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8:41pm: Several Japanese sources report the Red Sox are set to sign Tazawa as early as December 1st, according to Newman. It seems that Boston did not have the top offer, but Tazawa likes their development plan.
MONDAY, 10:40am: Newman passes along another report that says the Rangers were the fourth team to make an offer to Tazawa, and their offer was the largest. Jon Daniels won't confirm or deny it. Jim Allen recently wrote a scouting report on Tazawa for ESPN.com:
He has good command of his fastball and slurve, but he lacks velocity, stamina and the ability to keep the ball down. At 22, Tazawa is unlikely to throw much harder than he does now; his fastball barely tops 90 mph when he is rested, and he struggled to hit 88 mph at the end of last season.
SUNDAY, 10:35pm: Newman has more on Boston's offer to Tazawa, via Sponichi. Another report from Nikkan Sports says Tazawa has already decided on the Red Sox.
2:01pm: Patrick Newman at NPB Tracker is reporting that Red Sox vice president of international scouting, Craig Shipley, had formal negotiations with Japanese pitcher Junichi Tazawa, which resulted in a $6MM contract offer. No word yet on whether or not it's a Major League deal.
Current reports state that both the Red Sox, Braves, and Mariners have offered contracts to the 22-year-old right-hander.
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You forgot the Braves. They have also offered a contract Tim.
Posted by: jwn0303 | November 23, 2008 at 02:09 PM
Err, Steve, my bad.
Posted by: jwn0303 | November 23, 2008 at 02:09 PM
Braves, too: http://www.ajc.com/news/content/sports/braves/stories/2008/11/04/braves_offer_japanese_pitcher.html
Posted by: Stephen Peele | November 23, 2008 at 02:10 PM
Outfielder? Pitcher??
Posted by: NedCollettiClueless | November 23, 2008 at 02:12 PM
i hope he is not another matsuzaka
Posted by: Stephen | November 23, 2008 at 02:18 PM
"Outfielder? Pitcher??"
Pitcher... Tazawa's been major news for a while now, where you been?
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | November 23, 2008 at 02:19 PM
Yea the Braves did offer him a contract. I have a feeling that he will lean towards SEA and BOS because of Ichiro and Dice K and Kobayashi. It would be great if the Braves got him! He seems to be a solid pitcher and it would be a brilliant marketing move.
p.s. NEW TYPEKEY LOGIN!
Posted by: ChiefTomahawk | November 23, 2008 at 02:21 PM
Thanks for the reminder about Atlanta guys.
And yes, Tazawa's a pitcher who's been talked about quite a bit. Still, probably should have reiterated that he's a pitcher. I threw that in there too, for clarity's sake.
Posted by: Steve Adams | November 23, 2008 at 02:23 PM
Are the braves still the only ones offering a major league deal because if they are i would assume they are the frontrunners.
Posted by: bravesfan22193 | November 23, 2008 at 02:25 PM
Hey Steve, another chunk of Tazawa news:
http://www.rotoworld.com/Content/playerpages/player_main.aspx?sport=MLB&id=5661
Not exactly detailed but noteworthy...
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | November 23, 2008 at 02:26 PM
you dont want another dice-k? idc how many pitches he throws. dice k played great last year regardless of your thoughts of how he got the job done. bottem line is he did get it done and didnt give up runs. i would take another dice k any day.
Posted by: gmac | November 23, 2008 at 02:39 PM
Theres no insight in this post, is this enough to get him, where do you think he will go and why cmon Stever
Posted by: Reality Check | November 23, 2008 at 02:42 PM
I hope the Braves are able to pick him up. I'm a huge Braves AND Red Sox fan, so if he signs with either team I win. haha But the Braves need the help a LOT more since Jair Jurrjens is their only solid starter for the '09 season. The Sox are stacked as hell. I don't even really see a spot for Tazawa on the roster for another few years.
Also, I agree with Gmac. I'd take another Matsuzaka any day. He's simply nasty, regardless of his pitch count.
Posted by: Matt Venis | November 23, 2008 at 03:00 PM
braves fan and a red sox fan? wow.
Posted by: TheKiid | November 23, 2008 at 03:19 PM
I'm sort of the New York sports anti-christ. haha I've lived 20 minutes north of NYC my whole life. People hate me for it, but you love the teams you love, man.
Posted by: Matt Venis | November 23, 2008 at 03:30 PM
I don't see why the Whitesox don't make an offer to this guy, they have the money and desperately need another SP
Posted by: ChiSoxKilla23 | November 23, 2008 at 03:32 PM
Another Daisuke for 6 million dollars? Why wouldn't you want that? I'm sure anyone would think an 18 game winner is a bargain for 6 million. I'm glad Theo is making an agressive offer for Tazawa. I like his moves so far with the Coco trade as well.
