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« Mets Interested In Tim Redding | Main | Cubs Sign Joey Gathright »
TUESDAY: The Phillies' three-year, $31.5MM deal with Ibanez is official.
FRIDAY, 12:45pm: Geoff Baker offers commentary on the signing. He says the Cubs cooled on Ibanez over defensive concerns while the Angels remained in a Mark Teixeira holding pattern.
7:56am: Ken Rosenthal is reporting that the Phillies have signed Raul Ibanez to a three-year deal. Rosenthal says the contract is worth $30MM. The deal is pending a physical.
As a type A free agent, the Mariners will receive the Phillies' first round pick next year (#28) and a supplemental pick between the first and second round. With Ibanez now the everyday left fielder, Jayson Stark says the Phillies will cut ties with Pat Burrell.
Cork Gaines writes for RaysIndex.com and can be reached here.
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nooooooooooooooooooooooooooo
Posted by: ballplaya | December 12, 2008 at 07:58 AM
love it as a mets fan.
Posted by: viktor06 | December 12, 2008 at 07:59 AM
YES! That means he will NOT be a Cub.
Posted by: Teetz1 | December 12, 2008 at 07:59 AM
That steps it up to the Angels to try and get Tex back.
Posted by: Coletrain | December 12, 2008 at 08:01 AM
I was hoping the braves would make a run at raul, but i guess they didnt. Congrats phillies on a good pickup.
Posted by: db4atlbraves | December 12, 2008 at 08:01 AM
Good replacement for Burrell this year.
I'm not convinced that the Phillies won't regret this signing next year or the year after though.
Posted by: Prismo | December 12, 2008 at 08:07 AM
I've expressed my vehement opposition to the Phillies signing Ibanez on other posts. And I'm still vehemently opposed from a strategical standpoint.
Let's just say: Mets fans be glad that you guys kept Schoeweneiss. A guy who holds lefties to a .594 OPS is even more valuable in the NL East now, cause it weakens all three of the Phillies' best hitters. Hopefully Manuel doesn't bat Utley-Howard-Ibanez 3-4-5 in the order. That could get ugly in later innings.
Oh and let's not get started on the draft pick. It's a first rounder. Something they wouldn't be giving up if they signed
And, not offering arbitration to Burrell? Ridiculously stupid. It's understandable if you're the DBacks and have an OF surplus, but when the Phillies were in the market for a corner OF anyways, a 1 year deal to Pat doesn't hurt anybody. Especially when he's in the later stages of his prime, and Raul is well out of it.
If Raul Ibanez can even get to a simple flyball that isn't hit right at him at age 40, I'll be amazed.
Yes, Raul Ibanez is a GREAT clubhouse presence, and an absolute class act. But, those aren't reasons for throwing large amounts of money at marginal players.
Posted by: melonis rex | December 12, 2008 at 08:08 AM
Wow, i thought they were goin for Jermaine Dye.
Posted by: ballerwhiteboy | December 12, 2008 at 08:10 AM
he's a very good/under-rated hitter but he's gonna make Pat Burrell look like Willie Mays in the field....probably teh worst fielding OF in baseball and teh worst among the very bad fielding free agent class of Dunn, Manny, Burrell & Abreu...
Posted by: tvators | December 12, 2008 at 08:12 AM
"Oh and let's not get started on the draft pick. It's a first rounder. Something they wouldn't be giving up if they signed "
Add Dunn/Burrell/Abreu to the end of that sentence.
Posted by: melonis rex | December 12, 2008 at 08:13 AM
3 years for a 36 year old Ibanez but they wouldn't give 32 year old Burrell 3 years.
What the hell??!?
Posted by: Groty | December 12, 2008 at 08:13 AM
Great signing 3/30...
Posted by: KG2577 | December 12, 2008 at 08:14 AM
i thought the phils were trying to get more right handed? whatever, glad he's not a cub...
Posted by: 100backeduptrucks | December 12, 2008 at 08:16 AM
Burrell and Ibanez are both offensively and defensively similar except:
1. Burrell is younger
2. Burrell saves you a 1st round draft pick
3. Burrell is a righty
The school of management ala Dayton Moore
Posted by: viktor06 | December 12, 2008 at 08:18 AM
Utley, Howard and Ibanez are going to see a steady diet of LHP when the starter is out of the game. I thought the goal was to acquire a good RH bat to put between Utley & Howard.
Posted by: Robin | December 12, 2008 at 08:20 AM
"3 years for a 36 year old Ibanez but they wouldn't give 32 year old Burrell 3 years."
Or even offer him arbitration. Yes, he would've gotten 14MM in arb. But the Phillies keep the first rounder. And, you don't have a player who's well beyond his prime.
Posted by: melonis rex | December 12, 2008 at 08:20 AM
i will tell you right now uncle charlie isnt going to have ibanez batting 5th that will be Werth. ibanez and burrell are not simliar offensively. ibanez had more rbi' and better average by about 40 points and about 5 less home runs. i am phils fan i am not excited about the signing but there was nothing else out there for them to go after really. solid signing for the phils.
