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Phillies Rumors

Phillies Re-Sign J.C. Romero

By Tim Dierkes | November 10, 2007 at 8:32pm CDT

According to Ken Rosenthal, the Phillies have signed lefty reliever J.C. Romero to a three-year, $12MM deal.  There’s a club option for a fourth year that would bring the total to $16.75MM.

This is a terrible signing.  Is it really this hard to find a competent lefty reliever?  The Phillies seem to be demonstrating an ignorance of basic pitching statistics.  Romero’s contract is based on 36 innings.  I admit: Romero is fairly tough to hit, and he keeps the ball on the ground (which limits home runs). 

But his control is awful – he’s walked almost five batters per nine innings in his career.  And while he has allowed fewer than a hit per inning in his career, his 2007 success with the Phillies is based on him allowing just 3.72 hits per nine innings.  Limiting hits to that degree is simply not a repeatable skill, and the Phils are paying him as if it is.   

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Philadelphia Phillies J.C. Romero

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More On Mike Lowell

By Tim Dierkes | November 9, 2007 at 1:23pm CDT

Michael Silverman has a little detail on Boston’s three-year offer to Mike Lowell: it’s between $12-15MM per season.  It’s all guaranteed, and it doesn’t seem to be a "take it or leave it" offer, but they won’t add a fourth year.  So it’s for $45MM on the high end.  If you agree with Jon Heyman’s 4/52 prediction, Lowell would be leaving a minimum of $7MM on the table.

Silverman adds that the Red Sox won’t go nuts trying to replace Lowell with a big name if things don’t work out.  They figure that if Kevin Youkilis can win a Gold Glove at first, he might be adequate at third base.  They peeked their head in on Miguel Cabrera and balked at the price of Jacoby Ellsbury and Clay Buchholz.  Joe Crede might be someone for the Sox to consider. 

The Yankees, Angels, and Phillies will be in on Lowell if he can’t come to an agreement with Boston.  However, Phils GM Pat Gillick has stated his focus is pitching rather than third base.

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2006 Top 50 Free Agents Boston Red Sox Los Angeles Angels Miami Marlins New York Yankees Philadelphia Phillies Clay Buchholz Jacoby Ellsbury Miguel Cabrera Mike Lowell

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Rockies Rumors: Atkins, Barrett, Fukumori

By Tim Dierkes | November 8, 2007 at 3:59pm CDT

What are the Rockies up to as they plot to defend their NL pennant?  Tracy Ringolsby and Troy E. Renck have the latest.

  • Ringolsby says Garrett Atkins is staying put, which should help the third baseman relax a little bit.  This echoes Renck’s sentiments yesterday.  Renck also noted that the Rox won’t be offering Atkins a multiyear deal anytime soon.
  • Yesterday Renck said that after Yorvit Torrealba, the Rockies were considering Jose Molina, Paul Lo Duca, Jason Kendall, and Ramon Castro for catcher.  However Ringolsby says today that Michael Barrett and Kendall are the main targets.  Renck has come on board with that today, noting that Dan O’Dowd has contacted the agents for Barrett, Kendall, and Lo Duca.
  • Ringolsby adds that the Rockies are exploring the Japanese reliever market, namely Hitoki Iwase and Kazuo Fukumori.  Fukumori might appeal as the cheaper of the two.
  • Meanwhile the Indians, Brewers, Phillies, and Mets like Brian Fuentes.  We’ve also read about the Tigers’ interest.  The Rockies’ willingness to trade him may depend on the progress of 2007 top draft pick Casey Weathers.
  • Jason Jennings might be leaning toward signing with the Padres.  This echoes an obscure article we found back in July.
  • Renck says that if the Rockies don’t hear by Tuesday about their offers to Kaz Matsui, Matt Herges, LaTroy Hawkins, and Torrealba, they’ll start looking at other options. 
  • Renck adds that the Rockies have checked in with Ron Mahay’s people.  He’s getting popular.
  • The Rockies are out on Jon Garland – they can’t fit his $12MM salary into the 2008 budget.  Matsui moving on would clear $3MM though.
  • The idea of locking up Troy Tulowitzki long-term is being entertained.  It probably wouldn’t happen until after the 2008 season though.

