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Trent Grisham To Accept Qualifying Offer

By Steve Adams | November 18, 2025 at 2:56pm CDT

Outfielder Trent Grisham is accepting his $22.025MM qualifying offer and will return to the Yankees in 2026, reports ESPN’s Jorge Castillo. Players who accept a QO are considered free agent signings and are thus ineligible to be traded prior to the following June 15 unless they consent to the move.

It’s at least a modest surprise, as Grisham is coming off a breakout year at the plate which saw him club a career-high 34 home runs. He slashed .235/.348/.464, thanks in no small part to a career-best 14.1% walk rate and a 23.6% strikeout rate that stood as the second-lowest in his career. Between that production, the fact that Grisham only just turned 29 earlier this month, and a thin outfield market in free agency, the stars seemed to align for him to pursue a weighty multi-year contract this winter.

Instead, Grisham returns to the site of his breakout and will hold down a key role in an outfield that’s also currently slated to include Jasson Dominguez and Aaron Judge. The Yankees are interested in re-signing Cody Bellinger, have been linked to Kyle Tucker and also have DH Giancarlo Stanton at least loosely in the outfield mix. (He played 132 outfield innings in 2025.)

Grisham’s return muddies the waters a bit, but GM Brian Cashman said recently that even if he accepted, it wouldn’t impact the team’s pursuit of a new deal with Bellinger (link via the New York Post’s Greg Joyce). The Yankees wouldn’t have made the QO to Grisham if they believed his acceptance was a roadblock to bringing back Bellinger or signing Tucker. They’re surely glad to have him back. Even though his defensive grades took an unexpected downturn in ’25, he has the best defensive track record in center of the Yankees’ in-house options.

While Grisham could have looked to cash in this winter, he’ll instead take a hefty one-year payday in what amounts to a bet on himself. Though he’s a left-handed bat, his power output was hardly a product of Yankee Stadium’s short right field porch. In fact, Grisham hit just .195/.326/.376 at home this season, compared to .254/.364/.506 on the road. If he can replicate this year’s huge power production, he could hit the market next offseason on the back of consecutive plus seasons at the plate and without the encumbrance of a qualifying offer. A big enough showing this year could realistically position Grisham for a $100MM+ contract — particularly if his defensive grades rebound, too.

The looming potential for a work stoppage is one other wrinkle to consider, but if anything, today’s glut of QO decisions suggests that players aren’t necessarily going to shy away from short-term deals that put them on the open market next year — at least not en masse. Grisham is one of four players to accept the QO, joining Gleyber Torres, Shota Imanaga and Brandon Woodruff in that regard. In a vacuum, any one of the four accepting his QO wouldn’t be considered a major surprise — but all four accepting in the same offseason is downright atypical. This marks the first time since the inception of the qualifying offer that more than three players have accepted a QO.

With Grisham back in the fold, the Yankees’ projected payroll for the upcoming season jumps to about $263MM, per RosterResource. They’ll now have about $286MM of luxury tax obligations, placing them just over the third penalty line. That means that the Yankees’ top pick in the 2027 draft will drop by 10 places, unless they’re able to sneak their luxury count back under $284MM. Given the wide swath of offseason dealings that’s likely still on the table for Cashman & Co., that doesn’t seem to be a very likely outcome. In all likelihood, the Yankees will wind up in the top CBT penalty tier, just as they’ve done in each of the past three seasons.

Turning to the rest of the league, Grisham’s early removal from the free agent market — to a team that didn’t clearly need to retain him, no less — subtracts arguably the top center field option from the market. Bellinger, of course, can still play center but barely did so in 2025. Most teams probably consider him more of a corner outfielder/first baseman who can play occasional center field. Harrison Bader and Cedric Mullins are the two most notable options still on the market, though the former has been more of a part-time player and the latter is looking to bounce back from an awful 2025 showing. The market was light on center fielders to begin with and is even more so now, so teams looking for help at the position might be more inclined to turn to the trade market to address that deficiency.

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New York Yankees Newsstand Transactions Cody Bellinger Kyle Tucker Trent Grisham

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Red Sox Trade Luis Guerrero To Rays

By Steve Adams | November 18, 2025 at 12:32pm CDT

The Red Sox and Rays have swapped right-hander Luis Guerrero and infielder Tristan Gray, per announcements from both clubs. Boston recently designated Guerrero for assignment and passed him through waivers unclaimed. The Red Sox designated first baseman Nate Lowe for assignment to open a 40-man spot for Gray.

Tampa Bay could have just claimed Guerrero off waivers but seemingly didn’t want to commit a 40-man roster spot to the hard-throwing but command-challenged righty. The 25-year-old has posted a strong 2.63 ERA in 27 1/3 innings for the Red Sox over the past two seasons and averages a potent 96.9 mph on his heater. However, he ended the season on the injured list due to an elbow issue and has regularly displayed alarming command (or lack thereof) both in the majors and upper minors.

Guerrero has walked nearly 15% of his major league opponents against a tepid 17.6% strikeout rate. He carries a 3.89 ERA in three Triple-A seasons but has walked or plunked a colossal 17.4% of his Triple-A opponents. That includes a walk rate just under 19% in 2025.

At times, Guerrero has posted gaudy strikeout and swinging-strike rates. The velocity is impressive, and he has a pair of minor league options remaining. That makes him an intriguing roll of the dice for Tampa Bay, but his health and troubling lack of command make him more of a project than a sure thing — small-sample major league ERA notwithstanding.

Guerrero would hardly be the first live-armed prospect to land in Tampa Bay and flourish, of course, and there ought to be ample opportunity in Kevin Cash’s bullpen. The Rays declined their $11MM club option on longtime closer Pete Fairbanks, making him a free agent. Holdovers include Edwin Uceta, Griffin Jax, Garrett Cleavinger, Bryan Baker and Mason Montgomery, but there’s plenty of innings for Guerrero (and others) to claim if he can impress in spring training or in the early portion of the Triple-A season.

As for Gray, he’s a 29-year-old with limited MLB experience across parts of three seasons. He tallied 86 plate appearances with the Rays in 2025 and hit .231/.282/.410 with three homers and five doubles. Gray walked at a 7% clip and fanned at a 22.1% rate in his 30 games with Tampa Bay. He split the bulk of his season between the Triple-A affiliate of the White Sox, slashing .270/.333/.472 in 282 turns at the plate.

Gray is a left-handed hitter with considerable experience at all four infield positions. He’s played more second, short and third than first base but still has 938 innings even as a first baseman. He also has a minor league option remaining. He’ll go on Boston’s 40-man roster as a depth piece who can be stashed in Triple-A Worcester, though he’s not a lock to make it through the offseason on the 40-man roster. Guerrero will be in camp with the Rays as a non-roster invitee and head to Triple-A Durham if he doesn’t make the club next spring.

