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Padres Select Garrett Hawkins, Miguel Mendez

By Steve Adams | November 18, 2025 at 5:11pm CDT

The Padres announced that they have selected right-handers Garrett Hawkins and Miguel Mendez to their 40-man roster. That protects both of them from being selected in next month’s Rule 5 draft. San Diego’s 40-man roster count climbs to 36.

Hawins, 25, was the Padres’ ninth-round pick in 2021. He pitched 60 innings in 2025 with a sparkling 1.50 ERA with a massive 35.1% strikeout rate against a 10.1% walk rate. He’s a pure bullpen prospect who returned from Tommy John surgery in 2025 with even better velocity and strikeout rates. Hawkins still hasn’t pitched in Triple-A but is an obvious candidate to get a big league look at some point in 2026.

Mendez, 23, climbed through three levels this season, topping out in Double-A and posting a collective 3.22 ERA, 29.4% strikeout rate and 11.2% walk rate. The Dominican-born hurler draws plus grades for his fastball and slider — the former, in particular — but he has subpar command that still needs refinement if he’s to continue as a starter. For the time being, the Padres have continued to try to develop him in a rotation role; he started 21 games in 2025.

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San Diego Padres Transactions Garrett Hawkins Miguel Mendez

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Orioles Announce Four Roster Moves

By Steve Adams | November 18, 2025 at 5:10pm CDT

The Orioles have designated outfielder Pedro Leon and infielder Luis Vazquez for assignment, per a team announcement. Their roster spots go to right-hander Cameron Foster and outfielder Reed Trimble, who have been selected to the 40-man roster and are now protected from being poached in December’s Rule 5 Draft.

Once a high-profile international signing by the Astros, Leon originally received a $4MM signing bonus from Houston. He ranked as one of the Astros’ top prospects for several seasons but has stalled out in the upper minors and landed with the O’s by way of waiver claim earlier this offseason. He’s just 2-for-20 in seven big league games and has a .252/.354/.447 batting line in parts of five Triple-A seasons. Leon still runs well, but he’ll be 28 next May and has yet to make a big impact in Triple-A, let alone in the majors.

Vazquez, 26, signed a big league deal for the 2026 season earlier this month. He was already on Baltimore’s 40-man roster, so agreeing to terms was a matter of setting his salary for the upcoming season. The O’s frequently sign depth pieces like this to salaries slightly north of the league minimum, often times with a minor league split that’s also higher than average, with the aim of passing them through waivers and stashing them. The slightly higher major league and Triple-A salaries both help the player pass through waivers and ensure that they won’t elect free agency if and when they’re outrighted.

In parts of two big league seasons, Vazquez is a .145/.194/.210 hitter, but that’s in a minuscule sample of 67 plate appearances. In parts of five Triple-A seasons, Vazquez is a .252/.340/.408 hitter. He can play three infield positions and popped 20 homers in a season between Double-A and Triple-A back in 2023.

Foster, 27, came to the O’s as part of the July trade sending Gregory Soto to the Mets. He posted a 3.11 ERA, 32.6% strikeout rate and 8.4% walk rate in 46 1/3 innings between the Mets’ Double-A affiliate, their Triple-A affiliate and the Orioles’ Triple-A affiliate. He’ll turn 27 next March.

Trimble, 25, was selected with the No. 65 overall pick by Baltimore back in 2021. He hit .259/.342/.486 with 17 home runs and 21 steals across four minor league levels — mostly Double-A and Triple-A. He’s not considered one of the Orioles’ most prominent prospects, but Trimble is a switch-hitter with some power and speed who can handle all three outfield slots.

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Baltimore Orioles Transactions Cameron Foster Luis Vazquez Pedro Leon Reed Trimble

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Blue Jays Select Ricky Tiedemann

By Steve Adams | November 18, 2025 at 5:06pm CDT

The Blue Jays have selected the contract of top pitching prospect Ricky Tiedemann, per a club announcement. They’re now up to 38 players on the 40-man roster.

Tiedemann, 23, didn’t pitch this past season while recovering from Tommy John surgery performed in July 2024. Be that as it may, given how highly regarded the 2021 third-rounder had become prior to that injury, he’d surely have been scooped up by a non-contending club in next month’s Rule 5 Draft.

Though Tiedemann still hasn’t topped the 78 2/3 innings he pitched in his first full professional season back in 2022, he ranked among the game’s top 100 prospects at Baseball America in each of the past three offseasons. He’s pitched to a career 3.02 ERA in the minors and fanned a gargantuan 39.6% of his opponents. His 11.9% walk rate clearly needs refinement, but the 6’4″, 220-pound Tiedemann carries substantial upside as a potential playoff-caliber starter or a late-game reliever with possibly elite bat-missing abilities.

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Toronto Blue Jays Transactions Ricky Tiedemann

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Angels Select Walbert Ureña

By Steve Adams | November 18, 2025 at 4:08pm CDT

The Angels announced Tuesday that they’ve selected the contract of righty Walbert Ureña. He’s now on the 40-man roster and ineligible to be selected by another club in next month’s Rule 5 Draft. His addition bumps the Angels’ 40-man roster count up to 35 players.

Ureña, 21, signed as an amateur out of the Dominican Republic back in 2021 and just split the 2025 season between Anaheim’s Double-A (135 1/3 innings) and Triple-A (5 2/3 innings) affiliates. He pitched to a combined 4.34 ERA in his 141 innings, fanning 20.7% of his opponents against a 12.1% walk rate. He sits mid-90s with a hard sinker that can climb as high as 100 mph. That power offering helped him post a superlative 57.6% ground-ball rate in the minors this year.

