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One more chance with Daniel Cabrera? No No No! He is the drunk, abusive husband and the O's fans are the battered wife. Enough is enough.
Posted by: exitfare | October 02, 2008 at 12:05 PM
I would argue that giving Cabrera another shot is definitely worth $3M over a year. He's shown flashes of at least becoming a solid 4-5 starter, which is easily worth $3M. And IF (I realize this if is pretty much dead by now) he ever manages to harness his stuff he's easily capable of being a 2/3 starter. What would the alternate plan be? Let Radhames Liz and Garrett Olson each start 33 times? Sign some older veteran starter from the trash bin like the Steve Trachsel signing that worked so well last year? Honestly I'd just bring Cabrera back..
Posted by: scribbletone | October 02, 2008 at 12:36 PM
I heard there is significant interest in Sabathia from the Giants Tim. I would even call them the frontrunner. The reasoning is the way he's mowed the NL this year, his hometown discount, and preventing him from going to the rival Dodgers. If this deal goes through the Giants will have the green light to send Cain for a Prince Fielder. If the Brewers get involved I can easily see the Phillies in it also. It all depends how the playoffs play out.
Posted by: JaCoby Shaddix | October 02, 2008 at 12:38 PM
Cabrera might not pitch well but out of all the starters that started 15 or more games he did come in 2nd in ERA. And has thrown over 380 innings the last 2 seasons. O's need an innings eater and I do not see any Free Agents that will cost so little for that many innings.
Posted by: XD23 | October 02, 2008 at 01:04 PM
If the Giants added Sabathia and traded Cain for Fielder, would they be competitors..?
A rotation of Lincecum, Sabathia, Sanchez, Zito and Lowry with a solid lineup could actually be solid. I'd just be concerned that the Giants would regress from a legitimate rebuilding plan and get stuck winning 75-85 games for the next 5 years.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 02, 2008 at 01:06 PM
I think it should happen. I have heard the CC would be open to signing for less money if he could go back to Cali, so I would think he would be open to an even bigger hometown discount in the Bay Area. I am not sure how the Giants pay roll looks like. At least it would great for marketing purposes.
Posted by: coolpapabell | October 02, 2008 at 01:12 PM
The Giants likely will find a taker for LH Jonathan Sanchez before taking offers for Cain. A package of Sanchez, another minor league starter (Bumgarner and Alderson the exceptions) for a bat like Dan Uggla, Jorge Cantu or Ryan Zimmerman could work. Only time will tell! There is a good chance that Sabathia WILL end up in the orange and black next season!
Posted by: Kensf25 | October 02, 2008 at 01:13 PM
My Giants GM moves:
Sign CC Sabathia 5-6 yr. deal
Sign Mark Ellis to a 1-2 yr deal
Trade Cain to the Brewers for Fielder
Move Sandoval to 3B and sacrifice the lack of D
C-Molina
1B-Fielder
2B-Ellis
SS-Burriss
3B-Sandoval
LF-Lewis
CF-Rowand
RF-Winn
P-Lincecum, Sabathia, Lowry, Zito, Sanchez
CL-Wilson
You would still need to shore up the bullpen but I think these moves quickly shore up a terrible offense and make it a decent one. You may also need to deal Sanchez and get a RH starter or sign one if Lowry can't make it back.
Posted by: giants2010 | October 02, 2008 at 01:18 PM
I know I'm going to be in the minority on this, but I think the Orioles should try to sign Teixeira AND Furcal. It would deepen their already strong lineup, bring stability to SS, and greatly improve their infield defense over Millar at first and the revolving door at SS they had. Then, when they bring back Cabrera, he might pitch better with a better defense behind him, and would also help their up-and-coming starting pitchers.
By the way, I know this will not happen. I just personally think it would be a good move.
Posted by: drchstrpunk | October 02, 2008 at 01:20 PM
It's funny to see how terrible that lineup is even with Fielder.
Posted by: fitz | October 02, 2008 at 01:25 PM
Even with CC and Fielder I dont think the Giants have what it takes to contend with the 2009 Dodgers who I feel will resign Manny Ramirez, and will need to replace Derek Lowe. The Giants, if things go down as Sabean wants them to, will still need to strengthen their bullpen which has been horrible. However, Sabean could ask for bullpen help from the Brewers to package with Fielder. They also need to establish an everyday 3B. Jose Castillo was a waste of time. I heard Pablo Sandoval could play third which would be interesting considering he's a good hitter however can he play 3B defensively everyday? This is a contract year for Sabean, he's gotta make something happen if he wants Neukom to give him a new contract. And whoever said sign Mark Ellis, 0 chance of that happening. Remember Kevin Frandsen? The job is either his or Eugenio Velez's to lose.
