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Mets, Connor Overton Agree To Minor League Deal

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The Mets reached agreement on a deal with Connor Overton, as announced by the pitcher’s representatives at KHG Sports Management. It’s surely a minor league contract for the 31-year-old righty.

Overton pitched in the big leagues in each year between 2021-23. He split that time between the Blue Jays, Pirates and Reds. Overton started 10 of his 18 appearances and worked to a 4.85 ERA across 59 1/3 innings. He struck out a well below-average 15.7% of batters faced against a 9.5% walk rate. Cincinnati outrighted him off the 40-man roster at the end of the ’23 season. They brought him back on a minor league deal not long after he elected free agency.

An injury cost him most of last season. Overton began the year on the minor league IL and wasn’t reinstated to the Triple-A roster until early August. Opponents teed off for more than a run per inning over his 24 2/3 frames to close the year. That obviously wasn’t going to get him another MLB look from Cincinnati. Overton hit minor league free agency again at season’s end.

While last year was a disaster, Overton has a solid minor league track record. He owns a 3.87 ERA in parts of five Triple-A seasons. His 21.4% strikeout rate there is a little below average, while his 5.3% walk rate is excellent. Overton sits in the 90-91 MPH range on his fastball and isn’t going to overpower many hitters. He profiles as a strike-throwing depth arm with the versatility to make a few spot starts or pitch in long relief over the course of the season.

Yankees Notes: Hampton, Schmidt, Pereira

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Right-hander Chase Hampton was in camp with the Yankees as a non-roster invitee but isn’t present at the moment. Manager Aaron Boone tells members of the media, including Bryan Hoch of MLB.com, that Hampton has a right flexor strain and “something going on in the UCL,” which has led the club to send him to New York for further testing.

It’s an ominous bit of news for the young righty, as the ulnar collateral ligament is the one repaired in Tommy John surgery. If it is determined that he will require some surgical work on his elbow, he’ll be looking at missing the 2025 season and part of 2026 as well.

Hampton, 23, isn’t likely to factor into the club’s short-term plans regardless. The Yankees have a crowded rotation as it is, with Marcus Stroman reportedly on the trade block as the club has Gerrit Cole, Max Fried, Carlos Rodón, Luis Gil and Clarke Schmidt. The club also has JT Brubaker, Will Warren and others on the roster as depth. Hampton isn’t yet on the 40-man and hasn’t reached Triple-A yet, so he has a steep hill to climb to get to the majors.

Still, it wouldn’t be ideal for him to face a lengthy absence. One of the club’s top pitching prospects, injuries were also a big part of his 2024. Various ailments, including a flexor strain, limited him to 18 2/3 innings in the minors last year. That means a lengthy surgical recovery could lead to him pitching very little over the 2024-2026 seasons, a massive dent in what ideally would have been key development time.

Turning back to the big league rotation, Schmidt has an issue of his own, though it seems far more minor. Per Greg Joyce of The New York Post, Boone said that Schmidt has a “cranky back” but it seemingly won’t be a significant drag on him. He threw from flat ground today and will do so again on Friday. It’s a situation to monitor but doesn’t seem to be a big concern unless there’s a setback.

In the position player mix, outfielder Everson Pereira will be limited to designated hitter duties until the middle of March, per Hoch. The young outfielder underwent UCL surgery on his elbow in June. Position players can return from such procedures faster than pitchers but it seems he’s still going to be limited for the next few weeks.

One of the club’s top position player prospects in recent years, Pereira is “very much in the mix” for a roster spot, according to Boone. Pereira has only hit .151/.233/.194 in the majors so far, but in a small sample of 103 plate appearances. He has a much stronger line of .287/.365/.530 in his Triple-A career while playing all three outfield spots.

The Yankees project to have an outfield of Aaron Judge, Cody Bellinger and Jasson Domínguez, with Trent Grisham on the bench. They will also need another bench spot for a backup catcher. The three-man competition for third base involving DJ LeMahieu, Oswald Peraza and Oswaldo Cabrera could lead to two of those guys also taking up bench spots. That might squeeze out Pereira, especially since he’s reportedly eligible for a fourth option this year, but there are no guarantees that everyone will stay healthy over the next few weeks.