MassLive.com’s Chris Cotillo first reported that Guerrero had been traded to Tampa Bay.

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Boston Red Sox Tampa Bay Rays Transactions Luis Guerrero Tristan Gray

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MLBTR Chat Transcript

By Steve Adams | November 18, 2025 at 10:28am CDT

Steve Adams

  • Good morning all! Sorry for the odd timing and abrupt start today. With the QO acceptance deadline and Rule 5 protection deadline both looming this afternoon, I assume it’s going to be a bit too chaotic to run a chat at the usual time. We’ll go for about an hour this morning, like usual.

JD

  • I made my statement move. Where do I look to improve next between 2B, 3B and bullpen?

Steve Adams

  • All of the above? It’s not really a matter of one priority over the other. I’d be surprised if the Mariners don’t add one more infielder and at least one bullpen arm, though the former is a bigger priority. Retaining Polanco is the most straightforward option, but I could see Gleyber as well, if he rejects a QO. Trade market is always in play, too. Brendan Donovan fits really nicely both in terms of roster need and the general skill set (high contact/low strikeout, defensive versatility) I’d expect Seattle to value heavily.

Royals

  • Would Kris Bubic for Jhostynxon Garcia be a deal that could work?

Steve Adams

  • While Bubic being traded wouldn’t surprise me, I don’t think he’s going to fetch an MLB-ready top-100 prospect. He’s coming off another injury-shortened season and only has one year of club control remaining.

Mitch Garver

  • The team that drafted me needs a new backup catcher right? Reunion time?

Steve Adams

  • Garver’s defensive grades have wilted, and I feel like if the Twins want a backup they’ll just sign a glove-first type. If they’re going to spend money this winter — far from a guarantee — backup catcher seems a ways down the list of needs.

Henry

  • Do you think the blue jays are the favourites to sign Tucker?

Steve Adams

  • I don’t think there’s any one individual favorite at this point, but the Jays are among the five to six most plausible and likeliest landing spots, sure.

Unclemike1526

  • You think Shota will sign a new deal with the Cubs or leave? I’m still not sold that he wants out of town. Thanks

Steve Adams

  • He basically turned down two years and $30MM from them when he declined his player option (since exercising it would’ve given him another $15MM player option).Maybe he prefers the one-year, higher-AAV route, but then he’s just a free agent again ahead of a potential work stoppage? I tend to think he’ll reject and get three years elsewhere — very likely at less than the $57.75MM he’d have made if the Cubs had exercised his option

Read more

Guest

  • Dustin May & Beuhler to the Padres for 3 million apiece?

Steve Adams

  • I’m pretty much out on both pitchers, but that’s the sort of move the Padres probably have to make. $3MM might be light, especially on May (although honestly, I’m not sure I’d even give him that if it were my call).

Joshua

  • Passan floated the idea of the Nats dealing MacKenzie Gore and CJ Abrams in the same deal. I think this would make a TON of sense for a team like the Dodgers, Blue Jays, Red Sox, etc. Virtually any team that is close and could use Abrams at 2B. Using the Dodgers as a template, what could this deal look like?

Steve Adams

  • Saw that. Also saw he said it’s “not quite Max Scherzer and Trea Turner from 2021” referring to the Dodgers trade, but I don’t agree with that. Max was a rental. Turner had 1.5 expensive years left. Gore has two years. Abrams has three. Price should very arguably be significantly higher than what the Dodgers gave up for Max/Trea (which was then-top-100 prospects Josiah Gray and Keibert Ruiz, plus a couple of middle/lower-tier guys further down the org ladder)
  • Gore alone should command close to a pair of top-100 prospects. I don’t find him any less desirable than Garrett Crochet a year ago, and he landed a four-player package headlined by Kyle Teel and Braden Montgomery (both top-100 names).
  • If you’re trying to peddle Gore/Abrams in a combo deal on the Dodgers, you’ve got to be looking at two of De Paula, Freeland, Hope, Sirota, etc. at the very least, plus significant value beyond that. It should take a massive haul.

Adam Steves

  • Senga for Fairbanks. Who says no?

Steve Adams

  • Fairbanks is a free agent

Erik Gonzalez

  • True or false: Cleveland can trade Kwan AND have a better offense in 2026

Steve Adams

  • True, but being a better overall team probably require them spending money, which is a hard sell for Cleveland ownership. You could potentially get a young MLB-ready OF back in the deal though, and given that Kwan was only a league-average hitter last season, it’s not crazy to think the new OF would provide more offense. But I doubt said new OF would also post top-of-the-scale defensive work and plus baserunning.

Willie Monteanez

  • With the Braves success with swing guys like Reynaldo Lopez and Grant Holmes and past interest in Jeff Hoffman. Do you think they’ll be in on similar profile guys like Brad Keller, Luke Weaver, and Nick Martinez this offseason?

Steve Adams

  • I picked Keller to go there in part based on that history and in part because the Braves love nothing more than loading up on Georgia natives, ha.

Trade Proposal

  • Mitch Keller for Jarren Duran. Who says no?

Steve Adams

  • Keller is good but not worth Duran

PhilsPhansince1965

  • Are you as skeptical about Murakami being worth what he will be paid as I am? Too many question marks despite the 80 grade power potential.

Steve Adams

  • Sure. He might be like … Miguel Sano.He might also be a 26-year-old Schwarber-esque bat with a bit more defensive utility if he can play a passable 1B.

    For a big-market team, that’s worth the risk. I’m enough of a believer in the power that I’m probably on the more bullish side from where you seem to be. If I were running the show somewhere and bidding climbed north of $200MM,  I’d probably tap out, but it all depends on how much financial support you can expect from ownership in the near future.

Brewers Oz

  • Shota seems like an obvious candidate to take the QO… you predict 3/45.If he takes the QO then that means, he just needs 2/23 without a QO hanging over his head.

    Thoughts?

Steve Adams

  • Pitchers get hurt all the time and the trend lines on him are down. If he can lock in 3/45 right now, a lot of people would consider that better than accepting and trying again.Tyler Anderson rejected a $19.65MM QO to sign for 3/40.

Guest

  • Any sense that Jeremy Pena could be available in talks with Correa and Paredes both being present?