Posted by: SierraM | November 23, 2008 at 03:53 PM
Y'all know he's just a kid who has never even pitched in the Japan major leagues, right? Major league contract or not, anybody would be an idiot to start him higher than AA.
Posted by: Little Bear | November 23, 2008 at 04:01 PM
I still am thinking he ends up a Mariner. with our Japanese influence and connections, I don't see how the front office could pass up a pitcher with this talent, for only 6M a season..
Posted by: baseballismylyf4 | November 23, 2008 at 04:05 PM
Boston and Seattle both are deep with Asian players at both major and throughout minor leagues. Maybe this will sway Tazawa to 1 of those 2 teams? Do the Braves have many Asian player in the organization?
Posted by: johns | November 23, 2008 at 04:13 PM
Tazawa is not major league ready, probably start in Pawtucket, maybe even Portland. He has all the tools from video I've seen, but have to start in lower level if Boston gets him. That might make him change his mind.
Posted by: Cyyoung | November 23, 2008 at 05:56 PM
You guys are all way ahead of yourselves. This kid is in no way major league ready. It doesn't matter who he goes to he doesn't make the rotation. I think the Sox end up with him. Reports came out the other day that they have been watching him for a couple of years now which is very similar to Dice-k. If they want him they will get him. Teams like Seattle and Atlanta just can't afford to take the chance with the extra payroll right now. Either way whoever gets him is basically like signing a low round draft pick. It will be awhile if ever that we see him in the show. It is nothing more than the media trying to turn it into something bigger to cash in. One of the posters said it before. He hasn't even pitched a major league game in Japan. They say he has a decent changeup, a decent curveball, and an above average fastball. Some say it clocks in at the 97-98 mph range but others say this is an exaggeration and it is more like 92-94. I see him with Boston but he will start the season at AA.
Oh and just to clarify before anyone says it. The only difference between a major league contract and a minor league contract offer, is that a major league contract offer is basically an invitation to major league spring training camps and a chance to make the big club. Neither guarantees a spot on the major league roster. There are many minor league players that are under major league contracts.
Posted by: evilsauron2 | November 23, 2008 at 06:05 PM
I believe there's an extra condition with the Major League contract - the player has to be included on the 40 man roster which perhaps means a somewhat shorter stay in the minors.
Posted by: Robin | November 23, 2008 at 08:48 PM
"Another report from Nikkan Sports says Tazawa has already decided on the Red Sox."
So, he's a Red Sox now?
Posted by: The Goggles Do Nothing | November 23, 2008 at 10:40 PM
well lowe and burnett, thanks for stopping by but dont let the door hit you on the rear on the way out. getting a good future prospect for 3 years at 3 million who looks to have alot of promise
Posted by: 04Forever | November 23, 2008 at 10:47 PM
the red sox are the favorites they have a japanese catcher in the low minors, and they have another pitcher i believe. they have 2 Japanese players on the club as of right now.
if he wants 6 million dollars thats a great gamble, i thought i read he was first round talent.
the red sox have no problem paying(or over paying) for young talent to develop
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | November 23, 2008 at 10:58 PM
"the red sox are the favorites they have a japanese catcher in the low minors, and they have another pitcher i believe"
They have Chia-Chu Chen who is Taiwanese, but if you mean Hayato Doue they're having trouble getting him a work visa and he hasn't put on a Sox uniform yet. As for the pitcher, Terumasa Matsuo, he's still in high A and he's 27 at the start of next year. If Tazawa is really signed by the Sox he and Matsuo likely will never be teammates.
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | November 23, 2008 at 11:09 PM
"but if you mean Hayato Doue they're having trouble getting him a work visa and he hasn't put on a Sox uniform yet."
It's true that Doue never got a work permit. He spent '08 in a Japanese Independent League and was drafted by the SoftBank Hawks in October. AFAIK the idea of him going to the Red Sox is long dead.
Posted by: pnewman | November 23, 2008 at 11:16 PM
matsuo is a 4a most likely but has a slight chance of pitching in the big leauges. and the catcher is coming next year, unless it gets really out of control and i think he will be released and hes owned by the sox.
so they will both be in double A next year if everything goes like it should. and they have like 3 or 4 more asian players in the low system.
tazawa is playing in the minors first.
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | November 23, 2008 at 11:24 PM
where did you find that the red sox released him from his contract?
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | November 23, 2008 at 11:34 PM
Boston also pays $130M posting fee.
Posted by: juiced | November 23, 2008 at 11:39 PM
"where did you find that the red sox released him from his contract?"
I don't think a contract was ever completed. Doue said he wouldn't move after his work visa was denied.
Matsuo pitched in Lo-A last year as a 26 year-old, so he'll probably have some more development to go through before he gets the 4a label.