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Chicago White Sox Cleveland Guardians Colorado Rockies Detroit Tigers Milwaukee Brewers New York Mets Philadelphia Phillies San Diego Padres Brian Fuentes Garrett Atkins Hitoki Iwase Jason Jennings Jason Kendall Jon Garland Kaz Matsui Kazuo Fukumori LaTroy Hawkins Matt Herges Michael Barrett Paul Lo Duca Ron Mahay Troy Tulowitzki Yorvit Torrealba

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Odds and Ends: Lowell, Sabathia, Polanco

By Tim Dierkes | November 8, 2007 at 3:12pm CDT

I’m going to start up a catch-all Odds and Ends post for smaller rumors and notes today.  Refresh to see it grow.

  • A reader emailed me to tell me that Buster Olney said on XM Radio recently that there are talks of the Twins going after Scott Rolen.  These reports can be tough to confirm, but there you go.  UPDATE: Joe Christensen squashes this one.
  • Mark Feinsand doesn’t think Epstein is keen on giving Mike Lowell even a three-year contract.  He might get five on the open market.  UPDATE: The Red Sox apparently have a three-year offer out to him, and he’s still mulling it over.
  • The White Sox inquired about Bill Hall, but Kenny Williams and Doug Melvin couldn’t find a match.
  • Baseball America weighs in on the Brad Lidge trade.  BP’s Nate Silver gives his opinion here and here.  He thinks the Phillies made a mistake.
  • The Astros have contacted Jeremy Affeldt’s agent.  Also, Jim Molony speculates in this piece that speedy Josh Anderson could be expendable because of the Michael Bourn addition.
  • Back to where it all began: the Dodgers have signed Chan Ho Park.  No need for more starters now! 
  • Andy Pettitte hopes to tell the Yankees whether he’ll play by the New Year.  Also, Ken Davidoff notes that the Yanks would prefer to trade Hideki Matsui over Johnny Damon, but Godzilla’s full no-trade clause would be the problem.
  • Theo Epstein let Scott Boras pitch his entire client list last night, A-Rod included.  There’s a very slight chance the Red Sox sign Eric Gagne, and a contract extension for Jason Varitek may have been discussed.  Also I hear Boras did the hard sell on Bruce Chen.  Just kidding.  UPDATE: That slight chance for Gagne just went away, as he’ll be closing according to Boras.
  • Mark Shapiro is preparing a contract extension offer for C.C. Sabathia; he’ll have to run it by the Dolans first.  No surprise there.  Paul Hoynes notes that Sabathia gets an extra $2MM for ’08 if he wins the ’07 Cy Young.  Shapiro, by the way, would listen to offers on any player.  I get the feeling the Indians could come from out of nowhere and do something big this winter.
  • Could the Tigers send Placido Polanco to the Mets?  Mark Healey suggests it.
  • The Giants included a vesting option for 2009 in Omar Vizquel’s deal.  McCovey Chronicles weighs in.

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Boston Red Sox Chicago White Sox Cleveland Guardians Detroit Tigers Houston Astros Los Angeles Dodgers Milwaukee Brewers Minnesota Twins New York Mets New York Yankees Philadelphia Phillies San Francisco Giants Alex Rodriguez Andy Pettitte Bill Hall Brad Lidge C.C. Sabathia Chan Ho Park Eric Gagne Hideki Matsui Jeremy Affeldt Johnny Damon Josh Anderson Mike Lowell Omar Vizquel Placido Polanco

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Rosenthal’s Latest: Andruw, Rowand, Castillo

By Tim Dierkes | November 8, 2007 at 1:58pm CDT

Ken Rosenthal has cranked out another rumor-filled column.  A summary is below.

