The Brewers’ Unrelenting Pitching Pipeline
It's become almost a time-honored tradition. Fretting about the Brewers' pitching depth -- or lack thereof -- only to immediately be made to feel foolish for ever doubting our pitching development overlords. Milwaukee traded Freddy Peralta this offseason. Quinn Priester opened the season on the injured list. Brandon Woodruff's Opening Day status was up in the air for much of the spring. He made six starts, saw his average fastball dip from 92.5 mph to 85.4 mph in the last of them, and is now on the injured list alongside Priester.
With Woodruff and Priester on the injured list, the Brewers have two starters on the 40-man roster with more than a year of big league service time. They have ... zero ... with two full years of major league service. Surely a reckoning is coming. Or at least you'd think.
Instead, the Brewers are humming right along. Thursday's 7-1 drubbing of the Padres bumped them to 24-17. They're second in the NL Central behind the Cubs. Milwaukee has a firm grip on a Wild Card spot, and with the Cubs' own pitching staff increasingly decimated by injuries, the Brewers are gaining ground. Chicago just snapped a four-game losing streak. Milwaukee has won six of its past seven games and nine of its past dozen.
The recent surge isn't due to any sort of juggernaut offense. Milwaukee hadn't scored more than six runs in a game this month prior to Thursday. They're a league-average offense, per measure of wRC+. They're last in the majors with 27 home runs. Oh, and they're also allowing 2.18 runs per game this month -- 24 runs in 11 contests. The Brewers rank third in Major League Baseball with a 3.35 ERA. That includes a 3.27 ERA from the rotation, despite the injuries and lack of experience.
How are they getting it done, and are the key contributors pitching in a sustainable way? Let's take a deeper look.
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Trade Rumors Front Office Subscriber Chat Transcript
Steve Adams
- Good afternoon, everyone! We'll get going at 2pm CT, but feel free to ask questions ahead of time, as always.
- Good afternoon! Let's begin
Chris
- What kind of deal would Arraez be looking at next year if his defensive metrics at 2B continue to hold up?
Steve Adams
- The market just doesn't pay second-base-only players even if they can play decent defense. I suppose you could argue Arraez is a second base or first base option, but that's not helping his cause much, particularly not when he's hitting for less power than ever and still never walking.I'd be surprised if he got more than the 3/42 that's been somewhat en vogue in recent offseasons, and I think a two-year deal would be a likelier outcome. Arraez is very good at one thing (hitting singles) and doesn't offer a ton else.
wiseoldfool
- Ildemaro tsunami has subsided. What you project ROS?
Steve Adams
- The legend of Joltin' Joe Ildimaggio will live on fondly in my heart forever, but that was never holding up and I don't see any reason to think that, at 34 years young, he's morphed into a genuinely above average hitter. He's not hitting the ball hard or walking, and he's swinging at everything under the sun.He entered this season a career .249/.289/.357 hitter, and something in that vicinity is probably likely from here on out.
Sandy at 90
- Any chance Dodgers will be in on Skubal at trading deadline?
Ghost of Peanuts Lowery
- Just a wild thought: If, and it's a big "if," the Tigers decide that they needed to trade Skubal now in order to get pitchers in return who can help assure them a spot in the playoffs, would the Dodgers be a good fit? They have some good young pitchers and they wouldn't need Skubal until the postseason. Or would the Tigers decide that if they got into the playoffs, they would need Skubal?
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Orioles Acquire Eduarniel Núñez, Designate Christian Roa
The Orioles acquired right-hander Eduarniel Núñez from the A’s in exchange for cash, the clubs announced Friday. He’d previously been designated for assignment and has now been optioned to Baltimore’s Triple-A affiliate in Norfolk. To open space on the 40-man roster, the O’s designated another right-handed reliever, Christian Roa, for assignment.
The 26-year-old Núñez was one of four players the A’s received from the Padres in exchange for Mason Miller and JP Sears. Shortstop Leo De Vries headlined the return, with rotation prospects Braden Nett and Henry Baez standing as enticing secondary pieces. Núñez was the “fourth” prospect in the deal but also the most major league-ready of the bunch. He’d already made a very brief MLB debut with San Diego and jumped right onto the Athletics’ roster following the trade.