Posted by: JaCoby Shaddix | October 02, 2008 at 01:36 PM
XD23,
You meant "out of all the starters that started 15 or more games he did come in 2nd in ERA" on the team, right? Because if you meant in the league, well...
Posted by: Ink&Paper | October 02, 2008 at 01:39 PM
Actually, I think the Giants have a chance to be competitive, with or without CC. Their whole plan was for a youth movement and so far they progressed nicely this year. Sandoval showed show very nice signs and Fred Lewis was solid. If they keep progressing and developing next year I don't see why they can't be a .500 team, which would make them contenders in that division.
I don't see CC going to the Giants but if those rumors turn out to be true, that pitching staff in that park will be downright nasty. There are some bright signs for the Giants, I mean even Zito pitched very good over the last month with a 3.15 ERA and 1.28 WHIP striking out 27 in 34 innings, which is the most life the Giants have seen out of him.
Posted by: Chris | October 02, 2008 at 01:45 PM
After being on the Indians and Brewers and tasting the postseason why would CC sign with the Giants? They need to continue to build the long way and it should payoff eventually.
Posted by: nyyfan | October 02, 2008 at 01:45 PM
nothing kills a bullpen like a starter that go deep into ballgames, and that's something Cabrera can do. he showed a stretch at the beginning of the year that he can control himself throughout the game. He had a stretch where he didn't walk anyone for 3 straight starts, which is a big step for him. He just needs to control his temper is all. I say 3 mil is worth another try. He eats innings which is good for a bullpen like that.
Posted by: PS314 | October 02, 2008 at 01:55 PM
Yeah on the O's. It was supposed to read:
'out of all THEIR starters that started 15 games...'
But trying to type and work at same time never works out well.
Also I have been for the Furcal and Teixeira to O's signing. I wrote crap about it on another site. Most think they should go for O.Cabrera but he is getting old for a SS.
Oh and the answer to all those 'Why Would' question is money.
Why would A-Rod go back to the Yankees even though everyone hates him? Money.
Why would Zito sign with the crappy Giants? Money.
Why would Hunter sign with the Angels when he wanted to play for Ron Washington? Money.
Posted by: XD23 | October 02, 2008 at 02:00 PM
Don't fool yourself into thinking that adding CC and Fielder (while subtracting Cain) will take this awful team to a contender. All the Giants will accomplish by doing that is inflating their payroll and further hamstringing the team with another huge contract (or 2 if you count signing Fielder to a new deal).
Posted by: bjsguess | October 02, 2008 at 02:06 PM
With the Giants not resigning Omar Vizquel or Ray Durham theres $12.5 million off the books. Aurilia can be resigned for less or not at all, $4.5 million. After 2009 Winn and Roberts come off the books so that free's $15 million. With Sabean's bad contracts for mediocre players ending that leaves plenty to sign CC and Fielder while keeping around the same payroll. Not to mention Buster Posey waiting to take Molina's spot $6.2 million.
Posted by: JaCoby Shaddix | October 02, 2008 at 02:24 PM
The Giants may have had a losing season but they weren't awful. We came out of this season with an All Star Closer, a Cy Young Ace, 3 to 4 Solid young position players (Lewis, Sandoval, Burriss, Scherholtz?) and rebuilt our farm system. This team was supposed to lose 110 games!!
Not to mention the team had great chemistry. It was a great year for a rebuilding team.
What you non Giant fans need to understand is...
* We have $$$
- We dumped Bonds last year which saved us $20 mil.
- We're dumping: Aurlia, Durham, Vizquel.
- the Giants have one of the best parks in the league that brings in $$$.
* We have top level prospects to trade or bring up in the near future: Villalona, Bumgarner, Alderson, etc.
* We play in an awful division!!
Signing CC doesn't really block a prospect or drain our bank. Our payroll dropped $20 mil last year after consistently raising every year. Lincecum wont be making $$ for at least 3 years.
Trading for one or a couple of big bats in the infield doesn't really stop development of young players.. Sandoval, Burriss, Lewis and Scherholtz will all get their ABs even if we get a Uggla or a Fielder.
