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« Astros Tejada Trade Not Close, But Possible | Main | A's May Consider Bonds »
UPDATE, 12-6-07 at 7:39pm: Sandy Alderson was on 1090 AM XX Sports Radio tonight. He said the Padres gave Fukudome one of the top two or three offers the team ever proposed. An answer from Fukudome is expected tonight or tomorrow.
FROM 12-6-07 at 2:23pm:
According to Tom Krasovic of the San Diego Union-Tribune, it "sounds like the Cubs might go as high as $12-15MM per year" for outfielder Kosuke Fukudome. He adds that Fukudome would have to be willing to take less money to play on the West Coast if he is to become a Padre. Many players have before, so don't go buying those Fukudome Cubs jerseys just yet.
Krasovic also has a note on Andruw Jones. Apparently the only other concrete offer outside of the Dodgers was a two-year, $22MM one from the Royals.
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Teetz- As the best players in baseball only register a hit for every three at-bats, the ability to lay down a bunt late in a game should not be over looked
Posted by: mikeks | December 06, 2007 at 11:18 PM
I want to keep Pie and let him play all season. He is a great outfielder with a great arm. He is super fast and is worth the time at 22 years old to let him develop into a great player.
Posted by: uww1 | December 06, 2007 at 11:19 PM
Dusty baker? good joke...I am not sure what your refering too.
Posted by: uww1 | December 06, 2007 at 11:20 PM
I am a Cubs fan yet i can't help but agree with UCSDPadsFan. Trading prospects such as Pie will pften come back to bite you in the ass when your stuck with aging vets with monster contracts
Posted by: mikeks | December 06, 2007 at 11:21 PM
Nick Swisher has plus power, he should be money over the course of his career for about 30 bombs. He figures to hover in the 260-270 area average wise, but his OBP should always be around .380. Soriano, though he had a good year average wise, is in the 270-280 area but his OBP is more like 320-330.
Posted by: Game555 | December 06, 2007 at 11:21 PM
Lets look at the Cubs needs and see if Fukudome provides them:
1. RF - Check
2. Good Defender - Check
3. Cannon of an arm - Check
4. Gets on Base - Check
5. Provides Power - Check
6. Lefty - Check
Why wouldn't the Cubs want him? Did a Cards fan say that best case scenario he is Tad Iguchi?? Really? That was as idiotic as your team trying to act like Rolen was worth Capuano and Bill Hall...don't bring that crap to this post please.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | December 06, 2007 at 11:23 PM
While a lot of people have given up on Pie for some reason, Hendry and management haven't, thankfully.
Dusty Baker seemingly hates OBP types, guys like Dunn or Swisher, etc. He's pretty much Billy Beane in reverse.
If Baker were still here, I'm sure he'd be looking to re-acquire Neifi Perez instead of trade for Roberts.
Posted by: | December 06, 2007 at 11:24 PM
And for the record...I'm for keeping Felix as well. He only needs to hit like .250 to be very, very valuable to us guys...and I think he can do that.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | December 06, 2007 at 11:24 PM
I agree with you mike. We need to keep Pie he is worth the shot that he could become the best CF we have ever had. hahah
Why are you comparing Soriano and Swisher? Anyone would choose Soriano over swisher. The biggest thing with swisher is his defense. He is going to play first til he is 33 and DH after that.
Posted by: uww1 | December 06, 2007 at 11:25 PM
Ignore the Cardinals fan, he's upset that his teams window of opportunity has slammed shut and the team is likely going to be dismantled. And his two aces are probably never going to be the same.
Posted by: Game555 | December 06, 2007 at 11:25 PM
Yes, and a bunt is an out. Outs are bad. There is a higher chance of scoring if you don't lay down a bunt and it's been statistically proven.
uww1, I was referring to your lack of knowledge on statistics and just not knowing much about baseball in general. There are more stats than Average/Homerun/RBI's...much better ones to evaluate baseball players.
