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Non-Tender Candidates

December 12th marks baseball's non-tender deadline.  That's when teams decide whether to offer a contract to the unsigned players on their 40-man roster.  Players not tendered a contract become free agents, so we'll add a good 30 players to the list.  It is a chance for certain players to reach free agency without putting in the typical six years of service time.  Past non-tenders include David OrtizJayson Werth, Rick Ankiel, Ryan Franklin, David Eckstein, and Chad DurbinLast year Ty Wigginton, Jonny Gomes, Willy Taveras, and Takashi Saito were among those cut loose.  Usually at least a few useful guys are unearthed and a handful sign for more than a million bucks.

Below I've listed non-tender candidates for each team; it's mostly speculative.  Feel free to debate or add names in the comments; I may add to the list based on that.  A few of these players - Jeff Francoeur, John Maine, Mark Teahen, and Delmon Young - are unlikely, but were included anyway.

Jeremy Accardo
Garrett Atkins
John Bale
Denny Bautista
Jose Bautista
Matt Belisle
Boof Bonser
Bill Bray
Brian Bruney
Taylor Buchholz
John Buck
Dave Bush
Daniel Cabrera
Ryan Church
Neal Cotts
Jack Cust
Randy Flores
Mike Fontenot
Jeff Francoeur
Ryan Garko
Joey Gathright
Chad Gaudin
Jody Gerut
Gabe Gross
Craig Hansen
Aaron Heilman
Jeremy Hermida
Shawn Hill
Conor Jackson
Mike Jacobs
Bobby Jenks
Kelly Johnson
Logan Kensing
Noah Lowry
John Maine
Andy Marte
Seth McClung
Brandon Medders
Corky Miller
Justin Miller
Sergio Mitre
Dioner Navarro
Scott Olsen
Joel Peralta
Scott Proctor
Robb Quinlan
Kelly Shoppach
Tim Redding
Jeremy Reed
Jason Repko
Cory Sullivan
Jack Taschner
Mark Teahen
Marcus Thames
Josh Towers
Matt Treanor
Doug Waechter
Chien-Ming Wang
Tyler Yates
Delmon Young


Comments

I can see the Pirates going after Ankie/ Mike Jacobs.

You forgot Bobby Jenks. If not traded.

Mike Jacobs?

How could anyone still want Jacobs?

He's posted a .298 OBP in the past two seasons, and this season he struck out over 30% of the time.

The Pirates are better off giving the 1B playing time to Garrett Jones, no need in bringing in a guy like Jacobs.

Hadn't considered Jenks much, but now that you mention it that does make sense.

They are better off giving the time to Garrett Jones, but it doesn't mean they will. They've already expressed interest in Ankiel, and they're always looking for left-handed pop and low batting averages to go with it.

Ryan Church and Buddy Carlyle.

Jacobs has had a grand total of one half-decent year. Can't see who would be interested in him. I could see the Orioles going after John Maine if he becomes available. Whoever has Dave Duncan next year should go after Wang. Duncan would work wonders with Wang.

Add Marcus Thames from the Tigers, too.

Thames hasn't been half-bad as a platoon guy. He definitely ain't worth all that money he's getting now though...

I don't post in here much but
the sentence:
"Duncan would work wonders with Wang." posted by Davey

made me spit coffee at my computer lol!

"Duncan would work wonders with Wang."

Somehow he is supposed to be able to fix any pitchers problems period.

Wonder if the Rays will tender Navarro? They are perennial bottom feeders salary wise and will need cash for Crawford's 10M 2010 salary, arbitration with Bartlett and Balfour.

Most teams would be willing to take a chance that Navarro's 2009 was an aberration and at 2.1M for last year, he can't stand to get much of a boost, but this is the tight fisted Rays..

"You forgot Bobby Jenks. If not traded."

ChiSox are not going non-tender Jenks. If he goes on the trade block, someone will want him. If he doesn't go on the block he'll be the ChiSox closer again.