So why not go for the division..
Ideally they'd...
Sign CC to a shorter contract for more money (4 years - 100 mil.)
and
Sign a veteran BP arm to bridge the gap to Wilson.
and
Trade Cain for Fielder
OR
Keep Cain
Trade Alderson, Sosa, Bowker? for Uggla.
and
Sign a veteran BP arm to bridge the gap to Wilson.
And
Trade Sanchez+ for Zimmerman
Either way, we're gonna be...
2009 NL WEST CHAMPS!!!
And all of this is totally possible.. its all up to Sabes.
Posted by: Ohan | October 02, 2008 at 02:57 PM
GO EXPOS! Best team ever by far...
Posted by: Grant77 | October 02, 2008 at 03:01 PM
Actually, CC to the giants is a very real possibility. Sabean has mentioned on the giants flagship radio station knbr680, in a hypothetical scenario, that the giants would be willing to take on another zito-like contract for a starting pitcher, if it were the right guy. A guy who can relate to the fans as well as be as dominant a pitcher as is out there. When asked specifically about cc and other pitchers, Sabean refused to comment and changed the subject as not to chance tampering.
Regardless of whether or not CC signs, the giants should NOT trade Matt Cain. The return of Fielder or Howard would not be as significant to their overall offensive production as moving Sanchez and keeping Cain. A package built around Sanchez with whatever it takes to get Zimmerman in a deal would be more significant short term and long term. The amount of money it will take to lock up either Howard or Fielder long term will affect the ability to pay Lincecum, who has to be priority #1 whenever he allows it, as well as pay anyone else.
Added to the Zimmerman deal AND a CC signing, a pitching staff anchored by:
CC Sabathia
Tim Lincecum
Matt Cain
Barry Zito
is much more likely to allow the giants to keep the score of the game down for a lineup of:
Lewis
Winn/Schierholz
Sandoval
Zimmerman
Molina
Rowand
Burriss
Frandsen/Velez
The addition of Zimmerman alone to the lineup adds instant offense, nothing like a real true cleanup hitter, but much more offense than the last 2 years, as well as locks up the hot corner, the biggest need defensively. This allows the giants to continue their youth movement without sacrificing the farm system which is just getting back to respectability. It also allows more payroll flexability and the chance to slow down the rush to development of guys like Sosa, Alderson, Bumgarner, Villalona, Noonan, Pucetas, Gillespe, Posey, and Anderson.
If the giants can resign Rich Arulia and get 2 decent relief arms through free agency, they would definately be in position to compete next year. The division is not that good so it may only take a few pieces to put them in that position.
The Giants offseason pursuit should be:
-deal Sanchez + ?prospects for Zimmerman
-sign CC
-resign Aurilia
-sign 2 "B" bullpen arms or 1 "A" and 1 "B"
-dump Correia
With a team looking like this:
Licecum- $405K
Cain- $2.5M
Sabathia- $12M (back load his contract for the 1st year payroll increase)
Zito- $18.5M
Lowry- $4.5M
Wilson- $400K
Hinshaw- $400K
Valdez- $400K
Romo- $400K
?Type B- $1.5M
?Type A- $2M
open spot- $400K
Molina- $6M
Rowand- $8M
Lewis- $400K+
Burriss- $400K
Sandoval- $400K
Winn- $8.25
Zimmerman- $465M+
Frandsen- $400K
Velez- $400K
Sheirholtz- $400K
Holm/Alfonso- $400K
Aurilia- $4M
Roberts- $6.5M
Thats approx $80M another $10M in their 40 man roster and non tenders. Its up $13M from last year but with the new owner and Sabean in his contract year, and the contracts off the books next year (Winn, Molina, Aurilia) $16M and if they can find a taker for Roberts $6.5M, that could be $22+M they can reduce payroll next year with guys waiting in the wings in the farm for all of them.
Posted by: Longing for Manny...Burriss that is!!! | October 02, 2008 at 03:19 PM
Hey Tim, Zito said monday on KNBR 680 with Gary Radnich (by the way, a very good listen if you go to the website you can hear it because Radnich has been hostile toward him for 2 years, they had never talked before, and Zito blindsided him with the spur of the moment phone call that coincided with the House turning down the bailoout and the DOW dropping) that he left something like $13 million on the table to sign with the Giants. From everything I've ever heard, the Giants offer was in the neighborhood of $22 million more than everyone else. Is there anyway of confirming this or have you ever heard this in the past? I'd be interested which GM was getting suckered more than Sabean by Boras on this and how he feels now.