Posted by: Teetz | December 06, 2007 at 11:26 PM
I agree, cardinals fans like pooh-jols, however, there is not certainty to how Fukadome will translate to the mlb
Posted by: mikeks | December 06, 2007 at 11:26 PM
I agree with you Aduncaroo We need him bad. He is exactly what we are looking for and we have had an eye on him for a long time.
Posted by: uww1 | December 06, 2007 at 11:27 PM
I agree with Aduncaroo. I would say best case scenario Fukudome is Hideki Matsui but better defense, something along the lines of 300/380/480, and worst case it'd be something like 260/340/410, which yeah would suck at something like $13M/yr but I think he'll be better than that
Posted by: scribbletones | December 06, 2007 at 11:27 PM
Because at the plate Swisher and Soriano are almost identical as far as K's/Power/Average, except Swisher walks like 60 more times a year, so I don't see how you can be down on Swisher. Oh and Soriano isn't a particularly good defender himself, but he makes up for some of it with his great arm.
Posted by: Game555 | December 06, 2007 at 11:28 PM
slow night huh?
Posted by: nrmax88 | December 06, 2007 at 11:29 PM
I have refered to all the major statistics, including the stat called Defense. All you have said is OPS...There is more to that. Why are you for getting a 27 year old player who has never been more then just an average player? He could turn out to be a better player, but why give up Pie? thats dumb.
Posted by: uww1 | December 06, 2007 at 11:30 PM
I hear Fukudome is fairly comparable to Matsui, only better defensively and figures to post a better AVG & OBP, and minus some of Matsui's power.
Posted by: Game555 | December 06, 2007 at 11:30 PM
Soriano has far superior power to Swisher, and is way faster which leads to more extra base hits. But yes Swisher has him big time on OBP. Still Soriano is a far more valuable player
Posted by: scribbletones | December 06, 2007 at 11:30 PM
Swisher's OPS+: 127
Average Baseball player OPS+: 100
Posted by: Teetz | December 06, 2007 at 11:32 PM
uww1,
Swisher isn't an average player. Average players don't hit 30 homers and provide a .380 OBP. And I haven't seen OPS referenced as much as you claim. And defense isn't a statistic. Zone Rating is a statistic.
Posted by: scribbletones | December 06, 2007 at 11:33 PM
Get off swisher man
Posted by: uww1 | December 06, 2007 at 11:34 PM
Teetz- That is exactly my problem with your idea that we should trade the farm to aquire ageing stars that look good on paper but don't translate to our system. Theriot has certain intangables that don't show up through stats. Sure there is room to improve, however, there are far more pressing needs
Posted by: mikeks | December 06, 2007 at 11:34 PM
Swishers Range Factor (RF) - 2.37
Swisher Range Factor (CF) - 2.62
Soriano's Range Factor (LF) - 2.23
Soriano's Range Factor (CF) - 2.60
Posted by: Game555 | December 06, 2007 at 11:35 PM
get off being a tool
Posted by: scribbletones | December 06, 2007 at 11:36 PM
"Swisher is only average and he has hit .260 once and mostly been around .250. He is a horrible outfielder, which was the reason he was moved first base. His power is average (not great). I would trade Cedeno and pagan for him. Not much more..."
What a silly little man you are.
Posted by: nrmax88 | December 06, 2007 at 11:37 PM
"That is exactly my problem with your idea that we should trade the farm to aquire ageing stars that look good on paper but don't translate to our system."
Who's the aging star I wanted to trade the farm for? Cubs don't have much of a farm to trade anyhow. Also, what exactly is 'our' system? Every baseball team's system is the same...score more runs than your opponent. Ryan Theriot is below average on both sides of the ball. And yes, intangibles like hustle and grindiness do show up in the statistics. I'm waiting to hear how Ryan Theriot is a pretty decent SS for the Cubs without someone avoiding statistics.
Posted by: Teetz | December 06, 2007 at 11:39 PM
The only player that I would say we really have to have is Fukudome. Any other player that we have said will help. But we have Pie and murton also in the outfield and maybe you disagree but they are not going to hurt us.