Astros Non-Tender Candidates:

Tim Byrdak
Chris Coste
Chad Paranto
Humberto Quintero (likely to stay)
Chris Sampson

Oh ... and ... there really is a chance the Yanks won't tender Bruney a contract?

I would think if it really came down to it, and Jenks was on the block and teams weren't biting, somebody would give up next to nothing to get him. If a team needs a closer, they could do worse than a one year, 8 million dollar deal for Jenks instead of big money for whoever is available, FA-wise.

no way bobby jenks gets non-tendered. he'll be due to make roughly 7mil through arbitration. when you've got guys like valverde, wagner, rodney who will all be looking for 10+, jenks' salary isn't that bad - especially cuz his upside is better than any of the other choices

"You forgot Bobby Jenks. If not traded."

ChiSox are not going non-tender Jenks. If he goes on the trade block, someone will want him. If he doesn't go on the block he'll be the ChiSox closer again
News Flash - start wearing purple - Guileen and Kenny have already said the closer will be Matt Thornton next year.

Of course, now that I look at the numbers from this year, he was terrible. He wasn't terrible in the past, but according to fangraphs.com, he was only worth less than 2 million bucks this year. BTW, second most valuable reliever on the list(behind Broxton of course) was Matt Thornton...
Screw it, non-tender him.

Oh, one more thing. Jenks was unlucky, as his HR/Flyball rate was gnarly, and unlike any of his rates from other years.

I disagree, Jenks is not a candidate. He has too much trade value to simply be non-tendered. No way in hell that happens.

I think it's fair to put Jenks on the candidate list, however unlikely. It would not be the first time a guy was non-tendered coming off a decent season (Joe Nelson, Ty Wigginton a year ago are examples). I don't see it happening, but it's not crazy to envision KW not finding a taker and then deciding to spend Jenks' money elsewhere. I remember I mentioned Dontrelle Willis as a candidate after 2007, and most people said that was ridiculous, but it would've made sense to do.

Scott Olsen?

From the Nationals Journal this morning:

Chico Harlan:
Q: Scott Olsen. Any report on how his rehab has started, and what is your thinking about his arbitration case? Because that is a guy you'll have to make a decision on.

Mike Rizzo:
Yeah. We get a report on him every day. He's on his throwing program down in Florida. He's progressing normally. We're going to have to watch him throughout the offseason and watch where he's at to make the decision to tender or non-tender him.

Jenks is hardly a comparable to Wigginton and Nelson.

Wigginton posted a massive home/road split in 2008, he mashed in Houston but struggled everywhere else, he posted a 1.081 OPS with 32 XBH at home and a .696 OPS with 14 XBH on the road. Given his unimpressive track record beyond 2008, tendering him a $5-6M contract didn't make a lot of sense for Houston.

Nelson's 2008 was really good, but his walk rate was out of line with his career numbers and his contact rates were pretty lucky. Most teams would've tendered him a contract but this is the Marlins that we're talking about.

Now, with Jenks you're talking about one of the best closers in the AL since he emerged in 2005. His K/BB ratio is actually much better this year than it was in 2008, and his HR/9 is only so bad because of an extremely flukish 17% HR/FB ratio. Even if he isn't worth about $7M to the White Sox, they'd still be better off tendering him a contract and then trading him, Jenks has the reputation to garner some trade interest even if he's got $7M coming to him.

Atkins will be nontendered, unless he is willing to sign for dinky-doo and be a pinch hitter. I'd rather have Giambi, frankly. Atkins will be a good reclamation case for some team with time to spare.

Matt Belisle could be a NT, but I think the team might want him back, given his halfway decent final stretch of pitching.

Taylor Buchholz was integral in 2008, and we're imagining he will be in 2010 as well. They'll tender him a contract.

"Atkins will be nontendered, unless he is willing to sign for dinky-doo and be a pinch hitter. I'd rather have Giambi, frankly. Atkins will be a good reclamation case for some team with time to spare."

