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Heyman On Manny, Felix, Bay, Washburn

The latest hot stove notes from SI's Jon Heyman...

  • Manny Ramirez "is planning to exercise" his $20MM player option for 2010.  This was expected but it'd still be interesting to see Manny jump back into free agency, maybe seek two years and $30MM.
  • Heyman echoes what we've read regarding Brandon Webb - the D'Backs will pick up his $8.5MM option for next year, as Webb is not interested in renegotiating.  On a related note, MLB.com's Steve Gilbert looks at some options for the two open spots in Arizona's rotation.
  • The Red Sox "would still love to make a run at Felix Hernandez."  Who wouldn't?  I don't expect Felix trade talks to become reality unless the Mariners try and fail to sign him to an extension first.  Heyman considers Roy Halladay more realistic for the Sox; Doc's price would presumably be slightly lower with the '09 season concluded.  According to Jeff Blair of the Globe and Mail, Halladay, his wife, and his agent had dinner with Jays president and CEO Paul Beeston last week to discuss the future.
  • The Red Sox "were thought to have offered" $15MM to left fielder Jason Bay.  How many years?
  • Heyman says the Mariners and Brewers "are expected to be in the mix" for free agent lefty Jarrod Washburn.  Scott Boras surely knows a move to the NL would help Washburn, who was born in LaCrosse, Wisconsin.


Comments

if Bay doesnt want 15mills/year they should go after Holliday

Jason Bay $15mil over "years"? more like a year. If thats the case, the sox must see something they like better next year.

King Felix wont come to Boston, I repeat, he will not come to Boston. Theo is gun shy with prospects, no matter who we are talking about and Felix will require the biggest trade in history, its just not possible. Is is possible if he, somehow, reaches free agency, sure, but then you have the yankees, so who knows.

if the sox dont want to bring bay back, they should pick up Crawford from Tampa if he leaves, move Jacoby to left field and trade for Gonzalez/Fielder. Maybe trade Papelbon and Matsuzaka for propects and get a solid starter

and trade Lowell to for a stater as well, if gonzalez/fielder comes to boston

Lowell isn't worth a starting pitcher unless it's Carlos Silva.

I think trading Paps is a bit short sighted. There's no proven alternative and the money shouldn't be an issue in Boston.

Agreed on Lowell, I guess it would have to be for prospect/s or a reliever of some kind. Papelbon is upsetting management with his mouth and inability to back it all up, i think hes closer to leaving then we think. Theo is playing hard to get to keep the demand high

Stay away from Washburn, Doug.

Manny would not opt of that deal ever.

Daniel Bard, Casey Kelly, Josh Reddick, Ryan Calish, Ryan Westmoreland & Michael Bowden for Hanley Ramirez & Josh Johnson.
And if its necessary thrown in Lars Anderson or Stolmy Pimentel

Why not ask for Mike Stanton while you're at it?

Manny would have a tough time getting 2 years/ 20 Million if he opts out...30 over 2 would be laughed right off the table.

"King Felix wont come to Boston, I repeat, he will not come to Boston. Theo is gun shy with prospects, no matter who we are talking about and Felix will require the biggest trade in history, its just not possible. Is is possible if he, somehow, reaches free agency, sure, but then you have the yankees, so who knows."
Felix isn't coming to Boston, but it has nothing to do with the BoSox. He's an M, and the team is aiming to keep it that way. He'll be an M for at least the next 5 years (hopefully 10+).

No more Hanley trade offe's, please! It won't happen, don't waste your time.

"Daniel Bard, Casey Kelly, Josh Reddick, Ryan Calish, Ryan Westmoreland & Michael Bowden for Hanley Ramirez & Josh Johnson."

I'm sorry, but I simply can't imagine a scenario in which the Marlins are best off trading Hanley and Johnson together.

And the offer doesn't even include Buchholz. Really?

"Manny would have a tough time getting 2 years/ 20 Million if he opts out...30 over 2 would be laughed right off the table."

I disagree. He's still one of the very best hitters in the game, and he's not the worst defender out there. Given his reputation as a lineup-changing hitter, the lack of comparable bats on the market, and the fact that Boras is his agent, I wouldn't be surprised to see Manny getting offers around 2/30 if he opted out.

I'd be shocked if he opted out, but he would definitely get more than 2/20.

If Manny opts out, I will consider it a blessing from above.

