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Wagner Out For A Year; Mets Now Need A Closer For '09

3:22pm: In a press conference clip aired on WFAN, Omar Minaya says it will indeed be Tommy John surgery.

3:05pm: The report originally said Wagner would have surgery on the tendon in his elbow. The report has now been changed to say the surgery will be on a ligament and will not require Tommy John surgery as originally reported.

Dan Graziano is reporting that Billy Wagner will need surgery on his elbow and will likely miss the entire '09 season.

A Mets team official confirmed that Mets closer Billy Wagner will have elbow surgery this week and will miss the remainder of his season and possibly the entire 2009 season as well...Wagner is scheduled to make $10.5 million in 2009, the final year of his four-year, $43 million contract with the Mets.

The Mets do have an $8MM option on Wagner for '10, with a $1M buyout. However, with the surgery, the Mets are unlikely to pick up the option.

Of a more immediate concern is the closer position for the Mets in '09. It would seem likely that the Mets would now be one of the front-runners to land Francisco Rodriguez or Brian Fuentes, both of whom are eligible for free agency following the season. It was reported that the Mets were interested in Fuentes prior to the trade deadline.

Cork Gaines writes for RaysIndex.com and can be reached here.


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darkhorse idea: maine as closer in '09. let him attempt a john smoltz renaissance in the bullpen and then he can start again in '10.

more realistic move: say hello to citifield, francisco!

Well this kinda gets rid of the big obstacle to signing KRod... I wonder if he's already thinking about what he'll look like in blue.

My bet is it's a match.

lmfao.

maine could become a great closer, but he needs 124 more wins before he's even mentioned in the same breath as smoltz.

Lol to you clowns that think you're gettin K-Rod.

To be honest, I used to be an advocate of the Mets somehow chucking Wagner out the window and signing K-Rod as a long-term solution, but now that it could very well be a reality I'm not so sure. I cannot justify throwing 4/60 at a closer, and it is clear that K-Rod has lost some of his explosiveness despite the 55 saves so far this year. This isn't to say that it would be a definite gamble, but I think that someone throwing that much money at a closer, especially one that has been used heavily in the past four seasons, might be somewhat of a risk.

I want the Mets to stack up on solid 1-5 pitching to help aid the progress of Pelfrey and the obvious contributions of Johan Santana. I see something along the lines of resigning Oliver Perez OR signing a #2-#3 starter such as Jon Garland along with a #4 such as Randy Wolf. It's not exactly throwing the bank at people but it should suffice in what should be a competitive market for pitching.

In terms of the closer role, I think handing the job to John Maine might prove fruitful in '09, but what scares me is all of those long counts that he puts on hitters. If you think it's stressful watching it in the 3rd inning of a June home game, imagine it happening in the 9th inning of a 4-3 game in Philly in August!

However signs k-rod is going to have to WAY overpay and realize the very real risk of injury. With his throwing motion it's only a matter even though he's very durable so far, for most pitcher's its just a matter of time. He might be the best closer in baseball but he might nit either way he is going to get more than someone who will pitch 80 innings max should get.

And we now have a frontrunner in the K-Rod sweepstakes. The chances of the Angels keeping K-Rod just dropped. I still hold my opinion that K-Rod will be a bust for whoever signs him.

barracus- Nobody was saying that Maine== Smoltz. FranzFerdinand (love that band, btw) was saying that what Maine would do was similar to what Smoltz did, go into the pen and close when injuries hampered starting abilities and eventually return to the rotation.

The Mets have so much money coming off the books this season in combination with Wagner's injury, that signing K-Rod is a no-brainer and they will stop at nothing to get him. I can also see them making a splash in the starter's department with a Derek Lowe type, while re-signing Perez as well.

hey they could always get GAGNE on the cheap!

thank you, melonis, on both counts. gotta love brave fans flying off the handle.

Her's a scary thought: papelbon setting up for K-rod. Espn would never shut-up about the Bosox again.

K-Rod to the Mets would be great, but I don't know if they are going to throw that kind of money at him. I can see them going after Fuentes. They will also try and resign Perez and get another starter like Sheets or CC to round out their staff. Neise will probably be in the rotation next year as the #5 starter or maybe go after Dempster.

Crap. Please Omar, I am begging you. Give the ball to Luis Ayala. Give the ball to Bobby Parnell. Give Eddie Kunz another try next spring. See what Ambiorix Burgos can do after his surgery. Hope Duaner Sanchez recovers over the off season. Hand the job to Aaron Heilman. Please, please don't follow up the Johan contract with a possibly even worse contract. Say no to K-Rod.