A’s, Lawrence Butler In Ongoing Extension Negotiations

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The A’s have opened extension discussions with outfielder Lawrence Butler, reports Evan Drellich of The Athletic. General manager David Forst confirmed to Drellich that the team is engaged in extension talks with multiple players, though he unsurprisingly didn’t specify which ones.

Butler is a logical target. The 24-year-old had a big season to emerge as a key piece of a developing offensive core. Butler hit .262/.317/.490 with 24 doubles, two triples, and a pair of home runs through 451 plate appearances. He went a perfect 18-18 on stolen base attempts. The positives were almost all concentrated in a monster second half. Butler raked at a .300/.345/.553 clip with 13 homers and 32 extra-base hits after the All-Star Break.

The lefty-swinging Butler had entered the break as a career .205/.260/.337 hitter. He had struck out at close to a 30% clip to that point. He sliced the strikeout rate by nearly 10 percentage points in the second half. By measure of wRC+, Butler was among the ten most productive qualified hitters in the majors during that stretch.

There’s still a relatively small sample of major league success. Butler’s productivity against MLB pitching is essentially limited to three months. An extension would be a bet on the A’s part that the second half represented a legitimate breakout. There’s an argument to wait and see if Butler can maintain that level of production over a full season. At the same time, that’d run the risk of him dramatically raising his earning power with another strong year.

Butler narrowly surpassed one year of major league service. He’s under club control for five seasons and two years from arbitration eligibility. The A’s control him through his age-28 season. There have been a few extensions for hitters in that service range in recent years. Rockies shortstop Ezequiel Tovar inked a seven-year, $63.5MM deal as he entered his age-22 season last spring. Nationals catcher Keibert Ruiz signed for eight years and $50MM as a 24-year-old two seasons ago. The Pirates inked third baseman Ke’Bryan Hayes to an eight-year, $70MM extension coming out of the 2022 lockout.

Those players all play more impactful positions. Tovar and Hayes were plus defenders on the left side of the infield. Ruiz is a catcher. Butler played some center field as a rookie, but he’s stretched at the position. The A’s kept him in right field last season. He posted average defensive marks in just under 1000 innings in the corner. Butler has demonstrated offensive upside beyond what anyone from the Tovar, Hayes or Ruiz group had shown at the time of their deals, however. His camp could aim for something approaching the Tovar/Hayes guarantees, though it remains to be seen if the A’s would make that kind of investment without a larger body of work.

The A’s have historically shied away from early-career extensions. As shown on MLBTR’s contract tracker, they haven’t extended a pre-arbitration player since inking Sean Doolittle to a $10MM guarantee more than a decade ago. This offseason has been a huge exception to their typical operating procedure. They signed Luis Severino to a three-year, $67MM free agent deal that represents the largest investment in franchise history. They followed by signing Brent Rooker to a five-year, $60MM extension as his arbitration window was opening.

The club also acquired Jeffrey Springs in a trade with Tampa Bay, assuming the remaining two years and $21.75MM on his deal. They dropped $10MM to bring in setup man José Leclerc via free agency. The A’s were reportedly targeting a competitive balance tax number of at least $105MM to ensure they didn’t forfeit their status as revenue sharing recipients. RosterResource estimates their CBT number around $107MM, so they’ve hit that mark, but it seems there’s still payroll space.

Rooker, Severino and Springs are the only players signed beyond this season. Rooker is the only player locked into the 2027 roster. The A’s hold a club option on Springs, while Severino has an opt-out during the 2026-27 offseason. There’s plenty of long-term flexibility, raising the possibility of extending multiple young players. Beyond Butler, catcher Shea Langeliers, shortstop Jacob Wilson, and center fielder JJ Bleday stand out as speculative extension candidates.

The Tigers’ Shortstop Situation

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The Tigers have clearly been focused on upgrading their infield this offseason. They signed Gleyber Torres to take over second base. It’s only a one-year deal but they are nonetheless willing to bump Colt Keith over to first and Spencer Torkelson into a part-time role or maybe even the minors. They hung around in the Alex Bregman market, indicating some desire to install him at third and block Jace Jung, though Bregman ultimately landed with the Red Sox.