I'm a big Manny Fan, but his 2nd half numbers suggested that he lost a large bit of the Juice.

Second half OPS, had it been his season's OPS, would've been amongst his career lows.

Furthermore, he actually got worse as the season went along, which creates ammo to dispute the whole rust argument from the suspension.
The Roids, with the early showers, the mediocre defense, who wants that hassle? He won't opt out, but if he did, I don't think 2/30 would be in the cards. He hardly got a 2/30 offer last year, coming off a MONSTER 2nd half with LA?

Manny's bat was sooooo slow. It was hard to watch him at some points.

Scribble you are not thinking about the PED suspension and his declining skills.

2/30? No way.

"Scribble you are not thinking about the PED suspension and his declining skills."

Yeah, I definitely underestimated these things, but just 2/20?

Then again, he posted a .237/.380/.422 line in his final 166 plate appearances, so clearly he was having some issues as he finished the season, in spite of missing 50 games.

I'm going to back off here and agree with you guys, Manny isn't getting a 2/30 offer if he opts out.

The combination of PED and character issues, along with his struggles in August, September and October, were underestimated on my part, initially.

The combination of PED and character issues, along with his struggles in August, September and October, were underestimated on my part, initially.

Posted by: scribbletone | October 28, 2009 at 03:03 PM"

He did well when he first came back, but after Bailey drilled him in the hand his season was over for the most part.
Scribble it was really really sad to watch this guy play so bad.

Is he gonna be a 280/375/475 guy next year? I think so. I hope so.

"He did well when he first came back, but after Bailey drilled him in the hand his season was over for the most part."

I didn't hear about the Bailey drilling.

When did that happen? That certainly could've affected his swing, especially when so much bat speed comes from the hands and wrists, although I'm not a doctor.

AND he's almost 40...he's entering Barry Bonds unwanted territory after 2010.

I'd imagine if he had any interest in turning down his option, Boras will be renting AD space during the World Series to publish Feel Good stories about Manny and what a good guy he is, and releasing a portfolio of statistics comparing him to Texiera.
Boras is quiet.

as a sox fan im glad he got drilled :). and i feel bad for dodger fans still. am i disgruntled and immature, you bet, but i dont care. ill say what i always said, i hope he falls down and knocks his two front teeth out

"He did well when he first came back, but after Bailey drilled him in the hand his season was over for the most part."

I didn't hear about the Bailey drilling.

When did that happen? That certainly could've affected his swing, especially when so much bat speed comes from the hands and wrists, although I'm not a doctor.

Posted by: scribbletone | October 28, 2009 at 03:14 PM"

Bailey hit him in the hand with a fastball, you remember when he hit that pinch hit GS?(which people said was one of the greatest moments in Dodger Stadium ever, I disagree)
Well he was pinch hitting because of the HBP.. He never looked the same after that. Cheated on fastballs, looked at a insane amount of strikes.. Swung through a lot of pitches he destroyed previously in his career.

I really think his hand was screwed up and mother nature crept up on him.

Padres get: Lars Anderson, Michael Bowdin, Ryan Kalish + money
RedSox get: Adrian Gonzalez

Blue Jays get: Josh Reddick, Stolmy Pimentel, Yamaico Navarro, and Dustin Richardson

Red Sox resign Jason Bay, if not they get Matt Holliday.

They sign Marco Scutaro to a 1-2 year deal then give the job to Jose Iglesias.

^Red Sox get Roy Halladay^

"Blue Jays get: Josh Reddick, Stolmy Pimentel, Yamaico Navarro, and Dustin Richardson"

ummm, are we just giving them these players because we like them or something lol. what do we get!?

lol beat me to it

Come on

"Blue Jays get: Josh Reddick, Stolmy Pimentel, Yamaico Navarro, and Dustin Richardson"

those deals come off light on both ends, but thats about as close to possible as i have seen thus far for multiple trades for superstars i think. i dont think the sox have it in them to make two big deals unless clay goes to. if clay is in the deal to toronto, that might get a green light, the gonzalez trade would require something else still though

""Blue Jays get: Josh Reddick, Stolmy Pimentel, Yamaico Navarro, and Dustin Richardson"

No way that's enough.

There's no superstar upside here, Navarro hasn't played well above A ball, and those are two pretty unimpressive pitchers compared to what the entire organization has.

