It’s safe to say Giants left-hander Madison Bumgarner will be one of the hottest commodities available leading up to the July 31 trade deadline. Bumgarner – set to turn 30 the day after the deadline (Aug. 1) – is among the game’s most accomplished hurlers in both the regular season and the playoffs, and he’s not under contract past this season. Thanks to the latter point, the out-of-contention Giants may elect to part with Bumgarner, who has been with the organization since it chose him 10th overall in the 2007 draft.
Going back to his 2010 debut in the majors, Bumgarner owns a sterling 3.07 ERA/3.26 FIP with 8.75 K/9, 2.1 BB/9 and a 43.8 percent groundball rate in 1,712 1/3 innings. Bumgarner has added 102 /3 innings of 2.11 ERA playoff pitching to his resume, making him one of the game’s go-to hurler’s in key situations. He hasn’t pitched in the postseason since 2016, though, and hasn’t resembled the durable ace he once did earlier in his career.
Bumgarner amassed at least 200 innings of high-quality run prevention from 2011-16, but a dirt bike crash limited him to 111 frames in 2017, and a fractured pinky held him to 129 2/3 innings last season. All told, since Bumgarner’s six-year run of excellence came to an end, he has recorded a 3.46 ERA/3.88 FIP with 8.12 K/9, 2.2 BB/9 and a 40.8 percent grounder mark over 314 2/3 innings.
As shown by his output over the past few seasons, Bumgarner has remained a solid starter even as the Giants have fallen out of contention. Bumgarner’s not the ace-caliber option he once was, though, and with a few months’ control left (on a $12MM salary), San Francisco’s not in position to demand a king’s ransom for MadBum if it deals him in the next two months. The Giants don’t seem like a team that’s close to returning to glory, however, and they own of baseball’s worst farm systems. With that in mind, trading Bumgarner to bolster the franchise’s collection of young talent before the end of July could be a logical move for the organization.
If the Giants take the plunge and attempt to part with Bumgarner, there are several potential fits for the franchise icon. That said, one possible suitor may exit the mix by signing free-agent southpaw Dallas Keuchel, who could ink a contract any second from now, and Bumgarner’s eight-team no-trade clause means he’ll have a certain amount of say in where he goes next. Those factor’s won’t kill interest in Bumgarner, however, as shown below (in alphabetical order)….
- Angels: The Halos have gotten little from their rotation this season, but the Mike Trout-led club is still just 2 1/2 games out of wild-card position. That doesn’t mean the Angels will be in the Bumgarner sweepstakes, but if they really want to push for a playoff spot, they’ll need to upgrade their rotation. Free-agent signings Matt Harvey and Trevor Cahill simply haven’t worked out to this point, leaving the Angels with a need for an established veteran in their starting five.
- Astros: Keuchel, Charlie Morton and the injured Lance McCullers Jr. have all left Houston’s rotation since last season, leaving Wade Miley, Brad Peacock and Corbin Martin to pick up the pieces behind Justin Verlander and Gerrit Cole. That’s not a bad group by any means, but Verlander and Cole act as the rising tide that lifts all boats. Bumgarner would look pretty nice behind them, though his limited no-trade clause gives him the right to nix a Giants-Astros deal.
- Braves: Atlanta’s one of the teams Bumgarner could block a trade to, but as a childhood Braves fan who grew up in the South (North Carolina), it’s tough to see him blocking a deal to Georgia. The need’s obvious for the Braves, whose rotation has lacked answers behind Mike Soroka, Max Fried and Julio Teheran this season.
- Brewers: Milwaukee’s rotation took a couple hits over the weekend in the form of injuries to Gio Gonzalez and Jhoulys Chacin, the latter of whom has trudged through a terrible season. Only Gonzalez, Brandon Woodruff, Zach Davies and Chase Anderson have given the Brewers’ rotation passable production this season, which leaves room for Bumgarner. However, they’re on Bumgarner’s no-trade list.
- Cardinals: There hasn’t been a lot to like in St. Louis’ shaky rotation this year, which could lead to a Bumgarner acquisition. The Redbirds are on his no-trade list, though.
