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6:15pm: Ken Rosenthal just reported during the Fox telecast that the deal is now being held up by the Mariners demand for a top prospect in addition to the Yankees taking the remainder of Washburn's contract.
5:53pm: Gregor Chisholm is now reporting that Washburn is still listed as the Mariners starting pitcher for Sunday.
5:04pm: Jon Heyman is also saying that the deal could be done in the next couple of days. He also notes that any compensation for Washburn would not be in the form of an extension from the Yankees.
4:52pm: Peter Abraham is now reporting that the deal could happen as early as tomorrow and that the Yankees are willing to pay all of the salary remaining on the contract "in return for not sending Seattle any player of significance. No, not Kei Igawa." Abraham also feels that any compensation would come from Seattle.
4:31pm: Geoff Baker of the Seattle Times spoke with Washburn following today's game and Washburn gave no indication that a deal was done, or even imminent. Washburn did make it clear that he will seek some form of compensation in return for waiving his no-trade clause.
Buster Olney is reporting that the oft-talked about deal in which the Mariners would send Jarrod Washburn to the Yankees, will likely be completed in the next 48 hours. Olney suggests that the move is a salary dump with $13-14MM still owed to Washburn ($3-4MM in '08, $10.35MM in '09). If the Yankees take on most or all of the remaining contract, do not look for any big names to be going back in the other direction.
I spoke with Peter Abraham of the Journal-News and he reiterated that Brian Cashman is saying that the deal is not done yet.
Cork Gaines writes for RaysIndex.com and can be reached here.
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USS Mariner says it's done, but no details on who he was traded for except it's an outfielder.
http://ussmariner.com/2008/07/26/washburn-to-yanks/
Considering Melky is playing, it's probably some guy like Christian, Gardner, or somebody in the lower minors.
Posted by: zs190 | July 26, 2008 at 04:25 PM
Come on Gardner! ::crossesfingers::
Posted by: thr33niL | July 26, 2008 at 04:29 PM
The Yankees have removed the listed starter for tomorrow from their website. It now reads To Be Announced (where it had read Sidney Ponson).
It would be a shame to send Garner cross-country. He has tremendous upside and ridiculous speed. If you look at his stats at each level, he typically starts out very weak before finding his footing. It is only a matter of time before he turns into an everyday MLB player hitting in the high .200s low .300s and stealing 30+ bases. He's our table setter of the future.
Posted by: PhilFranchise | July 26, 2008 at 04:33 PM
The Yankees just sent Gardner down today and they kept Christian on their active roster.
Chances are that Gardner was in the deal and not Christian.
Hopefully the Yankees didn't do anything stupid like giving them Austin Jackson.
Posted by: Sal from Tampa | July 26, 2008 at 04:35 PM
The Yankees won't be sending Melky or Gardner. Possibly Christian, but I doubt it.
They'll send a minor league nobody. This a pure salary dump, nothing else.
Posted by: V | July 26, 2008 at 04:36 PM
Sal from Tampa-
Every Mariner fan would wish its Gardner, but its not. The reason why he was sent down is because its been stated numerous times that Gardner will be sent down to get his normal at bats and to keep him in his rhythem. It will probably be someone in the lower minors not named Austin Jackson.
Posted by: yanks26ngoin | July 26, 2008 at 04:37 PM
If Washburn wants compensation, he can keep playing for the Mariners.
Posted by: V | July 26, 2008 at 04:38 PM
Milton Bradley was just taken out of the game. Is anyone watching that? Did he get hurt?
Too busy watching the Yanks ans Sox.
Go Yankees!
Posted by: Sal from Tampa | July 26, 2008 at 04:40 PM
"The Yankees won't be sending Melky or Gardner. Possibly Christian, but I doubt it.
They'll send a minor league nobody. This a pure salary dump, nothing else."
Wow
I'm surprised Brian Cashman has enough time to clear up trade rumors online.
Posted by: Meoveryouok | July 26, 2008 at 04:43 PM
if playing for a contender over the mlb-worst mariners isnt compensation enough, then let him rot in seattle. idk who the hell this guy thinks he is demanding something to come over to the yankees.
Posted by: letsgoyankees | July 26, 2008 at 04:45 PM
Nothing up with Bradley.
He was tossed for arguing balls/strikes.
Posted by: UtesFan89 | July 26, 2008 at 04:46 PM
Not Gardner? You never know, adding on Jose Vidro or a salary dinner for the Mariners could result in such a trade. Did everyone forget that left-handed pitchers are notorious for throwing curve balls?
hahaha
Posted by: 116ismyfavoritenumber | July 26, 2008 at 04:56 PM
Funny stuff Meoveryouok!
(From a Mariner fan) I have never been a Melky fan. He seems like a 4th outfielder given a ton of opportunities to start. Gardner is obviously the more exciting player. The guy is stupid fast and has good on base skills. I've seen a few Mariner fans view him as another Scott Podsednik.
Its really funny that we keep seeing Cabrera and Gardner's name cropping up if its going to be a "pure salary dump". As long as Igawa doesn't come back and the Yanks eat all of Wash's contract, I wouldn't care if the Mariners got nothing in return. More and more it seems the Mariners will probably pay some of his salary or whatever he wants for compensation and get back Melky, Christian or Gardner.
Who would have ever thought a player would demand compensation for being traded from the worst team in baseball to the Yankees? Its like losing a dollar and finding a 20...then demanding the wallet that the 20 came in.
Posted by: thr33niL | July 26, 2008 at 05:00 PM
I think its more like a guy who finds $20 on the ground, buys a $5 meal and gets $45 in return.
Posted by: 116ismyfavoritenumber | July 26, 2008 at 05:02 PM
You know this is going to be a huge letdown if its Washburn to the Yanks for a PTBNL.
After all the talk and names thrown around for the past week.
Posted by: thr33niL | July 26, 2008 at 05:06 PM
This site rocks. Its updated nearly real time.