Steve Adams

  • I talked about this on a podcast maybe 5-6 weeks ago, kind of tongue-in-cheek and with a “this won’t happen but hey let’s talk about it” possibility. I’d be stunned, but a year ago I would’ve been stunned to see Kyle Tucker traded.Moving Pena would be nuts, but the return would be exorbitant. And Astros owner Jim Crane has been reluctant to pay the luxury tax in the past, so I wonder about their appetite for signing a meaningful SP/OF in free agency. And Pena is a Boras client with two years left, so he’s not going to sign an extension.

    Again, I would be genuinely shocked, but after last winter’s Tucker saga, I think it’s worth keeping in mind as like a “less than 3% chance this happens but it’s not COMPLETELY impossible to see” scenario.

Arizona

  • Last night Arizona cut a player who had some bullpen upside before getting hurt as a rookie. The control they had over CMDO was valuable. Do you think this portends a Gallen QO accept?

Steve Adams

  • No. I think you’re reading way too much into it. Montes De Oca had back surgery. There’s no 60-day injured list in the offseason. They knew he wouldn’t be claimed on waivers coming off the surgery (or at least felt strongly that he’d clear) and they can retain him without giving him a 40-man spot all winter if they pass him through waivers.
  • With the deadline to protect guys from the Rule 5 looming this afternoon, his outright was surely about that and unrelated to Gallen, who feels very likely (to me) to reject his QO today

AstrosFAN

  • Could Bryan Abreu be available at 2026 deadline?

Steve Adams

  • If Houston’s out of the playoff picture or on the fringes, sure. He’s a free agent next winte.r

Chris

  • Donovan to Yanks. What would a pitching return look like? Warren or Gil plus one of their top 5 pitch prospects? Good luck today!

Steve Adams

  • Warren + a 50 FV pitching prospect (Ben Hess, Bryce Cunningham, etc) doesn’t feel crazy to me. Might to the Yankees — but I’m probably not as high on Warren as some. (Not that I think he’s bad or anything, to be clear)

Sam

  • Royce Lewis has expressed overwhelming optimism about the team’s outlook with Shelton’s hiring, a 180 of what Twins’ fans currently feel. Do you have any optimism about this winter for the Twins, Steve?

Steve Adams

  • I have minimal faith that the Pohlad family will actually greenlight real spending. But the Twins are going to be something like $40-55MM shy of their Opening Day payroll from 2025 after the non-tender deadline passes … if ownership says “Hey, you can spend back up to that level again”, then yeah, it could be a fun offseason and a fun 2026.But… I’ve lived in Minnesota for 35-36 of my 40 years on this planet and have little to no faith the Pohlads will do that, ha.

Kyle Crockett

  • The Reds WILL sign a big bat this off season

Steve Adams

  • Sign or acquire, I agree. Almost picked them to sign Pete Alonso. I think he’s totally viable

Guest

  • Pittsburgh in the running for Naylor and Schwarber?! Could Alonso be in their sights?

Steve Adams

  • I think Alonso’s going to cost less than Schwarber
  • I also imagine the Pirates probably prefer left-handed power, since PNC Park is where righty power goes to die. Ben Cherington has even referenced this in the past. Doesn’t completely eliminate the possibility of going for a righty power bat like Alonso, Eugenio Suarez, etc. — but I think lefties generally make a bit more sense.

Dan

  • Mountcastle: does anyone trade for him as maybe the biggest change-of-scenery guy available, or is this a clear non-tender case?

Steve Adams

  • I think he’s non-tendered. At his best, he’s been like a 1.5 to 2 WAR guy. And he’s coming off a terrible, injury-ruined season now.
  • The Rays couldn’t find someone who wanted to commit $11MM to Pete Fairbanks on day one of the offseason. Teams are pretty reluctant to commit early dollars to fringe roster guys like this. I think most feel they probably have a league minimum bat who can be at least reasonably projected to be within striking distance of Mountcastle’s production in  2026.

Skip Skip Schumaker

  • Luis Arraez to Texas 3 years 50 million get it done?? Perfect leadoff in Texas.

Steve Adams

  • I wouldn’t go anywhere near that contract if I were a team, but yeah, that’d get it done from Arraez’s standpoint

jd

  • what would senga actually return in a trade. $15M per year is 5th starter money, not sure why Mets would just give him away

Steve Adams

  • It’s better than fifth starter money, and the Mets are paying a 110% tax because of the luxury obligations there, so he’s costing them more like $31.5MM per year. They clearly lost faith in him down the stretch.I don’t think he’s teeming with surplus value or anything, but if they could clear the contract and add even a middle-tier prospect, they might just prefer to be done and open the roster/rotation spot (and payroll space) for other more certain pursuits.

International Players 2025

  • Who gets the most money in what order? Any surprise team get any signings?

Steve Adams

  • Our Top 50 list is based on earning power/expected contracts:
    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/11/2025-26-top-50-mlb-free-agents-…
  • If the Pirates are serious about going after Naylor/Schwarber, then I don’t see any huge reason they couldn’t pursue a Murakami or Okamoto. They don’t really have much of a foothold in NPB, but every team has to take a first step in that regard at some point (and they’ve spent more modestly on KBO talent in the past)

jd

  • how is $15M better than 5th starter money (for a playoff team) . He makes less money than montas

Steve Adams

  • That terrible Montas contract shouldn’t be a barometer — and the Mets paid him hoping he’d be more than a No. 5. Michael Lorenzen, Colin Rea, Kyle Gibson, Lance Lynn and plenty more have all signed at $10MM or less on playoff hopefuls in recent years.Plus it’s not 1/15. It’s two years and $28MM remaining. Even contending clubs aren’t giving out 2/28 to someone they hope is their fifth starter.

Baseball fan

  • Who are the 3 most likely to accept the QO?

Steve Adams

  • Gleyber and Imanaga are the only ones for me who really feel like they should even consider it (though as I referenced earlier, I think Imanaga can do decently on a three-year deal … it’s just a question of if he considers something like 42-45 over three preferable to 22 over one. Some guys will, some guys won’t).I can see why some would think Grisham or Woodruff should accept, but I think they should both reject without too much fretting.

Richard

  • Morning, could the Ms still be in play for Murakami? Do you see him sticking at 3rd?

Steve Adams

  • I’d be surprised. Could still go after him if they just want him and Naylor to share 1B/DH long-term though.

Big Bob

  • The Reds trade for Ward or Greene?

Steve Adams

  • Is this trade FOR Riley Greene? If so, no, I can’t see Greene being available.
    I also can’t see them trading Hunter Greene.As I continue to say weekly, I’m going to keep putting Brady Singer-for-Taylor Ward out there until it becomes reality, ha. Works well for both clubs.

who’s on 1st

  • Arozarena’s arb # really suprised me. with Sea’s overcrowded OF, would a Randy for Alex B work for both teams. I know some are down on Bohm but he does provide some reasonable production at 3B. and will be cheaper than randy.

