averaged 34 homers per season from 2018-23, “slipped” to 27 last year, and is now homering at the third-best rate of his career (once every 17.8 plate appearances).

Okamoto has been on the radar of MLB scouts for several years now, but if the Giants are going to post him, this will be the time to do it. Like Imai, he’ll have the requisite nine years of service to become a true free agent after the 2026 season. That hasn’t stopped the Yomiuri club from holding onto stars in the past. However, if Okamoto is set on eventually making a move to North America, the Giants’ decision boils down to posting him now and reaping a notable sum via the posting system or allowing him to walk with no compensation next winter.

The right-handed-hitting Okamoto played primarily third base early in his NPB career, but he’s seen significant time at first and has a handful of starts in the outfield corners as well. Okamoto has split his time between the corners this year but was primarily a first baseman in 2024. Sports Info Solutions credited him with the Fielding Bible Award as NPB’s best defender at first base in 2024, and Passan suggests that some MLB teams feel he’s better suited at first than at third.

Eric Longenhagen of FanGraphs agrees, labeling Okamoto as a “likely first-base-only defender” in the majors but crediting his plus power and consistent ability to pull the ball with authority. Longenhagen notes that, as is the case with most NPB hitters, there are questions about Okamoto’s ability to hit big league fastballs. The average NPB fastball is around 91 mph, compared to this year’s 94.4 mph average four-seamer in MLB (via Statcast). Longenhagen writes that Okamoto’s numbers against heaters greater than 94 mph “fall off a cliff.” It’s a valid concern, though the counter is always that a hitter could potentially adapt to better velocity when seeing it more frequently. That uncertainty will be baked into eventual price of a free agent contract if Okamoto is posted.

Even if Okamoto is limited to primarily playing first base, he’s a good defender there by all accounts. He has plus power, improving contact skills and draws plenty of walks. Since settling in as a regular in his age-22 season, Okamoto is a .276/.360/.524 hitter with an average of 39 homers per 162 games played. He currently has a career-low strikeout rate and the second-best ISO (slugging minus batting average) of his career. If he’s posted, there will surely be multi-year interest from MLB clubs.

Imai’s possible addition to the market is arguably even more intriguing, given the heavy price teams are willing to pay for prime-aged pitching. The 5’11” righty won’t turn 28 until next May. He’s in the midst of a career-best season, sporting a comical 1.50 ERA with a 28.8% strikeout rate and 6.7% walk rate in 143 2/3 innings. Dating back to the 2022 season, Imai boasts a sensational 2.10 earned run average. Passan notes that the right-hander sits 95 mph with his heater and tops out at 99 mph, giving him the sort of power arsenal that’s quite rare in NPB.

An ankle injury held him to nine games back in 2022, but Imai has topped 130 innings in three seasons since and is averaging seven innings per start for a second consecutive season. He’s on pace for back-to-back seasons of more than 170 innings. (Bear in mind that the NPB season is 144 games, not 162 as in MLB, and Japanese pitchers typically only start once per week.) Imai currently ranks seventh in NPB in innings pitched, and the six names ahead of him all have at least one extra start over him. He’s averaged more innings per start than all but one of those pitchers ahead of him on that leaderboard.

Passan writes that he polled more than a dozen scouts and front office executives on the type of contract Imai could command, with estimates ranging from $80MM on the low end to nearly $200MM on the high end. He’ll be three years older than Yoshinobu Yamamoto was when he landed his precedent-setting $325MM contract with the Dodgers but two years younger than Shota Imanaga was when he signed a four-year, $53MM deal that now looks like a bargain for the Cubs (and still will even after Chicago picks up an option to push the deal to $80MM over five years).

If Imai is posted, he’ll join Dustin May and Michael Soroka as free agent starters heading into their age-28 seasons. Imai would have considerably more earning power than either, as big league teams will pay a premium for his power arsenal and the allure of the unknown. Based on Imai’s age, arsenal and recent track record, there’s a chance that he could be the highest-paid pitcher of the entire free agent class this winter — if the Lions eventually choose to make him available.

For those in need of a refresher, the MLB-NPB posting system allows Japanese teams to post their players for all 30 MLB teams at their discretion. Players that are 25 or older and have six-plus years of experience can sign major league contracts for any length and any amount. When a player is posted, that opens a 45-day window for him to negotiate with any and all interested MLB clubs.