Posted by: Longing for Manny...Burriss that is!!! | October 02, 2008 at 03:28 PM
they can also try to unload winns 9mil right now through a trade and commit to shierholz. rather than zimmerman, id like to see them get two bats in a trade, say uggla AND cantu from the marlins-Even if took Sanchez and an Alderson/Bumgarner, etc i would be on board with that seen as if the giants sign CC its going to be another 6-7 year deal and we have several other young arms anyways. I just dont see only one bat doing enough right now. cantu burris uggla and sandoval across the infield looks good though, with lewis rowand shierholz in the outfield- youth and some power
Posted by: SFg49w | October 02, 2008 at 03:35 PM
I think C.C. would love to play in S.F. but you're dreaming if you think you can't get him on a 4 year contract. He loved it in Cleveland but negotiations broke off because Cle. wouldn't give him that 5th year.
Posted by: MickS | October 02, 2008 at 03:38 PM
Where did all these Giants fans hear that Ryan Zimmerman would be available via a trade? and esp. a trade centered around Sanchez. Uggla I can understand Marlins, have a 2B on the way and can't tie up too much money until their stadium is built. Zimmerman? what does Jonathan Sanchez do for the Nats? give them another #3 starter? Nats already have plenty of those, Lannan, Redding, Balester. The Nats need an Ace and what they really need is a Bat so i don't see how trading Zimmerman would help them.
Posted by: Steveo26 | October 02, 2008 at 03:43 PM
Agreed with Steveo26.
It's really easy to say give up Sanchez and any other scrub prospect for Zimmerman. Not sure the Nats are looking for that type of a deal.
The Giants finished with a run differential of -119. Top teams in the division generally finish with +100 runs. Please tell me how Prince Fielder + CC Sabathia - Matt Cain account for a 229 runs created increase?
The fact that they didn't lose 100 games shouldn't cloud your judgment about how good they are. The Giants are bad. They are not 2 players away from contending. Sorry.
Posted by: bjsguess | October 02, 2008 at 04:06 PM
I agree with Steve026 and bjsguess. What makes you think Zimmerman can be had for Sanchez and weak prospects?
Zimmerman is their best player, and he is what constitutes as a franchise player for that terribly run organization. If I were the Nats, or Bowden, for that matter, I would only consider a Zimmerman trade to SF if it included a potential ace prospect, a top hitting prospect, plus Sanchez.
Zimmerman is a great defensive fielder, not to mention he had a pretty good career BA of .283. He's hit his share of homeruns, and projects to be a 30HR player in a better team and out of a pitcher's park.
I'm telling you, man. After the embarrassment Bowden went through after butchering up contract talks with Aaron Crow, he's not going to make a stupid decision like trading their best player, who is only 24 by the way, for a pitcher with a top 3 ceiling without also asking for some top prospects.
Posted by: Ink&Paper | October 02, 2008 at 04:30 PM
"I heard Pablo Sandoval could play third which would be interesting considering he's a good hitter however can he play 3B defensively everyday?"
Who says he necessarily has to play there every day? Perhaps have him play the Chone Figgins role next year and rotate him between positions. 1B against lefties over Ishikawa, C when Molina needs a blow, DH in interleague and 3B other times. Perhaps rotate him in LF as well, because he surely has a good arm as a catcher.
"Why would Hunter sign with the Angels when he wanted to play for Ron Washington? Money."
The Angels may have been the highest bidder, but I think the fact that he had a real chance at a ring also influenced his thinking.
Posted by: AA | October 02, 2008 at 04:42 PM
To all Giants fans:
I will need a link to provide me with proof that CC will accept a hometown discount to play for the Giants. Either a Giants fan or AA, because from what I read from him, he knows what he says is true/has some truth before he spits out Homer statements.
Even with the acquisition of Sabathia, your rotation is weak behind Lincecum and CC. If you trade away Cain, you trade away a #3 pitcher in that rotation, which could be the best 1-2-3 in the MLB.
Also, Prince Fielder in your lineup still doesn't make it a playoff lineup, even in a weak division.
I don't think the Giants should be wasting all that money on CC, and then fall short of the playoffs because the team still has a lot of holes to fill.
