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Yankees Interested In Brendan Rodgers

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The Yankees are known to be looking for infield help and Bob Nightengale of USA Today relays that they have had discussions with free agent Brendan Rodgers, though it’s unclear when those talks took place or how serious they were.

Rodgers, 28, came up with a huge amount of prospect hype but he hasn’t been able to deliver on it thus far. The Rockies selected him with the third overall pick in the 2015 draft and he was the club’s top prospect for a while after that. Baseball America ranked him first in the system and in the top 25 prospects league-wide from 2017 to 2020.

In 2021 and 2022, Rodgers seemed to be cementing himself as a capable major leaguer, though something below a star. Over those two seasons, he put up a solid slash of .274/.326/.434, though that only amounted to a 95 wRC+, with that measure accounting for the hitter-friendly nature of Coors Field. Despite the subpar offense, Rodgers got strong marks for his second base defense, leading FanGraphs to credit him with a combined 3.1 wins above replacement over those two years.

Baseball Reference was even more bullish, giving Rodgers 4.3 WAR in 2022 alone. That discrepancy is due to BR using Defensive Runs Saved for its WAR, while FanGraphs uses a combination of Statcast and Ultimate Zone Rating. Rodgers had 3 OAA in 2022 but a massive 22 DRS, which is why the WAR tallies are so lopsided. But his DRS grade has been negative over the rest of his career, so that looks like a clear outlier.

Regardless of how Rodgers was evaluated at that time, he hasn’t been at that level since. He suffered a dislocated shoulder during spring training in 2023 and required surgery. He got into 46 games late that year but didn’t perform well, slashing .258/.313/.388 for a 78 wRC+. In 2024, he improved but not by much, producing a .267/.314/.407 line and 88 wRC+.

If one wanted to find a reason for optimism, they could look to Rodgers improving as the season went along. He hit .262/.306/.383 for a wRC+ of 79 in the first half and then .275/.325/.441 in the second half for a 100 wRC+, though that latter line was mostly buoyed by a huge August, as he had poor results in July and September.

Both in 2024 and in his career, the righty-swinging Rodgers has been better against lefties. He slashed .311/.364/.455 against southpaws last year for a 117 wRC, not far off from his career line of .298/.359/.484 and 120 wRC+ in that split. That could perhaps allow him to form a platoon with Jazz Chisholm Jr., who swings from the left side and has a line of .224/.281/.364 against southpaws in his career for a 76 wRC+.

The Rockies could have retained Rodgers for 2025, with MLBTR contributor Matt Swartz projecting him for a salary of $5.5MM, but the Rockies opted to non-tender him instead. That means that Rodgers will be cheap, which is surely attractive to the Yankees. They came into the offseason with a number of big contracts already on the books and have since swelled their commitments by adding Max Fried, Cody Bellinger and Paul Goldschmidt.

RosterResource puts the Yankees’ competitive balance tax number at $303MM, which is already above the fourth and final tier of $301MM. As a third-time payor, the Yanks will be taxed at a 110% rate on any further spending. They are reportedly shopping Marcus Stroman, which could lower their commitments, but they would still have one of the top payrolls in the league.

The fact that Chisholm can play either second or third base gives the Yanks some flexibility in how they add to their infield in the coming weeks but the top options at the hot corner will be expensive. Alex Bregman is available in free agency but is looking for a big nine-figure deal of some kind. Nolan Arenado is available in trade but the Cards are reportedly looking to get rid of most of what remains of his contract.

Rodgers is less exciting than those guys but will be far cheaper and seems capable of at least being a short-side platoon guy. He’s also still young and a former top prospect, so there could be some possibility of a late-bloomer breakout.

Astros Sign Zack Short To Minor League Deal

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The Astros have signed infielder Zack Short to a minor league deal, according to his MLB.com transaction tracker. Chandler Rome of The Athletic has confirmed the deal for the ACES client and that it comes with an invitation to big league camp.

Short, 30 in May, has appeared in parts of the past four major league seasons. He has generally served as a light-hitting utility player, mostly with the Tigers. He was put on waivers by Detroit last winter and ended up bouncing to the Mets, Red Sox and Atlanta, with that last club outrighting him off their roster in July.