- Mets: Whether the disappointing Mets would make an aggressive move to repair their rotation is in question, but the need exists. Jacob deGrom, Noah Syndergaard, Zack Wheeler and Steven Matz could use a better complement than Jason Vargas.
- Padres: San Diego has been on the hunt for a front-line starter since the winter, and Bumgarner could fit the bill if the team’s bullish enough on him. The Padres, as an NL West rival, are certainly familiar enough with Bumgarner. He’d clearly strengthen a group which hasn’t received much from anyone but Chris Paddack, Joey Lucchesi, Matt Strahm or Eric Lauer. It’s worth noting the Padres are monitoring the workloads of Paddack and Strahm, which could limit their impact as the season progresses.
- Phillies: This has been a rather underwhelming season for Philadelphia’s rotation, including potential ace Aaron Nola. There’s obviously space for Bumgarner, though he’d have to approve a trade to the Phillies.
- Rangers: This is a long shot, but the Rangers are unexpectedly in wild-card contention and would benefit from Bumgarner. He’d join a team whose rotation has gotten little aside from Mike Minor, Lance Lynn and Ariel Jurado (over a mere three starts in Jurado’s case).
- Rays: The opener method has worked well for Tampa Bay, but the club has turned to that strategy largely because it’s lacking an adequate supply of credible starters. Bumgarner would give the Rays another legitimate traditional starter alongside Blake Snell, Tyler Glasnow and Morton, assuming Glasnow returns this summer from a forearm strain.
- Red Sox: The reigning world champs are on Bumgarner’s no-trade list, but there’s a need for a rotation stabilizer in Beantown. Chris Sale hasn’t been his usual ace-like self, Nathan Eovaldi has been injured, and Rick Porcello and Eduardo Rodriguez have only offered back-end production to this point. The luxury tax is a concern for the Red Sox, though – they’re at upward of $251MM in that regard, per Jason Martinez of Roster Resource, and will pay a 75 percent tax for every dollar spent over the $246MM mark while losing 10 spots in the 2020 draft.
- Rockies: Colorado’s rotation was a strength last year, but that hasn’t been the case this season despite the best efforts of German Marquez and Jon Gray. The club just demoted 2018 Cy Young contender Kyle Freeland to the minors. He, like Bumgarner, is a lefty.
- Twins: Judging by their interest in Keuchel, we know the first-place Twins aren’t content with their rotation. Bumgarner would fit in nicely in a quintet that hasn’t received much production after Jose Berrios, Jake Odorizzi, Kyle Gibson and Martin Perez.
- Yankees: New York’s yet another contender on Bumgarner’s no-trade list. That aside, the Yankees should be on the lookout for another starter. Ace Luis Severino hasn’t pitched at all this season on account of a lat strain, while No. 2 starter James Paxton has never been the most durable option. Meanwhile, 2019 standout Domingo German hasn’t exceeded 100 innings in a season since 2014 – when he was a Single-A pitcher – and the soon-to-be 39-year-old CC Sabathia’s hardly an endless source of innings in the twilight of his career.
Of the 14 teams listed above, some are better positioned to land Bumgarner than others, as shown in the most recent farm system rankings of Kiley McDaniel and Eric Longenhagen of FanGraphs. Judging by the amount of potential suitors for Bumgarner, though, the Giants should get a respectable package for the franchise icon if they move him. Two end-of-July deadlines ago, the Rangers sent righty Yu Darvish to the Dodgers for three players, including then-top 100 prospect Willie Calhoun. The Rangers followed that up by moving lefty Cole Hamels to the Cubs last year for three players, though no one from the trio was a premium prospect at the time. While Bumgarner won’t bring back an enormous return this summer, he ought to warrant something along the lines of what Darvish landed the Rangers.
Photo courtesy of USA Today Sports Images.
Mad Bum and ATL go together like peanut butter and jelly
… if peanut butter added jelly to its do-not-trade list.