None of that addresses the shortstop situation, however, so the club will seemingly head into camp with a positional battle there. That’s a risky but defensive strategy, as the winter market didn’t feature many better alternatives. On the trade market, Bo Bichette was in a few rumors but never seemed to be truly available.

In free agency, Willy Adames was the only healthy everyday shortstop. He signed a seven-year, $182MM deal with the Giants. The Tigers certainly could have matched that, given their fairly clean future payroll ledger, but it never seemed likely that they would. They already have a lot of money dedicated to the position, as the one big deal still on the books is for a shortstop, and they also have some potential long-term solutions just a bit over the horizon.

Let’s take a look at the current picture, the short term and the long term, as spring training is ramping up.

The Expensive Bounceback Candidate

Javier Báez

The struggles of Báez in Detroit are no big secret at this point. The Tigers signed him to a six-year, $140MM deal going into 2022. He had just finished a six-year stretch in which he hit .271/.312/.490 for a 107 wRC+ with strong defensive and baserunning grades, allowing him to produce 21.9 wins above replacement, per FanGraphs.

In his first year as a Tiger, he hit .238/.278/.393 for a wRC+ of 89, a disappointing but not disastrous performance. He fell even further in 2023, producing a .222/.267/.325 line and 63 wRC+. Another drop came last year, with Báez coming up with a dismal line of .184/.221/.294 and a 48 wRC+. His defensive metrics have also fallen in that time.

The most favorable view of Báez right now is that his recent nosedive has been health related. He only got into 80 games last year, missing time due to lumbar spine and hip inflammation. He underwent season-ending surgery in August. It didn’t come out of nowhere. Back in February of last year, Báez told Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press that he dealt with lower back discomfort throughout the 2022 and 2023 seasons.

That probably sounds like a convenient excuse but it could perhaps explain why his performance has dropped so precipitously. If the surgery has addressed his issues and he can get back to full strength in 2025, that could allow him to reverse his recent trends. Even if he doesn’t fully return to All-Star form, there would be value in simply being less bad.

If the struggles continue, the Tigers could face a tough choice. Teams are generally reluctant to give up on players when there’s still so much of the deal remaining. It’s pretty rare for a guy on an eight- or nine-figure deal to be released with more than two years left on the deal. Báez still has three years left on his pact but that will gradually move closer to two as the summer rolls along. Even if he doesn’t get released, there’s a chance he gets pushed into being an expensive utility/bench player.

The Possible Short-Term Alternative

Trey Sweeney

Sweeney, 25 in April, served as a passable fill-in while Báez was recovering from surgery last year. He made his major league debut by getting into 36 games down the stretch as the Tigers were engineering their amazing comeback. Sweeney slashed .218/.269/.373 for a wRC+ of 81. His defense was graded as above average, in a small sample of 294 innings.

That was far better than anything Báez has done recently, but was also significantly less than Báez at his peak. Whether Sweeney is the best option likely depends on which version of Báez is going to show up in 2025.

Sweeney’s not really considered a top prospect. Baseball America currently ranks him eighth in the system. He’s has some good numbers in the minors but there are some concerns about the strikeouts. He slashed .267/.345/.450 in Triple-A last year but was punched out in 26.7% of his plate appearances. In his brief big league time, he had a similar 26.9% strikeout rate.

The ceiling isn’t as high as some of the other players mentioned here, but Sweeney has been to the big leagues and handled himself well enough. If things go south with Báez again, the Tigers will have a fallback. But since he has options, he might be playing every day in Triple-A to start the season while Báez tries to get back on track.

The Immediate Depth

Zach McKinstry/Ryan Kreidler

McKinstry, 30 in April, isn’t a huge bat but is a fine bench/utility guy. He has 1,207 major league plate appearances to this point in his career with a .220/.285/.357 line and 79 wRC+. But he has also stolen 40 bases, including 16 in each of the past two years. He got those 16 bags last year without getting caught. He has also lined up at all three outfield spots and the three infield positions to the left of first base, with pretty solid marks all over. Despite the tepid bat, FanGraphs has credited him with 3.0 wins above replacement in 323 games over the past three seasons. He’s out of options and will be on the big league bench.