Posted by: uww1 | December 06, 2007 at 11:39 PM
Teetz,
The best argument for Theriot is that he ran out of gas. He is planning on conditioning more. So...someone trying to defend him would say to look at his stats before the last part of August and September, and now having played a full season, they should resemble that more. I'm not saying I fully believe that...but thats what someone saying he is a good player would say.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | December 06, 2007 at 11:45 PM
hey Tim, think it's possible to get a Rule5 draft summary? please?
Posted by: maximumpotential | December 06, 2007 at 11:46 PM
A few simple evaluations of a baseball player and Ryan Theriot's standing in each:
Not making outs/Getting on base: Bad - Below League Average
Hitting for power: Very minimal - below league average
Moving runners over: His manager knows how dumb it is to bunt - Inconclusive since he only laid down 8 last year...8.
Works the count: Very very bad. Saw the least amount of pitches per plate appearance of any regular on the team.
Fielding: Doesn't get to as many balls as an average SS would get to.
Hustle/Grindy Factor: Very very good. Makes a .250 hitter into a .266 hitter.
Ryan Theriot makes a fine backup....a backup.
Posted by: Teetz | December 06, 2007 at 11:47 PM
Teetz,
Just looked it up...and theriot's completely erratic at the plate. One month his is really good, the next he has trouble climbing over the Mendoza line...he is a very good guy to have as a Utility man...but I just don't think he is a starter for a good team.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | December 06, 2007 at 11:49 PM
Teets- While you have said Theriot is no more than a back-up, i don't see any solutions within the Cubs organanizations or for that matter through free agency in our immediate future. Not every position can be occupied by an all-star and at this time Theriot is the best option
Posted by: mikeks | December 06, 2007 at 11:53 PM
That, his minor league numbers, and the fact he will be 28 coming into this season tells you there's not much room for improvement. Fortunately, he does crush lefties and can play several different positions in a utility role.
Posted by: Teetz | December 06, 2007 at 11:54 PM
SKY_TAY : Just to let ya know "sport" the Royals have a new GM as of last year just to let you know so maybe you can pull your head outta your ass and realize the Royals are who they once were.. a farm team for other teams.. now they are rebuilding and should contend 1-3 yrs from now if not this year.. ill tell you one thing the royals will finish before the twins and whitesox in the AL central thats for damn sure.. the rotation is far to good and the young hitters, ( INCLUDING TEA E N) just have another year under there built and should tear it up next year.. but I am flattered you want Teahen..
Posted by: | December 06, 2007 at 11:54 PM
Why are we talking about the Royals on this blog? hehehe dont you have other blogs to look at and post?
Posted by: uww1 | December 06, 2007 at 11:57 PM
mikeks, I'm just saying he's bad. Just because he's the best option we have, doesn't mean we have to overvalue him. SS is a glaring weakness and hopefully Derosa can play there more times than not. Fortunately, the Cubs aren't in the AL and can afford a weakness at a spot here and there.
Posted by: Teetz | December 06, 2007 at 11:57 PM
Yes, Fortunately we are no more than the AL's farm team
Posted by: mikeks | December 06, 2007 at 11:59 PM
lol
Posted by: uww1 | December 07, 2007 at 12:00 AM
The Royals aren't going to contend if they keep giving guys like Jose Guillen and Gil Meche the contracts they're giving them.
In a perfect world Fukudome signs with us, Ronnie finally lives up to some of his potential and wins the SS job and Pie makes strides with his game at the plate. And if we've still got Murton we could platoon them due to Fukudomes ability to play center.
A guy like Roberts or Swisher would be great in some ways but I don't view a big trade like that as a necessity, and if it becomes one it's not like you can't do mid-season deals.
Posted by: Game555 | December 07, 2007 at 12:01 AM
Could the Cubs go after Tejada instead of Roberts? That would fix a few things. Would we have to give up more for Tejada then Roberts? How much more?
Posted by: uww1 | December 07, 2007 at 12:02 AM
The Gil Meche signing was a fantastic one for the Royals.
Posted by: Teetz | December 07, 2007 at 12:02 AM
I would imagine Tejada would come far cheeper that Roberts as his number have slipped, however, i think roberts has a far better upside
Posted by: mikeks | December 07, 2007 at 12:04 AM
Gil Meche worked out well last year, but I'd be surprised if it was looked upon in the future as a good one. Especially on a team with limited payroll.
