Dodgers Extend Clayton Kershaw

The Dodgers have officially announced the extension of ace Clayton Kershaw, who receives a groundbreaking seven-year, $215MM contract one year before he would have qualified for free agency. Notably, the deal includes an out clause that the southpaw can exercise after five seasons, at which time he will still be just 30 years old.

Kershaw

Kershaw's representatives at Excel Sports Management have secured their client the highest-ever annual salary for a baseball player. His $30.7MM AAV bests those achieved in the one-year, $28MM deal for Roger Clemens back in 2007 and Alex Rodriguez's ten-year, $275MM deal.

Kershaw's extension also gives him more new money than any pitcher contract in baseball history. Indeed, the deal exceeds the next biggest commitment — the seven-year, $161MM C.C. Sabathia deal — by a whopping $54MM. Likewise, it dwarfs other, more recent guarantees, including Zack Greinke's $147MM free agent pact and the extensions of Cole Hamels ($144M in new money), Justin Verlander ($140MM), and Felix Hernandez ($135.5MM). 

Though it does not have a no-trade clause, Kershaw's contract contains language that would significantly impact his rights in a trade scenario. First and foremost, Kershaw would obtain the right to void the deal if traded. If he is sent to another club mid-season, he could void the rest of the deal before the start of the following season. If, instead, Kershaw is dealt during the offseason, he gets the right to void the remainder of the contract after the end of the ensuing campaign. He would also pick up a one-time, $3MM bonus if he is traded during the offseason.

Obviously, these clauses present a significant barrier to any trade, at least until the point at which Kershaw's opt-out clause would otherwise be available to him. In particular, they convey immense leverage to Kershaw to demand a massive, new extension from any team that wishes to acquire him. 

Kershaw's salary will be somewhat backloaded. The big lefty will earn $22MM in 2014, $18MM of which is a signing bonus and only $4MM of which is in salary. His salary then tracks as follows: $30MM (2015), $32MM (2016), $33MM (2017), $33MM (2018), $32MM (2019), and $33MM (2020). The deal also contains incentives: Kershaw stands to earn $1MM for a Cy Young campaign and $500K for landing second or third in the voting. 

This means that the opt-out decision facing Kershaw after the 2018 season will effectively be a two-year, $65MM proposition. If he leaves that money on the table, the deal would end up paying him $150MM over five years, good for a straight $30MM AAV.

Kershaw's nearly unprecedented level of early-career performance had lined him up for a projected $18.15MM arbitration payday this year, in the analysis of MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz. As MLBTR's Tim Dierkes notes on Twitter, that would imply an approximately $32.8MM AAV ($197MM over six years) for Kershaw's free agent years.

Indeed, Kershaw's historic contract was earned by a legitimately historic run in his career's early going. The soon-to-be 26-year-old became only the third pitcher in MLB history — following Greg Maddux and Lefty Grove — to lead the big leagues in ERA for three straight seasons, which he accomplished after posting the low mark again last year. He has registered a close second to Verlander in terms of fWAR (18.5 against 19.1) among starters over that same time period.

Last year was Kershaw's best season yet, as he posted a 1.83 ERA in 236 innings, leading the league in strikeouts (232) and WHIP (0.915) to go along with his ERA title. The net of his MLB career to date is a 2.60 ERA in 1,180 innings, buttressed by 9.2 K/9 against 3.0 BB/9. He has made at least 30 starts in every year since 2009 and has thrown over 200 innings for each of the last four seasons. Needless to say, Kershaw has been both outstanding and durable.

For the Dodgers, Kershaw adds a massive, but seemingly manageable, new obligation to the books. As I explained back in November, Los Angeles was running away from the rest of the league in terms of post-2014 salary obligations. Though major signings by clubs like the Yankees and Rangers have evened things out somewhat in the interim, L.A. will continue to set the pace on future spending. But that spending level is backed up by an unmatched $340MM local TV revenue stream.

As I further explored, the Dodgers stand to gain the most out of any team in baseball from an inflationary salary environment, as their massive obligations stand to see the largest decrease in real value as salaries rise. The money owed Kershaw, too, could reduce substantially in relative terms if salary trends continue upward. Moreover, as also illustrated in that piece, Los Angeles has a huge ramp-down in its future commitments beginning after the 2018 season, which creates some additional breathing room. But with the opt out landing at that same point, that salary space could ultimately end up going towards yet another extension.

As Dierkes notes on Twitter, Kershaw's contract is the ninth MLB deal to include an opt-out clause. Of the other eight deals, only those agreed to by Vernon Wells and Elvis Andrus came by way of extension rather than free agency. 

Looking at the broader market impact, the Kershaw extension will undoubtedly be pointed to in negotiations regarding other top starters. Major arms that are set for free agency next year include Max Scherzer, James Shields, and Jon Lester, with David Price headlining the 2016 crop. Though Kershaw may be in a league of his own given his age and track record, his new deal certainly stretches the scale of reasoanbly attainable salaries upwards.

ESPN.com's Ramona Shelburne first reported the signing and its terms (via Twitter). Jon Heyman of CBSSports.com first reported the annual payment structure on Twitter. Joel Sherman of the New York Post first reported the deal's trade provisions (all links to Twitter). 

Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.


372 Responses to Dodgers Extend Clayton Kershaw Leave a Reply

  1. JCurrie39 1 year ago

    Wow I thought it would be more but it is a huge 32 mil per year average

  2. MB923 1 year ago

    Probably the best $200 million contract ever given

    • Brandon Mason 1 year ago

      Until Mike Trout Gets His $200 Million +

      • MB923 1 year ago

        Trout may get the first $300 million one

        • vtadave 1 year ago

          Or $400 million by that time…

          • LazerTown 1 year ago

            Doubt it. Trout is good, but he is still human, and teams aren’t going to spend that much yet on him.

          • $3513744 1 year ago

            I heard Seattle fans say that about A-Rod once.

        • Brandon Mason 1 year ago

          I Agree, but I’m Saying He’s Worth It. Like you Said “Kershaw is probably the best $200 Million contract ever given”

        • JJ 1 year ago

          or Miguel Cabrera

          • Matt Mccarron 1 year ago

            Cabrera won’t hit free agency until his age 32/33 season. Highly doubt he gets a 300M contract at age 33. Would have to be signed thru age 43 at 30M a year.

          • JJ 1 year ago

            Trout should get more years but Miggy should get more money annually.

          • Matt Mccarron 1 year ago

            Agreed but I still think Trout will get move since he offers more then Miggy.

          • nbgiant25 1 year ago

            If Trout plays up to the level that he has in his first two seasons, his contract will embarrass whatever Miggy pulls down, in both years and AAV.

            When ESPN was talking about it a while back, execs were saying that if he were on a year to year contract situation, he might be able to get $50 mil a year.

          • bobskube 1 year ago

            The angels may need a 3bman.

          • ThisGuyRocks 1 year ago

            Not really. A team could do a shorter deal with a higher AAV

      • williswinning 1 year ago

        The laughs will be on whoever does that.

    • Dave 1 year ago

      Something said before almost all of them.

      Might be worth it, but if I were the Dodgers I’m hoping that 5 year escape is mutual.

      I don’t think he’d have gotten a lot more on the market, so I’m not real sure this is even a great “deal” other than the fact that they don’t have to worry that he’d take 33m/year from Seattle instead.

      • MB923 1 year ago

        “Something said before almost all of them.”

        If you mean something that was never said by anybody, then yeah.

    • dieharddodgerfan 1 year ago

      Agree. Dodgers have Kershaw signed from his age 25-32 years.

      If he opts out, then its his age 25-30 years.

      Great contract for the Dodgers!

    • RyanWKrol 1 year ago

      Based on what? Long contracts like this are an enormous risk no matter who the player is. Still, it takes care of a lot of important business the Dodgers needed to take care of.

    • LazerTown 1 year ago

      Yes, but because of his age. That could backfire though. He is 25 and already has almost 1200 innings on his arm. But it is the price you pay for a 25 yo ace in his prime.

      • MB923 1 year ago

        25 is pretty young in baseball.

        • Matt Mccarron 1 year ago

          Hes saying the mileage could be high on his arm already. Can’t see him pitching 7 years of 230 innings and still being able to get a huge contract after that. thats a good 2800 innings. Halladay broke down after 2700. Sabathia showed signs of slowing down after 2750 innings. 25 is young, but he shooting his bullets very early.

      • dieharddodgerfan 1 year ago

        What I love about Logan White is that he puts an emphasis on big, sturdy starters who have clean, repeatable deliveries.

        Kershaw’s has solid mechanics and has a clean delivery, thus minimizing his risk of injury. He also uses his lower half really well.

        Any long-term contract is a risk, but Kershaw is as good a bet as there is to give a long-term contract to for a starting pitcher.

    • Lionel Bossman Craft 1 year ago

      To a guy that plays only 33 out 161 games? He’s getting a million a start pretty much and I doubt he averages more then 7 innings per start over the course of the contract. If he does, his arm won’t age well.

      • LazerTown 1 year ago

        But a pitcher has a much bigger impact than a hitter. A top hitter will only get 1/9 or so of the AB.