As things stand, this is the Angels’ lone 40-man addition of the day. Nothing is stopping them from making further moves to protect additional players, but the bulk of the top-ranked prospects in their thin farm system are either already on the 40-man roster or aren’t eligible to be selected in the Rule 5 Draft until 2026 or 2027. Righties Joel Hurtado and Samy Natera Jr. are notable exceptions, though both are coming off so-so seasons in the minors; Hurtado posted a bleak 15.5% strikeout rate as a 24-year-old in Double-A, while Natera walked 17% of his opponents out of the bullpen between Double-A and Triple-A.

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Los Angeles Angels Transactions Walbert Urena

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Nine Players Reject Qualifying Offer

By Steve Adams and AJ Eustace | November 18, 2025 at 3:07pm CDT

The deadline to accept the qualifying offer has passed. Four players — Trent Grisham, Gleyber Torres, Brandon Woodruff, and Shota Imanaga — chose to accept the one-year, $22.025MM deal and remain with their current clubs. The remaining nine players rejected the deal. They are: Cubs outfielder Kyle Tucker, Phillies DH Kyle Schwarber, Blue Jays infielder Bo Bichette, Astros lefty Framber Valdez, Padres righty Dylan Cease, Phillies lefty Ranger Suarez, Mets closer Edwin Diaz, Diamondbacks righty Zac Gallen, and Padres righty Michael King. All nine are now free agents.

There’s not much surprise in any of the nine players who rejected. Tucker, Schwarber, Bichette, Valdez, Cease, Suarez and Diaz were all locks. Gallen may have given some brief thought to accepting after a rough showing in 2025, but he finished strong and has a track record as a high-end starter who’s garnered multiple top-five finishes in NL Cy Young balloting. King was hobbled by nerve and knee injuries in an odd season but was dominant in 2023-24 and through the first two months of the current season. He was healthy late in the year and fanned three in his lone inning of postseason work. He’ll test the waters in search of a multi-year deal as well.

Now that this nonet has rejected qualifying offers, they’ll all be subject to draft compensation. Interested teams will need to surrender a draft pick (or multiple picks) and, in some cases, space from their bonus pool for international amateurs in order to sign any of this group. The extent of that draft compensation depends on the revenue-sharing and luxury tax status of the new team. MLBTR broke down which pick(s) each club would forfeit by signing a “qualified” free agent last month.

Similarly, the compensation for each player’s former club is dependent on revenue-sharing and luxury tax status — as well as the size of the contract signed by the player in question. MLBTR also ran through the compensation each team would receive if their qualified free agents turned down the offer and signed elsewhere.

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Arizona Diamondbacks Chicago Cubs Houston Astros New York Mets Newsstand Philadelphia Phillies San Diego Padres Toronto Blue Jays Bo Bichette Dylan Cease Edwin Diaz Framber Valdez Kyle Schwarber Kyle Tucker Michael King Ranger Suarez Zac Gallen

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Trent Grisham To Accept Qualifying Offer

By Steve Adams | November 18, 2025 at 2:56pm CDT

Outfielder Trent Grisham is accepting his $22.025MM qualifying offer and will return to the Yankees in 2026, reports ESPN’s Jorge Castillo. Players who accept a QO are considered free agent signings and are thus ineligible to be traded prior to the following June 15 unless they consent to the move.

It’s at least a modest surprise, as Grisham is coming off a breakout year at the plate which saw him club a career-high 34 home runs. He slashed .235/.348/.464, thanks in no small part to a career-best 14.1% walk rate and a 23.6% strikeout rate that stood as the second-lowest in his career. Between that production, the fact that Grisham only just turned 29 earlier this month, and a thin outfield market in free agency, the stars seemed to align for him to pursue a weighty multi-year contract this winter.

Instead, Grisham returns to the site of his breakout and will hold down a key role in an outfield that’s also currently slated to include Jasson Dominguez and Aaron Judge. The Yankees are interested in re-signing Cody Bellinger, have been linked to Kyle Tucker and also have DH Giancarlo Stanton at least loosely in the outfield mix. (He played 132 outfield innings in 2025.)

Grisham’s return muddies the waters a bit, but GM Brian Cashman said recently that even if he accepted, it wouldn’t impact the team’s pursuit of a new deal with Bellinger (link via the New York Post’s Greg Joyce). The Yankees wouldn’t have made the QO to Grisham if they believed his acceptance was a roadblock to bringing back Bellinger or signing Tucker. They’re surely glad to have him back. Even though his defensive grades took an unexpected downturn in ’25, he has the best defensive track record in center of the Yankees’ in-house options.

While Grisham could have looked to cash in this winter, he’ll instead take a hefty one-year payday in what amounts to a bet on himself. Though he’s a left-handed bat, his power output was hardly a product of Yankee Stadium’s short right field porch. In fact, Grisham hit just .195/.326/.376 at home this season, compared to .254/.364/.506 on the road. If he can replicate this year’s huge power production, he could hit the market next offseason on the back of consecutive plus seasons at the plate and without the encumbrance of a qualifying offer. A big enough showing this year could realistically position Grisham for a $100MM+ contract — particularly if his defensive grades rebound, too.

