Elias Rankings Update

After the season the Elias Sports Bureau will take all players over the 2009-10 period, divide them into five groups for each league, and rank them based on various statistics.  Then each player will be labeled a Type A, B, or none.  Those designations and the possible accompanying arbitration offers determine draft pick compensation (click here for a refresher).

Eddie Bajek has reverse-engineered the Elias rankings, and he's providing that information exclusively at MLB Trade Rumors.  Here's a look at how the players rank for the period beginning with the 2009 season running through July 24th, 2010.  The Google spreadsheet below has separate tabs for each position group.  The players have about three more months to change these rankings.  You can also go directly to the Google spreadsheet here and download an Excel version here.  Our last set of Elias projections is here, in case you want to see what changed.

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14 Comments on "Elias Rankings Update"

5 years 1 month ago

I love these. Thanks for your work.

I am interested in how these rankings are changing and how they project, which prompts two suggestions:

1. Could these update posts also link back to the previous update posts, just for convenience.

2. What really matters is how these players will project by the end of the year. As a separate analysis, it would be interesting to see how they would rank projected to the end of the season.

5 years 1 month ago

If you have a way to project playing time, performance, and who will be on the roster August 31, I’ll gladly work with you to develop projections

5 years 1 month ago

And incorporate it into a code that runs in five minutes.

5 years 1 month ago

Dave Bush should be in bold.

5 years 1 month ago

I’ll fix that for the next set. It’s likely the the list of free agents in the sheet had him listed differently (Dave vs. David) from the name and it didn’t match the two up. Thank you.

5 years 1 month ago

Brian Wilson?

5 years 1 month ago

Is Brian Wilson missing? If so, I know the error. That came up all the time last year, but I thought I had it fixed. I can address tonight.

5 years 1 month ago

Jason Frasor now profiles as an A. Jays will certainly have some options this week…

5 years 1 month ago

All the links go to AL catchers.

5 years 1 month ago

Check the tabs on the bottom.

5 years 1 month ago

This can’t be accurate. And if it is, any ranking system that ranks Jose Reyes a “Class B” Free Agent behind the likes of Scott Rolen, Casey Blake, Orlando Cabrera, Ryan Theriot, Luis Castillo, David Eckstein, Chipper Jones, Casey McGehee and Chase Headley is not only seriously flawed, but high comedy. and that’s only the National Leaguers that are ranked ahead of Reyes.

Marco Scutaro gets an A classification and scores far higher than Reyes. No one can tell me that given the choice of Reyes or Scutaro that the Red Sox wouldn’t have snagged Reyes faster than the time it takes Reyes to steal second base.

When healthy, which he is, Reyes is not only one of the best Infielders in baseball, he’s one of the best players in baseball.

I realize this is only for the purposes of awarding compensation picks, but shouldn’t the rankings have a better relation to reality than having someone like Reyes second to last among Class B Free Agents, just ahead of Cristian Guzman and slightly behind Skip Schumaker.

Talk about absurd!

5 years 1 month ago

He missed most of last year.

5 years 1 month ago

Ed, thanks for the reply.

I realize Reyes missed most of last year. But if he’s healthy heading in a free agent walk year, producing like he produces . . . why should the team that loses a player of that caliber be penalized with a Class B ranking. To me that’s a flaw in the ranking.

That said, you have some yeoman’s work in assembling all this info!

Thanks again,


5 years 30 days ago

“why should the team that loses a player of that caliber”
And why should a team get a top draft pick for a player who missed an entire season due to injury?