He has 538 major league plate appearances to this point in his career. He has drawn a walk in 12.3% of those but also been struck out at a 28.6% clip. He has hit 13 home runs but produced a .167/.269/.287 slash line for a 57 wRC+, indicating he’s been 43% worse than league average overall.

As one would expect, his minor league production has been far better. He has stepped to the plate 966 times at the Triple-A level over the past four years. His 26.4% strikeout rate in that sample is still high but he also has a 16.4% walk rate and 25 home runs, leading to a combined .225/.361/.383 batting line and 102 wRC+.

If Short were capable of hitting like that against major league pitching, it could make him a useful player, since he already provides defensive versatility. He has over 300 innings of big league work at the three infield spots to the left of first base, as well as occasional outfield appearances. Bridging the gap between his major league offense and his minor league production could turn him into a solid bench/utility guy.

The Astros currently project to have a left-to-right infield of Isaac Paredes, Jeremy Pena, Jose Altuve and Christian Walker. They could have Mauricio Dubón in a utility role, but he might need to spend more time in the outfield, depending on how the club attacks that part of the roster in the coming weeks. Shay Whitcomb and Zach Dezenzo are other options on the 40-man roster.

Short burned his final option year in 2023, which is why he ended up bouncing around the league last year. That will make it hard for him to hang onto a roster spot even if he gets one. But he’s still shy of three years of service time, meaning he could be cheaply retained beyond the 2025 season if he manages to finish the year on the roster.

Mets Interested In Tanner Scott

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The Mets are looking to add a reliever or two, reports Will Sammon of The Athletic, with left-hander Tanner Scott identified as one specific name they have interest in. Scott is one of the top free agent relievers and has also been connected to Atlanta, the Yankees and Dodgers this winter. Sammon adds that the Mets have already met with Scott, likely over phone or video.

Scott’s appeal is obvious in the numbers. Over the past two years, he has tossed 150 relief innings, allowing 2.04 earned runs per nine. His 10% walk rate over those years was a tad high, but he struck out 31.3% of batters faced and got grounders on 50.4% of balls in play. He also added 5 1/3 innings of scoreless postseason work over those seasons, which included four strikeouts of Shohei Ohtani in last year’s NLDS.

At the start of the offseason, MLBTR predicted Scott to land a four-year deal worth $56MM, but it’s possible that will prove to be light. Essentially every starting pitcher has surpassed expectations this winter and that could spill over into the bullpen market as well. It was reported this week that Scott has enough interest that a deal with a $20MM average annual value is a possibility.

For the Mets, this represents a different tack to their rotation-building strategy, something that Sammon notes in his report. While owner Steve Cohen has seemingly unlimited financial resources, president of baseball operations David Stearns hasn’t gone for the top free agent pitchers.

Last year, he gave short-term deals to starters like Sean Manaea and Luis Severino, but the Mets were entering something of a reset year in 2024. After they outperformed expectations and made the playoffs, it was speculated that Stearns could get more aggressive and go after arms like Corbin Burnes, Blake Snell or Max Fried. Instead, he has re-signed Manaea, is trying to convert Clay Holmes from the bullpen to the rotation, and has taken buy-low fliers on guys like Frankie Montas and Griffin Canning.

While that pivot to more aggressive spending didn’t happen with the rotation, perhaps it will come to pass with the bullpen. Stearns has never made huge financial investments in relievers, neither for the Mets nor the Brewers, as shown on MLBTR’s Contract Tracker. The deals for Holmes and Manaea top the list, followed by an early-career extension for Freddy Peralta, who eventually emerged as a viable big league starter in Milwaukee. No other reliever has received more than a $5.4MM guarantee from Stearns.

Last winter, as mentioned, the Mets were going into a year of uncertainty. Stearns gave modest deals to a number of relievers like Adam Ottavino, Jake Diekman, Jorge López and others, none of them even getting a $5MM guarantee. The interest in Scott suggests that the Mets might have some willingness to pivot from that trend in the coming weeks, though time will tell if they actually follow through.

