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Archives for 2019

Padres Have Performed Due Diligence On Ron Washington

By Jeff Todd | October 7, 2019 at 8:16pm CDT

As the Padres continue compiling managerial candidates, they’ve taken a look at a battle-tested former skipper. The club has at least performed due diligence on former Rangers manager and current Braves coach Ron Washington, per Jon Heyman of MLB Network (via Twitter).

Washington was among the many names floated when the team decided to part ways with Andy Green. But it wasn’t clear then how serious the interest was. It’s still not entirely clear, but nevertheless remains notable that the Friars are looking closely at Washington. With experience said to be a key factor for the San Diego organization, the ongoing connection makes sense.

As Heyman notes, Preller has worked previously with Washington when both were with the Rangers organization. Washington resigned at the end of the 2014 season but joined the Athletics early in the next year as an infield coach and eventual third base coach. He went on to join the Braves as their third base coach in advance of the 2017 campaign and has remained in that role since.

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San Diego Padres Ron Washington

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Marlins Will Make At Least Two Additional Coaching Changes

By Jeff Todd | October 7, 2019 at 7:28pm CDT

The Marlins have decided to retain manager Don Mattingly, but will make several changes to his coaching staff. Catching coach Brian Schneider and bullpen coach Dean Treanor will both depart, per MLB.com’s Joe Frisaro (via Twitter).

At this point, it’s not entirely clear whether any other changes will be made. The organization is still making its final calls on the remainder of the coaching staff, per Frisaro, with “several … expected back.” Bench coach Tim Wallach had already decided to leave of his own volition.

Schneider, a former big league receiver, has been in his role since the start of the 2016 season. The 42-year-old’s only other non-playing experience came as a minor-league manager in the Miami organization.

As for Treanor, he has a long history of working as a minor-league pitching coach and Triple-A manager. He had served as the bullpen coach for three seasons under Mattingly.

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Miami Marlins Brian Schneider

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MLBTR Chat Transcript: 10/7/19

By Connor Byrne | October 7, 2019 at 5:59pm CDT

Click here to read a transcript of tonight’s MLBTR chat with Connor Byrne.

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MLBTR Chats

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Raul Ibanez Not Interested In Interviewing For Managerial Posts

By Jeff Todd | October 7, 2019 at 5:44pm CDT

Long-time big leaguer Raul Ibanez has popped up from time to time as a managerial candidate. But he has thus far declined requests to interview and is doing so again during the current hiring cycle, Bill Shaikin of the Los Angeles Times reports.

Ibanez has come up most recently as a potential Giants target, with Shaikin noting the Cubs as another possible team with interest. But the 47-year-old says it simply “is not the right time” to consider such a committing position.

It seems that Ibanez remains content for the time being continuing to work in the Dodgers front office as a special assistant. That position has allowed him to continue living and working primarily from his home in Miami.

That takes one potentially interesting, fresh managerial candidate out of the picture for the numerous clubs seeking new skippers. Ibanez will surely once again show up on the managerial rumor circuit if and when he gives word that he’d like to take on such a role.

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Uncategorized Raul Ibanez

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Japanese Slugger Yoshitomo Tsutsugo To Be Posted

By Jeff Todd | October 7, 2019 at 4:10pm CDT

Japan’s Yokohama DeNA BayStars announced today that they intend to make star corner outfielder Yoshitomo Tsutsugo available through the NPB-MLB posting system. Jason Coskrey of the Japan Times was among those to cover the news via Twitter. Once he’s formally posted, which will occur between November 1st and December 5th, Tsutsugo will have thirty days to negotiate a contract with any of the thirty MLB teams. He’ll be represented by the Wasserman Agency, Mark Feinsand of MLB.com tweets.

The 27-year-old left-handed-hitting slugger is a ten-year veteran of Nippon Professional Baseball. Accordingly, he won’t be subject to the restrictions on international signings that limited the earning potential for countrymate Shohei Ohtani and certain other younger and/or less experienced players.

Under the new posting system, which went into effect after Ohtani’s signing, the team that agrees to sign Tsutsugo will also need to pay a release fee that is determined by reference to the contract. Teams pay 20% of guaranteed money up to $25MM, 17.5% for promised cash between $25MM and $50MM, and then 15% of anything beyond. There are also some provisions that allow for additional release fees in the event that certain non-guaranteed earnings are triggered.

Tsutsugo has long been on the MLB radar. He has been among the most effective hitters in Japanese baseball since fully establishing himself at the nation’s highest level in 2014. Since that time, Tsutsugo has devoured NPB pitching. In over four thousand career plate appearances, he’s a .284/.382/.525 hitter with 205 long balls.