The looming potential for a work stoppage is one other wrinkle to consider, but if anything, today’s glut of QO decisions suggests that players aren’t necessarily going to shy away from short-term deals that put them on the open market next year — at least not en masse. Grisham is one of four players to accept the QO, joining Gleyber Torres, Shota Imanaga and Brandon Woodruff in that regard. In a vacuum, any one of the four accepting his QO wouldn’t be considered a major surprise — but all four accepting in the same offseason is downright atypical. This marks the first time since the inception of the qualifying offer that more than three players have accepted a QO.

With Grisham back in the fold, the Yankees’ projected payroll for the upcoming season jumps to about $263MM, per RosterResource. They’ll now have about $286MM of luxury tax obligations, placing them just over the third penalty line. That means that the Yankees’ top pick in the 2027 draft will drop by 10 places, unless they’re able to sneak their luxury count back under $284MM. Given the wide swath of offseason dealings that’s likely still on the table for Cashman & Co., that doesn’t seem to be a very likely outcome. In all likelihood, the Yankees will wind up in the top CBT penalty tier, just as they’ve done in each of the past three seasons.

Turning to the rest of the league, Grisham’s early removal from the free agent market — to a team that didn’t clearly need to retain him, no less — subtracts arguably the top center field option from the market. Bellinger, of course, can still play center but barely did so in 2025. Most teams probably consider him more of a corner outfielder/first baseman who can play occasional center field. Harrison Bader and Cedric Mullins are the two most notable options still on the market, though the former has been more of a part-time player and the latter is looking to bounce back from an awful 2025 showing. The market was light on center fielders to begin with and is even more so now, so teams looking for help at the position might be more inclined to turn to the trade market to address that deficiency.

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New York Yankees Newsstand Transactions Cody Bellinger Kyle Tucker Trent Grisham

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Red Sox Trade Luis Guerrero To Rays

By Steve Adams | November 18, 2025 at 12:32pm CDT

The Red Sox and Rays have swapped right-hander Luis Guerrero and infielder Tristan Gray, per announcements from both clubs. Boston recently designated Guerrero for assignment and passed him through waivers unclaimed. The Red Sox designated first baseman Nate Lowe for assignment to open a 40-man spot for Gray.

Tampa Bay could have just claimed Guerrero off waivers but seemingly didn’t want to commit a 40-man roster spot to the hard-throwing but command-challenged righty. The 25-year-old has posted a strong 2.63 ERA in 27 1/3 innings for the Red Sox over the past two seasons and averages a potent 96.9 mph on his heater. However, he ended the season on the injured list due to an elbow issue and has regularly displayed alarming command (or lack thereof) both in the majors and upper minors.

Guerrero has walked nearly 15% of his major league opponents against a tepid 17.6% strikeout rate. He carries a 3.89 ERA in three Triple-A seasons but has walked or plunked a colossal 17.4% of his Triple-A opponents. That includes a walk rate just under 19% in 2025.

At times, Guerrero has posted gaudy strikeout and swinging-strike rates. The velocity is impressive, and he has a pair of minor league options remaining. That makes him an intriguing roll of the dice for Tampa Bay, but his health and troubling lack of command make him more of a project than a sure thing — small-sample major league ERA notwithstanding.

Guerrero would hardly be the first live-armed prospect to land in Tampa Bay and flourish, of course, and there ought to be ample opportunity in Kevin Cash’s bullpen. The Rays declined their $11MM club option on longtime closer Pete Fairbanks, making him a free agent. Holdovers include Edwin Uceta, Griffin Jax, Garrett Cleavinger, Bryan Baker and Mason Montgomery, but there’s plenty of innings for Guerrero (and others) to claim if he can impress in spring training or in the early portion of the Triple-A season.

As for Gray, he’s a 29-year-old with limited MLB experience across parts of three seasons. He tallied 86 plate appearances with the Rays in 2025 and hit .231/.282/.410 with three homers and five doubles. Gray walked at a 7% clip and fanned at a 22.1% rate in his 30 games with Tampa Bay. He split the bulk of his season between the Triple-A affiliate of the White Sox, slashing .270/.333/.472 in 282 turns at the plate.

Gray is a left-handed hitter with considerable experience at all four infield positions. He’s played more second, short and third than first base but still has 938 innings even as a first baseman. He also has a minor league option remaining. He’ll go on Boston’s 40-man roster as a depth piece who can be stashed in Triple-A Worcester, though he’s not a lock to make it through the offseason on the 40-man roster. Guerrero will be in camp with the Rays as a non-roster invitee and head to Triple-A Durham if he doesn’t make the club next spring.

MassLive.com’s Chris Cotillo first reported that Guerrero had been traded to Tampa Bay.

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Boston Red Sox Tampa Bay Rays Transactions Luis Guerrero Tristan Gray

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MLBTR Chat Transcript

By Steve Adams | November 18, 2025 at 10:28am CDT

Steve Adams

  • Good morning all! Sorry for the odd timing and abrupt start today. With the QO acceptance deadline and Rule 5 protection deadline both looming this afternoon, I assume it’s going to be a bit too chaotic to run a chat at the usual time. We’ll go for about an hour this morning, like usual.

JD

  • I made my statement move. Where do I look to improve next between 2B, 3B and bullpen?

Steve Adams

  • All of the above? It’s not really a matter of one priority over the other. I’d be surprised if the Mariners don’t add one more infielder and at least one bullpen arm, though the former is a bigger priority. Retaining Polanco is the most straightforward option, but I could see Gleyber as well, if he rejects a QO. Trade market is always in play, too. Brendan Donovan fits really nicely both in terms of roster need and the general skill set (high contact/low strikeout, defensive versatility) I’d expect Seattle to value heavily.