If they do, Scott would be a great fit for the bullpen. The Mets have Edwin Díaz as their closer but things are fairly open apart from that. José Buttó, Reed Garrett and Dedniel Núñez project as some of the top options beyond Díaz but none of those three have even two years of big league service time. Danny Young is the only lefty reliever currently on the 40-man roster and he still has less than a year of service time. Slotting in Scott would bolster the group in terms of talent, experience and left-right balance.

According to RosterResource, the Mets are projected for a payroll of $280MM this year. That’s about $50MM shy of last year’s Opening Day payroll, so there could be lots of room to add bullpen help, even if they end up re-signing first baseman Pete Alonso. RR has the competitive balance tax number at $277MM, which means the club is already within striking distance of the third threshold of $281MM. However, they have blown way past the fourth and final tier in previous seasons, so that isn’t likely to be an obstacle for them. As a third-time payor, the Mets will face a 95% tax rate for spending beyond the third tier and a 110% rate for anything above the fourth.

White Sox Sign Bobby Dalbec To Minor League Deal

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The White Sox announced that they have signed infielder Bobby Dalbec to a minor league deal with an invite to major league spring training. Chris Cotillo of MassLive reports that Dalbec will make $1.25MM if in the majors with $500K of incentives available to him as well. The CAA Sports client will also have opportunities to opt-out of the deal in June or July if not on the roster.

Dalbec, 30 in June, joins a new organization for the first time in his career. He was drafted by the Red Sox in 2016 and played for that club at the big league level for parts of the past five seasons. The book on Dalbec is that he has power potential but strikes out far too often to make use of it. He has taken 1,044 trips to the plate in his major league career thus far, hitting home runs in 47 of those but also getting punched out 36.8% of the time.

That’s something that’s actually gotten worse over time. He hit 25 home runs in 2021 while striking out at a 34.4% clip, with the Red Sox surely hoping for that number to come down as he got more big league experience. But he’s had 146 plate appearances over the past two seasons and been set down on strikes at a massive 48.6% clip in those. He was outrighted off Boston’s roster in September and elected free agency at season’s end.

The White Sox are a good fit for him, as there’s not much blocking his path back to the big leagues. Dalbec has mostly played first base in his career but has also seen significant time at third, while making brief appearances in the middle infield and in right field.

Chicago just wrapped up the worst season of the modern era and has very little settled in its position player mix. Andrew Vaughn is still the first baseman but his production has declined in each of the past two years. Even if he bounces back, the White Sox are highly likely to trade him since he can only be retained via arbitration through 2026.

Veterans like Josh Rojas, Mike Tauchman and Austin Slater have been brought in to shore up various parts of the roster but any of them could be cut loose or traded throughout the year, depending on how things go in 2025. Youngsters like Miguel Vargas, Bryan Ramos and Colson Montgomery will be allotted lots of future playing time but none of them are established in the majors just yet.

Despite the strikeouts, Dalbec has continued to produce in the minors. He’s had 956 Triple-A plate appearances over the past three years with 58 homers. Though he had a 34.6% strikeout rate in that sample, he also had an 11.8% walk rate, a combined batting line of .260/.358/.523 and a 121 wRC+. If he can bring some of that up to the majors with the White Sox, he has less than three years of service time and can therefore be cheaply retained beyond this year via arbitration if he has a roster spot at season’s end. He is now out of options, however, which could make it tricky for him to hold a roster spot even if he gets one.

Blue Jays, Red Sox Interested In Pete Alonso

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First baseman Pete Alonso is still unsigned with just over a month until pitchers and catchers report to spring training, which naturally suggests he hasn’t yet found a contract offer to his liking. Reports from Jeff Passan of ESPN and Bob Nightengale of USA Today suggest that he is likely to pivot to a short-term deal with one or more opt-outs. Nightengale says eight teams, including the Blue Jays and Red Sox, have at least some level of interest. However, it’s unclear how interested those clubs are and the fact that Alonso remains available suggests they aren’t bowling him over with aggressive offers.

If Alonso ultimately pivots to a short-term deal with opt-outs, it wouldn’t come as a huge surprise. Alonso’s agent Scott Boras went down this road last offseason with Cody Bellinger, Matt Chapman, Blake Snell and Jordan Montgomery. All four of them found markets below their expectations and remained unsigned beyond the holidays. Each of them eventually agreed to short-term deals with an opt-out or two, with slight variations for each individual.