  • The Marlins are insisting on Howie Kendrick in a Miguel Cabrera deal.  The Angels are understandably reluctant.
  • The Nationals could sign Andruw Jones long-term if they felt it was a bargain – say, $13MM a year.  The Giants, White Sox, and Padres may be in the mix as well.  Hmmm, White Sox and Boras?  And if Scott Boras changes his tune and hunts for a one-year "rebuild value" contract for Jones, the Red Sox could get involved. 
  • The Phillies think Aaron Rowand will end up getting a 4/52 contract, though Rosenthal expects him to get the fifth guaranteed year.  It’s previously been reported that Rowand is looking for a six-year, $84MM deal. Yikes.
  • Aside from the Astros and Mets, the Indians, Padres, and Dodgers could get in on Luis Castillo.  In the Tribe’s case, it would involve a scenario where Jhonny Peralta was dealt.
  • Interesting note on Curt Schilling’s $2MM in weight incentives – the target weights are aggressively low, and the weigh-ins will be done randomly.  So, no cheating the system.  By the way, isn’t it ridiculous that one Cy vote gets him $1MM?  Sportswriters have given out single votes on a whim for much dumber reasons.
  • The Red Sox are apparently asking a lot for Coco Crisp, more than the Twins are ready to give up.
  • The Indians and Brewers have an excess of starters.  Names that could hit the market include Cliff Lee, Dave Bush, and Chris Capuano.  The Nationals have their eye on Lee.  He came up as an Expo through Double A.
  • The Nationals might be able to get something good for outfielder Ryan Church.  In general, Jim Bowden desires a young MLB-ready starter like Kevin Mulvey or Kevin Slowey.

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Boston Red Sox Chicago White Sox Cleveland Guardians Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Dodgers Miami Marlins Milwaukee Brewers Minnesota Twins New York Mets Philadelphia Phillies San Diego Padres San Francisco Giants Washington Nationals Aaron Rowand Andruw Jones Chris Capuano Cliff Lee Coco Crisp Curt Schilling Dave Bush Howie Kendrick Kevin Mulvey Kevin Slowey Luis Castillo Miguel Cabrera Ryan Church

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Phillies Close To Deal With Romero

By Tim Dierkes | November 8, 2007 at 12:48pm CDT

According to Todd Zolecki of the Philadelphia Inquirer, the Phils are close to a multiyear contract with southpaw reliever J.C. Romero.  Two years, $6MM would be one thing but I would hope they didn’t go three years.

Zolecki adds that the Phillies don’t believe Adam Eaton will require surgery for his shoulder issues.  It still wouldn’t hurt to add a starter to the group of Cole Hamels, Brett Myers, Jamie Moyer, Kyle Kendrick, and Eaton.  Hamels and Kendrick may be considered injury risks.

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Philadelphia Phillies Adam Eaton J.C. Romero

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Phillies Acquire Brad Lidge For Michael Bourn

By Tim Dierkes | November 7, 2007 at 10:00pm CDT

A major trade was struck tonight, as the Phillies acquired Brad Lidge and Eric Bruntlett for Michael Bourn, Geoff Geary, and Mike Costanzo.

The makings of this deal surfaced earlier today, as it was revealed the Astros had interest in Francisco Cordero.  The ’Stros had been talking about bringing in a center fielder, though no one expected Bourn.

Phillies fans have to be happy to hear that the acquisition will allow Brett Myers to move back into the starting rotation.  We were hearing just yesterday that Myers would remain in the pen.  Perhaps Pat Gillick surveyed the market for a top-rotation starter and didn’t like the prices. Besides bolstering the bullpen for 2008, Gillick should snag a draft pick or two if Lidge leaves for a multiyear deal via free agency (assuming he has a good 2008 season).

Bourn is obviously the key to the deal for Ed Wade and the Astros.  He’s a burner and prototypical leadoff man as well as a plus on defense.  The move seems to give Wade a new trading chip, right fielder Luke Scott.

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Houston Astros Philadelphia Phillies Brad Lidge Eric Bruntlett Geoff Geary Michael Bourn Mike Costanzo

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Ricciardi Willing To Listen On Burnett

By Tim Dierkes | November 7, 2007 at 9:43am CDT

UPDATE, 11-7-07: This isn’t really an update.  Ricciardi kind of clarified his comments, saying that the Jays aren’t shopping Burnett.  But he never said they were in the first place.  He originally said if he was blown away, he’d trade Burnett.  The only people confused were those who didn’t closely read his original comments.