Posted by: Game555 | December 07, 2007 at 12:04 AM
yes I agree with you mike but we have a 2B and a backup at SS.
Posted by: uww1 | December 07, 2007 at 12:05 AM
Agreed, however, at this point i think Tejada will demand far more than he's worth. In fact, i would rather explore the possibility of Cedeno
Posted by: mikeks | December 07, 2007 at 12:08 AM
What about a trade for roberts and tejada?
Posted by: uww1 | December 07, 2007 at 12:08 AM
No thanks on Tejada/Roberts. If we're going to empty that much of our farm for 2 players I'd much rather it be Roberts & Bedard.
The Cubs lead the majors in K's every year, if they add Bedard to that...man, thats not even fair.
Posted by: Game555 | December 07, 2007 at 12:10 AM
ya I agree I was just kind of talking out loud. We need Fukudome.
Posted by: uww1 | December 07, 2007 at 12:13 AM
Cubs can't compete with the other offers out there on Bedard. I don't even think Hill/Pie/Marmol would match something the Dodgers would offer.
Posted by: Teetz | December 07, 2007 at 12:14 AM
Bedard would be an awesome addition. They are asking way too much though.
Posted by: uww1 | December 07, 2007 at 12:17 AM
Have we made an offer to fukudome?
Posted by: uww1 | December 07, 2007 at 12:24 AM
An official offer?
Posted by: uww1 | December 07, 2007 at 12:26 AM
I'm sure they have..
Posted by: Game555 | December 07, 2007 at 12:34 AM
And you're comparing Matsui to Fukodome on what basis? That they're both Japanese? At least I've tossed out numbers to compare, and so far he compares far more closely to a Iwamura or (at best) Iguchi. And that's a $12-$15M investment?
The only thing we both agree on is this: we BOTH want him on the Cubs.
And I'm hardly upset that the Cardinals window closed; we enjoyed an extended run including two WS appearances and one win.
Posted by: Devlsh | December 07, 2007 at 12:38 AM
You cant really compare two guys from two different leagues. We WANT him, We NEED him. And we are going to have to make a trade or two if we dont get him.
Posted by: uww1 | December 07, 2007 at 12:43 AM
Cubs rumored to have offered Fukudome 3yr/45M: http://www.sanspo.com/mlb/top/mt200712/mt2007120607.html
Posted by: TrueCubsFan | December 07, 2007 at 12:47 AM
That website just shows up as a bunch of weird stuff on my browser, so I'll just take your word for it.
Posted by: Game555 | December 07, 2007 at 12:53 AM
Some stats for you guys who don't know where to get them:
Hideki Matsui in Japan:
http://japanesebaseball.com/players/player.jsp?PlayerID=163
Ichiro Suzuki in Japan:
http://www.japanesebaseball.com/players/player.jsp?PlayerID=28
Kosuke Fukudome in Japan:
http://japanesebaseball.com/players/player.jsp?PlayerID=1064
Now you can know instead of guessing.
One thing that makes me mad is for the past three days, the papers have been saying "Fukudome will decide tomorrow!" He hasn't even decided if he's coming to America. I mean, there's a 99.9% (if not 100%) chance he is coming, but you think they could at least report that by now.
Posted by: TrueCubsFan | December 07, 2007 at 12:56 AM
i was just thinking I read somewhere that Fukudome narrowed his search to the cubs and royals? any truth?
Posted by: uww1 | December 07, 2007 at 12:57 AM
Two guys from two different leagues? They both played in Japan and their production can indeed be compared along with how that production translated to the bigs.
There's nothing, repeat, nothing in Fukodome's stats that show why he deserves $15M per year in the major leagues.
Posted by: Devlsh | December 07, 2007 at 12:59 AM
honestly the cubs got fucking destroyed in the playoffs do all of you cubs fans TRULY believe Fukodome is the answer to the world series.. he hasnt even hit in the big leagues yet..