The problem with Maine as closer is teh Mets won't have any decent starters. We don't know what is gonig to happen to Pedro and Perez has Boras as a agent, so god konws. Johan is durable and Pelfrey seems legit as an above average starter. Past that, Maine is the only other given which still leaves two spots open or with Maine in the bullpen, three spots. THe Mets don't have the depth at starter to move a good pitcher like Maine to the bullpen.

YouGottaBelieve, I don't think the Mets will be players in the CC sweepstakes. They already have Johan and having 250-300 mil tied up in two starters albeit durable, ace lefties is just too much. Sheets could be possible.

He isn't having tommy john surgery. He has a torn flexor tendon not a torn ulnar collateral ligament.

"Her's a scary thought: papelbon setting up for K-rod. Espn would never shut-up about the Bosox again."

That is scary adn Boston coudl use bp help. However, that could allow them to stretch Papalboner into a starter so that it helps his shoulder. Papalboner only stayed a closer cause Boston has no one in their bullpen.

For the kind of money you are going to spend to get KRod you can add 1-2 mil and sign someone like Sheets to solidify the rotation at 4/70.

Pap was set to become a starter, if you read the SI story on him he went to francona and wanted to be the closer, they didn't go to him. Besides I see the Sox spending the extra going after C.C. and having the best 1-2 punch in the game little enough lefty/righty. Then spending a little extra for the bullpen parts that they need.

And oh yeah, adding Randy Wolf and Jon Garland to the Mets pitching staff in place of Oliver Perez and Pedro is hardly stacking up anything. Bleh. Gross. The Mets will make a good offer for Oliver Perez. If they sign him, then I think they will offer Pedro a one year deal, just to keep him around as a 5th starter and to help with younger pitchers. He is also loved and he is a big part of the clubhouse chemistry, if you are into that type of thing. If not Pedro, I see them going after a guy like Derek Lowe, or another guy that they could sign to a relatively short term deal. Lowe would also be a good fit in NY I think, since they have a pretty solid infield defense and an above average offense. Hopefully, we have Johan, Pelfrey, and Oliver Perez leading the rotation. Maine will be back in 2009. I don't like the idea of putting him in the bullpen the more I think about it. His two biggest weaknesses are bases on balls and giving up homeruns. So there is the front 4. The question then becomes who is the number 5 guy. If not Pedro there are a ton of options. You could even let a guy like Claudio Vargas or Jon Niese have a shot at it. The way I feel about signing K-Rod is that, if you really want to shell out 5/75, then go the whole 9 yards, and sign CC for 6/120. It is only slightly more money annually, for less risk, and in almost all certainty, more production.

MattyMets- K-Rod puts long counts on hitters too. And a lot of guys get on base compared to other top closers.

YouGottaBelieve- Johan and Sheets/CC could become an albatross in the later years of the contracts, especially if they start declining.

nrmax88- Ayala is a FA after this season, btw. I could care less about the Mets, but I think that the best way to fix that bullpen (many holes), is to sign a solid set-up guy and possibly bring back Ayala. If Stokes keeps his good performance up, keep him around. Either Maine closing if need be or go for someone who won't be as expensive (trade for someone, maybe)

You sound like a Mets fan; does Jon Niese look like he'll be ready to start in the bigs in '09? That could open up more leeway with converting Maine to closer.

"However, that could allow them to stretch Papalboner into a starter so that it helps his shoulder. Papalboner only stayed a closer cause Boston has no one in their bullpen."

I dont think thats a realistic possibility, Boston would not want to mess up what Papplebon has given them out of the pen, and given their situation in their rotation he is more important in the pen.

Phillies fans must be ecstatic over this Wagner news, yes?

Does BJ Ryan for Ruben Tejada make sense for either side?

The last I heard on Niese is that he would get a long hard look but nothing is for certain(it never is with young starters). It would be a good idea to sign a veteran guy that has starting experience that would also be a viable option out of the bullpen for long relief to both limit the innings on Niese if he does stick or replace him if he isn't ready or if the Mets think he should spend some time in the pen himself. Don't forget that Heilman started in the minors and wants another shot at it in the majors so he could be an option.