Kreidler, 27, is still looking to get to that level. He has a line of .147/.212/.193 in his three-year big league career, though in just 167 plate appearances. But his shortstop defense has been considered above average, in addition to playing second base, third base and a bit of outfield. He had a rough showing offensively in the minors last year but has been better in the past. He still has an option and could be ticketed for Triple-A to start the year.

The Possible Shortstops Of The Future

Kevin McGonigle/Bryce Rainer

On Baseball America’s Top 100 list, there are two Detroit shortstop prospects. McGonigle has the #23 spot with Rainer at #60. The brief take on the situation is that McGonigle is the better pure hitter, and closer to the majors, but there’s more of a risk that he’ll need to move off shortstop in the future.

Just 20 years old right now, McGonigle was taken 37th overall in 2023 with a competitive balance pick. Since that draft selection, he has played in 95 minor league games, stepping to the plate 421 times. A massive 15.2% of those plate appearances have resulted in a walk, compared to a strikeout rate of just 9%. There were only six home runs in there but his .310/.412/.443 combined line nonetheless translates to a 143 wRC+. He finished last year at High-A, so getting to Double-A and/or Triple-A in 2025 seem like realistic outcomes.

Rainer is only 19, having just been drafted a few months ago. The Tigers took him with the 11th overall pick in 2024 out of Harvard-Westlake High School in Los Angeles. They didn’t get him into any minor league games after that draft, so he still has no college or professional experience to speak of.

Still, the expectations are high. As mentioned, BA has him 60th overall already. MLB Pipeline has him at #53, ESPN at #79 and Keith Law of The Athletic at #70. He didn’t crack the FanGraphs list but that outlet highlighted him as a player who has a strong chance of charging into the top 100 once he makes his professional debut. There are some questions about contact ability but his power and throwing arm are considered to be huge assets.

Defensively, McGonigle is considered to have the arm for shortstop but his range and motion are more questionable. Rainer is perhaps a better bet to stick at short but he also still needs to get his feet wet as a professional.

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Neither McGonigle nor Rainer have even reached Double-A yet, so there’s still some time before things get really tight. But Báez has three years left on his deal and many fans already calling for him to go. There’s no way for the Tigers to get any of that money back, so the best-case scenario would still be a Báez bounceback. If that doesn’t come to pass, the club could pivot to Sweeney in the short term and then McGonigle and Rainer in the long term. Though prospects don’t always work out as hoped, so there are no guarantees there.

How the chips fall should be impactful for the future of the Tigers. They have no serious commitments on their long-term payroll apart from Báez. Their recent six-year offer to Bregman shows they are willing to get more aggressive. If they can find an internal solution at short, there should be resources available for other parts of the roster.

Royals Sign Ross Stripling To Minor League Deal

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The Royals announced that they have signed right-hander Ross Stripling to a minor league deal. The Excel Sports Management has also been invited to participate in major league spring training.

Stripling, 35, is a veteran swingman with plenty of good seasons under his belt. However, he’s coming off two pretty rough campaigns. From 2016 to 2022, he logged 672 innings between the Dodgers and Blue Jays over 104 starts and 100 relief appearances. He allowed 3.78 earned runs per nine over that span. His 22.3% strikeout rate was close to average but his 45% ground ball rate was strong and his 5.7% walk rate very good.

The last season of that stretch was his best. With the Jays in 2022, he made 24 starts and eight relief appearances, throwing 134 1/3 innings with an ERA of 3.01. His 20.7% strikeout rate was still only average-ish but his 3.7% walk rate was tiny. Among pitchers with at least 130 frames that year, only Corey Kluber and Aaron Nola gave out free passes at a lower rate.

That led to a two-year, $25MM deal with the Giants going into 2023, with his results tapering off from there. He posted a 5.36 ERA in 2023 and then got flipped to the Athletics ahead of last season. With Oakland in 2024, he spent time on the injured list with a right elbow strain and a lower back strain, allowing a 6.01 ERA in 85 1/3 innings around that.