Last summer, Núñez pitched eight innings with the Athletics and was tagged for eight runs on nine hits, seven walks and a pair of hit batters. He did fan nine batters, but when accounting for all the walks and the pair of batters he plunked, those nine punchouts only represented 23% of the opponents he faced — just barely north of the league average.
Lackluster debut notwithstanding, the A’s surely had some hope that Núñez could turn things around in 2026. That hasn’t happened. Núñez has a respectable 4.61 ERA through 13 2/3 innings (2 1/3 in Double-A, 11 1/3 in Triple-A), but he’s walked 11 of his 67 opponents (16.4%) and plunked another two batters (3%). Since coming to the A’s organization last summer, Núñez has faced 155 batters between the majors and minors. A whopping 19.3% of them have reached base without putting a ball in play, whether by walk or hit-by-pitch. He’s also tossed six wild pitches in a total of 33 1/3 innings.
Beyond that poor command, Núñez has experienced an alarming velocity drop this season. His four-seamer averaged 98.1 mph last year but is at an even 95 mph so far in 2026. Last year’s slider sat 88.5 mph. This year, it’s at 87 mph. Perhaps the Orioles have some mechanical tweaks in mind to get him back on track, but it’s not an encouraging trend. Núñez doesn’t have a full year of service under his belt and is in the second of three minor league option years, however, so the O’s have some time to get him trending in the right direction if they’re willing to keep him on the 40-man roster.
Roa, 27, was with the Marlins last year and signed with the Astros as a minor league free agent after being outrighted by Miami. He was briefly called to Houston’s big league roster but was quickly designated for assignment and claimed by the Twins. Minnesota optioned Roa to Triple-A and wound up designating him for assignment themselves not long after. The Orioles claimed him earlier this week, but it’ll be another potentially abbreviated stay in a new organization for Roa.
The No. 48 overall pick out of Texas A&M back in 2020, Roa is a hard-throwing righty who’s yet to break through and establish himself in the majors. He’s drawn praise for a plus slider and average or better fastball and changeup over the years, but he’s regularly received 30 and 40 grades (on the 20-80 scale) for his command along the way. Roa has pitched to a 4.56 ERA in parts of four Triple-A seasons, fanning 25.5% of his opponents there but also issuing walks at a dismal 14% clip.
This is already his third DFA of the season. The Orioles will either trade Roa, place him on outright waivers or release him in the days ahead. His DFA will be resolved within a maximum of one week.
Rays Designate Aaron Brooks For Assignment
The Rays have designated right-hander Aaron Brooks for assignment and recalled fellow righty Trevor Martin from Triple-A Durham in a corresponding move, per Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times. Their 40-man roster is now at 39 players.
Brooks, 36, signed with the Rays earlier this month after beginning the season in the Mexican League. His contract was selected to the major league roster last weekend, and he made his team debut Wednesday evening. It didn’t go well. The journeyman righty recorded only one out and was tagged for three earned runs on a pair of walks and a homer. That could end up representing the entirety of his time with the Rays; he’ll now be traded, placed on outright waivers or released within the next week. Brooks has been outrighted in the past and thus has the right to reject a minor league assignment if he passes through waivers unclaimed.
This now becomes the seventh season in which Brooks has logged at least one big league appearance. He has just under three total years of major league service time, during which he’s compiled 207 innings with a 6.48 ERA, a 15.2% strikeout rate and a 7% walk rate.
Though he hasn’t had much success in the majors, Brooks has pitched in parts of 10 Triple-A seasons and piled up more than 800 innings there. A 4.80 ERA doesn’t stand out, but he’s spent most of his Triple-A career pitching in the hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League and has had some successful seasons there. Brooks also spent two years pitching with the Korea Baseball Organization’s Kia Tigers, for whom he logged a 2.79 ERA in 229 1/3 innings from 2020-21.
Angels, Austin Wynns Agree To Minor League Deal
The Angels and free agent catcher Austin Wynns are in agreement on a minor league deal, MLBTR has learned. The Klutch Sports client opened the season with the division-rival A’s but was designated for assignment a week ago. The A’s asked to assign him to Triple-A Las Vegas, but as a player with five-plus years of service, Wynns had the right to refuse, which he did. The A’s then placed him on release waivers, and he subsequently became a free agent.