When a deal is reached, the MLB team must pay a posting/release fee to the player’s former NPB club. That sum is equal to 20% of the contract’s first $25MM, 17.5% of the next $25MM and 15% of any money thereafter. That sum comes in addition to the contract. Any down-the-road earnings (e.g. club options, performance bonuses, etc.) are also factored in once they become guaranteed. For instance, if Imai were to sign a $125MM contract with an eventual club option for $25MM, his MLB team would owe the Lions an additional $3.75MM (15%) upon exercising that club option.

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Korea Baseball Organization Newsstand Nippon Professional Baseball Kazuma Okamoto Tatsuya Imai

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MLBTR Chat Transcript

By Steve Adams | September 4, 2025 at 1:29pm CDT

Steve Adams

  • Greetings all! Bit of an impromptu chat this week since my schedule didn’t really allow for one on Tuesday

Guards Nation

  • If the guardians lose Clase and Ortiz, will they free up payroll and if they do, can you envision them using the space to go out and get a high level bat or arm?

Steve Adams

  • Ortiz isn’t on a guaranteed contract, so there wouldn’t be any payroll savings. Clase’s contract had a pretty modest $6MM guarantee in 2026. They’d be spared that $6MM and the $2MM buyout on his 2027 option, which counts as guaranteed money).

    That’s all if they’re suspended/banned, of course, and we have no good way of knowing that yet. Regardless, an extra $6-8MM of payroll space next year isn’t going to give them any sort of substantial savings or embolden them to sign a big-name free agent.

    In general, if you’re hoping for Cleveland to sign marquee free agents, you’re probably setting yourself up for a disappointment. Not trying to sound insulting by any means — that’s just reality.

Kevin

  • Chances that Kim will rework deal with Braves to add on one or two more years?

Steve Adams

  • I don’t see why he’d sign a one-year extension when his value is at a low point. I expect him to just play out the 2026 season as Atlanta’s everyday shortstop and try again. He’d hit the market ahead of his age-31 season, which is still young enough to land a nice multi-year deal (4-5 years) if he can bounce back in ’26

Read more

Wyatt Torregas

  • The Pirates outlook discussed on this week’s podcast was bleak. Any chance of them going after Mullins or Grisham or will they have to settle for guys like Lane Thomas and Harrison Bader?

Steve Adams

  • Honestly, I’d be surprised if they even signed Bader, who I think has earned himself at least a two-year deal. Lane Thomas, Max Kepler, Chas McCormick, etc. all feel more plausible.

    I do think it was perhaps encouraging that Ben Cherington told Darragh McDonald on our podcast the week prior that there’s some urgency, but I don’t envision Bob Nutting green-lighting the type of three- or four-year deal it might take to get Grisham. If Mullins is amenable to a pillow deal or a two-year deal under $30MM, I guess I can kind of see it, but I don’t find that likely.

  • Bucs should be looking at guys with more offensive ceiling than Bader, Thomas, Kepler, etc. anyhow. If they’re going to keep rolling on the one-year deal track, I’d say roll the dice on a Conforto rebound — but I think they should just be amenable to trading some pitching for controllable young hitters.

Dan

  • The starters for the Jays playoff rotation are….

Steve Adams

  • Bieber, Gausman, Scherzer — health-permitting

Reds GM

  • Who are some notable non tender candidates this winter? Garcia, Stephenson, India?

Steve Adams

  • Assuming that’s Luis Garcia in D.C., yeah, all three of them are NT candidates. Ryan Mountcastle, Trevor Larnach, Adolis Garcia, Jonah Heim all come to mind as well.

ChiSoxFan

  • Is the White Sox offense pretty set for next season? I can only see them adding a fourth outfielder.

Steve Adams

  • There’s enough uncertainty with Mead, Vargas, Meidroth and Montgomery that I think they ought to be pretty open to bringing in an infielder. I like Mike Tauchman, but I wouldn’t count on him as a regular in the OF, and you’ve got plenty of injury concern with Robert, so I think adding a semi-regular OF makes good sense as well.