FROM 11-6-07: Blue Jays GM J.P. Ricciardi has said something interesting things to the media in recent times, from lying to the public about B.J. Ryan’s injury to questioning A.J. Burnett’s manliness.  It’s not that his actions and opinions are astounding; it’s just odd to see a GM so publicly frank about things.

Today, Ricciardi was upfront with ESPN about the possibility of trading Burnett.  If he’s blown away by an offer, he’ll trade him.  It’s not really a groundbreaking assertion.  I imagine most GMs feel that way about most players.

In Burnett, another high impact arm enters the trade market.  His opt-out clause after the 2008 season effectively makes his contract worse than a one-year deal, as we discussed here.  Jerry Crasnick says the Cardinals, Phillies, and even Orioles are possible fits.  I could imagine the Braves, Mets, Astros, and Diamondbacks expressing interest as well.  Burnett has no-trade protection against 15 teams, so that might require compensation.  He’ll earn a reasonable $12MM in 2008.   

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Baltimore Orioles Philadelphia Phillies St. Louis Cardinals Toronto Blue Jays A.J. Burnett

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Hiroki Kuroda Interests Phillies, Dodgers

By Tim Dierkes | November 7, 2007 at 9:11am CDT

It’s tough to decide who the best available free agent starter is now that Curt Schilling is off the market.  One could make a legitimate case it’s Hiroki Kuroda, who could dazzle in his first few months in MLB.

While Kuroda prefers to play on the West Coast, he’s on the Phillies’ radar.  Paul Hagen notes that Pat Gillick previously ventured into the Japanese market to snag Ichiro several years back.  Kuroda has filed for free agency.  So far the Mariners, Rangers, and Cubs have shown interest.  He could earn north of $8MM per season over three or four years.  According to Tony Jackson, the Dodgers are also expected to make a bid.  Expect this list to grow.

Hagen’s article names former Phils Jon Lieber, Randy Wolf, and Kyle Lohse as other possibilities for Gillick.  A trade for Jon Garland remains an option as well.  Also, Adam Eaton recently had an MRI.  If he needs some kind of surgery, the Phils could import two starters. 

In other Phillies news, Gold Glover Aaron Rowand is still partial to the Phillies and hopes to come back.  Don’t count on it.  He also indicated that his other former team, the White Sox, have an advantage. 

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Chicago White Sox Los Angeles Dodgers Philadelphia Phillies Aaron Rowand Hiroki Kuroda

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Phils Won’t Focus On Third Base

By Tim Dierkes | November 6, 2007 at 2:39pm CDT

Third base was a gaping hole for the Phillies in 2007.  But because the team scored a lot of runs that year, GM Pat Gillick does not see the need to upgrade at the position.  Instead, he will focus on adding pitching whether via trade or free agency.

I have to say that I don’t agree with the logic.  Runs are runs, whether you score more of them or let in fewer.  The goal is to create the largest differential between runs scored and allowed, doesn’t matter whether you try to move the top or bottom line.  That’s my opinion at least.  I still think the Phils should acquire Joe Crede or Mike Lamb.  Trading for Crede might help prevent runs because of his fine glovework.  Another option for a defensive boost is Coco Crisp, who the Phillies reportedly like.

The Phillies are still intent on signing lefty reliever J.C. Romero before November 13th.  Hopefully it doesn’t take three years to sign Juan Carlos…the man has a major walk problem and his success was predicated on an unsustainable hit rate of 3.72 per nine innings.  Additionally the Phils have their eye on Colorado’s Brian Fuentes, who is signed next year for $3.5MM.

Though it’s easier to find a good reliever than a good starter, Brett Myers will stay in the pen for ’08.  With Curt Schilling off the table, Gillick could turn back to his buddy Kenny Williams to try to pry away Jon Garland or settle for Jose Contreras.  I imagine Contreras is starting to seem a bit more attractive to teams because they haven’t seen him pitch for a few months.

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Chicago White Sox Philadelphia Phillies Brian Fuentes J.C. Romero Jon Garland Jose Contreras

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