This past season wasn’t Tsutsugo’s most dominant, as he provided the BayStars with 557 plate appearances of .272/.388/.511 hitting and launched 29 long balls. That’s a far sight shy of his personal-best 2016 output (.322/.430/.680, 44 home runs) but still plenty productive. Indeed, he was the sixth-best hitter in the NPB by measure of OPS.

There ought to be a fair amount of interest in Tsutsugo among MLB teams, though he’s not generally regarded as a quality fielder and isn’t exceptionally youthful. The most direct market competition will likely come from other left-handed-hitting, power-oriented corner bats such as Corey Dickerson and Kole Calhoun. It remains to be seen whether Tsutsugo will be targeted as a first-division regular, solid platoon candidate, or something in between.

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Newsstand Transactions Yoshitomo Tsutsugo

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Latest On Gabe Kapler

By Dylan A. Chase | October 7, 2019 at 1:55pm CDT

While the Padres, Cubs, Mets, Pirates, Angels, Giants, and Royals get a head start on the hiring process in their search for new managers, the Phillies organization has remained notably outside the fray. Although the job security of manager Gabe Kapler has been a hot topic in the greater Pennsylvania area since he assumed managerial duties in Philadelphia in 2018, the former outfielder still finds himself under the club’s employ as of Oct. 7. However, judging from today’s rumblings from The Philadelphia Inquirer’s Matt Breen, Phillies owner John Middleton could soon be arriving at a conclusion in regard to Kapler’s future–or lack thereof–with his franchise (link).

According to a source cited by Breen, Middleton has been seeking input from Phillies players as he attempts to determine whether Kapler is the right man to lead the clubhouse in 2020. Breen relays that the Philadelphia owner has spent the last week-plus since the regular season ended in evaluation mode vis a vis Kapler’s performance, and it appears the skipper’s job status will depend in part on whether the private comments of his players sync up with their public message of support mounted in the season’s final month.

Breen includes several of those season-end quotes, including catcher J.T. Realmuto’s unequivocal endorsement, in which the All-Star said that Kapler is “a guy that this clubhouse really respects”. Similarly, franchise cornerstone Bryce Harper was supportive of Kapler following the season’s final day, saying the club’s disappointing .500 finish was “not his fault”. If Philly’s key players are indeed firmly in the Kapler camp, it may be that Middleton’s prolonged evaluation is meant, more than anything, to merely turn up the heat on the manager’s bench seat for 2020.

If Middleton does ultimately decide to part ways with Kapler, the club may end up playing catch-up in the recruitment of top managerial candidates. To this point, we have already heard reports indicating that Joe Maddon to the Angels is an increasing probability, and Joe Girardi’s affinity (or, at least, interest) in the Mets posting is also well known.

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Philadelphia Phillies Gabe Kapler

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Players On Remaining Playoff Teams Who’ll Soon Be Free Agents

By Dylan A. Chase | October 7, 2019 at 12:27pm CDT

In a rare treat for baseball fans, Monday will feature four separate divisional-round games–and four teams playing to save themselves from elimination. With the Astros up 2-0 on the Rays, the Yankees up 2-0 on the Twins, the Dodgers up 2-1 on the Nationals, and the Braves up 2-1 on the Cardinals, Monday could see a host of players heading home for the offseason.

With the ALDS and NLDS reaching what may be an apex of action tonight, it seems a good time to give readers a comprehensive list of which players featured in tonight’s games will be hitting the open market this winter. While postseason performance doesn’t always foreshadow the giant swings in financial fortune that some expect, a player’s impending free agency does, at least, add an intriguing bit of context to the spectacle of October. The following list includes players active for NLDS and ALDS action; for a comprehensive list of all 2019-20 MLB free agents, see our list here.

If you see any notable errors or omissions, please contact us.