    One of the Achilles heels of the White Sox, even before their young core fell apart, was that there was never any depth beyond the starting group. And once all those guys got hurt (seemingly every year), the lineup was a trainwreck.

John

  • Did the Orioles find a gem in Jeremiah Jackson? 2nd round pick in 2018, but he looks like he’s part of this teams future.

Steve Adams

  • I don’t think he’s a regular, but that doesn’t mean he can’t be a decent piece of the bench. He can play multiple spots and has average-ish speed, and the contact skills are solid enough it seems. But he’s too free a swinger, doesn’t walk much and is only sitting on his current rate stats because nearly 40% of his balls in play have turned into hits (.395 BABIP). That’s not going to be sustainable, particularly not with a 52% ground-ball rate.

    So… maybe some of both? I’d lean more toward him being an up-and-down bench/depth guy, but there’s value to that, and the cost of acquisition was … well. Nothing. He signed a minor league deal. That’s a nice pickup.

John

  • Thoughts on Framber and his upcoming free agency?

Steve Adams

  • I understand that the cross-up is weighing heavily on the minds of Astros fans, but I don’t think it’s going to matter. Even if it was intentional — or if it was accidental and he just didn’t care — he’s the most consistent and arguably most talented starter on the market.

    Manny Machado got $300MM after publicly declaring “I’m not Johnny Hustle” when asked why he didn’t run out a grounder in the postseason and when he appeared to deliberately spike Jesus Aguilar.

    The top guys get paid. Framber is a legitimate No. 1/2 arm.

  • That’s “No. 1 or No.2 arm” … not “half an arm” haha

Jeff F

  • Who are you thinking of in terms of a sneaky good add for #4 or #5 free agent starter during the off season?

Steve Adams

  • I don’t know if Zach Eflin is “sneaky,” but he’s better than a fourth starter when healthy and his price will be down coming off all the injuries. Griffin Canning looked pretty darn good in Queens before his injury.

Jays fan

  • Prediction on contract for Bo Bichette this offseason? Do you think he stays at SS for any new team, or move to 2B or 3B to open up more options for signing?

Steve Adams

  • There aren’t a ton of SS-needy teams I see that’ll be willing to spend the ~$200MM+ contract Bichette is hitting his way into, but injuries, trades, other circumstances could change that. I think Bichette would be wise to do what Willy Adames did straightaway last winter — broadcast a willingness to play other positions even if his heart is set on shortstop. The Giants were one of the only clear SS options for Adames, but he probably helped his market by building some interest as a 2B/3B option elsewhere.

    Re-signing in Toronto is of course a possibility, and I could see the Tigers, Phillies, Yankees and a few others in the mix, especially if he’s marketing himself as a guy who’ll play anywhere.

Greg Allen Craig

  • Where is Justin Verlander going to pitch in 2026 since he says that he plans to?

Steve Adams

  • There will be plenty of teams willing to give Verlander a one-year deal. Still sitting 94 mph. 4.29 ERA/4.37 SIERA. K% only a tick below average, good command, average swinging-strike rate.
  • There’s no real way to predict where that’ll be, but I think any contender with a short-term need in the rotation could work. Return to SF or else the Jays, Red Sox, Orioles, Tigers, Rangers, Cubs … Verlander for a year and $12MM or so ought to intrigue plenty of clubs

Taeko

  • Can we say SF definitely won the Devers trade at this point? Hicks is barely serviceable for Bosox, Tibbs III was flipped to the Dodgers for nearly nothing, and Harrison is only just starting at the majors in September after struggling more at AAA. Meanwhile Devers has finally settled down and has been racking for SF and has provided a much needed power bat in a lineup that was struggling for runs. Was the clubhouse toxicity that bad in Boston?

Steve Adams

  • I don’t think we need to assign a winner/loser, and I don’t think we can until we see how Harrison pans out or what they do with the cost savings.

    I didn’t like Boston’s return at all, and I like it less now that they traded Tibbs for two months of Dustin May, which was one of the biggest head-scratchers of the deadline.

    But they control Harrison for another half decade. It’s totally feasible that he develops into a consistent rotation option for him, and they reallocate a chunk of that Devers money to a long-term deal for another player.