There were reasons to expect Alonso could follow that path. Alonso reportedly turned down an extension offer from the Mets in the summer of 2023 valued at $157MM over seven years. He still had one arbitration season remaining at that time and ultimately earned $20.5MM. That means he was effectively being offered $137MM for six free agent seasons and turned it down. In November of 2023, it was reported that he was looking to top the recent deals for Freddie Freeman and Matt Olson, who signed for $162MM and $168MM respectively.

But the league has generally shied away from one-dimensional right-handed-hitting sluggers like Alonso. His defense isn’t especially well regarded and he’s not a burner on the basepaths. His walk rates are decent but not exceptional. Alonso has huge home run power but Freeman and Olson rank higher than him in terms of glovework and drawing free passes.

While Miguel Cabrera and Albert Pujols each got over $200MM, those deals were both over a decade ago. More recently, Paul Goldschmidt’s $130MM extension from the Cardinals is the best deal for a righty-swinging first baseman. Kris Bryant got $182MM as a defensively-limited outfielder but that deal turned sour very quickly. Other bat-first guys like J.D. Martinez and Nick Castellanos signed for the low nine figures.

Alonso also hit free agency on a bit of a down note. He had hit .261/.349/.535 for a 137 wRC+ through the 2022 season but slashed .229/.324/.480 over the past two seasons for a 122 wRC+. That’s still above average offense but a team might wonder if Alonso could reverse that trend going into his age-30 season. He also rejected a qualifying offer and is therefore tied to the associated penalties for any club that signs him.

Taking all that into consideration, it seemed possible that there would be a discrepancy between Alonso’s asking price and what teams would be willing to offer. At the start of the offseason, MLBTR considered predicting Alonso for a deal similar to what Bellinger ultimately signed with the Cubs last offseason, which was $80MM over three years with two opt-outs. That seemed too bold a stance to take at the start of the offseason, so we backed down and went with $125MM over five years, though noting that the Bellinger path was a real possibility. Last month, Mark Feinsand of MLB.com reported that such a deal was becoming increasingly likely and this week’s reporting adds to that.

Returning to the Mets is still a possibility, as they haven’t done anything to fill Alonso’s spot at first base. It’s been speculated that they could move Mark Vientos over from third, since his defense at the hot corner isn’t strong and he’s capable of playing first. They could then cover third base internally with a combination of Brett Baty, Ronny Mauricio or Luisangel Acuña, or perhaps an external addition like Alex Bregman. However, the door to Alonso returning is still open.

Other clubs have been tied to Alonso, but the fits are mostly a bit awkward. The Yankees reportedly had Alonso on their list of backup plans for the event they didn’t sign Juan Soto but they eventually signed Goldschmidt to cover first base. The Giants could perhaps be a fit but they have Bryce Eldridge waiting in the wings. The Angels have reportedly considered bringing in Alonso and moving incumbent first baseman Nolan Schanuel to the outfield, a position he hasn’t played as a professional.

The Jays and Red Sox are also fairly inelegant fits. Boston already has a corner infield logjam with Rafael Devers at third, Triston Casas at first and Masataka Yoshida a candidate for regular run as the designated hitter. Since Devers is a weak defender at third, they have considered adding someone like Bregman or Nolan Arenado and moving Devers to first, which has led to Casas and Yoshida being in trade rumors. Signing Alonso would jam this situation even further and make it harder to get Devers off third. Perhaps that wouldn’t be such a big deal on a short-term deal that the club expects him to opt out of, but it can’t be assured that a player will eventually use his opt-out. The Cubs recently signed Bellinger with this logic and saw him decide to stick around, which led to a salary-dump trade to the Yankees.

The Jays have Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as their everyday first baseman. He is capable of playing third base but only has 14 appearances there over the past five years, most of those coming as the Jays were playing out the string in 2024. With Guerrero slated for free agency next winter, perhaps he and Alonso could share first base and DH for a year with Alonso taking over first in 2026, though it would be a clunky fit for the 2025 season. The Jays also hope to extend Guerrero, which would be complicated by bringing Alonso into the fold.