Posted by: Jobaman | July 26, 2008 at 05:15 PM
that would be an "OMG" moment followed by a "wah-wah-wahhhhh" soundbite.
chances are it is a PTBNL, but you never know. maybe the Mariners have a chance at reversing the negative stigma from the Bedard trade a little tiny bit.
it would've been better for the mariners trade discussions had the yankees not gotten a 7-3 lead today... my first impressions of Nady? Not a bad deal, kudos Yanks.
Posted by: 116ismyfavoritenumber | July 26, 2008 at 05:15 PM
My guess is Gardner or one of the two pitchers that were originally supposed to be shipped to Pittsburgh last night. I was really, really hoping that Igewa would be on a flight to Seattle. We'll have to wait to see.
Posted by: luissojo | July 26, 2008 at 05:23 PM
"USS Mariner says it's done, but no details on who he was traded for except it's an outfielder."
Looks like USS Mariner was wrong, which pisses me off, because there are so many blogs out there that do the things the right way and yet one blog will report a false rumor without any sources or any indication where the rumor came from and all of the sudden the mainstream media starts yelling again about how blogs are unreliable.
Posted by: Sean Gibson | July 26, 2008 at 05:35 PM
Let's be real here, getting a guy that projects to give you around 40 starts for 14MM is pretty good... Washburn is never injured is always better than league average for starter ERA, gives you around 200 IP. If he was a free agent this winter he'd get ATLEAST $10-11MM a season for 2 or 3 years. Why?! BECAUSE THAT'S THE GOING RATE FOR A STARTER LIKE HIM! He's really not that different from Chien Ming Wang. Has good stuff, flirts with the walk probably a little too much, doesn't blow you away with fastballs or strikeout a ton of guys, but he's reliable and gives your team a chance to win almost every time out! The point is that Washburn is pitching GREAT right now and he's actually a great value for what they have to pay and for them to get out of sending ANYTHING of value for a guy that will be market value for 1.4 season AND get you 2 picks when offered arbitration as a Type B pitcher, I think it would be below value return for the Mariners if it wasn't Jackson, Gardner, or Cabrera, plus a low level pitching prospect... That being said, I would bite my tongue on the whole deal IF they got one of those three and nothing else, but a PTBNL should get Pelekoudas tarred and feathered on Edgar Martinez Way... It's not like Washburn is THAT easy to replace and what are the Mariners going to do with his salary, if it doesn't turn into an extension for Bedard, Sabathia in navy and teal, and/or Ben Sheets coming to the NW, I'm going to be really unhappy with the Mariners dumping salary just to dump salary... Dumping salary benefits the Mariners, not Seattle... It's like the clause in the Sonics going to OKC... They get $30MM more from Bennett if Seattle doesn't have a new NBA team within 5 years, well, we aren't going to get a check in the mail for our portion of that $30MM, which with the number of people in the area amounts to about $6.00 each. I guess we now know what the going rate is for Seattle to whore out our fandom, but the point is that money has nothing to do with the fans from a stand point of reaping economic rewards. HOWEVER, it does guage the level of effort the team is putting into fielding a quality team, regardless of how misguided their attempts have been... *cough* Sexson *cough* *cough* Vidro *ahem* Weaver *ahem* Ramirez *cough* *cough* Sorry had something in my throat, about 5 days until I'm better!
Posted by: BaseballGuru | July 26, 2008 at 05:37 PM
luissojo, my guess is that you don't know much about baseball, but I appreciate your attempts to add to this board. HOWEVER, Gardner is a CF with negative power, a la Brett Butler of the Giants/Dodgers/Indians. Hopefully this signals a trade of Ichiro, kazoo noise, kazoo noise, unenergetically waving my Mariners pennant that goes on my pencil, woo-hooing in monotone levels... Side note, I would genuinely be happy if we got rid of Ichiro for say good players/prospects, but it's been long overdue!
To Boston
Ichiro (huge improvement over Ellsbury defensively and offensively)
Betancourt (clutch hitter, low Ks, more tested)
Burke (improves #2 catcher behind Varitek)
Rhodes (gives them the extra bp arm they've wanted)
To Seattle
Ellsbury (hitting 40 points below Ichiro)
Lowrie (probably too inexperienced to put playoff hopes in the hands of)
Masterson (The centerpiece of the deal)
Posted by: BaseballGuru | July 26, 2008 at 05:45 PM
BaseballGuru - I guess you don't know much about baseball since you actually said Washburn is not much different than Chien Ming Wang.
Please stop talking.
Posted by: bulsworth | July 26, 2008 at 05:51 PM
(Burke is a GREAT defensive catcher and he can even pitch in a pinch! Probably not adviseable though)
Betancourt has ridiculous upside and only left Cuba about three years ago. Scouts say that if he were to get better understanding of the strike zone and stealing bases, he could be a Jose Reyes/Hanley Ramirez clone. View him as a Jed Lowrie with more upside, more MLB experience, but he's really a minor league player as his 3 years of arbitration are already included in his current deal that runs through 2011 with an option for 2012, total value averages out to about 2MM a season)
(my issue with Ichiro is that they want to build a team around him and he's a table setter at this point of his career, his value goes up on a team like the Red Sox, and without us competing, we should be focused on building for the future, also Ortiz, Youkilis, Papelbon, Varitek are all vocal leaders on the team, so Ichiro doesn't have to carry that responsibility!)
Posted by: BaseballGuru | July 26, 2008 at 05:52 PM
btw...I guarantee the Yankees wont give up A Jackson, Melky or Gardner nor will they take Vidro in the deal.
The deal will either be igawa and a b type prospect or a pure salary dump for a ptbnl....
Posted by: bulsworth | July 26, 2008 at 05:56 PM
bulsworth...
Since 2005 (when Wang became a MLB player)
Washburn
112 G, 111 GS, 3 CG, 2 SHO, 668 IP, 714 H (9.62 H/9 IP), 332 R, 311 ER, 80 HR, 205 BB (2.76 BB/9 IP), 376 SO (5.07 SO/9 IP), 1.38 WHIP
Wang
97 G, 95 GS, 4 CG, 1 SHO, 628.7 IP, 635 H (9.09 H/9 IP), 278 R, 265 ER, 34 HR, 178 BB (2.55 BB/9 IP), 281 SO (4.02 SO/9 IP), 1.29 WHIP
By the way, I forgot one more thing BULSWORTH, shut up when you don't know what you're talking about!