Posted by: pnewman | November 24, 2008 at 12:05 AM
he is signed by the sox, and if he can obtain a visa before the beginning of the 09 theres a good chance he will come over. they own his rights, so they can tender him a contract before the season. but it doesnt matter anyways hes just there to provide depth
Posted by: 661dodgerblue | November 24, 2008 at 12:12 AM
It's sad that Boston and Atlanta must more or less cheat and use unethical methods to gain an unfair advantage on the other teams. I suppose this is normal for Boston, though. Look what they do in the draft.
Posted by: Grant77 | November 24, 2008 at 01:59 AM
What is sad Grant77, is that teams like Boston do not scout the international markets and sign more players. Why blame teams like them for doing this and also, why blame Boston for drafting unsignable players in lower rounds of the draft and offering them high $$$ to sign? That is good buz practice to spend 10 million dollars on 1 years draft vs 10 million dollars for 1 year on a washed of eric gagne like Milwaukee did when the rewards can be so high.
your entire post sounded exactly like sour grapes on this end.
Posted by: johns | November 24, 2008 at 02:05 AM
I really think people overestimate this "well x team has a Japanese player, so he's a lock to go there" idea. One of the interviews posted about him listed Hideo Nomo as one of his heroes, I can't see the idea of him having to walk the same path as his hero in becoming the first Japanese player for an organization as any major deterrent. In the end, he's just another ballplayer, "where's the most money? Where will I get the most/best spent time?"
Grant, your team would do it too if they needed a player and saw a good option they thought would benefit them. Welcome to business. Put it on paper if you don't want something done.
Posted by: CT | November 24, 2008 at 02:08 AM
Why blame teams for doing this? They are breaking the international rules between NPB and MLB, that's why. MLB teams are not allowed to sign Japanese prospects. What Boston is doing is clearly deceitful and wrong, anyone can see that.
You two make it sound like ever team can throw over 10 million dollars at the draft every year. Citing an example like Gagne means nothing, thats simply one failed signing of hundreds of successful ones.
There are slots on the draft for a reason, teams are supposed to follow the rules. The draft does not work like it is supposed to. Teams with money have access to at least 20% of the top 100 prospects every year. Because of this, we have no competitive balance. Poor teams have limited access to talent. No other major sports have this major problem.
Posted by: Grant77 | November 24, 2008 at 05:54 AM
"Poor teams"
HAH. Good one.
Posted by: ArodSucksAtLife | November 24, 2008 at 06:18 AM
If a team invests over a year in scouting a young man from another country, and then thinks its a wise business move to sign him, I do not understand how it is unethical. All major league teams have this opportunity. Funny thing many major league teams cannot find the right talent in the USA. That is shameful, to the fans of their organizations. Red Sox are only doing what is called good business sense. Find young talent throughout the world, sign them with a contract that is worth their value, and club's. Develop it and keep a winning attitude, for the fans. Good Job Red Sox if signing is done.
Posted by: Cyyoung | November 24, 2008 at 07:04 AM
Portland Sea Dogs are going to have a hell of a starting rotation from first 3 starters,Nick Hagadone, Kris Johnson, Junichi Tazawa.
MINOR LEAGUE BASEBALL ROCKS.
This is the future for BOSTON!
Posted by: Cyyoung | November 24, 2008 at 07:10 AM
Ahh great another player the Braves are not going to acquire this off-season.
As of now I don't think the Braves are going to sign or acquire any stud SP's
Posted by: ChiefTomahawk | November 24, 2008 at 07:25 AM
"Why blame teams for doing this? They are breaking the international rules between NPB and MLB, that's why. MLB teams are not allowed to sign Japanese prospects. What Boston is doing is clearly deceitful and wrong, anyone can see that." - Grant77
Grant77, you are wrong. Site me the rule in which Tazawa applies. Tazawa is a FA and can be signed by any team in the world.
Here are some text and a comment from NPB on the subject, taken from The NY Times:
"Major League Baseball officials maintain that the letter of their protocol agreement with their Japanese counterparts, Nippon Professional Baseball, does not forbid either league from courting amateur talent from the other’s nation. When one Japanese representative characterized the rule as a gentlemen’s agreement during a meeting in New York, he was angrily rebutted by a Major League Baseball official, according to two attendees."
"“This was more than just a gentlemen’s agreement, but rather an implicit understanding that the major leagues would do no such thing,” Nippon Professional Baseball said in a news release on signing Japanese baseball amateurs. “That a handful of clubs from the majors is trying to break this gentlemen’s agreement is truly regrettable.”"
You see they used the term "gentleman's agreement". This means there are NO RULES to keep the Red Sox from signing Tazawa.
