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Rosenthal On Yankees, Playoffs, Sabermetrics

By edcreech | September 16, 2012 at 9:35am CDT

The Yankees enter play today with a one-game lead over the Orioles and four games over the Rays. And, it's a good thing this isn't your father's Yankees, writes Ken Rosenthal of FOXSports.com. If George Steinbrenner was alive today, Rosenthal believes he might have fired manager Joe Girardi after blowing a ten-game lead in the AL East and replaced him with the likes of Lou Piniella. Hal Steinbrenner is almost the polar opposite of his father. So much so that, when Rosenthal asked Brian Cashman of the potential fallout that might occur if the team fails to reach the playoffs, the Yankees' GM said, "We have objective, patient ownership." Also from Rosenthal's column:

  • The new schedule hasn't been a cure-all for small market teams like the Rays. Rosenthal suggests one way to mitigate the Rays’ disadvantage would be to scale revenue sharing so they would receive a greater percentage than a low-revenue club such as the Indians, who compete in a division with lower payrolls.
  • A criticism of the new playoff system is Wild Card teams who have better records than division winners are penalized in the seeding of the Division Series. Rosenthal's solution is to wait until after the Wild Card game to seed the Division Series.
  • The AL CY Young Award voting will be a test of how accepted advanced statistics are by the Baseball Writers Association of America. Rosenthal points out the last eight AL pitchers to either lead or tie for the lead in those categories, like the Rays' David Price this year, each have won the award. The Tigers' Justin Verlander meanwhile leads in wins above replacement and Chris Sale of the White Sox leads in ERA+. Price is tops, however, in quality of opponents faced, based on the rankings of Vince Gennaro, president of the Society for American Baseball Research (SABR).
  • Larry Bowa's interview for the Astros' managerial vacancy is a good sign, as rival executives have worried that GM Jeff Luhnow is surrounding himself with too many like-minded sabermetric types rather than building a diverse baseball operations department.
  • The Marlins may have difficulty in sticking with their plan to keep Emilio Bonifacio in center field, play Donovan Solano at second, and make the acquisition of a third baseman their top priority. Rosenthal points out the market for third basemen is bare, so one alternative for the Marlins is to acquire an outfielder and move Bonifacio back to third base.
  • Look for the Rays to exercise their $2.5MM option on Fernando Rodney. Rodney is bidding to become only the second reliever in history (Dennis Eckersley in 1990) to have a season of 40 or more saves and an ERA under 1.00. Rodney leads baseball with 43 saves and his ERA is 0.66.
  • The Cubs will look again this offseason to move Alfonso Soriano, who is one home run and one RBI shy of his first 30-homer, 100-RBI season since 2005. If the Cubs fail to receive a sufficient offer, they could always bring back Soriano, owed $36MM over the next two years, and try to move him at the deadline again. Rosenthal cited the example of Carlos Lee of how it is easier to deal an overpriced player the closer he gets to the end of his contract.
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Chicago Cubs Cleveland Guardians Houston Astros Miami Marlins New York Yankees Tampa Bay Rays Alfonso Soriano Chris Sale David Price Emilio Bonifacio Fernando Rodney Joe Girardi Justin Verlander

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MLBTR Originals

By edcreech | September 9, 2012 at 6:25pm CDT

A look back at the original reporting and analysis found on MLBTR this past week:

  • Daniel Seco asked MLBTR readers which National League GM made the best moves this past offseason. Nearly 30% of you said Mike Rizzo did the best job, as his Nationals have the best record in baseball.
  • Rizzo also made the controversial decision to shut down Stephen Strasburg during a pennant race. Mike Axisa asked MLBTR readers if you agreed with the decision and over 60% of you did not. 
  • Mark Polishuk meanwhile asked MLBTR readers who will win the American League East. You favored the Orioles (45%) over the Yankees (34%), and the Rays (21%).
  • Ben Nicholson-Smith listed the 2013 payroll commitments for the 30 MLB teams.
  • Zach Links opined the Mets will be working with an extremely tight budget, so expect outfielder Andres Torres to become a non-tender candidate.
  • Ben named the players who were non-tendered last offseason that are making contributions to their new teams.
  • Steve Adams reviewed the best waiver claims of the past year.
  • Ben revisited the five most significant non-trades of 2012.
  • Mike updated the status of this year's Rule 5 selections.
  • Ben continued the Free Agent Stock Watch series. He's bullish on the Rays' Jeff Keppinger.
  • Ben provided a refresher on how September trades work.
  • Ben listed the teams with open 40-man roster spots.
  • Mark examined the Indians' Chris Perez as a possible trade candidate, in light of his recent critical comments of team management.
  • Ben laid out the possible offseason outcomes for Dan Haren and the Angels.
  • Mike assembled the best of the baseball blogosphere for you in Baseball Blogs Weigh In.
  • Ben hosted this week's live chat.
  • Here's a refresher on MLBTR's commenting policy.
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NL Notes: Strasburg, Carpenter, Pirates