Catchers

Jason Castro (33)
Francisco Cervelli (34)
Robinson Chirinos (36)
Travis d’Arnaud (31)
Tyler Flowers (34) — $6MM club option with a $2MM buyout
Yan Gomes (32) — $9MM club option with a $1MM buyout
Martin Maldonado (33)
Russell Martin (37)
Brian McCann (36)
Austin Romine (31)
Matt Wieters (34)

First Basemen

Matt Adams (31) — $4MM mutual option with a $1MM buyout
David Freese (37)
Ryan Zimmerman (35) — $18MM club option with a $2MM buyout
Howie Kendrick (36)

Second Basemen

Brian Dozier (33)
Howie Kendrick (36)
Jonathan Schoop (28)
Eric Sogard (34)

Shortstops

Didi Gregorius (30)
Adeiny Hechavarria (31)
Eric Sogard (34)

Third Basemen

Asdrubal Cabrera (34)
Josh Donaldson (34)
David Freese (37)
Anthony Rendon (30)
Eric Sogard (34)

Left Fielders

Brett Gardner (36)
Marcell Ozuna (29)
Gerardo Parra (33)

Center Fielders

Brett Gardner (36)
Billy Hamilton (29) — $7.5MM mutual option with a $1MM buyout
Cameron Maybin (33)

Right Fielders

Adam Eaton (31) — $9.5MM club option with a $1.5MM buyout
Avisail Garcia (29)
Nick Markakis (36) — $6MM club option with a $2MM buyout
Gerardo Parra (33)

Designated Hitters

Nelson Cruz (39) — $12MM club option with a $300K buyout
Edwin Encarnacion (37) — $20MM club option with a $5MM buyout
Avisail Garcia (29)

Starting Pitchers

Gerrit Cole (29)
Kyle Gibson (32)
Rich Hill (40)
Dallas Keuchel (32)
Wade Miley (33)
Jake Odorizzi (30)
Hyun-Jin Ryu (33)
Stephen Strasburg (31) — can opt out of remaining four years and $100MM
Julio Teheran (29) — $12MM club option with a $1MM buyout
Adam Wainwright (38)

Right-Handed Relievers

Will Harris (35)
Daniel Hudson (32)
Kenley Jansen (32) — can opt out of remaining two years and $38MM
Fernando Rodney (43)
Sergio Romo (37)
Hector Rondon (32)
Joe Smith (36)
Josh Tomlin (35)

Left-Handed Relievers

Aroldis Chapman (32) — can opt out of remaining two years and $30MM
Sean Doolittle (33) — $6.5MM club option with a $500K buyout

Inactive / Injured Players

Dellin Betances (32)
Jerry Blevins (36)
Tony Cingrani (30)
Jedd Gyorko (31)
Jeremy Hellickson (33)
Chris Martin (34)
Collin McHugh (33)
Martín Perez (28)
Michael Pineda (30)
Anthony Swarzak (34)
Jonny Venters (35)
Michael Wacha (28)

 

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2019-20 MLB Free Agents MLBTR Originals

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AL Notes: Adell, Etch, Mookie

By Dylan A. Chase | October 7, 2019 at 11:11am CDT

A quick word of update on Angels outfielder Jo Adell, who has been turning heads in the Arizona Fall League–which isn’t to say that eyes weren’t already trained on him to begin with. After a 2019 season that saw Adell hit .289/.359/.475 with ten home runs across three levels and 341 plate appearances, the Kentucky native entered AFL play last month as MLB Pipeline’s 5th-ranked prospect in the game. As Kyle Glaser of Baseball America points out this morning, Adell is bolstering that pedigree with his most recent performance for the Mesa Solar Sox (link).

The 20-year-old Adell, who was selected 10th overall by Los Angeles in the 2017 draft, went 7-for-17 in AFL play last week with a home run and a balanced 5-to-3 strikeout-to-walk ratio. Adell reached as high as Triple-A in the Los Angeles system in 2019, although the team may want to see him improve upon the production he posted there in a small sample of 130+ plate appearances (to say nothing of the potential service time considerations involving a prospective star such as Adell). With outfielder Kole Calhoun a possibility to move on in free agency, there does figure, at least, to be some MLB opportunity for the youngster in 2020 when GM Billy Eppler deems him ready.