Posted by: Focs | December 07, 2007 at 01:08 AM
Devish, you are right. However, the Cubs lineup is set:
C Soto
1B Lee
2B DeRosa
SS Theriot
3B Ramirez
LF Soriano
CF Pie
except for that RF. The perfect RF would bat L, have a high OBP, have good defense, and could take over CF when the Cubs play lefties because Pie is struggling big time against them. No other play on the market can do that except for Kosuke Fukudome. Just like a puzzle that is missing a part of two is marked down 50%, you will happily overpay to buy that last piece individually.
All the money is going to Fukudome, but we are paying for the puzzle.
Posted by: TrueCubsFan | December 07, 2007 at 01:10 AM
Yes they played in two different leagues last year. Am I wrong? Why are you on this blog if you are not a Cubs Fan...They did get destroyed and we are upgrading. We have the money and we are going to win the bidding war with Fukudome. And I am guessing we will make one other big trade or so to upgrade. Yes that will be the answer to the puzzle. Its all going to come together next year.
Posted by: uww1 | December 07, 2007 at 01:18 AM
I think I was talking to 2 different people on that last post
Posted by: uww1 | December 07, 2007 at 01:19 AM
UWW1, you said derosa doesnt take a lot of pitches? I do believe on average........... Only murton saw more pitches per AB than derosa.
Posted by: ptk420biatch | December 07, 2007 at 05:18 AM
I was wrong...I thought I said that I was wrong before...sorry man if I didnt. I am a big fan of DeRosa
Posted by: uww1 | December 07, 2007 at 06:51 AM
I think Kenny Williams should pick up Jose Castillo, he was released by the Pirates, and may give the Sox some infield depth.
Posted by: | December 07, 2007 at 08:59 AM
I read above that some fans are thinking that picking up Tejada would be good. Not a bad idea if he isn't on the Mitchell report.
Posted by: cubsbaseball | December 07, 2007 at 09:03 AM
I think picking up Tejada would be a better idea if he WAS on the report. He would come much cheaper.
By the way, for whoever talked about the Cubs getting "destroyed" in the playoffs...you are retarded. So did the Phillies. The Cubs pitching let them down, mainly Lilly and Hill. That wasn't how they pitched all year...they just blew it. But 9 times out of 10, they don't get swept in that series. Its a 3 game series!!! If you are dumb enough to judge teams based on 3 games, I'm surprised you figure out how to spell words.
Posted by: | December 07, 2007 at 09:14 AM
"for whoever talked about the Cubs getting "destroyed" in the playoffs...you are retarded."
As a diehard Cub fan I was embarrassed by the Cubs performance in the playoffs. They may not have been "destroyed", but they showed the world what kind of team they were. A team that doesn't take pitches and still can't find a way to get on base. They can't move runners over and they can't drive runners in with less than two outs. And to top it off out pitching staff fell apart at the worst time.
If we could get Roberts, Teahen, and Fukodome I think that would drastically change the outlook of our team. But Hendry MUST do something to improve the offense because it sucks!
Posted by: | December 07, 2007 at 09:50 AM
We all need to realize that unless you go into the playoffs with a dominant pitching staff...its a crap shoot. We all knew it would be...and the Cubs were on the wrong end of it. But go easy on crucifying them for 3 games...it happens. We were all embarrassed, so were the players, believe me. I'm sure the Phillies felt the same way. But its 3 games...thats just going to happen sometimes.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | December 07, 2007 at 10:06 AM
Fukodome in my humble opinion is not much more than a very expensive Jacque Jones. I have only seen highlights of Fukodome play but I really don't see much difference. Their numbers aren't that different and one played in Japan. So I cant see signing him unless they want to get in to the marketing aspect of the Japan market. That's it.
Posted by: Bleacher_Buddha | December 07, 2007 at 10:09 AM
How are their numbers not very different?