Financially, RosterResource has the Jays just over $10MM away from last year’s payroll and the competitive balance tax, but it seems they still have some money to spend. They were reportedly involved with Corbin Burnes before he signed with the Diamondbacks and have an offer out to Anthony Santander. RosterResource has the Red Sox almost $30MM shy of the CBT and they might even be willing to cross the line this year.

Triston Casas And Boston’s Infield Dilemma

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The rumor mill has been a whirlwind for Red Sox fans this offseason, with the club diving headfirst into the Juan Soto sweepstakes only to come up short, then getting involved in the markets for Max Fried and Corbin Burnes before ultimately pivoting to Garrett Crochet and Walker Buehler. Now, Boston appears to be in the thick of the market for impact hitters. The club has not made its desire to land a bat who can help balance their heavily left-handed lineup out a secret this winter, and they’ve been connected to a number of major bats like Anthony Santander, Alex Bregman, and Nolan Arenado.

There’s been plenty of focus on the possibility of the club adding a right-handed infielder like Bregman or Arenado in particular. Either of those deals could come with complications, however. Kristian Campbell and Marcelo Mayer are both top prospects for the Red Sox who figure to debut in 2025 and fit best on the infield. As the club is currently constructed, with Triston Casas and Rafael Devers at the corners and Trevor Story at shortstop, second base appears to be the cleanest way for either of those players to get into the lineup- or for the club to add a free agent infielder. Bregman has indicated a willingness to play the keystone, but it would be a risky decision for the Red Sox to play a solid defensive third baseman out of position in deference to the incumbent Devers and his lackluster defense. And the idea of adding a glove-first third baseman like Arenado and moving him off the hot corner seems even more farfetched.

That’s led to plenty of speculation swirling around the future of Casas this winter, as the young first baseman would be by far the easiest piece of the club’s infield mix to move. Casas, who turns 25 next week, has done nothing but hit in the majors to this point with a .250/.337/.473 slash line in 222 big league games so far. That’s been good for a 125 wRC+, and with four years of team control remaining the slugger could be a building block for a number of teams around the game—including the Red Sox. While a player with Casas’s combination of talent and team control should garner plenty of attention if made available on the market, it’s worth noting that the youngster’s 2024 season may have raised some red flags that could make potential suitors concerned about his value.

For one thing, he missed most of the season due to torn cartilage in his ribcage. In the 63 games where Casas was healthy enough to take the field, he hit just .241/.337/.462 (119 wRC+) and posted the lowest walk rate (12.3%) of his young career. Both of those are still well above-average figures and not necessarily cause for concern by themselves, but Casas’s sharp uptick in strikeouts is more alarming. He struck out at a 31.7% clip in his 243 plate appearances last year. If he had stayed healthy enough to qualify, that would’ve been the second-highest strikeout rate in the majors last year behind only Zack Gelof. Third on that list is Reds phenom Elly De La Cruz, proving it’s at least theoretically possible to be an impactful major leaguer even if you punch out nearly a third of the time, but that’s a much steeper ask for a player as defensively limited as Casas.

Of course, those potential red flags haven’t stopped Casas from getting plenty of attention in the rumor mill. Chief baseball officer Craig Breslow has insisted that the club isn’t shopping the young slugger, but several reports have indicated that the club is at least listening to offers on him even if they aren’t placing him on the trading block outright. In particular, there was plenty of smoke surrounding the possibility of a trade between the Red Sox and Mariners regarding Casas last month. Those talks reportedly saw Seattle rebuff the idea of either trading one of their young starting pitchers for Casas or else trading Luis Castillo for a package involving both Casas and pricey DH Masataka Yoshida, while the Red Sox balked at the idea of trading Casas for Castillo without also offloading Yoshida’s salary.

With Crochet and Buehler now in the fold, the Red Sox have an abundance of starting pitching options that could make a deal for a player like Castillo less palatable. That being said, reports have indicated that the club could still be open to dealing Casas in order to facilitate other roster moves. One such roster move a trade of Casas could facilitate would be the addition of Bregman or Arenado at third base, while Casas departs the roster in order to allow a potential move to first base for Devers. Alternatively, parting ways with Casas could open the door for the club to instead add a right-handed slugger like Pete Alonso to the lineup at first base if the club opts to keep Devers at the hot corner.