    There’s a huge obsession among fans with winning/losing trades, but the calculus as to who “won” or “lost” changes wildly from year to year or even month to month.

  • Ask an Orioles fan from May who “won” Stowers/Norby for Trevor Rogers, and then ask them three months later, when Rogers has a 1.30 ERA in 15 MLB starts.

Dan

  • Ranger Suarez is not an ace, has a history of back problems and tends to fade in the second half. Still, despite the low velocity he avoids hard contact and has consistently had #2 starter results when healthy.

Steve Adams

  • I agree with all of this and think someone will give him $100MM as a result of it.

Tony B

  • Would a new power bat or new coaching staff benefit the Giants more?

Steve Adams

  • Kyle Tucker or Bo Bichette (2B) helps more than a new coach(es)

A fan

  • Do you expect Chaim Bloom to blow things up in STL or mostly stay the course that Mozeliak has laid out for him? Is a mini overhaul on the horizon?

Steve Adams

  • I think there’s a good chance they move on from some of the Mozeliak-era prospects who’ve yet to really pan out. Nolan Gorman, Jordan Walker, etc.

    Winn/Wetherholt is a pair to build around. Liberatore and McGreevy will get rotation looks next year. But I imagine they’ll try to trade Sonny Gray and Nolan Arenado again.

    In general, I think there’ll be a fair bit of turnover on next year’s roster. I find the whole slow rollout a bit confounding. If you want Bloom to take over, let him take over. But based on reporting and asking people closer to the situation, it seems like Mozeliak has retained all final say on baseball ops and roster decisions while Bloom has been focused on overhauling the player development department. It just feels a little clumsy, though I’m certainly sensitive to the fact that overhauling an entire player dev operation and managing the day-to-day of a whole organization from the very top seat is a lot (too much) to ask of one guy.

  • I don’t see why they didn’t just name Bloom an AGM or SVP or whatever, then announce the role changes after the season, but maybe that’d just have entailed the exact same setup with less transparency.

    At any rate, weird year for the Cardinals

Kyle Tucker

  • Will the Red Sox be a favorite to land me with all that left over Devers money?   Would you rather have Devers or Tucker next year if you’re the Sox?
  • Who gets me next year?

Steve Adams

  • Pitching and third base will (or should) be a bigger focus. They can run with Duran/Rafaela/Anthony in the outfield for the foreseeable future.
  • I’ll probably be wrong about who signs Tucker when I make my final pick in our free agent contest, but if I’m forced to make a pick right now, the Giants get my bet.

Captain Dunsel

  • The Phillies signed Walker Buehler to a minor league contract after he was released by the Red Sox. Does that minor league deal provide the Red Sox with any salary relief or does he need to be called up first? Thanks.

Steve Adams

  • The Phillies only owe Buehler the prorated league minimum for any time spent on the MLB roster. If he gets called up, that prorated minimum salary will be subtracted from what Boston owes. Otherwise, the Sox are on the hook for everything
  • Negligible, if any, savings.

Boomington

  • Why have the Dodgers not played up to expectation? Lackluster bullpen?

Steve Adams

  • I’d argue that it’s because expectations were comically high and unrealistic to begin with.
  • During spring training, when so many fans had Dodger fatigue, I recall many participants in these chats assuming 110 wins was a lock. One literally said the league needed a salary cap because as presently constructed, the Dodgers wouldn’t lose three games in a row at any point this season.
  • They made a bunch of big moves, yes. They have a great core, yes. They also have a ton of injury risk on the roster — some by design, since they can afford to have a huge margin for error in that regard — and are inherently subject to the randomness of baseball

Mavis staples

  • How much will Kyle schwarber get and how will the Phillies handle free agency this offseason?

Steve Adams

  • I’ve come around on him getting four years and $120-130MM, and I don’t think like 5/140 is even off the table. Elite offensive production, consistently so, and every team is in love with the person/teammate/leader.

SilverSlugs

  • What do you think of the Braves picking up Kim and Fraley? Seems smart. You now have SS and the 4th outfielder covered next year. Now all AA has to do is focus on the bullpen and potentially the starting rotation

Steve Adams

  • In a vacuum, either is fine. I find Anthopoulos’ repeated efforts to plug holes on his roster by just taking on bad money from other teams interesting, though. He ate the entire Raisel Iglesias contract (which worked). He took on all of Jorge Soler’s deal (oops, but the Angels helped out there). He took on all of Mark Melancon several years ago. He paid $30MM+ to buy Jarred Kelenic from Seattle (oops).