Posted by: BaseballGuru | July 26, 2008 at 06:07 PM
Hate to break it to you, but Vidro is owed around 2MM for the remainder of the season as the Nationals are paying 2MM of his 8.5MM and we are already 4 months into the season, you aren't doing any favors with your "taking salary", it may be a salary dump to Cashman, but if it was that much of a dump, then he wouldn't want the player, would he?! Dump people, I swear!
Posted by: BaseballGuru | July 26, 2008 at 06:10 PM
I hope they don't sign him. They do not need a starter or anybody else. I've just heard Mariners want the Yanks to pick up all of Washburns contract and a top prospect. Frick that.
Posted by: yankfan1 | July 26, 2008 at 06:11 PM
BTW, I heard it during the Yank-Sox game.
Posted by: yankfan1 | July 26, 2008 at 06:12 PM
Ignore the "Guru" guys. He may be the most clueless poster in the history of sports chat boards.
"Washburn = Wang????" LOL!! Before he got hurt NOBODY had more wins than Wang in the last few seasons....NOBODY.
GO back to the Harry Potter chatboard where you belong. PLEASE!
Posted by: jjyankeesfan2 | July 26, 2008 at 06:14 PM
baseball guru - find anyone in this world that thinks washburn is in the class of wang... wang has been in the top 5 for cy young voting the past 2 years where has washburn been.
cashman doesnt want vidro. it is seattle trying to get rid of him. get your facts straight.
Posted by: bulsworth | July 26, 2008 at 06:15 PM
jjyankeesfan2, you can not be that stupid... Win total MEANS NOTHING!! If Washburn was on a team like New York offensively where they could buy every hitter in baseball, he'd have 15-20 wins every season. He has the second lowest run support total over the last 4 years in the major leagues, the Mariners just didn't score behind him... How does your teams ability to score runs guage ability?! So a guy with a 20 wins and a 5.00 ERA is better than a guy with 12 wins and 3.00 ERA?! Hmmm, love the logic... Two years ago everyone thought Wang was a AAAA pitcher who was fluke lucky. I'm sorry, but Wang is statistically a very similar pitcher. He has done well in the Cy Young voting for TWO REASONS!! ONE, he's in New York, so he gets more exposure and more people vote for Yankees players because of bias, look at this years All-Star game for instance, sure it was fans and not writers, but come on, Jeter wasn't even the 10th best SS this season. TWO, he had a lot of runs because of the huge run totals the Yankees put up the last couple years, without that run support, he wouldn't have had the wins. Also Wang's high placement for the Cy Young Award is MOSTLY based on the fact that writer's are lazy and just look at win totals, even though it's a HORRIBLE way of assessing ability... Look at the Cy Young winners in the NL over the last 5-10 years, most times the ERA leader doesn't win, even though he is about a run better than the guy that does... Those are paper thin arguments and only make me look like that much more of a brilliant poster when the people criticizing me are so ignorant... You have to assume I'm the opposite of you and with your dumb statements, I must be smart if you think I'm dumb!
Posted by: BaseballGuru | July 26, 2008 at 06:25 PM
baseballguru, i live in tacoma, washington, which if u dont know is right next to seattle, so believe me, i know the M's. ur little trade proposal would # 1, never get done salary-wise, and # 2, lowrie and is twice the player betacourt is and will ever hope to be, and elsbury is going to be fantastic where as ichiro is on his way to the end of his career (his stats show it). i like burke, but rhodes is sucky, but @ th end of the day they r just good below-average MLB guys but u couldn't trade both for even masterson's left arm (and he's right-handed). thank you jjyankeesfan2 for what needed to be said :D
Posted by: 5th Beatle?! | July 26, 2008 at 06:25 PM
Also, I never said sh*t about them taking on Vidro, in fact who cares if the Yankees take him, we DFA his ass and wow, we are paying the 2MM we already expected to pay, and if they don't kick in on Washburn's contract, than the money we save on Washburn's '08 contract covers the money we pay Vidro to go away. Also, if Vidro gets picked up at a pro-rated league minimum, the Mariners get that back, which would be 140-150K, plus the 150-180K they got from Sexson, that's almost a half million going back into the kitty for this year's payroll. Plus if they move Ibanez, maybe Beltre, and other players on the team, they'll get salary relief from that, what's 2MM in comparison to $117MM payroll, whatever, the only reason Cashman is being a little b*tch is because the Yankees are paying a 30-35% luxury tax, so $4MM to Washburn would be like $5.5MM because of all his stupid signings! Please God don't let Brian come to Seattle next year and be our GM, just look at your minor leagues and your team, with the amount of wasted money and the lack of quality prospects, they are a How-To-Book away from teaching the league the best way to not run an organization!
Posted by: BaseballGuru | July 26, 2008 at 06:31 PM
Wang = Washburn?
Yikes.
Era? DP?
Posted by: Jobaman | July 26, 2008 at 06:33 PM
1. Who ever thinks that Washed-up burn is as good as Wang, then they are on crack.
2. If the Mariners are pushing for a top prospect, there not dealing Washed-up burn.
Posted by: yanks26ngoin | July 26, 2008 at 06:35 PM
oh my god, stop baseball guru!! u cannot be a baseball fan and say washburn is the same pitcher as wang.
lets play a game of pretend, im sure u do this all the time anyways...
wang vs. the boston red sox...
wang pitches 6-7 innings of 2 run ball against arguably the best team in baseball.
washburn vs. the boston red sox...
washburn pitches 5, maybe 6 innings of 5 run ball.
i have seen every game of washburn's mediocre career with seattle and this is a reality... everyday... every outing... every year...
wang is just a better pitcher. his makeup, and even composure is superior to washburn. stats can calculate those qualities
Posted by: 5th Beatle?! | July 26, 2008 at 06:37 PM
"Please God don't let Brian come to Seattle next year and be our GM, just look at your minor leagues and your team, with the amount of wasted money and the lack of quality prospects, they are a How-To-Book away from teaching the league the best way to not run an organization!"