Under the hood, things aren’t quite as bleak as that ERA would suggest. His .338 batting average on balls in play and 54.8% strand rate were both on the unlucky side last year. His 3.89 FIP believed him to be far better than his ERA, though SIERA was less optimistic at 5.01. Stripling’s control was still strong last year, walking just 5.8% of opponents, but his 12.9% strikeout rate was quite low and a third straight drop for him. He struck out 21.8% of opponents in 2021 but that figure has dropped to 20.7%, 18.4% and 12.9% in the past three campaigns.

The Kansas City rotation will be fronted by Cole Ragans, Seth Lugo and Michael Wacha in three spots. Michael Lorenzen will likely have a spot at the back end. Kris Bubic and Kyle Wright are rotation candidates as well, though they are each returning from significant health issues. Bubic missed almost all of 2023 due to Tommy John surgery and worked out of the bullpen last year. Wright missed the entire 2024 season due to shoulder surgery.

There are some other options on the 40-man, including Alec Marsh and Daniel Lynch IV. They are still optionable and could be ticketed for the Triple-A rotation. Stripling will give the Royals a bit of non-roster depth for the staff. If they want a long reliever in the bullpen at some point, perhaps they could turn to Stripling in order to leave guys like Marsh and Lynch getting regular starts in the minors.

Latest On Brewers’ Infield Alignment

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The departure of Willy Adames in free agency left the Brewers with a glaring hole at shortstop and multiple ways to address the issue. Given Milwaukee’s perennially low payroll, a costly acquisition to replace Adames felt every bit as unlikely as the team’s chances of retaining the former All-Star. Fellow infielders Joey Ortiz and Brice Turang are both shortstops who played different positions in deference to Adames last year; Ortiz at third base primarily and Turang at second base exclusively (save for one lone DH appearance).

While the final alignment will be contingent on health and spring performance, Brewers owner Mark Attanasio at least tipped his hand a bit with regard to his organization’s thinking. When asked about his lack of additions to the roster, Attanasio touted the young talent the Brewers have returning in 2025 and noted a desire to get prospect Tyler Black at third base, noting that Ortiz “can slide over” to shortstop (link via Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal-Sentinel).

A move to shortstop would only be natural for Ortiz, who spent the bulk of his minor league career there. He only moved off the position due to the presence of Adames in Milwaukee. Lining up as the Brewers’ regular third baseman in 2024, Ortiz ranked as one of the top defensive infielders in the sport. Defensive Runs Saved (8) and Outs Above Average (11) both credited him with excellent totals at third base despite “only” logging about 82% of a season there. (Ortiz also played 10 games at shortstop and made six appearances at second base.)

Both Baseball America and FanGraphs labeled Ortiz a 70-grade defender (on the 20-80 scale) in his prospect days; MLB.com tabbed him with a 65 glove. Plus to elite defense was always expected from the 2019 fourth-rounder. So far, he’s made good on that billing. Ortiz also at least held his own at the plate, slashing .239/.329/.398 in 511 plate appearances — good for a 104 wRC+. He popped 11 homers, 25 doubles and six triples last year.

Turang could presumably handle shortstop as well, but it’s hard to displace a player who just took home a Platinum Glove for his superlative work at second base. The former No. 21 overall pick won his first of what will likely be many Gold Gloves in 2024 and was named the NL’s top overall defensive player as well. Defensive Runs Saved credited Turang with an outrageous mark of 22. Statcast wasn’t quite so over-the-moon but felt he was a clear plus, pegging him at 6 OAA.

A middle-infield tandem of Ortiz and Turang might be the best defensive pairing in all of baseball. That’ll be important, as the rest of the infield faces more questions about its glovework. Rhys Hoskins will be back for a second season after exercising a player option valued at $18MM. The Brewers still owe him that salary and a $4MM buyout on a 2026 mutual option. Hoskins has negative career marks at first base and struggled again in 2024 — his first season back from an ACL tear that cost him the 2023 campaign.

