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Cafardo's Latest: Lugo For Dontrelle?

MONDAY: Tigers GM Dave Dombrowski is casting a wide net for his shortstop vacancy, but no deals are close.

SUNDAY: Nick Cafardo of the Boston Globe reports on a trade that seems too obvious to actually happen: the Tigers are "contemplating a deal with Boston to send either Nate Robertson or Dontrelle Willis for Julio Lugo, but some money issues must be resolved.

In the same article, he mentions Lugo had the lowest average with runners in scoring position in the majors, .139, and wishes him a happy 33rd birthday.

Jon Paul Morosi of the Detroit Free Press had speculated on this in September.


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.139...wow, the Sox are better off trading for Dontrelle, just to improve their minor league team...

Trading a terrible SS for a terrible starter. Seems like a total non-factor trade.

If i was the sox i would trade lugo for willis because i believe he can be fixed adn at the very least become a lefty specialist, a very high paid one. i

Seems like a good idea to me. I like the idea of Lowrie getting enough AB's to see if he can actually hit in the bigs, and you can never ever have too many starting pitchers.

You can never have too much pitching, The Sox should definately do this trade for Dontrelle or even Nate. Lugo should be a bench player at best.

I think that this could be a good deal for both sides. Robertson had a horrible year, but if he goes to a team with a decent offense, he is capable of pitching 200 innings with a 4.50 ERA or so, which really isn't that bad for a back end starter. Willis is still fairly young, so maybe he can work out his problems. This trade (if it happens) also means that Magglio probably won't need to be traded to fill holes.

This would be a stupid trade for the Tigers.

Absolutely ridiculous!
Lugo is not the answer for anyone but a AAA team.
Nate and Willis are both better than this, and they will be good enough for any team's back end starter.
I don't understand why DD isn't shopping one of them for Crisp instead. The Sox have money, the Tigers don't.
What's a measley 1.25 to 4 million to Theo? The Sox were shopping Crisp as well.
This would put an end to the Guillen LF experiment, put Crisp in LF with much needed speed for the tigs, and Guillen could return to SS in a platoon with Santiago in a worst case scenerio, which is BTW, a much better scnario than getting Lugo.
My dear God, how proposterous!

I have always thought Willis was the most overrated pitcher in baseball....that being said lugo is aweful and the sox have no need for him. Willis is still young and maybe john farrel can help him fix whatever is wrong. If not they only have to deal with him for 2 years

Lugo sucks and has negative value. Willis sucks and has negative value. Robertson sucks and has negative value.

Crisp is decent enough to not be dumped for an overpaid, terrible pitcher.

stupid rumor:
it would be trading on pile of sh!t for another pile of crap
Dumb
Not going to happen

Maybe Lugo should try pitching and Willis should try SS; at least it would save on the paperwork.


this may be a dumb question, but whatever happened with d-train anyway?

this trade would be horrible for the tigers if they want a shortstop they would be in better shaoe just keeping dontrelle in hopes he pans out again and looking at the free agent market for a shortstop...

Jack Wilson
Please come to Detroit!!

Not a boston fan but this would be a nice move for the red sox

1. J. Lester
2. J. Beckett
3. D. Matsusaka
4. D. Willis
5. T. Wakefield

z

If you believe that Willis can be your number 4 starter right now, you're nuts. He's still screwed up. He needs time to work through it, unless you want to lose every 5th game.

when people talk of willis, you are aware he was getting shelled at single A dunedin, playing 19 & 20 yr old kids, yes?

to me lugo got HURT and lost his starting job to another kid who was solid, no problems.

Its willis if money is the haggle. Its 4 mil more for him over lugo (lugo makes 1 mil more than robertson).

4 mil is a lot to add for owner nostalgia.

yanksfan: haven't you noticed detroit is setting the world on fire with stupid deals?

If Detroit can summon the brain cells, they should send Robertson for Lugo. I wouldn't give up on a guy I just signed last year.

Phoenix: He forgot how to throw strikes. Even worse, his pitches have straightened out.

Ty-Gerrrr:

You are out of your mind if you think that Dontrelle freakin' Willis or Nate Robertson is enough to get you Coco Crisp. That's absolutely preposterous. Neither of those two players are worth Crisp. Crisp can hit pretty decently, at around a .280 clip, can steal 40 bases, and plays one of if not the best defensive CF in the big leagues. And you want to give us two pitchers who at this point look like they couldn't even make the team out of spring training? You didn't really think about that one did ya?

Lugo has more value as a role player than Dontrelle Willis would. If Dontrelle showed anything resembling command, it's plausible... but he hasn't. The inability to throw strikes renders Dontrelle Willis completely useless.