You won't even give up Bowden..?

in his deals bowden goes to San Diego for Gonzalez, but i think if you threw in Buccholz to Toronto with those guys, that makes it pretty decent, not sterling, but 6 player swing for one year on a mid 30 year old pitcher your going to lose to free agency anyway isnt half bad

Pimentel could be a very good pitcher, lol I just threw Richardson in there for no good reason. I could see Clay, Reddick, Navarro and Stolmy going to the Blue Jays for Roy Halladay...

Me personally I dont think Bowden will pitch well in the majors, havent seen it yet.

Hey, Bostonsfuture... Boston wouldn't have a future if you were in control... I thought that was funny.

As a Reds fan, I hope that the Brewers sign Washburn.

Yet another overpriced heap of crap.

I dont think its fair to say whether or not Bowden will do well in the majors yet. The guy has had a lot of success in the minors but hasn't had a chance to prove himself in the majors yet. Granted, he got in at some times last year but those were relief appearances or spot starts that he found out about last minute and he wasn't used to that. I admit you still have to go out there and perform better than he did, but he definately needs to get some more starts and more major league innings in before we can say if hes going to be good or not.

"I could see Clay, Reddick, Navarro and Stolmy going to the Blue Jays for Roy Halladay..."

Okay, okay, the offer is much different if it includes Buchholz, he's the kind of centerpiece that the Jays kind of need if they're dealing arguably the best pitcher in the team's history.

Obviously, I don't know what the Jays are expecting, especially with Anthopolous taking over, but they were asking for a lot in July and I would presume that will continue, although obviously one year of Halladay will be worth less than 1.5 plus possible postseason action.

It is true that RS offense is getting old, so why not keep all your position prospects?

and see if kalish, westmoreland, lars turn out to be as good as advertised?

"and see if kalish, westmoreland, lars turn out to be as good as advertised?"

Because the Red Sox can't afford to have that kind of patience.

None of those guys is ready to contribute in 2010, and the one with the highest upside, Westmoreland, won't be ready for a couple years, if ever.

You are usually prescient, scribble, but not here. The Sox, IMO, can be patient. Even without AGon, the sox will have what they expected to have for 2009, in the following:
1. healthy and mobile GG Mike Lowell in his contract year or swan song. .290/20/100/.880?
2. Victor Martinez, replacing Tek, for a whole year. .300/25/100/.900?
3. healthy Ortiz for an an entire option year. .270/35/100/.950?
4. healthy Lowrie either at SS or, maybe, backing Gonzo because he is doing so well w. D & Offense @ Fenway.
5. More of the same from Ells, Ped, Youk, JD.
6. Powerful years for Beckett, Lester, Daisuke, Buchholz, Wake, (Harden/ Sheets/ Bedard, Bowden, Tazawa.
7. Revenge by Pap, MDC, Oki, Saito, RRami, Bard, Richardson.
8. Cups of coffee and 9/1 callups by Reddick, Kalish, Anderson, Wagner, Exposito, Bates, Coelo, McBeth.

The only areas needing work are LF (JBay, Holliday, Dye, Figgins???) and bench (Rocco, Gathright, Tek, Lowrie, Green?)

I really like this team and, as much as I hope for AGon, would be happy to see what this team, healthy, can do, as after 2010 we lose Mike, Papi, Tek, maybe JD. IMO, this team can win it without selling the farm.

Trial balloon....Bay $15M for X years....probably.
Trade with Padres?
How about Delcarman, Bowden and Lars Anderson for 1b/of Kyle Blanks?

Blanks plays 1st for Sox
Bowden starts for SD
Delcarman closes
Anderson backs up Gonzalez @ AAA

They like Blanks more than Agon. Just stop

ug, typepad!! deleted my post...

esstionally, I said Manny easily gets 2/20 on the market. He is a better shortterm option than Bay or Holliday, and will not ask for 20-25M a year.

I'm a big Manny Fan, but his 2nd half numbers suggested that he lost a large bit of the Juice.

Second half OPS, had it been his season's OPS, would've been amongst his career lows.

Furthermore, he actually got worse as the season went along, which creates ammo to dispute the whole rust argument from the suspension.
The Roids, with the early showers, the mediocre defense, who wants that hassle? He won't opt out, but if he did, I don't think 2/30 would be in the cards. He hardly got a 2/30 offer last year, coming off a MONSTER 2nd half with LA?"