At the hot corner, it seems like the 24-year-old Black will get the opportunity to run with the position, though Dunn and trade acquisition Caleb Durbin could also factor in. Black is a bat-first prospect who’s hit at every minor league stop but has had a nomadic journey in pro ball with regard to his defensive home. He’s played third more than any other position but also has ample experience at second base, first base and in the outfield — including center.

The Brewers have tried playing Black all over the field, because the bat and the speed play even with a below-average arm and questionable footwork/instincts in the field. Black’s ultimate home might be at first base, but Hoskins has that locked down for now thanks to the aforementioned contract and salary. Black might push across the diamond in 2026, but there’s no everyday role for him at first right now. Hoskins can’t slide to DH full-time, as Christian Yelich will see a decent bit of time there.

Dunn and Durbin offer some interesting alternatives, but neither has Black’s upside at the plate. Dunn didn’t hit much in a 104-plate appearance debut last year, but he has a big track record in the upper minors. He’s been far more strikeout-prone than Black in the minors and generally lacks the hit tool and swing decisions Black boasts. Durbin, acquired in the Devin Williams/Nestor Cortes trade, has yet to make his MLB debut. He’s a contact, speed and OBP-oriented infielder who’s best suited at second base but has 660 professional innings at third base as well. Durbin’s bat-to-ball skills, plate discipline and speed are all strong, but he’s light on power and posted bottom-of-the-scale exit velocity and hard-hit numbers in Triple-A last year.

NL East Notes: Sale, Montas, Wood

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Braves left-hander Chris Sale just had a tremendous bounceback season. He made 29 starts with a 2.38 earned run average, earning a National League Cy Young award. He was largely injured and/or ineffective from 2019 to 2023, which had him pondering retirement.

“I thought that it was gonna be my last year,” Sale said to the Baseball Isn’t Boring podcast about where he was at before getting traded to Atlanta. “So I went into that offseason on a mission like ’one more year left.’… ’cause in my mind, I wasn’t walking away from baseball. I was walking away from getting hurt.”

The Red Sox traded Sale to Atlanta for Vaughn Grissom in December of 2023. At the time, as mentioned, he had been battling significant injuries for five years. Tommy John surgery in 2020 was the big one but Sale also had a stress reaction in his ribs, a fractured finger, a broken wrist suffered in a bicycle accident and a stress reaction in his shoulder blade over that span. He had a 4.16 ERA in 298 1/3 innings over those five seasons.

2024 was the final year of his extension with the Red Sox and the mounting injuries apparently had him looking towards hanging up his spikes. But he was traded to Atlanta, signed an extension that covered 2024 and 2025 with a club option for 2026, and then went on to have an excellent season in 2024. It makes for an interesting “what if” but Sale is clearly in a better spot now. The injury bug hasn’t left him entirely alone, however. He missed the final two weeks of 2024 due to back spasms and was also left off Atlanta’s postseason roster. 2024 was still a big improvement over prior years but time will tell if he can keep the good health going into his age-36 season.

Some more spring training tidbits from the NL East…

  • It was reported earlier this week that Mets righty Frankie Montas has a lat strain and will be shut down for six to eight weeks. The righty is apparently a bit more optimistic than his club, however. He told members of the media today, including Anthony DiComo of MLB.com, that he’s already feeling better from his platelet-rich plasma injection and expects to be throwing again in four to six weeks. That’s still a notable period of time but it’s a bit less dire than the other timeline. He had a 4.84 ERA last year and then signed a two-year, $34MM deal with the Mets this winter. He will have the chance to opt out after the first year, though returning healthy and productive will be important if he is to consider that possibility. For now, the Mets’ rotation mix includes Sean Manaea, Kodai Senga, David Peterson, Clay Holmes, Paul Blackburn, Griffin Canning and Tylor Megill.
  • Nationals outfielder James Wood has some quad tendinitis, per Andrew Golden of The Washington Post. It doesn’t bother him when he hits, so he’s been able to take batting practice but has skipped some defensive drills. Per Mark Zuckerman of MASNsports.com, Wood says he has “zero” concern but the club did send him for an MRI, which showed no structural damage. With still over a month before Opening Day, there’s plenty of time to get things in order, with Wood and the Nats both surely hoping for a clean bill of health by then. Now just 22 years old, Wood hit .264/.354/.427 in his major league debut last year and is slated to be a big part of the club’s future.