    • alphabet_soup5 1 year ago

      A-Rod averaged 8 WAR per season until he opted out…

    • Karkat 1 year ago

      Surprisingly reasonable in terms of years and where the opt-out is placed (two years of a lesser Kershaw, in the future where poor performance keeps him from opting out, is hardly a problem for the Dodgers). Seems like the two sides got along pretty well.

    • Totally. Although that’s not saying much…. Definitely one of the best 9-figure contracts ever, even coming down to the 100 mil mark.

    • Eddie Edwards 1 year ago

      I disagree and think it could end up the worst. All it takes is 1 arm problem

      • MB923 1 year ago

        True but you can’t predict injuries. That may happen on his next pitch. That might not happen for 7 years. 1 hit by pitch or collision for a position player can end a whole season, possibly career.

    • strikethree 1 year ago

      To me, this all depends how much it limits their budget for now and upcoming seasons. Obviously it’s risky to pay him this much, but it’s worse if the salary handicaps you from making more moves later on. I also believe pitchers abilities deteriorate faster and have a higher rate of injury. (although, I’m not 100% of the validity of this statement and, of course, individual players can be quite different)

      If they have the financial room to spare, then it’s not all that bad of a deal. Although, you could argue that it’s doubtful the guy would’ve made that much in free agency. (let’s remember that the contact is actually worth more because of that opt-out cause)

  3. Eric Droegemeier 1 year ago

    Good deal I think. Kershaw is still young.

  4. Tony Matias 1 year ago

    Insert double-take… now!!

  5. N.K.T. 1 year ago

    Man that’s a lot of money

  6. 0vercast 1 year ago

    Good deal for both sides!

  7. StantonLikeMyDaddy 1 year ago

    If anyone deserves that much money, it’s him. Best pitcher in the game, young, and great with the community and philanthropist.

  8. JJ 1 year ago

    Good deal for dodgers. They were able to avoid a 10 year deal.

  9. Eric Droegemeier 1 year ago

    Now if they get Tanaka they will have arguably the games best rotation.

    • vtadave 1 year ago

      Arguably?

    • thegrayrace 1 year ago

      They “arguably” do without Tanaka. With him its no question.

      • RyanWKrol 1 year ago

        No they don’t. Huge question marks behind Ryu.

        • Evan 1 year ago

          Name a better rotation. And don’t say the Tigers. Sanchez won’t be that good again and Verlander was very hittable, plus they have questions at 4 and 5. No one has been as rock solid as Kershaw.

          • alphabet_soup5 1 year ago

            Questions at 4 and 5? Porcello isn’t an ace but he is a sure thing to be a solid #4. Kershaw is the best MLB pitcher, but Verlander, Scherzer, and Sanchez are all better than Greinke.

          • Evan 1 year ago

            How?Verlander seems to be declining and Sanchez had a career year he probably can’t repeat. Greinke was injured and still managed to put up great numbers.For next year I would take Greinke over those 2, no question. Plus Porcello is a marginal 4 at best.

          • alphabet_soup5 1 year ago

            By WAR. How is Porcello a marginal 4 at best? And Verlander was born in the same year as Greinke, the consensus is he will return to form in 2014.

          • Evan 1 year ago

            How?Verlander seems to be declining and Sanchez had a career year he probably can’t repeat. Greinke was injured and still managed to put up great numbers.For next year I would take Greinke over those 2, no question. Plus Porcello is a marginal 4 at best.

          • Daniel Copans 1 year ago

            Nats rotation has a case. Gio, Strasburg, and J-Zimm all have ace level numbers and Fister is pretty much the best #4 in the league. If Detwiler can stay healthy or Taylor Jordan takes the spot and produces, I don’t think there’s a better 1-5 anywhere.

          • Netflix Sux 1 year ago

            The Nats hands down. Their top 3 are number 1s on any team, dodgers have 1 plus maybe Greinke.

          • thegrayrace 1 year ago

            Greinke was better than Strasburg, Zimmermann and Gonzalez last season. An argument could be made that Ryu was better than Zimmermann and Gonzalez, too (better ERA and ERA+).

        • thegrayrace 1 year ago

          Haren had a rough 1st half last season, but he appeared to regain his form the 2nd half and has an excellent track record. Any team would be happy to have him in their #4 spot.

          There are few teams in the league that can say their #5 spot is locked up, but Zach Lee could make an impact, Stephen Fife has been productive for the Dodgers, and if Josh Beckett has anything left in the tank at all, he’s in a contract year.

          Chad Billingsley could also make an impact mid-season. Solid #3 when healthy.

          Yes, strong arguments could be made for the Dodgers having the best rotation. The 1-3 spots certainly match anybody, and the 4-5 spots have a lot of potential.

    • MB923 1 year ago

      Uhh I don’t think there is an argument there. They definitely would.

    • Visionsofsilver 1 year ago

      There’s no arguing about it if they landed Tanaka.

    • Matt Mccarron 1 year ago

      They arguably are the best rotation right now anyways. Throw in Tanaka they are pretty much the best rotation; A healthy Beckett? Forget about it.

      • thegrayrace 1 year ago

        The only thing that makes me mildly optimistic about Beckett is that this is a contract year. If he has absolutely anything left, we should see it this season.

        But even without Beckett… you can’t complain about Kershaw, Greinke, Ryu and Haren as your top 4, and the #5 spot can be managed by guys like Fife, Magill and Zach Lee if Beckett and Billingsley aren’t able.

      • Netflix Sux 1 year ago

        No way is their top 4 better than the Nationals, and especially the top 3. Nats top 3 are all acess, Dodgers have 1 and a half.

        • thegrayrace 1 year ago

          Greinke had better numbers all around last season than anyone on the Nationals staff.

          Ryu had a better ERA and ERA+ than everyone except Strasburg.

          I think the Nationals have an EXCELLENT rotation, but you’re underrating Greinke and Ryu both.

    • whynot49 1 year ago

      Yes, everybody… arguably. Baseball is a game largely involving chance, and we also have never seen Tanaka throw a single MLB pitch. They would arguably be the best rotation in baseball, because there’s always a chance that another rotation will simply outperform them in 2014.

      • MB923 1 year ago

        Well of course. Just like there’s a chance 1 year the Cubs may win the World Series.

        • GameMusic3 1 year ago

          It is great when a set of 2 opposing comments are both up worthy.

  10. Ji Qi 1 year ago

    He can opt out at age 30 and seek for another huge contract ! This is a fair deal for Kershaw and the Dodgers.

  11. Edictor27 1 year ago

    Well Deserved, hope Dodgers sign Tanaka. Could be a dangerous 1-2 in the rotation, if Tanaka comes as advertised

    • Jacob Meadows 1 year ago

      The Dodgers already have a dangerous 1-2 in their rotation. Adding Tanaka would give them a dangerous 1-2-3, with Ryu being a solid number two on other teams in the four spot.

      • thegrayrace 1 year ago

        and Haren, if he continues to pitch as he did in the 2nd half of last season, a solid #3 in the Dodgers #5 spot.

  12. EarlyMorningBoxscore 1 year ago

    It’s hard to say 30 million a year is a steal, but they didn’t have to go 10 years or 300 million. That’s a win for the Dodgers, and Kershaw. Good on them.

  13. rossington 1 year ago

    Well if anyone is going to get that much money. Might as well be him. He’s the best in the game.

  14. Eric Droegemeier 1 year ago

    Which contract is better? (at the time of the signing) Votto 10 years, 225 m, or this one?

    • dieharddodgerfan 1 year ago

      Oh, Kershaw’s deal is better for the Dodgers, no doubt.

      Kershaw is only signed through age 32. Dodgers have locked up all his prime years (25-30).

    • MB923 1 year ago

      This one. And it’s not even close (though I will say for the first 2 years of his extension, Votto has done very well)

  15. dieharddodgerfan 1 year ago

    Mutually beneficial deal for Kershaw and the Dodgers.

    He can opt out after 5 years and still get a big contract at 30 yrs old.

    Dodgers getting Kershaw for 7 years max under this deal is a no-brainer. He’s only signed through age 32.

  16. Muhamed Mashkulli 1 year ago

    imagine if he was a free agent, he would’ve gotten $300m easy

  17. Mike 1 year ago

    Meh. Sincerely – Mike Trout.

  18. Chad Woelk 1 year ago

    With contracts skyrocketing small market teams will never be able to keep their superstars. I love baseball but can understand why so many other people have turned their backs on the game. With no salary cap and revenue sharing being a joke, this is just bad for baseball.

    • anon_coward 1 year ago

      why were the dodgers in last place the first quarter or so of last season?

      • BlueSkyLA 1 year ago

        Eight starting pitchers in six weeks. Lots of other injuries to key players.

      • thegrayrace 1 year ago

        Injured Hanley Ramirez, injured Mark Ellis, injured Zack Greinke, injured Chris Capuano, injured Chad Billingsley, injured Stephen Fife.

        Luis Cruz starting at 3B, Justin Sellers starting at SS, Brandon League closing. No Yasiel Puig.