Theo Epstein showed last year that he wouldn't trade players who have seemingly been replaced by prospects for the sake of trading them with Coco Crisp. I see this being a similar situation where Theo won't move Lugo for the sake of moving Lugo. It doesn't make sense to take on a player with negative value (bad contract, no production) for a player with a bad contract that could still help the team in a reduced role (5th infielder/utility player offering position flexibility, pinch runner off the bench, insurance for when Lowell inevitably gets hurt again).

People here seem to forget that just a couple years ago Willis was a 22 game winner. I know he won't get back to that, but if somebody in the Sox organization can get ahold of him and figure out his issues he can be a great pitcher again.

You're also forgeting that BEFORE Lugo got hurt he was an awful fielder. He would provide the Tigers with much needed speed, but not as an everyday starter.

This is a big salary for big salary deal which brings a lot of potential to either side. If they don't work, who cares? You dumped one bad player for another. If they do work out their issues, then that's a great deal for one or both teams.

I don't think the Red Sox will be shopping Coco Crisp unless he nets them a catcher. He showed his value during the playoffs, and Ellsbury has shown he can be shaky. They need a backup plan if Ellsbury can't fulfill his potential.

You've got to remember that if the red sox have any ideas at all of rehabilitating Willis to use on the big club they'll probably need Jason Varitek to play doctor.

This would be a great deal for the red sox. they've had some success with reclamation projects before in wade miller and bartolo colon until both got injured and the latter turned out to be a little too self-centered to play for a club like the red sox. Julio Lugo will never have success in the majors again so if I were him I would be tucking every paycheck into my matress because his next contract is going to be a minor league deal with an invite to spring training at MOST. Willis on the other hand is still pretty young and he played with josh Beckett in florida, maybe beckett can take him under his wing and with Varitek ( if he signs ) and John Farrell all teaming up maybe he can return to form.

This would be a great deal for the red sox. they've had some success with reclamation projects before in wade miller and bartolo colon until both got injured and the latter turned out to be a little too self-centered to play for a club like the red sox. Julio Lugo will never have success in the majors again so if I were him I would be tucking every paycheck into my matress because his next contract is going to be a minor league deal with an invite to spring training at MOST. Willis on the other hand is still pretty young and he played with josh Beckett in florida, maybe beckett can take him under his wing and with Varitek ( if he signs ) and John Farrell all teaming up maybe he can return to form.

Yeah

Overpaid and under achieving terrible starting pitchers can only bring in so many short stops.

i'll still give you Donald, Happ and Julian Sampson for Magglio. That would solve shortstop for the next 10 years.

"the latter turned out to be a little too self-centered to play for a club like the red sox"

Too self centered?
Are we talking about the same Red Sox that had Curt Schilling, Manny Ramirez and JD Drew?

"In the same article, he mentions Lugo had the lowest average with runners in scoring position in the majors, .139, and wishes him a happy 33rd birthday."

b00m!!1 0wN3d!!!1 lol

if this deal is for lugo/willis, i am happy, if its for robertson, im gonna be so mad. atleast willis is younger and was once a great pitcher who has struggled recent, where robertson was never anywhere as good as willis even on his best year. i know lugo is no prize, but i think a small rebound in numbers is due, because if he doesnt, it would be the saddest display ever

Really Yankeegirl, when did JD Drew become self-centered? He was moved up and down the batting order, he only opted out of his contract because his agent Scott Boras told him it would be beneficial for optimal money for him in his career prime.

Stick with your self-centered A-Rod and be happy with your all to self-centered ownership and fan base.

Dontrelle Willis seems to have a severe case of "Steve Avery Syndrome" (or SAS, for short).

I was really impressed with the way Dontrelle handled his demotion last season.. He was a man about it, he didn't complain or cry about it. I definitely respect him that.

Not to say that Julio is a prize, but I would probably take Robertson over D-Train.

Hey, sometimes these deals can workout for one of the teams. Hundley for Karros/Grudz comes to mind.

"they've had some success with reclamation projects before in wade miller and bartolo colon"

they just had injury problems. Willis has mental and Mechanical problems. they should choose Robertson.

"Too self centered?
Are we talking about the same Red Sox that had Curt Schilling, Manny Ramirez and JD Drew?"

I don't know how JD Drew is self-centered, honestly I was never aware that was an issue with him.

Either way, Colon refused to pitch out of the bullpen in september because he didn't view himself as a reliever. I'd say that's somewhat self centered.

"they should choose Robertson."

Statistically speaking Robertson was one of the worst starting pitchers in the AL last season.

Willis has at least shown a glimpse of potential, though it really comes down to picking your poison.

If the Red Sox could choose who they'd want in return for Julio Lugo, I'd go with Nate Robertson.