You left out how the season was esstionally a lose from the start, even though it wasnt neccesarily his fault. First, he had a drawn out negotiation with the Dodgers and when he signed, he rushed to ST. He injured his hammy and it hurt him throughout the season. Then he got suspended, and coming back from that, his timing was gone. Then, he got hit with a 95 MPH FB in the hand. The next AB he had, he had a historic HR(661, i was there and it was one of the best in DS history. I'd say top 5, at least). But he wasnt the same.

oh, with the showers comment, that is a completley overblown thing by the media. Most vets when they leave the game go and take a shower. Its true. Whether its pre, regular, or postseason vets do it... Its just something that the media overblew because it was Manny

The Red Sox aren't trading Buchholz in a package for Roy Halladay. Theo would NEVER do that for a one year rental. He isn't interested in "going for it" for one year. Beckett has one year left on his deal, they aren't looking for another SP who will command big money at an older age. Why would Theo part with Buchholz and more when he could add a little more and get Felix? I think it would be wise for Theo to go after Felix by almost any means necessary (I know, this isn't a revolutionary idea, but still). Young starting pitching is getting harder and harder to find, and over the next 5 years I don't imagine many ace types in their 20's coming available in free agency. If the Red Sox could get Felix, him and Lester would be enough to make the Red Sox a World Series favorite year in and year out. Even if Felix can't be had this year, I'd rather Theo hold onto his prospects for next offseason to try for Hernandez rather than getting one year from Halladay. I don't think Halladay is a need for the Red Sox next year (obviously it would make the team much better, but it's a luxury). Beckett will have a monster year in his contract year, and Lester is as good a #2 guy as there is in baseball. The Red Sox just need a reliable #3 guy, and I gotta think either Dice-K or Buchholz can be that guy. The Red Sox need a power bat much more than Roy Halladay. But for the long term, Felix Hernandez would trump everything else as their biggest need.

The Red Sox aren't trading Buchholz in a package for Roy Halladay. Theo would NEVER do that for a one year rental. He isn't interested in "going for it" for one year.

Posted by: brian91388 | October 28, 2009 at 09:00 PM

Halladay wouldn't necessarily be a 1 year rental. There's no reason why both him and Boston wouldn't be interested in signing him to an extension.

Why would Theo part with Buchholz and more when he could add a little more and get Felix?

Posted by: brian91388 | October 28, 2009 at 09:00 PM

It would take A LOT more to get Felix than it would to get Halladay. Buchholz is a potential ace, and showed it this season, but Halladay is one of the top 2 or 3 pitchers in baseball..the Sox would definitely pull the trigger on a deal involving Buchholz if as long as neither Bard, Kelly or Westmoreland were included.
Hopefully something like Buchholz, Reddick, Navarro and 1 of Bowden/Pimental will be enough to get it done.

Why can't the Sox sign Lackey instead of trading for Hernandez or Halladay?

Save the prospects for a possible power hitter trade. Gonzalez seems a lot more available than Prince.

Why pay the price in prospects when you can get a guy for cash only? I know Lackey is no Halladay or Hernandez, but they don't need an ace, they need a good #3.

BTW, please sign Bay. No time to play games.

IMO, I think Lackeys asking price is waaay to high..Yes he does good against the yanks but hes not worth anywhere near 18+mil per..I also agree with gerald,we can wait another year..Dont give up the farm for a 33 yr old pitcher who will command too much in return for another year..I wouldnt want his hefty contract at age 36..Felix and Agon, OK..Is Bay really worth 15mil per? I was thinking in the 12-14 range but then again Im not a GM..I really like whats going on in AA..Im really high on C Luis Exposito and some of the other kids starting to shine..2011 will be the year of the rookies in Boston..Dont make a trade just to make one..

Brewers are not going to trade fielder now or never they will get an extension done. I do think Washburn will end up signing here and I like the JJ Hardy for Morrow deal. I also believe that Mat Gamel will be traded to the Atlanta Braves for Jo Jo Reyes and an outfielder.
That gives the brewers rotations Yovi, Washburn, Morrow, Parra, and Reyes with Bush and Suckpan in the bullpen

HEY RED SOX FANS - Get this through your thick skulls...yer not getting Felix. No one is. He's an M and they will get a lengthy extension done.

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