Royals

  • Would Kris Bubic for Jhostynxon Garcia be a deal that could work?

Steve Adams

  • While Bubic being traded wouldn’t surprise me, I don’t think he’s going to fetch an MLB-ready top-100 prospect. He’s coming off another injury-shortened season and only has one year of club control remaining.

Mitch Garver

  • The team that drafted me needs a new backup catcher right? Reunion time?

Steve Adams

  • Garver’s defensive grades have wilted, and I feel like if the Twins want a backup they’ll just sign a glove-first type. If they’re going to spend money this winter — far from a guarantee — backup catcher seems a ways down the list of needs.

Henry

  • Do you think the blue jays are the favourites to sign Tucker?

Steve Adams

  • I don’t think there’s any one individual favorite at this point, but the Jays are among the five to six most plausible and likeliest landing spots, sure.

Unclemike1526

  • You think Shota will sign a new deal with the Cubs or leave? I’m still not sold that he wants out of town. Thanks

Steve Adams

  • He basically turned down two years and $30MM from them when he declined his player option (since exercising it would’ve given him another $15MM player option).Maybe he prefers the one-year, higher-AAV route, but then he’s just a free agent again ahead of a potential work stoppage? I tend to think he’ll reject and get three years elsewhere — very likely at less than the $57.75MM he’d have made if the Cubs had exercised his option

Read more

Guest

  • Dustin May & Beuhler to the Padres for 3 million apiece?

Steve Adams

  • I’m pretty much out on both pitchers, but that’s the sort of move the Padres probably have to make. $3MM might be light, especially on May (although honestly, I’m not sure I’d even give him that if it were my call).

Joshua

  • Passan floated the idea of the Nats dealing MacKenzie Gore and CJ Abrams in the same deal. I think this would make a TON of sense for a team like the Dodgers, Blue Jays, Red Sox, etc. Virtually any team that is close and could use Abrams at 2B. Using the Dodgers as a template, what could this deal look like?

Steve Adams

  • Saw that. Also saw he said it’s “not quite Max Scherzer and Trea Turner from 2021” referring to the Dodgers trade, but I don’t agree with that. Max was a rental. Turner had 1.5 expensive years left. Gore has two years. Abrams has three. Price should very arguably be significantly higher than what the Dodgers gave up for Max/Trea (which was then-top-100 prospects Josiah Gray and Keibert Ruiz, plus a couple of middle/lower-tier guys further down the org ladder)
  • Gore alone should command close to a pair of top-100 prospects. I don’t find him any less desirable than Garrett Crochet a year ago, and he landed a four-player package headlined by Kyle Teel and Braden Montgomery (both top-100 names).
  • If you’re trying to peddle Gore/Abrams in a combo deal on the Dodgers, you’ve got to be looking at two of De Paula, Freeland, Hope, Sirota, etc. at the very least, plus significant value beyond that. It should take a massive haul.

Adam Steves

  • Senga for Fairbanks. Who says no?

Steve Adams

  • Fairbanks is a free agent

Erik Gonzalez

  • True or false: Cleveland can trade Kwan AND have a better offense in 2026

Steve Adams

  • True, but being a better overall team probably require them spending money, which is a hard sell for Cleveland ownership. You could potentially get a young MLB-ready OF back in the deal though, and given that Kwan was only a league-average hitter last season, it’s not crazy to think the new OF would provide more offense. But I doubt said new OF would also post top-of-the-scale defensive work and plus baserunning.

Willie Monteanez

  • With the Braves success with swing guys like Reynaldo Lopez and Grant Holmes and past interest in Jeff Hoffman. Do you think they’ll be in on similar profile guys like Brad Keller, Luke Weaver, and Nick Martinez this offseason?

Steve Adams

  • I picked Keller to go there in part based on that history and in part because the Braves love nothing more than loading up on Georgia natives, ha.

Trade Proposal

  • Mitch Keller for Jarren Duran. Who says no?

Steve Adams

  • Keller is good but not worth Duran

PhilsPhansince1965

  • Are you as skeptical about Murakami being worth what he will be paid as I am? Too many question marks despite the 80 grade power potential.

Steve Adams

  • Sure. He might be like … Miguel Sano.He might also be a 26-year-old Schwarber-esque bat with a bit more defensive utility if he can play a passable 1B.

    For a big-market team, that’s worth the risk. I’m enough of a believer in the power that I’m probably on the more bullish side from where you seem to be. If I were running the show somewhere and bidding climbed north of $200MM,  I’d probably tap out, but it all depends on how much financial support you can expect from ownership in the near future.

Brewers Oz

  • Shota seems like an obvious candidate to take the QO… you predict 3/45.If he takes the QO then that means, he just needs 2/23 without a QO hanging over his head.

    Thoughts?

Steve Adams

  • Pitchers get hurt all the time and the trend lines on him are down. If he can lock in 3/45 right now, a lot of people would consider that better than accepting and trying again.Tyler Anderson rejected a $19.65MM QO to sign for 3/40.

Guest

  • Any sense that Jeremy Pena could be available in talks with Correa and Paredes both being present?

Steve Adams

  • I talked about this on a podcast maybe 5-6 weeks ago, kind of tongue-in-cheek and with a “this won’t happen but hey let’s talk about it” possibility. I’d be stunned, but a year ago I would’ve been stunned to see Kyle Tucker traded.Moving Pena would be nuts, but the return would be exorbitant. And Astros owner Jim Crane has been reluctant to pay the luxury tax in the past, so I wonder about their appetite for signing a meaningful SP/OF in free agency. And Pena is a Boras client with two years left, so he’s not going to sign an extension.