Nationals Sign Lucas Sims

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2:05pm: The deal is for $3MM, per Andrew Golden of The Washington Post.

10:03am: The Nationals made a late addition to their bullpen Wednesday, announcing the signing of right-hander Lucas Sims to a one-year contract. Righty Mason Thompson, who had Tommy John surgery last March, was placed on the 60-day injured list to open a spot on the 40-man roster. Sims is represented by TWC Sports.

Sims, 31 in May, has spent most of his career with the Reds but was traded to the Red Sox at last year’s deadline. That deal didn’t work out especially well for Boston, as they gave up prospect Ovis Portes in exchange, while Sims then posted a 6.43 earned run average over 15 appearances around a three-week absence for a lat strain.

The Nats are surely looking beyond that unfortunate finish to his 2024 campaign. From 2019 to 2021, Sims tossed 115 2/3 innings for Cincinnati with a 4.05 ERA. He had a huge 35.2% strikeout rate over those seasons, though he undercut that somewhat with his 10.1% walk rate and some long balls.

He had a 50.6% fly ball rate in that stretch, with league average usually falling in the 35-40% range. For a guy who played his home games in homer-friendly Great American Ball Park, that wasn’t ideal and perhaps masked his true talents. He had a 3.69 FIP and 3.15 SIERA in that time. However, he strangely had a 3.75 ERA at home in those seasons but a 4.34 mark on the road.

Since then, his results have been a bit less impressive. His 2022 was largely wiped out by back issues, which culminated in surgery to repair a herniated disc. He only made six appearances that year. He returned to have a healthy 2023, tossing 61 innings with a 3.10 ERA, but his strikeout rate dropped to 27.9%. That was still above average but a notable drop from his previous work. His walk rate also ticked way up to 15.1%. A tiny .212 batting average on balls in play seemed to help him that year, which is why he had a 4.37 FIP and 4.58 SIERA.

He then posted a 3.57 ERA with the Reds last year, though with his strikeout rate falling again to 26%. His walk rate improved to 13%, a drop from the prior year but still a few ticks above average. As mentioned, he was then dealt to the Red Sox and finished the year on a down note.

Sims is a risky bet given that inconsistency but it will presumably be a fairly modest investment on the heels of his 2024 season. If he can engineer a bounceback this year, it would turn into a nice buy-low move for the Nats.

Some observers expected Washington to have an aggressive winter, but that hasn’t really come to pass. The rebuilding club has graduated a number of young players to the majors in recent years but that hasn’t pushed them to slam on the gas pedal. They have made a few additions but mostly of the short-term variety. Nathaniel Lowe was acquired to play first base and can be controlled through 2026, though he could also be traded or non-tendered depending on how things go this year. The Nats also signed Trevor Williams and Shinnosuke Ogasawara to relatively modest two-year deals and gave one-year pacts to Michael Soroka, Josh Bell, Amed Rosario, Jorge López and Paul DeJong.

In the bullpen, López and Derek Law figure to be the veteran anchors. Apart from that, it’s fairly wide open. Colin Poche is in camp as a non-roster invitee and could give them a bit more experience. Guys like Jose A. Ferrer, Eduardo Salazar, Zach Brzykcy, Evan Reifert and Orlando Ribalta are on the 40-man but no one in that group has more than 66 innings of big league experience. If the Nats and Sims get a deal done, he can join Law, López and Poche as the experienced arms in the group.

If the Nats aren’t in contention at the deadline, all of those veteran arms would be logical trade candidates. Both Law and López are slated for free agency at season’s end. Assuming Sims is only talking about a one-year deal, that would be true of him as well. Poche’s service time count is at five years and 114 days, meaning he’s just 58 shy of the six years needed for automatic free agency. If he’s on the roster before the deadline, then he would be on pace for free agency at season’s end as well.