Posted by: grandmasterb | November 24, 2008 at 07:42 AM
"Because of this, we have no competitive balance. Poor teams have limited access to talent. No other major sports have this major problem. "
Posted by: Grant77 | November 24, 2008 at 05:54 AM
1st point: Oakland A's a small market team signed coveted 16yr old pitcher Michael Inoa just last year. Read here: http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news?slug=jp-inoa070308&prov=yhoo&type=lgns
2nd point. The Red Sox just saved roughly $5 million on trading Coco Crisp to the Royals. This money was then used for this offer. There was nothing to stop the Royals from offering the money instead of spending it on Crisp.
3rd point. The NBA/NFL are allowed to sign /or draft kids from anywhere in the world. If they can find them, they can sign them.
4th point. Soccer, the worlds largest sport has improved greatly since they expanded to a global style operation; essentially this is the direction many of us who love the game of baseball hope MLB with go with the game. Through expansion, baseball will grow and competition will become better.
Posted by: KangarooBoxer26 | November 24, 2008 at 08:09 AM
Grant if your teamed signed him would you consider it cheating? Would you announce it so vehemently?
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | November 24, 2008 at 08:14 AM
Chief,
You got a stud coming up very soon, Tommy Hanson. He is the real deal.
Posted by: Cyyoung | November 24, 2008 at 08:17 AM
"Grant if your teamed signed him would you consider it cheating? Would you announce it so vehemently?"
Absolutely! I am 100% against any team cheating or using unethical tactics to gain an unfair advantage. I am saddened even when they pay over slot for a player.
The game we all love should be played on a level playing field, I think we can agree on this. Boston is ruining this gentlemens agreement for everyone, especially baseball fans in Japan. The agreement is in place for a reason.
Posted by: Grant77 | November 24, 2008 at 08:28 AM
"Portland Sea Dogs are going to have a hell of a starting rotation from first 3 starters,Nick Hagadone, Kris Johnson, Junichi Tazawa.
MINOR LEAGUE BASEBALL ROCKS.
This is the future for BOSTON!"
Hahahaha...
You Sox fans crack me up. Every team has their Hagadones, Johnsons or Tazawas.
Posted by: The Goggles Do Nothing | November 24, 2008 at 08:35 AM
There are reports that his FB is 96?
I feel like I read that he throws 88-89 and is unlikely to pitch in the majors this year
How good is his gyroball?
Posted by: wayne gomes | November 24, 2008 at 08:38 AM
"The game we all love should be played on a level playing field"
Yes, exact thing I wrote in the past, they should be on a level playing, including money.
Posted by: BravesRed | November 24, 2008 at 08:44 AM
"The game we all love should be played on a level playing field, I think we can agree on this. Boston is ruining this gentlemens agreement for everyone, especially baseball fans in Japan. The agreement is in place for a reason." - Grant77
Funny, now you call it a gentleman's agreement. Just a few hours ago you said the Red Sox were, "breaking the international rules between NPB and MLB". TFF
Posted by: grandmasterb | November 24, 2008 at 08:46 AM
I agree goggles, they are complete fools. Hagadone will likely be in A ball when he is 24 and people are treating him like a god.
Posted by: Grant77 | November 24, 2008 at 08:50 AM
The best way to have things on a "level playing field" is to allow any player from anywhere to sign with whomever they choose.
As far as I am concerned the "gentlemans agreement" shouldn't even be in existence. I think its wrong to tell anyone they are limited in their profession by the boundries of their country.
If a Japanese pitcher wants to see if he can be the best pitcher ever to play the game, it should be up to him to decide where he feels he can accomplish testing his skill.
I wonder if the agreement was tossed aside altogether, how many US kids would consider going to Japan to get their careers started instead of playing in the Minors? Wouldn't that help to improve their league and development as well?
Posted by: KangarooBoxer26 | November 24, 2008 at 08:59 AM
"well lowe and burnett, thanks for stopping by but dont let the door hit you on the rear on the way out."
im sorry i didnt know we were gonna have a unproven 22 year old japanese pitcher take a rotation spot his first year with the club. if you expect the sox to NOT go sign one of these two your sadly mistaken. watch lowe to be in the rotation next year.
Posted by: gmac | November 24, 2008 at 08:59 AM
Anyone saying that it's the big markets who throw money at international signees or draft picks and destroy competitive balance (mostly this is Grant in this discussion) is completely and utterly wrong.
Top 10 Money Spent on International Signings, 2008:
1. Cincinnati
2. Oakland
3. San Diego
4. New York (AL)
5. San Francisco
6. Saint Louis
7. Seattle
8. Atlanta
9. Cleveland
10. Texas
Top 10 Draft Budgets, 2008:
1. Kansas City
2. Boston
3. Tampa Bay
4. Pittsburgh
5. San Francisco
6. Milwaukee
7. Texas
8. Minnesota
9. Cleveland
10. Baltimore
Yeah, you've got your big payrolls here, your Bostons and Seattles and New Yorks, but most of the list of big spending on young players comes from the small markets.