Posted by: derman1984 | December 12, 2008 at 08:24 AM
FYI it was Gillick who spent that 9 million on Eaton
Posted by: derman1984 | December 12, 2008 at 08:25 AM
"The Phils will throw 30 million at older outfielder...but dimes at pitching...and wastes 9 million a year on adam eaton...."
That was Gillick who signed Eaton. This is Amaro. Different GMs.
Amaro's pitching moves are yet to be seen, but he needs to bring in another arm to supplement Hamels-Myers-Blanton-Happ.
Posted by: melonis rex | December 12, 2008 at 08:28 AM
he get .300,30,100 ribbies this year.better than burrell in the field..also forget his age..coaches say the guy trains like a beast and is in excellent shape..prob has better cardio than slackers like d young.b fine for 3 years,gr8 pro at gr8 price
Posted by: huey | December 12, 2008 at 08:30 AM
and yet they're the world champs.
kinda funny how that works out?
poor moves, yet it all works out...
Posted by: oaklandathleticsince88 | December 12, 2008 at 08:30 AM
I'm getting a kick out of people's reactions to this signing. It's not like this signing takes away the Phillies World Series Championship.
People would only be satisfied if they signed:
Manny 3/75
Teixera 6/130
Lowe 3/50
It's just not feasible.
Posted by: voiceofreason | December 12, 2008 at 08:32 AM
"and yet they're the world champs.
kinda funny how that works out?
poor moves, yet it all works out..."
Really, REALLY good scouting department, led by Mike Arbuckle. Utley, Howard, Burrell, Hamels, Victorino, Rollins, are/were all home-grown. That's how they got to a championship. Great scouting.
They don't have to have a strong presence in the free agent market.
Posted by: melonis rex | December 12, 2008 at 08:33 AM
Guys, look at the numbers.
Ibanez is a better fielder than Burrell.
Last years RFg for Pat: 1.38
Last years RFg for Raul: 2.03
The Phils got a good-hitting LF for less money who puts up average-or-better defense in left and have cut ties with a popular slugger who is below average in the field by every measure.
Posted by: peterherman | December 12, 2008 at 08:35 AM
Ehh
I agree with basically everything melonis said above. They are valid points. Especially the draft picks, not offering arb to Burrell/Moyer was ridiculous
However, I will say that a lot of contending teams were in on this guy and not Burrell, so maybe they all know something we don't
And as far as the lefty-lefty point, Utley is pretty much even against lefties and righties at this point.
Howard is a concern now after taking a big step back last year (although in Sept he was unbelievable against lefties), and Ibanez, while very good against lefties last year, may have had a fluke season
Posted by: wayne gomes | December 12, 2008 at 08:36 AM
I still don't get it....why not offer Burrell arbitration? On the off hand he accepts, you would have a better and younger hitter than Ibanez on just a one year deal. If he didn't you could recoup the lost draft pick you lost on signing a Free Agent.
Posted by: Teetz1 | December 12, 2008 at 08:36 AM
peterherman, Burrell and Ibanez and perennially at the bottom of +/- for LF. So while Ibanez may be marginally better, I think both are well below average in the field
Both appear to have very good and useful throwing arms, however
Posted by: wayne gomes | December 12, 2008 at 08:37 AM
Raul has been a really good hitter. Top 5 i think in RBIs in the pas few years. He might even do better in the Phillies park.
Posted by: DominicanYanks | December 12, 2008 at 08:42 AM
Ibanez is a solid and consistent ballplayer. If you look at his numbers for the past 7 or 8 years, he is always around .290 BA with a .350 OBP. That said, he is definitely getting up there in age, but I wonder if that will be cancelled out by playing in CBP instead of Safeco??
I am also skeptical of Jayson Werth's ability to "protect" Howard as the right-handed bat behind him. Werth seems to take some brutal hacks at times, and it might be too much pressure for him at this point.
It would have been real nice to get Mark DeRosa to play LF and fill-in on the IF occasionally, but that won't be happening now.
Posted by: Haymaker | December 12, 2008 at 08:45 AM
I've said in the past that I would oppose this move and I still do.
But at the same time there are some positives to get out of this from a Phillies standpoint. I think some might still have a World Series hangover regarding Burrell. I personally will not miss the month long streaks of looking foolish at the plate and batting sub .200. And I won't miss Burrell being benched late in games and having players like Bruntlett batting in his place in the 9th.
The negatives of this trade are obvious: loss of draft pick, another lefty, contract/age.
Posted by: UtleyFan | December 12, 2008 at 08:51 AM
why does everyone think that Burrell is a better hitting than Ibanez looking at stats from the past years it appears that Ibanez is better. i will take less hoem runs with a better average and more Rbi's.