    Again, I would be genuinely shocked, but after last winter’s Tucker saga, I think it’s worth keeping in mind as like a “less than 3% chance this happens but it’s not COMPLETELY impossible to see” scenario.

Arizona

  • Last night Arizona cut a player who had some bullpen upside before getting hurt as a rookie. The control they had over CMDO was valuable. Do you think this portends a Gallen QO accept?

Steve Adams

  • No. I think you’re reading way too much into it. Montes De Oca had back surgery. There’s no 60-day injured list in the offseason. They knew he wouldn’t be claimed on waivers coming off the surgery (or at least felt strongly that he’d clear) and they can retain him without giving him a 40-man spot all winter if they pass him through waivers.
  • With the deadline to protect guys from the Rule 5 looming this afternoon, his outright was surely about that and unrelated to Gallen, who feels very likely (to me) to reject his QO today

AstrosFAN

  • Could Bryan Abreu be available at 2026 deadline?

Steve Adams

  • If Houston’s out of the playoff picture or on the fringes, sure. He’s a free agent next winte.r

Chris

  • Donovan to Yanks. What would a pitching return look like? Warren or Gil plus one of their top 5 pitch prospects? Good luck today!

Steve Adams

  • Warren + a 50 FV pitching prospect (Ben Hess, Bryce Cunningham, etc) doesn’t feel crazy to me. Might to the Yankees — but I’m probably not as high on Warren as some. (Not that I think he’s bad or anything, to be clear)

Sam

  • Royce Lewis has expressed overwhelming optimism about the team’s outlook with Shelton’s hiring, a 180 of what Twins’ fans currently feel. Do you have any optimism about this winter for the Twins, Steve?

Steve Adams

  • I have minimal faith that the Pohlad family will actually greenlight real spending. But the Twins are going to be something like $40-55MM shy of their Opening Day payroll from 2025 after the non-tender deadline passes … if ownership says “Hey, you can spend back up to that level again”, then yeah, it could be a fun offseason and a fun 2026.But… I’ve lived in Minnesota for 35-36 of my 40 years on this planet and have little to no faith the Pohlads will do that, ha.

Kyle Crockett

  • The Reds WILL sign a big bat this off season

Steve Adams

  • Sign or acquire, I agree. Almost picked them to sign Pete Alonso. I think he’s totally viable

Guest

  • Pittsburgh in the running for Naylor and Schwarber?! Could Alonso be in their sights?

Steve Adams

  • I think Alonso’s going to cost less than Schwarber
  • I also imagine the Pirates probably prefer left-handed power, since PNC Park is where righty power goes to die. Ben Cherington has even referenced this in the past. Doesn’t completely eliminate the possibility of going for a righty power bat like Alonso, Eugenio Suarez, etc. — but I think lefties generally make a bit more sense.

Dan

  • Mountcastle: does anyone trade for him as maybe the biggest change-of-scenery guy available, or is this a clear non-tender case?

Steve Adams

  • I think he’s non-tendered. At his best, he’s been like a 1.5 to 2 WAR guy. And he’s coming off a terrible, injury-ruined season now.
  • The Rays couldn’t find someone who wanted to commit $11MM to Pete Fairbanks on day one of the offseason. Teams are pretty reluctant to commit early dollars to fringe roster guys like this. I think most feel they probably have a league minimum bat who can be at least reasonably projected to be within striking distance of Mountcastle’s production in  2026.

Skip Skip Schumaker

  • Luis Arraez to Texas 3 years 50 million get it done?? Perfect leadoff in Texas.

Steve Adams

  • I wouldn’t go anywhere near that contract if I were a team, but yeah, that’d get it done from Arraez’s standpoint

jd

  • what would senga actually return in a trade. $15M per year is 5th starter money, not sure why Mets would just give him away

Steve Adams

  • It’s better than fifth starter money, and the Mets are paying a 110% tax because of the luxury obligations there, so he’s costing them more like $31.5MM per year. They clearly lost faith in him down the stretch.I don’t think he’s teeming with surplus value or anything, but if they could clear the contract and add even a middle-tier prospect, they might just prefer to be done and open the roster/rotation spot (and payroll space) for other more certain pursuits.

International Players 2025

  • Who gets the most money in what order? Any surprise team get any signings?

Steve Adams

  • Our Top 50 list is based on earning power/expected contracts:
    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/11/2025-26-top-50-mlb-free-agents-…
  • If the Pirates are serious about going after Naylor/Schwarber, then I don’t see any huge reason they couldn’t pursue a Murakami or Okamoto. They don’t really have much of a foothold in NPB, but every team has to take a first step in that regard at some point (and they’ve spent more modestly on KBO talent in the past)

jd

  • how is $15M better than 5th starter money (for a playoff team) . He makes less money than montas

Steve Adams

  • That terrible Montas contract shouldn’t be a barometer — and the Mets paid him hoping he’d be more than a No. 5. Michael Lorenzen, Colin Rea, Kyle Gibson, Lance Lynn and plenty more have all signed at $10MM or less on playoff hopefuls in recent years.Plus it’s not 1/15. It’s two years and $28MM remaining. Even contending clubs aren’t giving out 2/28 to someone they hope is their fifth starter.

Baseball fan

  • Who are the 3 most likely to accept the QO?