Wynns spent nearly one calendar year with the A’s after they acquired him in a cash swap with the Reds last June. He’d taken 63 plate appearances with Cincinnati and turned in a mammoth .390/.429/.661 slash (three homers, seven doubles), but that sort of production was never going to be sustainable; Wynns had a modest track record prior to that outburst, and while the short uptick in power was impressive, his overall batting line was also buoyed by a sky-high .513 average on balls in play.
Now 35 years old, Wynns wound up taking 110 plate appearances with the A’s and slashing .167/.204/.304 in that time. The well-traveled backstop’s career marks are somewhere between the extremes of those Cincinnati highs and West Sacramento lows. He’s suited up for the Reds, A’s, Orioles, Giants, Dodgers and Rockies, compiling a lifetime .231/.276/.347 slash line in 826 big league plate appearances (293 games).
Wynns doesn’t draw premium framing grades, but Statcast thinks he’s solid when it comes to blocking balls in the dirt. More impressively, Wynns has shut down 30.2% of attempted base thieves in the majors — right in line with his career 31% mark in the minors. He’s quite strong when it comes to controlling the run game, and clubs clearly value his experience, defensive acumen and work with pitchers, as evidenced by his five-plus years of service despite sub-par work in the batter’s box.
Because Wynns has five-plus years of service, he was able to elect free agency and still retain the remainder of this year’s $1.1MM salary. The A’s are on the hook for the vast majority of that sum. The Angels will owe Wynns only the prorated league minimum for any time spent on the big league roster. That would be subtracted from what the A’s have left to pay out.
The Angels’ catching depth has taken a major hit in recent weeks. Logan O’Hoppe suffered a broken wrist in late April. That injury pushed Travis d’Arnaud into the starter’s role, but he went on the injured list last week due to plantar fasciitis.
That pair of injuries left the Halos with Sebastián Rivero and rookie Omar Martínez as the catching tandem at present. Both signed minor league deals over the winter. Rivero entered the season with only 162 days of big league service. He’s a .169/.220/.202 hitter in 134 big league plate appearances and a .248/.296/.369 hitter in 785 Triple-A plate appearances spread across six seasons.
Martinez, 25, had never played in the majors before being called up earlier this week. He’s 1-for-3 in his fledgling MLB career. The Venezuelan-born backstop posted decent numbers in the lower minors with the Yankees but slashed .208/.297/.358 with a 34.4% strikeout rate in 259 plate appearances between Double-A and Triple-A dating back to last season. Given that tandem’s minimal track record, it wouldn’t be at all surprising if Wynns found himself catching games at Angel Stadium in the near future.
Latest On Blue Jays’ Rotation
The Blue Jays’ rotation has been slammed by injuries this season, and poor performance from Eric Lauer, whom Toronto recently designated for assignment, has only compounded matters. The only healthy starters for manager John Schneider right now are Dylan Cease, Kevin Gausman, Trey Yesavage and Patrick Corbin — the latter of whom was a midseason signing to help patch things over amid the rash of injuries. The Jays will go with a spot starter this Saturday, manager John Schneider said last night (link via the Canadian Press), but the organization is still determining who that’ll be.
Toronto currently has Shane Bieber (elbow inflammation), Cody Ponce (ACL tear) and Bowden Francis (Tommy John surgery) on the 60-day IL. José Berríos (stress fracture in elbow), Max Scherzer (forearm tendinitis) and Lazaro Estrada (shoulder impingement) are on the 15-day injured list. Yariel Rodriguez and Rule 5 pick Spencer Miles are long options in the bullpen. There’s no clear help on the horizon in Triple-A — at least not on the 40-man roster. Adam Macko has been working in relief, former top prospect Ricky Tiedemann is still injured (and last pitched in 2024), and Jake Bloss is only just beginning to build back up in Rookie ball after last year’s UCL surgery.
Non-roster depth options include prospects CJ Van Eyk and Chad Dallas, as well as journeymen Austin Voth and Josh Fleming. All four have pitched decently, though Dallas hasn’t gone five innings in any appearance yet and Van Eyk has only done so twice. Dallas is currently listed as the probable starter for tonight’s game in Triple-A Buffalo. Voth and Fleming would either need to stick on the big league roster once added or else be designated for assignment. Both are out of minor league options.