Atkins can't be tendered a contract for any less than about $5.6M, because of his $7M salary for this season. If the Rockies want him back for less than that, they'll have to non-tender him and renegotiate a new contract.

Atkins was almost certainly be gone. The infield is set with Helton, Barmes, Tulowitzki and Stewart.

Houston could make some sense as a destination for Atkins. It really just depends on which way the club decides to go.

I don't see them paying Tejada to stick around to play 3B.

They may decide to let Chris Johnson be the everyday but he's very unproven and didn't get much playing time in September.

I think they should try Johnson out but sign a veteran for insurance. This is where Atkins could make sense. This of course is only plausable if Blum does not resign with the team. Houston could hope that Atkins could regain some of his hitting ability but would only be willing to pay him a small amount of money. I'd rather them go for Teahen if he were non-tendered.

Just some food for thought...

Dave Bush is a likely non-tender.

When asked by a reporter essentially whether all 5 of the guys who started this season in the rotation (they conceivable could all come back) would be back, Ken Macha asked "Where'd we finish in terms of starters ERA?" "Last" answered the reporter. Macha: "I think you answered your own question."

Bush had some injury issues but was bad and would cost too much to bring back as long reliever.

It's all about risk, and tendering a contact to a player you do not want to pay is plenty risky. Jenks' recent xFIPs are around 3.80. All I am saying is that I agree with those saying he is a non-tender candidate, even if that chance is around 10%.

I guess he's a non-tender candidate, but I just consider the odds of it to be minute enough that discussing it just seems petty.

I would be shocked if the White Sox decided to non-tender Jenks.

Jeremy Hermida, Conor Jackson, and Kelly Shoppach, please.

Last year at the deadline Hermida was included in the Marlins offer for Ramirez, before they wet their pants, and Theo decided to work with LAD and PIT.

Certainly makes sense for the Cubs to non-tender Heilman and then try to bring him back at a lower salary. That is, assuming they want to bring him back. If it were me I'd non-tender him, try to resign him to a lower, team friendly contract and then trade him as fast as possible. Can't say I'm enthused at the prospect of him being a Cub again next year, he's unexciting to put it mildly.

Brandon Moss sounds done in Pittsburgh. From Rotoworld.com-

Brandon Moss will not compete for a starting job in 2010, manager John Russell said.

"Brandon realizes the opportunity he had here and that he didn't take advantage of it," said Russell. Russell went on to say that even a bench role is not guaranteed for Moss. It's a disappointing slide for the former Boston farmhand who came over in the Jason Bay trade. If Moss doesn't play Sunday, he finishes 2009 at .235/.300/.363 in 383 at-bats with seven home runs.
Source: Pittsburgh Post-Gazette

Cody Ross of the Marlins is a non-tender possibility as well.

Mike Fontenot

I'd say there is no chance the Twins non-tender Delmon Young! Yes, he's been a disappointment for two seasons (although he's been a beast the last three weeks) but he remains a very high ceiling player at age 25.

I think given his youth, production, and his potential that he would become a priority free agent for a number of teams looking for a corner outfielder.

The Twins may trade him this off season but I can't imagine them non-tendering him.

Delmon Young probably will remain with the Twins. However, he has been epically poor.

His 736 OPS is the WORST for all AL LF'ers with at least 300 AB's. Over the past 3 years he has averaged an OPS of around 730.

You can't keep running a guy out there, in a premium offensive position, and have him post an OPS that barely crosses 700. He's had 3 full years now and there has been no sign of improvement (except that past few weeks).

The Twins should try to move him while there are still people that believe he has upside. I think he will go down as yet another top prospect who will have done absolutely nothing at the ML level.

Regardless of whether or not the Twins should trade him, I don't see the Twins trading or non-tendering Delmon.

Just like the front office has decided to keep Carlos Gomez in the majors (despite being clearly overmatched at this point) in order to show that we got something for Johan Santana, they'll keep Young to have something to show for Garza.