    • Matt Mccarron 1 year ago

      Pretty sure Rays retained Longo, Pirates retained Cutch. Mariners kept King Felix, Astros kept Aluve and just a matter of time before Marlins pay Fernadez.

      • slasher016 1 year ago

        Mariners and Astros aren’t in small markets….

        • txftw 1 year ago

          Dead on. If they were competitive the markets there would liven up a ton. Plus the Stros are the most profitable team in baseball because of how little they spent.

    • dieharddodgerfan 1 year ago

      Small market teams can still retain their stars. They just will need to lock them up earlier, which actually is better for the team.

      I think we’ll see more small market teams lock up their stars for their prime years.

      Most free agents going forward will likely be over 30 and riskier signs for teams.

      • Dave 1 year ago

        Yeah, but this flies in the face of “lock ’em up early” if the price for early is the same as the market would likely give.

        Lets say the A’s get a guy who wins the Cy Young two years in a row at 22 and 23 with no history of injury and he also rescues puppies in the offseason.

        What’s the contract? Clearly he’ll be justified in hauling in 30m+/year, or 1/2 to 1/3 of the entire payroll of the team. This contract more or less ruins the idea of locking a guy up in his younger years for a below market rate if he’s really an ace.

    • RyanWKrol 1 year ago

      Because the Angels, Blue Jays, Cubs, and Mets all had great seasons right? Keeping your superstars can do as much harm as good. Look at all the productive major league talent teams acquired for players like Griffey and Teixeira. Most of time, those teams acquiring all that talent immediately contended. It’s about roster balance and depth, not superstars.

    • raltongo 1 year ago

      I kind of agree with you on this…with the new TV mega-deals reinforcing the larger market teams’ dominance (in spending, anyway), it seems as though a true salary cap will never happen. The luxury tax threshold seems like a half-hearted attempt at controlling spending, but the Yanks, Dodgers, and Angels will not think twice about eclipsing the tax threshold for Tanaka.

      I don’t care so much about the big contracts, its simply a market-dictated reality. Its all fine and good to see guys get paid and to see teams take risks, But that’s the thing: All of this money for Kershaw and the deal is not even a risky move by the Dodgers. Even if this deal goes completely south, its really not even going to be considered a “waste” of money because there is just so much money out there now. LA’s impending deal makes this move justifiable in so many ways, particularly because I now think of U.S. dollars in baseball as equivalent to monopoly money.

  19. LazerTown 1 year ago

    Good deal for Kershaw. Now he can hit free agency again when he is 31, and get locked up for even more money. And he gets paid the highest aav in the game. He also gets security, because there is always a chance he gets injured this year. He may have topped this total value in free agency, but this allows him 2nd shot at free agency, and nobody would have paid that high aav.

  20. Revery 1 year ago

    Somehow, someway, that actually seems a little light.

  21. Eric Droegemeier 1 year ago

    This is actually lower than I was expecting. If Kershaw only get 215 I don’t see Trout getting 300. But he still could easily become the highest paid player in baseball history.

    • Matt Mccarron 1 year ago

      I don’t think many people see Trout getting 300M. I see him getting A-Rods contract with a 7 year opt-out.

  22. JJ 1 year ago

    does this means Dodgers are out on Tanaka?

    • Riaaaaaa 1 year ago

      I don’t think they would be.

    • Eric Droegemeier 1 year ago

      Nope. Unlike New York, they don’t care about luxury tax.

    • CDADodgers 1 year ago

      The Dodgers are out on no one. Ever.

      • Lionel Bossman Craft 1 year ago

        They said they were out on Cano.

        • Matt Mccarron 1 year ago

          Because they signed Guerro. I’m sure if he said no they would of kicked the wheels on Cano.

        • The_Sports_Dude 1 year ago

          To be accurate, the Dodgers were never in on Cano in the first place.

          • Lionel Bossman Craft 1 year ago

            Which proves my point because the guy I responded to said “The Dodgers are out on no one. EVER”.

        • CDADodgers 1 year ago

          You’re right, but they also could have had him if they wanted him. If ownership wants someone, they will get them, for now.

    • The_Sports_Dude 1 year ago

      This just means the Dodgers are one step closer to knowing how much they want to spend on Tanaka. After they take care of Hanley’s deal, they can focus on Tanaka.

    • BlueSkyLA 1 year ago

      Kasten has already said that the two are not connected. So, no.

  23. Junior7188 1 year ago

    waste of money,giving over 200mm to a pitcher is risky, you have to remember that pitchers arm over time will go down, you don’t know what going to happen to his arm, even this year, he could get tommy john and all the money is then a waste, for a batter its much easier to give that kind of money, look at david ortiz, he is still hitting like a pro, he aged like fine wine, but pitcher don’t, dodgers you love throwing money away, pitcher should not reach that kind of many.

    • Visionsofsilver 1 year ago

      What’s your alternative? The Dodgers just let him walk after this year?

      • Junior7188 1 year ago

        no team should give him that kind of money to a pitcher, there should be a limit to what a pitcher can get for his arm, i think every team would agree, if they had a brain.

        • Comfy_Wastelander 1 year ago

          So, what then? Collusion?

          • Matt Mccarron 1 year ago

            10/250M cap on players – 10/180M cap on pitchers or 7/175.

          • CDADodgers 1 year ago

            So not only do you want a league minimum, but you want a cap on positions salaries? The point of free market’s is to pay for the best. When teams stop making money, then prices will come down.

          • TheRealRyan 1 year ago

            The problem with this is the money is still there to be spent. What would happen is the top players would all max out and then the next group of good, but not great would start to reach the max also. You would have Kershaw and Cano maxed out, but then also players like Elsbury, Choo and Tanaka maxing out because the teams still have money to spend. I would rather see the top guys get the most and the middle guys getting enough, than both groups getting the most.

        • RyanWKrol 1 year ago

          Why are you worrying so much about someone else’s money? Especially when the Dodgers payroll is covered by their TV revenue alone.

          • Comfy_Wastelander 1 year ago

            Exactly! Either the players get the money or the owners do. I like a system that favors the players. They are way more fun to watch.

          • Junior7188 1 year ago

            because i’m unbiased and just because i’m yankee fan does not mean i hate every time and ignore them and not care about what other teams do. i love the yankees but they waste money to much money, just like the dodgers.

          • There’s so much going on here. I don’t even know where to start.

          • There’s so much going on here. I don’t even know where to start.

      • Dave 1 year ago

        Surprisingly, that’s a good alternative to big albatross contracts if a player breaks down.

        MLB I know is a “don’t blink first” league and people seem to think that’s necessary, but all you have to do is look at the Angels to see how well that strategy works out. They’re the ones who managed to snag two of the “best” free agents when both of the teams on the other end were faced with a “what’s going to happen, are they going to let ’em walk?”.

        Answer was yes. Both of those teams went to the playoffs immediately after not signing a guy to a long-term top value contract.

        The Angels still don’t look any better than the 3rd place team in the AL West, if not the 4th best team and not much is going to change that with a billion dollars worth of regret on the bench.

        • Anthony Hughes 1 year ago

          The difference here is that the Dodgers are paying for a guy’s age 25-32 years, not 32-42 as in the case of Pujols.

    • CDADodgers 1 year ago

      A contract this long and large is insured for exactly what you are talking about. At the same time, if he is never hurt, this contract is a steal. A perennial CY winner, getting better every year, this is not a bad deal.

    • The_Sports_Dude 1 year ago

      “Wasting” money is relative.

  24. Jason 1 year ago

    That’s a fantastic deal just cause of the length and his age.

  25. livestrong77nyyankz 1 year ago

    Kershaw gave the Dodgers a nice discount. Great deal.

    • Visionsofsilver 1 year ago

      Maybe a discount in years, but definitely not salary.

      • livestrong77nyyankz 1 year ago

        In salary as well, hence the word discount.

        • Visionsofsilver 1 year ago

          30mil+ a year is a discount? Highest paid player the MLB?

          • livestrong77nyyankz 1 year ago

            He would have gotten more on the market.

          • Matt Mccarron 1 year ago

            Easily.

          • Lionel Bossman Craft 1 year ago

            From who?

          • bdiddy7 1 year ago

            I’d be livid at the Yanks if they didn’t give Kershaw a 7/250 if he was in the open market.

            My thinking is that if you’re going to spend money, at least spend it on a guy who’ll put up video game numbers for you.

          • Anthony Hughes 1 year ago

            I concur.

  26. Brison Wardle 1 year ago

    More money than arod

  27. Jordan_Vaughn1 1 year ago

    Good deal for both sides. I’ll believe the Dodgers are out on Tanaka when Tanaka has another team’s uniform on. The money in LA is crazy.

    Was just looking back at the 06 draft.. Wow some teams missed
    KC-Hochaver
    Col- Greg Reynolds (Who?!)
    TB- Longo (good pick)
    Pit- Brad Lincoln
    SEA- Morrow (UGH!!)
    DET- Andrew Miller
    LA- Kershaw

    I know some of those teams had worries about signing a HS kid, but good lord. Biggest 1st RD steal besides Trout!