It’s an interesting conundrum the Red Sox face: they’ve missed the playoffs in each of the past three seasons and finally appear poised to seriously contend for the AL East again in 2025. There’s at least theoretically room for an impact player on the infield as things stand, but a complicated positional fit and the presence of impact prospects at Triple-A nearing their big league debut would complicate any such acquisitions.

Should the club stand pat on the infield, preserving the potential star power of Casas and leaving the door open for Mayer and/or Campbell to step in at second base this year? Should the club deal Casas in order to guarantee that there’s room for both a top prospect and an impact addition on the infield, despite the questions regarding Casas’s current value? Or should the Red Sox push their chips in and sign an impact player while keeping Casas in the fold, regardless of the awkward positional fit and the risk of blocking impact prospects? Have your say in the poll below:

How Should The Red Sox Handle Their Infield?
Keep Casas and sign an impact hitter despite positional concerns. 40.82% (1,843 votes)
Trade Casas and sign an impact infielder. 31.69% (1,431 votes)
Keep Casas and don't add an impact infielder. 27.49% (1,241 votes)
Total Votes: 4,515

Pirates Interested In Alex Verdugo

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It’s been a pretty quiet offseason for the Pirates, with their most prominent moves to date including the acquisition of first baseman Spencer Horwitz (in exchange for righty Luis Ortiz) and the re-signing of franchise icon Andrew McCutchen on another one-year, $5MM deal. The Bucs were said last month to be exploring the bullpen and corner outfield markets, and that appears to still be the case. Robert Murray of FanSided more specifically reports that Alex Verdugo is one name in whom the Pirates have interest.

Verdugo, 29 in May, is coming off a down season with the Yankees — his lone season in the Bronx. The former second-rounder and top prospect got out to a big start in his lone Yankees season, slashing .275/.362/.450 through his first 140 plate appearances. He tanked thereafter, posting just a .221/.270/.330 slash over his final 480 trips to the plate. Overall, he finished out the season with a .233/.291/.356 batting line — about 17% worse than league-average, by measure of wRC+.

Ugly as those results were, they stand as something of an anomaly in contrast with the rest of Verdugo’s career. While he’s never broken out into stardom, Verdugo was a solid regular in the outfield corners from 2019-23, batting a combined .283/.338/.432 in 2448 plate appearances with the Dodgers and Red Sox from 2019-23. That’s “only” about six percent better than league average, but he coupled that production with quality corner outfield grades (per both Defensive Runs Saved and, to a lesser extent, Outs Above Average). Verdugo has never been a big power bat — he’s reached a career-high 13 home runs in three different seasons, including 2024 — but rarely strikes out (career 15.1%). He’s tied for fifth in the majors in doubles dating back to 2020.

Verdugo’s lack of over-the-fence pop and his middling finish to the 2024 season combine to drag down his earning power in free agency. Given his lackluster ’24 showing and his age, he seems likely to take a one-year deal and return to the market next winter, hopefully on the heels of a steadier and more productive performance. He’d still only be entering his age-30 season, an age at which plenty of outfielders find lucrative multi-year deals.

Bucs fans may be exhausted with the notion of one-year deals for veteran rebound candidates, but that’s the free-agent reality in which the team typically operates under current ownership. Verdugo would fit the bill and fill a position of need. As it stands, Pittsburgh’s outfield projects to include Bryan Reynolds, shortstop-turned-center-fielder Oneil Cruz and perhaps Joshua Palacios, though in-house options like Jack Suwinski and Billy Cook could get consideration this spring as well. Verdugo would more prominently step into an everyday role alongside Reynolds and Cruz.

As things stand, the Pirates’ projected payroll is a paltry $79MM, per RosterResource. That’s about $8MM south of last year’s $87MM mark. Having filled their first base need inexpensively via the Horwitz acquisition, there ought to be additional (albeit modest) spending power to bring an outfielder of Verdugo’s caliber into the fold and perhaps still add a free agent reliever to the mix. Earlier in the offseason, the Phillies signed Max Kepler to a one-year deal worth a guaranteed $10MM. Verdugo is younger but has less power and defensive upside; a contract in that general range seems possible, but he doesn’t seem likely to command more than that.