Really? Bill Bavasi did a bang up job while he was there. What good prospects have you got besides Balentien and Clement? The Yankees can boast a lot more than that.
Posted by: stove611 | July 26, 2008 at 06:42 PM
Garu, just look at the stats over the last 4 year since Wang started in NY.
Wang
05: 8-5, 4.02 ERA
06: 19-6, 3.63 ERA
07: 19-7, 3.70 ERA
08: 8-2, 4.07
Totals 54-20, 3.79 ERA
Washburn
05: 8-8, 3.20 ERA (with Angels)
06: 8-14, 4.67 ERA (with M's)
07: 10-15, 4.32 ERA
08: 4-9, 4.75
TOTALS: 30-46, 4.12 ERA
Garu, besides 05' with the Angels, how are Washburns' number similar to Wang's?
Posted by: Sal from Tampa | July 26, 2008 at 06:45 PM
I know where Tacoma is, it's where all the poor people live in Washington who are usually too uneducated to do anything but sell weed, buy weed, and pretend to gang bang. Tacoma is the trashiest part of Washington, I try and avoid it, so how do you like living there?! As for your comments, try reading a scouting report... Lowrie is criticized for his lack of range, is projected as a 2B because of it (doesn't matter we have Beltre who makes up for it), is considered average at best with the stick .270-.280 hitter projection at best. Minimal power in a small frame (10-15 HR). Has an average to a tick above average arm. Average to a tick above average speed. Considered to be a Willie Bloomquist with a little more pop in his bat, very little more.
I find it amazing that you come off so arogant and yet you haven't even read a scouting report for these guys to know how REAL baseball people evaluate talent, you think that Tabata's 4 homeruns and .237 AVG got Nady?! Nope, it was his projections! Betancourt is one of the fastest SS in the majors, if not one of the fastest players in the majors in general, Reyes, Ichiro, Ramirez, these guys are faster, but Betancourt is one of the top 10-15 in terms of speed across the league.
He's 6'2, 200 lbs. not 5'10 (he's listed generously at 6'0, but unless he got a growth spurt after college I think that's typical sports exageration), 180 lbs like Jed. Lowrie has never hit more than 13 HRs in a minor league season and that was mostly due to the 8 he hit against inferior competion at AA, as 23 should mean that he's playing AAA if he's that good a prospect. Betancourt is the better player by far, he grades out as a 20-25 HR, 80-100 RBI #2-#6 hitter when he peaks... Lowrie is projected as a #2, #7-#9, HUGE difference! Also, Betancourt has an Ozzie Smith defensive ceiling, the best Lowrie projects to is Ozzie Guillen (a little better than serviceable). You have no idea what you are talking about as far the Mariners prospects and should really not act like you do... Arthur Rhodes throws left-handed 93-94, still effect (struck out the side a few nights ago in order), and he's in his words, "healthier than I've been in the last 10 years." Oh and he has 10 teams that want hime because he's not very good, right?! You're the one that needs to shut up! Popping in once in a blue moon like you have some type of wealthy tid-bit of knowledge that goes over the head of someone like me who actually understands and knows the game on a deeper than collecting baseball cards level! Yeah, right, sorry Irkle, but you don't have anything to share with me worth noting or else your whole post wouldn't have been wrong!
Posted by: BaseballGuru | July 26, 2008 at 06:47 PM
Why don't we take out 2006?! Wang's best year!! It doesn't work like that... We are talking about what have you done from point A to point B. Chang's best season happened to be Washburn's worst of the four and vise versa. So let's just minus off the first two seasons so it eliminates each best season. Then we'll minus off 2008 since Wang doesn't have a chance to pitch worse in the second half, it's a fractionized stat line in 2008 for Wang since he's DL'd right?! Maybe he pitches better, maybe he pitches worse! Washburn could also keep pitching the way he is and finish with a 3.80 ERA, which is very realistic, so yeah, they are similar pitchers... Taking an incomplete 2008 and saying well, "I know Wang would've pitched as good or better than he did the rest of the year" or "I know Washburn can't keep it up" (even though half his seasons in the majors are sub 4's ERA, most starters jump up a little statistically at this point of their career because they learn to get outs without over powering guys, my point is that Washburn's striking out more guys now than he did when he first got to Seattle because he's not continuing to pitch like a power pitcher anymore, hense the 2006 ERA.
Posted by: BaseballGuru | July 26, 2008 at 06:53 PM
Garu, why don't you just get a job for a newspaper instead of wasting your time writing these books for ppl who dont give a crap of what you have to say.
Posted by: Sal from Tampa | July 26, 2008 at 06:53 PM
"So let's just minus off the first two seasons so it eliminates each best season."
Why are you trying to eliminate seasons when clearly Wang has been better than Washburn since he's come to America.
Posted by: Sal from Tampa | July 26, 2008 at 06:57 PM
oh, your very cute with your projections sir. do u remember a left-hander of the name of ryan anderson? what do your projections say about him? oh you say he is the next randy johnson? interesting... he has a similar frame? that sounds good... OH WAIT! ryan anderson is out of baseball!! awwwwwwwwww, thats too bad. i guess those projections did nothing for him. he was 6 years of watsed talent.
jose tabata? im surprised you know him, the alfonso soriano reincarnation, right? good player. wrong. yes he was very good and he is only 19, but with a kid like that, you know he fills out and becomes less of an athlete than he once was , and keep in mind he has off field issues too. he reminds me of a guy named joel guzman, all the talent in the world, but totally wasted because of laziness and off field issues.
im not trying to pick on u, but u need to come back to earth and live with the rest of the earthlings, not off in deep space...
Posted by: 5th Beatle?! | July 26, 2008 at 06:59 PM
Baseball Guru couldn't even write for a NY tabloid. I agree with him that Washburn isn't much worse than Wang, but in general Guru is an idiot.