    • Eric Droegemeier 1 year ago

      Andrew Miller has actually developed into a pretty decent lefty reliever, but that’s far below what he could have been.

      • alphabet_soup5 1 year ago

        Plus he was traded for Miguel Cabrera, he probably wouldn’t be in Detroit had they not drafted Miller.

        • Matt Mccarron 1 year ago

          He still wouldn’t be in Miami right now anyways.

    • The_Sports_Dude 1 year ago

      The Dodgers were lucky that Hochevar didn’t end up signing with them the year before and that the trend at the time had put a higher priority on established college pitchers.

  28. AsHeR 1 year ago

    Dodgers are turning into the Yankees… makes me sick

    • Visionsofsilver 1 year ago

      It’s just redemption for all the crap us Dodger fans had to go through during the McCourt era.

      • BlueSkyLA 1 year ago

        Don’t forget Fox. They were even worse.

      • AsHeR 1 year ago

        ill give ya that. maybe just a bit of jealousy on my part. but i dont support buying winners. its about building them.

        • BlueSkyLA 1 year ago

          All teams are buying winners. Some just have a lot more to spend on them.

    • Junior7188 1 year ago

      could not agree more and i’m a yankee fan :(

    • The_Sports_Dude 1 year ago

      It’s been the Dodgers’ destiny since moving out west. It just took 50 years.

    • txftw 1 year ago

      At least the Dodgers as “Yankees of the West” might draw more sports coverage away from the East Coast.

    • Robertkenneth 1 year ago

      At this juncture, they’re arguably worse. What made me sick was them using that whole “magic” schtick last season whilst having the largest payroll in baseball. Who would have thought this 200 million dollar ball club would go on an insane winning streak?! Must be magic!

  29. saxonius1 1 year ago

    Man, I should of been 4 inches taller, 75 pounds heavier and learned how to throw a 88 mph sinker. Oh well, guess I’ll go back to BLOGGING now…

  30. LA_BLUE_CREW 1 year ago

    where’s the rangers fans that where saying he was going to texas? dream on!!! lol

    • Eric Droegemeier 1 year ago

      I dreamed he’d sign with Boston

      • Matt Mccarron 1 year ago

        I dreamed Phils traded for Kershaw, Trout, Bosey and Wright. Signed Tanaka, Nathan and Napoli. But that didn’t happen either.

        • BlueSkyLA 1 year ago

          But then you woke up?

          • Matt Mccarron 1 year ago

            Hence why I said that didn’t happen either. But yes. That is a dream and will not happen.

          • MB923 1 year ago

            Or he turned off The Show

          • Matt Mccarron 1 year ago

            My The Show team could do alot better then Nathan and Napoli. I’m rocken the platoon of Pujols and Fielder, Cano, Tuto, Wright, Trout/Stanton/Hamilton with Yadi.

    • Commander_Nate 1 year ago

      Playing hockey with Derek Holland.

    • SierraM363 1 year ago

      He’ll be going to Texas during interleague.

    • Puig Power 1 year ago

      I’m a dodger fan and had fears he would go to Texas. He might go in five years. Don’t come on here and taunt other fans please, you make us look bad.

  31. saxonius1 1 year ago

    More like Clayton KerCHING! Amirite?!

    • Matt Mccarron 1 year ago

      Shaddup. He is the 5th biggest contract in history, right?

  32. txftw 1 year ago

    I wonder what he will be able to get in five years on the open market. Not to mention who knows what contracts will look like in five years

  33. Jaysmooth2121 1 year ago

    Ooh yes, now everyone can go back to there reality world because kershaw is a dodger for life

    • Matt Mccarron 1 year ago

      For life? His career won’t even be half way over when this deal runs out.

      • Jaysmooth2121 1 year ago

        Hypothetically speaking because we all know the dodgers won’t let him go

        • Kev D7 1 year ago

          You don’t know that actually

        • Puig Power 1 year ago

          Not true. Current ownership is strict on not going past 37-years-old. Not looking forward to those negotiations.

    • txftw 1 year ago

      ….are you saying he’s going to die in five years?

    • Lionel Bossman Craft 1 year ago

      You know he has an opt out right, plus he hits free agency at the age of 32.

  34. saxonius1 1 year ago

    More like Clayton KerCHING….eh eh?

  35. Hopper15 1 year ago

    7 more years of him torturing the giants, sigh

  36. Brison Wardle 1 year ago

    $10,000 each pitch, $1,000,000 each start per year

    • txftw 1 year ago

      *If healthy. He starts missing games and the starts he actually makes are even more expensive

      • I’m sure the Dodgers have insured the contract and they themselves have WC insurance for the team. Even if he misses time (which would blow) they will still recoup some of their losses financially

    • nepp 1 year ago

      It’s good work if you can find it.

  37. JJ 1 year ago

    Dam the way the market is this year If Miguel cabrera were a free agent he would have got 10 years/350MM

    • txftw 1 year ago

      Kershaw was not a free agent

    • Eric Droegemeier 1 year ago

      No way would Cabrera get more money than Trout, I don’t care who you think is better, Cabrera is going on 31 and Trout won’t turn 23 until August.

      • nepp 1 year ago

        You dont think someone would offer Trout 10/350 if he were a FA right now?

        • Matt Mccarron 1 year ago

          Honestly a smart GM wouldn’t. Only 2 years of solid playing isn’t worth a 350M extension. I would love to see Phillies fans if Howard had 320M left on his deal because he had 3 monster years. How about Dontrel Willis?

          • nepp 1 year ago

            I agree that a smart GM wouldn’t but there are plenty who would.

          • nepp 1 year ago

            Whoa, whoa, whoa…we never said anything about a “smart” GM…a smart GM wouldn’t but there are plenty of GMs who would.

          • raltongo 1 year ago

            good thing Howard and Trout are polar opposites

      • baseballfan92 1 year ago

        Who said anything about more money than Trout?

  38. nepp 1 year ago

    Awesome deal if you’re Clayton Kershaw…win-win for him really.

  39. Mike1L 1 year ago

    I think it’s a good deal for both sides. LA isn’t locked into a ten year deal, and Kershaw, if he’s still performing at a high level, can either opt out or get an extension after five. Creative and smart. Seems like a talented, hardworking, dedicated guy–knocking off the previous record holder (s) for highest AAV

  40. Gocubs2010 1 year ago

    Dodgers continue to overpay, They had to but no pitcher is worth that kind of money.

    • People never seem to understand inflation or the fact that baseball is incredibly profitable right now and seem to think that it’s perpetually 1993.

      So instead of greedy players lining their pockets being rewarded for their on the field performance, it should remain with the poor owners who barely scrape buy owning their billion dollar franchises?

  41. Lilstackhustla 1 year ago

    One of the best contract I’ve ever seen for both parties involved.

  42. bjsguess 1 year ago

    Let’s call it what it is:
    — The Dodgers just paid market rate (or slightly above) in AAV for Kershaw – this was no bargain and certainly no discount.
    — The Dodgers got him for less years than many anticipated. A win for them.
    — Kershaw was able to negotiate the opt out clause. My guess, that was a concession for only 7 years. A win for Kershaw.
    — The Dodgers and Kershaw just raised the cost of starting pitching for everyone else. While a player like Strausburg won’t have the track record (or age) of Kershaw, his pure stuff is just as good if not better. If Kershaw signs for $31M this year, I have to think that Strausburg could be in line for $27-28M AAV following a solid 2014 campaign.

    • dieharddodgerfan 1 year ago

      I dunno, Strasburg’s injury history will hold down his value.

      Kershaw has had NO arm issues in his career with the Dodgers. His mechanics are solid. He has a clean, repeatable delivery and Kershaw is a full grown workhorse!

      He’s also one of the most competitive starters out there AND he’s great in the community and we Dodgers fans absolutely love the guy! He’s our modern age Sandy Koufax!

      Those ALL factored into Clayton getting the huge AAV that he got in this contract.

      • The_Sports_Dude 1 year ago

        The injury history is the kicker. Boras will try to use Kershaw as a comp, but Strasberg has neither the track record, bill of health, nor hardware to justify a Kershaw comp.

      • The_Sports_Dude 1 year ago

        The injury history is the kicker. Boras will try to use Kershaw as a comp, but Strasberg has neither the track record, bill of health, nor hardware to justify a Kershaw comp.

      • BlueSkyLA 1 year ago

        My longterm concern with Kershaw is the overhand curveball. That pitch is notoriously tough on the shoulder.

        • Anthony Hughes 1 year ago

          That’s one of the reasons he rarely throws it now. He’s become much more about the slider and changeup to complement the fastball. He may only throw the big bender about 5-10 times a game, and I’ve seen him throw it less than 5 times in games.

          • BlueSkyLA 1 year ago

            My impression is he throws it when it’s working.

        • IdontknowwhyIpostonforums 1 year ago

          Correct me if I am wrong, but I think that is his 3rd most thrown pitch, well behind the FB and change. I can’t find the stats right now, but I don’t seem to remember him throwing it as much as other pitchers have. Hopefully his limited use will prolong his arm.

