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Could Giants Hold Fire Sale?

Dave Del Grande of the Oakland Tribune hopes the Giants are out of the playoff chase by July.  His plan: fire Brian Sabean, then trade Barry Bonds, Ray Durham, and Matt Morris.  He'd like to hold the Bonds auction post-record - the best of both worlds for the Giants.

Here's the thing about the Giants playing for 2010 - they're stuck with a massive Barry Zito contract, and he'll be earning $18-20MM a season for mediocre pitching at that point.  Despite being a seven-year deal, it's backloaded so the team can make one last run.  Zito earns just $10MM this year, and the Giants have to take advantage.

They're also tied down to Dave Roberts, Bengie Molina, and Randy Winn through 2009.  Rich Aurilia is theirs through 2008.  Could a new GM really unload every single contract?  There are some really bad ones in here.

It might make more sense for the Giants to go all-out and make one last push this summer if they're anywhere close.  This has definitely been Sabean's m.o. - his July acquisitions have included Jason Schmidt, Kenny Lofton, Sidney Ponson (he was good once, kids), and Randy Winn.  All of those moves were designed to provide short-term boosts.  Tim Lincecum will be a shot in the arm as well.   

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A file sale is never going to happen. It goes against managements philosophies, and they've said before they won't do "rebuilding years". For better or worse, it just wouldn't happen.

PLEASE HAVE A FIRE SALE! I know they won't because the Giants think they can contend with their old guys but a fire sale and a new GM who understands having good prospects would be amazing.

Oh, my God, we’re having a fire......sale. Oh, the burning! It burns me! Evacuate all the schoolchildren!

Seriously though, I don't think (though I do hope!) that Sabean will be fired after this season. Personally, I'm expecting another season where we're less than five games out going into the final month - just enough to convince management that we can make yet another failed play at the post-season in '08.

Okay, let's stop kidding here and get real. First things first, fire sales like you've seen in the past don't work the way they used to, in my estimation, and GMs are a lot smarter now about giving away top prospects for some mediocre help. You're not going to see the "Scott Kazmir for Victor Zambrano" or "Grady Sizemore, Cliff Lee, and Brandon Phillips for Bartolo Colon" or "Derek Lowe and Jason Varitek for Heathcliff Slocumb" type deals that have happened in the past, because no GM wants to look like an idiot, and furthermore Bill Bavasi is running out of bad moves to make.

Second, who do the Giants have that will bring in "great prospects?" Ray Durham will get you a middling farm system team's 11th best prospect, Matt Morris, around the same. Bengie Molina, Dave Roberts, Randy Winn, Rich Aurilia, these guys will maybe get you a bag of Doritos.

In order to have a fire sale, you have to have something other teams actually want and need. If the Giants had a fire sale I doubt they could get A SINGLE top 50 prospect. Maybe they can unload some money for somebody's #16 prospect, but even that, I doubt. Most teams don't have any use for the guys, and the money saved won't buy much on the free agent market considering how high prices are.

The only attractive pieces SF has are guys they can't afford to let go. Who's the most expendable. Noah Lowry? He's an attractive pitcher, but I don't think he'd bring back 3 great prospects that's for sure.

I think DentalPlan makes some great points there, especially about the trade values.

The Marlins in their latest fire sale unloaded Josh Beckett, Carlos Delgardo.

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