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Waiver Trade Candidates: National League

Yesterday, we wrote about waiver trade candidates for the American League.  Despite the post title, I tried to be more comprehensive and list all of the players who I think might clear waivers.  That's why players such as Derek Jeter and Michael Young were named.  I know they won't be traded this month, but they could still go unclaimed if placed on waivers given their large contracts.

Also, as one reader pointed out yesterday, a player does not have to clear waivers to be traded.  He can be traded to or dumped upon the team that wins the claim, if there is one.

Here are the NL players who might clear waivers this month, generally excluding injured players.

  • Phillies: Brett Myers, Adam Eaton, Tom Gordon, Geoff Jenkins, So Taguchi.  Maybe Taguchi could go in a minor deal.  Myers makes $12MM next year, but the Phillies would probably prefer to keep him and get him back on track.
  • Marlins: Wes Helms, Mark Hendrickson.  It wouldn't be surprising to see one of these two guys moved.
  • Mets: Johan Santana, Carlos Beltran, Carlos Delgado, Pedro Martinez, Luis Castillo.  We know the stars aren't going anywhere.  Pedro and Castillo are especially likely to clear but aren't coveted players.
  • Braves: Mike Hampton, Mark Kotsay.  The Braves would have to eat all of the remaining $4.6MM to move Hampton.
  • Nationals: Austin Kearns, Dmitri Young.  Both are signed through '09, and teams won't want to take that on.
  • Cubs: Alfonso Soriano, Jason Marquis, Bob Howry, Scott Eyre, Jon Lieber.  Marquis still has $11.8MM coming to him through '09.
  • Brewers: Eric Gagne, Jeff Suppan, Ray Durham, Bill Hall, David Riske, Guillermo Mota. The Brewers have some undesirable contracts on the books.
  • Cardinals: Chris Carpenter, Jason Isringhausen, Adam Kennedy, Cesar Izturis.  In general, most contenders probably won't be shipping off veterans.
  • Astros: Miguel Tejada, Carlos Lee, Kaz Matsui, Randy Wolf, Jose Valverde, LaTroy Hawkins, Mark Loretta, Brad Ausmus.  Multiple candidates to clear waivers, though the Astros still have their eye on the prize.
  • Reds: Adam Dunn, Francisco Cordero, Bronson Arroyo, Jeremy Affeldt, Corey Patterson, Javier Valentin, Matt Belisle, Josh Fogg.  I'd be surprised to see Dunn get through waivers unclaimed, even though the Reds still owe him $3.9MM.  Keeping him now makes the most sense anyway.
  • Pirates: Freddy Sanchez, Jason Michaels, Jose Bautista, Chris Gomez, Doug Mientkiewicz.  The Pirates don't have any massive, ugly contracts on the books.  Sanchez's remaining $7.9MM through '09 is the worst.
  • Diamondbacks: Randy Johnson.  Nothing too ugly on the books here aside from the Eric Byrnes contract, which runs through 2010.
  • Dodgers: Manny Ramirez, Andruw Jones, Jason Schmidt, Rafael Furcal, Jeff Kent, Nomar Garciaparra, Juan Pierre, Angel Berroa, Pablo Ozuna.  I'm sure the Dodgers wouldn't mind unloading Jones or Pierre to clear up the outfield a bit.
  • Rockies: Todd Helton, Kip Wells, Yorvit Torrealba, Willy Taveras, Cory Sullivan, Glendon Rusch.  Helton's back is still bothering him, not that there'd be interest anyway.
  • Giants: Barry Zito, Randy Winn, Dave Roberts, Omar Vizquel, Rich Aurilia, Brad Hennessey, Kevin Correia, Tyler Walker.  Brian Sabean should be active in trying to unload a few of these contracts.
  • Padres: Greg Maddux, Trevor Hoffman, Tadahito Iguchi, Brett Tomko, Wil Ledezma.  If the Dodgers do try to acquire Maddux, it's possible another team could claim him just to block the trade.


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Comments

Why would Santana, Beltran, or Manny clear waivers?

I know they have big salaries, but they aren't albatrosses like Zito or Helton. They are actually star players.

And Manny comes with 2 draft picks at the end of the season.