He can still veto it if he wants
Depends on what SF wants. I wouldn’t give up a ton for him.
Mad Bum to Milwaukee for Hiura Burnes Gamel
they are not trading Hiura for a rental.
thats why i think the giants should package bumgarner with will smith and any hitter of choice to a team for a better prospect
Gleyber was given up for a rental in Aroldis Chapman it could happen
Yes, he was traded for a rental, but he was still a good distance from breaking into the majors (so less a sure thing).
You also had a perfect storm that year with two starving franchises (Cubs and Indians). There are no such clubs this season. That said, the return should be better than Darvish.
dude gleyber was a top 25 prospect at the time, and a year away
Every team is “starving” you think just because the Sox won last year they don’t care if they win this year? If a team thinks they have a shot they will almost always go for it, you can see how quickly a team goes from contender to pretender to picking in the top of the draft.
The Chapman trade shows the minimum the Giants should get from trading Bum.
Sportznut, you must be completely off your rocker to think the Giants should package Smith and Bum together let alone to add a hitter. Smith by himself as long as continues to pitch the way he currently is will bring a high end prospect or two, Bum will bring a couple of high end prospects, and Watson should get a prospect as well.
Packaging them together the Giants better get a teams top 4 prospects and throw in another low end or two. Package them together????? That’s some nonsense right there.
Hard pass for The Crew.
Angels, time to make a move
no mention of the pirates…. hes a perfect fit… cheap, not blocking any one and Ray works well with vets.
also in terms of prospects shouldnt be all that expensuve to pick up
I’d love to see mad bum sign with the dodgers next year. Not because they need him, but just to see some giants fans cry. Do they boo him when he comes to SF with the dodgers?
He would have the only rings on that team!
David Freese might have some argument with that
And Joe Kelly
And if you count the coaching staff, Dave Roberts and Rick Honeycutt.
You got burned! HAHAHAHA!
It would be funny af to see him on the reds and be teammates with Puig! And yes I know it won’t happen.
No way you’re a real angel fan hoping that the dodgers sign Bum or anyone good for that matter.
Please go to the Angels as a Mets fan I don’t want him. If or when my Mets fall out of contention I would like for them to start trading for the future.
Syndergaard to the Brewers for Hiura,Burnes and Ray (cause the Mets haven’t had any speed in a long time).
Wheeler and Frazier to LAD for Ruiz and Maeda.
If the Mets pay half of Cano’s contract would they be able to trade him maybe to Boston or the Angels ?
2020 Mets team C) Ruiz,1b)Alonso, 2b) Hiura, ss) Rosario (Mauricio), 3b) JD Davis (McNeil) Lf) Cespedes (Nimmo), Cf) Ray, Rf) Conforto
Sp: deGrom,Maeda,Matz,Burnes and Kay
Ray is trash
Cano would have to be hitting for any team to even think about trading for him which he is not.
Let loose of the pipe smokie-smoke
The Dodgers only interest right now should be two LH bullpen pieces. Wheeler is superfluous and already hurts a potential playoff bullpen piece. The Dodgers will probably have interest in Wheeler, but at their price, which I can guarantee won’t include Ruiz or an inexpensive Maeda. Ona different note, I don’t see any trades suggested being realistic and the Mets are stuck with Cano. There’s zero chance Cano is a fit for either team.
hahahahahahahahahah you are not getting Hiura, Burnes and Ray for Syndergaard. Brewers would hang up immediately.
Cardinals could use Will Smith to.
Yep it is
Wow who would of thought Cahill and Harvey haven’t lived up to their combined $20 million price. That was a joke. I would like to see him in Atlanta because when he leaves at the end of the year because the ( money over winning ) Braves would once again lose.
Bumgarner for Clint Frazier
Prob have to add another prospect but it’s a start
Frazier only has value as a throw in. If at al.
Madbum and smith for Frazier and Andujar
SF says no.
Pickle, you forgot to add the “jk” at the end of that joke.
How many errors would Frazier make a season in SF’s RF?