The last I heard on Niese is that he would get a long hard look but nothing is for certain(it never is with young starters). It would be a good idea to sign a veteran guy that has starting experience that would also be a viable option out of the bullpen for long relief to both limit the innings on Niese if he does stick or replace him if he isn't ready or if the Mets think he should spend some time in the pen himself. Don't forget that Heilman started in the minors and wants another shot at it in the majors so he could be an option.

melonis... tough to say on Niese. He had one start so far, and against the worst team for a young lefty to make his first start. Milwaukee. He got into trouble early, settled down and looked sharp for 3 innings, then started getting bombed in the 4th. He has a decent fastball, low 90's, around 89-92, that he is agressive with and throws up in the strike zone. He has a plus curveball, that he throws up and down in the strikezone. He throws a lot of curveballs that drop right into the top of the strikezone, a la Barry Zito. He has an average change, with upside, it has improved as the year has gone on and he locates it fairly well. Nice fluid motion and challenges hitters. I would like too see him get another couple of starts, against teams that dont absolutely kill lefties, but it might not be possible being in a pennant race. In a lot of ways Niese reminds me of Zito, when Zito sat around 90 mph. Same sort of stuff, and a similar approach, from what I have seen so far. The stuff is there, it is a matter of whether he challenges hitters and make the adjustments. It certainly wouldn't be the worst thing to let him pitch another year, or atleast part of one in the minors.

mitch.. good call on Aaron Heilman. I think there is a fairly good chance that he gets a chance to start. I really do think he could pitch a lot of innings at around around 4.00. The Willie Randolph/Rick Peterson combo was against letting Heilman start. They said he couldn't throw a slider. But he has shown an average slider this year, to go along with his 2 and 4 seam fastballs and his changeup. He has the stuff to start, and he certainly would be cheaper then a FA alternative. Jerry Manuel and Dan Wharthen have shown to be much more experimental, trying new things. Heilmans weakness is giving up a big hit in a big spot, but his peripheral numbers are always really good. Giving up a 2 run double isn't a horrible thing as a starter. You can recover from it and win a game, but when you give up a 2 run double out of the bullpen it almost always is a devestating blow. It makes a lot of sense.

i'm not sold on neise yet, he's too green.

can we please stop associating ben sheets with the mets? his injury rap sheet is enough to warrant a substantial pause against throwing the big dollars at him. i'd love to have cc but i don't see that happening either. jon garland is a waste of money too but more palatable if you're looking for a fourth starter.

i have faith in omar.

i'll be shocked if heilman is on the team in '09. the first big hit he gives up as a starter in '09 and the boos he's hearing now will last throughout the whole game.

he's had it in new york.

Hopefully the Mets will make it much harder for the my Angels to resign Frankie. I really DO NOT want him back at a price tag of $15m/year. Would much rather use in house options and spend that money on impact bats.

"Lol to you clowns that think you're gettin K-Rod."

Posted by: BucSox | September 08, 2008 at 02:16 PM

Is that you, BeckettSantana?

I can't understand why people think Heilman would be a good starter. If you think he is a bad reliever try seeing that throughout the whole game. One good game two bad. It will be like Oliver Perez under Peterson only worse. He can't pitch in New York.

I do think heilman will end up like Brad Lidge getting booed out of Houston and do well somewhere else.

personally i hate heilman and wanted him gone last year. i'm hoping this is finally the year we say peace out to heilman.

Heilman strikes out a batter per inning, doesn't walk many, is tough too hit, and is durable. He will be back in some capacity in 09, without a doubt.

I'm not Becket/Santana I just think that the Indians are getting K-Rod. And if I was the Mets I would go after Fuentes instead of wasting money on K-Rod when chances are his arm won't hold up.

nrmax- Thanks for the insight on Niese. With Vargas, Niese, and possibly Heilman, the Mets have three options for the #5 spot (Heilman could be a good starter, he's just not good in the clutch; he has decent peripherals).

BucSox- Why would the Indians go after K-Rod. IT would be a MUCH bigger risk and waste for a smaller-market team like the Tribe than it would be for a team like the Mets. My guess is K-Rod to Mets/Angels/Tigers (I prefer Angels)

Ben Sheets at 4/60 would be a much better value than K-Rod at the same price, even though Ben Sheets will most likely get injured for a part of the duration, he'll probably give you more innings throughout the contract that K-Rod will. And he's more dominant.

