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Odds And Ends: Holliday, Yabu, Bay, Latos

Some links to look through on the morning of the Midsummer Classic...

  • This week's chat will take place today at 2pm CST.
  • MLB.com's Mychael Urban keeps hearing about a possible deal that would send Matt HollidayOrlando Cabrera and salary relief to the Braves for Yunel Escobar and prospects.
  • The Giants released Keiichi Yabu yesterday, according to the Kyodo News. He had been pitching in Triple A.
  • Patrick Saunders of the Denver Post says Albert Pujols belongs with the elite players in baseball history.
  • John Tomase of the Boston Herald says the Red Sox still aren't talking with Jason Bay about an extension, but there are indications they may revisit his contract before the end of the season.
  • It looks like the Padres will promote their top pitching prospect, Mat Latos, according to MLB.com's Corey Brock 
  • In the second part of my Q&A with NESN.com, I discuss Pedro Martinez, Clay Buchholz and the Mets. 


Comments

If Wren would do that trade, not only will fans call for Wren's job, but also his head. Escobar alone can get both of them plus more.

The Braves rumor doesn't make sense. Yunel is making near the league minimum and under control for years. Holliday and Cabrera are both free agents after this year. No way Wren does this.

He could get them plus a whole lot more. They are both rentals, Yunel is cost controlled for 4 more years, I can only see this as a corresponding move to trading Vasquez for the other Escobar, but Milwaukee says he's untouchable. Maybe a three way trade sending Cabrera to the Brew Crew and Hardy to Atlanta, but Hardy alone certainly wouldn't be worth Vasquez and Cabrera, and the braves would still want a good young arm from the A's.

They need to be getting them 3, plus sean gallagar, and another prospect, plush a lot of cash.

wait a minute, a read this wrong. There is now way that the braves are thinking about sending prospects too. IF he is going to make the tradde, only send esco and get at minimum 4 players in return.

Holliday: sub .800 OPS in walk year

Cabrera: sub .300 OBP in walk while playing worse than average D

Escobar: Basically the same OPS as Holliday while playing SS with four more years of team control

Pretty absurd. And Urban hears the Braves will be throwing in some prospects as well. I wonder who he's hearing. Is it Heyward? Maybe Freeman. Is Hanson still considered a prospect?

Pretty absurd. And Urban hears the Braves will be throwing in some prospects as well. I wonder who he's hearing. Is it Heyward? Maybe Freeman. Is Hanson still considered a prospect?

Posted by: garriscp | July 14, 2009 at 10:36 AM

Hanson is worth more than the whole A's franchise.

"Hanson is worth more than the whole A's franchise."

That is an utterly stupid statement. The As have a ton of good prospects so to say something like that is just ignorant.

Hanson is worth more than the whole A's franchise."

That is an utterly stupid statement. The As have a ton of good prospects so to say something like that is just ignorant.

Posted by: BucSox | July 14, 2009 at 10:42 AM


Ok, thats coming froming a soc fan that is the cockiest fan of baseball.(or yanks)

i dont know you braves fans are acting pretty cocky. Escobar for 4 prospects? Escobar worth more than matt holliday? .... yeah ok.

Bucsox I believe that was sarcasm.
But if the braves made this trade it would be extremly Dumb. Unless we get an extension out of Holliday and a middle infield prospect that's close to the majors. The A's can keep Orlando.

"Hanson is worth more than the whole A's franchise."

Cocky much?

Hanson isn't THAT much of a better pitching prospect than Anderson or Cahill. Better, but not by much. All three were top 25 prospects coming into the season.

now there's somebody being reasonable.

no, escobar for holliday and cabrera plus 2 prospects. you dont understand that esco is probably the best fielding SS in the NL, has a career .300 hitter, and is under team control for 4 years(for cheap). He is just worth a lot.

The only way i'd like to see the Braves make that trade is leave Cabrera out, and include TWO top ten prospect for Holliday.

"Escobar worth more than matt holliday? .... yeah ok."