Posted by: baseballismylyf4 | October 02, 2008 at 04:52 PM
"Either a Giants fan or AA, because from what I read from him, he knows what he says is true/has some truth before he spits out Homer statements."
Ouch. Grave insult there. I am a Dodger fan ;-)
Posted by: AA | October 02, 2008 at 04:53 PM
CC is going to the Dodgers, Mets or Yankees (in that order of likeliness) before the Giants get mentioned. No shot.
Posted by: metsobsessed | October 02, 2008 at 05:15 PM
"CC is going to the Dodgers, Mets or Yankees (in that order of likeliness) before the Giants get mentioned. No shot."
If the Jints give him the same or similar offer as one of those teams, they have an excellent shot. It is a matter of whether they want to spend $20 million a year for 5-7 years on him.
Posted by: AA | October 02, 2008 at 05:31 PM
You're exactly right, AA. I should have clarified myself. I really don't think Brian Sabean and Company are going to throw a ton of money at a (hefty) lefty pitcher again, considering what happened with the Barry Zito fiasco. Then again, it's Brian "the Matt Millen of MLB" Sabean we're talking about, so you never know. I just think it's much more likely that the Dodgers, Mets, Yankees or even the Angels get CC before the Giants do.
Posted by: metsobsessed | October 02, 2008 at 05:43 PM
"Then again, it's Brian "the Matt Millen of MLB" Sabean we're talking about"
I dont know about that. Millen was completely incapable of drafting. Sabean has only had five 1st round picks in the last seven years but then again Tim Lincecum (ace starter), Matt Cain (good #2 starter), Madison Bumgarner (elite pitching prospect), Buster Posey (elite catching prospect) and David Aardsma (servicable reliever for Boston). He can draft when given the shot. He just shows no ability to give his team any direction, although some of that I attribute to having Barry Bonds.
I think realistically the Giants should be playing for 2011. By then they'll have a good core of Buster Posey, Angel Villalona, Pablo Sandoval, Tim Lincecum, Matt Cain, Jonathan Sanchez, Fred Lewis, Tim Alderson, Madison Bumgarner, Conor Gillespie, Nick Noonan and whatever happens from here til then. Really by then they could have a stunning rotation of Lincecum, Cain, Sanchez, Bumgarner and Alderson, with a powerful middle of the order led by Sandoval, Posey, Villalona, and Gillespie. Noonan should be a solid 2B by then as well and hopefully they'll manage to add a shortstop and some outfielders by then.
"Who says he necessarily has to play there every day? Perhaps have him play the Chone Figgins role next year and rotate him between positions. 1B against lefties over Ishikawa, C when Molina needs a blow, DH in interleague and 3B other times. Perhaps rotate him in LF as well, because he surely has a good arm as a catcher."
I feel like eventually the Giants will settle on this option, too. Sandoval won't prove good enough (defensively) to be an everyday third baseman, and with Molina at catcher and the likely addition of someone to play first base, they'd try and use him to rest those two guys. Obviously there is the risk that as a young player this screws with his development as he loses focus as a hitter, but he could also become a weapon for that team as one of the few power bats in their lineup.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 02, 2008 at 06:01 PM
To all “The sign CC for the Giants!”crowd: I have heard nothing about the Giants increasing payroll if you have provide a link. The Good new we have heard nothing about then shrinking pay roll. So yes the Giants have money this year. Maybe next year. But after that him and Zito will be chewing up $40MM a year out 85MM ( give or take). Figure 10MMyear or more for Tim and the team is down around 35MM for the other 23 roster slots. I assume you want to keep Fielder or what ever heavy hitter they get so that’s at least another 15MM off. Down to 20MM to pay for over 20 roster slots. That figuring you have traded Rowand, Cain and found another closer after Wilson. I know CC is a home town guy but this just does not fit unless you want to spend the next 5-6 years enjoying 90+ loss season.
Steve, Bjguess & Bleeding Blue regarding Zimmerman: It just frustration boiling over among the ranks . Having nothing at third and no power hitter Zimmerman is their flavor of the month. September it was Fielder.
Posted by: daveinexile | October 02, 2008 at 06:02 PM
"Steve, Bjguess & Bleeding Blue regarding Zimmerman: It just frustration boiling over among the ranks . Having nothing at third and no power hitter Zimmerman is their flavor of the month. September it was Fielder."