I think the Mets should sign some aging reliever to a one year deal (Jason Isringhausen, Keith Foulke, Eric Gagne) and let them have the 08 closer's role, while letting Bobby Parnell develop into a closer in the minors. He has dynamic stuff that could translate very well into relief work.

"doesn't walk many"
He has walked 40 in 72 innings.

Also, this might sound kinda silly but the Mets should see how Luis Ayala performs for the rest of the season. If he can prove himself to be reliable, why not sign him to close for next year?

Really he has walked 34. 6 of them were intentional. And this season is an abberation for Heilman. He doesnt walk guys. He also doesn't put up 5 era's.

Regardless of if it is the Mets that sign him, K-Rod's price just rose significantly.

Let this be proof that building a whole bullpen is better than getting 1 or 2 super guys. Sure, maybe Troy Percival isn't the best closer in the MLB, but he does the job well and he has other players that get them through the middle of the game in Wheeler, Bradford, Balfour, and Miller. And when one of them goes down, they have enough depth that they can move on without struggling. Same with the Blue Jays with Ryan, Camp, Downs, League, and Frasor.

Compare that to the Mets who had problems to begin with but once the big guy goes down, chaos ensues and desperation trades for mediocre relievers are made. Having a good core of relievers is FAR more important than having one dominant guy. That's why getting a K-Rod and thinking everything is stable again is bound for failure.

The idea behind giving Heilman a shot is only really doable IF you sign a vet that could be a good swingman giving you inning in the rotation and out of the bullpen. If you have 4 starters (Santana, Maine, Pelfry, and one more of the Lowe, Garland variety)that you know are gonna be able to lead the rotaion then you fifth starter can be FA/Niese/Heilman?other in house options without hurting you over the course of the season and still give you a set 4 for the playoffs. Plus don't forget the Mets have many other holes closer, set-up, catcher, and at least 1 if not 2 outfield spot to throw money at. If the Mets can learn anything by looking across the city at the Yankees its that BALANCED teams win in October not the team with the most big contracts.

That is a good point Adam. I also think we need someone like Roberto Hernandez from 06. A solid veteran presence in the bullpen would really help.

Adam H. - THANK YOU. Look at the top 5 best bullpens by ERA in MLB.

Blue Jays- Ryan is a great closer, but they have Camp, Downs, League, Tallet and Frasor

Dodgers- Saito, their closer's been down. They have Broxton, Wade, Beimel, Kuo, etc.

Phillies- Lidge closes, Durbin, Condrey, Madson

A's- Relies on rookies a lot, but Ziegler, Devine, Street, and Blevins make a solid core.

Rays- Wheeler, Bradford, Balfour, Howell. Percival blows, but there's still depth to go around. The pen didn't implode when Percival went down.

Several of those pens cost less per season than K-Rod alone will next year.

Another reason signing K-Rod for the big contract he's looking for is a bad idea for ANY team. Any.

$75M+/5 years for barely elite closer sounds like a pretty typical Mets move to me. Go for it Omar!

Since it was a dumb idea for the Reds, a team coming off a 72 Win season, to sign Franciso Cordero to a four year, $46 million dollar deal in the first place, it would probably make more since for the Mets to trade for Cordero than sign K-Rod.

I mean, Wayne Krivsky, Special Assistant in the Mets Front Office was the Reds GM when Cordero was signed. So, if he liked him enough to sign him for a LOSING team then he shoud like him enough to trade for him.

Before anybody says anything about it, yes, I know, Cordero has a No Trade Clause. But so did Johan Santana and he was traded.

this is the best news for mets fans, now krod is a look in ny

Take Trevor Hoffman off our hands, please. Signed the City of San Diego

why are you all talking 09?
give up on 08 already?
the answer for the latter may already be wearing a mets uniform - problem is the answer is in the head of pedro martinez.
only he doesn't seem to realize he's all but done as a starter. this could give him a whole new life

Pedro wouldn't make a good reliever his problem is that he can't get loose in the first inning. He usually gives up runs in the first and then settles down.

ctownboy- Cordero for Niese, straight up. Maybe Reds eating a little bit of salary to even up the deal.

Of course, now I can't talk up how Niese is an option for Starter #5 in the Mets rotation.

As a Met fan, no way I am moving Niese for Coco Cordero. I am not even against moving Niese. I would definitely move him in the right situation, but that is not a good one.