Posted by: derman1984 | December 12, 2008 at 08:54 AM
"why does everyone think that Burrell is a better hitting than Ibanez looking at stats from the past years it appears that Ibanez is better. i will take less hoem runs with a better average and more Rbi's."
Burrell walks more, hits for more power, OPS's higher. Def the better hitter #s wise, though I'm not sure how their two numbers would translate to a neutral park.
Posted by: CubbyFan23 | December 12, 2008 at 09:03 AM
Getting sick of all the idiots on here who don't know anything and try to cover it up by being negative towards any move the Phils make. If the Phils DID offer Burrell arbitration, you'd be complaining they did that. Do your homework. Ibanez is a better fielder than Burrell and has more RBIs over the last three years than Manny Ramirez. PS - Mets fans love this time of year, because you can't choke away a division lead during the offseason...
Posted by: Ron | December 12, 2008 at 09:06 AM
"Raul has been a really good hitter. Top 5 i think in RBIs in the pas few years. He might even do better in the Phillies park."
Perhaps, but RBIs are not always the most telling stat. Although, if I'm correct I've heard that Ibanez is a clutch hitter.
Too bad you're looking at just a terrible fielder. More GMs need to start looking at how much that should affect a player's value, it's far more than you'd think. Just horrid numbers in the field the last 2 years...
Posted by: oaklandathleticsince88 | December 12, 2008 at 09:07 AM
Ron---
1. Think of how lineups are structured. Generally, the #3 and #4 guys will get RBIs. Raul generally hit 3rd, as he was the Mariners' best hitter; Burrell almost always hit 5th, after Utley and Howard had their chances to clean up the bases.
2. What is the downside to offering Burrell arbitration. If he accepts, you get Pat on a 1 year deal at a slightly higher base salary than 10MM/yr. Burrell's still in his prime years, there's little-no reason to believe that Burrell will suddenly fall off a cliff. There is much, MUCH less risk in Burrell accepting arbitration than there is in signing a 37!!! year old guy to a 3 year deal.
3. Ibanez is MARGINALLY a better fielder. Chone Smith projections have Ibanez at -13 in LF, Burrell at -14. Very, VERY marginal defensive upgrade at best.
4. Taking low shots at the Mets is a great way to insult your intelligence.
Posted by: melonis rex | December 12, 2008 at 09:19 AM
To anyone whining about the Phillies facing lefties: Ibanez in 2008 vs. LHP - .305/.371/.497, vs. RHP - .288/.352/.470.
Posted by: Ron | December 12, 2008 at 09:19 AM
I liked Ibanez for the Mets on the provision that it was a lower-risk, two-year deal. I just feel that a third year for Ibanez is taking a big chance, only because he is going to get even worse in the field and I don't think his bat will keep those numbers up at age 39. With no DH spot available in the NL, it makes his contract a lot more risky because you don't have that option if he declines.
So good signing for now, but we'll see in the third year how it works out.
Posted by: MattyMets | December 12, 2008 at 09:19 AM
Ibanez career v. LHP:
.268/.322/.733
He has a few randomly scattered years where he hits lefties well. And, Safeco isn't as detrimental to LHB as it is to RHB.
Posted by: melonis rex | December 12, 2008 at 09:21 AM
if you neutralize their stats to average teams (715 runs scored per team) you have ibanez with an .803 ops and burrell at .848, about the clutch thing with Ibanez (while I do not believe your abilities can go up in clutch situations) Ibanez and Burrell are very close OPS wise with RISP and two out and in close game situations, with Pat getting about a 10 point lead in that category. Personally I would rather have Burrell, but I definitely see how some see Ibanez as being the more traditionally appealing player with his avg being around 50 points better.
Posted by: CubFanRaysaddict | December 12, 2008 at 09:24 AM
Its looking more and more like Milton Bradley will be a Cub next year. I like that idea.
As far as Ibanez, people aren't critical of it because they are Phillie haters. He is old already, and on a three year contract. However, he should be a little better than Burrell in LF, although still not great by any means. Of the two, I'd take Burrell, but you know you weren't getting him for less than 15 mil. So between Burrell at 15 mil a year and a draft pick or Ibanez at 10 mil a year and no draft pick, I think its a pretty close call.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | December 12, 2008 at 09:24 AM
Small sample size, he certainly does not hit lefties better than righties.
Posted by: CubbyFan23 | December 12, 2008 at 09:26 AM
Points taken melonis. But where does Manny bat? 4th. And Ibanez had more RBIs than Manny over the past three years. And no reason to think that Burrell will suddenly fall off a cliff? He was terrible for entire second half, and he can barely cover left field any more. Where would they put him if he can't play left? First base? No. DH? This isn't the AL. I'm not saying this is the best signing of the offseason, but it's far from a huge mistake.
Posted by: Ron | December 12, 2008 at 09:29 AM
As an Angels fan, I'm glad that Ibanez was signed.