          • BlueSkyLA 1 year ago

            Very possibly, but we know fastball velocity isn’t around forever, so pitchers have to learn to rely more and more on their breaking and off speed pitches as they age. Anyway, I’m happy they didn’t give him ten or more years, like some thought was inevitable.

          • IdontknowwhyIpostonforums 1 year ago

            Very true about velocity. I too am glad they didn’t give him 10 years, though I wouldn’t mind seeing him a Dodger for life. My hope is that with his improving control and pitch location, he can still be effective as his velocity declines. Continuing to develop his change and slider and maybe working in a cutter will certainly keep him near the top for many years to come. I think of Greg Maddux or Tom Glavine as examples of “pitchers” who beat you with nasty stuff and not just heat.

          • BlueSkyLA 1 year ago

            It’s the old story: location first, movement second, then velocity. If you’ve got the first two, the third doesn’t make as much difference.

            When Mark Walter was asked why he green-lighted the contract extension for Kershaw, the answer was Greg Maddux.

          • link to fangraphs.com

            Throws the FB & Slider 85% of the time. Curve is next and the change is surprisingly low. Shows how awesome he is that he barely had a slider when he first came up, and now it’s his most dominant out pitch

          • IdontknowwhyIpostonforums 1 year ago

            Thanks for the link. I really thought he threw the change more often. It really is a testament to his abilities that he has developed a dominating slider.

    • baseballfan92 1 year ago

      Strasburg isn’t even close to being on the same level as Kershaw. Not only are his stats inferior but he hasn’t even made it through a full season without going on the DL or getting shut down.

    • Matt Mccarron 1 year ago

      Strausburg has injury issues, hasn’t pitched a full season in his career, has no postseason experience. Never got a cy-young vote, only 1 allstar appearance, just 1 CG, ERA 33/100 runs higher. I’d say he tops out at 16M AAV in Arbitration. When he hits the market he could be a 20-22M pitcher. Not yet, and not even close to Kershaw.

    • Governator88 1 year ago

      No one will sign Strausburg to that kind of money long term, he’s a walking bandaid.

    • Chet Steadman 1 year ago

      if Strausburg is worth 28M…..I think Darvish deserves a raise.

    • bjsguess 1 year ago

      I can see that nobody agrees. Fair enough. With the caveat that I listed – Strasburg having a solid (healthy) 2014 campaign please show me where the differences are:

      — Strasburg … 2.79 FIP / 10.44 K9 / 2.55 BB9 / 434 ML IP + 75 MiL IP + 250 college IP
      — Kershaw … 2.88 FIP / 9.20 K9 / 1.98 BB9 / 1180 ML IP + 220 MiL IP

      Call me crazy but the rate stats between the two are nearly identical. One could easily say that they are indistinguishable. Strasburg strikes a few more people out while Kershaw has better command.

      It all comes down to injury and risk. One could look at Strasburg and see nothing but red flag injuries. Kershaw has been the model of health. Of course, someone else could see Kershaw with 1400 innings pitched vs Strasburg’s 750 and conclude that one guy has a lot more mileage on his arm than the other. Strasburg has already had his TJ surgery and has successfully recovered. He has been handled with kid gloves. Kershaw, meanwhile, has been throwing 200+ innings/season since he was 21.

      If Strasburg puts together a full season (200+ innings) with his usual stat line, signing him to extension that is similar to Kershaw’s does not sound crazy to me. You get him for 10-20% less AAV, probably with less years. Both those factor to compensate for his elevated injury risk. That would put him in the 5/$140M – 6/$170M range. Very likely IMO.

      • UltimateYankeeFan 1 year ago

        With Strasburg’s injury history why would a team sign him to an extension after the 2014 season with still 2 full years of control. He’s not a FA until the 2017 season. My friend it’s not only the innings pitched that got Kershaw his contract. It was his amazing consistency and a little thing call 2 CY Young Award wins and 1 Cy Young 2nd place in the last 3 years all before his 26th birthday. Strasburg has nothing close to that resume.

  43. Puig Power 1 year ago

    Worth every cent.

    • Lionel Bossman Craft 1 year ago

      What if he get’s injured?

      • The_Sports_Dude 1 year ago

        This could be said about every athlete ever throughout time.

      • Puig Power 1 year ago

        You cannot operate on what if. I believe a baseball organization should operate on fact. And I have no idea if there is insurance involved here, either. It doesn’t matter. Kershaw is the only athlete I have seen that I would trust with this contract. He’s simply amazing and not just on the field. He’s perhaps the perfect professional athlete.

        • Lionel Bossman Craft 1 year ago

          Ellsbury could have got more, but based on what if’s like injury or what if he never has another 30+ home run season.

  44. FacelessGeneralManager 1 year ago

    A-rod proceeds to sue Kershaw and the Dodgers for overtaking his AAV record, stating that they are trying to slander his name and that he has done nothing to deserve such indigent treatment

  45. Jim01702 1 year ago

    No way they sign tanaka now, their payroll would be $250 million plus.

    • Puig Power 1 year ago

      From the previous article: Kasten said that he does not “think any one contract impacts any other.”

    • Dodgers.714 1 year ago

      Actually dodgers still can and will sign tanaka…. 8 billion dollar tv deal money andddd we were already packed in cash. Tanaka is gonna join dodgers unless they come out and say they aren’t going for him

      • Jim01702 1 year ago

        Sorry to tell you but tanaka will be a yankee.

        • Riaaaaaa 1 year ago

          Actually, no one knows where he will sign.

        • Dodgers.714 1 year ago

          Nope… And some ppl care about up votes and down votes. I don’t need a vote to know he will wanna play with a World Series contender not just a playoff contender like the yanks are

          • Jim01702 1 year ago

            Not sure how you can call the dodgers World Series contenders considering you HAVENT made the World Series since 1988. So if tanaka was going by World Series lately wouldn’t he pick the Yankees becuse they have at least won one this decade

            .
            I love how you dodger fans think every office season that you just won the works series and will be repeating again.

          • Riaaaaaa 1 year ago

            I don’t understand why dodger fans are so excited to have such a large payroll, and yet not win the world series. Geez, now I understand why people hate yankee fans, but at least we’ve won in the past century.

          • BlueSkyLA 1 year ago

            People who know what to care about don’t care about the payroll.

          • elcaballo 1 year ago

            By that logic the Giants are serious World Series contenders in the NL with 2 championships in the last four years.

          • Riaaaaaa 1 year ago

            The Dodgers are World Series contender with almost the same EXACT team that didn’t make it there last year? Wow!

          • thegrayrace 1 year ago

            The Dodgers having a healthy Matt Kemp, Andre Ethier and Hanley Ramirez might just make a difference in the postseason…

            Kemp wasn’t on the postseason roster, Ethier wasn’t really useable due to an ankle injury, and Ramirez couldn’t play in the NLCS after being hit in the ribs his first AB.

            Those were 3 of the Dodgers 5 most productive hitters.

            So, yes, the Dodgers are a World Series contender. All they need are healthy players come the postseason.

            With any luck, Guerrero should be an upgrade (at least on offense) over Mark Ellis, too. And I personally expect Haren to have a better 2014 season than Nolasco, but we’ll see. Tanaka could still be in play, as well.

      • Tko11 1 year ago

        You must be quite rich…

  46. Tom 1 year ago

    I wonder if Yankees fans are disappointed by this news?

    • Riaaaaaa 1 year ago

      I’m a Yankee fan and I’m not disappointed.

      • Tom 1 year ago

        Sorry I just pose the question because I can’t help but listen to the sports radio in the area, and every other call on improving the Yankees a couple months ago was “sign/trade for Kershaw”. I found it amusing.

    • UltimateYankeeFan 1 year ago

      I’m a Yankees fan and I never expected Kershaw to hit the open market. So no I’m not disappointed.

  47. Dodgers.714 1 year ago

    Perfect contract for both sides.. Funny seeing the haters cry for them even thinking he wasn’t gonna extend with dodgers efore becoming a free agent.

  48. UltimateYankeeFan 1 year ago

    A bit more dollars on average then I thought he might get but fewer years. But It does work to both the Dodgers and Kershaw advantage. The Dodgers get a break in the years and Kershaw gets to cash in big time again at 30 years old if he continues on the track he has been on pitching wise.

  49. BeantownGreen 1 year ago

    Looks like a solid deal

  50. MadmanTX 1 year ago

    I was hoping Kershaw was really going to tie up the Dodgers for 10 years. I’d like to see them sign Tanaka too and really be hamstrung to make moves later.

    • arbfuldodger 1 year ago

      LOL @ hamstrung… Beckett’s & Billingsley’s contracts are done after this season (bout 30M off the books) and we are done paying Manny & Andruw deferred $$$ (thanks McCourt) and we will still have all our prospects to make a deal with since we won’t be trading them for Price. I say we are set up pretty good for the long haul.

    • DodgerBlue83 1 year ago

      The dodgers were putting out a 100M payroll team when their tv revenue was only 50M. Now their tv revenue is 340M plus the 25M for the shared contract. So if they really wanted to, a 415M payroll, including luxury tax, would not be a total absurdity from a financial standpoint (although it would be an absurdity as far as competitive balance).