By edcreech | September 9, 2012 at 3:45pm CDT

The first Sunday of the new NFL season has not gone unnoticed by MLB players. The Cubs are celebrating by wearing a NFL jersey of their choice on their flight from Pittsburgh to Houston tonight, reports Doug Padilla of ESPNChicago.com. But, like their season, the idea wasn't without its pitfalls. While Floridian Anthony Rizzo (Dolphins), Baltimore native Steve Clevenger (Ravens), and Virginian Shawn Camp (Redskins) came prepared, others were left to the mercy of jersey shopping in Pittsburgh. So, newly acquired Jason Berken, a Packers season-ticker holder, had to settle for a Steelers jersey. Enough of the gridiron and back to the diamond:

  • The Stephen Strasburg shutdown will test all of Nationals' intangibles: its confidence, cohesion, and just plain stubbornness, writes Thomas Boswell of the Washington Post. 
  • Jake Westbrook will miss his next start for the Cardinals with a right oblique injury. MLB.com's Jennifer Langosch reports Chris Carpenter is a possibility to replace Westbrook on Thursday. Carpenter, who has yet to pitch this year after undergoing surgery to correct thoracic outlet syndrome in his right shoulder, is set to throw a simulatated game tomorrow, but Langosch says the team could switch the schedule should they want Carpenter to step in immediately.
  • The Pirates are still developing their offseason plans for Gerrit Cole, the first overall selection in the 2011 draft, according to Rob Biertempfel of the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review (via Sulia). "We've got to spend some time with him and see where we can place him," Biertempfel quoted GM Neal Huntington as saying. Cole was roughed up in his final Triple-A start (eight runs in just two innings), but Huntingon was philosophical, "The biggest lesson is, Triple-A (batters) can hit 100 mph (pitches). If you keep coming with 100 mph, they're going to keep hitting it. You've got to use all your pitches. Things snowballed on him, things got a little quick for him. He's going to be better for it." 
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Pittsburgh Pirates St. Louis Cardinals Washington Nationals Chris Carpenter Gerrit Cole Jake Westbrook Neal Huntington Stephen Strasburg

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Brewers Claim Miguel De Los Santos

By edcreech | September 9, 2012 at 1:45pm CDT

The Brewers have claimed left-hander Miguel De Los Santos off waivers from the Rangers, tweets Jeff Wilson of the Fort Worth Star-Telegram. Texas released De Los Santos on Friday after designating him for assignment on September 1.

The 24-year-old posted a 5.22 ERA with 10.7 K/9 and 5.2 BB/9 in 58 2/3 innings at Double-A Frisco this year covering 22 relief appearances and four starts. Baseball America ranked De Los Santos 29th among Rangers prospects before the season, crediting him for the best changeup in the organization.

This is the second De Los Santos the Brewers have acquired in the last five weeks. Milwaukee picked up Fautino De Los Santos, no relation, from the A's in exchange for George Kottaras on July 29. The Brewers now have one open spot on their 40-man roster. For the latest on teams with open 40-man roster spots, check out Ben Nicholson-Smith's post from earlier in the week.  