Steve Adams

  • Gleyber and Imanaga are the only ones for me who really feel like they should even consider it (though as I referenced earlier, I think Imanaga can do decently on a three-year deal … it’s just a question of if he considers something like 42-45 over three preferable to 22 over one. Some guys will, some guys won’t).I can see why some would think Grisham or Woodruff should accept, but I think they should both reject without too much fretting.

Richard

  • Morning, could the Ms still be in play for Murakami? Do you see him sticking at 3rd?

Steve Adams

  • I’d be surprised. Could still go after him if they just want him and Naylor to share 1B/DH long-term though.

Big Bob

  • The Reds trade for Ward or Greene?

Steve Adams

  • Is this trade FOR Riley Greene? If so, no, I can’t see Greene being available.
    I also can’t see them trading Hunter Greene.As I continue to say weekly, I’m going to keep putting Brady Singer-for-Taylor Ward out there until it becomes reality, ha. Works well for both clubs.

who’s on 1st

  • Arozarena’s arb # really suprised me. with Sea’s overcrowded OF, would a Randy for Alex B work for both teams. I know some are down on Bohm but he does provide some reasonable production at 3B. and will be cheaper than randy.

Steve Adams

  • I can see Seattle listening on Arozarena, but he’s way better than Bohm. No chance I move Randy for him. Bohm is borderline to even be tendered a contract, for me.

Ken

  • could or would A’s make Soderstrom available? If yes, they could get a haul of young pitching

Steve Adams

  • They absolutely could get a big haul of quality young pitching. I’m of the mindset that Soderstrom is too good and they should be trying to extend him to build around him, Kurtz, Butler, Wilson, Langeliers and Rooker. That lineup is awesome.Getting pitchers to go to Sutter Health is going to be hard, but I’d be looking at trading from the farm or overpaying Severino style before trading Soderstrom.

    My colleague Anthony Franco thinks they should be listening on Soderstrom, for what it’s worth. (He also thinks Soderstrom is great — just feels similarly to you, perhaps, that he’s a movable chip to bring in the type of arms the A’s badly need)

Kodai Senga

  • When I first signed with the Mets in 2023, it was widely reported that I had an opt-out after year 3 (2025). What happened to that, and even though I was a mess the second half of 2025, wouldn’t it still make sense for me to opt-out if I had the option? $14 million a year is cheap for someone with my potential, even though I’m an enigma wrapped up in a riddle.

Steve Adams

  • The opt-out was conditional on him pitching a combined 400 innings in his first three seasons. Losing all of 2024 and a big portion of 2025 wiped that out. He only has 285 career IP in the majors.

Joshua

  • Sodertstrom for MacKenzie Gore and Luis Garcia….who says no (and if it is a no, is this at least close?). Thanks.

Steve Adams

  • I don’t think it’s close, no. Garcia is another non-tender candidate, and Gore has less control than Soderstrom. It doesn’t work for the A’s. (Obviously, for the Nats, they’d be all over this)

AL Central Casting

  • What level of prospect or MLB-ready player could the Twins reasonably expect in a Joe Ryan trade? They could use a C or 1B – would Soderstrom be a good target? Could they get Rushing or Eldridge? Henry Ford?

Steve Adams

  • I think any of Bryce Eldridge, Tyler Soderstrom, Dalton Rushing or Harry Ford could/should be in play as a possible headliner if they’re going to move Ryan.The Twins are pretty deep in corner OF prospects, particularly left-handed ones (Walker Jenkins, Emmanuel Rodriguez, Hendry Mendez), so maybe Soderstrom’s not the best fit from a pure roster standpoint. Could play him at 1B, of course, but he was so good in left field last year.

    Generally though, yes, I think it’d take a headliner like that, plus at least one other top prospect.

Austin Hays

  • Who is my next team and what is my next contract like?

Steve Adams

  • I’d expect him signing another one-year deal in the $5-6MM range — though I guess something like the 2/13 the Royals gave Hunter Renfroe a few years back wouldn’t totally stun me.He’ll go to a team that’s not viewing him as a starter. Hays just increasingly feels like he’s going to be a Randal Grichuk type — sign a string of one-year deals around $4-7MM per season, depending on the quality of his prior platform. Guards, Giants, Royals, Pirates, Rox all really struggled against LHP last year. Any team with a LHH corner feels like a viable fit.

    Even Austin Hays himself can’t accurately tell you who his next team is right now. Nor could the GM/president of the team that’ll eventually sign him

Gob Bleuth

  • Expecting the Jays to spend significantly more than last year after the deep, profitable playoff run?

Steve Adams

  • I think the Jays will be one of the most active, biggest-spending teams of the offseason, yes

Chris

  • What are the chances the Braves resign Kim or sign Bichette for SS?

Steve Adams

  • Kim feels totally plausible. Bichette would shock me, if only because the Jays just haven’t gone anywhere near that financial stratosphere in something like 8 years under Anthopoulos.
  • Not on a free agent, anyway
  • Same goes for the top FA arms like Cease, Framber, etc.

Pete from LI

  • Can the Mets release Montas, who will not play in 2026. To clear a spot on 40 man roster?

Steve Adams

  • I don’t see why they wouldn’t.

Ang T

  • who is the next top 50 free agent domino to fall? I think Edwin Diaz to the Mets

Steve Adams

  • Unless Steve Cohen just decides he wants Diaz back at all costs, I don’t think they’re going to re-sign him at all. Paying $21-22MM per year for a reliever doesn’t feel like something a David Stearns-led front office is going to be excited about.
  • Since I continue to get “How much do you think will [player] get in free agency” questions, I’ll remind everyone that our contract predictions for 50 free agents were published less than a week ago:
    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/11/2025-26-top-50-mlb-free-agents-…

Kenley

  • Do you see any way I return to the Dodgers?