In the end, both trades have been busts to this point (fingers crossed for Deolis Guerra), and the organization seems reluctant to accept or acknowledge that.

Both players mentioned have upside still, and Gomez is unquestionably an elite defensive center fielder, but he's got no place in the Majors at this point.

At the end of the day, Bill Smith doesn't seem to like to acknowledge a bad move. How long did we hang onto Craig Monroe and Livan Hernandez? Livan probably cost us the division in 2008, but Smith didn't want to pull the trigger even though Liriano was flat out dominant at the AAA level.

Young will remain in Minnesota, so here's hoping his monster September is a sign of better days to come. If nothing else, it's given me a little hope for him again, which is something I had previously lost.

Santiago Casilla and Edgar Gonzalez for the A's. Both have been bad (well, Gonzalez has had a decent FIP, but that K/BB is scary--- he may be retained for the sole sake of eating up innings to, preserve someone's service time) both are arb eligible. Casilla is pretty much a goner, and I'd venture to say the same about EGon.

Replacement level innings eaters can be found for league minimum, no need to spend on them.

Suppose I shouldn't say "monster September..." his last 3 weeks or so have been where he's really picked it up, culminating in a ridiculous weekend series with Kansas City.

As far as the Twins go, with their rotation situation it is very unlikely that would let Boof Bonser go.

On the other hand Philip Humber is a sure non-tender and Brendan Harris might follow him as well.

Delmon Young certainly has holes in his game and while I think he was justified in being upset w/ his teammate for causing him to be a target vs the Tigers, I felt he should've done that on the bench or in the clubhouse and not publicly. All that being said the guy still has potential, is only going to be 24 at the start of the 2010 season and on a team in need of offense it would be a massive sell low to let him walk. He had a very solid 2nd half of the season posting a .303/.322 line w/ 10 dbls and 9 hrs. He absolutely needs to learn to draw a walk and hit with a little more pop but as he continues to lear I could see him posting a solid .310/.340 20 hr line. Twins will not get equal value in return so why trade him and he's not earning a lot so why non-tender him?

If Atkins is non-tendered, I'm sure the O's would be interested. Right now, the plan is to let Wiggy be the 3B until Josh Bell is ready (which could be March, could be June, could be March 2011) because nothing on the FA market is worth spending that much money on.

Orioles non-tender candidates:

Pitchers: Bass, Castillo, Henn, Lambert, Liz, McCrory, Simon, Waters
Non-Pitchers: Rodriguez, Andino, Fiorentino, Montanez

I've read that the O's need to create some room on the 40-man for several youngsters who need to be protected from Rule 5 status.

"You can't keep running a guy out there, in a premium offensive position, and have him post an OPS that barely crosses 700. He's had 3 full years now and there has been no sign of improvement (except that past few weeks)."

You haven't even mentioned his career UZR/150 of -16.3 in left field.

He's posted a near-pathetic -1.3 WAR with Minnesota. Unfortunately, he's so freaking talented that he'll continue to play, because he's still got a shot at being an impact player.

Add Glen Perkins to that list from Minnesota. He declined an invitation to attend the metrodome for the festivities yesterday. What person who has even a slight interest in the Twins wouldn't have wanted to be there? At this point I'm sure the Twins are just fed up with him, I know I am.

Laynce Nix and even Jonny Gomes are candidates.

^& Bill Bray probably isn't arb eligible since the Reds kept him in AAA all year preventing him from gaining service time.

Are you kidding me? There is absolutely no chance that Cody Ross does not get tendered a contract. This guy is still relatively cheap and an integral part of the fan base. Obviously you haven't heard fans chanting his name. And with the numbers he's posted, if anything he'd be traded.

The only guys on that list that I would consider targeting if I were a GM, or more accurately, if I were the GM of, say the Pirates, would be - Boof Bonser, Dave Bush, Jack Cust, Kelly Johnson, John Maine, & Mark Teahen.