At least Nate could stay at the major league level while D-Train was being moved through all levels of the minor leagues.

But if D-Train is all they can get, I'd probably do the deal because I'm sure there would be a place in the bullpen for the Red Sox if all else fails.

I realize Lugo isn't worth what the Sox paid for him, but the guy OPS'd .685 last year in a down year and was on pace for 25+ SBs. Before Boston, he had posted a .700 OPS every year of his career (well if you want to round up one year of .698). Still think the guy can be a league average SS and at the worst is a solid backup IF.

While that's nothing to get excited about, isn't that worth more considering he can play 2B/SS with a little 3B than two extremely overpriced pitchers?

Dontrelle can come back certainly, but is he going to have any chance in the AL East? I would think his best shot is back in a place like San Diego, etc. If they can swing either for Lugo, I don't see the harm.

I think this deal makes more sense (although is trading two turds for one another) than any I've seen in a while.

"Willis has at least shown a glimpse of potential, though it really comes down to picking your poison."

exactly. with the guys they have up front they just need someone who could pitch decently. Willis' confidence is at an all time low. and his mechanics are in shambles. thats not a good combination for Fenway Park. i think Robertson may be less of a miracle to get him to work out.

Does Dontrelle still have options though? That could be another factor to consider. If you can let him work out the kinks in AAA (or Single-A) might be a better option than taking on Robertson and not having anywhere to put him.

ok, here's a crazy idea. instead of Lugo, trade Lowell for one of the two.... I prefer Robertson but then we would just be too white of a team for Mr. Rosenthal....anyways. Here's infield for Tigers:

C: inge
1b: cabrera
2B: Rayburn?????
3B: lowell
ss: guillen

Lugo gives a speedy bench runner and a guy who can play just about all the infield. He would be a super-sub. With Lowell gone, we have room for Tex on the Sox.....

I know I'm crazy.....But it could make sense.

Robertson has no place in the rotation. Willis would if he regained form, because he'd be an above average pitcher.

If Lugo was dealt for a pitcher who was then flipped then obviously it doesn't matter. But if we're taking a flier on either one, I'll take the one with number 2 potential rather than bottom of the rotation upside.

"with the guys they have up front they just need someone who could pitch decently. Willis' confidence is at an all time low. and his mechanics are in shambles. thats not a good combination for Fenway Park. i think Robertson may be less of a miracle to get him to work out."

I think if you're trying to choose the guy that's more likely to get it back, that'd be Robertson. His stuff didn't seem to fall off nearly as much as Willis' did in Detroit, and Willis' confidence and mechanics are, as you said, simply in shambles.

I would say that Willis definitely as higher upside than Robertson, considering what we've seen Dontrelle do before. But really there is no good choice between the two, this is just about figuring out the best way to use Lugo and his contract.

If Lowell is dealt, it would mean he's healthy and I assume could bring a more attractive piece than either pitcher.

Willis will be 27 to start the season. Robertson is and will be 31. should have looked at that before recommending Robertson.

There was a report, I believe over the weekend, that Lowell is progressing well....He's due to be 100% healthy for Spring Training....of course it could be a ploy to get someone to bite on trading for him for the Sox to make a Tex move....Sean McAdam is pushing for it.

Yankeegirl; Shilling and Manny are gone and won't be back. And I think you're confusing stoicism with self-centeredness when it comes to Drew.

Although being a Yankee fan I suspect that you're pretty much the resident expert on self-centered baseball players.

"Too self centered?
Are we talking about the same Red Sox that had Curt Schilling, Manny Ramirez and JD Drew?"

Wow.. This from a Yankee fan.. Billy martin and his drunkeness, punching reporters, marsh mellow salesman in an elevator, accusing his boss Georgie (another kinda' self centered piece as well) of being a liar from his ties to Watergate scandal in the press.

That is *1* prime example of self centered that just blows the mind.

Uhh how about every team has egotistical jerks? We're talking about professional athletes..

Every team has self-centered baseball players. Even the Red Sox, so I do not see why there is a discussion about it.

Agreed that "self-centered" is too strong a label to throw around so casually. Manny Ramirez does indeed epitomize the self-centered baseball player, and he was accordingly shipped out of town, salary paid, for cents on the dollar when you consider that the Red Sox had to include players to make it happen.

As for J.D. Drew, until we see evidence that he refused to take the field while healthy, calling him self-centered is irresponsible. Don't confuse fragility with self-centeredness.

With regard to Schilling, we probably shouldn't confuse being overly candid and opinionated with being self-centered vis-a-vis the team either. It's hard to seriously entertain that argument when the target is a guy who pitched on a sutured ankle and pain meds. If you want to believe it was ketchup, so be it, but I've got a straightjacket and a padded room for you if that's the case. If Schilling did it purely for his own motivation, then it's remarkably convenient how his interests dovetailed so nicely with the team's.