Mitch, the fact that the Mets have holes to fill (although catcher is not one), is the number one reason why Heilman should get a chance too start, yet you are making it a reason why he shouldnt. The idea that Heilman could possibly give you 200 innings of 4.40/1.20 ball for very cheap is a huge oppurtunity. If you want that kind of production from a free agent. Say Jon Garland, it is going to cost you upwards of 10 million a year. Would you rather have Heilman starting for a couple mil, or Garland for 10 mil. I will take Heilman over Garland even at the same salary. At a fraction of the cost, it is a no brainer.

And it really is sick how Met fans now act like Yankee fans, after getting spoiled by 2006, as if the Mets are some powerhouse organization and the fans are owed something. All I hear from Met fans is I want K-Rod, I want Holliday, I want Bay, I want Sabathia, I want Johan, I want Beltran, all day long, every offseason since 06, and even when we get these guys, if they don't perform up too completely unrealistic expectations, they get boo'd. Unless you are David Wright. He gets a never ending excuse made for him because he is the "face of the franchise". Aka, he is a good looking young white guy who people love, and addresses the press everyday. This is why the airwaves are flooded with the same crap about how Jose Reyes and Carlos Beltran dont play hard and should be traded, and never a negative thing to be said about David Wright. In reality the first two would be much harder to replace.

Sorry for the rant, but all I hear all day on the radio is how the Mets have to sign K-Rod no matter what, and Minaya should be fired if he doesn't, it just drives me crazy. Met fans are getting as obnoxious and egotistical as Yankee fans, without any of the success.

End of rant. Just saying, it is obnoxious to hear every Met fan everyday talk about how we have to sign K-Rod, or whatever other superstar.

The fact is that Garland has a proven record as a starter, Heilman doesn't, plain and simple. I also voiced the opinion very early on that Heilman and Niese should get first shot at the fifth spot. and you consider the Catcher spot strong why? Brian Schnieder, Ramon Castro? YAHTZEE BABY!

Atleast 20 teams would gladly switch their catcher with Brian Schneider. Sure, Castro stinks, but he is a backup with a pretty good stick. To be honest, I find nothing wrong with a 700 OPS catcher who provides top of the line defense and leadership for a pitching staff. Hitting is not a priority for a backstop. This is an example of what I just said about Met fans. They assume if we don't have Mauer or Russel Martin, then our guy stinks and we need to upgrade. There are a few obvious guys in the league like McCann, Martin, and Soto, but when if you value defense behind the plate, then Schneider is a very good catcher, and you live with his 700 OPS.

And yeah, Garland has a proven crappy track record. So does Steve Trachsel. You want him? Garland is mediocre at best, and he is going to cost you 8 figures. Heilman has better stuff, and will cost a fraction of the price. You will probably get similar production out of them.

The Mets will get K-Rod mark my words...They will need a closer for next year and Omar Mineya love hispanic players.

I don't know maybe watch Yaddy Molina here in St. Louis and seeing what REAL frontline defense behind the plate looks likes makes it hard to compare other catchers. and there's in no way that Schnieder is among the top 10 catchers in the majors period.

I didn't say Garland had a GOOD track record just that he had one, I still think Garland would be a bad idea for the Mets. If they don't resign Oliver/Pedro they need a Burnett type because teams that win it all have great 1/2 punches at the front of the rotation, Santana just can't start 5 out of 7 games in a long series.

I dont think Molina's defense is better then Schneiders. There is more to catching games then just throwing the ball. But yes, Molina is a nice catcher. Still missing the point. Defense and leadership are the most important things to look for in a catcher, not a good stick. I disagree with you about Schneider being in the top 10 catchers. If I have to pick a catcher, and I can't get Martin, Mauer, McCann, Soto, or one of the top tier guys who have both bat and glove, I am going with a guy like Brian Schneider or Jason Kendall, a guy who can handle a pitching staff and put the ball in play.

And Pelfrey is a perfectly suitable 2 in that 1/2 punch you are looking for.

1.No team has premier offensive players at every position. Not even Texas. Not even the Yankees. Mets have well above average offense for the position at 1B, 3B, SS, and CF. C is great.

2. Nobody will know about Pelfrey's playoff abilities (his ability to be the 2 punch in the playoffs) until he pitches in the playoffs. He could be, or he could implode in the playoffs. He's still young.

3.This is just a general question. What's the problem with trying Heilman as starter? I just don't get it If he's horrible, move him to the pen or cut him. Put in Niese/Vargas. The 5 spot isn't really a "premier" position, its just a "eat innings" position.

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