Matt Harvey – $11 million this season. Madison Bumgarner – $12 million.
that’s so wrong in both ways lol
I think Bumgarner goes to the Twins. They are not on his no trade list so there wouldn’t be any contract demands or hang ups. Plus, the Twins have a farm that could really help the Giants. A three prospect package led by Graterol (#60 overall MLB) would be a good comp for lots of other trade packages in the past. Maybe Graterol, Nick Gordon, Zack Littell would be an interesting mix for SF.
I realize it will likely take good talent to land Bumgarner but I think they hang on to Graterol. And why trade away possible future rotation pieces for part of a year of a guy when they could just sign Kuechel. He only costs money not talent. Just my thoughts on the Twins’ approach to rotation and or bullpen help!
Why? Because MadBum is already two months stretched out into the season. The Twins probably learned a lesson from a mid-season signing when they flopped with Kendrys Morales.
Marsh, Jackson and Rodriguez to the Giants. Bumgarner to the Angels
Why, the Giants stand a better chance at the playoffs than the Angels.
The Angels are 2 1/2 games out of the wild card
It was 2 on your last post. By the end of the week it will be 5 1/2. The Angels don’t stand a chance, and everyone knows it besides you.
See you are so closed minded, if you read what I had wrote below as a reply. I am thinking get him in the club house and then sign him to an extension. The Angels need him for next year, as much as they need him this year. Besides, the Angels are 2 1/2 games out, of the wild card. But they are the only team, in contention for the wild card. That has yet to have their projected line up this season.
Armchair GM time: give me some trade offers assuming he doesn’t veto. Go!
It’s a good thing that Giants management doesn’t give a hoot about what so called experts on MLBTR think about potential returns on a Bum trade. Fact is that with all the teams that will be interested in a proven post season performer, they can hold out for a top MLB ready prospect or two.
And you think these teams are going to offer top-tier prospects just because the Giants are holding out, you’re nuts. Why do that when you can have him as a FA in several months?
my guess is the Twins make a solid offer and Giants trade him without having to deal with whatever MadBum wants in order to waive his NTC. I assume he wants some sort of financial bonus or incentive for the rest of the season, but who knows? Twins have a solid farm and can be a legit playoff threat with 2 more SPs.
Angels don’t need him , I am very comfortable with Heany, Skaggs, Canning, Pena, Suarez, Tropeano, Barria, eventually Ohtani . All of them are very solid number 3s, Canning and Heany can be 2s if healthy imo. Bun isn’t worth prospects for 2 months for a “maybe” wildcard spot . Shoot for 2020
Skaggs is garbage. Lucky if he makes it past 5 innings. The Angels should trade for him and try to sign him to an extension.
I’m not sure what to think of skaggs, at times he looks great but he only has 2 pitches , so if one of those isn’t working that day it gets real rough !!
Heaney has career road era over 5. Tropeano hasn’t been healthy in two years. Canning looks good, so does Suarez. But it’s way to early, to know for sure what they are or aren’t at this point.
I know it’s a bit early for the rookies, but Barria needs to be up, Tropeano when healthy (huge if) I feel can be a great addition with that splitter, and Heaney is better then his numbers due to being hurt so often , but he throws some great games at times, I think the home road splits are a bit misleading due to low innings but may be we will find out this year
My point is this, the Angels need starters that can go shut down inning for shut down inning, with guys like Verlander, Cole, Bour, Sale, Price, and pitchers like them. No one on the Angels, have that ability, or have proven that they can. Bumgarner has proven that he can. The Angels also need to sure up the bullpen.
Bumgartner is much better than any of those guys on his worst day. The angels don’t need him because they are a bad baseball team, especially without Simmons for an extended period.
Your preaching to the choir brother.
The Angels are 2 games under 500. That is with Simmons being hurt. Ohtani missed the first six weeks. Upton hasn’t even played yet. Heaney has only started two games. And fans that don’t pay attention, keep thinking they are one of the worst teams. Not to mention that they are only 2 and half games out of the Wild card.