Now, with Jenks you're talking about one of the best closers in the AL since he emerged in 2005. His K/BB ratio is actually much better this year than it was in 2008, and his HR/9 is only so bad because of an extremely flukish 17% HR/FB ratio. Even if he isn't worth about $7M to the White Sox, they'd still be better off tendering him a contract and then trading him, Jenks has the reputation to garner some trade interest even if he's got $7M coming to him.


Posted by: scribbletone | October 05, 2009 at 10:29 AM

To be a nontender you have to be worth less than you will be awarded in arbitration. IMO Jenks isn't worth more than 5 yet is due to make 7 so he is definitely a candidate. The best thing they could do is tender him and then trade him with cash to offset the 2 mill difference, unfortuately anyone who is a possible candidate will probably rather wait to see if they non-tender him.

On the other hand Philip Humber is a sure non-tender and Brendan Harris might follow him as well.

Posted by: the tenth inning stretch | October 05, 2009 at 01:32 PM

Orioles non-tender candidates:
Pitchers: Bass, Castillo, Henn, Lambert, Liz, McCrory, Simon, Waters
Non-Pitchers: Rodriguez, Andino, Fiorentino, Montanez
I've read that the O's need to create some room on the 40-man for several youngsters who need to be protected from Rule 5 status.

Posted by: mstrchef13 | October 05, 2009 at 02:46 PM


Read up on the rules. You have to be arbitration eligible (3yrs+ service time) to be nontender candidates. None of these players mentioned are, they could all be DFA'd or outright released but not nontendered.

if the marlins could make a contract with any of these players.what players would be and for how much?

Shawn Hill was released and Jack Taschner and Tyler Yates were granted free agency.
Other candidates include P Lance Cormier (TB), 2B Esteban German (TEX, Nelson Figueroa (NYM) and for the Tiger Fans please Non-Tender Zach Miner!!!!

if the rays non tender navarro if im the mets i go after him

I suppose a team choosing to buy out a contract rather than pick up an option is a different thing, but an easier and much more important decision for the Nationals than whether to tender Scott Olsen a contract is the opportunity to rid themselves of Austin Kearns. What is the deadline for deciding whether to pick up a team option?

Jayson Werth....can the Phillies really afford him?

Jayson Werth....can the Phillies really afford him?

Posted by: Gene |

Werth was signed to a 2 year deal this offseason. The Phillies can afford him just fine.

How about a guy like Vladimir Guerrero?

The Angels probably won't offer him arbitration as he is making $12M this season. If they can't reach an agreement on a new deal could he possibly be a good candidate to DH for another AL team?

Goodbye Reed, Redding and Green but keep Figueroa

He's a New Yorker.

No way the Yankees non-tender Wang. He had back to back 19 win seasons and was 6-2 before he injured his foot in 2008. Last year was an enigma. Cashman is not going to just let this guy go only to watch him win 15 games for a team like SF or Arizona. He has earned another shot at the #4 spot in the rotation

Just an FYI, obviously some things have happened since we posted this list. We will do an updated one a few weeks from now, when we get closer to the December 12th non-tender deadline.

i will take Delmon Young in a Giants Uniform anyday. He is 24 years old. Most guys his age are in AA or in their Rookie Year. You cant punish the guy because he flew through the minors with the Rays. Hitters dont hit their peak years until 27-31 years old. Young will probably reach it a little sooner, hopefully by 25.

Options for offensive hungry teams like the Giants are Eugenio Velez, Andres Torres and Fred Lewis. Nate Schierholtz is a "promising" young outfielder in our eyes. He will be 26 on opening day 2010. He has 472 career ABs, with a .284 /.316 /.415 line (6 hr and 44 rbi). Compare that to Young, 24 years old, 1741 career ABs, .290 / .322 / .416 career line with 38 HR and 232 RBI.

to add to the delmon young OPS concerns...

Delmon Young and his career .738 OPS would have tied him for second among the Giants outfielders behind the one and only Andres Torres (who only had 152 ABs.

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