Rangers Sign Chris Martin

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Jan. 7: Martin’s deal with the Rangers guarantees him $5.5MM, Robert Murray of FanSided reports. Murray adds that Martin turned down more money from other clubs to return to his hometown club for what’ll be the final season of his career. WEEI’s Rob Bradford reports that the Red Sox were one team that made a more lucrative offer.

Jan. 6: The Rangers announced the signing of veteran reliever Chris Martin to a one-year deal. Financial terms remain unreported. Martin is represented by ISE Baseball. Texas designated Matt Festa for assignment to open a 40-man roster spot.

Martin, an Arlington native, heads home for what’ll likely be his final season. The 38-year-old righty said in September that he’s 95% confident he’ll retire after 2025. That’s not because of a dip in effectiveness. Martin remains a capable high-leverage arm and is coming off a strong two-year run in Boston.

The Red Sox inked Martin to a $17.5MM free agent deal over the 2022-23 offseason. It was a bit of a gamble considering his age, but the nine-year MLB veteran made good on that investment within one season. Martin turned in a dazzling 1.05 earned run average across 51 1/3 innings in 2023. He earned a couple down-ballot Cy Young votes in the process.

Last season was more good than dominant. Martin worked to a 3.45 ERA while throwing 44 1/3 innings. He had a brief injured list stint related to anxiety in the middle of June. Martin also missed a month with elbow inflammation between early July and the first week of August. He returned with 10 innings and only one earned run over the next couple weeks before allowing six runs in eight September frames.

Martin was almost certainly not going to manage an ERA around 1.00 in consecutive seasons. His strikeout and walk profile actually improved last year. He fanned 27.8% of batters faced after running a 23.1% strikeout rate in 2023. Martin cut his already pristine walk rate from 4% to a career-low 1.7% clip. He’s arguably the best strike-thrower in the majors. No pitcher with at least 100 innings over the last three seasons has issued walks at a lower rate than Martin (2.6%).

Over his two seasons with the Sox, Martin managed a 2.16 ERA across 95 1/3 innings. He has found success at every stop since returning from a stint in Japan between 2016-17. That includes a previous run in Texas. The Rangers were the team that gave Martin a chance during the 2017-18 offseason. He combined for 79 2/3 innings of 3.84 ERA ball before being traded to the Braves at the 2019 deadline.

Texas has loaded on up on short-term additions to fix a bullpen that could lose each of Kirby Yates, David Robertson, José Leclerc and José Ureña. They’ve signed Shawn Armstrong, Jacob Webb and Hoby Milner on one-year contracts worth $2.5MM or less. Texas also brought in southpaw Robert Garcia from Washington in the Nathaniel Lowe trade. While finances on Martin are unreported, it’s fair to assume he’ll be the most expensive of Chris Young’s bullpen acquisitions to this point. Still, there’s limited downside with a one-year deal.

Martin is the most experienced of the Texas relievers. He has worked in a setup capacity throughout his career and has never saved more than four games in a season. It’s unclear if the Rangers plan for him to close or will use him in leverage spots. Yates and Robertson have far more closing experience and are still free agents. Whatever the role, Martin adds much needed stability to a bullpen that might still be the team’s biggest question.

Texas signed Festa, 31, to a minor league deal last season. The Rangers selected his contract in August. He made 18 appearances over the final six weeks, working to a 4.37 ERA across 22 2/3 innings. The righty had made a brief appearance for the Mets earlier in the year. He has spent the bulk of his career with the Mariners, with whom he posted a 4.32 ERA in 89 outings over four seasons. Texas will have five days to trade Festa or place him on waivers.

Image courtesy of USA Today Sports.

Yankees Shopping Marcus Stroman

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The Yankees’ eight-year deal for Max Fried gave them one of the deepest collection of major league starting pitching in the sport. Fried joined Gerrit Cole, Carlos Rodon, Luis Gil, Clarke Schmidt, Marcus Stroman and the since-traded Nestor Cortes in a long line of Yankee rotation options. While the trade of Cortes to the Brewers loosened that logjam (and significantly bolstered the bullpen, bringing Devin Williams in from Milwaukee), the Yankees still have six big league starters, most of whom are earning significant salaries. With that in mind, it’s not exactly surprising to see Bob Nightengale of USA Today report that New York is “actively trying to deal” Stroman.