  51. BhamRedsFan 1 year ago

    The Los Angeles Dodgers: trying to be like the Yankees since 1958.

  52. UltimateYankeeFan 1 year ago

    My guess is this contract that Close negotiated give you a glimpse into what it will probably take to get Tanaka. I’m going to guess 7 years with an opt-out after 5 for $20MM per +/-. The team looking to sign Tanaka is probably looking at a total of $160MM ($140MM for Tanaka and $20MM posting fee) plus or minus.

    • Mark Tabello 1 year ago

      I think you are right on the numbers if not close. Both are similar in age and I think the opt out is huge requirement for Tanaka. I think its possible he sees a 7 yr deal now, but opt out after 4 or 5 is also likely.

      • pft2 1 year ago

        Opt out at 4-5 years does not help since he is under team control for 6 years. I am thinking 10 years and a 6 yr opt out for Tanaka. The Dodgers reportedly had first offered a 10 yr deal.

  53. Dodgers.714 1 year ago

    Tears will shed when dodgers add tanaka also…

    • Charlie Burns 1 year ago

      Mostly of joy by the MLB since they will be leagues above the tax limit at that point.

    • Dodgers.714 1 year ago

      Haters gonna hate. Everyone still saying dodgers fav for tanaka

      • Riaaaaaa 1 year ago

        Actually “everyone” has been saying the dodgers and yankees are favorites, and even those reports are just speculation

  54. RoadWarriorUSCA 1 year ago

    This is way too much money on a pitcher who plays every 5th day and yes I have him as a top 5 pitcher.

    • Charlie Burns 1 year ago

      It was either that, or seem him go elsewhere (probably Yankees or Rangers)

      • RoadWarriorUSCA 1 year ago

        I would like him here in Texas but for that much is absurd.

        • The Rangers would have paid much more if he was a FA

          • RoadWarriorUSCA 1 year ago

            Not as much as 215 for 7. That’s 30.7M a year.For that much he better win CY Young and Triple Crown.

          • WhoKilledTheRallyMonkey 1 year ago

            He almost did win the Pitching Triple Crown last year, lead the league in ERA, Ks and was second in IP to Adam Wainwright (who lead by on 5 IP and stated 1 more game than Kershaw)

    • Jason 1 year ago

      The pitcher affects every last AB of that 5th day though. A position player will have affect roughly 1/9 of the AB’s of the game on a daily basis. Even when you consider defense, the position player only gets the ball a handful of times per game. All of the “only plays every 5 days” thing is pointless when you think about it.
      Edit: Here’s some additional numbers, Joey Votto lead MLB in PA’s at 726 last season. An entire 71 pitchers faced more batters than Joey Votto had PA’s. Clayton Kershaw? 908 Batters faced. I personally think if Clayton can be more or less what he has been the last few years for just about 4 of the years, this deal will look great when it ends.

      • Anthony Hughes 1 year ago

        Finally, somebody sees the light. Amen. I totally, totally agree. And starting pitching is by far the biggest factor in the postseason.

  55. Eslva917 1 year ago

    Yes! We got him for the good years. He can opt out and go with the Rangers after woo hoo

  56. Dodgers.714 1 year ago

    Anyone on this post from when I said I’d get a tanaka jersey for one person for that team he signs with?

  57. Dodgers.714 1 year ago

    Haters go check the new story posted for dodgers.. Tanaka will be a dodger

  58. Nathan Justice 1 year ago

    That’s a lot of money to not win a WS

    • CDADodgers 1 year ago

      Is this Arte Moreno?

    • Joey Doughnuts 1 year ago

      This isn’t the NFL. Baseball fans recognize that a regular season exists.

  59. WrigleyTerror37 1 year ago

    There goes my dream of seeing him on cubbie blue. But great deal for both sides, hope he stays a dodger for life tho. Great guy and id love to see him pass Koufax in dodges history

  60. Jose Villasano 1 year ago

    Wow i remember when Kershaw use to get out the 1st or 2nd inning because he would allow to many runs now he is the best pitcher in the world

    • Puig Power 1 year ago

      He never had a problem with giving up runs. He had a problem with walks. He no longer has that problem.

      • livestrong77nyyankz 1 year ago

        That is a problem that usually plagues all young arms, especially lefties early on in their careers. Randy Johnson is one example of this and Clayton is certainly following in his footsteps!

  61. Guest 1 year ago

    That’s $877,551.20 per start and $8,437 per pitch (based on his career averages). Wow

    • Puig Power 1 year ago

      That puts an entire new look on a “waste pitch”

  62. UltimateYankeeFan 1 year ago

    Regardless of how the Dodgers load his contract, for MLB luxury tax purposes it still comes to an AAV of $30.71MM per year. Backloading it makes no difference.

    • thegrayrace 1 year ago

      it matters for the opt out, though.

    • WazBazbo 1 year ago

      What are the advantages to either side of the first year being the $4 million salary and the other $18 million being a signing bonus? It’s all money in Kershaw’s pockets, obviously, but there must be some reason they’re doing it this way.

      • UltimateYankeeFan 1 year ago

        My friend their is no difference for MLB AAV for luxury tax purposes.. The easiest way to explain it is if you just took the contract as a straight 7 years $215MM the AAV is $30.71MM per year.
        Doing it the way the Dodgers are doing it with the $18MM being a signing bonus it comes out to an AAV of the same thing. Take $197MM divided by 7 years (that’s the $215 minus $18MM signing bonus) = $28.14MM plus the prorated share of $18MM over 7 years = $2.57MM per. that’s $28.14MM + $2.57MM = $30.71MM AAV either way you cut it it comes to the same $30.71MM AAV for MLB tax purposes.
        The only benefit to the Dodgers is the actual payments to Kershaw are not equal payments, but for MLB luxury tax purposes that doesn’t matter to them.
        My guess and it only that as to why they are showing $18MM as a signing bonus the first year is because that’s pretty much exactly what Kershaw was estimated to have made had he gone through the arbitration process this year. But again it makes no difference for tax purposes.
        The obvious advantage to Kershaw is that $18MM signing bonus even though MLB pro-rates it over the life of the contract it’s paid to him in one lump sum and not over the course of the baseball season or year as would normally be if it were just $22MM ($18MM signing bonus and $4MM salary).
        That’s about as clear as I can make it. Hope that answers your question(s).

        • WazBazbo 1 year ago

          Ah, I hadn’t thought of the “lump sum” angle… I bet you’re right there. Thank you for your very informative answer!

  63. koufaxblue 1 year ago

    It’s a good time to be a Dodger fan ⚾️⚾️

  64. timmay 1 year ago

    Imagine what he would have got if he waited to be a free agent? Good signing by the dodgers to lock him up now, and it shows that Kershaw really wanted to stay in LA. Not only is Kershaw a great pitcher, he brings so much to the community and I guarantee he will use his millions to help many needy causes.

  65. jimydeanbean 1 year ago

    congrats! couldnt happen to a better guy!

    • As a Giants fan, I completely agree. So good, especially when he suits up against the French Vanilla.

  66. UltimateYankeeFan 1 year ago

    Factoring in this contract to the baseball-reference estimate of the Dodgers 2014 payroll adding in the balance of the 40 man roster and benefits MLB uses to calculate a teams payroll for luxury tax purposes the Dodgers 2014 payroll as of today not including a Tanaka signing comes to between $255 and $260MM.

    If they were to sign Tanaka add another $20MM to that on a per year basis and the Dodgers payroll for luxury tax purposes would be about $280MM. The Dodgers are taxed at a 30% rate on their 2014 payroll, 30% of $91MM (difference between $189MM threshold and $280MM) = $27MM approximately. A total expense for the 2014 Dodgers ownership for the team to take the field, $307MM

    • livestrong77nyyankz 1 year ago

      Well if that is correct I should say that is a job well done by you! That’s a lot of cash being used to field an MLB team but hey, its not my money!

      • UltimateYankeeFan 1 year ago

        It’s darn close my friend. And I couldn’t agree more about it not being our money.

        • timmay 1 year ago

          I agree I’m glad it’s not my money….I’m sure pricing on things at the stadium will go up (food, tickets, etc.) but I’m sure they know what they are doing. They are not losing money…I would bet that.

          • Mark Tabello 1 year ago

            Actually new owners lowered food and beer prices along parking last year from when McCourt ran the team. As a ticket plan holder I certainly do not mind paying a few bucks more if it means backing the team when they put forth this kind of commitment to building and sustaining a competitive franchise. Every fan should wish the same from their franchise

          • BlueSkyLA 1 year ago

            What’s going up is your cable bill. Most of this money is coming from the new media deal.

          • Puig Power 1 year ago

            They will break attendance records this year. They already have a huge amount of subscribers

          • BlueSkyLA 1 year ago

            Very possibly, but I could hardly believe the number of sellouts we attended last year, some of them in the middle of the week. A far cry from the last couple McCourt years when you could hear the crickets chirping in the aisles at a Tuesday night game.