As a Phillies transplant, Ibanez isn't too bad of a signing defensively, but I would rather have Burrell as he is 4 years younger and better offensively. I think I would've been happier with Burrell or an Adam Dunn signing as it wouldn't have cost draft picks. In the end, won't have to worry about late defensive sub replacements.
Posted by: tbone88 | December 12, 2008 at 09:30 AM
"Wow, i thought they were goin for Jermaine Dye." - We were one of 5 teams that was on Dye's contractual no-trade list. Mets too.
This guy has been one of the top 5 most productive and consistent outfielders in the league the last 3 years. This move makes me wonder if this will be the last change to the starting 8 in Philadelphia...because now it seems this lineup needs another right-handed bat. 3-4-5 Utley Howard Ibanez is Left-Left-Left...there's no way we can have that kind of lineup...so that won't happen. Moving Rollins out of the leadoff spot to protect 3-4 and having Victorino take over as the leadoff hitter might make a lot of sense with this kind of move. I don't think Werth is ready for that spot and Victorino isn't really enough of a situational hitter...I think some kind of shakeup is going to happen 1-6 because of adding an everyday lefty to the lineup.
Posted by: Paul | December 12, 2008 at 09:30 AM
Aduncaroo--
...not in this market, no.
Burrell
Abreu
Bradley
Dunn
Giambi
Angels
Rays
Braves
Mets
Cubs
There isn't enough competition/demand in the market right now for Burrell to get 15MM.
Posted by: melonis rex | December 12, 2008 at 09:31 AM
I have no problem with valid criticism of the signing. I should clarify who I meant by 'idiots'. That doesn't apply to the people on here who make valid, in-depth, analytical arguments pro or con on an issue. It's the people who whine and moan about any move the Phillies front office makes, mostly complaining on Philly.com. The sad thing is, 90% of them aren't haters, but are Phillies "fans".
Posted by: Ron | December 12, 2008 at 09:33 AM
Food for thought - here is Ibanez stats vs LHP over the last three years .269/.325/.410 (covering 542 at bats).
Posted by: Ron | December 12, 2008 at 09:35 AM
Does it matter if Burell has more power? You still need to put the bat on the ball and Burell strikes out more that Ibanez. 338 Rbis in the pas 3 years. Burell had 278 in thos 3 years. So If I had to choose I would take the better hitter Ibanez. More power doesn mean best hitter, that would mean that Dunn is one of the best.
Posted by: DominicanYanks | December 12, 2008 at 09:38 AM
tbone88 brings up an interesting name - Adam Dunn. He has hit 40+ HR for five years now, and over 100 RBIS every year but one over the same period. Yet every GM avoids him like the plague. The mystery is: why?
Posted by: Ron | December 12, 2008 at 09:40 AM
AAAAUUUUUGGGGGHHHHHHH!
Ruben is to baseball what Charlie Brown was to always trying to kick that football.
I hate this signing, and I hate Amaro. Gillick's worst move: making him GM.
I'll be saying that every chance I get til he's outta here.
geez. really? nothing about this makes any sense.
Posted by: JohnKruksWaistLine | December 12, 2008 at 09:42 AM
(sigh).....see what i mean?
Posted by: Ron | December 12, 2008 at 09:46 AM
''tbone88 brings up an interesting name - Adam Dunn. He has hit 40+ HR for five years now, and over 100 RBIS every year but one over the same period. Yet every GM avoids him like the plague. The mystery is: why?''
Dunn has been viewed for a while as a ''one-dimensional player,'' meaning that he only hits home runs. Plus, a lot of people are blinded by batting average and since Dunn is a career below-.250 hitter, they'll automatically assume that Dunn will strike out. He's also a below-average fielder.
But in reality, Dunn has been healthy throughout most of his career (152 or more games played the past five years), he has a career .381 OBP, and if you could name another hitter off the top of your head that has hit 40 home runs five years in a row, then good for you. Dunn is a streaky hitter, but when he's on, look out. And even though he's not a good fielder, pretty much every major outfielder in the free agent pool right now stinks defensively, and at least Dunn could play first as well if needed.
He'll end up going in January for 2/25, and it'll be a damn good signing for whoever makes the plunge for him.
Posted by: MattyMets | December 12, 2008 at 09:53 AM
Amen MattyMets
Posted by: Ron | December 12, 2008 at 09:58 AM
....that's not to say that I'm a huge Dunn fan. But there are so many teams out there dying for offense (every California franchise, for instance) that it doesn't make sense to not even consider him.
Posted by: Ron | December 12, 2008 at 10:00 AM
to say burrell is a better hitter is absolutely laughable! this is a steal for the phils. burrell hits what, 40-50 pts lower than ibanez? and they only sacrifice 5-10 home runs? plus Raul drives in more runs, strikes out less and is far less prone to prolonged slumps like Pat. I;m a huge phils and burrell fan but this is absolutely an upgrade at a price cheaper than burrell
Posted by: TR2008 | December 12, 2008 at 10:02 AM
"''tbone88 brings up an interesting name - Adam Dunn. He has hit 40+ HR for five years now, and over 100 RBIS every year but one over the same period. Yet every GM avoids him like the plague. The mystery is: why?''"