Posted by: themfightnwords | July 26, 2008 at 06:59 PM
Look no one on here should take Baseball Guru seriously. He's either a troll or he just likes talking out of his @$$. Washburn doesn't put up a better than average ERA every year. In fact, his ERA has only been better than league average once since his great 2002 season. Betancourt profiles as a 20-25 HR hitter when he's never even managed a SLG of .450, while Lowrie will never hit many because he only his career high is 13 (Betancourt's is of course 9, but who cares). Oh and Washburn is equal to Wang because "their numbers are similar," of course disregarding the fact that Wang gives up .49 HR/9 while Washburn gives up 1.08 HR/9. I'd say that's a pretty huge difference right there.
Posted by: nixa37 | July 26, 2008 at 07:01 PM
stove611 Halman may be the best raw outfielder in the game, Wilson might be the best power hitter in the minors currently, not to meantion Triunfel is one of the 10 best under 20 position players in baseball... These are all Mariners prospects, last I checked Halman already was 21 2B, 4 3B, 24 HR, 68 RBI, 25 SB, in 96 games at 20 years old playing AA, that kicks the crap out of Austin Jackson and Halman's barely in the top 10 of our prospects. Go look at our minor leagues and start seeing what they are doing, Wilson 20 HR, just under 70 RBI at the All-Star break. Michael Saunders who's also better than all of your prospects including Tabata (gone) and Jackson. Daniel Carroll at A in his first minor league season has 22SB in 37 games or something like that, he's hitting like .310, with a .350 ish OBP, your guys are horrible compared to ours... Pineda, Aumont, Ramirez, Fister, Raben, Triunfel, Scott, Hubbard, Limonta, Moore, Johnson, Tuiasosopo, Mangini, McOwen, O'Flaherty, Huber, Feierabend, etc. These guys are way better than your whole system... You have 24-26 year olds at AA doing what our 21-22 year olds are doing, it's not even close... Jackson, Gardner, Tabata, the AA catcher, Wilkins De La Rosa, and maybe two or three other guys are the only ones I would say fit into the top 1/3 of our minor leagues... Sure go off of the pre-season report on the Mariners farm system, but there have been a lot of guys playing good enough that the system will jump in rating to top 5 in baseball next season, GUARANTEED!! Just shut up and go look, don't tell me what you know, just look... We are on course to have 10 or more players with 20 HR power, 4 of those guys will have 20/20 seasons in 2/3 of a MLB season (110 games). Sorry, it's really not close.
Posted by: BaseballGuru | July 26, 2008 at 07:03 PM
I also love the fact that we disregard Lowrie tearing up AA, because he was already 23 and good prospects who are 23 should be at a higher level, when Betancourt was only posting a line of .273/.310/.410 at AA when he was 23. But then again Betancourt is projected as a possible Ozzie Smith level defender with 20-25 HR power, so I guess we can just disregard everything he's done in professional baseball to this point.
Posted by: nixa37 | July 26, 2008 at 07:08 PM
Guru, projections arent everything. Just because a player is great in the Minors, it dosent mean he'll be an outstanding player in the bigs.
And when a player is crappy in the minors, dosent mean he'll be crappy in the bigs.
Get off Projections Fantasy World, and come down to the real world, were things don't always go according to plan.
Posted by: Sal from Tampa | July 26, 2008 at 07:09 PM
"GURU"
There is not ONE PERSON on here that even supports one word you say. If you don't believe me, read the trail of posts after each of yours. You are officially the village idiot.
PS - And please....for the love of God...stop with the useless 76 paragraph diatribes. Stick to your 8th grade paper dude.
Posted by: jjyankeesfan2 | July 26, 2008 at 07:10 PM
Guru, Washburn is not in Wang's league as everyone has said. Looking at the stats, here's a few comparisons that stand out.
Wang has a lifetime 3.79 era, Washburn's is 4.12.
Wang has a lifetime G/F rate of 2.78. Washburn's is .79.
Slugging percentage of Wang? .365. Washburn's is .429.
Washburn is certainly not an awful pitcher, and I would say he pitches better than most people (my self included) think. But he is definitely not in Wang's class, so please don't go spreading that.
Posted by: McGrifftheCrimeDog | July 26, 2008 at 07:10 PM
and let's not forget that baseball guru is a stereo-typing, pompous piece of $#!+ who can't tell the difference between the stats on the back of a baseball card and going and the experience of watching game itself.
thanks for bringing my home into all this and saying:
"it's where all the poor people live in Washington who are usually too uneducated to do anything but sell weed, buy weed, and pretend to gang bang."
because thats really classy. i can tell youre a great person. im sure youre mother at least thinks so
Posted by: 5th Beatle?! | July 26, 2008 at 07:12 PM
5th Beatle... Your comment about 5-6 ER for Washburn against Boston, actually...
Washburn 2008
Bal: April 4th/April 24th
10 IP, 12 H, 5 ER, 4 BB, 6 SO
Tor: June 9th/July 2nd
12 IP, 12 H, 3 ER, 5 BB, 8 SO
Tam: April 9th
7 IP, 6 H, 1 ER, 1 BB, 2 SO
Bos: July 21st
5.2 IP, 7 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 3 SO
Wang 2008
Bal: no starts (was on DL)
Tor: April 1st/June 5th
11.1 IP, 11 H, 8 ER, 6 BB, 6 SO
Tam: April 6th/May 13th
13 IP, 11 H, 1 ER, 5 BB, 8 SO
Bos: April 11th/April 16th
13 IP, 11 H, 9 ER, 3 BB, 5 SO
Good point about your knowledge, love how you pointed out Wang's dominance against the Red Sox, let alone the AL East, vs. the way Washburn clearly gets murdered by those teams. My God, that only proves my point that they are similar pitchers and if anything Washburn's better!
Posted by: BaseballGuru | July 26, 2008 at 07:18 PM
Guru, you have a good site for scouting reports? You know, 2-8 or 20-80 scale? I can't find one. I don't have a subscription to Baseball America or Prospectus or anything so all I see is preseason stuff and 2 Mariners tops on every list. I'd love to see an updated list of prospect rankings.