Qualify that:
4 years of Escobar worth more than two months of Matt Holliday? Absolutely.

escobar only gets on base around 350. batting averages are nice, on base percentages are better. he isnt worth holliday and 2 prospects. i agree the braves dont need cabrera, but im think alone bravesfansince1990 train of thought, holliday with an extension and a middle infield prospect. and dont forget if holliday isnt extended he's worth 2 first round picks as he walks.

along*

4 years of escobar worth more than what 6 years of 2 first round picks? yeah ok

Holliday would also net 2 draft picks if he doesn't sign an extension. Cabrera won't despite currently being a borderline A/B, as the terms of his contract forbid a team from offering arbitration.

Holliday away from Coors field apparently isnt that great of a hitter. The Braves can find plenty of Of'rs with a .790 OPS to trade Yunel for. Also, Holliday really doesnt have much value with his numbers and being a FA who will likely accept arbitration offered from any team.

Sounds to me like the A's told the MLB beat writer what they'd like from Santa Claus (a few months early).

Wren's already made it clear he's not interested in swapping high-value players/prospects for rentals.

Such a deal would make absolutely no sense from Atlanta's perspective unless the A's picked up the remainder of Holliday's and Cabrera's contracts.

Why dont the braves trade for adrian gonzalez. they need power and i would much rather him then matt.

how bout casey kelly jonhson and a prospect(s) for adrian and peavy

So do you think Hanson is worth more than the A's franchise or we're you just being facetious?

Why dont the braves trade for adrian gonzalez. they need power and i would much rather him then matt.

how bout casey kelly jonhson and a prospect(s) for adrian and peavy

Why dont the braves trade for adrian gonzalez. they need power and i would much rather him then matt.

how bout casey kelly jonhson and a prospect(s) for adrian and peavy

he must not be terrible he carries a 373 obp. i sure chipper would help him home plenty of times.

i no peavy is injured by the he way

The main point is that replacing Anderson + Escobar with Holliday + Cabrera is not enough of an offensive upgrade (if any) to get the Braves the division. If they want to trade Escobar, they can find a better player to trade him for than Holliday and use Infante at SS when he returns shortly after the break.

The Braves should get him and Cabrera, then flip Orlando the Brewers for JJ Hardy, which we'll have to throw in a pitching prospects(Medlen and JOJO).

Then offer Matt Holliday arbitration, that way if he rebounds, we could sign him for an extension.

i no the braves need a righty but still i would rather a lefty in adrian then a righty in matt who will leave aftr this year. i am not sure about adrians contract but i am pretty sure he is not a fa in 2010

Of course, acquiring Holliday would let the Braves dump GA, so there would be an upside ...

So do you think Hanson is worth more than the A's franchise or we're you just being facetious?

Posted by: DeJay | July 14, 2009 at 10:58 AM

Okay, when i said franchise, i ment MLB team, not whole farm system. There is not one package on the A's team i would accept for tommy hanson alone, even if they paid for the players sent to them.

Kelly Johnson's stock is way, way, way down.

A combo of Adrian and Peavy is going to command some serious talent in return and alot of it. Kelly Johnson doesn't fit that bill.

.270 ave 14 hr 49rbi 51r 11sb and .349 obp

.276ave 8 hr 43rbi 10sb .373 obp

guy on the top is mcclouth. the other is holliday


how about a guy like carlos lee or lance berkman?

also holliday is hitting .287 out of oakland. where hitters go to die....

seriously he went from one extreme to the other.

how about casey vaquez prospects? for adrian and peavy

anyone think of luke scott? bet he is cheaper than all the above mentioned guys and i think he is under team control for like two more years

we need a big name guy not luke scott. but i wouldnt mind him if we got luke and then a big name 1b

You can't say that Heyward, the #1 prospect by BA, and Tommy Hanson, the former #3 prospect by BA, are not worth their franchise.


Anyway, why do we want to trade Freeman? He's our future first-baseman and is gonna really mash at the bigs,instead of Kotchman, who doesn't fit the bill as far as our needs.

what about the 1st baseball on the braves in the future game baebosdos barzeeriesm or we isent he the future?

shouldnt production matter more than a name? dudes got 18 jacks in 230 at bats.

