MLB Rumors - MLB Trade Rumors
Subscribe to MLB Trade Rumors using RSS
Home     Contact     About     Advertise     Archives     Widget     Fantasy      RSS Usage

« Baseball Blogs Weigh In: The Longoria Deal | Main | Kubel Wants Long Term Deal »

Frank Thomas Released

11:10am:  While I was writing the below, Frank Thomas was released.  That was fast.  I would expect the Jays to call up Adam Lind.  They've lost a big chunk of run production, so they should be looking for a new DH.  Barry Bonds?  As for Thomas, I think there will be a lot of interest.  My immediate thought is the Rays, which could come back to bite the Jays.  Better suggestions?

9:48am: More drama coming out of the Blue Jays clubhouse as Frank Thomas has been benched indefinitely, sparking rumors of his potential release.  Last night, the Big Hurt was keeping the bench warm in favor of Matt Stairs at DH.  Even when Shannon Stewart was scratched in left field, Joe Inglett was slotted into left instead of moving Stairs there and plugging the slumping Thomas into the lineup.  Reports Richard Griffin of the Toronto Sun, GM J.P. Ricciardi said this move (benching Thomas for Joe Inglett) was "just putting out what we think is our best lineup to score runs."  That speaks volumes.

This doesn't seem to be a motivational tactic by Manager John Gibbons akin to Ozzie Guillen's annual declaration that Bobby Jenks isn't guaranteed the closer role.  Instead Griffin reports that Thomas was told by Gibbons that this replacement was "indefinite, maybe forever."  In other words, the Jays might be considering releasing him and saving the $10MM owed to Thomas next season; or they could be weathering his displeasure and keeping his PAs to a minimum since the $10MM in 2009 is a vesting option that he earns by recording 1,000 PAs in '07-'08 (he only needs 304 this year).  No wonder Thomas is peeved.

Mike Rutsey of the Toronto Star reports,

If the Jays do decide to go without Thomas, to release him, they could bring up Adam Lind to play left field on an everyday basis -- he is better defensively than either Stairs or Stewart -- and have the veterans split the DH duties.  At Syracuse, Lind, a left-handed hitter, is hitting .360 with three homers and 13 RBIs.

Adds Richard Griffin,

If the Jays wish it, his Toronto career, in fact, could be over. A revised DH combo of Stairs and either Rod Barajas or Marco Scutaro could be easier to slot into the batting order than was the slumping one-man roadblock that is the Hurt.  After Scott Rolen returns from an injury rehab assignment in a couple of weeks, there will be nowhere logically for Thomas to hit.

Thomas started slowly through 60 AB last year too before putting together a .277-26-95 season.  PECOTA projects a drop in average, but another 25-90 campaign.  If healthy, I could see Thomas doing even better than those marks.  Still, if they bench or release him it's to save themselves from having to give $10MM to a 41 year old Thomas.  If they do release him, I would expect him to get signed elsewhere faster than you can say "Barry Bonds".  At which point, I would also expect a fuming Thomas to go on a Hulk-like rampage.

By Nat Boyle


TrackBack

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.typepad.com/services/trackback/6a00d834515b9a69e200e5520497bf8834

Listed below are links to weblogs that reference Frank Thomas Released:

Comments

According to TSN.ca, Thomas has now been released by the Jays. Can I be the first one to start the "Bonds to Toronto" Rumor?

I think Seattle may also be a possibility. They can't possibly be sold on Vidro can they?

This is a shocker in many ways. It must make other superstars (David Ortiz) feel unsafe. But Tampa already has 2 DHs in Hinske and Gomes, so maybe somewhere like KC or Oakland seems fitable

Oakland would be a great fit in that he played well and seemed happy there, but the presence of Jack Cust and Mike Sweeney would make for a massive DH logjam.

If he cant get a starting position somewhere, I see the Reds with serious interest, but that would mean Hatteberg would be traded. The Reds NEED a power righty off the bench, but again, if he can get a starting job im sure hell go fo9r that

I don't see much demand for Thomas unless he learns to play 1B again. Maybe the yanks can find a spot for him? Panic mode is going to start pretty soon for them.

David Ortiz is in his lower 30's and coming off 2 mvp-type seasons. He's not concerned.

I think the Mariners are the most logical fit for the Big Hurt, who probably has to stay in the AL. A team that hasnt been mentioned that might make sense is Texas.

Bring him back to Oakland, drop the heck out of Cust who is batting a powerful .138 with a thousand strikeouts and keep Sweeny as a back up 1b behind Barton. It makes sense and Thomas I think would welcome the return to Green and Gold!

I would both be supprised and unsupprised to see Thomas resign with the A's.

The A's offense is really struggling right now, and Jack Cust and Mike Sweeney are both not hitting. Cust will be kept, because even with his struggles, he is still younger, healthier, and can play the pretense of the outfield. And if he can get hot again, he will put still do well.

Sweeney is signed to next to nothing. But he hasn't done all too well. A decent .275/.356/.333 line. Thomas is doing much worse, but the A's are familiar with Thomas (he started out slowly with the A's as well) and Thomas liked his time in Oakland as well.

Also, the A's were the only other team with the Bluejays who bid on Thomas that is known of.

But again, the A's have a lot of 1B/DH guys (Cust, Sweeney, Barton) and if they signed Thomas, who potentially could be a huge boone to the offense, they would have to cut one of them. Barton is not going away, Cust is the only one who can play the Outfield, so it looks like Sweeney would have to be that man, as the only one who can't play the field.

And teams generally dislike abandoning commitments to players and releasing them, which is why this move strikes as so shocking.

This move could be actually very damaging to the BlueJays Free-Agent chances, to be honest. They already have had quite a few player blowups in recent times, and now the Front Office is putting out the image that it doesn't care about the player, the contract and the commitments just to save money. Even if this move does make sense baseball wise (Adam Lind can probably out produce Thomas right now), it won't be viewed by the players and the union as such.

It seems logical that the Jays will go for Bonds now that the Hurt is gone.JP also wanted to free 10 million from payroll next year so that's one of the reaons for that release.Then again signing Hurt to that contract wasn't that smart to begin with! The Jays have a chance to win this year and the Hurt hurt them in some way.Can anyone picture Barry in Toronto Blue?I can.....

Hey Nat. Grammar police here and we're going let you off with a warning this time: always put commas and periods INSIDE quotation marks.

Does the 'Sammy Sosa Retirement Watch' start now?

I would say that the Big Skirt signs before Barroid who signs before Slammin' Sammy Soso.

CletusSpuckler - Although that rule is not always applicable (i.e. if the quote isn't a complete sentence, or at the end of the sentence), you're right in the above cases. In fact, the one time I should've put the period outside of the quotes, I put it in them: "Barry Bonds." Thanks for the warning.

Toronto fans got a belly full of the Frank Thomas routine last season - he didn't start hitting until the Jays were buried in the standings. $10M is an insane amount to pay to a middle of the batting order guy who isn't producing. Toronto should be a better ball club with someone like Adam Lind or Matt Stairs at DH

Manny Delcarmen wishes they released him sooner.

I think that the Mariners pretty much have to jump on this one. He's got the power potential of Bonds, and is a complete opposite in terms of PEDs (Bonds is a user, Thomas is the only active MLB player who spoke to Sen. Mitchell). Jose Vidro is not an adequate DH, especially for a team with a legitimate shot at winning the division. Their lineup has some good hitters (Ichiro, Ibanez, Beltre, Johjima) and some other guys who can contribute from time to time (Betancourt, Lopez, Sexson, Vidro) and then one guy who is terrible in Wilkerson. But right now this team needs another middle of the order option, and Thomas is that. Bavasi has made all these win-now moves, and adding Thomas would be the icing on the cake. I'd feel far better about the M's if they added the Big Hurt.

Nat:

If the Jays had put Stairs in left, wouldn't the pitcher have to bat in the DH slot? I'm not sure my understanding of this rule is correct, but maybe that would help explain this not as a snub per se.

I'm wondering if a contender with a pretty decent defensive bench wouldn't have room for Frank - maybe Cleveland or Detroit? I really like the Cincinnati idea from gmblgpitchr20. Makes a lot of sense.

Nat:

If the Jays had put Stairs in left, wouldn't the pitcher have to bat in the DH slot? I'm not sure my understanding of this rule is correct, but maybe that would help explain this not as a snub per se.

I'm wondering if a contender with a pretty decent defensive bench wouldn't have room for Frank - maybe Cleveland or Detroit? I really like the Cincinnati idea from gmblgpitchr20. Makes a lot of sense.

Anyone else think this is JP's last season in Toronto as well?

scopi14 - We're talking pre-game lineups, so it'd be simply Stairs in LF, Thomas (or Inglett) at DH. Midgame is a different story, and sounds like you would have it right.