The market undervalues "three true outcome" (walk/K/HR) players like Dunn as opposed to other all hit, no glove slugger types.
Jack Cust, a similar but inferior player, sat on the waiver wire for years before the A's picked him up. He's put up a solid .850+ OPS since the pickup, in a very pitcher-friendly park.
Posted by: melonis rex | December 12, 2008 at 10:03 AM
Ron: If you think I'm merely a phillies "fan," or just a "phillies fan" and not a pure baseball fan, you're wrong.
I've watched industrial sized boatloads of awful Phillies baseball since the time I was knee-high. I've been extremely adamant against Amaro becoming the GM ever since Gillick said he'd be retiring after this past year. I've got every right to be pissed about this signing.
Enjoy some "valid criticism," that's posted below, as I've picked up all the hair that used to be in my head up from the floor and decided to type some out after putting the hair in a nice pile in my desk drawer.
Two things people need to take into consideration when comparing RBI between these two guys is Burrell was hitting behind Howard- the guy with 431 RBI in the last three years- for a large amount of games, and Burrell was taken out in the later stages of the game for defensive reasons.
That Ibanez, with more opportunities, and no Ryan Howard in front of him, has more RBI than Burrell is obvious.
Posted by: JohnKruksWaistLine | December 12, 2008 at 10:22 AM
Phillies should shift their focus to the old man, one year pitching area now...one of Moyer, Smoltz, Pettitte, Johnson would be nice
And who knows, maybe the market on Lowe comes back down somewhat if Yanks sign Burnett
Posted by: wayne gomes | December 12, 2008 at 10:24 AM
My point, which I forgot to tag on, is the RBI argument really isn't that valid.
Posted by: JohnKruksWaistLine | December 12, 2008 at 10:24 AM
The amount of people on this site who are justifying this signing by citing Rual's RBI total is baffling to me...
Posted by: Smoltz's Beard | December 12, 2008 at 10:24 AM
"And who knows, maybe the market on Lowe comes back down somewhat if Yanks sign Burnett"
Braves. Whichever one the Yanks don't get will get a very sweet bid from the Braves, who have plenty of cash to spend.
Posted by: melonis rex | December 12, 2008 at 10:33 AM
Braves make sense but they've declared they aren't interested
Posted by: wayne gomes | December 12, 2008 at 10:38 AM
Smoltz Fan - waht about hte fact that he hits almost 50 pts higher than burrell and strikes out less
Posted by: TR2008 | December 12, 2008 at 10:43 AM
Alright, so with Ibanez now being added to the Phillies fold, I don't see them creating a 3-4-5 lineup of Howard-Utley-Ibanez.
I do agree with the other poster who says Rollins may drop in the order with Victorino being the leadoff guy. I always thought Shane should bat leadoff, but I know Rollins loves it up there.
Here's a possible projected lineup for 2009.
Victorino S
Utley L
Rollins S
Howard L
Ibanez L
Werth R
Jenkins/Stairs L
Feliz R
Ruiz R
I know you still have the Lefty-Lefty with Howard and Ibanez, but I don't feel Werth would be good protection for Howard and so I put Ibanez there because he's a better hitter.
Thoughts?
Posted by: Phils Swiss! | December 12, 2008 at 10:45 AM
I see it like this Phils Swiss
Rollins S
Utley L
Howard L
Werth R
Ibanez L
Victorino S
Jenkins L
Feliz R
Ruiz R
Posted by: TR2008 | December 12, 2008 at 10:48 AM
You all need to CHILL!!!
The signing of Ibanez isn't the end of signings... or trades.
They will STILL get a Right-handed bat in there because we needed on to platoon with Jenkins and Stairs in RF.
What this does is put WERTH now in BOTH LF and RF as the righthanded hitter, as Ibanez will get MOST of the playing time in left, and Werth will get most in Right.
So the lineup looks like this:
1) Rollins
2) Victorino
3) Utley
4) Howard
5) Werth/Jenkins/Stairs
6) Ibanez/Werth
7) Feliz/Dobbs
8) Ruiz/Paulino
Posted by: FyreKnight | December 12, 2008 at 10:48 AM
"Smoltz Fan - waht about hte fact that he hits almost 50 pts higher than burrell and strikes out less"
BA= flawed.
Look at OPS. Burrell's OPS is a whole 30 points higher than Raul's.
And, you have to match team needs and skill sets.
Pat "The Statue" Burrell and Raul "Lawn Dart" Ibanez are both bad defenders. Tie.
Not every good player fits every team/lineup. Example: Jose Reyes wouldn't be a fit on the Phillies because they have Rollins. Reyes is a damn good player though.
Raul's inability to hit lefties hampers lineup flexibility and makes the big bats susceptible to the LOOGY. Of course, Manual will probably change the lineup and break up Utley-Howard-Ibanez, but that's still all three of your best hitters being LH batters. Raul's skill set does not fit the team's needs.