I think beanes getting a little scared that Matt might accept arbitration if offered. His #s are down and he might think hey Ill take 15 mil a year from the A's and see if I can rebound and then hit the market again then...I think the return will be alot less than what people think. A couple decent prospects but no blue chippers...

my point wasnt that you shouldnt try for an adrian gonzalez or carlos lee its just with a guy like scott you wont have to trade the farm to get him

Barbaro Canizares? He!! no, he's "29"(allegedly), and is no more than a RH bat off the bench.

we offered 4 top prospects for Peavy and Peavy nixed the deal to come to ATL. Adrian has more value than Peavy esp now with their respective contracts. We probably couldnt offer a big enough package to get both of those guys and Peavy isnt looking to great with the rest of his contract and his injuries now. Padres also wouldnt want KJ or Kotchman

Though if we trade Kotchman, he could stop-gap till Freeman arrives.

always a Brave, Barbaro is 29 years old and has a terrible reputation with the glove. Dude can hit and is probably better than Kotchman, but the Braves apparently arent very high on him

while we are on the subject... anyone have a clue as to why beane broke script and picked up cabrera holliday and giambi in the first place? in this economy no less....

Good God, why in the world is Patrick Saunders just now coming to his sense that Pujols is one of the elites. Dang, he must have been smoking a bong along with Nick Cafardo and John Smallwood.

Well a good mix of vets(Giambi, Holliday, Cabrera) with youngsters(Cahill,Anderson,Cunningham) would be a wise move, however it just didn't pan out.

yuni or hanson

for

cahill
anderson
mazzaro
bailey
holliday
braden
cabrera
wuertz
ziegler
weeks
carter
brown
pennington
demel
carignan
doolittle
cardenas
desme
PTBNL (grant green or max stassi)

possible?

"while we are on the subject... anyone have a clue as to why beane broke script and picked up cabrera holliday and giambi in the first place? in this economy no less...."

Beane sensed a buyers' market. Nobody expected Giambi and Cabrera to fall off the face of the earth the way they did. Everyone expected a mild decline, but they didn't expect Giambi to drop 200 OPS points and O-Fail to drop that many OPS points AND lose his ability to play passable defense. And, considering what 1 year of similar players to Holliday cost in trade in past years, Beane sensed a buyers' market and went for it. And there was pressure from ownership. If Giambi and OCab and Holliday were even remotely close to their '08 performance (I'm looking at wOBA for Holliday, which is park adjusted), this team would be contending. Oh, and Geren and Skaalen not being morons and changing Cust's plate approach (he's fixing it to an extent though). Irritates me to no end. And, all their contracts come off the books after this season. The team is also likely to spend on the draft, as evidenced by the fact that they drafted overslot guys Green, Stassi, Krol, and Dyson.

"I think beanes getting a little scared that Matt might accept arbitration if offered. His #s are down and he might think hey Ill take 15 mil a year from the A's and see if I can rebound and then hit the market again then...I think the return will be alot less than what people think. A couple decent prospects but no blue chippers..."

Why would Beane be scared of that? That's best case scenario. Having a really good player on a 1 year deal when you play in one of the worst hitters' environments in baseball is a really good thing. The team has a LOT of money coming off the books after this year.

And, Holliday would never accept arbitration. If he wants a 1 year "prove yourself" deal, he goes and gets one in a hitters' paradise, not in Oakland.

*that should be Geren and Skaalen being morons and changing Cust's plate approach. It was a ridiculously stupid idea.

Next A's move should be the removal of Geren as manager.

i think a Peavy, Adrian Gonzalez deal to ATL for some prospects would work if it were the right prospects. didnt peavy already identify the Braves as a team he would waive his no-trade clause for? getting Matt Holliday could end up being another Mark Teixeira-like situation for the Braves where he leaves after one half a season and the Braves couldn't make a serious playoff run with him anyway

thank you abuc17 i agree with you

does schaer still have a shot

Okay this has gotten pretty deep here.

Cahill and Anderson are both of the stud variety, and it would be hard to decide between the TWO of them and Hanson, but I think you'd actually have to take the TWO, because I'd rather have 2 great pitchers than one amazing pitcher. So the franchise comments are getting a little old and ridiculous.