"Dodgers: Manny Ramirez, Andruw Jones, Jason Schmidt, Rafael Furcal, Jeff Kent, Nomar Garciaparra, Juan Pierre, Angel Berroa, Pablo Ozuna. I'm sure the Dodgers wouldn't mind unloading Jones or Pierre to clear up the outfield a bit."

No real reason for the Dodgers to put Berroa or Ozuna through the waiver process, seeing that Ozuna is getting the prorated league minimum and Berroa had his remaining contract paid for by Kansas City. Both are actually valuable role players at this point, with Berroa's defense filling part of the SS void and Ozuna's speed making him a valuable late game replacement for Kent.

I do think the others would clear without issue. Then again, remember the old days when the Dodgers would place their entire team on waivers and they would often slip right through?

Given that the Red Sox and Yankees almost traded for Johan to sign him to an extension, I'm sure they'd claim him for free on waivers.

Why do people continue to hate on Beltran? $18MM for a top 10 player is a deal. No way he gets through waivers.

Others I disagree on:
Kearns, Dunn, Randy, Furcal, Winn -- all are useful players with reasonable salaries.

"I'm sure the Dodgers (fans) wouldn't mind unloading Jones or Pierre to clear up the outfield a bit. Ned Colletti on the other hand see's it fit to not trade any of them and demands a team full of chalky veterans and booming youngsters no matter how badly it hampers the team..."


Ya I couldn't see Manny or Adam Dunn making it through just because a contender could get two months of all star caliber production and then 2 draft picks each at the end of the year. The Yankees, the Rays, the Red Sox if Ortiz was out even longer would be teams that would love to have either of them on their team (obviously not Manny to the Sox).

Definitely didn't say it was certain all of these players would clear waivers, though Winn and Kearns are good bets.

Also could easily name ten players I'd rather have than Beltran.

Could someone explain to me why you a team would place a star player on waivers if they know they probably won't clear. And if they do clear waivers, is there any benefit to that?

Let's hear 'em, Tim. Here's my top 10, ignoring contract status -- just raw talent right now:

# Albert Pujols
# Alex Rodriguez
# Chipper Jones
# Chase Utley
# Grady Sizemore
# Joe Mauer
# David Wright
# Curtis Granderson
# Miguel Cabrera
# Carlos Beltran

Hanley, Big Papi, McCann, and Holliday are close.

"Could someone explain to me why you a team would place a star player on waivers if they know they probably won't clear. And if they do clear waivers, is there any benefit to that?"

There's no harm in doing it. It forces teams to consider claiming more players. There's always a small chance they do clear.

Beltran or Johan? Give me a break.

Sky, how can you put Chipper in the top 10 over Hanley?

As for putting stars on waivers, it also sometimes helps teams disguise who they really do want to trade by throwing everyone on the list. If teams claim someone, their teams can pull them back with no problem. Also, once they clear waivers, that doesn't guarantee they will get traded, only that they CAN be traded.

If I'm the Phils I would have interest in Aurilia with Feliz' balky back. He could help in a platoon with Dobbs at 3B and provide a veteran PH off the bench

cmac -- Chipper and Hanley are about equal as hitters. Chipper might be slightly better when he plays, but Hanley doesn't have the injury issues.

But then there's defense. Hanley plays the more important defensive position (worth about 5 runs over the full season), but Chipper is a good 3B while Hanley is a poor SS. Chipper's been 5-10 runs better than average the past few years (he figured something out) while Hanley been about 20 runs worse than average at short (although he's more like -10 this year, good for him.)

They're equal hitters, but Chipper's MUCH more valuable defensively.

If the question changes to which one you'd rather have for five more years or at their current contract, I'd choose Hanley.

Sky, you're leaving out that Hanley steals bases and Chipper doesn't.

You should probably add Odalis Perez to the list. He's got a 4.16 ERA on the year and threw 7 and 1/3 strong innings (1 run allowed) in his last start on Friday).

Ronnie Belliard might be another candidate. Like Kearns and Young, he is signed for next year. Unlike those two, however, Belliard is signed semi-cheap for '09 ($1.9 mil not bad for a 2B/bench guy anymore). He's hitting .250/.356/.516 in 149 PA since returning from injury on June 10. He could certainly help a team as a bench bat with some pop that can fill in at all IF positions but SS.