Cinci does need more right handed hitting, but I don't think Thomas is going to seek a limited role and I don't think it'd be the best move to put him in the field at this point. Just my two cents. Should be really interesting.

If there is a quick signing of Thomas - who had a similar year to Bonds last year - it seems like even more evidence that Baseball is colluding to lock Bonds out of the league. Wouldn't it be something if Bonds sues, wins a pile of money all because he was the one who leveraged PED's better than everyone else in the Selig "Don't Ask, Don't Tell, just keep hitting home runs" era.

This puts the Jays in 1st place for "who will sign Bonds".

And I think they should.

Thomas to Atlanta? I could imagine possibly Bobby Cox would want a better bat off the bench then Gregor Blanco. Who knows anything can happen?

Wow ... it's a little early to cut Thomas.

Couple points:

1. If Thomas does hit his AB's this year with another team will Toronto still be liable for his 2009 option season?

2. I don't think Thomas signs that quickly. He was bad at 1st base years ago. Can't imagine what it would be like for him to man it now. Once you look at the AL there are limited teams that are in a win now mode that need a DH. He would make for a great off the bench bat but clearly he is not willing to take on that role. He wants to play everyday.

Nat: Actually, you're wrong. Unless, you're writing in British English, commas and periods ALWAYS go inside the quotation marks.

Have a look at this link:
http://www.grammarbook.com/punctuation/quotes.asp

And just for good measure, I'll paste Rule #1 here:

Rule 1. Periods and commas always go inside quotation marks, even inside single quotes.
Examples: The sign changed from "Walk," to "Don't Walk," to "Walk" again within 30 seconds.
She said, "Hurry up."
She said, "He said, 'Hurry up.'"

cletus,

im not sure of nat's background, but you aren't correct and it is somewhat obnoxious for you to tell somebody they are wrong for not apparent reason. nobody likes the grammar police.

when i was in law school, i was conditioned to put punctuation outside of quotations in many cases, including when the quote was not a full sentence.

i have been writing this way as an attorney for a couple years, i've never seen anybody put punctuation inside quotes in those cases, including Supreme Court briefs. functional (or at least legal) english may have evolved beyond your grammar book.

Sorry GetSome, but I have to agree with Cletus here. I just looked it up in the AP style guide and the Chicago Manual of Style--the only two reference guidelines the press and book publishers use--and they both state very clearly: commas and periods ALWAYS go inside the quotation marks. Even if it's one word you're putting between quotes.Perhaps writing legal documents is different. From what I can tell, however, this website isn't one of those.

See Chicago Manual of Style, section 5.11-13 and The Associated Press Stylebook and Libel Manual, pp. 270-271.

themsfightnwords,

I totally agree about the Mariners being the most logical choice, but not because I'm a Mariners fan. I realize he has a ridiculously great walk to strikeout ratio and he still hits for power, but I don't think he makes the M's noticeably better.

For one the most glaring benefit for Seattle would be that they could shuffle Vidro to the bench long enough to make it impossible for his deal to vest next year and even if they picked up Thomas' contract and 304 plate appearance issue, the fact of the matter is that Thomas only starting against lefties from here out should be enough to make both vesting options fail to take place, so there's zero risk unless Seattle really screws the pooch on this one.

Other benefits include incentive for Richie to swing a hot bat and it also cuts playing time for Wilkerson if he's not in RF. You'll have Thomas sitting on the bench and his presence alone will keep players sharp. I think it would be a good move financially.

The biggest thing about the Vidro contract is that they can't just sit him on the bench and say hey you're on course for 20 HRs and 110 RBIs so far, but you low average bothers us a little even though you have a very tidy OBP.

The fact that we have to pay you around 10MM next year is looming pretty large, but it has absolutely nothing to do with this! So hey tell you what, go catch some pine and we'll call you in July after the All-Star break! I just think they need a proven star to cut into Vidro's time without him raising a stink like Thomas did. IMO though, I'd be thrilled to have Thomas renewed at 10MM instead of Vidro, but I just have a disdain for the guy that I can't even explain, so Vidro is on my sh*t list even when he goes 3 for 4 with 2 homeruns!

By the way bjsguess, the vesting in his contract is only upheld if he is claimed and does not become a free agent first. Whomever claims him would be responsible for the vested option if he meets the said terms of the deal.

It really depending on whether the verbage states that he can or cannot claim his Toronto at bats in addition to the rest of his 2008 at bats with his new team. My guess is that whomever signs him will make damn sure he's a free agent before they get him for the minimum unless they are really desperate, *cough* *San Fran* *cough*, and then that team is as-they-say "up sh*t creek without a paddle," come August unless he gets injured.

So in 10 days, anyone can get Frank Thomas for the minimum and Toronto is still has to pay his full salary for 2008?

wilford,

i dont disagree, i just think it is petty (and pathetic) to call somebody out for having bad grammar when the style employed is widely accepted amongst some of the world's top scholars.

for the type of law i do, i ended up getting an MBA as well. i sit in on a ton of business proposals and transactions and the quotation/comma arrangement in those scenarios is almost universally with commas outside of mid-sentence quotes.

i do love cletus' use of "we" in confronting Nat. he creates the impression that he has an army of up-tight readers united with him in his quest to cure this site of grammatical inconsistencies.


this is stupid and i apologize for replying, but(not directed towards you wilford) the last time i checked this wasn't an editing competency/grammar nit-picking site either.

Actually, the world's top scholars use the Chicago Manual of Style (the accepted reference guide for academia). Again, law might be different, but as was pointed out earlier, Chicago Manual of Style says that commas and periods go inside quotes.

Regardless, let's say putting a period or comma outside a quote is "accepted" in some circles in the United States, but it doesn't make it correct--just as saying "I haven't drank much" or "I ain't" are acceptable phrases (even though they're grammatically incorrect). No this isn't a grammar nitpicky site, but if Nat wants a future in journalism or writing, he should learn the rules. If I were an editor and he were applying for a job at my publication and he made these mistakes, he'd quickly have one strike against him. Cletus, for all is annoying know-it-allness, was simply pointing the correct grammar usage.

Oh yeah, check your blood sugar and check it often. Especially if you've got "the beetis."

"Cletus, for all is annoying know-it-allness, was simply pointing the correct grammar usage."

...There is too much nit-picking over nothing that becomes long drawn-out pointless conversations thousands of miles away from the actual conversation as is. Correct or not, is it worth mentioning? I think thats kind of the point... If he was worried about Nate and his career, why didnt he email Nate? Posting it here does what though?


And as far as the topic itself ~ wow... Didnt expect this one to progress like this. I dont know if I really see the Jays thinking though, he is struggling but its not like he doesnt have a track-record here ~ and they seemed to have handled it in a rather questionable way. I mean, they don’t seem to worried about playing Overbay ever single day even though he cant break wind at the plate, yet Thomas struggles and they have to create mass chaos? Was Thomas really the problem? And when the Hurt turns his year around ~ possibly for a team like the Yanks; but Overbay stays Overbay-ish… well…

I'd think it would be one of these 3 teams:

Rays - Hinske and Gomes don't really strike much fear in the hearts of pitchers. Also they can platoon in RF if they want.

Mariners - Vidro should work on his defense. Let him be a bench/utility guy. Let him play 1B, 2B and some OF. Thomas can still be productive. Even in that ballpark.

Angels - Anderson and Matthews both have OB% under .300. Let them split time in LF.

As many people above have said, I think it's very likely for the Big Hurt to sign back with oakland. I base that not on being an A's fan and how I enjoyed watching him have a great season for us, but he liked it in Oakland, as a matter of fact he said he loved in oakland, and Billy Beane is smart and he sees Jack Cust's 1-25 streak as a sign for needed improvement, Mike Sweeney is hitting like .270 but has yet to hit a home run. Plus the A's lack a true cleanup hitter. So Thomas could be seen in the Green and Gold very soon.

Wow, I came here to read about Thomas and get a bunch of other crap too. First though, it's a shame Thomas was cut like this and this early in the season. Frank Thomas will never play first base again, period. His foot can't handle it and he won't be able to stay healthy. That's the whole reason he's a full time DH. Someone will pick him up soon. About Bonds, collusion my ass. Teams just don't want his baggage dragging them down once his legal issues resurface yet again.

As for the grammar crap, shut the F up. The only thing that matters here is that people type well enough to be understood. Who cares about whether the quotes have periods in them or not? This is not a site about grammar, it's about baseball. It's so annoying when you holier than thou people go around telling other people how to use proper grammar on the stupidest little things that don't really matter. Just shut up. Go become an English teacher if it turns you on that much, but it doesn't belong here and certainly doesn't merit taking up half of this thread with such content. Get a hold of your life, will ya?