    • Mark Tabello 1 year ago

      That is a very good breakdown. Does anybody know if a signing bonus counts against the salary cap? If not Kershaw only has $4 million in 2014 salary.

      • UltimateYankeeFan 1 year ago

        Yes it does. Signing bonuses are prorated over the course of the contract. So in Kershaw’s case his $18MM signing bonus counts for $2.57MM per year. But for MLB luxury tax purposes they do not decrease the AAV. So in Kershaws case his AAV for tax purposes is $30.71MM per.

    • pft2 1 year ago

      It probably means an extension for Hanley is out of the question until the season starts so it won’t affect the 2014 LT calculations. It also means they probably would have to dump most of Kemps salary which they could do if he has a good start to the season and restores his value. They also have about 37 million coming off the books in 2015 with Beckett, Billingsley and Haren.

      The Yankees paid a LT of 28 million last year, so 27 is not too high. Next year they are up to 40% and then 50% so they probably won’t be spending much next year

      • UltimateYankeeFan 1 year ago

        I agree the luxury tax number is relative, $27MM on the surface isn’t that much. The issue though is that their payroll would be $280MM +/- in order for that tax number.of $280MM if they signed Tanaka. That would be over $50MM more in actual payroll then the Yankees had in 2013 when they were taxed that $28MM you mentioned.

      • UltimateYankeeFan 1 year ago

        My friend don’t be so quick to count of Haren’s money coming off the books. His 2015 deal vest if he pitches 180 innings in 2014. That’s not that much of a stretch. He pitched 170 innings in 2013 and 177 innings in 2012.

        • thegrayrace 1 year ago

          If Haren throws that many innings in 2014, I’m sure the Dodgers would have no problem with his option vesting for 2015.

          Though if the Dodgers sign Tanaka, that probably would make Zach Lee trade bait.

  67. juice587 1 year ago

    That’s $877,551.20 per start and $8,346 per pitch (based on his career averages). Wow

  68. Lionel Bossman Craft 1 year ago

    Dodger fans will love this until they see the new ticket prices.

    • Gumby65 1 year ago

      uhhhhh…. they came out 6 weeks ago. And SNLA comes out Feb 25th. Welcome to Earth.

      • Lionel Bossman Craft 1 year ago

        Did they say what the ticket price will be for the following years? Let’s see what they will be in 2016 if the resign Hanley and go for Tanaka and whatever else spending they will do. It’s going to catch up eventually…

        • CDADodgers 1 year ago

          Guggenheim has over $160 billion in investments. They know where to make money and where to spend money. They’ve lowered the price on parking, food, included Wi-Fi and have been making it a place to be. They even lowered the price of some tickets.
          Prices for everything is going to go up because the value of the dollar has gone down.

    • jose jose 1 year ago

      My tix went up about 200 before this extension

  69. bobbybaseball 1 year ago

    I don’t understand why they felt they needed to offer him an opt out after 5 years. Wasn’t the 7 year deal alone enough to get his signature on a contract? Now, if the clause could be executed by either party, then that would make sense for the Dodgers. But the only way it gets exercised is if he’s pitching great; in which case, the Dodgers wouldn’t want him to opt out. If he’s pitching poorly or injured, no way he opts out, so that clause offers no protection for LA.

    • pft2 1 year ago

      Its usually the player that requests that. They may have started at 10 years and a lower AAV with no optout, but Kershaw wanted the optout so they dropped it to 7 years and a higher AAV with the optout.

  70. Phil Merkel 1 year ago

    Now the Ranger fans can quit wishing that they could sign this guy when he becomes a FA. Hopefully the Rangers will now concentrate on getting a temp replacement for Holland and think about this year!

  71. pft2 1 year ago

    Why didn’t the Dodgers wait to sign the deal after the season started so as to prevent the increased AAV from going on the books in 2014. That’s what the Red Sox have done with their extensions. Of course, maybe Kershaw did not want to risk being injured in ST.

    • Leftover_stew 1 year ago

      I imagine they’d rather he not be tempted to pursue FA and have the price driven up even higher.

    • MilkMeMore 1 year ago

      pfft its only money

  72. raltongo 1 year ago

    So the Dodgers signed Kevin Brown as baseball’s first 100M pitcher…
    They sign Kershaw as baseball’s first 200M pitcher…
    I think Tanaka for 300M is next on the agenda..

  73. bobblehead 1 year ago

    Hope you enjoyed him while you could Dodger fans. That elbow is going to blow up real soon and render this guy nothing more than a paperweight.

    • CDADodgers 1 year ago

      That’s just so nice of you to say. He’s also been one of the most reliable pitchers in baseball and is one of the few whose mechanics are so consistent that he will be fine pending some bad luck.

      • bobblehead 1 year ago

        There’s just nothing at all that supports that statement, but optimism is one key habit to a healthy life!

        • CDADodgers 1 year ago

          Which statement? Your negativity is not necessary and your wish of harm was unwarranted. Second, he has pitched over 200 innings per season over the last five years.
          It’s not good for you to be so negative, might force you to be a fan of a team that doesn’t have money to spend.

    • arbfuldodger 1 year ago

      Good luck & good health to both Mejia & Harvey in ’14/’15 seasons.

      • bobblehead 1 year ago

        Sure – Harvey, Mejia, Wheeler, Syndergaard, Montero, DeGrom, Niese, Gee, Fulmer, Matz, Tapia, Cessa, Lara, Flexen…

        Point is, the list goes on and on. The Mets don’t need to pay a pitcher $200 million to have a great pitching staff. Not for a long time at least. The Dodgers have money and no farm. The Mets have their ownership issues, but we all know how quickly that tide turns, right Frank McCourt?!

        Let’s see if the Dodgers do anything with all this money. They haven’t done anything yet! Glad you like your chances though. Happy rehab!

        • MilkMeMore 1 year ago

          just you wait when you have to extend them then come to us im sure harvey if he pitches liek this year will cost just as much

        • jose jose 1 year ago

          What have the Mets done? Not a damn thing. You guys are one of the worst in the NL.

        • Governator88 1 year ago

          I’m not a Dodgers fan but your staff list is mostly prospects who haven’t even appeared in an MLB game and you’re trying to compare them to Kershaw?… Also isn’t Harvey out for all of 2014?.. Happy rehab.

    • start_wearing_purple 1 year ago

      The phrase “sour grapes” springs to mind.

  74. Fat, Ugly Inner-City Sweathog 1 year ago

    Somewhere, David Price is smiling.

  75. Jose Batista 1 year ago

    Let me be the first one to say I thought he was gone for sure. This proofs that Clayton is a class act guy. He is perfect for the Dodgers. Also if your the Yankees you HAVE to get Tanaka if they don’t they’re is no one for a very longgggggggggg time as a free agent pitcher.

    • Class act guy for taking ~$30 million a year, with an opt out clause at 30 years of age?

      • Macfan01 1 year ago

        LOL. I would be class act for 30 million per season too, heck 3 million. :)

      • Jose Batista 1 year ago

        He is 25 years old if he could have been like no i want 8 years for $300 million but no he wanted to stay. Hence Robinson Cano, Albert Puljois

        • Drew M 1 year ago

          He has an opt out clause after 5 years. If he still pitches close to as good as he has the past few years then he would have no problem getting even more at that time.

  76. Joey Doughnuts 1 year ago

    And Rick Hahn’s contract extension for Chris Sale looks even sweeter. Both signed extensions up to 7 years long, except ALL 7 years for Sale can fit inside of 2 years for Kershaw. LOL. What a steal that was. Nice job, Slick Rick.

  77. goat 1 year ago

    Well if Kershaw is worth a million dollars per start, what do you think trouts worth? $150 million per season? What players make in general is rediculous, but what they pay pitchers is absurd. A starter may make between 32-35 starts a year, if healthy. this is basically paying kershaw $910,000 per game played over the life of the contract. NINE HUNDRED AND TEN THOUSAND DOLLARS PER GAME.

    • dodgerstang33 1 year ago

      One thing I heard on the radio was to think about the playoffs. A dominant pitcher is extremely important in playoffs. so think about it like each playoff start worth 3-5 million per start. So that would make the regular season starts worth like $400k per start. Still a lot of money no matter how you look at it.

    • CDADodgers 1 year ago

      Pitchers and catchers report soon Then there is spring training, and playoffs if they make it. Who are we kidding, when they make it. It’s nit like he only skews up to work every fifth day. There is prep work before and after the game, training in between each start, homework on the next team. It’s me work than we see, and in the name of capitalism, it’s one hell of a job and he deserves it.

    • Cam Hodgson-Dwyer 1 year ago

      Good pitchers are involved in more at-bats than good hitters. Clayton Kershaw faced 908 batters in the regular season alone last year. Did any hitter walk up to the plate 908 times last year? No.

  78. KeithK 1 year ago

    I would think he’d need to win 20+ games every year to make that deal even close to worth it, no?

  79. Klaus D. 1 year ago

    Does anyone know, in baseball, is there any advantage to either the team or player in part of the contract being a “signing bonus”. It all still counts against the luxury threshold, no? Was just curious what the point of that is. Maybe it’s just paid up front?