Steve Adams

  • Feel like Kenley’s goal is just going to be “who’s going to give me the ninth inning and leave me there” — which doesn’t feel like a Dodgers thing to do.
  • He’s 24 saves from 500, and if he can continue to be effective into his early 40s, it’s not completely out of the question that he could eventually push for 600. I don’t think that’s likely, but he posted a 2.59 ERA in 2025 and is at 2.99 over his past six seasons right now. Who’s to definitively say he can’t still be a semi-productive reliever at ages 41 and 42, and make things interesting?It’d be fun to see and isn’t entirely outlandish anyway

Ken

  • Tyler O’Neill and a prospect for Mitch K? Wracking my brain for a MLB trade to match Mitch’s contract. Is this it?

Steve Adams

  • O’Neill has negative value. Keller does not. Including TON in the trade gets the O’s further away from getting Keller.

FA Prediction Contest

  • when is this being released? did i miss it?

Steve Adams

  • The prediction contest went live awhile back. We promoted it regularly until it closed last Thursday:https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/11/enter-the-mlbtr-free-agent-pred…

    Sorry! Hopefully you’re back in there for next year’s!

Goat

  • After learning about the Rangers shopping Adolis Garcia, who are some candidates to trade for him?

Steve Adams

  • That the Rangers will shop Garcia has been readily apparent for a couple months now. There’s no way he’s back next year. Highlighted him and Jonah Heim on our Top 40 trade candidate list 2-3 weeks back:
    https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2025/11/mlb-rumors-top-trade-candidates…Giants, Tigers, Guardians, Royals, Reds, Marlins all jump to mind as easy fits, but Texas might also just non-tender him.

lincekid

  • if the Giants don’t want to give out long deals to pitchers, or forfeit draft picks to the next tier of pitchers, and I don’t want to rely on 40 year old pitchers, where does that leave them?

Steve Adams

  • Trading Bryce Eldridge? Signing Cody Ponce out of the KBO? ….Lucas Giolito?

Ballyhooed Plausiblilities

  • Could a player who is going to miss a full year of arbitration due to injury (tanner houck) be non-tendered and then sign a creative two year minor league deal with a major league option in the second year? Wondering due to the 40-man roster spot and CBT impacts

Steve Adams

  • Can’t put a major league option on a minor league deal. If Houck is non-tendered, he’d probably just sign a one-year deal elsewhere. He only has 4+ years of service, so even on a one-year deal, his new team would control him through 2027 via arbitration.

Suarezes Prediction

  • I predicted all three going to the D-Backs. Too much?

Steve Adams

  • “It
  • Augh
  • “It’s a bold strategy, Cotton. Let’s see if it pays off for ’em”

JeDi Mind trick

  • Do you think a Skubal trade actually happens? What could you see the Ms giving up to get this over the finish line?

Steve Adams

  • As I’ve said and will continue to say, I’d put the odds of a Skubal trade at like 0.25%. (Not 25% — one-quarter of one percent)People will want to talk about it all offseason. It’s going to generate clicks and social media engagement and views on MLB Network, so the narrative won’t go away, but I think there is next to no chance he is traded.

KC Guy

  • Do the Royals roll out Massey again at second base, or do you see them upgrading the position over the winter?

Steve Adams

  • Upgrade

Royals

  • With this being the 40 man protection deadline, do you see any big names getting DFA in the next few hours?  Big is relative, but like Jonathon India, Adolis Garcia, etc.

Steve Adams

  • Yeah India and Garcia are clear non-tender candidates and could be DFA before then if the trade markets are dry and those teams want the 40-man spots for Rule 5 protections

Marc

  • With the deadline to tender a contract two days after the deadline to add players to the 40-man roster for the Rule 5 draft, why doesn’t every team DFA planned non-tenders by today’s deadline rather than waiting two days and not being able to fill those roster spots with spots with trades? This has been happening  more each year, but at least a dozen likely nontenders remain by the second deadline. Sure, there may be a handful who get traded or sign a deal before Friday, but far more end up just being nontendered with the roster spot left open.

Steve Adams

  • Some of those clubs are planning to fill those spots with free agents or trade acquisitions anyhow. If anyone has a prospect they’re sure will be taken (or feel there’s a decent chance will be taken), and minimal roster space beyond the non-tender candidates on the roster, then sure they’ll DFA a Jonathan India, Adolis Garcia, Jonah Heim, etc.If you’re planning to add two big league starters, multiple relievers and an outfielder eventually anyhow, then it doesn’t really matter. If anything, you don’t want that 40-man spot occupied by someone you might have to DFA and lose via waivers anyhow; you run the risk that maybe he’d have gone unclaimed in the Rule 5 but another club just claims him post-DFA since they wouldn’t be required to carry him on the active roster all year.
  • Alright, I’ve got  to wrap up for the week. I’m on X @Adams_Steve and Bluesky @adams-steve.bsky.social if you’d like to ask me more questions, mock my opinions and/or hurl insults my way.If you want more opinions from the MLBTR team, you can learn about our Front Office subscription package and sign up here. In addition to ad-free viewing on the site and in the app, you’ll get weekly analysis/opinion columns from Anthony Franco and myself, a weekly mailbag column from Tim Dierkes, weekly fantasy baseball chats and columns with Nicklaus Gaut, weekly subscriber-only chats with Anthony and me (where your odds of getting a question answered are much, much higher), extra insight from Darragh McDonald, access to our Contract Tracker (a vital offseason resource) and our Agency Database, our GM Tracker and more.