Point is: Boston spent a total of $10 million on the draft last year, which is about what you pay for a one-year deal for a major leaguer trying to resuscitate his career. Think Eric Gagne last year, Randy Johnson this year (that's the rumor, anwyay), Tom Glavine last year. And it's far less than the money being spent on the marquee free agents, even just on a per-year basis.
Bottom line: it's not the big-market teams that spend a larger-but-still-small fraction of their budget on prospects (which is all Tazawa is a this point). It's the smart teams.
Posted by: Ari Collins | November 24, 2008 at 09:04 AM
Grant77: Did I miss the news report that Japan suddently became Cuba? He lives in a free society and if he wants to come here and play he should be allowed too. Japan holds their players rights for 8 or 9 years severely happering their players ability to market themselves and make a good living. And if you think that there was a team in baseball that didn't have the money to sign him then you don't understand baseball. $3 million would be roughly the 7th slot in the draft, and I wouldn't be surprised if thats around where he would have gone.
Posted by: Steveo26 | November 24, 2008 at 09:11 AM
"im sorry i didnt know we were gonna have a unproven 22 year old japanese pitcher take a rotation spot his first year with the club. if you expect the sox to NOT go sign one of these two your sadly mistaken. watch lowe to be in the rotation next year." - gmac
Boy am I glad Theo runs the team and not you. Tazawa doesn't(and won't) have to start the season in the rotation. The Sox should still run far far away from Lowe and Burnett. They want to much money for too many years to justify signing them. Lowe will be 36 during the first year of his new contract and he wants 16+ million per season for 4-5 years. The Sox now have two solid options for the 5 spot in the rotation with Masterson and Buchholz. If I were the Sox, I would offer Kenshin Kawakami a contract and let Masterson stay in the pen(where he brings more value) and let Buchholz get himself straightened out in the minors. Kawakami projects as a middle of the rotation pitcher that will come much cheaper than Burnett or Lowe(36 million for 3 years).
Posted by: grandmasterb | November 24, 2008 at 09:15 AM
Not sure how I feel about this. Seems odd that the Sox would risk ruining all the inroads they've made with Japanese baseball, unless they were comfortable that this deal won't jeopardize future relations. Certainly doesn't seem to bother Texas, Seattle or Atlanta. All are in on Tazawa.
Posted by: Mrs_Thompson's_Boy | November 24, 2008 at 09:15 AM
Ari,
Where are the links to prove these top 10 international and draft spendings?
Posted by: BravesRed | November 24, 2008 at 09:16 AM
To elaborate on my previous post, the Sox could also go in another direction. They could sign Koji Uehara, RP, and let Masterson become the 5th starter. Uehara has better stuff than Kawakami, but is probably better suited to the bullpen at this point in his career. Either way, stay away from Lowe and Burnett. FA pitchers signed to huge deals usually kill the teams that ink them.
Posted by: grandmasterb | November 24, 2008 at 09:23 AM
"You Sox fans crack me up. Every team has their Hagadones, Johnsons or Tazawas."
No they don't
Posted by: Kenan and Kel | November 24, 2008 at 10:42 AM
KangarooBoxer26: "As far as I am concerned the "gentlemans agreement" shouldn't even be in existence. I think its wrong to tell anyone they are limited in their profession by the boundries of their country."
Now, now. I'm sure Grant77 is just as bullshit about the White Sox signing that kid from Cuba. I'm sure he has gone on long self-righteous rants in another thread about that deal. I just missed it, somehow.
Posted by: Little Bear | November 24, 2008 at 10:54 AM
I don't want the Sox to sign Lowe because the National League is garbage, don't know what to think of the Japanse corporate league...
Posted by: slashieboy | November 24, 2008 at 11:07 AM
Hey I'm not trying to be funny and I don't want anyone to think that I'm hating on a Sucks potential signing but this scouting report doesn't sound all that great. He sounds like Igawa 2.0.
________________
He has good command of his fastball and slurve, but he lacks velocity, stamina and the ability to keep the ball down. At 22, Tazawa is unlikely to throw much harder than he does now; his fastball barely tops 90 mph when he is rested, and he struggled to hit 88 mph at the end of last season.
____________________________
I thought I read somewhere that he threw 95mph ++?
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | November 24, 2008 at 11:13 AM
His fastball barely tops 90? Really?
Thats funny because I watched a youtube clip of him where every fastball he threw was between 90-94 mph. I didnt see one fastball under 90mph
However I would be concerned about how he leaves his breaking stuff up in the zone quite often. In fenway that would end up with a lot of balls heading over the monster.
If he can harness more control with that breaking stuff though, wow, itd be vicious.