Steve Adams

  • I can see Seattle listening on Arozarena, but he’s way better than Bohm. No chance I move Randy for him. Bohm is borderline to even be tendered a contract, for me.

Ken

  • could or would A’s make Soderstrom available? If yes, they could get a haul of young pitching

Steve Adams

  • They absolutely could get a big haul of quality young pitching. I’m of the mindset that Soderstrom is too good and they should be trying to extend him to build around him, Kurtz, Butler, Wilson, Langeliers and Rooker. That lineup is awesome.Getting pitchers to go to Sutter Health is going to be hard, but I’d be looking at trading from the farm or overpaying Severino style before trading Soderstrom.

    My colleague Anthony Franco thinks they should be listening on Soderstrom, for what it’s worth. (He also thinks Soderstrom is great — just feels similarly to you, perhaps, that he’s a movable chip to bring in the type of arms the A’s badly need)

Kodai Senga

  • When I first signed with the Mets in 2023, it was widely reported that I had an opt-out after year 3 (2025). What happened to that, and even though I was a mess the second half of 2025, wouldn’t it still make sense for me to opt-out if I had the option? $14 million a year is cheap for someone with my potential, even though I’m an enigma wrapped up in a riddle.

Steve Adams

  • The opt-out was conditional on him pitching a combined 400 innings in his first three seasons. Losing all of 2024 and a big portion of 2025 wiped that out. He only has 285 career IP in the majors.

Joshua

  • Sodertstrom for MacKenzie Gore and Luis Garcia….who says no (and if it is a no, is this at least close?). Thanks.

Steve Adams

  • I don’t think it’s close, no. Garcia is another non-tender candidate, and Gore has less control than Soderstrom. It doesn’t work for the A’s. (Obviously, for the Nats, they’d be all over this)

AL Central Casting

  • What level of prospect or MLB-ready player could the Twins reasonably expect in a Joe Ryan trade? They could use a C or 1B – would Soderstrom be a good target? Could they get Rushing or Eldridge? Henry Ford?

Steve Adams

  • I think any of Bryce Eldridge, Tyler Soderstrom, Dalton Rushing or Harry Ford could/should be in play as a possible headliner if they’re going to move Ryan.The Twins are pretty deep in corner OF prospects, particularly left-handed ones (Walker Jenkins, Emmanuel Rodriguez, Hendry Mendez), so maybe Soderstrom’s not the best fit from a pure roster standpoint. Could play him at 1B, of course, but he was so good in left field last year.

    Generally though, yes, I think it’d take a headliner like that, plus at least one other top prospect.

Austin Hays

  • Who is my next team and what is my next contract like?

Steve Adams

  • I’d expect him signing another one-year deal in the $5-6MM range — though I guess something like the 2/13 the Royals gave Hunter Renfroe a few years back wouldn’t totally stun me.He’ll go to a team that’s not viewing him as a starter. Hays just increasingly feels like he’s going to be a Randal Grichuk type — sign a string of one-year deals around $4-7MM per season, depending on the quality of his prior platform. Guards, Giants, Royals, Pirates, Rox all really struggled against LHP last year. Any team with a LHH corner feels like a viable fit.

    Even Austin Hays himself can’t accurately tell you who his next team is right now. Nor could the GM/president of the team that’ll eventually sign him

Gob Bleuth

  • Expecting the Jays to spend significantly more than last year after the deep, profitable playoff run?

Steve Adams

  • I think the Jays will be one of the most active, biggest-spending teams of the offseason, yes

Chris

  • What are the chances the Braves resign Kim or sign Bichette for SS?

Steve Adams

  • Kim feels totally plausible. Bichette would shock me, if only because the Jays just haven’t gone anywhere near that financial stratosphere in something like 8 years under Anthopoulos.
  • Not on a free agent, anyway
  • Same goes for the top FA arms like Cease, Framber, etc.

Pete from LI

  • Can the Mets release Montas, who will not play in 2026. To clear a spot on 40 man roster?

Steve Adams

  • I don’t see why they wouldn’t.

Ang T

  • who is the next top 50 free agent domino to fall? I think Edwin Diaz to the Mets

Steve Adams

  • Unless Steve Cohen just decides he wants Diaz back at all costs, I don’t think they’re going to re-sign him at all. Paying $21-22MM per year for a reliever doesn’t feel like something a David Stearns-led front office is going to be excited about.
  • Since I continue to get “How much do you think will [player] get in free agency” questions, I’ll remind everyone that our contract predictions for 50 free agents were published less than a week ago:
    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/11/2025-26-top-50-mlb-free-agents-…

Kenley

  • Do you see any way I return to the Dodgers?

Steve Adams

  • Feel like Kenley’s goal is just going to be “who’s going to give me the ninth inning and leave me there” — which doesn’t feel like a Dodgers thing to do.
  • He’s 24 saves from 500, and if he can continue to be effective into his early 40s, it’s not completely out of the question that he could eventually push for 600. I don’t think that’s likely, but he posted a 2.59 ERA in 2025 and is at 2.99 over his past six seasons right now. Who’s to definitively say he can’t still be a semi-productive reliever at ages 41 and 42, and make things interesting?It’d be fun to see and isn’t entirely outlandish anyway

Ken

  • Tyler O’Neill and a prospect for Mitch K? Wracking my brain for a MLB trade to match Mitch’s contract. Is this it?

Steve Adams

  • O’Neill has negative value. Keller does not. Including TON in the trade gets the O’s further away from getting Keller.

FA Prediction Contest

  • when is this being released? did i miss it?

Steve Adams

  • The prediction contest went live awhile back. We promoted it regularly until it closed last Thursday:https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/11/enter-the-mlbtr-free-agent-pred…

    Sorry! Hopefully you’re back in there for next year’s!

Goat

  • After learning about the Rangers shopping Adolis Garcia, who are some candidates to trade for him?

Steve Adams

  • That the Rangers will shop Garcia has been readily apparent for a couple months now. There’s no way he’s back next year. Highlighted him and Jonah Heim on our Top 40 trade candidate list 2-3 weeks back:
    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/11/mlb-rumors-top-trade-candidates…Giants, Tigers, Guardians, Royals, Reds, Marlins all jump to mind as easy fits, but Texas might also just non-tender him.

lincekid

  • if the Giants don’t want to give out long deals to pitchers, or forfeit draft picks to the next tier of pitchers, and I don’t want to rely on 40 year old pitchers, where does that leave them?