Posted by: melonis rex | December 12, 2008 at 10:51 AM
TR - Not bad, but I think with Rollins inability to take walks but knock in RBI's and Victorino's speed, I would hate for Shane to bat that low and would rather drop Rollins down.
Werth has looked ugly at times striking out on bad balls. I'd hate to have the K combination back to back with him and Howard.
One thing is for sure, Cholly will be tinkering with this lineup for many games before he finds the most effective one.
Posted by: Phils Swiss! | December 12, 2008 at 10:53 AM
melonis - spare me all the lingo aka loogy and do some research, ibanez hit 305 vs leftie last year and 296 vs rightyies..so your "inability to hit lefties" comment should have made me stop right there, but then you said that reyes wuolndt be a good fit for the phillies, players like reyes are good fits ANYWHERE....sotp wiht all the stats and teh "fitting the team needs" all teams will take a great bat, ibanez is a better bat than burrell
i mean besides, who needs a guy who has averaged 290 26 and 110 in the past 3 yeras, i guess guys like that dont fit
Posted by: TR2008 | December 12, 2008 at 10:55 AM
"So If I had to choose I would take the better hitter Ibanez. More power doesn mean best hitter, that would mean that Dunn is one of the best."
So we are going to use strikeouts and RBI to measure the hitter, instead of something like OPS, or OPS+? Come on.
Its actually pretty close. Last 4 years of OPS+
Burrell
2008: 125
2007: 127
2006: 122
2005: 128
Ibanez
2008: 124
2007: 121
2006: 125
2005: 115
What has to be scary about Ibanez is that he has to hit around .290 to keep his OBP at .350, where Burrell can hit .250 and be on base around .375.
Ibanez does bring a little better defense though. Bill James actually rates them as both pretty much awful, so it is what it is I guess. As for me, if you could get Burrell for 3/36 for his age 32-34 seasons, or Ibanez at 3/30 for his age 37-40 seasons, I'm taking Burrell. Ibanez is a good player, I just wouldn't have gone in that direction. Not an awful signing...but when you factor in the loss of the draft pick as well...well, you get my point.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | December 12, 2008 at 11:01 AM
very stupid move for the phils... adding another freakin left hitter in the line up.. if they go against a right pitcher you got almost everyone hitting from the left side considering
Jimmy Rollins and Shane Victorino who are switch hitters...
And now you got 3 powerful lefties in your line up Utley, Howard And Ibanez.
I think they were better of re-signing Burell, plus he younger than Ibanez, and they got to sign him to a three year deal wow~ bad move, i feel bad for shane victorino hes going to have to cover some of ibanez ground since he sucks at fielding
Posted by: aznxjapboiz | December 12, 2008 at 11:02 AM
TR: you're an idiot if you think overall talent wins out over team needs. Plain and simple.
You need to look beyond last year. Ibanez is a .268 hitter against lefties. .305 won't be replicable next year, and even if it is, it won't hold up for the rest of the contract.
And, just for semantics...if Reyes can be a great fit on any team, where does he play in the field where the team is set at short, like the Phillies are? Don't even consider moving him, because short's his best position, and if you're moving him, you're not getting him at his optimum playing level.
Posted by: JohnKruksWaistLine | December 12, 2008 at 11:07 AM
Ibanez is NOT an Angel. YEEEESSSSSSSSSSSSSSS!!!!!!!
Like the guy but not in Anaheim.
Posted by: Burtis | December 12, 2008 at 11:12 AM
TR2008 - BA is a pretty poor statistic to measure a player's worth. One team's scorekeeper can rule it a hit, while another's can rule it an error. Way too much subjectivity.
Melonis Rex did a pretty good job of summing up my statement in advance, but I'll add one last thing. Ibanez walks in roughly 8% of his PAs, which isn't bad, but Burrell walks in almost 15% of his PAs. Tremendous advantadge right there. Burrell also has an isolated power of .228, while Ibanez is at .186. It's not even a question as to who is the better hitter. Guess that was two things...
Posted by: Smoltz's Beard | December 12, 2008 at 11:26 AM
This is a BAD move by Philly.
Is their plan to actually go Utley-Howard-Ibanez 3-4-5? Because then the lineup would be tailor-made for LOOGY's.
I'd expect the Phillies to go into 2009 with this order:
SS Rollins
CF Victorino
2B Utley
1B Howard
RF Werth
LF Ibanez
3B Feliz
C Ruiz
I just don't understand why they went after a lefty though, unless Ibanez's 3/30 price tag is less than other similar players, which I doubt.