More from around the AL this Monday morning…

  • A sad note of remembrance in recognition of the passing of Orioles organizational fixture Andy Etchebarren, who died this weekend at age 76. Etchebarren, an All-Star in his rookie season of 1966, was an important part of Baltimore’s mid-century dynasty. Perhaps most notably, the backstop helped catch, along with Elrod Hendricks, the Orioles’ four 20-game winners of 1971; it’s probably not un-noteworthy that the man known as “Etch” was also the last man to ever record an at-bat against Dodgers legend Sandy Koufax. After his playing career, as noted in a post from MASN’s Roch Kubatko (link), Etchebarren carved out a nice career for himself as a coach in the Baltimore pipeline, including stints as manager of the club’s Triple-A and Double-A affiliates, and time spent as the bench coach for former manager Davey Johnson.
  • The site has already thoroughly explored the ongoing contract outlook for Red Sox superstar Mookie Betts. To recap, the club’s forthcoming CBT trapeze act, Betts’ impending arbitrational raise, and the player’s apparent ambivalence to signing an extension with the team have all coalesced to the point where the near-unthinkable–a trade involving the near-peerless Betts–may be a consideration this offseason. One factor that won’t figure into Betts status for 2020? Organizational tension. As noted in a piece from Chris Cotillo of Masslive.com, the four executives* in charge of Sox operations in the wake of the Dave Dombrowski firing–including assistant GM Eddie Romero–are not holding Betts’ businesslike approach to negotiation against him (link). “I think he’s doing what’s in the best interest of Mookie and I think that’s what athletes should do,” Romero told Cotillo. “Every situation of these is case-by-case. Mookie has been the one who has sacrificed his body and has put in the work. He has the right to decide what he wants to do.” In addition to Romero, team president Sam Kennedy and chairman Tom Werner both comment in Cotillo’s piece on their faith in Betts as both a person and a player, and Romero goes as far as to say that the player has “earned” the right to hit free agency. While this dialogue could just be seen as an encouraging bit of rationality in the front office realm, it is fair to wonder, for those reading tea leaves, whether such a congenial atmosphere could be foreshadowing to an amicable parting of ways between player and team.

*An earlier version of this post mistakenly referred to “four men” running the baseball operations department, when in fact the group of four executives is made up of one woman (Raquel Ferreira) and three men (Eddie Romero, Zack Scott, and Brian O’Halloran). We regret the error.

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Baltimore Orioles Boston Red Sox Los Angeles Angels Notes Eddie Romero Jo Adell Mookie Betts

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Cole Hamels On Impending Free Agency

By Dylan A. Chase | October 7, 2019 at 10:03am CDT

In a post published for The Athletic this morning, reporter Patrick Mooney relayed quotes from Cole Hamels that indicated the pitcher’s openness–if not downright interest–in pitching for an NL Central club next season, regardless of whether or not the Cubs elect to re-sign him (link).

While the main substance of Mooney’s piece, on the whole, attempts to recap an uneven 2019 that saw Hamels in both dominant (pre-All-Star break) and floundering (post-All-Star break) forms, the most interesting takeaway may have been the hurler’s comments regarding his pending free agency. While Hamels was straightforward in saying he would “love” to be a Cub, he pointed out to reporters–and, perhaps, by extension, Cubs president Theo Epstein–that the NL Central has been a comfortable pitching environment for him during his time in Chicago.

“I obviously do very well at Wrigley,” Hamels said in Mooney’s piece, speaking of his free agency options. “Hopefully, that’s what they think about. Otherwise, I know the other teams in the division are going to think about it. If you have to come to Wrigley three different times, I don’t pitch bad there…I know I do very well in the NL Central.”

While this ultimately may amount to little more than a bit of lighthearted dialogue between a veteran pitcher and a beat reporter with whom he has developed rapport, it seems noteworthy that Hamels may already be imagining himself in the uniform of another NL Central club. Certainly, it would be painful for Cubs fans to see Hamels defect after establishing himself as something of a club rival killer during his time on the North Side.

As Mooney points out, Hamels has posted sterling career numbers against NL Central teams in his career, dating back to his time in Philadelphia:

• Hamels vs. Cincinnati: 11-2, 2.30 ERA (20 starts)

• Hamels vs. Milwaukee: 8-5, 3.53 ERA (20 starts)

• Hamels vs. Pittsburgh: 5-4, 2.52 ERA (13 starts)

• Hamels vs. St. Louis: 5-6, 2.21 ERA (17 starts)

Hamels, of course, just concluded the final season of a 6-year/$144MM extension signed with the Phillies in the midst of the 2012 campaign. The burnished 35-year-old lefty was in the midst of a vintage season in 2019, compiling a 6-3 record and 2.98 ERA up until the night of June 28, when he was afflicted with an oblique strain that, presumably, curtailed his availability and performance moving forward; Hamels missed all of July following that injury, before ultimately posting a 1-4 record with a 5.79 ERA in the second half amidst a team-wide Cubs collapse.

Among NL Central teams that could be a factor in luring Hamels away from Chicago, St. Louis could certainly be in play if they lost their own veteran leader in Adam Wainwright (though it’s worth noting that the Cards still have Alex Reyes recovering on ice). The Brewers should be looking for improvement after a one-game playoff ouster, but they may feel ultimately more comfortable in pursuing a re-up with Gio Gonzalez, the lefty veteran they already have in hand. The Reds, meanwhile, have a rather stacked dance card when it comes to 2020 starting pitching, whereas the Pirates don’t figure to be in the market for near-term, high-AAV veteran free agents like Hamels.