Posted by: stove611 | July 26, 2008 at 07:19 PM
There goes BaseballGuru, proving his point using 6 game sample sizes. Definitely very meaningful stuff.
Posted by: nixa37 | July 26, 2008 at 07:23 PM
Hey don't act like "do you know where Tacoma is?!" like your proximity to Seattle has anything to do with knowing the Mariners as you are clearly stating your supposed knowledge over the Red Sox organization and you don't live in Worcester or Foxborough. So you don't like me calling a spade, a spade, than so be it, but you can paint your house, but that doesn't change the overall intelligence and rationalization of the people that live there! Don't like what people think of your home, then MOVE! Real easy concept, it's even cheaper to live in the suburbs, so wo imagine that, cheaper AND nicer, no comments from people when you try and rep or bang your hood, yo! LoL
Posted by: BaseballGuru | July 26, 2008 at 07:25 PM
Only a bo sox fan would try this hard to put down a Yankee player. Especially one who has clearly played well so far in his career.
Just like with Jeter, Posada and all other great Yankees.
Are you a sox fan Guru?
If so, i know your mad and overheated because the Yanks whipped ass today.
Posted by: Sal from Tampa | July 26, 2008 at 07:25 PM
Wow Guru
1) Go back and read my comparison, Wang is better.
2) Please don't talk about people's hometown's that way...that's disgusting.
3) I'm from Worcester and am a huge Sox fan and still know Wang is better than Washburn.
Posted by: McGrifftheCrimeDog | July 26, 2008 at 07:27 PM
That was a great win today. Just 2.5 back and tied with Boston in the loss column. Cano's on fire.
Posted by: stove611 | July 26, 2008 at 07:28 PM
Halman
http://prospectinsider.com/2008/06/10/farm-report-gregory-halman/
http://seattlepi.nwsource.com/baseball/366563_mfarm11.html
Posted by: BaseballGuru | July 26, 2008 at 07:28 PM
I'd like to see how they stack up to current MLB prospects.
Is the California League known as a hitter's league like the PCL?
Posted by: stove611 | July 26, 2008 at 07:32 PM
"Cano's on fire."
Seems like everyone on the Yankees has been on fire since the All Star break.
Especially Yankee pitching.
And nice job today for Demaso Marte, stricking out Papi and making him look silly. That what we need him for.
Posted by: Sal from Tampa | July 26, 2008 at 07:33 PM
Actually, I don't much care for the Yankees or the Red Sox, only Seattle and Reds... I even have a soft spot for your team the Rays... My thing about Wang isn't that I'm putting him down, just hate how every Jose Tabata is the next Alfonso Soriano, when the closest thing to the next Soriano is Halman in the Mariners' minor leagues! Fact is that 40/40 ability is rare, Halman has the potential to be 50/50, no lie. He's ridiculous, almost had 20 HR/31 SB in 114 games between short A and reg. A ball at 19 years old... His progress has been huge even with jumping two levels a year. I just don't like how Yankees fans think because Steinbrenner cuts a check to buy a championship that they are better than the rest of the league and that Washburn's just a piece of crap, yet they want him bad enough to pay him 14MM for 1.4 seasons without a prospect, that's a heavy financial commitment to being taking on a "salary dump"!!
Posted by: BaseballGuru | July 26, 2008 at 07:34 PM
Wow, just amazing, so your primary sources for your bullish view of the Mariners farm system are both Seattle based sites. For some reason I'm not at all surprised by that fact.
Posted by: nixa37 | July 26, 2008 at 07:38 PM
What about Engel Beltre? What's he project to?
Posted by: stove611 | July 26, 2008 at 07:38 PM
nixa37, that's why I asked for the scouting report sites.
Posted by: stove611 | July 26, 2008 at 07:39 PM
actually the guy who does the prospectinsider.com is actually harder on Seattle players than everyone else he evaluates... Like Bedard was crucified, he ripped Morrow a year ago as having "no breaking stuff", he's actually very critical of Seattle farm hands and the MLB team... So no, that doesn't wash!
Posted by: BaseballGuru | July 26, 2008 at 07:41 PM
Sal from Tampa, you know the Yankees have lost a game that Sexson's played in for them?
Posted by: stove611 | July 26, 2008 at 07:42 PM
BaseballGuru,
Your love for Halman is pretty hilarious. Seriously man, possibly a 50/50 threat? The guy does have huge power, but he also has 113 Ks compared to just 21 BBs. Over half his hits at this point are XBHs. While that might be a good thing, I'm guessing its more a function of a very long swing that works great against lesser pitching and mistakes, but might not transition well to MLB because there are few bad pitchers and even fewer mistakes.
Posted by: nixa37 | July 26, 2008 at 07:43 PM
Nixa37, was that the one that started out with a reference to Pedro Cerrano? I couldn't finish it after that.
Posted by: stove611 | July 26, 2008 at 07:45 PM
So did Balentien until last year and then he kept getting better, what's the connection... OH YEAH, they're both from the Netherlands... Go figure, how about we list another guy like them, Andruw Jones, also from the Netherlands...
Posted by: BaseballGuru | July 26, 2008 at 07:46 PM
Alright, I guess we should just take your word for it then. No way a Seattle based site that is going to cater to its audience by focusing on any somewhat promising Seattle prospect, while spending little time talking about anyone else. The reason you think your prospects are so great is basically the same that most Yankees' fans think they have 10 top prospects.
Posted by: nixa37 | July 26, 2008 at 07:48 PM
These three are going to strikeout 120 times and walk 50 times year, it's what they do, Jones has even been habitually in the 140-160 range at times, but Teixeira is in line for a 20MM a year payday, "supposedly" doing the same thing 50-70 BB, 120 SO.
Posted by: BaseballGuru | July 26, 2008 at 07:49 PM
Curacao is not the Netherlands.
Posted by: stove611 | July 26, 2008 at 07:49 PM
No, it's because I watch all the guys in Everett, WA coming through short A ball, 10 minutes from my house...