Escobar is hitting very comparably to Holliday and he plays short, so best I can tell he's worth roughly 3X as much as Holliday. Also the braves have alot of prospects in the 2 year window and the draft picks aren't as valuable to their strong minor league system as they are to others (can be translated as need help now not in 3-4 years). Plus its not 2 guaranteed 1st rounders, just ask Milwaukee and LAD, both got second rounders for their aces. In fact with the protected first rounders there's roughly a 50% chance it will be a second rounder (yes I know a good portion of the protected picks are by teams that don't have the money for him anyway).

Again I think the only way Esco goes to Oakland is following or accompanying a deal with the Brew Crew for a Shortstop.

And to all the Escobar supporters, yes he's as defensively talented as anybody out there, but when you make 3-4 mental mistakes every week, he's hardly a top tier defensive shortstop. Offensively he has the makings of a perennial allstar.

Alwaysabrave, just shutup please. You are giving Braves fans a worse reputation every time you speak. We dont need a first baseman unless its short term. Freeman will be up probably to start 2011 at first. Why do we need Peavy? We have one of the best rotations in baseball. And by the way the Astros will never trade Carlos Lee or Lance Berkman this year. Also I dont believe this writer that speaks of this trade. I could see us going after Holliday, but I wouldnt think so in this kind of package.

Let me know what you think.

Braves get: holliday,hardy, and prospects from brewers an a's

Brewers get: vazquez

A's get: yunel

I would also like holliday to be a sign and trade.

I just wish Bay would have come to us last July.

"Let me know what you think.

Braves get: holliday,hardy, and prospects from brewers an a's

Brewers get: vazquez

A's get: yunel

I would also like holliday to be a sign and trade."

Hell might as well toss Fielder, Braun, Cahill and Andersen to the Braves as long as we're talking ridiculous.

abuc17,

The scuttlebutt was that the Braves never made the Peavy deal over the winter because Peavy WOULD NOT waive his NTC to come to Atlanta. So even if that deal made sense, it wouldn't happen. Peavy doesn't want to play for Atlanta.

Also, the Braves had Tex for 1.5 seasons, not half a season. They got him in July 2007 and traded him last year.

I don't understand why the Braves would be getting prospects. The Brewers would be trading hardy for vasquez which seems fairly straight up.

abuc17,

You may be thinking about a comment Chipper made in which he said Peavy told him he would like to play in Atlanta. When he had the opportunity to do so, however, he refused.

Actually the Braves had Tex for only 1 year, but they could have had him for 1.5 seasons. It wouldnt be like The Tex deal anyway, cause Holliday wouldnt cost us half as much as Tex did IMO.

CitizenSnips,

What exactly is ridiculous about that deal? He didn't name any prospects, nor did he indicate they'd have to be big time names. Vazquez is worth more than Hardy at this point as they both are under contract for one more year and Vazquez has outperformed Hardy by miles this year. The Brewers also have Alcides Escobar so losing Hardy wouldn't be a huge blow. As for Yunel for Holliday, that one isn't even close to equal value as Yunel is the far more valuable player. Acting like that proposal is so insane that they might as well include Fielder, Braun, Cahill, and Anderson is just asinine on your part.

I wasn't asking for high prospects. I think yunels value is higher than holliday and vazquez is higher than hardy. Especially sine alcides is ready.

I dont think a team will sacrafice draft picks for a hitter who has the Coors stigma, much less for one year.

How many teams who are rebuilding would love to have a SS of Escobars skills to build around?

Escobar, outside of E. Longria, Upton, Kemp, and other player of the elk, is as valuable as they come. A SS with good range and glove who can hit.

Sixth best SS in the MAJORs in OPS.

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/stats/batting?split=0&league=mlb&season=2009&seasonType=2&sort=OPS&type=reg&ageMin=17&ageMax=51&state=0&college=0&country=0&hand=a&pos=ss&startDate=null&endDate=null&minpa=0

Dont see this deal happening unless another team gets involved as I dont think Okland has what the Braves want.

There is NO WAY that the Braves trade Yunel Escobar PLUS prospects to Oakland for 2 months of Holliday and the worst shortstop in major league baseball in Cabrera. If Wren did that he should be fired on the spot.

Yunel is young and team controlled for the next four years. He is one of the best hitting shortstops in major league baseball. He also has a strong arm and is excellent defensively. He alone would be worth much more than 2 months of Holliday and Cabrera.