    Thanks everyone!

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Buck Britton Will Return As Orioles’ Third Base Coach

By Steve Adams | November 17, 2025 at 6:49pm CDT

The Orioles’ coaching staff has been in a fluid state since the team hired Craig Albernaz as the new skipper, but interim third base coach Buck Britton will be a holdover for the 2026 season. Andy Kostka of the Baltimore Banner reports that Britton will shed the “interim” label in his title and return as Baltimore’s third base coach next season.

Britton opened the 2025 season on the Orioles’ staff but with the generic title of major league coach. He moved into the third base coach role after the O’s fired manager Brandon Hyde and elevated then-third base coach Tony Mansolino to the interim manager post. Mansolino interviewed for the full-time gig but lost out to Albernaz and has since joined Atlanta’s coaching staff.

The 39-year-old Britton is the older brother of former Orioles star reliever Zack Britton. He played in parts of seven minor league seasons — seven with the Orioles — from 2008-16. His playing days closed with minor league stints in the Dodgers and Twins organizations. Britton almost immediately jumped into coaching, landing a job as the hitting coach for the Orioles’ Class-A affiliate in 2017. A year later, he was managing that club. Britton slowly climbed the minor league ladder as a skipper, managing the Orioles’ Double-A and Triple-A affiliates for multiple seasons each until he was added to the big league staff in 2025.

Given the glut of managerial and coaching experience he’s accrued before even celebrating his 40th birthday, Britton could well have a prominent future in big league dugouts. He’ll join pitching coach Drew French and pitching strategy coach Ryan Klimek on a revamped staff that includes new hires Donnie Ecker (bench coach), Dustin Lind (hitting coach), Miguel Cairo (infield coach) and Jason Bourgeois (first base/outfield coach).

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Baltimore Orioles Buck Britton

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D-backs’ GM Downplays Payroll Concerns

By Steve Adams | November 17, 2025 at 4:40pm CDT

Diamondbacks owner Ken Kendrick has already publicly indicated that his team’s payroll will decline from the franchise-record $200MM set in 2025, but that doesn’t necessarily mean the front office is handcuffed in terms of its ability to pursue additions this winter. General manager Mike Hazen recently pushed back on the idea that he might have to subtract some salary via trade, telling Nick Piecoro of the Arizona Republic:

“I don’t really feel that way, honestly. That’s not the impression I have. Are we going to be doing what we did last offseason? Probably not. But I don’t think I have zero wiggle room or avenues to pursue players.”

RosterResource currently projects the Snakes for about $143MM in 2026 payroll, and that’s before potential non-tenders among the arbitration class. Injured lefty A.J. Puk, who underwent UCL surgery this summer, is projected for a $3.3MM salary (via MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz) but might not even pitch next season in his final year before free agency. Righty Kevin Ginkel ($3MM projection) posted a 7.36 ERA in 25 2/3 MLB innings. Outfielders Alek Thomas ($2.2MM projection) and Jake McCarthy ($1.9MM projection) both had well below-average seasons at the plate; McCarthy, in particular, was one of the 20 worst hitters in MLB, sitting with the 18th-worst wRC+ mark among the 348 hitters who tallied at least 200 turns at the plate.

Assuming some of that group departs, the Diamondbacks will find themselves with a $135-140MM projection for next year’s Opening Day payroll. Even if ownership plans to scale back payroll by as much as $25MM — and that’s just an arbitrary number for illustrative purposes — Hazen could reasonably have as much as $40MM to spend on next year’s payroll alone.

All of this pushes back somewhat against the notion of a potential trade of star second baseman Ketel Marte. Hazen has already called trading Marte or any of his star hitters “unlikely,” although because he’s acknowledged that he’ll hear offers as a matter of due diligence, some optimists have clung to the idea that Marte might be available.  Trading him would bring a haul of talent, but it’d also just create another hole which needs to be filled.

Arizona’s shopping list this winter is lengthy, to say the least. Hazen & Co. will need to add at least two starters to a rotation that currently consists of Ryne Nelson and a pair of pitchers who struggled badly in 2025: righty Brandon Pfaadt and lefty Eduardo Rodriguez. Corbin Burnes underwent Tommy John surgery in June and will miss most or all of next year. Zac Gallen is a free agent. Most of the organization’s top pitching products heading into 2025 pitched poorly and/or suffered an injury this past season. The bullpen needs a nearly complete overhaul.

In a separate piece, Piecoro suggests that reunions with Gallen and fellow righty Merrill Kelly (whom the D-backs traded to the Rangers back in July) seem unlikely if the two indeed command the type of $17MM+ annual values many (MLBTR included) have predicted for both pitchers. There’s no firm indication that either is squarely off the table, to be clear, but the D-backs need to add at least two starters and relievers apiece, and that’s to say nothing of the infield corners or the bench. Young sluggers Tyler Locklear and Jordan Lawlar could get looks at first base and third base, respectively, but neither has proven himself in the majors. Lawlar has also been getting a look in center field, which stands as another potential area of need after Thomas struggled so much with the bat in 2025 (and really, in his overall parts of four MLB seasons to date).

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Arizona Diamondbacks Merrill Kelly Zac Gallen

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