Yeah I would argue that Zimmerman is one of the more untouchable players in the game. If they moved him and didn't get back a stud of equal value, what would the fans think? We're talking about the one player on that team that any team in baseball would want, and they really only have one. He's one of the best defensive players in baseball and gives a consistent .280-.290 BA with solid plate discipline and good 20-30 HR power. You could talk about Zimmerman for Cain, sure, but please no Sanchez for Zimmerman ideas.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 02, 2008 at 06:15 PM
Bleedinblue, I need to clarify myself. I never meant to insinuate Ryan Zimmerman could be had for Sanchez and a weak prospect. I meant the package would have to be built around Sanchez at the major league level, as a pitcher with potential to be much more than a #3. This was Sanchez's first year given a starters job. Over the past 2 years he bounced between spot starts, bullpen, and the minors. The giants would have to include a high level prospect, probably one of the ones I mentioned before, to land Zimmerman.
The reason I think he could be had is just as Tim and the post speculated. He is in his arbitration years and will be pricey. The Nats can get a fine return for him and I believe the Giants have what it takes. It will probably take 3 players so Maybe a Sanchez, Velez, & Pucetas or Villalona deal would land him.
Posted by: Longing for Manny...Burriss that is!!! | October 02, 2008 at 06:24 PM
"The Angels may have been the highest bidder, but I think the fact that he had a real chance at a ring also influenced his thinking."
I couldnt agree more... The chance for a ring played a huge role in his decision. The Angels were on high on his list of teams but he wasn't expecting an offer from the Angels... so when they offered him a contract it surprised him. He quickly agreed to it which is why it came out of nowhere for everyone.
Posted by: #1 Angels Fan | October 02, 2008 at 06:24 PM
"Ouch. Grave insult there. I am a Dodger fan ;-)"
That was meant as a compliment to you, meaning that you actually know what you say before you spit it out. Unlike alot of these Giant fans who are just being the typical Homer...
Posted by: baseballismylyf4 | October 02, 2008 at 06:47 PM
"Bleedinblue, I need to clarify myself. I never meant to insinuate Ryan Zimmerman could be had for Sanchez and a weak prospect. I meant the package would have to be built around Sanchez at the major league level, as a pitcher with potential to be much more than a #3. This was Sanchez's first year given a starters job. Over the past 2 years he bounced between spot starts, bullpen, and the minors. The giants would have to include a high level prospect, probably one of the ones I mentioned before, to land Zimmerman.
The reason I think he could be had is just as Tim and the post speculated. He is in his arbitration years and will be pricey. The Nats can get a fine return for him and I believe the Giants have what it takes. It will probably take 3 players so Maybe a Sanchez, Velez, & Pucetas or Villalona deal would land him."
I realize you weren't the poster who thought Sanchez plus weak prospects, but my point is until I saw something about Zimmerman being on the trade block I won't believe that he could be had for anyone. Fielder is on the block so seeing a Cain for Fielder rumor makes sense, as they will just replace him with Gamel. As for Zimmerman I really think he is untouchable. Even if Cain was offered I don't think the Nats pull the trigger on that deal. The whole article was wrong to begin with so I understand why the idea has gotten steam. Nats don't need pitching near as much as they need hitting. Could the Nats use Sanchez of course, but not at the cost of their best hitter, and i don't care what prospects are added unless they are ready to take the field opening day its not worth it for the Nats. And when I say Sanchez is a number 3 thats not a slight he's a very fine pitcher no doubt but he can't anchor a rotation. And its obvious thats the case b/c as you admit, you don't want them to trade Cain even for Fielder but your willing to see Sanchez go for Zimmerman. Nats could have a nice rotation if they had a true ace to face off with Santana, Hamels and Hudson.
Posted by: Steveo26 | October 02, 2008 at 08:07 PM
It's funny; if you asked most Giant's fans if they would be happy with trading Cain for Fielder straight up a good portion would say yes. However, if you asked any baseball analyst, who understands the value of contracts, performance, and development they would regard that trade as an atrocious rip-off to the Giants. Get over Fielder! He is not worth Matt Cain, especially when you inherit his arb years and an inflated contract opposed to a team friendly affordable deal in Cain.
Posted by: The Juice | October 02, 2008 at 09:04 PM
"It's funny; if you asked most Giant's fans if they would be happy with trading Cain for Fielder straight up a good portion would say yes. However, if you asked any baseball analyst, who understands the value of contracts, performance, and development they would regard that trade as an atrocious rip-off to the Giants."