"Angels - Anderson and Matthews both have OB% under .300. Let them split time in LF."

I seriously doubt that the Angels go after another DH guy. They already have Guerrero, Hunter, Anderson and Matthews rotation through the four spots. On top of that they have Juan Rivera, who deserves 500 at bats somewhere, and Reggie Willits in AAA.

I just don't quite see why the Angels would add Thomas. If they wanted to get more offense, then put Rivera at DH or in left. If the Angels make any additions I'd expect them to be pitching moves.

What about the obvious option of Thomas signing with the Yankees to DH? He's making his money from Toronto and has a legit chance at winning again.

Plus, the Yankees could use the bat. Let's face it, as presently constituted that team can't win it all.

Dearest Sesshomaru: why be such a hayta? There's no need to get all profanity-laden on me, hoss. From one writer to another (i.e. to Nat), I thought I'd give tell him a grammar tip. If I could have found his email address, I would have emailed him directly. So what if your oh-so-precious baseball website is occasionally littered with non-baseball info. It's not a trajedy that you have to read something that might actually teach you a thing or two that's not related to sports. Or it it?

I don't think a quick Thomas claim or signing would be at all indicative of any anti-Bonds collusion. With Thomas you get potentially similar production for less money, less headache, less media circus, less clubhouse disruption and less character problem.

"Dearest Sesshomaru: why be such a hayta? There's no need to get all profanity-laden on me, hoss. From one writer to another (i.e. to Nat), I thought I'd give tell him a grammar tip. If I could have found his email address, I would have emailed him directly. So what if your oh-so-precious baseball website is occasionally littered with non-baseball info. It's not a trajedy that you have to read something that might actually teach you a thing or two that's not related to sports. Or it it?"

While I'm pretty sure the beginning of your post was sarcastic and intended as humor, let me clean up the end bit there for you - "trajegy" becomes "tragedy" and "Or it it" becomes "Or is it." Wasn't that edifying and also completely useless and obnoxious?

The Angels DO NOT need another guy that can only play DH. Here's my quick list of ML ready players who need to split time between 1B, OF, and DH:

Kotchman
Morales
Guerrero
Hunter
GMJ
Anderson
Rivera
Willits

That's EIGHT major league ballplayers who need to fight over 5 positions. I would also argue that all 8 are potentially better than Thomas. Plus all 8 can play the field and are NOT relegated to a DH only role.

Yes, I appreciate you correcting my typos! I figured, since I'm being pegged as the high-holy grammarian for simply telling Nat that his periods and commas go inside his quotes, someone would eventually point out that I've made a couple typos. There's a difference between a typo and a grammatical error, however, but I won't go into the difference here, figuring I've terrorized your apparently baseball rumor mill-deprived minds long enough.

I don’t see Beane dumping M.Sweeney if Thomas returns to the A’s because Sweeney is one of those grinders with great OBP on whom Beane sort of models himself. Sweeney is the type of player Beane would have aspired to be had his career gone anywhere with the Mets. Plus with Dan Johnson’s departure and D.Barton’s proven fragility, there is every reason to believe Beane would keep Sweeney around as 1B insurance.

Thomas also got on well with A’s 3B coach R.Washington. With that kind of “good mojo,” the Big Hurt could be on the Ranger radar screen. (Did you notice I enclosed my comma within the quotation marks here!)

Darkstar1661 and Sesshomaru’s criticisms of the presence of a niggling, non-baseball-related discussion (grammar) in this thread are well taken, because the focus here should target baseball stuff exclusively (even if Sesshomaru needs to tone down his rhetoric a little, given that his ire prompted him to reply to and thus perpetuate the non-baseball-related topic he so despises. Does anyone see the irony here?). Nevertheless, instead of stirring up trouble with curse words and contempt, I will put this tangential topic to bed right here and now.

Nat - We appreciate the content of your writings and will allow you the occasional typo in exchange for continuing to write quality material. Keep up the good work!

GetSome – WilfordBrimley is spot on. Harvard’s Bluebook, the Chicago Manual of Style (Rule 5.11, etc.), the MLA Handbook, other standard works and every U.S. Supreme Court brief (and published opinion) I’ve ever read places punctuation marks within quotation marks. However, there is one big exception. For instance, “examine this sentence closely, bringing all your mental powers to bear,” and you will see that there is at least one comma that resides OUTSIDE the quotation marks (the one after the word however). Leading commas like these ones separate the quoted material from what precedes it, and should never be placed within the quotations, unless of course what precedes it is itself a quotation, as in “Sesshomaru spat, ‘I hate grammar Nazis!’”

Cletus – You win. It's time to plow new soil.

Status of Tangential Topic: Dead.

Thank the Lords of Kobol.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kobol

editorial correction:

Replace "however" with "instance" in "...(the one after the word however)."

Status of Tangential Topic: Still Dead.

Thank the Lords of Kobol
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lords_of_Kobol

Not to perpetuate a non-baseball-related thread or anything, but buried down here in the 47th post of this topic, I figure it's worth entertaining someone with a little wackiness.

MLB players and owners in 2008 can’t Thank the Lords of Kobol enough:

1) Aphrodite - Connected with childbirth (John Rauch’s pitching woes, A-Rod takes a day off!).
2) Apollo - The Arrow of Apollo artifact will point the way to Earth (Could the Arrow of Bonds artifact point the way to a Championship?)
3) Ares - God of war (Padres army fatigue camos and F-14 flyovers).
4) Artemis - Starbuck offers prayers to Artemis (Safeco serves Starbucks, right?)
5) Athena - The Tomb of Athena on Kobol, reputedly where Athena is entombed, contains a starmap to Earth (Rockie hurler Jeff Francis is an astronomy and physics major: maybe he can decipher the starmap?).
6) Aurora - Aurora is the Goddess of the dawn; brings the morning star and a fair wind (morning games at Wrigley: gotta love that breeze).
7) Hera - both wife and sister of Zeus (MLB is known to promote from within as a "family business.").
8) Zeus - husband and brother to Hera (refer to line 7 above).
9) Poseidon - The Mariners!

Language is and has always been dynamic. MLA Style Handbook and Chicago Manual of Style are not written by some omniscient power. They're written by people trying to create a system to ease communication. A person isn't "wrong," simply because they differ from one of these systems. Further, whether a punctuation mark goes inside a quote or not in no way affects the interpretation of the sentence. Grow up and stop being a know-it-all.

wilford,

not to beat a dead horse (i will anyway), but i think most people would agree supreme court justices and other judges of higher courts around the english speaking world are "top scholars". didn't realize you were limiting the world's scholars to english buffs.

also, you stated something along the lines of, "if i was a prospective editor considering hiring nat..." well, fortunately, in this context, you aren't a prospective editor looking to hire nat, you are just a reader of this blog. you can sit back and relax, it's sunday! i'm sure nat has people he actually knows (say, a professor? boss?) who can give him tid bits of advice on grammar. i'm sure reading it 10 times here really locked it in for him.

GetSome. Perhaps you didn't read DoubleSteel's comment, which I'd thought ended this debate. I'll paste it here:

"GetSome – WilfordBrimley is spot on. Harvard’s Bluebook, the Chicago Manual of Style (Rule 5.11, etc.), the MLA Handbook, other standard works and every U.S. Supreme Court brief (and published opinion) I’ve ever read places punctuation marks within quotation marks."

One more thing, GetSome: don't forget to eat your Quaker Oats in the mornin'.


Fair enough, it's just annoying to see someone sit there and basically say "I'm better than you because I use the MLA Handbook or the Chicago Manual of Style and then go so far as to supply sources to prove he is right. People come here to talk baseball, not grammatically correct handbooks and manuals of style. Get over yourself already.

By the way, funny Lords of Kobol post and yes, I can see the irony. :p

According to the Toronto post game show host Mike Wellner, any team that signs Hurt is NOT liable to pay the vesting option. Also, no one can claim Hurt since he was not waived. He was given his unconditional release. He has complete control of where he signs...if someone is interested in a full time DH. He turned down being a part timer in Toronto. I doubt he is desperate enough to go part time somewhere else in the next couple of weeks..if ever. I hope he lights it up somewhere else. I am still stunned he was THE ONLY player to talk to Mitchell's investigators. His comeback season was special with the A's...so many clutch hits that year, culminating with the 2 HR's (against Santana I think) in the playoffs. I was amazed at the A's paying Piazza $8.5 mm last year...Toronto must have clinched the deal with Hurt by adding that vesting option because the A's definitely wanted Hurt instead of Mike P....no offense to another clean, great player.