Maybe the Giants can get a prospect for him. Maybe someone like Angel Villalona, or Gary Brown, or Christian Arroyo, or Lucius Fox. And maybe they will draw 3,000 fans per game… down from the 13,000 they draw now
He’s a legend keep him, SF. Let’s string together an amicable, commensurate contract that keeps him in SF, giving him a chance to finish out his career here. He is getting close to establishing some great career franchise numbers for a lefty. And his playoff and WS accolades might even give him a shot at the Hall —if he gets hot again, stays healthy, and wins another WS or two. I’d hate to see him go, at the mercy of Zaidi The Junk Man salivating over a few AAA prospects. Don’t do it!
The Angels need a front line starter
The Rays have the swing type guys that fit well on an NL team, although the Rays usually get the better end of trades, so they might not want to deal with them again.
Trade him to the Pirates for Archer, and a draft pick
Your comp is a guy with a 21.00 era in the World Series?
I wonder why Bumgarner listed the Cardinals on his no trade list?? Since that list was originated, maybe those doubts about the Cardinals has changed with the changing of the guard and the young players coming up who seem to give off positive vibes for the future.
He’s got contenders on no-trade list so he can milk a little more out of a deal… those who arent contenders wont trade for a 1-year rental.
Dodgers get: Snot Rocket
Giants get: Puig’s old jockstrap and some used baseballs.
Giants may need to throw in a prospect somewhere in the top 10 range.
This should get it done.
That’s funny, especially since the Dodgers will fail once again when their weakness rears it’s ugly head. Ryu down as usual, CK’s back as usual, Hills blisters, as usual, Buehler finally gets his ERA under 4, Jensen again falls apart in the playoffs, no pen even with the massive acquisition of J Kelly. Yeah, you don’t need help, besides, Blue’s on a mission to be the most frequent loser in post season history.
Best news for you guys is you can still see what World Series trophies look like with a short flight north.
If any team thinks they are going to get MadBum “on the cheap” and not give a fair return to both MadBum and the Giants, I hope MadBum vetoes the trade and tells the Giants he’s staying put until free agency.
MadBum has honored his “team friendly” contract and never complained. It’s time MadBum got the same respect!
“Madbum” can’t veto a trade if the team isn’t on his No Trade List.
“Madbum” doesn’t have a choice.
“Madbum will go where he’s told.
“Madbum won’t bring the haul that you think he will.
I will give you full marks for snark. Not so much for facts. You are right he can’t veto a trade since he’s not a 5/10 guy, but he does have options. He could refuse to report (See Flood, Curt or Clendenon, Donn or Allen, Richie.) He could retire (See Robinson, Jackie.) And as far as the “haul” the Giants will get, that’s like your opinion, man (See The Big Lebowski. Seriously. It is a good movie.)
It is amusing what Giant fans think Madison Bumgarner is worth. On one hand, you have a world series hero who was remarkable during 2014. This performance alone should net at least two top 100 prospects. On the other hand, Bumgarner has not won 15 total games in the past three years. The Giants are offering a 4 inning Ace who is prone to long fly balls. Like most of the major league starting pitchers, he can’t get through the batting order a third time. During the fifth inning of yesterdays Mets game, Bumgarner let lose his fastball at 88mph. Alonzo crushed it. Later that inning Bumgarner gave up his second home run, a mammoth shot.
It is sad to see the decline in Madison’s skills. What will be even sadder is what the Giants l get in return when they trade him. I can’t see any major league ready AAA pitchers being exchanged for Madbum. The possibility of mid-level AA and maybe one top-level A pitcher will be the best the Giants can hope for.
The stupidity of Baer, Sabean, and Evans during the demise of the Giant’s Empire will take five years to repair. Where has Sabean gone? Where is Evans? We all know where Baer should be.
Madbum isn’t going East. Bumgarner has shown that his fly ball success won’t carry over to the small parks in the AL East. The Yankees have seen him close up earlier this year and this past week against the Mets. Bumgarner gave up 2 more home runs against the Mets. If Madbum were traded to the Yankees his ERA would balloon to 5 per game if not higher.