Posted by: BaseballGuru | July 26, 2008 at 07:49 PM
Oh and I go to AAA games, so I see guys as they come in the farm system and as they leave the farm system to get to the majors... I watch more minor league games in person than major league games...
Posted by: BaseballGuru | July 26, 2008 at 07:50 PM
Tacoma Raniers (Mariners AAA - affiliate) 45 minutes from my house
Everett Aquasox (Mariners short A - affiliate) 10 minutes from my house
All of their prospects come through Everett, like Raben currently, Felix, Aumont, Ramirez, Balentien, Jones, etc. It's usually their evaluator as to determine where they need to go next after getting drafted...
Posted by: BaseballGuru | July 26, 2008 at 07:53 PM
I wonder what they mean when saying Seattle is holding out for a "top prospect"?
Are they talking Brett Gardner or Austin Jackson?
Posted by: thr33niL | July 26, 2008 at 07:54 PM
Andruw Jones, Wladimir Balentien, and Greg Halman are all from the Netherlands, guaranteed! Andruw Jones played for them in the WBC in 2006, I know Halman and Balentien are from there as Halman played for the Netherlands professional league before signing with the Mariners!
Posted by: BaseballGuru | July 26, 2008 at 07:54 PM
Hahaha BaseballGuru just quit now. First of all, Andruw and Balentien are both from Curacao, which may be a territory of the Netherlands, but has absolutely nothing else in common with it. I also don't see why your country of origin would have anything to do with K and BB rates. Oh and Balentien's numbers in those departments were nowhere near as bad as Halman's. In 2006 he was at 140 Ks and 70 BBs, and in 2007 he was at 105 and 54. That's a far, far cry from 113 and 21 through 98 games.
Posted by: nixa37 | July 26, 2008 at 07:55 PM
Netherlands =/= Netherlands Antilles
Wikipedia it folks.
And Andruw Jones is awful...if that's what we have to look forward to in Wlad and Halman then ouch.
Posted by: McGrifftheCrimeDog | July 26, 2008 at 07:56 PM
Brett Gardner... Austin Jackson is a reach from everything that's been said... If they aren't going to center a deal with the Pirates around Jackson, no way they do it for Washburn, deserved or not...
Posted by: BaseballGuru | July 26, 2008 at 07:56 PM
"Curacao is not the Netherlands."
Its an island that is part of the Netherland Antilles.
Posted by: thr33niL | July 26, 2008 at 07:58 PM
Balentien is 3 years older than Halman and it has to do with the instructors... They all go through the same baseball academy...
Why do the A's all have a .400 OBP and can't hit for power except the all or nothing attempts of Cust?! Same hitting coach, well, when all the guys come out of one academy in the Netherlands run by a handful of the same coaches, you're going to get similar players, both from selection of who to put into the academy and how you develope them... Look at Venezuela, is it a coincidence that most venezuelans are high contact hitters with low walk totals?! How about the type of pitchers that come out of there... Most of them are similar too because they all are trained to play in Venezuela... You can see similarities in D.R. guys too, like Beltre, they are usually lower contact, bigger swingers... The life is not a million coincidences, it's a million connection reactions...
Posted by: BaseballGuru | July 26, 2008 at 08:00 PM
I'm thinking the top prospect talk has something to do with a guy that hasn't been discussed. Gardner and Christian can't really be considered top prospects.
Posted by: thr33niL | July 26, 2008 at 08:01 PM
So American Samoa is part of the US? Or Guam? The may be territories owned by the US, but they are not the US.
Posted by: stove611 | July 26, 2008 at 08:03 PM
Thank you, thr33niL.
Geographical dictionary:
Territory = Having loose power over a specified region, but does not impart laws from the main country to the island/region. (i.e. Samoa, Puerto Rico, Guam, etc.)
Part of a country = Follows the same rules as the main country and is directly governed by that country, does not deviate from the "mother countries" cultural guidelines. (i.e. Netherlands Antilles, Taipei, etc.)
Posted by: BaseballGuru | July 26, 2008 at 08:05 PM
By the way, I know a little about American Samoa and Samoa as my best-friend is half Samoan. The Somoans have their own military that does not answer to U.S. troops, that's what makes them a territory... They fight along side U.S. soldiers if they want, but they are not subject to following orders or being drafted, etc.
Posted by: BaseballGuru | July 26, 2008 at 08:07 PM
I think the question has to do with the relevance of Halman, who is from the Netherlands, to Balentien and Andruw, who are both from Curacao, a part of the Netherlands Antilles just north of Venezuela. I'm pretty sure the answer is there is no relevance.
Baseball Guru, you're now trying to compare Teixeira, who by the way does strike out in the range you give but walks 70-90 times a year, to a guy who would be on pace for 181 strikeouts and 34 BBs in 162 games. Even Andruw averaged 66 BBs per 162 games (Teixeira at 78).
Posted by: nixa37 | July 26, 2008 at 08:08 PM
BaseballGuru,
Curacao has had its own government for over 50 years now. They have specifically rejected becoming part of the Netherlands. Actually they were scheduled to become a separate country within the Kingdom of the Netherlands this year but they decided to postpone it.
Posted by: nixa37 | July 26, 2008 at 08:15 PM
Halman looks like a guy that will have high strikeout rates throughout his career. I think I heard people projecting him to have a ceiling along the lines of a Alfonso Soriano type.
Posted by: thr33niL | July 26, 2008 at 08:17 PM
Washburn isn't even close to Wangs caliber. Wang is only in the league 3.5 years and already has a 1/2 run ERA better then Washburn who has pitched in pitcher's parks.. I don't exactly call Yankee stadium a "pitcher's park".. but Safeco and LA's field were pitchers parks... Wang is consistant... look at 2005-2008.. his ERA ranged from 3.63-4.07 while 2008 is a big injury year for him.. not only this latest injury to his foot but the beginning of the year also. Washburns ERA has been all over the map.
He is a solid pitcher, but he's never been in Wang's class. Wang is one of the better pitchers in the league, and if you don't think .50 is big for ERA then you never really played baseball - you're just couch commando.