Steve Adams

  • Trading Bryce Eldridge? Signing Cody Ponce out of the KBO? ….Lucas Giolito?

Ballyhooed Plausiblilities

  • Could a player who is going to miss a full year of arbitration due to injury (tanner houck) be non-tendered and then sign a creative two year minor league deal with a major league option in the second year? Wondering due to the 40-man roster spot and CBT impacts

Steve Adams

  • Can’t put a major league option on a minor league deal. If Houck is non-tendered, he’d probably just sign a one-year deal elsewhere. He only has 4+ years of service, so even on a one-year deal, his new team would control him through 2027 via arbitration.

Suarezes Prediction

  • I predicted all three going to the D-Backs. Too much?

Steve Adams

  • “It
  • Augh
  • “It’s a bold strategy, Cotton. Let’s see if it pays off for ’em”

JeDi Mind trick

  • Do you think a Skubal trade actually happens? What could you see the Ms giving up to get this over the finish line?

Steve Adams

  • As I’ve said and will continue to say, I’d put the odds of a Skubal trade at like 0.25%. (Not 25% — one-quarter of one percent)People will want to talk about it all offseason. It’s going to generate clicks and social media engagement and views on MLB Network, so the narrative won’t go away, but I think there is next to no chance he is traded.

KC Guy

  • Do the Royals roll out Massey again at second base, or do you see them upgrading the position over the winter?

Steve Adams

  • Upgrade

Royals

  • With this being the 40 man protection deadline, do you see any big names getting DFA in the next few hours?  Big is relative, but like Jonathon India, Adolis Garcia, etc.

Steve Adams

  • Yeah India and Garcia are clear non-tender candidates and could be DFA before then if the trade markets are dry and those teams want the 40-man spots for Rule 5 protections

Marc

  • With the deadline to tender a contract two days after the deadline to add players to the 40-man roster for the Rule 5 draft, why doesn’t every team DFA planned non-tenders by today’s deadline rather than waiting two days and not being able to fill those roster spots with spots with trades? This has been happening  more each year, but at least a dozen likely nontenders remain by the second deadline. Sure, there may be a handful who get traded or sign a deal before Friday, but far more end up just being nontendered with the roster spot left open.

Steve Adams

  • Some of those clubs are planning to fill those spots with free agents or trade acquisitions anyhow. If anyone has a prospect they’re sure will be taken (or feel there’s a decent chance will be taken), and minimal roster space beyond the non-tender candidates on the roster, then sure they’ll DFA a Jonathan India, Adolis Garcia, Jonah Heim, etc.If you’re planning to add two big league starters, multiple relievers and an outfielder eventually anyhow, then it doesn’t really matter. If anything, you don’t want that 40-man spot occupied by someone you might have to DFA and lose via waivers anyhow; you run the risk that maybe he’d have gone unclaimed in the Rule 5 but another club just claims him post-DFA since they wouldn’t be required to carry him on the active roster all year.
  • Alright, I’ve got  to wrap up for the week. I’m on X @Adams_Steve and Bluesky @adams-steve.bsky.social if you’d like to ask me more questions, mock my opinions and/or hurl insults my way.If you want more opinions from the MLBTR team, you can learn about our Front Office subscription package and sign up here. In addition to ad-free viewing on the site and in the app, you’ll get weekly analysis/opinion columns from Anthony Franco and myself, a weekly mailbag column from Tim Dierkes, weekly fantasy baseball chats and columns with Nicklaus Gaut, weekly subscriber-only chats with Anthony and me (where your odds of getting a question answered are much, much higher), extra insight from Darragh McDonald, access to our Contract Tracker (a vital offseason resource) and our Agency Database, our GM Tracker and more.

    Thanks everyone!

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Buck Britton Will Return As Orioles’ Third Base Coach

By Steve Adams | November 17, 2025 at 6:49pm CDT

The Orioles’ coaching staff has been in a fluid state since the team hired Craig Albernaz as the new skipper, but interim third base coach Buck Britton will be a holdover for the 2026 season. Andy Kostka of the Baltimore Banner reports that Britton will shed the “interim” label in his title and return as Baltimore’s third base coach next season.

Britton opened the 2025 season on the Orioles’ staff but with the generic title of major league coach. He moved into the third base coach role after the O’s fired manager Brandon Hyde and elevated then-third base coach Tony Mansolino to the interim manager post. Mansolino interviewed for the full-time gig but lost out to Albernaz and has since joined Atlanta’s coaching staff.

The 39-year-old Britton is the older brother of former Orioles star reliever Zack Britton. He played in parts of seven minor league seasons — seven with the Orioles — from 2008-16. His playing days closed with minor league stints in the Dodgers and Twins organizations. Britton almost immediately jumped into coaching, landing a job as the hitting coach for the Orioles’ Class-A affiliate in 2017. A year later, he was managing that club. Britton slowly climbed the minor league ladder as a skipper, managing the Orioles’ Double-A and Triple-A affiliates for multiple seasons each until he was added to the big league staff in 2025.

Given the glut of managerial and coaching experience he’s accrued before even celebrating his 40th birthday, Britton could well have a prominent future in big league dugouts. He’ll join pitching coach Drew French and pitching strategy coach Ryan Klimek on a revamped staff that includes new hires Donnie Ecker (bench coach), Dustin Lind (hitting coach), Miguel Cairo (infield coach) and Jason Bourgeois (first base/outfield coach).

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D-backs’ GM Downplays Payroll Concerns

By Steve Adams | November 17, 2025 at 4:40pm CDT

Diamondbacks owner Ken Kendrick has already publicly indicated that his team’s payroll will decline from the franchise-record $200MM set in 2025, but that doesn’t necessarily mean the front office is handcuffed in terms of its ability to pursue additions this winter. General manager Mike Hazen recently pushed back on the idea that he might have to subtract some salary via trade, telling Nick Piecoro of the Arizona Republic:

“I don’t really feel that way, honestly. That’s not the impression I have. Are we going to be doing what we did last offseason? Probably not. But I don’t think I have zero wiggle room or avenues to pursue players.”

RosterResource currently projects the Snakes for about $143MM in 2026 payroll, and that’s before potential non-tenders among the arbitration class. Injured lefty A.J. Puk, who underwent UCL surgery this summer, is projected for a $3.3MM salary (via MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz) but might not even pitch next season in his final year before free agency. Righty Kevin Ginkel ($3MM projection) posted a 7.36 ERA in 25 2/3 MLB innings. Outfielders Alek Thomas ($2.2MM projection) and Jake McCarthy ($1.9MM projection) both had well below-average seasons at the plate; McCarthy, in particular, was one of the 20 worst hitters in MLB, sitting with the 18th-worst wRC+ mark among the 348 hitters who tallied at least 200 turns at the plate.