Skip K - If that's the case Seattle would be NUTS not to sign him for the league pro-rated minimum!

That pushes Vidro to our bench as a switch hitting career 300 hitter to pinch hit & backup Lopez @ 2B...and Sexson @ 1B.

MEANING: Vidro's $9M 2009 option is history!

NO WAY Bavasi isn't talking to Thomas this very minute! We'd prefer a power LHB, but you don't have all the PR crap with Bonds. MLB.com is already reporting that Bavasi is seriuosly looking into adding the Big Hurt!

It's a "logical" way of removing Vidro's HUGE 2009 option, with a GREAT reason! AND if we are off the hook for the 2009 option of Thomas, that's a major no brainer for the M's.

There's only a "few" AL teams that could use him: Seattle and TB.

Cletus, gtfo plz?

Holier than thou attitude is more than acceptable here, but it really should be baseball knowledge related. Bsox21 is a good example.

I agree DR about those 2 teams..but I wonder about Oakland? The old lightning striking twice theory. They tried to sign him at the end of '06 and he liked it there plus the fans supported him a lot more than the super fickle fans in Toronto, of whom so many were against his signing in the first place and seem to have little tolerance for a very confident 'outsider'. I can say with the perspective of being a beeg Jays fan especially of their DH's. The "Beeg Man" Rico Carty, Cliff Johnson and Dave Winfield. Three things in Hurts' favor. One is that he was hot for 4-5 days and carried the Jays late in the first week this season which means 2 weeks later he hasn’t “lost it”. He was near the top of the league in walks which means he is seeing the ball well enough. Three, he of course is getting paid by the Jays and will cost any team only the veteran minimum to sign. If Hurt agrees to that, and I believe he would because he knows this is likely his last shot anywhere.

Sesshomaru,

Always nice to get some rational thoughts added to the conversation, so thank you for that! You're right this isn't supposed to be about knit-picking what other's say and it's a rather pathetic way to win an argument or debate.

Aaron,

The Yankees picking up Frank Thomas would be beyond stupid for the organization. As much as it is against my better judgment, I'm willing to give Cashman enough credibility to know better than to do that!

First, they have Posada who at 35 can no longer play catcher, he just can't! Maybe 80-100 games a year, but he's got to get his at bats somewhere and his numbers in 2007 were an aberation, if for no other fact than he could never duplicate them while playing a full season at catcher again.

Posada's stupid contract that he was signed to for '08-'10 is too much money to be wasted on the bench. He played way above his head in 2007 the same way Beltre did in 2004. The difference was that Beltre was 10 years younger when he had his career year and signed for 3MM less per season.

The point is that you can't hide Posada on the bench and he's getting to old for catcher, so that means DH or 1B, with Giambi that makes a pair to do the deed and Thomas would never agree to play for a team that already is full at his position.

Heck, he's going to be a free agent because he didn't want to ride the pine, so why on God's green earth would he go to New York?! It just amazes me how Yankee fans are never happy with what they have.

You have 15MM a year players hiding under beds, behind couches, and in the closet out there, yet you want one more superstar even though your payroll is 60MM more than anyone else's?! No amount of new stars will make you a contender if you aren't by now.

Oh and what about Melky in CF?! His relocating of Johnny Damon to LF forces them to also use Hideki Matsui/Bobby Abreu/Johnny Damon at DH to get all the bats in the lineup... It's just silly to bring it up and it really irritates me.

I don't care if the Yankees spend more than any other team, it's just the way they piss away careers and hoard players. I mean, to the point that you have superstars playing a backup roll and throwing off the economics of the game because Cashman gets more rope than any other idiot GM in the history of the league.

Oh and by the way, go to mlb.com and then to the Mariners page and you'll see Bavasi has already made comment that he plans to talk with his scouting department about Thomas! He said it will be a day or two before he talks with Thomas but that it's the main order of business for the front office!

Sounds like he's ready to offer Vidro up as a guinea pig for the sake of avoiding his (Vidro) 2009 vesting option! Plus if Vidro duplicates last season and hits .314, 6, 59, or anything close to that and then gets rewarded with a 9-10MM vested option for at bats, the fans will call for Bavasi's head and probably get it!

Thomas will probably be a league min. signing since he keeps all but that from his Toronto salary for this year. I mean if Thomas totally tanks than you sit him down, release him, whatever you want, it only cost you 390,000 dollars!

Its not that Vidro played that poorly last year, a .314 BA is at least solid, he wasn't embarrassing himself. But really this team needs a power boost, and there can be no doubt that Thomas could provide that. Sexson will never be a legit middle of the order bat again unless he can make more consistent contact, and a middle of the order with him, Beltre and Ibanez simply isn't enough to be a WS contender. Adding Thomas to that batting order would give them more patience and more power, and the fact is that this Mariners team is trying to win now. Let Thomas play out the year, then give Clement the DH job in 2009 if you resign Johjima.

Hey Frank Wren... here's your "impact bench bat." Go get 'em!

Well, really with me I don't get at all why the Jays would sign Barry Bonds. The jerk would have to switch from national to american, and as most know pitching is better in the american league flat out. Not only that, but Barry Bonds isn't a run producer like The Hurt. What did Barry drive in 67?

Angelsfan,

Bonds didn't have anyone getting on base in front of him in SF. In TOR, he'd have Rios, Wells, Rolen, and probably Lind now. Big difference.

Ok, what the heck is with the “Posada just can’t play catcher anymore” stuff? He has played more games at catcher the last three years than all but one other catcher in the game, has not had a single years since 1999 where he hasn’t played more than 130 games behind the plate and only one catcher had more games at the position last year. He has a slight shoulder problem which has kept him from behind the plate for just over a week, and he is expected to be the backstop again as soon as Tuesday ~ but now all of a sudden “he just can’t” be a catcher anymore? Huh?

And how in the world could anyone compare one of the best catchers in the history of the game being rewarded with a nice contract after 13 years of HOF-worthy performance for the only team he has ever suited up for to a one-year-wonder at a completely different position who produced numbers no where near the measly lines he normally produces getting rewarded with a mega contract from a completely different team? Huh? The only thing that Posada and Beltre have in common is 6 letters in their last names ~ otherwise you cant find two players with less in common.

I despise the Yankees and will be one of the first to say that Posada’s contract isnt that good at all. But I cant deny the fact that he is one of very few fulltime catchers in the game, produces at a top-5 rate (for his position) and has been one of the faces of that franchise for his entire HOF career. If someone deserves it, its probably him ~ and its not like that team cant afford to give a little extra change back to one of the most dynamic players they have had for the last century-plus. Besides, if Posada hits .260/.360/.460 in 120-130-ish Games behind the plate, he is worth every penny he made…

Also,
“The difference was that Beltre was 10 years younger when he had his career year and signed for 3MM less per season”

Posada ~ 4 year 52.4 Million = Avg of 13 Million a year
Beltre ~ 5 year 64 Million = Avg of 12.8 Million a year
…That’s a difference of only 200K ~ not 3 million…

And:
Posada ~ career .277/.380/.479/.859 line from the Catchers(!) spot
Beltre ~ career .272/.327/.461/.788 from a position which is generally supposed to be an “offensive threat” location
…If Beltre is “worth” 12.8 M, Posada is easily worth much, much, much more than 200K extra. Posada has provided only one sub-.800 OPS since 2000; Beltre has only hit that mark 3 times in his entire 10 year career. Catcher who gives you 550+ PA and an 850+ OPS, or a 3B who generally provides lines floating around the league average? Humm, tough choice there…

ReardenTech,
Well, you make a good point if you look back at his career, 49 hrs and 110 rbi doesn't make much sense. Kent,Lofton, and whoever else hit second made it extremely possible for rbis. But i could also see them stealing all his chances by hitting homers themselves. Still, i think The hurt is a better run producer. Isnt he younger too lol. Well, Neither can play their original postions either so it doesnt matter.

The Mets should consider going after Thomas because Carlos Delgado is completely inepty at this point in his career.

"The Mets should consider going after Thomas because Carlos Delgado is completely inepty at this point in his career."

At this point though Thomas is probably so inept in the field that its not even worth it for New York. Just wait til next year on the whole first base thing

"Well, really with me I don't get at all why the Jays would sign Barry Bonds. The jerk would have to switch from national to american, and as most know pitching is better in the american league flat out. Not only that, but Barry Bonds isn't a run producer like The Hurt. What did Barry drive in 67?"

Absolutely. I mean, you are so right. Jeff Francis, Aaron Cook, Ubaldo Jiminez, Derek Lowe, Chad Billingsley, Brad Penny, Brandon Webb, Micah Owings, Randy Johnson, Chris Young, Jake Peavy, Greg Maddux, they all suck. Barry has no chance in the AL. You are right, also, about Barry not being able to produce runs. I mean, he has only slugged .545 and .565 in the last 2 years in a pitchers park with no support while being pitched around at every available oppurtunity.