If you subtract Escobar's bat and add Holliday's bat you are not improving the team (especially when combined with additional loss of Garrett Anderson and addition of Cabrera). And if the team isn't any better, how exactly do they have a better chance at making the playoffs - which presumably is the point of making the trade.

Like I said, this is a dumb idea cooked up by a writer that follows the A's.

Let me know what you think.

Braves get: holliday,hardy, and prospects from brewers an a's

Brewers get: vazquez

A's get: yunel

I would also like holliday to be a sign and trade.

Posted by: OklahomaBrave | July 14, 2009 at 12:01 PM

Actually, this makes some sense but I would prefer getting Alcides Escobar to Hardy. He is younger, better, and team controlled longer. Hardy is too streaky.

I know it wasn't a bad proposal if nixa agrees. Thanks

how do guys all figure escobar to be "one of the best fielding ss in the national league" he's 11th among starting nl ss in fielding percentage. there are only 16 starting nl ss. and he is tied for second in errors. thats not "best" thats more like worst. and his "career .300 batting ave" seems heavily influenced by a great rookie season where he hit what .326?

and why are we even bringing alcides? i thought the brewers have been very clear neither he nor gamel are going anywhere

"how do guys all figure escobar to be "one of the best fielding ss in the national league" he's 11th among starting nl ss in fielding percentage. there are only 16 starting nl ss. and he is tied for second in errors. thats not "best" thats more like worst. and his "career .300 batting ave" seems heavily influenced by a great rookie season where he hit what .326?"

Fielding percentage is an awful way to measure defense. But The Fielding Bible liked his defense, and UZR has generally varied on him (it was really good last year, but meh this year). Considering positional adjustments, which are HUGE, he's a solid defender.

And looking outside of BA, he's still one of the better OPSing SS in the league.

And plus offensive, solid (albeit not elite) defensive SS are VERY hard to find.

It isnt only about fielding percentage and errors. Yunel regularly makes plays very few other shortstops can. He plays game changing defense.

Schafer & Bennett/Medlen for Cruz & low level prospect.

and let me ask you this: how well would yuniel hit in oakland? rotowire has their stadium in the "extreme pitcher's park catagory" and atlanta in the neutral catagory. atlanta's park yield the third most runs in the nl last year whereas oak's had the least amount of runs scored in the al. does his numbers drop in oakland? do hollidays improve? obviously not to the point of colorado... but could he hit 25 hr in atlanta?

I wouldn't mind adding Holliday to the lineup, could be good protection for Chipper and drop McCann to 5th, but there is no way I'd give up Escobar for him. Maybe two or three prospects and if the A's pick up a lot of Holliday's salary.

Escobar is not a home run hitter. He has a line drive stroke. Changing parks would not make a differences.

Thundersticks,
Thats a wide open range you put on that, Medlen is worth 3 Jeff Bennetts. Schafer is the plan in center also. Especially after trading Gorkys.

Roguesaw,
Look at those numbers after this year and I'm sure Atlanta will be in the strong pitcher's park category again. The braves starting pitching was awful last year and it skewed some numbers. Unfortunately nobody has come up with a good way to account for an awful or great pitching staff in comparing ballparks.


roguesaw,

Even Melonis Rex, an A's fan, will freely admit that Yunel Escobar is far more valuable than Matt Holliday. What's you're point here? Escobar is one of the better young SS in the game. He's a very good hitter for the position and is at least solid defensively. He's also under team control through 2013. That's a very valuable commodity.

That rumor with Yunel to Oakland is a complete joke. Either Mychael Urban got extremely bored waiting on the futures game to start or his source is a talking lamp that's next to him when he's been drinking to much to make him feel like the A's are actually a good team. Scouts have been saying this year that Yunel Escobar could be one of the next great SS in the league, and he is under cheap team control for 4 more years. Matt Holliday is having one of the worst years of his career (yes I know it's Oakland) and Cabrera is no good anymore. It's not the homer in me thats saying Yunel is a freak SS, it's the common sense that says a 2 month rental that isn't much of an upgrade is not even close to being worth a young stud SS who is going to be around for a few more years before he is even eligible for FA.