Assuming some of that group departs, the Diamondbacks will find themselves with a $135-140MM projection for next year’s Opening Day payroll. Even if ownership plans to scale back payroll by as much as $25MM — and that’s just an arbitrary number for illustrative purposes — Hazen could reasonably have as much as $40MM to spend on next year’s payroll alone.

All of this pushes back somewhat against the notion of a potential trade of star second baseman Ketel Marte. Hazen has already called trading Marte or any of his star hitters “unlikely,” although because he’s acknowledged that he’ll hear offers as a matter of due diligence, some optimists have clung to the idea that Marte might be available.  Trading him would bring a haul of talent, but it’d also just create another hole which needs to be filled.

Arizona’s shopping list this winter is lengthy, to say the least. Hazen & Co. will need to add at least two starters to a rotation that currently consists of Ryne Nelson and a pair of pitchers who struggled badly in 2025: righty Brandon Pfaadt and lefty Eduardo Rodriguez. Corbin Burnes underwent Tommy John surgery in June and will miss most or all of next year. Zac Gallen is a free agent. Most of the organization’s top pitching products heading into 2025 pitched poorly and/or suffered an injury this past season. The bullpen needs a nearly complete overhaul.

In a separate piece, Piecoro suggests that reunions with Gallen and fellow righty Merrill Kelly (whom the D-backs traded to the Rangers back in July) seem unlikely if the two indeed command the type of $17MM+ annual values many (MLBTR included) have predicted for both pitchers. There’s no firm indication that either is squarely off the table, to be clear, but the D-backs need to add at least two starters and relievers apiece, and that’s to say nothing of the infield corners or the bench. Young sluggers Tyler Locklear and Jordan Lawlar could get looks at first base and third base, respectively, but neither has proven himself in the majors. Lawlar has also been getting a look in center field, which stands as another potential area of need after Thomas struggled so much with the bat in 2025 (and really, in his overall parts of four MLB seasons to date).

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Red Sox Outright Luis Guerrero

By Steve Adams | November 14, 2025 at 11:24am CDT

Red Sox right-hander Luis Guerrero, who was designated for assignment last week, went unclaimed on outright waivers and has been assigned to Triple-A Worcester, reports Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com. He lacks the service time or prior outright needed to elect free agency, so he’ll remain with the organization as non-roster depth.

Guerrero, 25, has pitched 27 1/3 innings of relief for Boston over the past two seasons. He sports a sharp 2.63 ERA in that time and sits 96.9 mph with his heater, perhaps making it a bit surprising that he went unclaimed at first glance. However, Guerrero went on the injured list with an elbow sprain back in June and never returned — though he never required any type of surgery to address the injury. The Sox moved him to the 60-day IL in August. Guerrero also has poor command, walking nearly 15% of his opponents against just a 17.6% strikeout rate in the majors.

The hard-throwing Guerrero’s minor league numbers are more alarming. He has a respectable enough 3.89 ERA in parts of three Triple-A seasons but saw that mark jump to 4.39 in 2025. He’s walked or plunked an untenable 17.4% of his opponents at the top minor league level, and in 2025 walked nearly 19% of the minor league hitters he faced in 31 innings.

Guerrero has, at times, posted gaudy strikeout and swinging-strike rates. The velocity is impressive, and he has a pair of minor league options remaining. That all makes him a nice depth piece whom the Sox are surely glad to retain, but he’ll need to further refine his well below-average command if he’s to carve out a steady role in a major league bullpen. Assuming his elbow is healed, he’ll be in big league camp with the Sox and hope to pitch his way back into the mix for a 40-man roster spot.

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Cubs Among Teams Interested In Michael King

By Steve Adams | November 14, 2025 at 10:03am CDT

The Cubs are in the market for notable rotation upgrades this offseason, and right-hander Michael King is among the names on their radar, per Patrick Mooney and Sahadev Sharma of The Athletic. Mooney and Sharma also double down on the Cubs’ previously reported interest in Dylan Cease, noting that the Cubs are willing to forfeit the requisite draft pick and international funds to sign a player who has rejected a qualifying offer (which both Cease and King received from the Padres).

King, 31 next May, has had an atypical arc over the past few seasons. A swingman and multi-inning reliever for several years in the Bronx, he moved into the Yankees’ rotation late in the 2023 season and posted brilliant results in nine starts down the stretch. New York shipped him to San Diego as part of the Juan Soto blockbuster of the 2023-24 offseason, and King subsequently broke out as one of the top starters in MLB, starting 30 games for the Friars and turning in a 2.95 ERA with a hearty 27.7% strikeout rate against a solid 8.7% walk rate.

It was more of the same early in 2025. King sprinted out of the gates with a 2.59 ERA and even better rate stats (28.4 K%, 7.6 BB%) in his first 10 starts. By late May, he’d claimed the No. 6 spot on our Free Agent Power Rankings here at MLBTR. A nine-figure free agent deal seemed all but certain — provided King stayed healthy.

That proved to be a major caveat. The Padres placed King on the 15-day IL in late May with what was originally termed inflammation in his right shoulder. San Diego later called it a pinched nerve in his shoulder, but it wasn’t expected to be a prominent injury … at least not at first. King, however, wound up spending nearly three months on the shelf. In late June, King publicly voiced frustration with the injury, noting that there were days where he was in significant discomfort and could barely muster any baseball activity — and that he’d wake up a day later feeling close to 100% and ready to go.

King finally returned the mound in early August, giving the Padres hope that he’d be back atop their rotation down the stretch. His return lasted all of two innings, however — but not due to his previously problematic shoulder. Rather, King landed back on the 15-day IL due to a left knee issue that popped up in his return effort. An MRI revealed no structural damage, and King hoped to be back after a minimal stint but still wound up sidelined for another month.

King returned for good in early September, but his results in four starts were rocky. He pitched just 15 2/3 innings and yielded 10 runs on 18 hits (including six homers) with an 11-to-7 K/BB ratio. Brilliant as his start to the season was, King pitched a total of 17 2/3 innings with a 6.11 ERA following May 18. He made one appearance with San Diego in the postseason, pitching one inning of relief — and striking out the side in a perfect frame.

There’s little doubting that King is among the most talented arms in the sport, but his platform year before free agency finished with more of a whimper than a roar. The Padres seemingly don’t have any qualms about his health. They issued him a $22.025MM qualifying offer despite having minimal payroll flexibility this winter. San Diego would presumably be thrilled to have King back, given the need in their rotation, but they’re reportedly aiming for a similar payroll to 2025 and King accepting the QO would put them about $10MM over where they sat in ’25. If the Padres had major concerns about his shoulder and/or knee, they likely wouldn’t have risked the QO — particularly since their compensation for him signing elsewhere will only be a pick after the fourth round (rather than after the first) due to their status as a luxury tax payor.