Posted by: scribbletone | December 12, 2008 at 11:28 AM
smoltz - do you really think teams scorekeepers account for a 50 pt edge in average? i just disagree that batting average is a poor statistic to measure a hitters worth...it is what it is, the average amount of times the player gets a hit...i feel folks like yourself get too caught up in hte new fad statistics of the game....i dont even know what isolated power. regardless of any other stats you throw at me, calling a career 250 hitter a better hitter than a career 290 guy just doenst make sense to me, esp since they are pretty much a wash at HR and RBI
Posted by: TR2008 | December 12, 2008 at 11:36 AM
also, another reason he fits is he makes contact more than burrell....again, burrell was hands down my favorite player on the phils however his strikeouts, pop ups etc would kill rallies.. now they havea guy who will make contact and hopefully move runners over instead of striking out
Posted by: TR2008 | December 12, 2008 at 11:39 AM
I'm not thrilled with it but it can be saved.
With the money saved this year vs Burrell being spent on another solid reliever (not you Chan Ho Park) like a Juan Cruz and/or Lowe vs Moyer.
Don't get me wrong, I LOVE Jamie Moyer and what he brings to the staff, but he's bound to have a klunker sooner or later, or get umpires that don't give him a good zone and then he's screwed.
Look at it this year and several years down the line.
Burrell/Moyer = 16MM+12MM=28MM
Ibanez/Lowe/Cruz= 10MM+16MM+4MM=30MM.
The extra two million on the second scenario and you have not only a solid bullpen arm, but a replacement for next year when we lose Madson to FA.
I do agree that not offering arbitration to burrell and moyer were stupid and I'm going to miss Jamie's tutilige to the young pitchers, but when you're not spending like the Yankees you have to think budgets and this fits, assuming they make the right additions on top of it.
ALso i'd rather have had Ibanez' deal be a 2 year with a vesting or club option with the hope that Taylor's ready by 2011, so i'm not thrilled but understand that to get him you needed to go there as others were seemingly in on him too.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | December 12, 2008 at 12:01 PM
Now that they made this signing and keep talking about signing Werth to an extension, I wonder if they are planning to use Mayberry Jr. in part of a package for Garret Atkins. Having a solid RH bat to put in between Utley and Howard would make this signing a little less detrimental to the lineup when a LH pitcher is on the mound. Oh and the Phillies need to wise up and let Marson be their starting catcher next year. Non-tender that bum Ruiz.
Posted by: jman1984 | December 12, 2008 at 12:02 PM
and i also have full confidence Jayson Werth given a full season as a starter can step up again and excel in the 5 spot. He has to keep his strikeouts down and he'll be fine.
He batted .303 against lefties last year with a 1.020 OPS.
People sometimes forget that he started the year platooning with Jenkins until that experiment failed miserably.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | December 12, 2008 at 12:05 PM
NOOOOOO! burrell came up threw our farm system and with out him i can promise you we wouldnt have won the World Series. so lets sign an older guy for the same deal we could of got Burrell for this is rediculous im very disappointed in the phillies organization
Posted by: Mike Moss | December 12, 2008 at 12:17 PM
TR2008...if that's how you think about the game I feel sorry for you. My point about the scorekeeper's was that it's a flawed statistic. We've all seen plenty of instances where a fielder is charged with an error after the batter completely smokes a ball. We've all seen plenty of instances where the batter gets a hit on a ball that the fielder completely botches. Happens all the time. If that's what you want to put your faith in be my guest.
Posted by: Smoltz's Beard | December 12, 2008 at 12:46 PM
What - the Cubs cooled due to defensive concerns but are still talking to Bradley? That makes absolutely zero sense.
Posted by: rememberthecoop | December 12, 2008 at 12:55 PM
From a Phils fan - considering the way Uncle Charlie managed things last year, I wouldn't be surprised to see Werth hitting in the 5-hole against lefties. Werth is a lefty masher - which should lessen the Lefty impact. I do really think we need another heavy hitting righty, though.
Posted by: dmerandom | December 12, 2008 at 12:57 PM
TR2008, the single most important offensive stat is OBP, hands down. And it's nothing new. Which explains why someone that hits .250 who takes a walk could possibly be a better offensive value than another who hits .290 with few walks. That should be difficult to comprehend.
Posted by: rememberthecoop | December 12, 2008 at 12:58 PM
Should "NOT" be difficult to comprehend, sorry.
Posted by: rememberthecoop | December 12, 2008 at 01:00 PM
And, a sidenote - Ibanez hit lefties better for average last year than righties - fwiw. .305 vs. .288. That is an outlier in his career - but intersting to note. His HR/AB was similar (3.5% vs. lhp and 3.6 vs. rhp).
Don't jump off a bridge yet. Though, the draft picks hurt given our system.
Posted by: dmerandom | December 12, 2008 at 01:00 PM
and for TR2008...
OBP vs. lhp in '08 was .368 and OBP vs. rhp was .353.
still better.
Posted by: dmerandom | December 12, 2008 at 01:02 PM
"
NOOOOOO! burrell came up threw our farm system and with out him i can promise you we wouldnt have won the World Series. so lets sign an older guy for the same deal we could of got Burrell for this is rediculous im very disappointed in the phillies organization
Posted by: Mike Moss | December 12, 2008 at 12:17 PM
"
Burrell was not going to sign for 3/30, end of story. While it's great that he won the World Series with the Phils, nobody in the front office can afford to fall in love with the players.