Schneider mentioned Miles, specifically, as one possible option, but that hinges on whether he’s needed in the interim. The skipper also acknowledged that Saturday’s starter could be someone who’s not even in the organization currently. Trades of any real significance are rare this time of year, of course, and the Jays are hopeful of getting some more established arms back from the injured list before too long. They’re unlikely to acquire a prominent name in a trade over the next 48 hours, but a minor swap is possible. Free agency and the waiver wire don’t have much to offer at the moment.
One name the Jays don’t seem likely to get back anytime soon is Berríos. The 31-year-old learned of a stress fracture in his right elbow during an intake physical for the World Baseball Classic. It wasn’t causing him any discomfort at the time, but the Jays played things cautiously and placed him on the IL to begin the season. He made four rehab starts but went for an MRI after a notable velocity dip during the last of those four minor league appearances. That new round of imaging revealed some inflammation but also “changes” to his existing stress fracture.
The Jays have been opaque when it comes to updates on the right-hander in the days since. Last week, they indicated that an update would likely be available Tuesday, following an in-person meeting with Dr. Keith Meister. That update never came. Schneider said yesterday (via Sportsnet’s Shi Davidi) that Berríos, the Blue Jays and medical experts were still talking through possible next steps.
“[T]here’s going to be some downtime,” Schneider said. “You just don’t know how long and how it affects everyone else in the rotation, everyone else depth-wise, things like that. So, not ideal.”
Health uncertainty is a new phenomenon for Berríos, who entered the season as the game’s most durable arm. From 2018-25, he led Major League Baseball in both games started (234) and innings pitched (1367 2/3). Berríos started a full slate of 12 games during the shortened 2020 season and, prior to 2026, had started 30 or more games in every 162-game season dating back to 2018. He’s in the fifth season of a seven-year, $131MM contract extension that allows him to opt out and test free agency following the ’26 campaign. Given the injury, it’s hard to imagine Berríos opting out of the remaining $48MM on his contract, though that’s a conversation for down the road. For now, the Jays are doing what they can to get the veteran righty back on the mound as they try to piece the rotation together.
There ought to be an update both on Berríos and the weekend rotation plans before too much longer, but the entire situation seems very much up in the air as things stand.
A’s Acquire José Suarez, Designate Junior Perez For Assignment
The Athletics acquired left-hander José Suarez from the Mariners in exchange for cash, the teams announced Thursday. Seattle designated Suarez for assignment earlier in the week. In a corresponding move, the A’s designated outfielder Junior Perez for assignment. Since Suarez is out of minor league options, he’ll jump right onto the Athletics’ big league roster.
Suarez opened the season with Atlanta but was designated for assignment earlier in the month. The Mariners scooped him up but gave him only one appearance (two innings, one run allowed) before jettisoning him from their own 40-man roster. Overall, the 28-year-old has a grisly 6.38 ERA in 18 1/3 frames this season.
Suarez has missed bats at a far loftier level than usual but has also displayed the worst command of his career this season. His 26.7% strikeout rate and 13% swinging-strike rate are both well north of his respective career marks of 20.9% and 11.7%. However, Suarez has walked 15.6% of his opponents — six percentage points higher than his career 9.6% mark. He’s also hit a batter and tossed a pair of wild pitches.
Back in 2021-22, Suarez looked to be emerging as a quality fourth starter in Anaheim. He gave the Halos 207 1/3 innings with a 3.86 ERA with a slightly below-average strikeout rate but a walk rate that was a bit better than average. The wheels came off in 2023, due in no small part to a shoulder strain that sent him to the injured list for several months. He posted an 8.29 ERA in 33 2/3 innings that season and was only marginally better in 52 1/3 frames the following season (6.02 ERA). He had decent results in a small sample with the Braves last season but generally has not gotten back to that 2022-23 form — or come particularly close — over any meaningful period of time.
Suarez is making $900K this season. That’s only $120K north of league minimum, but the A’s are now on the hook for the remainder of that sum. He’s worked as both a starter and reliever in the past but seems ticketed for manager Mark Kotsay’s bullpen — at least for now. The A’s presently have Luis Severino, Jeffrey Springs, Aaron Civale, Jacob Lopez and J.T. Ginn in the rotation, although Lopez (today’s starter versus the Cardinals) has been hit extremely hard in 2026.