    • Governator88 1 year ago

      I don’t think signing bonuses work for any existing MLB player, they are for draftees as the incentive to sign with the team. Just because a team drafts a player doesn’t mean he has to sign with them. So they offer them a signing bonus to try and lure them in and then their regular minor league contract begins when their first season starts which can often be peanuts in comparison, at least for the first rounders.

      • Klaus D. 1 year ago

        That’s what I was thinking and that’s why I found it curious that Kershaw’s contract had an $18 million signing bonus. Doesn’t make sense to me.

        • Governator88 1 year ago

          It must be to just give him a raise for the upcoming season to be closer to market value than his old contract had.

          • dodgerstang33 1 year ago

            From what i know the signing bonus gives him the money upfront instead of spread out through the year. So.. he got an 18 million dollar check when he signed his contract.But I also wonder if it counts toward the payroll/luxury tax limit

  80. dc21892 1 year ago

    Not too shabby for playing a game for a living.

  81. Klaus D. 1 year ago

    As crazy expensive as it sounds, and as much as I’d like to ridicule the Dodgers for making this signing, it probably won’t end up being a terrible contract, UNLESS Kershaw gets injured. But then again, isn’t that always a risk? A Win Above Replacement is currently going for $5-$7 million in the FA market. So to “earn” his contract, he’d have to average somewhere between 4.4-6.2 WAR per year. Probably not out of the question considering his track record, how young he is and that there shouldn’t be any sort of drop off anytime soon. That also doesn’t take into account “WAR inflation”, meaning 5 years from now, it will likely cost more than $5-$7 mil for each win above replacement.

  82. essmeier 1 year ago

    The deal also contains incentives, according to Sherman. Kershaw stands
    to earn $1MM for a Cy Young campaign and $500K for landing second or
    third in the voting.

    That’s good, because otherwise, why would he even have the motivation to show up for work?

  83. Wek 1 year ago

    Not having a NTC or having language to prevent/discourage a trade is funny and unnecessary. That contract is basically immovable and a franchise crippling contact for some ball clubs. No one will trade for Kershaw with that contract.

    • WhoKilledTheRallyMonkey 1 year ago

      I have to believe several teams (NYY, LAA, CHC to name a few) would take this contract off the Dodgers hands tomorrow if they had the option to.

      Kershaw is the most dominate SP in the MLB today, is 25 and signed only thru his age 32 season. Its expensive but he could easily be worth it.

      • Wek 1 year ago

        Kershaw’s arm is screaming major DL time in the near future. The guy is great and I would love to have him on my team but he’s pitched over 200 innings for 4 consecutive years, has thrown over 18,000 pitchers during official games (probably well over 25,000 pitches in his career) and he is a power pitcher. All it takes is a small injury to go from the best pitcher in the MLB to a decent average one. I dont want to get stuck with a decent average pitcher getting paid $30mil for the next 7 years.

        • CDADodgers 1 year ago

          He is a workhorse, but he is a consistent workhorse. The Dodgers confirmed today that his contract is also insured, so if the workhorse does break down, it is covered.
          This whole concept of “the big contract guy is going to break” does not bode well for good sportsmanship. He works out hard, and has the same routine. His mechanics are consistent and that leads to less wear on the body. This is not a Pujols, Hamilton, Cano contract for a guy in his late 20’s/ early 30’s, he is 25 and by the end of this he will be 32. Even IF he goes down at 30 as Koufax did, he would leave with one hell of a legacy.

  84. Dodgers.714 1 year ago

    Dodgers rotation gonna look nice with an addition of tanaka. Wouldn’t mind seeing figgins as a bench player. He got heart and can’t be worse than Hairston

  85. SDOurTeamOurTown 1 year ago

    As a NL West fan, with the $ 311 million dollar Dodgers become the Yankees of the West on Steroids … there has to be some cap or it will kill any competition and loose the dwindling attention of baseball in the US. Football is God in US sports and there is a competitive balance which makes it that more attractive.

    • Puig Power 1 year ago

      If you haven’t noticed, there’s a nice competitive balance in baseball right now too

    • CDADodgers 1 year ago

      A cap may work but with the amount of money floating around baseball, there is no reason teams can’t buy who they want. Teams with small budgets did just fine last season a la the A’s and the Ray’s.

      • BlueSkyLA 1 year ago

        A cap will only leave more cash in the pockets of ownership. If that’s the solution then what’s the problem? The problem is that the revenue model in baseball is broken.

        • CDADodgers 1 year ago

          I don’t have a problem with teams spending as much as they want. We’ve seen it many times, and for the last few years where the most expensive team isn’t the best team.
          The O.P seems to just be jealous that a divisional rival has deep pockets. If anything, I think there should be a floor.

          • BlueSkyLA 1 year ago

            Neither do I, but no other sport tolerates the situation in baseball were one team can spend 20 times as much as another on fielding a team. I think revenue sharing should be increased dramatically, and teams be required to spend a certain minimum percentage of their revenues on payroll.

            Of course the most expensive team isn’t always the best team, but that’s a deceptive way to put it. All spending can do is improve the probabilities of fielding the best team.

    • The_Sports_Dude 1 year ago

      Why would the players union ever allow there to be any kind of cap? They went on strike in 1994 the last time the owners tried to impose one.

  86. Guest 1 year ago

    33mm in 2020? Haha…yeah…that’s not going to be a problem or anything I’m sure.

    • Bcatz11 1 year ago

      The guy will be 32. Your post makes it seem like he’s gonna be 40. This is nothing like Puljos’ deal. The way salaries are going, this could look cheap in 4 yrs.

  87. OldHaus 1 year ago

    Kershaw is a good egg alright. But, $215m shows this nation’s priorities are way off.

    • nbgiant25 1 year ago

      I don’t remember there being a national referendum on what Kershaw should get paid.

      Is it an obscene amount of money to play a game? Yes. But so is the average 3-5m that the regular ole utility player gets paid as well.

  88. Scott Krouse 1 year ago

    I’ll bet we’re only a decade away from a $100mm/year player.

  89. JCurrie39 1 year ago

    For sure he may end up breaking A-Rods total amount of money earned over a career.

  90. Comfy_Wastelander 1 year ago

    Highest salary in the game AND the option to renogitiate at age 30. Just amazing. Great deal for Kershaw.
    Not that the Dodgers did poorly – he is a pretty decent pitcher I hear.

  91. MB923 1 year ago

    You think he’ll end up making $400-$450 million??

  92. Dave 1 year ago

    er, actually those are the ones who sign a lot of those deals and most of them end up not being worth the contract.

    This is still not going to be as good as the Griffey deal when he was 22/23 and his production over those years, especially for the value. When you give a long deal to someone, you kinda want to do it under market value. This is not one of those deals and honestly can’t be considered a great deal unless he somehow outperforms the market, which at 1M/start… is going to be tough.

    Necessary evil though, can’t let him run.

  93. Dave 1 year ago

    How about this, you’re making the assertion, you post me the deals that were made that are worth it.

  94. $3513744 1 year ago

    I hope he breaks $500MM

  95. dmm1047 1 year ago

    As long as you don’t have to pay to see him, right? It’s ridiculous for someone on the field once every 5 days. .

  96. $3513744 1 year ago

    except that you have to pay to see all of these guys.

  97. Jim Taylor 1 year ago

    Evan Longoria disagrees with you. Also im pretty sure Paul Goldschmidt in 4-5 years will also disagree with you.

  98. nbgiant25 1 year ago

    Dave, the onus is on you. You made an assertion that there are contracts out there, so it’s up to you to prove your point, not the other way around. The reason you can’t and won’t is because those contracts simply don’t exist.

  99. nbgiant25 1 year ago

    Jim, Evan Longoria signed probably the most team-friendly deal in the history of the game for a guy of his caliber. (Signed through 2022 and making like 15-16m a year AAV).

    Also, I’m not sure I get your point about Paul Goldschmidt. He’s on a 5yr/32m contract, and he’s already 26. In 4-5 years, if he’s still producing, he’s going to be the typical recipient of a large deal, not a young one.

  100. TheRealRyan 1 year ago

    From age 23-25, Kershaw has averaged about 6.5 WAR/year. Using a very conservative $5.5 million/WAR, he is worth over $35 million/year. It would be reasonable to think that he could continue this type of production through his peak seasons. If he does, that would mean he is already signing an under market contract without any salary inflation. If you start out with $6.0 million/WAR and account for 5% salary inflation over each of the next 7 years, he is worth about $317.5 million over the life of this contract at his current production.

  101. TheRealRyan 1 year ago

    From age 23-25, Kershaw has averaged about 6.5 WAR/year. Using a very conservative $5.5 million/WAR, he is worth over $35 million/year. It would be reasonable to think that he could continue this type of production through his peak seasons. If he does, that would mean he is already signing an under market contract without any salary inflation. If you start out with $6.0 million/WAR and account for 5% salary inflation over each of the next 7 years, he is worth about $317.5 million over the life of this contract at his current production.

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