MassLive.com’s Chris Cotillo first reported that the Nats and Sims were closing in on a deal. Mark Zuckerman of MASNsports.com reported that Sims had arrived at Nats camp and was signing a major league contract.

Rockies Sign Scott Alexander, Designate Aaron Schunk

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1:32pm: Alexander gets $2MM, per Mark Feinsand of MLB.com.

11:24am: The Rockies have signed left-handed reliever Scott Alexander to a one-year, major league contract, per Patrick Lyons of Just Baseball. Infielder Aaron Schunk was designated for assignment to open a spot on the 40-man roster. Alexander is represented by Apex Baseball.

Alexander, 35, is coming off a strong but injury-shortened season with the A’s. He missed time due to a ribcage injury and tendinitis in his shoulder, but when Alexander was healthy he logged 38 2/3 innings of 2.56 ERA ball.

Alexander fanned a below-average 19.4% of opponents against a higher-than-average 9.4% walk rate, but his mammoth 60% ground-ball rate was among the highest in MLB and helped to offset some of his more pedestrian rate stats in other areas. Of the 474 pitchers who tossed at least 30 big league innings last year, only 11 turned in a ground-ball rate of 60% or higher. Alexander was tied with Giants righty Camilo Doval at exactly 60%, sitting tenth in the game.

The 2024 season was the tenth of Alexander’s career. A sixth-round pick by the Royals back in 2010, he’s tossed 309 1/3 major league innings and combined for a 3.20 ERA, 18% strikeout rate, 8.7% walk rate and a colossal 67.4% ground-ball rate. That ability to pile up grounders at a higher rate than just about any pitcher in MLB surely appealed to the Rockies, whose Coors Field home is notorious for its homer-friendly nature and sprawling, expansive outfield. With quality defenders all around the infield — Ryan McMahon, Ezequiel Tovar, Thairo Estrada, Michael Toglia — the Rox are an even more natural fit.

While Alexander has never worked as a closer — 10 career saves notwithstanding — he’s no stranger to high-leverage spots. He picked up 10 holds for the A’s in 2024, has a career-high of 21 holds (Dodgers, 2018) and has amassed 62 holds in his major league career. The Rox have plenty of interesting young arms in their bullpen competition (e.g. Seth Halvorsen, Angel Chivilli, Luis Peralta, Jeff Criswell), but Alexander will provide a seasoned veteran who can comfortably pitch in late-inning spots as needed.

As things stand, there’s no set closer in Colorado. Veterans Tyler Kinley and Justin Lawrence are the most experienced options. Both have closed games for the Rox in the past, but both pitched to ERAs north of 6.00 in 2024. Those struggles could open the door for a power-armed young reliever like Halvorsen or Victor Vodnik to win the job.

Alexander’s arrival on the Rockies’ roster will come at the expense of the 27-year-old Schunk, who made his big league debut in 2024. Schunk, the Rockies’ second-round pick in 2019, appeared in 39 games with the Rox but batted only .234/.265/.330 in 98 trips to the plate. He’s slashed .291/.346/.464 in 807 turns at the plate in Triple-A over the past two seasons. It’s a solid-looking line, though when weighted for the enormously hitter-friendly environs of the Pacific Coast League (and, specifically, the Rockies’ Triple-A home in Albuquerque), it’s actually a bit shy of league-average production.

Schunk played at second base, third base and shortstop in the majors last year and has minor league experience at all three spots. He’s spent the vast majority of his time at the hot corner in pro ball, logging more than 2800 innings at third base between the minors and last year’s 89 big league frames. He’s been regarded as a sound defender at third base in scouting reports from Baseball America, FanGraphs and MLB.com in the past.

Between his solid minor league output at the plate, that defensive versatility and a full slate of minor league option years remaining, Schunk could hold appeal to a club with less infield certainty than the Rockies currently possess with McMahon, Tovar, Estrada and veteran utilityman Kyle Farmer. The Rockies will have five days to trade him. A player’s DFA window is one week long, but since waivers are a 48-hour process, Schunk would need to be traded by next Monday or else placed on outright waivers.

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