    I don’t think it’s inherently bad, to be clear, but no other GM/president of baseball operations navigates like this.

    I wouldn’t necessarily assume Fraley is tendered a contract, but I don’t mind the move either way.

Guest

  • It seems like CES is forgotten man in Cincinnati. Is there still room for him on that roster?

Steve Adams

  • I’ve never been a big CES guy. Power-over-hit with minimal defensive value and sub-par walk rates who’s on the short side of a 1B platoon. He still has options left and is only 25, so they’ll probably hang onto him through the offseason, but I’m not bullish on the long-term outlook, whether it be in Cincinnati or elsewhere.

Mr Met

  • Who was your favorite player when you were a kid?

Steve Adams

  • I was born in the mid-80s and grew up in Minnesota, so Kent Hrbek, Kirby Puckett and — because of course — Ken Griffey Jr.

    Dad’s side of the family is from Chicago so I always enjoyed Ryne Sandberg, Shawon Dunston and Andre Dawson.

    And Chipper and Andruw a bit later. Jim Thome, too.

    I guess I had quite a few, haha.

Skenes

  • Would you trade Paul Skenes for Nick Kurtz?

Steve Adams

  • Nope

Guest

  • Will the Mariners make the postseason?

Steve Adams

  • I still think so yeah

RookTaker23

  • Is Schwarber a lock to sign the largest contract of anyone who was once non-tendered?

Steve Adams

  • Not even a lock to sign the biggest contract of a former NT’ed player this offseason! Bellinger should finally get a nice long-term deal. I’d probably take Schwarber to get the larger deal, but not by much. And if you told me right now Bellinger gets like 5/135 and Schwarber 4/126, I wouldn’t really bat an eye.

Darragh McDonald

  • Carlos Rodon was non-tendered and got 162MM.

Steve Adams

  • Darragh from the top rope
  • And I checked, and yes, that was actually him — not someone just using his name haha

Yankee Pinstripes or Dodger Blue

  • Munetaka Murakami?

Steve Adams

  • Can I choose neither? I can see both having interest, but neither has a massive corner infield need. Muncy has a cheap option, plus the Dodgers have Freeland. The Yankees traded for McMahon and have Rice for 1B.
  • Padres, Mariners, Red Sox… can never rule out a surprise team on a 25-year-old with 80 power, even if they don’t have a history of spending heavy in the NPB market (or in free agency in general)

FishFam

  • What odds would you give the Marlins to make the playoffs next year? Seems like a solid young team with some really promising young pitchers

Steve Adams

  • The only guys in the lineup I see as real regulars are Stowers, Marsee, maybe Edwards. I guess Agustin Ramirez if he can play a passable 1B, but even then, the lack of OBP is going to drag his value down pretty heavily. Maybe Joe Mack can handle C next year, but that’s a big if.

    Plenty of upside on the pitching staff but even more injury risk. Eury, Sandy, Weathers, Cabrera, Meyer, Garrett all have major injuries in recent years.

    Probably not the rosy outlook you were hoping for, haha, sorry. I think next year is too soon, but hey, they made the playoffs in 2023 despite having a roster I didn’t love.

  • I’ve got to call it for the week. Anthony will have a chat with Front Office subscribers tomorrow. I’m on X @Adams_Steve and Bluesky @adams-steve.bsky.social.

    If you want more opinions from the MLBTR team, you can learn about our Front Office subscription package and sign up here. In addition to ad-free viewing on the site and in the app, you’ll get weekly analysis/opinion columns from Anthony Franco and myself, a weekly mailbag column from Tim Dierkes, weekly fantasy baseball chats and columns with Nicklaus Gaut, weekly subscriber-only chats with Anthony and with me (where your odds of getting a question answered are much, much higher), extra insight from Darragh McDonald, access to our Contract Tracker (a vital offseason resource) and our Agency Database, our GM Tracker and more.

    Thanks everyone, and enjoy your week!

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