Stroman’s name has already popped up in trade rumblings since the Fried signing. The Yankees pitched a Stroman-for-Nolan Arenado framework to the Cardinals, which was rebuffed by St. Louis. (Arenado has a no-trade clause, but the scenario was reportedly not even presented to the third baseman, as the Cardinals weren’t interested.) Given those efforts, it’s only natural that the Yankees have explored other possibilities as well.

Stroman, 34 in May, is entering the second season of a two-year, $37MM contract. He pitched decently during year one of the pact, logging a 4.31 ERA in 154 2/3 innings, but his strikeout rate (16.7%) and ground-ball rate (49.2%) were a far cry from his typical standards. Stroman punched out 21% of opponents from 2019-23 and kept the ball on the ground at a robust 53.2% clip over that same span. Similarly, the velocity on his sinker dipped quite a bit; from 2019-23, Stroman averaged 92 mph on the pitch (91.4 mph in ’23). In 2024, he averaged just 90 mph on that sinker.

Left-handed hitters, in particular, proved problematic for Stroman. They tagged him for a .296/.372/.474 batting line. He fanned just 14.3% of lefties, compared to 19% of fellow righties. With Stroman playing half his games at Yankee Stadium, lefties took full advantage of the short right-field porch. He surrendered 15 of his 19 home runs at Yankee Stadium in 2024 and pitched to a grisly 5.31 ERA at home. On the flipside, he sported a tidy 3.09 ERA on the road.

That road production and a generally successful track record should create at least some interest in Stroman elsewhere around the league, though perhaps not at the full freight of his $18.5MM salary this coming season. Trade discussions are surely complicated by the fact that the highly durable Stroman also has a vesting player option on his contract. With 140 innings pitched in 2025, he’d gain a player option for $18MM. Were that a club option, it wouldn’t be quite so problematic; that it’s a player option means that even if Stroman struggles or incurs a late-season injury, he’d be able to lock in that $18MM payday in 2026. Stroman has averaged 159 inning across the past five full seasons in which he’s pitched.

That player option, presumably, only creates more urgency for the Yankees to find a deal. They already have Cole, Fried and Rodon locked in for a combined $85MM in 2026 (including Fried’s slightly deferred signing bonus, which is paid half in 2025 and half in 2026). Schmidt will be in his third trip through arbitration as a Super Two player, while Gil will be in his first arb season in 2026. In total, it could mean a rotation earning a combined $100MM.

Stroman is arguably the sixth-best starter in that group of six at the moment, and paying him $18MM in 2025 and potentially again in 2026 understandably may not be a palatable course of action for the Yanks. That’s especially true when considering the team’s luxury tax status; they’re currently in the top penalty bracket for luxury status. Moving Stroman would trim more than $35MM in 2025 spending. The Yankees will be on the hook for 50-110% penalties on their luxury overages in 2026, depending on where the exact payroll ultimately lands. Again, that could mean a savings of $27-37MM, depending on if his player option comes into play.

While the player option surely gives other teams some pause, Stroman’s contract itself isn’t necessarily all that far underwater. The offseason has already seen 37-year-old Alex Cobb and 41-year-old Charlie Morton command $15MM one-year deals — Cobb’s coming after he made only three starts in 2024. Frankie Montas landed two years and $34MM with an opt-out upon signing with the Mets. The price for starting pitching has generally exceeded all expectations. Stroman at a year and $18MM, even with the conditional player option, isn’t necessarily egregious. Plus, if Stroman hits the 140 innings and pitches more like his 2021-23 self (3.45 ERA in 454 1/3 innings), he could well turn down the option and reenter free agency anyhow.

The Yankees aren’t likely to extract any kind of notable young talent in return for Stroman, but swapping him out for another veteran on a contract of some note or eating a portion of the contract and acquiring some longshot prospect help could still be feasible. There are still five weeks until pitchers and catchers report to spring training, and the market in recent offseasons has produced plenty of notable trades even after camps open. There should still be time for a deal to come together.

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