Posted by: xethicx | November 24, 2008 at 11:16 AM
Why are people still convinced that the "radar gun" readings from TV feeds are in anyway relevant to the actual radar gun readings that scouts get? Everything I've ever read points to the TV readings generally being 2-4 mph faster than the guns that scouts are actually using (Keith Law for example says he doesn't know any scout that has gotten Zumaya at over 99, even though he routinely hit 101+ on TV). If a guy is throwing between 90 and 94 on TV, its probably a good bet that he was actually between 88 and 92.
As for other scouting reports having Tazawa at 95 or 96, I'm guessing those were lesser scouts and they only saw him touch that velocity (meaning they got a reading that high once or twice). The gun was probably already on the high end reading wise and got a few pitches which it registered even faster. These guns aren't as accurate as you think (and the pitches also don't even stay at a constant velocity the entire way to the plate).
Posted by: nixa37 | November 24, 2008 at 11:32 AM
If Tazawa couldn't touch 90 at 22 and simply had plus command he wouldn't be this sought after. Who the hell wants to give 6 million to that?
I'm not sure which is more reliable though, the youtube videos with radar guns or the moron from ESPN. Unfortunately, I'm not kidding, I just can't believe teams would be in on a guy that lacks the make up or stuff to pitch here.
Posted by: Kenan and Kel | November 24, 2008 at 11:40 AM
"You Sox fans crack me up. Every team has their Hagadones, Johnsons or Tazawas."
So false. Hagadone has one of the best arms in the minor leagues, and even though he is coming off of TJS, his value as a prospect is still quite good, which should be a reflection of how talented he is. Hagadone could very well be a better prospect than Bowden if he can stay healthy.
You have to be fair with Hagadone and give him some more time because of the surgery, because he has the potential to be real good.
As for Tazawa, it just seems like a really low risk acquisition, so I don't get why spending $6-10M on him would even matter. Worst case scenario you wasted a few million, best case scenario you just locked up a young mid rotation starter on the very cheap.
Posted by: scribbletone | November 24, 2008 at 11:42 AM
Kenan and Kel,
The article never says that Tazawa couldn't touch 90, only that he struggled to top 90 when rested. That makes me think that this scout has him as sitting between 88-90 during starts. Seems like that would project out to be average velocity for a RHP. He's probably more down on Tazawa than the average scout, but not as out of line as you'd think. From everything I've read, his fastball also has plus movement, which would make it a pretty good pitch even without great velocity. He also has good secondary stuff and command, which contributes to his value as a prospect.
My takeaway from this is that Tazawa probably sits at 90-92 currently when rested, and will hopefully up that to the 92-94 range with age.
Posted by: nixa37 | November 24, 2008 at 12:07 PM
grandmasterb:
idt you understand what your saying here. hes 36. NOT VERY OLD compared to the pitchers this year. randy johnson is what? 45 years old and he wants 8 million? CURT SCHILLING WHO DIDNT EVEN PITCH MADE 8 MILLION AT THE AGE OF 42! 16 million for a pitcher who is playing great still at 36 isnt bad. would you rather have ANDY PETTITE for 16 mill or DEREK LOWE? go back and do some home work kiddo.
Posted by: gmac | November 24, 2008 at 12:12 PM
"My takeaway from this is that Tazawa probably sits at 90-92 currently when rested, and will hopefully up that to the 92-94 range with age."
I'm not going to question his velocity, I think it's ridiculous that in this day and age there so many vastly varying reports about how hard he throws. I don't believe it's 97, but 88 seems too low.
Not sure if its this ESPN writer or another but one of them was extremely down on Tazawa's make up. Said he lacked the smarts to get big leaguers out as well as the mental make up to survive over here. Of course he also talked down about his stuff.
Ultimately it doesn't really make a difference where this kid lands, I hope it's with my team obviously, but I'd just like to get some clarification about his actual abilities.
Posted by: Kenan and Kel | November 24, 2008 at 12:23 PM
Tazawa pitched a lot of innings this year, so expect a tired arm. Also pitched a complete game shutout other day with 10 strikeouts, he must have a little stamina. Also came back in final and pitched reief, he gave up the winning run. Many reports I do not go by. Sox have scouted him for long time. If they felt too many negatives about him, they would move on.
Posted by: Cyyoung | November 24, 2008 at 12:27 PM
Instead of playing the guessing game from different scouting reports, take a look at some of the video footage of Tazawa on youtube. His fastball registers between 142km/hr and 147km/hr (88-91mph) and is straight and up in the zone. He would get more movement on the ball if he got on top of it, but he slings it to the plate slightly 3/4. In all the videos, I have not seen him comfortably sit any higher than 90mph. However, he likes to pitch backwards and you will notice in the videos that he throws many more curves than fastballs. His curve rests easily around 130km/hr (80mph) for a differential of about 10mph. Any slider that people allude to is also a myth as he throws two or three a game at around 130km/hr (80mph) usually high in the zone for hitters to chase. In MLB, high and slow is usually a bad combination. Take a look for yourself.