King isn’t necessarily the sole focus of the Cubs’ hunt for rotation upgrades (nor is Cease). The Athletic duo note that Chicago has some interest in star NPB righty Tatsuya Imai and they could rekindle last offseason’s trade talks with the Marlins about their starting pitchers. Imai will be posted for major league teams next week. Marlins ace Sandy Alcantara is signed through 2026 with a club option for 2027, while 27-year-old righty Edward Cabrera is controlled via arbitration through 2028. It’s still possible that lefty Shota Imanaga returns, whether via accepting his own QO or perhaps working out a new two-year deal.

The Cubs currently project for a payroll of about $158MM, per RosterResource, which sits around $50MM shy of their end-of-season levels in 2025. They’re nowhere close to the luxury tax, currently sitting close to $75MM shy of next year’s $244MM first-tier threshold. Shortstop Dansby Swanson is currently the only Cubs player who’s guaranteed anything beyond the 2026 season. His seven-year, $177MM contract runs through 2029. There’s quite literally no free agent the deep-pocketed Cubs can’t afford to pursue, so the only limitations on their winter additions will be self-imposed if the bidding reaches a point that’s too far beyond the comfort zone of either the front office or owner Tom Ricketts.

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Reds Hire Oscar Marin As Bullpen Coach

By Steve Adams | November 13, 2025 at 3:28pm CDT

The Reds on Thursday announced the hiring of Oscar Marin as their new bullpen coach. Marin, who served as the Pirates’ pitching coach from 2020-25, will take over for Matt Tracy, who’s moved from bullpen coach to assistant pitching coach. Last year’s assistant pitching coach, Simon Mathews, was hired away as the Nationals’ new pitching coach earlier this week.

Marin broke into pro ball back in 2010 with the Rangers, working as a coach and assistant in their minor league ranks for seven years. He then joined the Mariners as their minor league pitching coordinator from 2017-18 before returning to the Rangers organization as their bullpen coach in 2019.

Plenty went wrong for the Pirates during Marin’s tenure with the organization, although generally speaking, the pitching staff was far down the list of the team’s problems. Pittsburgh’s offense and struggles to develop young hitters are known flaws of the organization, but the Pirates have done well in drafting and developing young pitchers. While many Pirates top hitting prospects have stalled out in Triple-A or the majors, pitchers like Paul Skenes, Bubba Chandler, Jared Jones, Braxton Ashcraft, Mike Burrows, Mitch Keller and others have had plenty of success at the MLB level with Marin as their lead pitching instructor.

Marin was one of the Pirates’ first hires after initially tabbing Derek Shelton as their manager. Shelton was dismissed in May — he’s since been hired as the new Twins’ manager — and replaced by bench coach Don Kelly, whose contract was extended at season’s end. While Kelly and Marin have worked together for several years, the Bucs opted not to renew Marin’s contract. The Pirates hired former Astros pitching coach Bill Murphy to fill their pitching coach vacancy late last month.

The 42-year-old Marin (43 next month) will now join Terry Francona’s staff and bring more than a half decade of experience as a pitching coach — some of it spent alongside highly respected Brent Strom — to a Cincinnati team that is deep in pitching talent (albeit more in the rotation than in the bullpen at present).

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Rays Eyeing Short-Term Rotation Help

By Steve Adams | November 13, 2025 at 3:09pm CDT

The Rays opened the offseason with the fairly surprising decision to decline their option on closer Pete Fairbanks, but they’re still intent on adding to the roster. Ken Rosenthal, Will Sammon and Katie Woo of The Athletic report that Tampa Bay is hoping to add a starter who can eat innings to their rotation — ideally on a short-term deal.

It’s not a riveting target for Rays fans to sink their teeth into, but it’s a sensible enough pursuit. The Rays have a solid rotation on paper, with Shane McClanahan expected to return from a two-year injury absence to join Drew Rasmussen, Ryan Pepiot and Shane Baz on the staff. Candidates for the fifth spot currently include Ian Seymour, Joe Rock, Joe Boyle and prospect Yoniel Curet. There’s plenty of talent in that group. Both McClanahan and Rasmussen have pitched like top-of-the-rotation starters at their best.

That said, McClanahan will surely be on an innings limit. He missed all of 2024 due to Tommy John surgery and was targeting a summer return before a nerve issue in his left arm prompted a second surgery that ended his season. He pitched just 3 1/3 innings on his rehab assignment before being shut down by that injury, and those are the only innings he’s pitched since the end of the 2023 campaign.

Rasmussen just made his own return from a UCL procedure and tossed a career-high 150 innings in 2025. Baz, similarly, missed all of 2023 due to Tommy John surgery and has slowly built his innings back up, topping out with a career-high 166 1/3 in 2025. Pepiot hasn’t had any major arm injuries recently, but this past season’s 167 2/3 frames was a career-high for the righty, who did spend ample time on the injured list earlier in his professional career.

It’d be a surprise to see the Rays make a significant expenditure, as they did three winters ago when signing Zach Eflin to a three-year, $40MM contract (which he was traded halfway through). But the market figures to include plenty of stable veteran arms who could sign for one year or possibly two at a modest annual value. Names like Michael Lorenzen, Jose Quintana, Chris Paddack, Patrick Corbin, Tyler Anderson and Miles Mikolas all made at least 24 starts and are likely in line for one-year commitments. The Rays could roll the dice on a younger upside play like Walker Buehler or Dustin May, as well, but both are coming off dismal seasons.

The Rays have new ownership, as longtime owner Stuart Sternberg sold to a group fronted by Jacksonville-based real estate developer Patrick Zalupski. It’s still not clear whether that change will bring about an uptick in payroll, though the Rays played their home games at a minor league park in 2025 and accordingly drew the second-fewest fans in the American League (trailing only the A’s, who also played their home games in a Triple-A park).

Tampa Bay’s payroll, perennially near the bottom of the league, is already on pace to be higher than it was in 2025. Per RosterResource, the Rays project for about $95.5MM in 2026 commitments, including arbitration-eligible players. That’s up from last year’s Opening Day mark of $78MM and close to 2024’s franchise-record $99MM Opening Day payroll. A handful of non-tenders could bring that number down, and it’s plausible that the Rays will shop second baseman Brandon Lowe, who’s owed $11.5MM next year. That’d certainly free them up to add some innings to the rotation.