Oh and trying to classify parks by the number of runs scored there doesn't work as it doesn't adjust for the relative talent of the hitters and pitchers playing there. That's why park adjustments compare the relative performance of a team and their opponents at the team's home park and the rest of the parks in the league.

Too many people are looking at Oakland as a pitchers park and assuming it supresses power numbers only. The foul ground in Oakland is far and away the largest in the league. Many fouls that would be out of play in any other park are caught for outs in Oakland. Oakland more than other parks will affect a players average and OBP as much as the HR totals.

How about something like Cody Johnson and Medlen for Holiday ? Johnsons a former first round pick with a ton of upside. If the A's are worried about Holiday accepting arb then this wouldnt be a terrible return. Offer them Barbaro as well, he could be a nice piece to a AL team.

and holliday has an obp of .373
and he's a line drive hitter too.

i'm not a braves fan. i'm not an a's fan. my issue isnt whether or not escobar is the "next great ss" my issue is how ridiculously biased you all have been. "hanson is worth more than the a's" "escobar is worth holliday, cabrera and 4 prospects" "holliday is terrible he left colorado and lost all value" this is pathetic.

what package the braves can put together that is similar to what they gave for nate mcclouth is probably about on par for what they should give for holliday.

if escobar is the second coming of derek jeter or hanley ramirez than i guess that doesnt include him.

Ok rogeusaw ... Where do you place Esco's value ? Whats a fair trade in your opinion?

Wow is this escobar that overrated. no way beane buys high on this guy. the a's need some pop in the lineup and this guy sadly reminds me a little of bobby crosby which is the a's worst nightmare. Escobar is alright but not going to be a perenial all star. holliday and cabrera should be dealt in separate deals. cabreras value has to be jumping as of late with his bat. holiday has just been jinxed by the coaching of bob geren who I believe has never coached a 300 hitter. The only coach that knows how to turn 300 hitters to 250 hitters.

"and let me ask you this: how well would yuniel hit in oakland? rotowire has their stadium in the "extreme pitcher's park catagory" and atlanta in the neutral catagory. atlanta's park yield the third most runs in the nl last year whereas oak's had the least amount of runs scored in the al. does his numbers drop in oakland? do hollidays improve? obviously not to the point of colorado... but could he hit 25 hr in atlanta?"

Let's use park adjusted stats then.

Holliday has a .368 wOBA*, 115 OPS+ while Escobar has a .357 wOBA*, 110 OPS+, park adjusted. These stats should stay even with little fluctuation from environment to environment.

However, Holliday's wOBA* last year was .410, which shows that his pure hitting ability did indeed decline from last year, independent of any Coors effect.

And, as 86 Mets said, Oakland does not only suppress HR power, it suppresses all stats.

well for starters if his as good as all you guys say he is why trade him? why include him if offers, why does every rumor start with him? is he that good or are you selling high? and what do you have to play the position if you move him? infante? who?

"what package the braves can put together that is similar to what they gave for nate mcclouth is probably about on par for what they should give for holliday."

I'd doubt Billy Beane would take that deal, since he gave up a much better package just a few months ago to get him. Selling low isn't really something Beane does, espescially when Holliday will be a type A.

you guys are what? 6 games off the division lead? 7 from the wild card? you have an opportunity to make a run you make it. go get holliday.

also whats with the vazquez rumors?

"i'm not a braves fan. i'm not an a's fan. my issue isnt whether or not escobar is the "next great ss" my issue is how ridiculously biased you all have been. "hanson is worth more than the a's" "escobar is worth holliday, cabrera and 4 prospects" "holliday is terrible he left colorado and lost all value" this is pathetic."


Or your sarcasm detector has been turned off. Hanson is worth more than the A's is really stupid and asinine. Most Braves fans agree with that.

The mainstream baseball media started the "Holliday has no/very little trade value" bullshit.

does anyone really thin beane even trades holliday? isnt the draft what he lives for? i cant imagine holliday takes arb to play there another year. could a team like the yanks use him? now there is a stadium to resurrect a career.

does anyone really thin beane even trades holliday? isnt the draft what he lives for? i cant imagine holliday takes arb to play there another year. could a team like the yanks use him? now there is a stadium to resurrect a career.

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