They're both LH and hit for decent, not great power, Fukudome DESTROYS JJ in patience(AVG/OBP differential) and has a cannon of an arm
Don't rely on the highlights you view to determine the rate of a player, if that were the case Ryan Theriot and Derek Jeter would be similar
Posted by: jamesb | December 07, 2007 at 10:25 AM
He and Jones numbers are very different. By the way, Jones had what, like 3 home runs last year? He will hit at least 15 and play great defense, and doesn't throw worm burners...at least from what I've seen. He also hits for a much better average and gets on base at a MUCH better rate than Jones ever has...ever. They are very different.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | December 07, 2007 at 10:30 AM
Based on comparing Ichiro, Matusi, and Fukudome's stats while in Japan, I beleive it is safe to say that Fukodome will at best be comparable to them (all-star caliber) and at least a solid player who fits the EXACT NEEDS of the Cubs - good D, OBP. 'nuff said
Posted by: ben79 | December 07, 2007 at 10:52 AM
agreed Ben.
Posted by: Aduncaroo | December 07, 2007 at 10:57 AM
ben79, for a guy who hasnt seen a SINGLE pitch in MLB, u r already predicting that he will be an allstar!
wasn't dice k suppose to be an allstar too?
he has a lot of great intangibles, but if u watch video of this guy, his pitch recognition is TERRIBLE. if he wasn't such a great contact hitter he would strike out 150 times a year here.
Posted by: UCSDPadsFan | December 07, 2007 at 11:31 AM
"if he wasn't such a great contact hitter he would strike out 150 times a year here."
That comment alone makes your post worth nothing. Thats like saying..."if the guy didn't swing so hard he wouldn't hit so many home runs." Thanks for that amazing piece of information.
By the way, Ben said at BEST he is an all star, and worst he still fills a bunch of needs. That was a bad post buddy...
Posted by: Aduncaroo | December 07, 2007 at 12:13 PM
I am not trying to argue here, but is Fukodome worth $10 Million a year more than Jones. I realize Jones did start.... well.. very very poorly at the plate but he did rebound to lead the team in hitting after the all-star break at .332., once he regained an everyday job in center field. Now I realize his power number dropped and he had only 5 hrs. But he wasn't that bad in the field. I guess I am just wondering if some of this is just to get in to the Japanese market.
I mean we traded him for Omar Infante, then traded Omar and Will Ohman for a 22 year old AA guy, who I understand has back problems. Was Jones that bad?
Posted by: | December 07, 2007 at 01:12 PM
hey aduncaroo, he swings at many pitches out of the zone and therefore gets outs. not everyone can be like vlad and hit bombs at pitches around the neck.
go ahead sign him, block all ur OF prospects, see how good his transition is. bring ur payroll up to the highest in the NL and still get squashed in the first round of the playoffs. and then watch low payroll teams like the rockies and dbacks dominate the NL with a third of the payroll since they dont block prospects. buddy.
Posted by: | December 07, 2007 at 01:18 PM
The only possible prospect that we MIGHT be blocking is Tyler Colvin, who might get shipped out anyway because of a trade for Roberts. If that was the case, and we signed Fukudome, we would have he and Roberts, both lefties and high OBP guys in the lineup along with what we already had. That team produces a totally different result in the playoffs...and Lilly and Hill wouldn't pitch that badly again.
Jones was a bad fielder in right...and his arm sucked. (not strength, but accuracy) So, Pie is better than Jones in center, and Fukudome, who could play center as well, is better than pretty much everybody in RF. That gives us one of the best defensive outfields in baseball. (sori is average, but his arm is amazing).
Stop judging the team on 3 games...I believe we were the best in the NL after the all star break, right? If not, right up there. Thats a bigger sample size and better way to view what this team can do next year now that everyone is comfortable with Lou and he knows what hes got.
Posted by: | December 07, 2007 at 01:32 PM
Well, now Fukudome has no choice, he has to play for a team in the states. From Japanball.com is a report from the Yumiuri Giants saying they have officially pulled out of the Fukudome "chase". They said they got word from the MLB's winter meetings, that the American clubs were offering more money than they could contend with. The report also claimed that it was between the Cubs and the Royals as to who would recieve his services. I just hope they don't know something medically that we do not. Japanball.com in the news link
Posted by: goathedxxx | December 09, 2007 at 08:33 AM