What a wonderfully intelligent post.

DRWheellock – Nice point about Vidro’s 2009 option. Paying Thomas the same amount makes a lot more sense. Unless of course they planned to DFA/release Vidro before his 2009 option vests and use the savings elsewhere. I think St. Thomas makes a great St. Elsewhere. (oops, mixed my islands and tv show metaphors.)

BaseballGuru – Hopefully no one is implying that they’re “better than you because [they] use the MLA Handbook or the Chicago Manual of Style and then go so far as to supply sources to prove [they are] right.” Supplying unquestionable proof to support one’s point to resolve any of your interlocutor’s unreasonable doubts is a fantastic way to change disagreement into agreement so both parties can move on to new business. So I have to respectfully disagree with you that supplying good proof to end a dispute is “a rather pathetic way to win an argument or debate.” I will assume that you think of “argument or debate” here in the narrow sense of debate for no reason other than the sake of argument, for the sake of winning. All the books on argumentation I’ve read are quick to point out this common misperception about the definition of argument. All professors of argumentation introduce their subject to their students by making this same point and urging them to think of argument as a means of ending disagreement and building understanding. However, I agree with you when you say MLBTR “isn't supposed to be about knit-picking (sic) what other's (sic) say.” If I’m right about your attitude on this whole issue, your essential complaint is that MLBTR needs to be about MLBTR, and not about the MLAH, HB or CMS.*

*(Modern Language Ass’n Handbook, Harvard BlueBook, Chicago Manual of Style)

Sesshomaru – Thank the Lords of Kobol!

SO SAY WE ALL!

And yes, Barry Bonds can play LF. Anybody that says he cant is either flat out wrong, or just dont think enough for themselves and take John Kruk and Steve Phillips and them too seriously. If Pat Burrell, Adam Dunn, Moises Alou, Josh Willingham and guys like this can play LF, Barry can do it. He still throws decently, not strongly but pretty accurately, and can catch what he can reach. It isnt like he is some old man with no hand eye coordination who is going to flub any ball hit to him. Barry Bonds is probably in the top 10 productive hitters in the game right now. The fact that he doesnt have a job is a joke. I want him on my Mets anyday, I dont care if he is juicing before every game on the megatron in the outfield. His .480 OBP and .550 sluggin are welcome on my team anyday.

That big left handed bat between wells and Rios would be amazing for the team.

Not only that I like the move because it would show that Toronto is serious about doing what it can to win now.

DoubleSteel, I don't give a rip about punctuation. I'm not taking sides in this and I think it's great you did research, but it's not applicable to the topic. All I'm saying is that it's more off-base than talking about someone's mama, 'cause at least those things would stem from the original disagreement and probably would be uttered by someone that has been made to look a fool in an argument or debate.

My definition of argument and debate are the same with the difference being how enraged, passionate, or emotional someone gets. I debate over women's lib., but the topic leaves me indifferent for as opinionated as I can be.
However, if you talk about how intelligent Darkstar is than it's an argument because I vehemently disagree with that assertion!

Again, I don't care about the topic of punctuation and a simple request of clarity about any confusion is all that's required. Anybody else who wants to get the last word in go ahead, but please no more direct replies about this as that's what perpetuates it. Direct your comments into space and nobody will feel compelled to reply (hopefully).

Okay Darkstar, I've already colored for an at least an hour, ate a "Elmer's Glue" straight from the nozzle, and have had my recess.

So, I'm totally prepared for a war of wits with you. I just had to get myself in the right mindset!

As long as you don't start picking your nose and saying girls are gross, then I should be able to hang in there with you.

Otherwise I'll be forced to yield, as I cannot stoop to that level of childish behavior!

Posada is a great defensive catcher! LoL Okay, but seriously let's look at his success rate for catching would be base stealers and his passed ball frequency versus a catcher I know well and one we all know well. Kenji Johjima and Ivan Rodriguez. Kenji is considered a solid ML catcher, where as Ivan is a Gold Glover and to use either without the other would be reckless and we'll leave that title to you Darkstar...


2008
Posada ~ 0 PB, 0 WP, 10 SB, 2 CS, 17%
Johjima ~ 0 PB, 2 WP, 12 SB, 5 CS, 29%
I-Rod ~ 2 PB, 6 WP, 9 SB, 3 CS, 25%


2007
Posada ~ 12 PB, 52 WP, 102 SB, 32 CS, 24%
Johjima ~ 5 PB, 39 WP, 46 SB, 40 CS, 47%
I-Rod ~ 7 PB, 53 WP, 47 SB, 21 CS, 31%


2006
Posada ~ 13 PB, 37 WP, 64 SB, 38 CS, 37%
Johjima ~ 10 PB, 39 WP, 57 SB, 29 CS, 34%
I-Rod ~ 4 PB, 34 WP, 25 SB, 26 CS, 51%


2005
Posada ~ 8 PB, 32 WP, 90 SB, 39 CS, 30%
I-Rod ~ 4 PB, 40 WP, 33 SB, 35 CS, 52%

This shows that Posada is becoming more ineffective at his position and the lack of PB and WP this year would have more to do with him only catching 33 innings versus an average of 140 so far for the other two. He's on course to have 400 SB attempts against him which is 3 times any other year and while it surely won't keep on at this pace, it just tells you how comfortable base runners feel at taking an extra base on him, bad shoulder or not Darkstar. Oh and the fact that he's got a bad shoulder would be "show cause" that he is breaking down and that the contract was ridiculous, but that's just my "humble" opinion!

By the way again I have to compliment you on your use of random statistics and your interesting exclusion of facts, but hey I like to take a stance on a weak argument every once in a while to make a point, too!

By the way your comment was hysterical and I quote... "And how in the world could anyone compare one of the best catchers in the history of the game being rewarded with a nice contract after 13 years of HOF-worthy performance..."

First of one of the best is not really accurate. Here's the short list of catchers that were better...

Johnny Bench
Yogi Berra
Carlton Fisk
Josh Gibson
Michey Cochrane
Gary Carter
Roy Campanella
Ivan Rodriguez
Mike Piazza
Bill Dickey
Thurman Munson
Ivan Rodriguez
Gabby Hartnett
Elston Howard
Ernie Lombardi
Ted Simmons
Jason Kendall
Joe Torre
Buck Ewing
Roger Bresnahan
Lance Parrish
Wally Schang
Biz Mackey
Del Crandall
Al Lopez
Sherm Lollar
Smoky Burgess
Johnny Roseboro


Guys as good... Whatever they lacked, they made up for elsewhere in their game.

Bob O'Farrell (defense)
Steve O'Neill
Mike Scioscia (defense)
Jason Varitek
Terry Steinbach (defense)
Ray Schalk
Terry Kennedy
Bill Freehan
Victor Martinez (offense)
Brad Ausmus (defense)
Darrell Porter
Rick Ferrell
Bob Boone (defense)
Jim Sundberg (defense)
Gene Tenace
Tony Pena
Rollie Hemsley
Johnny Kling
Tom Haller
Mickey Tettleton
Darren Daulton
Walker Cooper
Tim McCarver
Luke Sewell (defense)

By the way, short of producing 80% of his career year for the next 4 seasons, if he makes the HOF it would be because he was a Yankee. His stats would be a fraction of Carter's with far less defensive ability and it took him like 10+ years to get elected after retirement and please don't tell me how great a defensive player Posada is cause I don't think my stomach can handle me laughing at you anymore today! Oh and by the way, if Beltre continues at the pace he's on until he reaches 40 years old, than he'll be a first ballot HOF'r! So go screw yourself with that Beltre is just some average player who had one good year... He's been a solid player with almost no history of injury and for a whinny guy like you said he was in the other blog on here, why does he always play through his injuries and never leaves his position?! This weekend he maintained his average and hit a homerun while making all three of his starts at 3B, not DH, even while nursing a sore hamstring... What the heck do you want from a guy?! He doesn't take days off because he's tired or hurt, he's a leader in the clubhouse, he's consistent, and he's on his way to 3000-3300 H, 1500 R, 600-650 2B, 450-500 HR, 1500 RBI, 200 SB, and he plays GG caliber defense. See how many players that compare with that career, you'll have a hard time making a list in Cooperstown!

So this brings us to my next question... Please tell me what is not worth 12.8MM a year when he's in his prime and the only other guy at his position in the AL that's even remotely comparable, is 5 years older. Over the same stretch of time they are almost exactly the same player, while Lowell benefited from playing that 10-11 year stretch during his prime years unlike Beltre.