You can make an argument for Drew being self-centered, but then again you can make that argument for almost everyone.

If missing games due to injury is considered self-centered then yes, JD Drew and every player in the game is self-centered.

St. Paul Saints. End. Of. Story.

Hahaha

He's "self-centered" because he wanted money coming out of college.

So now every draftee who wants big bonus cash is self centered.

Hell, Aaron Crow must be the most selfish person on the planet.


Give me a break

The most selfish? Not by a long shot? Selfish? Yes.

Explain the reasoning that Manny is self-centered but Drew is not.


You're citing an incident involving a kid fresh out of college and labeling him selfish because of it. Something that happened ten years ago makes JD Drew selfish?

Manny quit on his team, he was in line to earn 20 million dollars if he simply did what he was supposed to do. Because some option years were not picked up he took matters into his own hands and hurt his team, while thinking mostly of himself. That is the definition of selfish.

Listening to Scott Boras convince you you're worth 10 million coming out of the draft does not make you selfish ten years later. Sure, JD Drew could be the most self centered ahole in his personal life, but we'd never know. Trying to get paid by the team that drafted you, you still don't have any obligation to them, does not make you self-centered ten years later.


Only a handful of players did what Manny did, and no one deemed it acceptable.

Dozens, probably hundreds, have opined for more cash.

10 million, 10 years ago was a HUGE amount for a draft pick!

To say that it wasn't a selfish move is ignorance on your part.

Manny quit on his team? How so? Because Peter Gammons said so? He still had great numbers with the Red Sox, regardless of the fact that we don't know the real reason for why he did anything other than media speculation.

When Drew was in St. Louis, La Russa thought that he didn't always give his full effort. Is that not quiting on your team?

Just to note.

I'm not saying that a player shouldn't get the money that is deserved, however I believe that the handling, especially in the case of Drew, was idiotic. I'm not blaming him nor Boras, however, it probably could have been handled A LOT better.

Also, I'm not making trying to prove that Drew is a selfish guy, rather that an argument could made. And, as I said prior, the same argument could be made for a lot of players as well.

If you don't see the difference between what Manny did and what happened with JD Drew then there's no point in arguing. Manny had an obligation, even his "best friend" David Ortiz said he wasn't giving his all. He had an obligation which he ignored simply to further himself.

JD Drew had zero obligation to the Phillies, he said pay me this money or I won't play and he didn't play. To me that simply indicates a rational, self-interested human being who determined he was worth a number and was insistent on getting it. If he had any obligation to sign with Philly then it's a different situation.


Also, you are trying to prove he was selfish. You called me ignorant for not believing he was and cited the St Paul business calling it "end of story." Maybe Drew is selfish, maybe he isn't but citing something that happened ten years ago and claiming it proves he is selfish today is ridiculous.


First, TLR has turned out to be overreacting to quite a few players. That should be taken with a grain of salt.

Drew ended up getting 7-9M from the Cardinals. The Phillies offered 2.75. I would say that it turned out well for him and it was far from idiotic to do so.

Can you please quote me where I said that Drew was selfish today?

And like I stated before, I'm not trying to prove that he is selfish, just that the argument can be made.

And you failed to justify not giving his all while he was with the Cardinals. My question on the difference of Manny and Drew was referring to that. Not that fact that he demanded so much money.

Tony LaRussa has come out against quite a few players and throws them under the bus routinely. Again, I would take anything he says with a grain of salt.

I am not aware that anyone in Atlanta, LA, or Boston has complained of him not giving it his all, just being injury prone.

Like who Rolen?

Selfish are all those owners with that insane draft thing... so imagine your kid was a prep superstar that would get paid like 15 mill on the open market but he is going to get paid only 3 or so because for some absurd reason he can only sign for one team.

wouldnt you be pissed??? i dont understand why so many people turn on players b/c they want part of the money they produce. its totally absurd and against the values of capitalism.

as for the deal with lugo, if you pay close attention, robertsons peripherals werent that bad. his babip on the other hand was more that .340 and his fip was like a run and a half lower that his era. so i would take robertson, he would make a great spot starter for the sox.

gemf89-

No. They would not get 15 million market. Regardless of whether he is a prep superstar or not, he is still unproven.

i admit i have no idea how much a top prep player could get if he could sign with anyone but i bet you it would be over 10 mill.

Look, Pedro alvarez had 2 choices, sign for something with the pirates or wait a year to be in the same situation with another team and he still got 6 mill without any leverage whatsoever.

do you think doubling that salary would not have been possible with 30 teams competing for your services???

they both suck and the trade would be a waste of time

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