I think a lot of it is associated to Fielder's 50 home run season last year and Cain's 15-29 record over the last two seasons. But Cain has shown to the ability to consistently eat innnigs and strike out hitters, good enough for a mid 3's ERA. He's only 24, and is under control for three more years. Fielder hit 50 homers when he was 23, but only 28 and 34 when he was 22 and 24, respectively. He's had one great year and two good ones. He's still only 24 but his body isn't the type to to age well, typically. Thanks to Ryan Howard he's likely to start making a lot of money in arbitration. When it comes down to it, realistically, that kind of deal would have to go down as Gammons said: Prince Fielder and J.J. Hardy for Cain and a reliever or low level prospect.
"The Nats can get a fine return for him and I believe the Giants have what it takes. It will probably take 3 players so Maybe a Sanchez, Velez, & Pucetas or Villalona deal would land him.""
See but thats the thing. It's more than just the value of him as a player to the team, it's also the value of Ryan Zimmerman to the organization and the fans. He's the face of their franchise, the only star this team has had since they came from Montreal. If they moved this guy, they would HAVE to get somebody who could replace him as the face of the team. The Giants would have to give up Cain, Bumgarner, Posey, the type of guy who would make a serious impact and be a cornerstone the team could build around.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 02, 2008 at 10:03 PM
scribble, you need to look at it in context. Fielder's season this year is still very very good. with high walks and a lot of doubles. and we all know he's certainly not getting those doubles by legging them out :P
Matt Cain is a very nice pitcher but certainly not without potentiall fallacies. his walks are on the high side and for his age he's got a ton of innings on him.
relatively, it's always a higher risk for younger pitchers than fielders health wise. even accounting for Fielder's obvious problems health wise :P
Posted by: Yu Hsing Chen | October 02, 2008 at 11:10 PM
I know Fielder had a very good season, but so did Cain. A number 2 starter holds more value than a slugging 1B, there are a good deal of those compared to guys like Cain. Now obviously few guys can compare to Fielder's overall power production, but realistically when talking about trade value, his value simply isn't as high as an established young starter like Cain.
Posted by: scribbletone | October 02, 2008 at 11:43 PM
It could go either way, but if i had my choice I'd do Cain for Fielder from the Giant's perspective. there's obviously always risk invovled in any trade.
I worry about Cain's very high PAP, his relatively high walk rate. and that he's been pitching in a relatively weak hitting division in a more pitcher's park.
with Fielders I don't really worry much for the next 7-8 years, though he is one of those guys that might fall off a cliff faster than expected in his early 30s.
Posted by: Yu Hsing Chen | October 03, 2008 at 12:09 AM
i believe the giants should get more than fielder for cain. hes young, under contract for cheap and TONS of potential. the giants should get some bullpen help and fielder for cain. if we can trade cain and somone like ishikawa for uggla that would be great. free right for schierholtz and fielder for 1st. sign cc and we have a lineup like this
3b pablo sandoval
ss emmanuel burriss
2b dan uggla
1b prince fielder
c bengie "big money" molina
Lf fred lewis
CF Aaron Rowand
RF Nate Schierholtz
starting rotation would look like
lincecum
cc
sanchez
lowry
zito
if rowand can adjust to the park they have tons of pop along with a potent rotation. nl west champs!!!!!
Posted by: JacobAlastra | October 03, 2008 at 12:10 AM
i meant winn and ishikawa for uggla
Posted by: JacobAlastra | October 03, 2008 at 12:11 AM
Yes we all remember who ended up signing Barry Zito when he was supposed to be a Met. Im tellin you its gonna be between the Giants, Dodgers and Angels for CC. The Angels arent gonna sign him they cant afford to even keep their potential FA's. The Dodgers will make a play but wont sign CC mainly because a huge portion is going to go to Manny/Furcal. That leaves the Giants. Zimmerman=not gonna happen. And Pablo in LF? The man is bigger then Molina not to mention we have too many outfielders the man would never get a shot. Him playing 1B is interesting but we will more then likely have a full time 1B by the start of the season, this constantly changing lineup/defense. As for the CC/Bay Area factor I dunno how we know but we know that the 4 guys most willing to play for the Giants are CC, Jimmy Rollins, Eric Byrnes, and K. Frandsen.
Posted by: JaCoby Shaddix | October 03, 2008 at 06:13 AM