Posted by: peterherman | December 12, 2008 at 01:12 PM
TR2008,
If you don't like the new-fangled statistics, think of it this way: Ibanez makes more outs than Burrell. He gets out more often, which is not good.
Isolated power is SLG-AVG. It essentially measures extra-base hits (i.e., power).
Posted by: jrfukudome | December 12, 2008 at 01:12 PM
smoltz - i get your point but thats not the reason ibanez hits 50 pts higher than burrell every eyar...we'll have to wait and see, ibanez is a underappreicated player in this league playing in KC and SEA...everyone will come aruond and enjoy having someone who moves runners and drives in runs instead of striking out every other at bat
Posted by: TR2008 | December 12, 2008 at 01:20 PM
JRfukudome - i dnot like that he makes more outs but sometimes outs can be productive right? id rather have a contat guy to move guys over than someone who will strike out with runners on...again, time will tell......i predict another 295 28 HRs and 115 RBI ....that is not a stretch, and also better than any year burrell has had except for the year he got the big contract
Posted by: TR2008 | December 12, 2008 at 01:23 PM
Let's get a couple things straight about Ibanez and Burrell.
Ibanez is a BETTER hitter than Pat, will be no worse defensively(since we already had to sub Pat in the 7th anyways). Pat wasn't going to take a paycut(he made about 14m last year). Does anyone really think that Burrell is worth 12-15 million more than Ibanez over the next 3 years? Yes, The Phils are lefthanded heavy right now but I think they will get a righthanded bat during the year.(probably at 3rd base ie Atkins or someone along thoise lines)
Posted by: mark | December 12, 2008 at 01:30 PM
good article here
http://cheapseats-blog.blogspot.com/2008/12/phillies-sign-ibanez-cut-ties-with.html
Posted by: Mike | December 12, 2008 at 01:40 PM
"Let's get a couple things straight about Ibanez and Burrell.
Ibanez is a BETTER hitter than Pat, will be no worse defensively(since we already had to sub Pat in the 7th anyways). Pat wasn't going to take a paycut(he made about 14m last year). Does anyone really think that Burrell is worth 12-15 million more than Ibanez over the next 3 years? Yes, The Phils are lefthanded heavy right now but I think they will get a righthanded bat during the year.(probably at 3rd base ie Atkins or someone along thoise lines)"
I think Pat's going to have to take a paycut. It's obvious that the market for corner outfielders just isn't out there right now. I see Burrell signing at a 3/33 deal somewhere in the AL.
I honestly don't think money was the reason the Phillies didn't resign him. It's been obvious for over two years that they wanted to part ways with Burrell. They tried to trade him to the O's and several other teams only to be blocked by Burrell's no-trade. I don't know if they are worried about him breaking down or what but there was no way he was coming back to Philly.
Posted by: UtleyFan | December 12, 2008 at 01:48 PM
sweet, now we wait for LA to pass on Tex, and take Konerko off our hands for Figgy...
Posted by: part-time pariah | December 12, 2008 at 02:09 PM
"Ibanez is a BETTER hitter than Pat,"
Prove this
Posted by: Aduncaroo | December 12, 2008 at 04:26 PM
First of all, nobody can try and say where Ibanez is going to hit in the beginning of the season because nobody knows if Utley or Feliz will even be back yet. The question is whos going to be their replacements? The thing to worry about is what the Phils will do NEXT. The Phils need to get a right handed bat and it probably WILL come in a trade and be a utility player to fill in for Utley. Depending on who the Phils get will depend on where Ibanez will hit early in the season.
Posted by: ninerplaya57 | December 12, 2008 at 05:09 PM
"Ibanez is a BETTER hitter than Pat,"
Prove this
Burrell for all his power goes through ridiculous streaks where he's non existent. If you watch the Phils consistently its frustrating as hell to watch rollins or utley to get on to start an inning and then with one out have howard strike out and then have Burrell do nothing.
I said it before:
Ibanez+Lowe+Cruz is better than
Burrell and Lowe
and feel free to substitute Moyer in there for Lowe and it still works.
Spend money wisely when you don't have gobs and gobs of it non yankee fans.
Oh and can everyone PLEASE stop with the Utley will be out for how long of even be back. Utley's already rehabbing and he's obsessed about it. His plan is to be back just after the start. Get him some extended spring training and bring him back May 1st. Our April schedule is fairly easy so no reason to rush him. Charlie Manual was on MLB Home Plate today and said he's in rehab every day and Charlie will see him on Monday to get a progress update.
Posted by: philsWSchamps | December 12, 2008 at 06:11 PM
Good signing over all, glad that Scott just got traded to Zona.
Posted by: John | December 12, 2008 at 07:05 PM