As for Perez, he was only selected to the 40-man roster back in November. A mid-May DFA would have seemed far-fetched at the time. The A’s were understandably unwilling to risk letting Perez go unprotected ahead of the Rule 5 Draft after he’d slashed .231/.348/.478 with 26 homers, 27 steals and a 14.8% walk rate between Double-A and Triple-A in 2025.
Impressive as that ’25 showing was, Perez’s age-24 season has gotten out to a miserable start. He’s tallied 154 plate appearances in Triple-A and turned in a gruesome .210/.273/.384 batting line with a diminished 8.4% walk rate against a concerning 33.1% strikeout rate. He’s made contact on only 68.9% of his swings against Triple-A pitching — nowhere close to the major league average of 76.8%. The gap between his 79% in-zone contact rate and the major league average 86.3% is about the same size.
Perez is a right-handed hitter with plus speed and above-average power. He’s capable of playing all three outfield spots and has spent the bulk of his minor league tenure in center field, where scouting reports peg him as serviceable. There are clear hit tool concerns with him — he also fanned at a 28% clip in 2025 — but the power/speed/defense combination and a full slate of minor league options feels like it should be enough to garner interest from another team. That, plus the fact that the A’s are extremely deep in outfielders, perhaps contributed to him being bumped from the 40-man roster. It’s feasible that another club with far less outfield depth could offer up a low-level prospect to take a chance on the toolsy Perez, this year’s struggles notwithstanding.
Mariners Place Cal Raleigh On Injured List
The Mariners have placed catcher Cal Raleigh on the 10-day injured list due to an oblique strain. Fellow catcher Jhonny Pereda has been recalled from Triple-A Tacoma to take his spot on the roster. It’s the first IL placement of Raleigh’s big league career. Seattle also reinstated Jose A. Ferrer from the paternity list and optioned fellow southpaw Josh Simpson to Tacoma.
There’s no immediate timetable for Raleigh’s return. Daniel Kramer of MLB.com notes that he’ll receive a more thorough evaluation tomorrow when the club returns to Seattle. Raleigh has been attempting to play through pain in his oblique for more than two weeks now. He has only two hits in his past 49 trips to the plate, which has tanked his season batting line to .161/.243/.317.
Raleigh’s recent nosedive, coupled with a slow start to the season as well, have contributed to a pedestrian 21-23 record for the Mariners. Seattle had a particularly tough stretch in early April, dropping seven of eight games. They’ve played better since, with a 17-13 record over the past month. They’re currently two games back of the A’s for the division lead (and a half-game behind the Rangers as well).
Raleigh, of course, was the American League MVP runner-up in 2025, when he became the first catcher to ever hit 60 homers in a season. Raleigh’s .247/.359/.589 slash was 61% better than league-average, by measure of wRC+. Last year was his third straight season with 30-plus homers and fourth straight with 27 or more. It’s not clear if he was dealing with any kind of physical issue early in the season, but he clearly hasn’t performed anywhere close to his typical standards.
In his place, the M’s will rely on a light-hitting tandem of Mitch Garver and Pereda. Garver was a potent offensive force from 2018-23, which helped him land a two-year, $24MM deal with thee Mariners ahead of the 2024 season. His bat went south immediately upon signing in Seattle, however. He slashed .187/.290/.341 in 720 plate appearances over the life of that deal. Garver returned on a minor league pact this past offseason, made the club despite a poor spring showing, and has now slashed .167/.344/.188 in 61 trips to the plate.
Pereda, 30, has played in parts of three major league seasons. He’s taken 123 plate appearances and delivered a middling .248/.303/.301 line in that time. Pereda has consistently hit Triple-A pitching, however — this season included. He’s opened the year with a hefty .321/.414/.417 slash in exactly 100 plate appearances with the Rainiers.
We’ll learn more about the severity of Raleigh’s strain in the days ahead, but even Grade 1 strains (the lowest on a scale of one to three) can sideline players for upwards of a month. It’s likely this will require a good bit more than a minimum stint for Raleigh.
Francisco Alvarez Undergoes Surgery For Meniscus Tear
May 14: Alvarez had his surgery this morning. The Mets expect his recovery to be on the longer end of the spectrum, per Anthony DiComo of MLB.com — likely eight weeks.
May 13, 3:07pm: Alvarez will indeed undergo surgery, manager Carlos Mendoza announced to the Mets beat (link via ESPN’s Jorge Castillo). There won’t be a formal timetable until the procedure is performed. Mendoza is hopeful Alvarez will return in six to eight weeks, but they’ll have more info after his operation.