Look up Mike Lowell and you'll see their career average is 9 points difference, their career slugging is 6 points difference, and the OBP is 17 points difference. Yet we can rationalize Lowell's deal when we already know his ceiling and Beltre coming into his own isn't even making that much.

I've got an idea Darkstar, how about you just shut up before you look like anymore of a pompous fool than you already are! Oh and Beltre has a better arm, better range, and is a better fielder than the Red Sox third baseman, and yet Lowell is also a GG caliber player, just not better than Adrian.

Beltre may be one of the best to ever play the hot corner defensively in the history of the game. I know he's better than Chavez who has won numerous GGs and I think Rolen in his prime (pre-injury) was on par with him, but there aren't a lot others I can put on that list from when they first televised baseball games until now!

Sorry their career average isn't 9 points difference, it's actually 7 points. My other mistake was not considering Alex Rodriguez, but he's a horrible defensive thirdbaseman and some of the obnoxious Bronx fans from the 1st row could probably play a better hot corner and his offense isn't quite as amazing this year, is it?! He also falls off in the second half of the season, so don't expect a repeat performance from A-Hole, I mean A-Rod!

I'm not saying Barry can't play lf. Im just saying over the last couple of years his defense has shrivled. He can certainly catch, but its his staying in the game to finish that worries me.

also to prove american league has better pitching, how many all star games has the american league won in a row.

Well, you have managed to find the correct topic for your post. And it is still absolutely positively stupid.

baseballguru, no offense, and this is just my opinion, but when you start saying that guys like Kendall and Ausmus have had better careers then Jorge Posada, it makes it very difficult for me to take the rest of your arguement seriously, or question whether I should bother reading the rest for that matter. Then you go on to call Adrian Beltre the best 3rd baseman in history, and you are just a total assshole about it, even though you are pretty much wrong on most of the points you made. I mean, your a M's fan, but how can you argue that Beltre has made his entire career off his walk year in LA. I like Beltran as a player, but he isnt an upper tier player, not even at his position. Then you go onto say he will be in the hall of fame and hit 500 home runs? Wow. And you have the nerve to question the intelligence of other bloggers here. I am a homer, and a big one, but even for a huge M's homer to predict what you did is pretty ludacris. And the funny thing is that you act like Darkstar is the idiot for not inducting Beltre into the hall.

Beltre* not Beltran

OMG, another 4 thousand word rant, and still cant make a single valid point? ***Sigh***

“I've got an idea Darkstar, how about you just shut up before you look like anymore of a pompous fool than you already are!”

…I suggest you take your own advice; you are the only one making themselves look like a “pompous fool” here. I mean, you ranted for 4 hours (6:02 AM to 9:57 AM) and didn’t really make a single correct statement! The only thing you did was try to put me down, call me names, and bring up things which have no barring what so ever on the truth.

“Posada is a great defensive catcher! LoL”

…Uhh? Ok, WTF are you even talking about??? When the F* did I ever say he was a great defensive catcher? And since when do you have to be a “great defensive catcher” to actually be behind the plate? And since when are catchers only ranked on the number of caught stealing? And how the F* are you going to compare his numbers to a guy with 2 F*ing years in the league? And the two years show dramatically different results anyway!!! And you give the number of Wild Pitches to say that he is becoming less effective? Huh? Each and every one of those numbers you gave is heavily influenced by the pitcher on the mound, and the pitchers on the mound for the Yankees have been, well, lets just say less than spectacular the last 3+ years… Add to it the fact that he has pretty much been the same catcher for the last 10 years, and that his team has gone to the playoffs, oh, EVERY SINGLE ONE of those years ~ well, I guess his Catcher-Def is good enough, isnt it? But if you seriously think you found a point there, well good for you I guess…

“By the way again I have to compliment you on your use of random statistics and your interesting exclusion of facts, but hey I like to take a stance on a weak argument every once in a while to make a point, too!”

...Huh? Again, WTF are you talking about? So OBP and SLG are just “random statistics”, and the fact that Posada kicks the crap out of Beltre at the plate in every way possible isnt a point? Wow, you must smoke some serious stuff if you cant grasp something as simple as “much better production at the plate is a good thing…”

“By the way, short of producing 80% of his career year for the next 4 seasons, if he makes the HOF it would be because he was a Yankee. His stats would be a fraction of Carter's with far less defensive ability and it took him like 10+ years to get elected after retirement”

Carter ~ 19Yr, .262/.335/.439/.774 ~ career 115 OPS+
Posada ~ 14Yr, .277/.380/.479/.859 ~ career 124 OPS+

Now, add like 4 years of even his worst numbers over the last 5 years (2005) and we see this for Posada:
4860 AB, 1346 H, 307 2B, 219 HR, 2326 TB, 37 SF, 61 HBP, 769 BB (Car)
1896 AB, 0496 H, 092 2B, 076 HR, 0816 TB, 16 SF, 08 HBP, 264 BB (‘05 x4)
6756 AB, 1842 H, 399 2B, 295 HR, 3142 TB, 53 SF, 69 HBP, 1033 BB (Total)

which would give us this comparison to Carter:
Carter 19Yr .262/.335/.439/ .774, 7971 AB, 2092 H, 371 2B, 324 HR, 115 OPS+
Posada 18Yr .272/.372/.465/ .837, 6756 AB, 1842 H, 399 2B, 295 HR, about 119 OPS+
…You were saying???

…“His stats would be a fraction of Carter's”… ***Sigh***

“Oh and by the way, if Beltre continues at the pace he's on until he reaches 40 years old, than he'll be a first ballot HOF'r! So go screw yourself with that Beltre is just some average player who had one good year...”

…Huh??? Hahaha… I mean, seriously? But the “so go screw yourself” part pretty much shows the intelligence of the person I am holding this conversation with… First Ballot HOFer? A career .272/.327/.460/.787 hitter would be a First-Ballot HOFer? Seriously???

But, you don’t think Beltre is rather “average” do you? Beltre over his career (minus the fluke season) looks like this as far as OPS+:
98 ~ 73
99 ~ 101
00 ~ 114
01 ~ 91
02 ~ 97
03 ~ 88
05 ~ 93
06 ~ 105
07 ~ 112
To get a better idea of his career total OPS+ without that fluke season, we can multiple those individual totals by the number of that seasons ABs, add them together, and divide that total by the total number of ABs to find an average. Its not precise, but its really close… When we do this with Beltre, we see his average is 99.07903…

So, career 99 OPS+ when that fluke 2004 year is removed. Average being 100. I called him “average” ~ yeah gee, I was way off on that one wasn’t I… ***Rolls eyes***


“and he plays GG caliber defense”
…Dude, you should really stop saying that. He has 1 GG, ONE. And the year he got it? Oh yeah, he had 18 errors!!! I mean, seriously ~ he was in the bottom half of RZR, and ZR, and FPCT…well, I’m bored with that obviously questionable point you think you have…

“So this brings us to my next question... Please tell me what is not worth 12.8MM a year when he's in his prime and the only other guy at his position in the AL that's even remotely comparable, is 5 years older.”:

Some similar-aged contemporaries, even leaving that fluke 2004 season in there for Beltre:

Rodriguez 162 Avg ~ .306 / .389 / .578 / .967, 625 AB, 191 H, 34 2B, 44 HR, 147 OPS+
…Arod is only 32 YO, so 3 years older…
M Cabrera 162 Avg ~ .312 / .386 / .540 / .823, 606 AB, 189 H, 41 2B, 31 HR, 142 OPS+
…Cabrera is only 25 YO, so 4 years younger…
D. Wright 162 Avg ~ .313 / .391 / .539 / .930, 604 AB, 653 H, 44 2B, 29 HR, 141 OPS+
…Wright is only 25, so 4 years younger…
S. Rolen 162 Avg ~ .283 / .372 / .507 / .879, 592 AB, 168 H, 41 2B, 28 HR, 126 OPS+
…Rolen is 32, so 3 years older…
T. Glaus 162 Avg ~ .254 / .358 / .498 / .837, 576 AB, 146 H, 32 2B, 36 HR, 120 OPS+
…Glaus is 31, so 2 years older…
A.Ramirez 162 Avg ~ .283 / .337 / .500 / .837, 605 AB, 171 H, 36 2B, 31 HR, 112 OPS+
…ARam is 30, so 1 year older…

And then brining up the distant rear…
*A. Beltre 162 Avg ~ .272 / .327 / .460 / .787, 600 AB, 163 H, 33 2B, 25 HR, 107 OPS+
…So really, its difficult to find 3B that are not better then Beltre ~ not the other way around… Like I told you before, Beltre compares more with Felix, Crede and Inge then he does with the best of the game ~ he is nothing more than a no-OBP, plus-SLG, plus-fielding 3B. The only difference is the fact that he makes 12.8M/YR vs like an avg of 5M-ish for the other three… Beltre = towards the bottom teir of 3B in the league, yet you will rant and rave that he easily deserves 12.8M and is on a HOF course and try to somehow compare his one-year fluke season to one of the better catchers we have seen producing slightly above his normal?