Posted by: Shun | November 24, 2008 at 12:35 PM
Hey BravesRed,
Sorry I didn't source those numbers. They originally came from Baseball America, but I read them on the Sons of Sam Horn message board, in this thread:
http://sonsofsamhorn.net/index.php?showtopic=38782
There you'll find all teams ranked by amount spent, not just the top 10. He also breaks it down by giving you the total spent on the draft AND international for each team, how each team stacks in its proportion of amateur spending that goes into international as opposed to the draft, and the total draft spending by teams over the last two years combined. Fascinating stuff!
Posted by: Ari Collins | November 24, 2008 at 12:53 PM
"So false. Hagadone has one of the best arms in the minor leagues, and even though he is coming off of TJS, his value as a prospect is still quite good, which should be a reflection of how talented he is. Hagadone could very well be a better prospect than Bowden if he can stay healthy."
How is that different from other teams? Teams like, for example, Yankees have their share of pitchers who can be described as 'one of the best arms of in milb', 'value as prospect is pretty good' and 'be a better prospect than ____ if can stay healthy' and whatever you guys would describe Hagadone. How about Kris Johnson? Sure, I see that he'll be 24 in AAA next year and the man had a decent year off AA with 3.63 ERA with not so shabby numbers but the thing is, I cannot see him becoming anything really BIG for the 'Future of BOSTON'. I seriously doubt his ceiling goes up to more than #3 starter. Tazawa? The jury is still out on how he'll be even in Minor League Baseball, puh-lease
Posted by: The Goggles Do Nothing | November 24, 2008 at 01:44 PM
Tazawa is going to pick the Red Sox. With people like Daisuke and Hideki Okajima on the Red Sox it shouldn't be too hard to persuade him.
Posted by: Johnny | November 24, 2008 at 02:16 PM
Again...I know i'm in Red Sucks territory and I'm not knocking Tazawa just because he'll probably go to Boston but saying he struck out 10 in one of there games doesn't really say much. Remember the great Igawa won several strike out titles in Japan before coming here. Also, I could be wrong but how often does a 22 year old increase his velocity, unless he maybe adds bulk/muscles to his frame? I think to an extent we've become inamored with international players. What's the difference between an american born player who throws 90-92 and a foreign player at the same age?
Posted by: YanksFanSince78 | November 24, 2008 at 03:24 PM
"grandmasterb:
idt you understand what your saying here. hes 36. NOT VERY OLD compared to the pitchers this year. randy johnson is what? 45 years old and he wants 8 million? CURT SCHILLING WHO DIDNT EVEN PITCH MADE 8 MILLION AT THE AGE OF 42! 16 million for a pitcher who is playing great still at 36 isnt bad. would you rather have ANDY PETTITE for 16 mill or DEREK LOWE? go back and do some home work kiddo." - gmac
So you are going to base your argument for Lowe by saying that he is better than Schilling,Johnson and Pettite? Just because those pitchers were and are bad investments, doesn't mean Lowe is a good one. Lowe's last two seasons in the AL were not very good. He posted era's over 4.4 both seasons(5.4 his last). To further my point, Barry Zito was given 126 million over 6 years and Lowe out-pitched him. By your reasoning, the Sox should give Lowe at least as much, ehh? Future investments shouldn't start with prior poor investments as a baseline. If you read any of my posts, you would know that I don't want any of the overpriced garbage you mentioned or Lowe or Burnett. Further more, I don't want Sabathia or Sheets. I want the Sox to sign Kenshin Kawakami, SP or Koji Uehara, RP. If they sign Kawakami, Masterson stays in the pen. If they sign Uehara, Masterson can be the 5th starter. Either of them would be a much cheaper and better value alternative to the available MLB free agents.
Posted by: grandmasterb | November 24, 2008 at 07:18 PM
* Zito's contract is for 7 years, my mistake.
Posted by: grandmasterb | November 24, 2008 at 07:20 PM
"I'm a huge Braves AND Red Sox fan"
Me too :D
Posted by: GoSoX | November 24, 2008 at 09:48 PM
My god, I've never seen such a bunch of idiots in one place before. The people on the Jays board are dying of laughter! Keep it coming ridiculous sox fans!
Posted by: Grant77 | November 24, 2008 at 10:02 PM
Ridiculous Sox fans? This coming from the guy who thought the Sox were breaking an international rule between NPB and MLB? Grant77, you are Hilarious.
Posted by: grandmasterb | November 24, 2008 at 10:41 PM
Haha! The Sox can have Tazawa and his 88 mph fastball and suspect stamina. Say hello to your own version of Kei Igawa. At least they didn't spend 50 million on him or whatever the Yanks did on Igawa.