There's so many disparities between Washburn and Wang it's ridiculous. You only point out the stats that favor him. How about homeruns? Wang has never given up more then 12 in a season; Washburn has done it 9 times including this year. In fact out of the 4.5 years Wang has been in the majors he has NEVER given up LESS homeruns then Wang in any full season.
How can you even start to believe Washburn is that good?
Posted by: casper | July 26, 2008 at 08:17 PM
Wow, this whole prospect and projections convo is still going on. I was gone for like a hour.
Tim, This TypeKey thing dosent work too well. If you don't make a comment for a while, it goes to an error page, and then you have to re-sign back in.
Posted by: Sal from Tampa | July 26, 2008 at 08:18 PM
test
Posted by: Brewer818 | July 26, 2008 at 08:24 PM
All I have to say about Halman is that he's like #7 or #8 on our prospect list, Tabata was #3... Tabata's season this year isn't even a fraction of Halman's season last year... So strikeout all you want, but his SO go down with less ABs, less ABs with more BBs, with his type of production, he'll get 20-30 IBB a season (doesn't get IBB really in the minors), that's going to be 6-10 less strikeous a season, he'll get better plate discipline as he gets older it's part of development, at 20 it's not a guess, it's a fact that he'll improve, how much is yet to be seen, will he become 100 BB/100 SO guy like Balentien is on course for at AAA by 23, maybe, is it more likely he's a 60/130, yeah. How much of it should we equate to his quick promotions?! Eventually he'll be in the majors and then it's a matter of leveling out or exceeding the talent level you are playing with... Whenever he gets equal to or surpasses his current competition, he moves up a level and his strikeout/walk ratio suffers because of it...
Posted by: BaseballGuru | July 26, 2008 at 08:28 PM
Guru, i dont know much about the NY system regarding position guys..
But Hubbard, Limonta, Wilson, Carroll, and a number of others u listed will never be ML players..
Wilson is like 26 in AA.. i would hope he could hit 20 HRs and drive in 70
Halman.. u presented his stats as if he's hit 24 homers at AA.. when in reality he did most of his damage at high A this yr..
I like Halman alot. He has great speed, above average defender, ridiculous power, etc..
His K's obviously need work, but he's only 20, and he's suprisingly held his own at AA so far..
He's got a very high ceiling, but lets not go crazy.. he's got things to work one and probably 2-3 more yrs in the minors..
I also so u hype Raben after his first week of pro ball.. he had ridiculous numbers.. but have u checked recently.. he's hitting about .150 since u declared him the Sultan of Swat..
Lets just calm down a little
Posted by: Brewer818 | July 26, 2008 at 08:29 PM
Just to followup.. M's system differs from the Yanks in that it is totally devoid of arms..
Aumont, Ramirez, and Pineda all have #3 or better projectability, but they are all teens in low A ball..
M's have nothing else.. Fister maybe is a bullpen arm.. Justin Thomas, maybe a bullpen arm... Feiarabend maybe a back end starter...
As for the bats.. Saunders, Tui, and Moore are all safe bets to be ML players.. but none have a ceiling all that high.. they can be solid hole fillers, but they arent premium prospects and never will be..
The offensive gems are all teens + Halman...
Halman, Triunfel, Mario Martinez, and Jharmidy DeJesus all have crazy upside, but are so young, u cant get too excited about them..
Raben could be a big bat, but he's still got stuff to work on
Posted by: Brewer818 | July 26, 2008 at 08:34 PM
Dude, you're insane. 20-30 IBB's a season? The only guy with more than 13 so far this year is Pujols, and not even he has hit 30 at any point in his career. You're basically projecting this guy to be one of the top 3 to 5 hitters in the game based on his power in high-A and AA. Seriously, how much bigger of a homer can you be?
Posted by: nixa37 | July 26, 2008 at 08:37 PM
Sidenote Tabata is 19, Halman is 20, for those of you that care AND don't know...
As for the Washburn vs. Wang comparison, my point is that they have different strengths, but my inital statement was that they are similar in that they struggle occasionally with their walks, they don't miss a lot of bats, strikeouts are pretty low actually, and they are competitors that will keep you in the game, how is that not all true?!
Then people said they are nothing alike, so Wang throws to groundballs and Washburn throws to fly balls, so what. Washburn gives up Homeruns occasionally, but gets a lot of easy fly balls, Wang gets nickel and dimed to death with bleeders through the infield and texas leaguer singles and doubles into the gap between the OF and the IF.
It's not like I compared Washburn to Clemens, I compared two soft tossers that play to contact, where the ball goes after that doesn't really deviate from my assessments, sure there are differences, that's not my point... If you want to get technical, the junk strikeout ratio Wash has is way better than Wang's, but Wang gets more DPs with his style of pitching.
Technically Washburn would be the better pitcher, maybe not more valueable to the Yankees, but you could argue that his style lends itself to being more easily defended by lesser quality defenders as flyballs are usally easier to field and he gets an extra strikeout per 9 IP.
My point is Wang and Washburn are not Josh Beckett and Felix Hernandez types that can take over a game, they need a good defense and a little luck. So the comparison is not far fetched, they are exactly the same, but they aren't exactly on opposite sides of the spectrum either, and if you can't see that then who really has the skewed perspective?!
Posted by: BaseballGuru | July 26, 2008 at 08:38 PM
Wow the Mariners blinders are amazing. Yes, Washburn and Wang have some similar peripheral stats, but one is a nasty sinker ball pitcher who doesn't allow anyone to hit for power against him, while the other is a flyball pitcher that gives up way more XBHs and over twice as many HR/9. If you don't understand the huge difference in value there, then there's nothing we can do for you. Obviously, Wang has far better ERA numbers than Washburn for some reason, and I think its pretty obvious to everyone but you that its due to his far superior pitching style.
Posted by: nixa37 | July 26, 2008 at 08:44 PM
Brewer818, way to bring some solid, unbiased info to the board. Everything you said about the Mariners system is 100% correct.
Posted by: thr33niL | July 26, 2008 at 08:44 PM