Really, if I could even begin to understand the thought process of such a questionable stance, maybe I would respect it. But as it is, you might as well be comparing Kaz Matsui to Ricky Henderson in a Barry Bonds thread. You are not only like 4 thousand miles from the topic, but also another 4 thousand miles from reality. You take homerism to new levels man, you really do…

First off, I didn't sit at my desk for four hours, I stepped away at times and did other things, unlike you I don't sit and stew over it... If an argument comes to me than I look it up and if it's valid than you run with it!

You must be digging pretty deep to bitch about my time online! Please don't tell me you are going to tell me that the Yankees who have promoted like 5 pitchers in the last 4 years and only kept three of them on the roster for longer than a cup of coffee has more wild throwers...

Mark Lowe is one of the most irratic throwers in the game, Sean Green has thrown about 15-20 balls in the dirt this season alone, let alone last year when he had real control issues. Most every one of the Mariner pitchers have a splitter or sinker as one of their pitches.

Morrow hasn't exactly been the model of accuracy either... They strike guys out because they change speeds, but most of their stuff travels from home plate to the eyes and batters box to batters box... Current age of pitchers the Mariners have used the last couple years for spot starts and bullpen work: Rowland-Smith 25, Morrow, 23, Lowe 24, Feierabend 22, Jimenez 23, O'Flaherty 23, and White 26.

These guys have had a large workload the last couple years as barely legal drinkers and that's usually where most control issues come from not 35 year old veterans that have learned to harness the strike zone to be effective.

The only reason the Mariners' pitchers can get away with this is there stuff is electric. Lowe before injury hit 102mph in a game on the gun and routinely is in the 96mph range, Morrow has topped out at 98-99mph, and White hits 97-98mph at times. The lefties are a little more control pitchers, but they have no control over their junk pitchers.

Listen to the broadcasters the next time they are nationally televised or listen to an away teams broadcast, so there's no "bias" about his defensive ability and they will all start by mentioning his defense...

In baseball you get an error if they think you could make a play and you "touch" the ball, well if you have superior range than you will touch a lot more balls that would've just been base hits...

Last year he had four balls that should've never even been fielded down the thirdbase line and knocked them down and they said the bobble was an error, let alone the fact he kept the player to a single instead of a double, but yeah there's around 4 of your errors that I SAW, let alone the ones I wasn't able to see in games cause I was working!

Chavez had been getting Gold Gloves the two year prior based on reputation and the same with Rolen the last couple years Beltre was in LA, before that he was solid but nothing spectacular... He came into his own around the second half of 2002 and really became a defensive force in 2003.

Rolen was still a great defensive thirdbaseman then, but he had become focused more on his offense and he stopped making the amazing plays. Also if you remember it's been about 5 years now that Rolen has been dealing with arm issues! The most recent was a year and a half ago and he's never been right since, but that was a flare up of an existing injury from 2002-2003.

Look it sounds really crazy to think of Beltre as doing that I know, but look at his stats, he's already almost halfway to all of those numbers! Since he's 29 this season that means if he plays until he's 40 that leaves 12 seasons to play before he retires. Here's what he'd have to do annually to meet those predictions...

If you add the 19 games from this year and the half season (77 games) he played when he was called up in 1998, I'll call that one season, especially since he's never played less than 126 games in any other year. That brings his total to 10 years. If you divide the games played by 10, he averages 144.6 games a season. Take his 5353 ABs (not plate appearances, just legitimate at-bats.), and then you divide that by games played and he has 3.70 at-bats per game, not including other plate appearances.

You take the 3.70 at-bats and multiply it by 144.6 games and you get 535.02 at-bats per season. You then take his 1455 hits and subtract it from 3000 hits and 3300 hits, the totals are 1545 and 1845 more hits needed for those totals. You then divide these by the 12 seasons left to play and you get 128.75 or 129 and 153.75 or 154 hits a season needed for both ends of the spectrum. He's had 148 or more hits in 7 of his seasons so far and probably 8 of 11 calendar years with his rookie season as one of the 3 years he didn't!

Dividing 129 by 535 and you get a .241 average until he retires or roughly 30 points below his career numbers. For him to hit 3300 hundred hits you divide 154 by 535 and you get a .288 average. This is well within his means too, as he's much closer to a .288 hitter than a .241 hitter based on his .272 career average.

If he maintained his .272 career number over 535 at-bats a season, you'd get 145.52 hits, we'll say it's 145 though and you times it by 12 you'd get 1740 + 1455 = 3195 hits.
All-Time Rank: 14th.
Prediction: 3000-3300 hits.

Doubles: He's got 299 career, divide his career at-bats by his career doubles and you'd get 1 every 17.90 at-bats. If you divide 535 by 17.9 it equals 29.88 or 30 doubles a season, multiplied by 12 = 360 + 299 2B career you'd have 659 doubles.
All-Time Rank: 7th.
Prediction: 600-650 2B.

Homeruns: 220 career, we'll do it the same way, so I'll just give you the numbers for everything from here out. 5353/220=24.33 call it 24. 535/24=22.29, 22 HR x 12 seasons = 264, 264 HR + 220 HR career = 484 total.
All-Time Rank: 27th.
Prediction: 450-500 HR.

RBI: 5353/791=6.77 or 1 every 6 at-bats. 535/6 = 89.17 or 89 RBI. 89 RBI x 12 seasons = 1068 + 791 RBIs career equals 1859.
All-Time Rank: 12th.
Prediction: 1500 RBI.

Runs: 5353/711=7.53 or 1 every 7 at-bats. 535/7 = 76.43 or 76 R x 12 seasons = 912 R + 711 R career = 1623.
All-Time Rank: 37th.
Prediction: 1500 Runs.

SB: 5353/92=58.18 or 1 every 58 at-bats. 535/58 = 9.22 or 9 SB a season x 12 seasons = 108 + 92 career SB = 200.
All-Time Rank: Unknown.
Prediction: 200 SB.

Yeah, you're all correct in me being crazy as I rounded down his numbers, under estimated games played, factored in many seasons when he was young and injured, so it was take a career ending injury for him to not meet those numbers as he's peaking right now. Over the last 3 years in Seattle, his AVG, 2B, HR, RBI, SB, & SLG, have all gone up without decline for three straight years and he's more than exceeded the "averages." Lock it in for him to make Cooperstown. Come on 3000 hits automatically punches your ticket and he'll have that with a .241 average for the next 12 season. By the way here's the list of guys with 3000 hits, 1500 Runs, 600 2B, 400 HR, 1500 RBI, & 200 SB... Hank Aaron. That's it and the only other guys who had 5 out of 6 were:
Barry Bonds needs 65 hits.
Carl Yastrzemski needs 32 SB.
Willie Mays needs 77 2B.
and
Dave Winfield needs 60 2B.

Other than that there is no one remotely close who played historically or is currently playing. There may be others that were only missing by one field, but I only considered those that needed 2 seasons or less in their prime to complete the task outside of that you are talking about putting two careers together!

I say probably because he's on course currently to have 176 hits this season and he's historically a late starter!

Please, ignore the hundred after 3300 I was in between thoughts.

You dont make the hall of fame for playing a liuttle bit below average for a really, really, really long time. He is not even in the top 6 or 7 3B in the league, how can you possibly expect him to be a hall of fame player. I cant actually believe that you are being serious right now. Unless Beltre goes on a Berry Bonds esque run through his late 30's putting up .450 OB/.800 SLG on the regular he has as good of a chance to make the hall of fame as Steve Trachsel.

I mean, he has a .790 OPS. 790 OPS. If I say it like 5 more times will it sink in? I doubt it. That is like Carl Crawford/Jose Reyes territory, only these guys are leadoff hitters, not cleaning up. You should really change that name it would sort of be like if John Kruk had an account here and his username was ..... "younginshaperippedguywhoknowsalotaboutbaseball."

I mean, it is painfully obvious that he is none of those things, and you dont seem like much of a guru to me.

“First off, I didn't sit at my desk for four hours, I stepped away at times and did other things, unlike you I don't sit and stew over it... If an argument comes to me than I look it up and if it's valid than you run with it!”
then…
“You must be digging pretty deep to bitch about my time online!”