Posted by: thr33niL | November 24, 2008 at 11:23 PM
why is everyone putting so much effort into a draft pick basically? its not like he is starting game 3 of the season or anything.
I don't believe 97 nor do I believe 88. And since when was fastball speed the sole requirement for success? and of course he can add some speed on that, male athletes don't peak physically until 26-29. He is basically still a kid.
Grant, if the people on the jays boards are laughing, they probably read your posts. You came in misinformed, have no real basis for your argument, except that you dislike the red sox.
Here is what I am willing to beat on, the Red Sox, Braves, Rangers etc know more about this kid than any of us or anyone writing about it giving a team like the Sox have been rumoured to be wathcing this kid for a year. If Craig Shipley offered this kid a deal I am going with he has talent, Shipley of course got the Red Sox Matsuzaka and Okajima.
The Red Sox drafting strategy is based on talent, not results, so its how good is your fastball, how good is your curve, we will teach you to control it, we can't teach you to throw it 98. And again this is what this signing is, he goes to what, AA?
Posted by: quintjs | November 25, 2008 at 02:14 AM
"Haha! The Sox can have Tazawa and his 88 mph fastball and suspect stamina. Say hello to your own version of Kei Igawa. At least they didn't spend 50 million on him or whatever the Yanks did on Igawa."
Many of the Japanese pitchers are not the fireballers and work with a multitude of pitches to get the job done. look no further than Kideki okijima and his FB that rarely tops 88-89mph, yethe is very effective vs both left and right handers and hitters still have trouble figuring out hsi tricky delivery and the 5 pitches he throws for strikes.
Dice-K came to the Majors with a rep as a high 90's FB, yet he rarely hits 94-95 and usually sits in the 92-93mph range and has been pretty good so far as well with his 4-5 pitches he throws, so just becasue Tazawa may not be the 97mph flame thrower is not saying much and wouldn't hold that against him.
Once again, the nay sayers and fans of teams without scouts in Asian/foreign markets are creeping in and crying "foul" to the teams that are smart enough to look all over the globe against the few teams smart enough to do so.
Posted by: johns | November 25, 2008 at 03:35 AM
thats a weird scouting report because I heard he throws 97 mph
Posted by: bosox21 | November 25, 2008 at 05:44 AM
i think he would be a great starter for the redsox. im a huge wakefield fan but im not crazy of them signin him again. albiet i also dont want clay bucholz comin back anytime soon. if Tazawa would fit nicely in the 4 hole and push wakefield back to 5.
Posted by: HandsHannon | November 25, 2008 at 06:50 AM
I agree with grand masterb,
I am also not interested in the free agent pitchers this year, too many question marks on them. Lowe was terrible his last year in Boston, in fact they put him in the bullpen. Post-season is what brought up his value. Good talent coming up, without spending money on many pitchers that could be on the DL, or not perform to their abilities. Other teams should do what is best for them, to compete and put fans in the stands, no problem here. For Sox they should stay focused and keep their plan on trying to stay "young and dynamic".
Theo Epstein, and Shipley thinks Tazawa has a future then go for it. Kawakame, has been scouted also by many teams, and frlom scouting reports I read all said would be a good 4th or 5th starter, and long relief man. If you can sign him for a lot less cash, and he performs then organization has done their homework. Hope Hagadone comes back from surgery.
Posted by: Cyyoung | November 25, 2008 at 07:03 AM
"if Tazawa would fit nicely in the 4 hole"
If the Sox do sign him, Tazawa will not be starting regularly for the Sox any time soon. It would take a massive case of the injury bug. Boston got burned with Craig Hansen and Cla Meredith when they brought both up way too soon. If they get Tazawa, they'll take time and groom him. They'll treat him like a college kid coming out of the draft. If he pitches at all in the majors next year it'll in September as a reliever. The biggest effect this year from signing Tazawa will probably only be more of a willingness to trade away Bowden or Bard.
Posted by: start_wearing_purple | November 25, 2008 at 07:05 AM
HandsHannon: "if Tazawa would fit nicely in the 4 hole"
If you want to see Tazawa pitch next year, get on the Amtrak to Portland. That's where Sox prospects go to work on their mechanics. That and professional experience are his two biggest needs at this point.
BTW, someone in the Sox front office said they have Tazawa down for a low 90s fastball. Fixing mechanics *might* make it a couple of MPH faster. Or not. The biggest goal, though, will be getting the breaking balls down.
Posted by: Little Bear | November 25, 2008 at 01:17 PM
HandsHannon
The only reason buhholz did so bad last year was because he was struggling with injury. He pitched in a fall league this fall and was reported to show real progress. Besides, if the rangers want him over bowden and masterson, he must be getting back to the way he was around the time of his no hitter
Posted by: Zachary Starbird | November 26, 2008 at 09:08 PM