Looking ahead to free agency, Hamels may join an interesting caste of experienced, mid-30s veterans who should comprise something of an open market second-tier for clubs that sit out the Gerrit Cole sweepstakes. Like Dallas Keuchel, Rich Hill, and Wainwright, Hamels should offer a cocktail of experience and clubhouse leadership, dashed with a fair amount of risk for injury and regression.

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Chicago Cubs Cole Hamels

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MLBTR Poll: Should The Twins QO Jake Odorizzi?

By Anthony Franco | October 6, 2019 at 11:34pm CDT

Jake Odorizzi will take the ball for the Twins tomorrow evening at Target Field. With Minnesota facing elimination, it could be the impending free agent’s final start in their uniform. Odorizzi has started 62 games for the Twins since coming over from the Rays via trade prior to the 2018 season. Have those performances been enough to warrant a qualifying offer?

MLBTR’s Connor Byrne recently examined the qualifying offer market for pitchers (and position players, for that matter), noting that Odorizzi presented a borderline case. On the surface, his 2019 numbers would seem to make a QO a no-brainer. This season, Odorizzi worked to 3.51 ERA and 3.36 FIP, each of which ranked in the top 25 among pitchers with 150+ innings. Under the tutelage of first-year pitching coach Wes Johnson, Odorizzi’s stuff ticked up, as his 93 MPH average four-seam fastball, per Brooks Baseball, was a career-high. Perhaps unsurprisingly, he shattered his previous career-best strikeout rate (27.1%, up nearly five points from last season). Further, Odorizzi was essentially immune to the leaguewide home run spike this season, coughing up a career-low 0.91 HR/9. Put it together, and Odorizzi was worth around 4 wins above replacement, per both Fangraphs and Baseball Reference, easily worth the approximately $18MM he would lock in if he were to accept a qualifying offer.

Of course, though, teams look beyond a player’s previous-year stats in projecting future performance. Odorizzi doesn’t turn 30 until March and has started at least 28 games in each of his six full MLB seasons, so durability and age are on his side. Yet entering this season, his track record was more that of a back-end innings eater than the #2 starter he seemed to be in 2019. From 2016-2018, Odorizzi worked to a 4.09 ERA with a 4.60 FIP, with one of the league’s lowest ground ball rates causing home run problems. Even in 2019, Odorizzi remained a fly ball pitcher, part of the reason the Twins chose to hold him for Monday in Minnesota rather than having him work in hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium. It’s difficult to imagine him maintaining an 8.8% HR/FB rate moving forward, and his pre-2019 strikeout and walk numbers were hardly eye-catching. If a few more of Odorizzi’s fly balls begin clearing fences and/or his strikeouts regress to their previous levels, his elite run prevention numbers could bounce back up in a hurry.

It’s also notable that Odorizzi’s pure stuff, even with the aforementioned velocity uptick, isn’t world-beating. Per Statcast, Odorizzi has below-average fastball velocity (23rd percentile), fastball spin (40th percentile) and curveball spin (17th percentile). That’s sure to catch the attention of front offices, who increasingly have turned back to valuing raw stuff on the free agent market. Odorizzi can’t rival someone like Zack Wheeler when it comes to GIF-worthy pitching overlays, and just last offseason we saw Dallas Keuchel, whose multi-year track record dwarfed Odorizzi’s, languish on the free agent market after being tagged with a QO.

There’s also the Twins’ situation to consider. Minnesota only has $19.88MM committed to 2020 salaries, per Baseball Reference. They’re sure to exercise Nelson Cruz’s $12MM option and have a hefty slate of arbitration-eligible players, but they’ll nevertheless enter the offseason with ample financial flexibility. They’ll also have plenty of opportunity in the starting rotation. With Odorizzi, Michael Pineda and Kyle Gibson slated to hit free agency and Martín Pérez looking increasingly likely to be bought out, there’s almost nothing in the way of certainty behind José Berríos. Of course, merely having vacancies in the rotation shouldn’t mean the Twins feel compelled to QO Odorizzi if they feel that’d be a questionable investment.

So we’ll turn it over to you, MLBTR readers. How would you advise baseball ops heads Derek Falvey and Thad Levine to handle Odorizzi’s situation this winter?

(poll link for app users)

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Minnesota Twins Polls Jake Odorizzi

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