Jack Wilson might be worthy of including on the list. I think his salary is fair, but I seem to be in the minority. I could see him clearing waivers if other teams feel the Pirates are getting cheap and don't want to take a chance his salary is dumped on them.

lrs -- I've included SBs in the offense. They're nice, but usually overrated. Hanley's SBs were worth about 7-8 runs in each of 06 and 07.

Over the past three years, Hanley's had an OBP of about .375 and a SLG of about .525. Chipper's at .420 and .600 -- that's a large difference.

There is no way Francisco Cordero who just signed a four year deal as the Reds closer will be traded. Also, the Reds have came out and said Bronson Arroyo will not be dealt and is going to be a feature in their rotation. They can contend next year, they're aren't in a position to start completely over

There is no way Francisco Cordero who just signed a four year deal as the Reds closer will be traded. Also, the Reds have came out and said Bronson Arroyo will not be dealt and is going to be a feature in their rotation. They can contend next year, they're aren't in a position to start completely over

Beltran is better than Hanley? Come on now.

How about Ty Wigginton? Or do you think the Astros are content with him at 3B going into next season?

bjsguess -- You have heard of fielding, right? Beltran is good at it. Hanley is not.

wange gomes -- Who knows what the Astros are thinking, but they SHOULDN'T be content with Wigginton.

I take Hamilton over Beltran. Maybe Ichiro too.

"You have heard of fielding, right? Beltran is good at it. Hanley is not."

Huh? Hanley is plenty good at fielding, he just makes more errors than normal because of how many balls he gets to. Sort of like Rafael Furcal.

"I take Hamilton over Beltran. Maybe Ichiro too."

You would take a guy with 1 3/4 years of MLB experience and success over two established stars? Not to mention the fact that Ichiro and Beltran are both not just offensive, but defensive forces who change games from the outfield. Perhaps you should hold off on that assessment.

1. I didn't mean Hamilton over Ichiro, I meant Ichiro over Beltran.

2. I was just responding to Sky's top ten list and right now I would rather have Hamilton playing CF for my team than Beltran. Sky said Beltran was top 10 but I was just pointing out two guys that could beat him out for top 10, besides the ones he menitoned.

"You should probably add Odalis Perez to the list. He's got a 4.16 ERA on the year and threw 7 and 1/3 strong innings (1 run allowed) in his last start on Friday)."

Not to mention that a big chunk of that ERA came when he got shellacked by the Dodgers. Perez has pitched at a strong number 3 level, but hasn't much to show for it.

"I was just responding to Sky's top ten list and right now I would rather have Hamilton playing CF for my team than Beltran. Sky said Beltran was top 10 but I was just pointing out two guys that could beat him out for top 10, besides the ones he menitoned."

First thing is that of the three, only Beltran is really a natural CF. Both Ichiro and Hamilton are natural RF. Second, Beltran is far and away a superior defensive player than Hamilton, in every respect. Third, Beltran has been performing at a very high level, showing all 5 tools, for 10 years. Hamilton has less than 2 full seasons in the big leagues.

If you were creating a team, you would take Beltran before Hamilton? This just seems to be a case of agreeing to disagree because I like Hamilton more than Beltran.

I agree with many of the suggestions for additions. Also I have to make a correction...Manny wouldn't get through waivers, no chance. Because Boston is paying that contract.

I love how we hammered home 47 times that these are not all actually trade candidates, but still received multiple comments along the lines of, "Trade Johan and Jeter, no way, U R dumb!"

"Huh? Hanley is plenty good at fielding, he just makes more errors than normal because of how many balls he gets to. Sort of like Rafael Furcal."

No no. Hanley's a bad fielder. Look at any metric or watch him play. He's a phenomenal hitter and will be a star whatever position he plays, but no way, no how, is he a good fielder on his own merits, let alone comparing him to someone like Beltran. I'd rather have Ramirez overall, but leave D out of it.

I don't get why the Dodgers would release Manny when they got him in the biggest blockbuster of the season.
You wouldn't trade away your prospects to get someone for a week.

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