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Orioles Pursuing Prominent Pitching Upgrades, Open To Signing Qualifying Offer Recipients

By Steve Adams | November 13, 2025 at 2:09pm CDT

On the heels of a disappointing 2025 season, Orioles president of baseball operations Mike Elias is striking a much more aggressive tenor in his early media appearances this offseason than last. Baltimore’s baseball ops leader candidly acknowledged this week that he’s hopeful of adding a starter who can give his team “innings and front-half-of-the-rotation stuff” as well as a reliever “who has closer experience” (links via Andy Kostka of the Baltimore Banner and Jake Rill of MLB.com. Just as notably, Elias voiced that he is “fully prepared” to forfeit draft pick(s) to sign free agents who have rejected a qualifying offer.

It’s a notable departure from Baltimore’s 2024-25 offseason. The O’s made a multi-year offer to Corbin Burnes that wasn’t accepted. It’s not clear how many — if any — other free agents received multi-year offers from the Orioles.

Ultimately, Elias & Co. handed out almost exclusively one-year deals, signing Charlie Morton ($15MM), Tomoyuki Sugano ($13MM), Andrew Kittredge ($10MM), Gary Sanchez ($8.5MM), Ramon Laureano ($4MM) and Dylan Carlson ($975K) for the 2025 season. Outfielder Tyler O’Neill was the lone recipient of a multi-year guarantee, landing three years and $49.5MM. Even that deal came with an opt-out opportunity following the 2025 season.

O’Neill was not only the lone multi-year free agent signing for the Orioles last winter — he’s the only free agent Elias has signed to a multi-year deal in seven offseasons leading Baltimore’s baseball operations. For much of that time, the team has been rebuilding, which helps to explain the lack of a multi-year investment. Elias told Darragh McDonald in a recent guest appearance on the MLBTR Podcast that there’s no organizational aversion to multi-year free agent deals, they simply haven’t lined up on one during his tenure.

At least based on his early comments, Elias seems more resolute in his efforts to pursue higher-end talent. The O’s have a pair of notable arms in Kyle Bradish and the resurgent Trevor Rogers atop their rotation, but Rogers is a free agent next winter and Bradish only returned from Tommy John surgery this past summer. Voicing a preference to sign someone who can pitch in the “front half” of the rotation and expressing a willingness to punt draft picks both signal a more aggressive playbook this winter.

On the free agent side of things, the market has several interesting names. Dylan Cease, Framber Valdez, Ranger Suarez, Michael King, Brandon Woodruff and Zac Gallen all received qualifying offers. None are expected to accept. NPB star Tatsuya Imai will also be posted for MLB clubs, adding a 28-year-old wild card to the mix. Notably, Elias was the Astros’ scouting director when the team signed Valdez as an amateur in 2016. The two overlapped in Houston’s organization for a couple years.

On the trade side of the coin, there are a number of high-profile arms likely to be available. Much as it pains fans of pitching-hungry clubs, there’s minimal chance the Tigers will trade Tarik Skubal. The Brewers seem inclined to hang onto Freddy Peralta. Twins president Derek Falvey has said he plans to add to the roster until he’s told otherwise, which casts some doubt on the immediate availability of Joe Ryan and/or Pablo Lopez. But the market still includes names like MacKenzie Gore, Sonny Gray, Sandy Alcantara, Edward Cabrera and Mitch Keller, among others.

Broadly speaking, whether it’s via free agency or trade, there’s benefit in the Orioles adding a starter who’s controlled/signed beyond 2026. Rogers, as mentioned, is a free agent next winter. Righties Dean Kremer and Tyler Wells will be free agents after the 2027 season. There’s little doubting the pure talent of righty Grayson Rodriguez, but by the time Opening Day 2026 rolls around, he’ll be 20 months removed from pitching in a big league game. There’s very little long-term stability in the group.

As for the relief market, the number of qualified free agents is far lower. Devin Williams didn’t receive a QO from the Yankees. Robert Suarez didn’t get one from the Padres. Edwin Diaz was the only reliever tagged with a QO. That said, there are a number of a high-profile names from which to choose. Diaz, Suarez, Williams, Ryan Helsley, Raisel Iglesias, Kyle Finnegan and Pete Fairbanks all have extensive closing experience in the majors. If the preference is a one-year deal, 38-year-old Kenley Jansen keeps getting the job done even as he inches closer to his 40th birthday.

Whoever ends up emerging as the priority, payroll shouldn’t be an issue. The only players guaranteed anything beyond the 2026 season are O’Neill and catcher Samuel Basallo, who inked a long-term extension just days after making his MLB debut. They’re owed a combined $17.5MM in 2027. After ’27, Basallo’s eight-year, $67MM deal is the only contract on the books. It’d be a surprise to see the Orioles sign a high-end starter and a prominent reliever to multi-year deals, but only because they haven’t operated that way in quite some time. Payroll-wise, there’s no reason they couldn’t bring in a pair of prominent free agents.

Elias also suggested that the O’s will be on the lookout for an additional option in center field. While he praised Colton Cowser’s long-term outlook and expressed confidence that the 25-year-old (26 next March) can handle the position defensively, Baltimore’s president also noted that “you can’t get through the year with one center fielder.”

A reunion with Cedric Mullins seems unlikely, as he’ll presumably want everyday at-bats (or close to it) wherever he goes, while the O’s have O’Neill, Cowser and Dylan Beavers already in the mix for playing time, to say nothing of recently signed Leody Taveras and former top prospect Heston Kjerstad. Enrique Bradfield Jr., the No. 17 overall pick in 2023 and one of the system’s top prospects, reached Triple-A last year and could debut in 2026.

Part-time center field options on the market could include Lane Thomas, Harrison Bader or Chas McCormick, whom Elias drafted with the Astros back in 2017. Trade possibilities could include Arizona’s Alek Thomas or Colorado’s Brenton Doyle. If Twins ownership winds up pushing the front office to further scale back payroll, then not only would Lopez and Ryan be available — Byron Buxton may even be amenable to waiving his no-trade clause.

As always, this is far from an exhaustive list of targets for the Orioles or possibilities to fill those needs. In all likelihood, the O’s will be looking for multiple relievers, additional bench pieces and ample minor league depth in both the rotation and bullpen (at the very least). There’s been some suggestion that they could pursue a more prominent bat to hit in the middle of the lineup. The New York Post’s Jon Heyman called them a dark horse for Pete Alonso, noting that there’s “some interest” from the O’s. Be that as it may, it’d be a surprise if they did anything more than lurk on the periphery of his market to offer a soft landing if Alonso again struggles to find a long-term deal this winter.

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