2:08pm: The Mets announced Wednesday that catcher Francisco Alvarez has been placed on the 10-day injured list due to a torn meniscus in his right knee. Fellow catcher Hayden Senger has been recalled from Triple-A Syracuse in a corresponding move. He’ll split time behind the dish with Luis Torrens while Alvarez is out.
Alvarez exited yesterday’s game due to knee discomfort and underwent an MRI today, which revealed the tear. The Mets’ announcement indicated only that a “timeline for return to play will be provided when possible.” Given the nature of the injury, Alvarez will be sidelined a good bit longer than 10 days. Meniscus tears almost always require surgery, though the timetable for return depends on the extent of the tearing.
It’s yet another blow for the Mets in a season where virtually nothing has gone their way. New York’s 16-25 record is the fourth-worst mark in Major League Baseball. Alvarez joins Jorge Polanco, Francisco Lindor, Luis Robert Jr., Ronny Mauricio, Jared Young, Kodai Senga and A.J. Minter on the injured list. Lindor, Polanco, Alvarez and Robert were all expected to be key pieces in a reshaped Mets lineup that has looked downright anemic this season — in no small part due to that litany of injuries.
The 24-year-old Alvarez had gotten out to a nice start in what’s already his fifth season with some time logged at the MLB level. He’s hitting .241/.317/.393 — about 5% better than league average, by measure of wRC+ (and about 14% better than the average catcher). During a swing in the sixth inning of yesterday’s game, however, Alvarez grimaced and walked out of the batter’s box, repeatedly flexing his knee (video link). After meeting with a trainer, he departed in the middle of the at-bat.
Once one of the top prospects in baseball, Alvarez has shown flashes of potential to break out as one of the game’s top backstops. He belted 25 homers back in 2023 but did so with a sub-.300 OBP and only a .209 average. In 2025, he slashed .256/.339/.447 but was limited to just 277 plate appearances because of injury. Health has been a frequent issue for the talented young catcher. Beyond this new meniscus tear, he’s also suffered ligament tears in both thumbs and a broken hamate in his his left hand.
Losing Alvarez means turning catching duties over to a pair of light hitters who are better served as backups. The 30-year-old Torrens is a strong defender but just a .226/.287/.351 hitter in his career. He’s batting .208/.255/.292 this season. The Mets somewhat surprisingly inked him to a two-year, $11.5MM extension last month. Senger has only 78 big league plate appearances but has mustered just a .181/.221/.194 slash in that time. His minor league work doesn’t inspire much more confidence. In parts of four Triple-A seasons, he’s a .231/.289/.339 hitter with a 26.9% strikeout rate.
Twins Option Matt Wallner
The Twins on Thursday optioned outfielder Matt Wallner and righty Travis Adams to Triple-A St. Paul. Utilityman Ryan Kreidler and right-hander Zebby Matthews were recalled in their place.
It’s the first time in more than two years that Wallner has been optioned. He’s been Minnesota’s Opening Day right fielder in each of the past two seasons and has handled the lion’s share of the playing time at the position along the way (though he’s frequently been platooned). Wallner has 70-grade power from the left side of the plate but strikes out far too frequently to take full advantage of it.
That hasn’t stopped him from being productive in the past. From 2023-25, Wallner turned in a hearty .231/.345/.493 batting line with 49 homers in 907 plate appearances. He walked at a 10.8% clip but struck out in 31.9% of his plate appearances. The Minnesota native (Forest Lake) averaged just under 92 mph off the bat with a hard-hit rate just over 48%. He’s not a very good defender, but the slug-heavy approach was potent enough to make him worth about five wins above replacement in 255 games, per both FanGraphs and Baseball-Reference.
The 2026 season has been a disaster, however. Wallner has appeared in 33 games and posted a .167/.259/.292 slash. His already-high strikeout rate has exploded to 39.3%. His walk rate has dropped to a career-low 7.4%.
Over the past month, Wallner has just seven hits in 67 trips to the plate (58 official at-bats), and he hasn’t impacted the ball when he does manage to make contact. He’s averaging just 88.4 mph off the bat this season, and over the past 30 days that number is all the way down to 85.4 mph. His 28.6% hard-hit rate in that span ranks 221st among the 250 players who’ve taken at least 60 plate appearances — not exactly what a team wants from a slugging, power-over-hit corner outfielder who needs plenty of extra-base hits to offset substandard glovework.