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Milwaukee Brewers Texas Rangers Transactions

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MLBTR Originals

By edcreech | September 2, 2012 at 6:03pm CDT

A look back at the original reporting and analysis found on MLBTR this past week:

  • Ben Nicholson-Smith detailed the scenarios in which the Nationals and Adam LaRoche can remain together in 2013.
  • Mike Axisa examined the future payroll obligations of the Red Sox in the wake of their historic nine-player trade with the Dodgers.
  • Ben suggested Dexter Fowler is a candidate for a contract extension from the Rockies.
  • Ben hosted the weekly live chat.
  • Mark Polishuk continued the Free Agent Stock Watch series with a look at the prospects of David Ortiz.
  • Ben asked MLBTR readers which American League GM made the best moves this past offseason. Nearly 34% of you gave Billy Beane his due, as his A's are leading the AL Wild Card race.
  • Ben reviewed the moves Beane made this past winter when he acquired one-third of the team’s starting lineup, its setup man, and two-fifths of its starting rotation. 
  • Mike gathered the best the baseball corner of the web had to offer in Baseball Blogs Weigh In. This week's edition featured posts on the Dodgers, Red Sox, and Yankees.
  • Ben updated the list of players who have been placed on revocable waivers one final time before the August 31st deadline for teams to trade for players and be eligible for postseason rosters.
  • Trades can still be completed this month, however. Mike chronicled some of the more noteworthy deals from Septembers past.
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Quick Hits: Profar, Strasburg, Miller, Inge, Phillips

By edcreech | September 2, 2012 at 4:30pm CDT

Baseball has always been a game for the young and old alike and today captured that sentiment perfectly. First, the young. The Rangers' Jurickson Profar made his Major League debut a memorable one by becoming the second youngest player and only the third teenager to homer in his first career at-bat. Profar, a last-minute substitute at second base for Ian Kinsler, also doubled becoming the youngest player since Andruw Jones (1996) to hit a four-bagger and a two-bagger in his debut and the first AL player to do so since Ken Griffey Jr. (1989). Now, the old. The Astros celebrated Hall of Fame broadcaster Milo Hamilton's 85th birthday with a bobblehead day and induction into the Houston Baseball Media Wall of Honor. This year marks Hamilton's 59th and final season calling baseball games. Elsewhere around baseball:

  • Stephen Strasburg will make two more starts for the Nationals with his final one coming September 12 against the Mets, tweets MASNSports.com's Dan Kolko. Manager Davey Johnson made the announcement following the Nationals' 4-3 win over the Cardinals. In separate tweets from Kolko, GM Mike Rizzo confirmed Strasburg's shutdown date saying, "That seems like the right number of innings to end his season. I don't think he's going to fight me on it. I know he'll be unhappy about it. He's an ultimate competitor."
  • The Cardinals have decided to include top pitching prospect Shelby Miller in their batch of September call-ups this week, according to Joe Strauss of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch. Miller, the team's first round pick in 2009 who has created concerns over his conditioning and willingness to be coached, redeemed himself in his last ten starts at Triple-A Memphis amassing a 7-2 record, 2.88 ERA, 70 K's, and seven walks while limiting opposing hitters to a .217 average. Strauss says there is no plan for Miller to receive a start and will be used in mop-up situations. The Cardinals will have to add Miller to the 40-man roster before activating him.
  • Brandon Inge will likely have season-ending surgery this week after re-injuring his right shoulder last night, writes Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle. Inge says he wants to return to the A's next season in a utility role, if they will have him.
  • Catcher Paul Phillips has decided to call it a career and become a coach at Lipscomb University, tweets the Colorado Sky Sox PR Department (Rockies' Triple-A club). Phillips spent 2012 playing for the Brewers' and Blue Jays' Triple-A affiliates. Phillips, who last appeared in the majors in 2010 with the Rockies, will finish with a slash line of .262/.298/.357 in 91 games over seven seasons with the Royals, White Sox, and Rockies.  
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Oakland Athletics St. Louis Cardinals Texas Rangers Washington Nationals Brandon Inge Jurickson Profar Shelby Miller Stephen Strasburg

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Outrighted to Triple-A: Hinshaw

By edcreech | September 2, 2012 at 2:15pm CDT

Today's outright assignments:

  • The Cubs have outrighted left-hander Alex Hinshaw to Triple-A Iowa, according to the Pacific Coast League transactions page.  Hinshaw had been designated for assignment last Tuesday, after surrendering back-to-back-to-back home runs in a game against the Brewers the night before. Hinshaw has a 6.04 ERA with 11.4 K/9, 6.7 BB/9, and 2.5 HR/9 in 33 games between the Padres and Cubs this season.
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Chicago Cubs Transactions Alex Hinshaw

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MLBTR Originals

By edcreech | August 26, 2012 at 6:22pm CDT

A look back at the original reporting and analysis found on MLBTR this past week:

  • Mike Axisa led MLBTR's coverage of yesterday's blockbuster nine-player trade between the Dodgers and Red Sox with a recap of the historic deal, a scouting report on the prospects obtained by Boston, and an examination of the Dodgers' future payroll obligations.
  • Ben Nicholson-Smith compared and contrasted the careers of Mike Napoli and Jeff Mathis with a focus on the divergent paths they've taken in terms of their contracts.
  • Ben issued the first free agent stock watch. He's bullish on Nick Swisher.
  • Ben also updated the list of players who have been placed on revocable waivers.
  • Mark Polishuk asked MLBTR readers how the Giants' season will unfold. Over 73% of you predict the G-Men will make the playoffs and nearly 32% of you believe they will be celebrating their second World Series title in three years.
  • Speaking of the Giants, Ben assessed the early returns on the contract extensions handed out by GM Brian Sabean this past offseason.
  • Mike put together the best of the baseball blogosphere in Baseball Blogs Weigh In.
  • Ben hosted the MLBTR live chat this week.
  • Want the latest rumors for your favorite team? Check out MLBTR's team-by-team links for Facebook, Twitter, and RSS pages and feeds.
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Royals Have No Interest In Clemens

By edcreech | August 26, 2012 at 4:45pm CDT

Roger Clemens made his return to the mound for the Sugar Land Skeeters last night with two Royals officials in attendance. Senior pitching advisor Bill Fischer and independent league scout Ron Toenjes were at the game, but Royals GM Dayton Moore quickly doused any speculation of interest, according to MLB.com's Dick Kaegel.

Moore said Fischer, a former pitching coach of Clemens in Boston, was invited to the game by the right-hander and that Toenjes "wasn't sent there to scout the game. He was sent there to be along with Fish, and that's all. We were not there scouting Roger Clemens."  

With Fischer with him in the dugout, Clemens allowed only one hit, no walks, and struck out two during 3 1/3 innings, reports Alyson Footer of MLB.com. Clemens hit 88 mph with his fastball as 24 of his 37 pitches went for strikes. 

"It was good." Clemens said of his outing. "Everyone says it's like riding a bike. I just wanted to make sure I got out of there uninjured but still make a good showing."  

Will this showing lead to a possible return to the Major Leagues? "It's a great deal of work," Clemens said, "and I'm not thinking that at this point."

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Kansas City Royals Dayton Moore Roger Clemens

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Pohlad Talks Twins, Ryan, Gardenhire, ASG

By edcreech | August 26, 2012 at 4:00pm CDT

The Minnesota Twins enter play today on a five-game losing streak, which has sunk them to a season-low 24 games under .500. With this as a backdrop, Twins owner Jim Pohlad was a guest Saturday of Darren Wolfson on 1500 ESPN.  Phil Mackey of 1500ESPN.com has excerpts from the interview.

  • On approaching a second consecutive 100-loss season, Pohlad said, "It's very frustrating. There's only one way to describe it, and that's losing (stinks)."
  • On the future of interim GM Terry Ryan, "When Terry wants to remove the interim (label) from his title, we'll welcome that." Pohlad added that Ryan's "interim" label still exists only because Ryan "hasn't chosen to drop that (label) from his title (yet). But on the other hand, we don't keep revisiting that every week or every month. We don't keep saying to him, 'Terry, why are you still interim?' Whenever he wants to take that way, he can, as far as we're concerned."
  • Pohlad "can't foresee" a change in manager. He did say that any decision regarding the future of Ron Gardenhire and his coaching staff would be Ryan's.
  • Pohlad does not believe the Twins are looking at a lengthy period of futility while trying to rebuild. "We have no desire to have our history defined by losing. With some tweaking — or maybe some people would say it's more than tweaking, and they could be right — we have faith in the future."
  • One of Twins' problems is they have $32MM invested in players who are either on the disabled list, in the minors, or no longer with the organization. "That's true," said Pohlad, "and that unfortunately happens throughout baseball. It's part of the game, and it's not an attractive part of the game. And we don't like that. Nobody would like that."
  • One thing Pohlad would like is for Target Field to host the 2014 All-Star Game. "Dialogue between the Minnesota Twins and the commissioner's office has increased noticeably over the past couple weeks," he said, "and we believe something is really imminent."
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Minnesota Twins Terry Ryan

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