…Ok, again ~ WTF are you talking about? Read it again asshole:
“I mean, you ranted for 4 hours (6:02 AM to 9:57 AM) and didn’t really make a single correct statement!”
…You’ll notice its ONE SENTENCE which is pointing out the fact that its extremely pitiful that a person can post some 4 thousand words over a four hour span and not make a point. I don’t care if you sat there 4 hours, that wasn’t the point ~ you still couldn’t give a truthful or even logical statement while having 4 hours to come up with one! And that’s the point, that’s the pitiful part…


“Please don't tell me you are going to tell me that the Yankees who have promoted like 5 pitchers in the last 4 years and only kept three of them on the roster for longer than a cup of coffee has more wild throwers...”

Ok, I wont tell you its because of 5 pitchers being horrible. What I will do instead, is this:
2007 Posada ~ 1 PB per 85.5 Inn / 1 WP per 21.4 Inn / 1 SB per 11 Inn / 24% CS
2007 Molina ~ 1 PB per 84.5 Inn / 1 WP per 42.3 Inn / 1 SB per 13 Inn / 32% CS
(the WP is actually like one WP off a similar pace as well, give him 1 and it jumps to the 30 range)

…Humm… So for as good as Molina is behind the plate, his rates are rather close to the same. Ok fine, I guess I do have to tell you its because the pitchers are rather horrible… I mean, Posada cant be that bad if he is just as bad as a Def-Specialist when put in that role! See, those rather even rates would lead most logical thinking people to believe its because of the pitching staff more than the catcher. But what was the Yankees pitching staff like? Oh yeah, 3rd worst Control, and Command, and Dominance!!! I mean, is there any surprise that more passed-balls would come along with it? But I guess the “guru” doesn’t have the mental capacity to think of such things as the pitches contributing to the problem…

And please stop the hundreds of words/paragraphs of off topic, unrelated, irrelevant crap as you try to relate everything to the Mariners! I don’t give a F* what you think about a couple random scrub pitchers; everything you said was pointless since the stats just don’t back it up…

Uh, weren't we talking about Frank Thomas?

BTW, I had to set up my fantasy team for tomorrow, and ended up goofing around on the PECOTA site. While there, I figured I’d see if they had anything on Posada… As if it was meant to be, I found an article detailing his career vs the top Catchers:
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=412
Now, if you have access, you will actually see that it’s a comparison of Posada to the benchmarks for catchers (done mid-way through last year.) So where did Posada stand on the all-time Catchers rankings going into 2008? Try 16th… Yeah, 16th ~ before last year ~ and already ahead of 5 HOFers…

They of course didn’t have access to last years totals; but we do! With them, we see this line: 80.2 / 62.0 / 71.1…which moves him up to 14th (ahead of Charlie Bennett and Lance Parrish). If he produces even a .750-ish OPS with similar fielding this year, he passes Mickey Cochrane and Buck Ewing into the 12 spot. After that, Ted Simmons and Mike Piazza are reachable, so Top-10 is within his grasp ~ and not much separates the 10 to 6 spots so…

All in all ~ already statistically the 14th best catcher of all time… already ahead of 5 other HOFers, and almost certainly passing another 2 this year… strong possibility to finish in the Top-6 overall, and at worst will probably finish around 10th… Yeah, I think that validates my “HOF-worthy performance” sentence; and even his current 14th ranking out of thousands upon thousands easily equals “one of the best catchers in the history of the game”. Ever so sorry you don’t like it being the case, but that alone doesn’t begin to even remotely make it any less true…

“By the way here's the list of guys with 3000 hits, 1500 Runs, 600 2B, 400 HR, 1500 RBI, & 200 SB... Hank Aaron. That's it and the only other guys who had 5 out of 6 were:
Barry Bonds needs 65 hits. Carl Yastrzemski needs 32 SB. Willie Mays needs 77 2B. and Dave Winfield needs 60 2B.”

…You are seriously on crack if you honestly believe that dribble… And let me ask you this, what exactly does Beltre have in common with Bonds, Aaron, Mays, Yaz or Winfield to the point that he will be around long enough to compile such marks?

Well, lets see:

Mays by 28 ~ .317/.391/.590/.981 (157 OPS+)
Aaron by 28 ~ .320/.373/.503/.875 (155 OPS+)
Bonds by 28 ~ .283/.391/.526/.917 (153 OPS+)
C Yaz by 28 ~ .298/.386/.483/.869 (139 OPS+)
Hawk by 28 ~ .284/.357/.464/.821(133 OPS+)

Beltre by 28 ~ .272/.327/.460/.787 (107 OPS+) ~ with Fluke 04
Beltre by 28 ~ .264/.319/.439/.759 (99 OPS+) ~ w/o Fluke 04 season

…See the problem?

Here, you brought him up last time you tried to do this “Beltre is like a God among men” crap ~ so lets take another look at Kevin McReynolds:

McReynolds by 28 ~ .270/.322/.460 (117 OPS+) & 25 2B, 4 3B, 21 HR, 9 SB per 500
And A.Beltre by 28 ~ .272/.327/.460 (107 OPS+) & 28 2B, 4 3B, 21 HR, 9 SB per 500

…YAY!!! We found a perfect match!!!

McReynolds AFTER? ~ .260/.335/.432 (112 OPS+) & 28 2B, 2 3B, 8 HR, 8 SB per 500
...He lasted 6 more years, accumulating 41 more HR, 138 more 2B, 11 more 3B, and 41 more SB. Experienced two trips to DL (one each in 92 at 32 & 93 at 33) and prior to the 94 season was sent back to the Mets in a Trash-for-Trash trade for Vince Coleman (then 32 off .279/.316/.375 / 86 OPS+ season)

So, what did we learn? Well, Beltre will probably be lucky to have about 5 more years in the league, not some 11+ like Bonds, Aaron, Yaz, Winfield and Mays ~ players who averaged atleast a 130 OPS+ prior to age 29. See, hit for a 130 OPS+ and people will give you a job, hit for a 100-ish OPS+, and you don’t get the same kind of opportunities. Go figure, huh?

Is it likely that Beltre wont have but 5 or so more years in the league? Well, PECOTA agrees with it ~ they say in 5 years he will have a 55% chance of being at “fringe” level. They project him to be in the .252/.309/.401 range in 2013 (at age 34) and only getting about 454 AB a year. That will come with about 22 2B, 12 HR and 5 SB ~ not quite the pace he will need to reach your rather arbitrary totals, huh?

“Listen to the broadcasters the next time they are nationally televised or listen to an away teams broadcast, so there's no "bias" about his defensive ability and they will all start by mentioning his defense...”

…and that sir, is pitiful. So when a cleanup hitter comes to the plate, they start talking about his defense? Doesn’t that right there tell you that his offense probably sucks? I mean, Omar Vizquel comes to the plate and they talk about his hitting, ability to steal bases and cause problems on the base paths more than his D ~ but when Beltre comes up “well, he has good Defense ya know”… Yeah, don’t hear many people talking about Aramis Ramirez’s Defense when he’s at the plate, and he’s probably a better defender than Beltre! But I guess it makes you think Beltre is some amazing fielder or something, so good for you…


“In baseball you get an error if they think you could make a play and you "touch" the ball, well if you have superior range than you will touch a lot more balls that would've just been base hits... “

…Yeah, see the problem with that is that Beltre was in the bottom half of range as well… Nice try though!


…But reading this thread again, I have to say that you really seem like youre a complete moron with absolutely no comprehension of reality. Really, Beltre and his 100-ish OPS+ in HOF? Beltre compared to Bonds, Mays, Aaron, Yaz and even Winfield? Beltre’s contract after a fluke year compared to a HOF worthy catcher? Said HOF worthy catcher said to be less valuable than Brad Ausmus? There is some stupid stuff posted on this site, but you by far take the cake man…

“Uh, weren't we talking about Frank Thomas? “
Posted by: OaktownTony

…Not when Guru is involved… He likes to take conversations about A, try to say D is G, compare T to K and come out with a conclusion of Random-Mariners-Player is the best that ever played the game. I guess that’s how self-proclaimed Guru’s work, say a bunch of things that make no sense what so ever and act like everything they wish would one day be the case will somehow come true…

Like I said before, he might as well be comparing Matsui to Henderson on a Bonds threat ~ but that’s how his little brain works I guess…

Post a comment

This weblog only allows comments from registered users. To comment, please Sign In.


Top Stories



Search MLBTR

Lijit Search

MLBTR Mailing List

Enter your email address:

Delivered by FeedBurner


MLBTR Features



Recent Posts



Rumors By Team



Monthly Archives


Live Chats


Tuesdays at 2 p.m. CST



Site Map     Contact     About     Advertise     Privacy Policy     Widget     Fantasy     Rss Feed


MLB Trade Rumors is not affiliated with Major League Baseball, MLB or MLB.com.