If Wallner spends at least 20 days in St. Paul, he’ll burn the final of his three minor league option years. That’s particularly notable with Wallner also set to reach arbitration for the first time this winter. If he continues at a rate this poor or has merely an average-ish finish to his season whenever he returns, the Twins will have a decision to make. Wallner won’t break the bank in his first trip through the arb process, but he’s hit for enough power in his pre-arb platform to make a couple million dollars or so. Given that he’d be out of minor league options in an organization with several high-end corner outfield prospects on the horizon, Wallner’s standing within his hometown organization appears to be very much on the line.
The Twins have 2023 No. 5 overall pick Walker Jenkins on the cusp of the majors. Jenkins currently ranks as the No. 4 prospect in the entire sport, per Baseball America. He’s not hitting for power in Triple-A this year but is slashing .256/.396/.389 with 19 walks to 18 strikeouts. There’s reason to think more power is on tap, too. Jenkins is averaging 91.5 mph off the bat and has maxed out at 112 mph. Many of his games have been played in frosty Midwest weather thus far, but temperatures are beginning to rise as summer approaches. Jenkins has been down since May 3 with a shoulder sprain suffered on a collision with the outfield wall, but there’s yet to be any indication he’ll be sidelined for a significant period.
Minnesota also has 23-year-old Emmanuel Rodríguez over in St. Paul. He’s not quite as touted as Wallner but sits 38th on BA’s latest top-100 refresh. Were Rodríguez healthy, he may have even gotten the call to replace Wallner. He’s currently out with a muscle strain in his left hand but was slashing .247/.417/.506 with a colossal 21.3% walk rate in 108 plate appearances. That’s not just some early, small-sample weirdness either. Rodríguez has walked in a staggering 21.6% of his professional appearances, including 21.4% of his 350 total plate appearances in Triple-A. He’s also incredibly strikeout-prone (career 30%) with plus raw power and speed as well as good outfield defense. He could be a three-true-outcomes poster boy while also providing value on the bases and with the glove.
Even beyond that pair of touted prospects, the Twins are flush in corner outfield options. Trevor Larnach is having a decent bounceback season, though he’s somewhat similar to Wallner in many ways. He’s a former top draft pick and well-regarded prospect with a power-over-hit track record who isn’t making hard contact at all in 2026. Austin Martin has stepped up as a regular in the outfield and is hitting .300/.405/.385 with a pair of homers, 17 steals and nearly as many walks as strikeouts in 306 plate appearances dating back to last season.
Minnesota also added now-26-year-old Alan Roden from the Jays in last year’s Louis Varland trade. He’s out with a shoulder injury in St. Paul but has consistently thrashed Triple-A pitching and could get a real look if he’s able to return this summer. Prospect Gabriel Gonzalez had a down year in 2024, bounced back with a huge 2025 and was added to the 40-man roster, and has now struggled again to begin the 2026 season. He just turned 22 in January, however, so some struggles in his first full season at Triple-A aren’t shocking. They just promoted Hendry Mendez (acquired in last year’s Harrison Bader trade) to Triple-A after a big start in Double-A. He’s hitting .306/.400/.486 overall.
Suffice it to say, the Twins are deep in candidates to flank Byron Buxton in the corners. That depth makes Wallner’s poor performance all the more problematic for the 28-year-old slugger. The Twins will try to get him back on track in St. Paul for now, but there are plenty of younger options breathing down his neck.
Matthews’ return is of some note here as well. He’s a former top-100 prospect who’s been hot in Triple-A of late (2.67 ERA, 28-to-7 K/BB ratio in his past five starts/27 innings) who’ll get another chance in the rotation due to injuries. Minnesota lost Pablo López (UCL surgery) and David Festa (shoulder impingement) before the season started. Mick Abel (elbow/triceps inflammation) and breakout righty Taj Bradley (pectoral inflammation) are currently on the 15-day IL. Matthews hasn’t found success in parts of two prior big league seasons, but he’s still 25 and now has another chance to show he can stick in the majors with a good impression. Simeon Woods Richardson has struggled badly, so even if Bradley and Abel get healthy, there could be a spot for Matthews moving forward.